Vol. 43, No. 1 April 1999 Mariners Weather Log Hurricane Mitch, one of the deadliest Atlantic hurricanes in history, as sea level pressure dropped to 905 Hp 35 nm southeast of Swan Island. This was the lowest sea level pressure ever observed in an October hurricane in the Atlantic basin and the fourth lowest pressure ever observed in an Atlantic hurricane (tied with Camille in 1969). See page 4.
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Vol. 43, No. 1 April 1999
Mariners Weather Log
Hurricane Mitch, one of the deadliest Atlantic hurricanes in history,
as sea level pressure dropped to 905 Hp 35 nm southeast of Swan Island.
This was the lowest sea level pressure ever observed in an October
hurricane in the Atlantic basin and the fourth lowest pressure ever observed
in an Atlantic hurricane (tied with Camille in 1969). See page 4.
2 Mariners Weather Log
From the Editorial Supervisor
Mariners Weather Log
Mariners Weather Log
U.S. Department of CommerceWilliam M. Daley, Secretary
National Oceanic andAtmospheric Administration
Dr. D. James Baker, Administrator
National Weather ServiceJohn J. Kelly, Jr.,
Assistant Administrator for Weather Services
National Environmental Satellite,Data, and Information Service
Robert S. Winokur,Assistant Administrator
United States NavyNaval Meteorology and Oceanography Command
RADM Kenneth E. Barbor USN, Commander
Editorial SupervisorMartin S. Baron
EditorMary Ann Burke
The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the publication of thisperiodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by lawof this department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approvedby the director of the Office of Management and Budget through December1999.
The Mariners Weather Log (ISSN: 0025-3367) is published by the NationalWeather Service, Office of Meteorology, Integrated HydrometeorologicalServices Core, Silver Spring, Maryland, (301) 713-1677, Ext. 134. Funding isprovided by the National Weather Service, National Environmental Satellite,Data, and Information Service, and the United States Navy. Data is provided bythe National Climatic Data Center.
Articles, photographs, and letters should be sent to:
Mr. Martin S. Baron, Editorial SupervisorMariners Weather LogNational Weather Service, NOAA1325 East-West Highway, Room 14108Silver Spring, MD 20910
Due to increased printing costs, the annual subscriptionprice of the Mariners Weather Log is now $12.00 (domes-tic) and $15.00 (foreign). Please see the inside back coverfor the ordering form and more information.
We thank those free subscribers who filled out andreturned the questionnaires to us. However, some question-naires have not yet been returned. If your vessel haschanged crews, or has been in the yard for service, thequestionnaire may be aboard without your knowledege (it’sa white card, folded size 5.5 x 8.5 inches). Please makeevery effort to complete and return these to us. You mustdo so to remain a free subscriber.
This issue features an article on the endangered rightwhales in the North Atlantic. Effective July 1, 1999,vessels of 300 gross tons or greater are required to reportdata such as position, course, and speed when entering tworight whale aggregation areas: one off Massachusettes andone off Georgia and Florida, as part of an InternationalMaritime Organization approved effort to save thisendangered species. Please see the article for details.
For Voluntary Observing Ships, development of SEAS2000 has begun. This is a new Windows-based program tofacilitate reporting of meteorological observations. Theprojected release date is early 2000. I reviewed a pre-production version and was very impressed. Three NOAAline offices are collaborating in this effort. It’s being leadby the Office of Atmospheric Research, Global OceanObserving System (GOOS) Operations Center, with theoffice of NOAA Corps Operations writing the software, incooperation with the National Weather Service. Prior torelease of this new software, we recommend use of SEASversion 4.52, which is alsoY2K compliant, available fromPMOs, SEAS Field Representavives, or the SEASwebpage at: http://seas.nos.noaa.gov/seas/.
Martin S. Baronh
Some Important Webpage Addresses
NOAA http://www.noaa.govNational Weather Service http://www.nws.noaa.govVOS Program http://www.vos.noaa.govSEAS Program http://seas.nos.noaa.gov/seas/Mariners Weather Log http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/
National Data Buoy Center................................................................................................................................ 23
National Marine Fisheries Service ..................................................................................................................... 26
Marine Weather ReviewNorth Atlantic, August–November 1998............................................................................................. 33North Pacific, August–November 1998 .............................................................................................. 38Tropical Atlantic and Tropical East Pacific, September–December 1998 .......................................... 44Climate Prediction Center, September–December 1998 ..................................................................... 57
VOS Program .................................................................................................................................................... 61
VOS Cooperative Ship Reports ......................................................................................................................... 81
Buoy Climatological Data Summary ................................................................................................................. 95
Hurricane Mitch, thestrongest October hurri-cane ever recorded,
formed in the southwest Carib-bean Sea from a tropical waveabout 440 miles south ofKingston, Jamaica late on October21, 1998. The system initiallymoved slowly westward andintensified into a tropical storm onOctober 22, while located about260 miles east-southeast of SanAndres Island. Mitch then movedslowly northward, and then north-northwestward on the 23rd and24th while gradually gainingstrength. Early on October 24,Mitch became a hurricane and was
Hurricane Mitch�
One of the Deadliest Atlantic Hurricanes in History
John L. Guiney and Richard J. PaschTropical Prediction CenterNational Hurricane CenterMiami, Florida
centered about 350 miles east-southeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios,Nicaragua. Later that day, as itturned toward the west, Mitchbegan to intensify rapidly. In about24 hours its central pressuredropped 52 mb, to 924 mb, by theafternoon of October 25. Furtherstrengthening took place and thecentral pressure reached a mini-mum of 905 mb on the afternoonof October 26, while the hurricanewas centered about 35 nm south-east of Swan Island (see coverphotograph). This pressure is thefourth lowest pressure evermeasured in an Atlantic hurricane(tied with Hurricane Camille in
1969). This is also the lowestpressure ever observed in anOctober hurricane in the Atlanticbasin. At its peak on the 26th,Mitch’s maximum winds wereestimated to be 155 knots, makingit a category five hurricane on theSaffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale.
After passing over Swan Island,Mitch began to gradually weakenon October 27 while movingslowly west. It then turned south-westward and southward towardthe Bay Islands off the coast ofHonduras. The center passed verynear the Island of Guanaja as acategory four hurricane, wreaking
April 1999 5
Hurricane Mitch
Hurricane MitchContinued from Page 4
havoc there. Mitch slowly weak-ened as its circulation interactedwith the land mass of Honduras.From mid-day on the 27th to earlyon the 29th, the central pressurerose 59 mb. The center of thehurricane meandered near thenorth coast of Honduras from lateon the 27th through the 28th,before making landfall during themorning of the 29th about 60 nmeast of La Ceiba with 85-knotwinds. Mitch moved southwardover Honduras, weakening to atropical storm early on the 30th.The cyclone moved slowly overHonduras and Guatemala onOctober 30-31, gradually weaken-ing to a tropical depression. Mitchgenerated torrential rains overportions of Honduras and Nicara-gua, where the associated floodsand mud slides were devastating.The highest rainfall total reportedby the Honduras Weather Servicewas 35.89 inches in Choluteca,located in the southernmostportion of the country. Evenhigher values may have goneunobserved. Some heavy rainsalso occurred in neighboringcountries.
Although Mitch’s surface circula-tion center dissipated near theGuatemala/southeast Mexicoborder on November 1, theremnant circulation aloft contin-ued to produce locally heavyrainfall over portions of central
America and eastern Mexico forthe next couple of days. OnNovember 3, a low-level circula-tion became evident in the easternBay of Campeche and the systemregenerated into a tropical stormwhile located about 150 milessouthwest of Merida, Mexico.Mitch moved northeastward andweakened to a depression early onthe 4th as it moved inland over thenorthwest Yucatan peninsula. Thecenter re-emerged over the south-central Gulf of Mexico by mid-morning on the 4th, and Mitchregained tropical storm strength.The storm began to acceleratenortheastward as it becameinvolved with a frontal zonemoving through the eastern Gulf.Mitch made landfall on themorning of November 5 in south-west Florida near Naples, withmaximum sustained winds near 55knots. By mid-afternoon of the5th, Mitch moved offshore ofsouth Florida, and became extra-tropical.
Most ships heeded the marineforecasts and only 30 shipsreported wind of 34 knots orgreater during hurricane Mitch.Table 1 lists these reports alongwith the pressure and significantwave height. The highest windwas 54 knots reported by shipC6HH3 (16.2N, 87.6W) at 1500UTC on 31 October.
It has been estimated that therewas a 50 percent loss to Hondu-ras’ agricultural crops. At least
70,000 houses were damaged andmore than 92 bridges were dam-aged or destroyed. There wassevere damage to the infrastruc-ture of Honduras and entirecommunities were isolated fromoutside assistance. To a lesserextent, damage was similar inNicaragua, where a large mudslideinundated ten communitiessituated at the base of La CasitasVolcano. Guatemala and ElSalvador also suffered from flashfloods which destroyed thousandsof homes, along with bridges androads.
The estimated death toll fromMitch (as of February 1,1999)stands at 9,086, with a comparablenumber of missing persons. Thegreatest losses of life occurred inHonduras and Nicaragua—5,677and 2,836, respectively. The deathtoll also includes 31 fatalitiesassociated with the loss of theschooner FANTOME. The exactnumber of deaths caused by Mitchwill probably never be known.However, this was one of thedeadliest Atlantic tropical cy-clones in history, ranking belowonly the 1780 “Great Hurricane”in the Lesser Antilles, but compa-rable to the Galveston hurricane of1900, and Hurricane Fifi of 1974,the latter also striking Honduras.Most of the U.S. damage fromMitch was caused by tornadoes inthe Florida Keys which injured 65people, damaged or destroyed 645homes, and caused an estimated$40 million in damages.h
Note: Observed wind speeds and wave heights were relatively low because vessels heeded warnings and fledthe area where the higher values would have been observed.
April 1999 7
Independence Seaport Museum
Editors Note: The exhibit of CivilWar Naval Scenes was on displayat the Independence SeaportMuseum in Philadelphia, Pennsyl-vania, through May 30, 1999.
I t is often said that the CivilWar was fought on land, butwon at sea. While this theory
is true to a large extent, theprominent role that both the Unionand Confederate navies playedduring this period in history is notnearly as well known as many ofthe more famous Civil War landbattles such as Vicksburg andGettysburg. Indeed, some of themost important conflicts occurrednot only along the United States’
Civil War Naval Scenes of Xanthus Smith
Liz Barszczewski and Ed LynchIndependence Seaport MuseumPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania
coastline, rivers, and inlets, butalso on the high seas.
Xanthus Smith was born onFebruary 26, 1839, on LocustStreet in Philadelphia, to RussellSmith, a renowned 19th-centurytheater curtain and scenerypainter, and his wife, Mary Smith,a well-known naturalist whoworked in watercolors. At a youngage, Smith expressed an interest inthe sea through his sketches andwatercolors. After touring Europein the 1850s, he returned to studydrawing at The PennsylvaniaAcademy of the Fine Arts inPhiladelphia.
With the outbreak of the CivilWar, Smith enlisted in the Navyand was stationed at Port Royal,South Carolina, aboard the U.S.S.WABASH, Rear Admiral SamuelFrancis DuPont’s flagship of theSouth Atlantic Blockading Squad-ron. It was during this assignmentthat Smith was encouraged byRear Admiral DuPont and othersuperior officers to sketch andpaint in detail several vessels inthe squadron.
In the latter part of 1864, Smithwas forced to resign his commis-sion and return home due to his
Continued on Page 9
8 Marin
ers We
ather Lo
g
Independence
Seap
ort M
use
um
Farragut passing the forts below New Orleans. Xanthus Smith, 1872, oil on canvas.Courtesy Philadelphia Independence Seaport Museum (loan from Atwater Kent Museum).
April 1999 9
Independence Seaport Museum
Xanthus SmithContinued from Page 7
father’s poor health. However, hecontinued to create ship portraitssimilar to the ones he paintedwhile stationed at Port Royal.These paintings led to the devel-opment of his studied and accurateapproach to well-known Civil Warnaval battles including the clashbetween MONITOR andMERRIMACK at HamptonRoads, South Carolina, and thebattles of New Orleans andMobile Bay.
While Smith’s work focused onand represented individual battles,it also documented and conveyedimportant technological develop-ments of the War. One of the mostimportant developments reflectedin his work was the emergence ofan ironclad navy. It was theConfederates who first beganironclad construction with theconversion of U.S.S. MERRI-MACK into the ironclad steamerC.S.S. VIRGINIA. Eventually,Union forces saw the need for anironclad navy and began to workon the design and implementationof such vessels. Three verydifferent designs were submittedto the Union Navy and approvedfor construction. Two of the threecame from designer John Ericssonand shipbuilder Merrick andSons’, both of Philadelphia.Ericsson’s design for the MONI-TOR and Merrick and Sons’design for the hull which wouldlater to be known as NEW
IRONSIDES, were quickly putinto production. This commitmentto new technology had an invalu-able impact on the future of theU.S. Navy and resulted in theconstruction of 40 Monitors by theend of the war. Eventually,Merrick and Sons’ NEWIRONSIDES emerged as theprototype of the modern day navyvessel.
Much of Smith’s most famous anddramatic work recorded thefrequent skirmishes with blockaderunners along U.S. waterways. Asa means of applying economicpressure on the South and attempt-ing to stop their trading withEurope, President Lincoln an-nounced the implementation of aUnion blockade in April 1861,which ran from Alexandria,Virginia, to the Rio Grande River.Confederate “runners” wereemployed to break through theUnion blockade and smugglegoods in and out of the South. Thetantalizing lure of immense profitsattracted men from all over theglobe to the dangerous job ofblockade running. As the Unionblockade became more efficient,the profits from blockade runningsoared, as did the increased risks.
Smith’s work also detailed theinternational aspects of the CivilWar. One of the most famousbattles in international waters hedepicted was that of U.S.S.KEARSARGE and C.S.S. ALA-BAMA on June 19, 1864. ALA-
BAMA had been traveling theglobe attacking northern merchantships and KEARSARGE had beensearching for her along thenorthern European coast to theCanaries, Madeira, and into theWestern Islands since March1863. The two finally met in thewaters off Cherbourg, France.ALABAMA opened fire first.KEARSARGE held steady andclosed the distance between thetwo ships to less than 1,000 yardsbefore opening fire. Within thehour, ALABAMA was forced tostrike her colors and admit defeat.She appealed for assistance fromKEARSARGE, which rescued themajority of her crew.
Throughout his life, Smith contin-ued to paint numerous Civil Warnaval battles, some of which wereunfamiliar to him. For theseparticular paintings he oftenconsulted with officers who hadparticipated in an attempt tomaintain historical accuracy. Hemaintained a studio on ChestnutStreet in Philadelphia, where hecontinued to paint as the lastsurviving artist with Civil Warservice until his death on Decem-ber 2, 1929. Smith’s legacycontinues today through hisnumerous paintings and sketches,significant not only because of thebold brush strokes and vibrantcolors used to bring them to life,but for his ability to captureimportant historical moments intime with an awe-inspiringaccuracy.h
10 Mariners Weather Log
Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale
Editor’s Note: The Saffir/SimpsonHurricane Scale was first pro-posed in 1971 by Robert Simpsonand Herbert Saffir, and is nowwidely used. This interview wasconducted in 1991.
“Hurricane Hugo is now a Cat-egory 4 on the Saffir/SimpsonScale…” We hear the expressionso often during the hurricaneseason, the “Saffir/SimpsonScale.” But where did it originateand who was the creator of it? Inthis exclusive interview, Dr.Robert Simpson gives us somebackground about the scale andhis personal feelings on the way ithas been used in the discussion ofhurricanes.
Space will not permit me to dojustice to the lengthy career of Dr.Robert Simpson. He and his wife,Dr. Joanne Simpson, are bothfellows of the American Meteoro-
logical Society. He is a formerdirector of the National HurricaneCenter (1967-1974) and is anaccomplished writer of tropicalmeteorological books and articles.In 1991 he was awarded the“Cleveland Abbe Award fordistinguished Service to Atmo-spheric Sciences by an Individual”for “pioneering work in stormresearch and for outstandingleadership in planning and imple-menting complex operationalprograms over a span of decades.”He now operates a consultingmeteorological firm in Char-lottesville, Virginia, called“Simpson Weather Associates,Inc.” Needless to say, Dr. Simpsonand his wife are truly among thepioneers in hurricane research.
DI: When did you first startworking with hurricanes, Dr.Simpson?
RS: I got interested in hurricanesever since I almost drowned in onein Corpus Christy (Texas) in 1919,but my first actual flight into ahurricane was in 1945. And then Iflew with the Air Force in theirearly reconnaissances from 1945through 1954 as a guest to getresearch data after they got theiroperational data. Based upon thatthen, when we were able to get themoney in 1954 to establish a full-time, around the year, research onhurricanes, I was asked to be thefirst director of it. We establishedthat at West Palm Beach, Florida.We had three planes dedicated toresearch there, and by the AirForce, but they only did ourhurricane research for us, wedidn’t get any operational infor-mation, just research. So that wasthe beginning of organized hurri-cane research itself. A lot of
Continued on Page 11
April 1999 11
Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale
people, both on the outside, inUniversities as well as from withinthe Weather Services and NOAA,participated in the research, bothon the data we got on the aircraft,and theoretical research.
DI: Dr. Simpson, why don’t yougive us a bit of background on thedevelopment of the Saffir/Simpson hurricane scale?
RS: The problem of evacuatingpeople and getting warnings outthat are understood and which willevoke a response in the peoplewho need to move has alwaysbeen a difficult one. When I firstcame down to the HurricaneCenter in 1967, I tried to come togrips with how we could do abetter job of communicating. Andthat’s very difficult; scientistscommunicate with each other veryeasily, but a scientist trying tocommunicate with a person who isa non-scientist on a technicalproblem is very difficult at times.
So it occurred to me if we couldfind some means of expressing thegradations of risks that peoplehave in a hurricane, it would helppeople like the American RedCross and the Emergency Manage-ment people to decide how best tomake their decisions and to dealwith the people they were respon-sible to. So I was talking to HerbSaffir (in 1968) about work that hehad been doing and had justcompleted for the United Nations.He had completed something inthe way of a summary of what youcould expect in the way of orna-
mental damage and basic damageto structures with winds of differ-ent strengths. I said this is prob-ably, put in a different suit ofclothing, exactly the type of thingwe need but we’ll have to add thestorm surge to it and a few otherthings. So I took on the job ofworking with him to get this thingput up in a new suit of clothingthat we could then distribute topeople, like the American RedCross, who have to providedisaster relief when it’s all over.
It was used that way for a coupleof years before I left the HurricaneCenter in 1974. Then the yearafter that when Neil Frank becamethe director, the pressure was puton him to distribute this to thepublic. I often felt that it was alittle bit premature to put the scaleout without perhaps improving it alittle bit, and at least educating thepeople as to what it meant a littlebit more. But politics and thesituation was such that whenpeople want something they wantsomething, they’re going to get itwhether they know how to use itor not. So, I think that through theyears it served a very goodpurpose for a lot of people. It’sbeen misinterpreted, misused in alot of places, but almost anydevice which is technical is. Andthe main difference in making it aequally useful thing to everybodyis education, and telling themwhat it amounts to.
The scale as devised, expresseswhat the extreme conditions canbe expected from a hurricane of acertain type and a certain category.It doesn’t mean that everyone that
a hurricane moves over, and theworst part of that hurricane, isgoing to receive that kind ofdamage or that kind of hazard. Inother words, it’s a study in prob-abilities—the probability of beinghurt. And why is that? It’s a greatbig storm, why isn’t there auniform amount of damage thatyou get? And if you’ve eversurveyed damage after a hurricaneyou know that one block of housesmay be almost totally destroyed,and two blocks to either side therewill be little damage at all.
It’s almost like a tornado. It’s not atornado, but what is happening isit’s not a uniform bowl of puddingthat’s circulating around here. It’ssomething that has lots of streaksin it, and the streaks are made bythe cumulus clouds that areembedded in this great big storm.And as these cumulus cloudscirculate around, they’re relativelysmall. Some of them are no morethan a couple of kilometers acrossand maybe four of five kilometerslong. That means that just a fewblocks to one side or to the otherside of where this cumulus cloudis providing the extreme wind, youhave much less than the extreme,and therefore get no damage at allthat’s comparable on either side ofit. So, there’s several problems.The problem is first, expressing tothe people who have to leave thatit’s a matter of probabilities, but ifthey don’t believe that they’regoing to be in the worst sector andreceive the worst damage orhazard, then they’re playingRussian Roulette. They have toassume the worst and act accord-
The Saffir/Simpson ScaleContinued from Page 10
Continued on Page 12
12 Mariners Weather Log
Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale
The Saffir/Simpson ScaleContinued from Page 11
ingly. Others are engineers whobrag about the fact that the houseor building that they engineeredreceived no damage, and anotherengineer whose building receiveda lot of damage tries to explainwhy it did, because he knows heengineered it right. There isn’t thatunderstanding, and it’s difficult tounderstand that it’s the differencein the hurricane, not the differencein the engineering that caused the
difference in the amount ofdamage received.
DI: Dr. Simpson, in your opinion,since the Saffir/Simpson scale isan open ended scale, do you thinkthat hurricane windspeeds couldbecome a category 6 or 7?
RS: I think it’s immaterial. Be-cause when you get up into windsin excess of 155 miles per houryou have enough damage if thatextreme wind sustains itself for asmuch as six seconds on a building
it’s going to cause rupturingdamages that are serious no matterhow well it’s engineered. It mayonly blow the windows out, but onthe other hand, it can actuallyrupture the stairwells, the elevatorwells and twist them, and it’shappened in many buildings sothat you can’t even use the eleva-tors after they’ve experienced this.So I think that it’s immaterial whatwill happen with winds strongerthan 156 miles per hour. That’s thereason why we didn’t try to go anyhigher than that anyway.h
Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale*
Category Definition/Likely Effects
ONE Winds 75-95 mph (65-82 kts): No real damage to building structures. Damageprimarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Also, some coastalflooding and minor pier damage.
TWO Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kts): Some roofing material, door, and window damageof buildings. Considerable damage to vegetation, mobile homes, etc. Floodingdamages piers and small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings.
THREE Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kts): Some structural damage to small residences andutility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Mobile homes aredestroyed. Flooding near the coast destroys small structures with larger structuresdamaged by floating debris. Terrain may be flooded well inland.
FOUR Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kts): More extensive curtainwall failures with somecomplete roof structure failure on small residences. Major erosion of beach areas.Terrain may be flooded well inland.
FIVE Winds greater than 155 mph (greater than 135 kts): Complete roof failure onmany residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures withsmall utility buildings blown over or away. Flooding causes major damage to lowerfloors of all structures near the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areasmay be required.
NOTE: A “major” hurricane is one that is classified as a Category 3 or higher.
* In operational use, the scale corresponds to the one-minute average sustained wind speed as opposed to gusts which could be 20 percent higher or more.
April 1999 13
AMVER
Introducing�
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• AMVER information is protected and released only to search and rescue authorities, and only in abonafide emergency.
• AMVER award eligibility after 128 days on plot in a year: blue pennant for 1-5 years, gold pennant for6-10 years, purple pennant for over 10 years, plaque at 15 years, engraved pewter plate at 20 years.
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14 Mariners Weather Log
AMVER
Ap
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AM
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GMDSS Operating Guidance for Masters of Ships in Distress Situations
16 Mariners Weather Log
AMVER
April 1999 17
Physical Oceanography
Dr. Parker is Chief of the CoastSurvey Development Laboratoryin the National Ocean Service,NOAA.
Nothing embodies thedrama of the sea morethan waves. To the
average person, the images evokedare probably those of huge wavescrashing onto a beach during astorm. To the recreational boater,it may be remembering the jarringrhythm of the boat’s bow bangingdown onto the next set of wavecrests and the resulting spray asyou headed for the comfort anddryness of the dock. To themariner, it may be the memory oftons of water crashing onto thedeck of the cargo ship, andperhaps of fear as the captain kept
How Does the Wind Generate Waves?
Bruce Parker
changing course and speed in aneffort to keep the vessel in aposition where a huge wave couldnot turn it over or break it in two.
Though it has always been obvi-ous that waves were caused by thewind, it may be surprising to learnthat we still do not completelyunderstand how the wind blowingover a smooth flat water surfacecan generate waves and how thesewaves can sometimes grow toheights of 50 or even 100 feet.When oceanographers say some-thing is “not completely under-stood,” what they really mean isthat they don’t yet have a reliablemathematical model that canaccurately predict what willhappen in the real world for allconditions. Even when a math-
ematical model does work well, itmay not be easy to translate themathematics of the model intophysical terms that are easilydescribed and understood. Thatbeing said, in this column we willtry to explain how the windgenerates waves, hopefully inphysical terms that make sense.
Let’s start with the most basicidea, i.e., the idea of a wave. Inprevious columns we have talkedabout an oscillation, such as apendulum oscillating back andforth. A wave is merely an oscilla-tion that does not stay in oneplace, but moves along or throughsome medium—for example,along a string, through the air, or
Continued on Page 18
18 Mariners Weather Log
Physical Oceanography
along the water’s surface (thereare many kinds of waves innature). If a taut string is plucked,and a point on that string movesup and down, that point is oscillat-ing, but if the up and down motionmoves along the string away fromthe point where it was plucked,that is a wave.
For an oscillation or a wave tooccur there must be a motionlessat-rest position where all theforces are in balance (in equilib-rium), and, when we upset thisbalance, there must be a restoringforce that will try to bring it backto the equilibrium position.Suppose we have a ball attachedto a string hanging motionless(i.e., a pendulum). We hit the ball
to the left, and its inertia carriesthe ball further to the left and thestring forces it to move upwardagainst the force of gravity(Figure 1). Gravity, the restoringforce, eventually slows the balldown until it stops at the maxi-mum height of its swing, and thenpulls it downward again. The ballmoves back to the right toward theoriginal point of equilibrium (thepoint where it was when originallymotionless). However, with littlefriction to stop it, the ball’s inertiacarries it right past this equilib-rium point, moving to the rightand once again upward against theforce of gravity, which againslows it down and pulls it downand back to the left. Because thereis very little friction in this system(mostly the friction of the air onthe ball moving through it), theball comes to a complete stop at
the equilibrium position only aftermany oscillations.
Water sitting in a tank (or in anocean basin) with no externalforces pushing on its surface, willalso be in an equilibrium position,i.e., motionless with a flat surface.If something moves the wateraway from this flat equilibriumposition, there are two restoringforces that will work to make thewater surface flat again: surfacetension and gravity. If only a verysmall part of the water surface(less than an inch) is bent (andstretched), then it will be flattenedout again by the water’s surfacetension (due to the attraction ofthe water molecules for eachother). If a larger portion of thewater surface is bent, and aportion of water is moved verti-cally above the equilibrium level(above the original flat surface),gravity will pull the water backdown. If the water is pushed downbelow the equilibrium level,causing a depression in thesurface, then water pressure willforce it back up. This waterpressure is due to the gravitypulling down on the water aroundthe depression. In all these cases,once the water starts moving backtoward the equilibrium position,the inertia of the water will carrythe surface past the equilibriumlevel, there being little friction toslow it down right away.
But in this case, the water surfacedoes not just go up and down atthat one location. This up and
How Wind Generates WavesContinued from page 17
Figure 1. A simple oscillating pendulum. See text for explanation. Continued on Page 19
April 1999 19
Physical Oceanography
down motion of the surfacepropagates as a wave away fromthat location. The reason thechange in shape of the watersurface (i.e., the wave) movesalong the water surface away fromthe location where the originaldisturbance took place, is thatwater particles were also pushedhorizontally, in addition to verti-cally, forward and then backward.Individual water particles oscillateabout their own equilibriumpositions. As they interact withtheir neighboring particles theytransfer some energy to them.Those particles in turn interactwith other neighboring particlesand transfer energy to them, andso on (Figure 2). In fact, thesewater particles actually oscillate intwo dimensions, moving in(almost) perfect vertical circles(usually referred to as particleorbits). After a complete cycle ofthe wave, each particle comesback to (almost) where it startedone cycle earlier. This is clearwhen a float is on the watersurface. When a wave goes by, thefloat moves forward as it movesupward, and then it moves back-ward as it moves downward. Onealso notes in Figure 2 that thewave has an effect on the watercolumn below it. The circularparticle orbits become smaller asone goes deeper, disappearing at alocation of no wave motion at adepth equal to approximately halfthe wavelength. (If the water is tooshallow for a location of no wavemotion to occur, this shallow-water wave will have elliptical
particle orbits, as well as otherdifferent characteristics, which wewill look at in a later PhysicalOceanography column.)
A key point to remember is that itis the shape of the water surface(and the energy) that is propagat-ing away, not the water particlesthemselves. [“(almost)” was usedtwice in the previous paragraphbecause, to be very precise, thereis a very, very small transport ofwater forward with each wavecycle, but this is insignificantlysmall compared with the speed ofthe propagating shape of thesurface.]
At this point we should definesome terms related to waves(some of which you probably havealready seen before), which areillustrated in Figure 3. Note,however, that the wave shown inFigure 3 is an idealized wave (orone component making up awave). The highest point that thewater surface reaches is the crestof the wave; the lowest point isthe trough. The difference fromtrough to crest is the wave height.The distance from one crest to thenext crest, or from one trough tothe next trough, is the wavelength.
How Wind Generates WavesContinued from page 18
Continued on Page 20
Figure 2. A simple propagating water wave with the water particle orbitsshown.
Figure 3. Terms describing a simple water wave. The wave period is thetime is takes for one complete wave cycle to pass by a point.
20 Mariners Weather Log
Physical Oceanography
How Wind Generates WavesContinued from Page 19
As the wave propagates by apoint, the time it takes one wavecycle to pass by that point (i.e., thetime it takes between the first crestpassing the point and the secondcrest passing that point) is calledthe wave period. The inverse ofthe period is the frequency of thewave, i.e. how many cycles of thiswave pass by in a second. Thespeed at which a wave travels, itswave speed or celerity, is equal toits wavelength divided by thewave period. This is differentfrom, and much greater than, thespeed of individual water par-ticles.
So how does the wind generatewaves and make them grow? It’sobvious how the wind pushes onthe sails of a sailboat. But whatcan the wind do to a glassy-calmflat sea surface? How can thewind move the water surface andchange its shape? There are twopossible ways. The first is throughthe friction of the horizontally-flowing air particles in the windrubbing against the water particlesin the water surface (this windstress is a force tangential to thesurface). However, when the windblows over any surface, includingwater, the movement of the airparticles is not simply parallel tothe surface. The flow of air isturbulent, meaning that there areswirling eddies of various sizesand thus chaotic vertical move-ments of the air particles (whichproduce a force perpendicular tothe water surface). The secondway that the air can move the
water surface is through thevertical pressure of the air par-ticles, either moving downward(pushing on and lowering thewater surface) or moving upward(creating a reduced pressure thatlifts the water surface). Thequestion then is what role doeseither the frictional stress or thepressure (or both) play, first ingenerating waves and second inmaking them grow?
When the wind speed is low (lessthan a few knots) over a flat watersurface, the air flow is less turbu-lent and has only very smalleddies. As a result of the verticalmotion from these small eddies(less than an inch in size), thereare increased pressures pushingthe water down in some placesand decreased pressures, allowingthe water to rise in other places.Surface tension provides therestoring force for the resultingcapillary waves or ripples (alsocalled “cat’s paws,” especiallywhen momentarily propagatingacross the water surface during alight wind gust) . These very smallwaves disappear almost immedi-ately when the wind stops. Whilethey exist, however, they addroughness to the water’s surfacethat allows the wind to have agreater effect.
For higher wind speeds, which areaccompanied by larger eddies andlarger pressure pulses, the eleva-tions and depressions on the watersurface are large enough forgravity to be the restoring force.The gravity waves do not disap-pear as quickly as the capillarywaves. However, the key to the
generation of significant wavesseems to be a resonant mechanismbetween the pressure pulses in thewind and the underlying gravitywaves. This resonance occurswhen the water waves propagateat the same speed as the windcomponent in the direction ofwave propagation. When thishappens, the wind can keepimparting energy to the wavesbecause the wind pressure isgreatest at the wave troughs(pushing down on the watersurface at the same time as whenthe wave is already movingdownward) and least at the wavecrests (pulling up on the watersurface at the same time as whenthe wave is already movingupward). When the vertical windparticle oscillations are in phasewith the vertical water particleoscillations, more energy goesfrom the wind to the waves, andthe waves grow.
Once the water surface hasbecome wavy, this wavy surfacehas an effect on the wind field,which leads to further wavegrowth. This is because now thewind has something it can pushforward, applying pressure to thewave’s backside (windward side)and giving the wave more energy.In addition, the wave has a shel-tering effect which allows theformation of an eddy in the air onits leeward side (the front side)(see Figure 4). This eddy results inreduced pressure on the leewardside, that helps the wave grow.(On both sides of the wave there isalso an upward tangential wind
Continued on Page 21
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Physical Oceanography
Continued on Page 22
stress effect on the surface). Aswaves get larger, there is morewindward surface for the wind topush on and also larger leewardeddies, and a feedback mechanismresults which can make the wavesgrow quickly.
While the wind is still blowingand the waves are still growing,three factors determine how largethe waves can grow. The greaterthe wind speed, the longer thewind blows (its duration), and thelonger the length of water it blowsover (the fetch), the greater theheight of the waves will be. Whenthe waves have gotten as large asthey can for a particular windspeed, duration, and fetch, it isreferred to as a fully developedsea. When the waves reach asteepness where the wave height isapproximately 1/7th of the wave-length, they become unstable and
begin to break (producing whitecaps).
A description of wave generationis complex because many differentwaves are produced at the sametime by the wind (especially in astorm) with many differentwavelengths and periods, travelingin many different directions. Atany one location at any givenmoment, the wavy surface will bea combination of all the wavespassing by that location at thatmoment. Thus, the surface over anarea looks very irregular (called aconfused sea) and changes con-tinuously, so much so that onecannot even pick one wave crestand follow its movement for anydistance, because at some point itwill disappear (at the point wherethe wave components at thatmoment happen to cancel eachother out, instead of addingtogether). When many waves withdifferent wavelengths add together
positively, the steepness easily canincrease beyond 1/7 and causewhite caps. The irregular, ever-changing water surface makes itdifficult to determine visually theaverage wave height of a confusedsea, and the visually reportedvalue (when compared to instru-ment measurements) usually turnsout to be the average of thehighest one-third of the waves(which has become a standardwave term called the significantwave height). The irregularsurface is the reason why waveforecast models must deal withcomplex statistics. The easiestway for an oceanographer todescribe all the waves in an areaof the sea is in terms of its spec-trum, which is merely a way ofgraphically showing how muchenergy there is at different waveperiods (or, at different frequen-cies).
Figure 4. The effect of a wavy surface on the air flow and the further growth of the waves. See text forexplanation.
How Wind Generates WavesContinued from Page 20
22 Mariners Weather Log
Physical Oceanography
When waves propagate away fromthe storm (or when the storm diesout) the situation changes. Whenthe wind was still blowing thewaves were forced waves, mean-ing that energy was still beingimparted to them by the wind.When the wind stops, these wavescontinue to propagate as freewaves called swell. Swell is madeup of longer, lower, rounderwaves. This is because the variouscomponent waves of differentwavelengths no longer staytogether. In deep water the wavepropagation speed depends onlyon the wavelength of the wave.Thus, waves with longer wave-lengths travel faster than waveswith shorter wavelengths, andtherefore the waves tend to sortthemselves out, the longer wavesleaving the shorter waves behind.This is called dispersion. A distantstorm at sea first makes its pres-ence known by the long-wave-length swell coming from thatdirection. As swell travels, theshorter wavelength waves tend todecrease their wave heights muchsooner than do the longer wave-length waves. In addition, thelonger waves slowly increase inwavelength and period as theytravel. Because of the very littlefrictional dissipation involved,these long, low, and roundedwaves can travel hundreds andeven thousands of miles over theocean’s surface (or until they hit acoast).
What does it take for a wave toreach 50 feet in height or theoccasionally reported 100 feet inheight? Winds blowing at Beau-fort force 8 (34-40 knots) for acouple of days over a fetch of 500nautical miles can produce waveswith significant wave heights of25 feet and occasional 50-footwaves. Those numbers aredoubled in Beaufort force 11 (56-66 knots) winds. A storm movingfairly fast can continue to impartenergy to waves that are movingin the same direction as the storm,producing larger waves. A verylarge wave can result when twolarge waves happen to meet at thesame location and be in phase(i.e., their crests come together atthe same place). For smallerwaves this happens fairly often,and a wave about twice the size ofthe significant wave height canshow up about every 80 waves.But this can also occasionallyhappen when two large waveshappen to meet. This can easilyhappen in a storm situation, but onrare occasions it may happen farfrom a storm (the resulting hugewave being referred to as a freakwave or a rogue wave). Anothercommon cause of very high wavesis when large waves propagateagainst a strong ocean current.This interaction is not a simpleone to explain (without themathematics), but it results inwaves with shorter wavelengthsand greater heights. If the currenthappens to have warm water(traveling under cooler air), theatmospheric instability that thiscauses increases the strength ofthe wind stress and the turbulence,
allowing even more energy to beimparted from the wind to thewaves.
Some of the largest waves in theworld (occasionally reaching 100feet) occur off the southeast coastof Africa and involve several ofthe mechanisms just mentioned.First, this area borders on theSouthern Ocean, the only area ofunlimited fetch in the world, sinceit encircles Antarctica. Extra-tropical cyclones with strongwinds travel from west to east,moving in the direction of some ofthe waves they produce. Stormsoff the southeast coast of Africacan produce large waves and thesewill be combined with swellreaching this area from all parts ofthe vast reaches of the SouthernOcean. The final amplification ofthese waves occurs when theypropagate into and against theAghulhas Current, which flowssoutheastward at approximately 5knots. In addition, the AghulhasCurrent is a warm current, so it ispossible that the instability of thecooler air over these warm watersalso increases the transfer ofenergy from the wind to thewaves. (Personal accounts of thehuge waves observed in this andother areas of the world can befound in the special Fall 1993issue of Mariners Weather Log).
Finally, when waves propagateinto shallow water they alsoincrease in height, but we willsave this discussion for anothercolumn since there are a greatmany things to say about waves inshallow water.h
How Wind Generates WavesContinued from Page 21
April 1999 23
National Data Buoy Center
Continued on Page 24
Sea lions are smart. They’recute. But, they sure can be aproblem for the National
Data Buoy Center (NDBC).NDBC installs, operates, andmaintains weather buoys andcoastal meteorological stations forthe National Weather Service(NWS) along and offshore theU.S. coasts. It is off the northwestcoast where sea lions have beenthe source, directly and indirectly,of some considerable problems.
All of NDBC’s 23 Pacific coastbuoy stations are in the range ofZalophus CalifornianusCalifornianus, the sea lion foundin U.S. waters, but it is the stationsthat are nearshore, off northernCalifornia, Oregon, and Washing-
Evicting Sea Lions
J. Michael HemsleyKathleen C. O’NeilLTJG Lee H. Allison, USCGNational Data Buoy CenterStennis Space Center, MS 39529-6000
ton that are most often the “tar-gets” of sea lions. Sea lions arevery social animals that congre-gate in colonies on rocky andsandy beaches of coastal islandsand mainland shorelines. At sea,they travel together in “rafts.” Inrecent years, the sea lion popula-tion has seemed to increase,possibly the result of passage of aFederal law protecting marinemammals.
NDBC’s problems with sea lionsstems from their interest inbasking in the sunshine. Buoysprovide a great sunning spot for asea lion that has been foraging forfood in the chilly Pacific, soNDBC technicians have oftenfound buoys with sea lions piled
high. In one instance, a sea lionwas perched high off the deck,nearly 6 feet from the water, in theupper structure of the buoy (seeFigure 1). It is this penchant forsunning themselves on NDBCbuoys that has caused someproblems and led NDBC person-nel to learn much more aboutthese beasts.
At first, the problems associatedwith sea lions were mostly causedby people. Although it is illegal tokill sea lions, they are sometimesseen as one cause of the depletionof some valuable fish stocks. Theresulting dislike for sea lions can
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be so intense that some peoplewill shoot at the animals whilethey are on buoys. Most of thebuoys have aluminum hulls, so itis easy for a rifle bullet to pen-etrate the hull or to damage thesensors and electronics on thebuoys. NDBC’s response to thiskind of damage has been toinitiate a public informationcampaign among boaters on thewest coast, emphasizing the valueof the data to the marine commu-nity and the damage that shootingat buoys can cause.
Another problem that was dealtwith effectively was a concern thatwave data being reported was notaccurate because of buoy motionsassociated with sea lions gettingon and off the buoys. With a dozen
or more sea lions,each weighing up toor more than 1,000pounds and poten-tially over eight feetlong, it seemed to bea legitimate con-cern. However,analysis of the wavedata indicated thatthe statisticaltechniques beingused on the data set,collected overnearly 20 minutes,removed the un-wanted signalassociated with sealion arrivals anddepartures. Butthere were more
serious concernsabout sea lions andbuoys. Althoughthey are very socialamong themselves,they are also veryterritorial andaggressive. Typi-cally, a service visitto a buoy beginswith the crew of theU.S. Coast Guardcutter using firehoses to get theanimals off thebuoy. Once free ofsea lions, the NDBCtechnicians boardthe buoy and dotheir work. On morethan one occasion,sea lions havejoined the techni-cian on the buoy(see Figure 2) and
Evicting Sea LionsContinued from Page 23
made it clear that they objected tothe human presence. On anotheroccasion, a sea lion jumped intothe launch being used to take thetechnician to the buoy. Sea lionscan be very big, and they havestrong jaws that can crush bones.Since they are wild animals, Mr.Timothy Hoffland, a seal and sealion trainer at Marine Life Ocean-arium in Gulfport, Mississippi,recommended staying 100 yardsaway from them, a difficultproposition to make work on abuoy deck only ten feet across.
Possibly bored while sunningthemselves, sea lions occupythemselves by chewing on what-
Figure 1. “Hi Mom!” How did he get up there?
Figure 2. Treed! Technician Kenny MacDonaldand an uninvited assistant.
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National Data Buoy Center
ever is handy. This causes loss ofdata from external sensors andloss of solar power when cablescan be reached by the animals.Since the cables have to be runthrough a circuitous route fromsensors or solar panels to theelectronics inside the buoy, it isimpossible to completely protectthem from bored, or hungry, sealions.
Finally, NDBC discovered that sealions were possibly responsible forwater intrusion into the buoys. Forsome time, NDBC had struggledwith water intrusion. When toomuch sea water gets into the buoy,it drowns the batteries, creating acorrosive slush that destroys thealuminum hull and producesexplosive hydrogen gas. It wasclear that the intrusion was oftenthe result of water entering thehatch access on the buoy deck.Dog bolts, which are intended toseal the hatch cover, were often
Figure 3. A raft of sea lions playing “king of the buoy.”
found loose. Vandalism wasthought to be the cause, but sealions were the real culprits. Withenough sea lions stacked on thehatch, the hatch gasket wascompressed to the point that thedog bolts came loose, allowingwater to get into the buoy. Thatsame pile of sea lions can alsocause a loss of freeboard, some-times leaving the deck awash andwater entering the loose hatch (seeFigure 3).
Mr. Hoffland taught NDBCpersonnel much about sea lions.They can jump eight feet out ofthe water and can climb fairlywell. When they climb, they standon their hind flippers and jump tothe top of a fence or wall. Then,using their front flippers, theyhoist themselves over the obstacle.Knowing these things helped inthe design of a “sea lion fence.” Itwas necessary to keep the beastsoff the buoys, but at the same timeto allow access by technicians.The fence was designed to preventthe sea lion from getting onto the
deck by jumping or climbing. Itwas a simple design, one that usedaluminum pipes to create the fencefrom the deck to the upper struc-ture.
The first buoy with a fence wasinstalled at station 46050, offshoreof Newport, Oregon. As soon asthe buoy was installed and thecutter withdrew, a sea lion arrivedto check out the buoy and seemedquite disappointed that no waywas open to get onto his usualsunning spot. Several trips past thebuoy have confirmed that no sealions have been on the buoy, nor isthere an indication that they havehad any success on getting pastthe fence. Nine other buoys arebeing prepared with sea lionfences because of this apparentsuccess. It seems likely that theproblems associated with sea lionsand their love of buoys have beensolved. All NDBC can hope is thatsea lions never learn to use acutting torch. It’s been said thatthey have nothing but time ontheir flippers!h
Evicting Sea LionsContinued from Page 24
26 Mariners Weather Log
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Continued on Page 27
In December 1998, the International Maritime Organization(IMO), a Specialized Agency
of the United Nations that ad-dresses international shippingissues, unanimously approved aU.S. proposal to establish amandatory ship reporting systemto reduce ship strikes of the highlyendangered North Atlantic rightwhale. Starting in July 1999, allcommercial ships of 300 grosstons and greater will be requiredto report to a shore-based stationwhen entering two right whaleaggregation areas. This measure,in conjunction with other mea-sures being taken by the UnitedStates, is an important attempt tohelp recover the species.
There are only about 300 rightwhales remaining in the NorthAtlantic. Ship strikes kill more
The Endangered Right Whales�
Reducing the Threat of Ship Strikes with Mandatory Ship Reporting
Lindy S. JohnsonGregory K. SilberOffice of Protected ResourcesNational Marine Fisheries ServiceSilver Spring, Maryland
right whales than any other sourceof human-related mortality. Bestestimates indicate that an averageof about two deaths or seriousinjuries per year result fromcollisions with ships, and since1991, about one-half of all re-corded right whale deaths havebeen attributed to ship strikes.This may represent only a fractionof the total number of whaleskilled by ships, as many deathsmay go undetected if whales driftout to sea.
Although other large whalespecies may also be hit by ships,the behavior of right whalesmakes them particularly vulner-able to ship strikes. Right whaleslive close to shore, and in areas inor adjacent to major shippinglanes. Their feeding and calvingareas, and migratory corridors are
crossed by international shippingroutes. Right whales spend muchof their time at the surface,feeding, resting, mating, andnursing.
Calves are particularly vulnerablebecause they spend most of theirtime at the surface due to theirundeveloped diving capabilities.Right whales appear to be un-aware of approaching ships andapparently make little effort toavoid them. Thus, mariners cannotassume that whales will move outof their path. Mariners may havedifficulty in seeing right whalesbecause of their dark color andlow profile in the water.
Recognizing that ship strikes arelikely a major impediment to right
April 1999 27
National Marine Fisheries Service
whale recovery, the NationalOceanic and Atmospheric Admin-istration (NOAA) initiated aprogram aimed at reducing thelikelihood of such occurrences.Much of the program is aimed atincreasing mariner’s awareness ofthe severity of the problem andseeking their input and assistancein minimizing the threat of shipstrikes. One cornerstone of theprogram is the mandatory shipreporting system. The concept anddesign of the system was initiatedby NOAA, the National MarineFisheries Service (NMFS), and theU.S. Coast Guard (USCG), withsignificant input from the Interna-tional Fund for Animal Welfareand the Marine Mammal Commis-sion. The system has receivedstrong backing from CongressmenWilliam Delahunt (D-MA) andWayne Gilchrest (R-MD).
The requirement for mandatoryship reporting is found in theSafety of Life at Sea Convention,Chapter V, regulation 8-1. Sevenmandatory reporting systems existworld-wide. A reporting systemfor the Dover Straits/Pas de Calaiswas approved by IMO at the sametime as the system proposed by theUnited States. The effective datefor both of these systems wasJuly 1, 1999.
The U.S. reporting system re-quires that commercial ships of300 gross tons and greater reportto a shore-based station when theyenter two areas off the east coastof the United States: one off
Massachusetts and one off Geor-gia and Florida (see charts onpages 28 and 29). The reportingsystem in the area off Massachu-setts will operate year round whilethe one off Georgia and Floridawill operate each year fromNovember 15 to April 15, whichcorresponds with periods of rightwhale occurrence.
Ships will be required to reporttheir course, speed, location,destination, and route. In return,ships will receive an automatedmessage indicating that the ship isentering an area critical for rightwhales, that whales are likely tobe in the area, and that ship strikesare a serious threat to whales andmay cause damage to the ship.The message will also indicate tomariners where they can receivethe most recent information onright whale locations, and ifpossible and when available,recent sighting information will beprovided in the return message.The system requires reportingonly and will affect no otheraspect of vessel operations; therewill be no cost to the mariner.
The return message will alsocontain advice on precautionarymeasures mariners may take toreduce the possibility of hittingright whales (see page 31). Forexample, mariners will be advisedto refer to navigational publica-tions such as the U.S. Coast Pilot,Sailing Directions, and nauticalcharts for information on relevantregulations, and the boundaries ofthe Gerry E. Studds StellwagenBank National Marine Sanctuary
and right whale critical habitats.They will be advised to obtaininformation about the location ofwhales in their vicinity by moni-toring various broadcast media,including the USCG’s Broadcaststo Mariners, satellite-linkedmarine safety broadcasts, andNOAA Weather Radio. Rightwhale location information isobtained from aircraft surveyssupported by the U.S. Navy,USCG, Army Corps of Engineers,NMFS, and the states of Massa-chusetts, Georgia, and Florida. Inaddition, mariners will further beadvised that information placards,videos, and other educationalmaterials are available fromshipping agents, port authorities,relevant state agencies, the USCG,and NMFS.
Contact with the shore station willbe transmitted via INMARSAT, asatellite-based, ship-to-shorecommunication system. Ships notequipped with INMARSAT shouldcontact the USCG by VHF radio,which will in turn provide thereturn message described above.Specific reporting instructions willbe provided by the USCG beforethe system is implemented.
Collectively, the reports will yielddata on ship number and routes inright whale habitat which will beuseful in identifying possiblefurther measures to reduce ship/whale interactions. The entireprogram will be reviewed in threeto five years to assess its effective-ness.
Continued on Page 30
Endangered Right WhalesContinued from Page 26
28 Mariners Weather Log
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30 Mariners Weather Log
National Marine Fisheries Service
Endangered Right WalesContinued from Page 27
NMFS has taken a number ofother steps in addition to themandatory ship reporting systemto reduce ship strikes of rightwhales. For example, in 1994,NMFS designated three rightwhale feeding and nursery areasalong the U.S. east coast as“critical habitats.” Other areasimportant to right whale protec-tion have been established by theUnited States and Canada, includ-ing Stellwagen Bank NationalMarine Sanctuary off Massachu-setts and a whale conservationarea in the Bay of Fundy, Canada.In 1997, NMFS issued regulationsrequiring vessels and aircraft tostay a minimum 500 yards (460m) from right whales.
In the northeastern and southeast-ern United States, NMFS estab-
lished teams composed of repre-sentatives of government agencies,the maritime industry, and thescientific community tocoordinate right whale protectivemeasures. Among other things,these teams have coordinatedthe right whale aircraft surveyprograms. Surveys are conductedoff the southeastern UnitedStates from December to March(the peak calving period), andwhale sightings are broadcast toall vessels in the area by the U.S.Navy. In the northeastern UnitedStates, whale advisoriesand sightings are broadcastperiodically by NMFS, and mapsof right whale sightings are postedon the Internet by the Massachu-setts Office of EnvironmentalAffairs and NMFS (http://whale.wheelock.edu). With significantinput and advice from the Interna-tional Fund for Animal Welfare,the regional recovery teams, and
the Marine Mammal Commission,NOAA and NMFS staff areensuring that information on rightwhales in relevant navigationalpublications is timely and accu-rate.
These steps, including the estab-lishment of the mandatory shipreporting system, are attempts toaddress the serious threat posed byships to the very survival of theNorth Atlantic right whale.Although none of these stepsalone can ensure survival, thismosaic of protective measures willassist in reducing ship strikes.Efforts to further increase protec-tion of this species will requirecontinued close cooperationbetween the maritime community,environmental groups, and gov-ernment entities.h
Whale carried on the bow of a shipafter it was struck and killed. Shipstrikes are more common amongright whales than for other whalespecies.
A dead whale stranded on the beach. The deep lacerations, from a ship’spropeller, killed this whale.
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National Marine Fisheries Service
When transiting right whale critical habitat:
• As soon as possible prior to entering right whale critical habitat, check U.S. Coast Guard Broadcast Notice to Mariners,NAVTEX, NOAA Weather Radio, Cape Cod Canal Vessel Traffic Control, the Bay of Fundy Vessel Traffic Control, and othersources for recent right whale sighting reports.
• When entering ports on the U.S. east coast, refer to Coast Pilot and Notice to Mariners, review right whale identification materialdescribed in those documents, and maintain a sharp watch with lookouts familiar with spotting whales. Ask port officials, portpilots, and Coast Guard officers for additional information on right whales.
• When planning passage through right whale critical habitat, attempt to avoid night-time transits, and whenever practical,minimize travel distances through the area. Anticipate delays due to whale sightings.
• When the ability to spot whales is reduced (e.g. night, fog, rain, etc.), mariners should bear in mind that reduced speed mayminimize the risk of ship strikes.
In all coastal and offshore waters along the east coast of the U.S. and Canada:
• If a right whale sighting is reported within 20 nautical miles of a ship’s position, post a lookout familiar with spotting whales.
• If a right whale is sighted from the ship, or reported along the intended track of a large vessel, mariners should exercise cautionand proceed at a slow, safe speed when within a few miles of the sighting location, bearing in mind that reduced speed mayminimize the risk of ship strikes.
• Do not assume right whales will move out of your way. Right whales, generally slow moving, seldom travel faster than 5-6 knots.Consistent with safe navigation, maneuver around observed right whales or recently reported sighting locations. It is illegal toapproach closer than 500 yards of any right whale (see 50 CFR 222.32, Chapter 2).
• Any whale accidentally struck, any dead whale carcass spotted, and any whale observed entangled in fishing gear should bereported immediately to the U.S. or Canadian Coast Guard noting the precise location and time of the accident or sighting.
In the event of a strike or sighting, the following information should be provided to the U.S. CoastGuard:
• Location and time of the accident or sighting. • Wind speed and direction.• Speed of the vessel. • Description of the impact.• Size of the vessel. • Fate of the animal, if known.• Water depth. • Species and size, if known.
Right whales can occur anywhere along the east coast of the U.S. and Canada. Mariners are urged to exercise prudent seamanship intheir efforts to avoid right whales.
For more information, contact:
National Marine Fisheries ServiceNortheast RegionOne Blackburn DriveGloucester, MA 01930-2289
Lindy Johnson works in NOAA’s Office of General Counsel, International Affairs; Gregory Silber is the Coordinator of Large WhaleRecovery Activities for the Office of Protected Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service.
Steps Mariners Can Take To Avoid Collisions with CriticallyEndangered Right Whales
32 Mariners Weather Log
National Marine Fisheries Service
Method of Reporting
Vessels transiting MSR reporting areas are required to report their course, speed, position, destination, and route to the U.S. CoastGuard upon entry into the reporting area. Vessels should report via INMARSAT-C or other satelite communications to one of thefollowing addresses:
Vessels unable to use satellite communications should contact the U.S. Coast Guard Communication Area Master Station ChesapeakeVA via published voice or SITOR/NBDP frequencies. See page 66 of this issue for details.
Reporting Instructions
Vessels shall make reports in accordance with the format in IMO Resolution A.648(16) General Principles for Ship Reporting Systemsand Ship Reporting Requirements. Vessels shall report the following information:
Paragraph Function Information RequiredSystem name System identifier Ship reporting system name (whalesnorth or whalessouth). A Ship Vessel name and call sign. B Date, time, and month of report Six digit group giving day of month and time, single letter
indicating time zone, and three letters indicating month. E True course 3-digit number indicating true course. F Speed in knots and tenths 3-digit group indicating knots and tenths. H Date, time, and point of entry into Date and time expressed as in (B) and latitude and longitude
system expressed as a four digit group giving latitude, the letter Nindicating north, followed by a / , a five digit group ginvinglongitude, and the letter W indicating west.
I Destination and ETA Name of port and arrival time expressed as in (B). L Route information Route information should be reported as direct rhumbline to port
(RL) and intended speed or a series of way points (WP).Vessels reporting waypoints should include latitude andlongitude, expressed as in (H), and intended speed betweenwaypoints. For vessels transiting within a traffic separationscheme (TSS), give only the WP on entry and departure of TSS.
Example Reports
WHALESNORTH WHALESSOUTH
TO: [email protected] TO: [email protected]// WHALESSOUTH//A/CALYPSO/NRUS// A/BEAGLE/NVES//B/031401Z APR// B/270810Z MAR//E/345// E/250//F/15.5// F/17.0//H/031410Z APR/4104N/06918W// H/270810Z MAR/3030N/08052W//I/BOSTON/032345Z APR// I/MAYPORT/271215Z MAR//L/WP/4104N/06918W/15.5// L/RL/17.0//L/WP/4210N/06952W/15.5//L/WP/4230N/07006W/15.5//
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Marine Weather Review
The main track of lowpressure centers in Augustwas from Labrador east or
northeast, with some developinggale force winds (34 kt), and re-forming east of Greenland. Onelow developed storm force winds(48 kt) briefly on August 11. Inlate August, and especially inSeptember, tropical activity pickedup. Otherwise in September andbeyond, an upper low over theGreenland-Iceland area increas-ingly imparted energy to lowsmoving off the U.S. east coast andCanadian Maritimes, with thelows frequently developing stormwinds. An exception to this was
Marine Weather ReviewNorth Atlantic AreaAugust through November 1998
George BancroftMeteorologistMarine Prediction Center
the building of an upper ridge overthe central Atlantic in the middleof September which directed lowsnorth from near Newfoundlandthen northwest to the west ofGreenland. This allowed thetropics to become active, with upto four hurricanes in existence inthe Atlantic basin simultaneouslyon September 25, the first timeever.
Tropical Activity
Hurricanes Bonnie and Daniellerecurved through the mid-Atlanticoffshore waters late in August and
early September. They are worthyof mention here outside theTropical Prediction Center’s(TPC’s) column because theybecame significant extratropicalstorms. Tropical cyclones thatrecurve and accelerate into themiddle latitudes while becomingextratropical can be very danger-ous since they may travel at thesame speed as the swell that theygenerate, building the wind waveson top of the swell, generatingextreme wave heights. Figure 1 isa surface analysis showing Bonnie
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Figure 1. Surface analysis for 18Z 29 August 1998 and a visible GOES-8 satellite image valid at 1615Z 29 August 1998showing Tropical Storm Bonnie becoming extratropical.
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Figure 2. Surface analysis valid 18Z November 8 and a METEOSAT7 infrared image showingformer Tropical Storm Mitch as an intense extratropical storm off Great Britain.
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Figure 3. A three-panel display of surface analysis charts and corresponding 500 millibar analysis charts valid at(1) 12Z November 25, (2) 12Z November 26, and (3) 12Z November 27, 1998, depicting the rapid development of aNorth Atlantic storm.
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about to merge with a polar frontand become extratropical, andHurricane Danielle to the southand beginning to recurve. Thevisible satellite picture showsBonnie near the analysis timebecoming more sheared, with thestrong convection mainly east ofthe center prior to it becomingextratropical. The storm wasaccelerating at that time andbecame extratropical 24 hourslater. At 00Z August 30, the centerpassed over the Canadian buoy44142 (42.5N 64.0W) withpressure down to 989.3 mb. Buoy44137 to the southeast at 41.8N60.9W reported a southwest windof 51 kt and 11 m (35 ft) seas atthat time. These seas were higherthan than those reported while thestorm was a hurricane southeast ofthe Carolinas. The storm laterweakened off the coast of Portugalon September 1. Danielle followedabout four days later, missing theEast Coast, but recurving andintensifying as an extratropicalstorm southeast of Cape Race by18Z September 4. Daniellegenerated seas up to 16 m (52 ft)as it became extratropical. Later,as it approached Great Britain, itdeveloped a pressure of 967 mb by00Z September 6. A ship at 43N23W reported winds to 55 kt andseas of 7 m (23 ft) at 06Z Septem-ber 5. At 18Z September 6, seasbuilt to 6 to 9 m (20 to 30 ft) westof the Bay of Biscay. Meanwhilethe remains of Tropical Storm Earl
moved along the Carolina coast onthe night of September 3, withwinds of 60 kt reported near thecoast. Earl strengthened to 965 mbnear Newfoundland on September6. One ship reported a 55 ktsouthwest wind and 8 m (26 ft)seas near Cape Race. HiberniaPlatform in the Grand Banks alsoreported 55 kt winds. The remainsof Danielle and Earl merged into agale system northwest of GreatBritain on the 9th.
In late September three of the fourhurricanes that formed in theAtlantic basin (Ivan, Karl, andJeanne) recurved east as theyweakened, with an upper ridge tothe north suppressing their rede-velopment into strong extratropi-cal storms. In early October,Tropical Storm Lisa intensifiedand moved north along 40W as ahurricane. However, Lisa weak-ened abruptly east of Newfound-land on October 9 without becom-ing a significant extratropicalstorm.
Tropical Storm Mitch
Mitch became an extratropicalstorm after crossing Florida onNovember 5, and then trackednortheast to west of the BritishIsles on the 8th of November.There was a ship report at 36N52W 00Z November 7, with asouthwest wind 60 kt south of thecenter. Figure 2 is a surfaceanalysis and infrared
METEOSAT7 satellite imagevalid at or near 18Z on the 8thshowing extratropical storm Mitchwest of Great Britain with 50 to60 kt wind reports south of thecenter. This system was stillintensifying at the time, with thelowest central pressure at 948 mbnear Iceland 24 hours later. Thiswas one of the most intense lowsof the August to November periodin the North Atlantic.
Other Significant Weather
A strong upper level low nearGreenland maintained a stronginfluence in November, causingseveral major developments oflows moving off the east coast ofthe U.S. and Canada. The redevel-opment of Mitch is one of them,described above. Another rapidlydeepening storm late in Novemberdeveloped from a cluster of weaklows in the Newfoundland areaearly on November 25 (Figure 3).The corresponding 500 mb chartsare also shown. One finds fourseparate short wave troughs on thefirst panel of the Figure whichmerged with the Greenland upperlow over the next 48 hours to forma deep surface and upper levelsystem east of Greenland on the27th. The pressure of the surfacelow was 951 mb six hours later(after the valid time of the thirdpanel of Figure 3). Winds of 50 ktor more were reported as far southas 50N near the time of maximumintensity.h
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The month of August startedout more like mid-summer,with weak lows tracking
across the northern Bering Seainto Alaska and others movingaround the periphery of the NorthPacific high pressure ridge whichdominated the southern mid-latitudes. Some of these lowsattained minimal gale strength. Bythe middle of the month, the upperair pattern amplified, resulting instronger lows forming and movingnortheast through the Bering Sea.One of these became the first lowof the late summer-fall season todevelop storm force winds (983mb central pressure), before
Marine Weather ReviewNorth Pacific AreaAugust through November 1998
George BancroftMeteorologistMarine Prediction Center
moving into mainland Alaska.This series of lows carved out anupper trough by late August overwestern Alaska and eventuallyextending into the Gulf of Alaska,setting the stage for a major stormin the Gulf of Alaska.
Gulf of Alaska Storm ofAugust 30-31
Figure 1 depicts this developmentboth at the surface and 500 mb.The long wave 500 mb trough isshown with a northern short wavetrough from the Bering Seacoming into phase with a southern
short wave rounding the base ofthe long wave trough. The surfacesystem intensified to 976 mb asshown in the second panel of thefigure. Figure 2 is a GOES-10infrared satellite image of thisstorm approaching maximumintensity with surface data plotted.The CHEVRON MISSISSIPPI(WXBR) was just south of thecenter reporting a southwest windof 63 kt and 13 m (44 ft) com-bined seas. Note that the ringcloud around the center of thestorm near 51N 150W is a signa-
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Figure 1. A two-panel display of MPC surface analysis charts and corresponding 500 millibar charts valid at (1) 00Z 30 August and (2) 00Z 31August 1998.
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ture of unusually intense lows.The PRESIDENT ADAMS(WRYW) reported at 51.5N150.5W three hours later with asoutheast wind 40 kt close to thecenter and a pressure of 969 mb.The system was analyzed with 963mb central pressure near KodiakIsland at 18Z August 31, before itmoved northwest and weakened.
Typhoon Rex
September became active withseveral tropical cyclones, or theirremnants. The first to affect thearea was Rex, shown in thesurface charts of Figure 1 as atyphoon south of Japan. Rex firstappeared on the MPC surfaceanalyses on August 26, andmeandered northeast for morethan a week. It weakened to atropical storm on September 5,when it started to accelerate.Figure 3 shows Rex being pickedup by two short wave troughs andbecoming extratropical aftermerging with a polar front. Thetwo short waves shown in the firstpanel of figure 3 merged andresulted in rapid intensificationinto an extratropical storm. Thethird surface chart of figure 3 hasthe same valid time as the second500 mb chart of figure 3, revealinga deep vertically stacked storm.Ship data was lacking near thestorm center at maximum inten-sity. MPC estimated winds to 60kt and seas up to 11 m (35 ft).
There were ship reports of 50 ktand 7 to 9 m seas (23 to 30 ft)southeast of the center at 00ZSeptember 7, before the systembecame extratropical. This systemsubsequently began a slow weak-ening trend but still maintained 45kt gales as it entered the Gulf ofAlaska on September 9.
Three other tropical cyclonesfollowed, with one of them, Stella,deepening like Rex after becomingextratropical, but not as rapidly.
Storm of October 24-27
This was perhaps the most signifi-cant event of the four monthperiod in which four containervessels overtaken by this fastmoving storm sustained cargodamage. The storm developedfrom a frontal wave passing southof Japan on October 24. Figure 4shows the system deepening by 18mb in a 12-hour period. It deep-
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Figure 2. A GOES-10 infrared satellite image with plotted data showingthe storm of August 30-31 near maximum intensity.
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Figure 3. Surface analysis and 500 millibar charts covering the period from 12Z 06 September to 12Z 07September 1998, depicting the transformation of Tropical Storm Rex into an intense extratropical storm.
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Figure 5. A surface analysis valid at 18Z November 23and a GOES-10 infrared satellite image valid at 09ZNovember 23 (with plotted data) depicting the storm inWashington and Oregon offshore waters. White shadeson the satellite image imply colder (higher) cloud tops.
Figure 4. Four-panel display of surface analysis chartsvalid at 00Z and 12Z 25 October and 00Z and 12Z 26October 1998. The development of the October 24-27storm is shown.
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ened by another 14 mb in the 12-hour period ending at 00Z October26. With this rate of intensifica-tion of more than 24 mb in 24hours, this storm definitelyqualifies as a “bomb.” The windswere reported as high as 100 ktand seas up to 19 m (60 ft) withthis storm, and the minimumrecorded pressure was 940 mb, 13mb lower than than was analyzedby MPC. The APL CHINA(V7AL5) sustained the worstdamage of the four vessels whileencountering the storm near theInternational Dateline, losing 360containers overboard and having asimilar number remaining onboard that were damaged.
Other reports from ships duringthis event showed winds as highas 50 to 60 kt (shown in Figure 4)and seas as high as 11 to 14 m (35to 46 ft) from 12Z October 25 to00Z October 26. The lowestanalyzed central pressure was 953mb. The storm then turned northand weakened by October 27 inthe eastern Bering Sea.
See References for related articles.
Other Significant Events
Many significant gale and stormevents occurred during Octoberand November, a time of increas-ing strength, speed, and frequencyof cyclonic systems as the fallseason progressed. Lows movedalong a southwest to northeast
track from near or north of Japanto the Bering Sea, with lowssometimes redeveloping in theGulf of Alaska. The southernstream storm track became moreimportant as October progressed,producing the October 24-27storm noted above. Anotherdevelopment off the southernstorm track followed on Novem-ber 9, near the Dateline. A shipjust ahead of the front near 42N164W reported a southeast windof 50 kt and 11 meter seas (35 ft)at 00Z November 10. This stormdeepened to 972 mb near 41N168W early on the 10th beforebeginning to weaken. A series ofdeveloping storms tracked north-east into the Bering Sea early inNovember, with one attaining 952mb in the northwest Bering Sea onNovember 11. Late in the month,the northern storm track wasespecially active, with systemsmoving east along or just south ofthe Aleutians to the Gulf ofAlaska. The strongest of thesedropped to 966 mb central pres-sure and took only two days totravel from 160E to the easternGulf of Alaska. Several shipssouth of the center reported 50 ktwinds and seas up to 11 m (35 ft)on November 19 and 20. Late inthe month, the upper level troughdeepened in the Gulf of Alaska,steering lows on a more southerntrack toward Washington coast.One of these rapidly intensified asit approached the Pacific North-west offshore waters on November23, reaching 964 mb after deepen-ing 36 mb in 24 hours. Figure 5 isa satellite photo of the storm
approaching its peak with plotteddata included, and a surfaceanalysis for 18Z November 23, 9hours later. This intense system,like the late August storm, has a“ring cloud” around the center, alocation for tight pressure gradi-ents and high winds. Note the 60kt ship report from the MARITMAERSK (OZFC2) near thecenter. From 18Z November 23 to00Z November 24, seas werereported at 8 to 11 meters (25 to35 ft) south of the storm centerwith the highest from a ship at46N 132W at 00Z November 24.Buoy 46050, near the Oregoncoast, reported seas to 9.5 m (32ft). Destruction Island, off theWashington coast, reported peakwinds of 70 kt at 05Z on Novem-ber 24. This was the beginning ofa period of active weather in lateNovember, with both northern andsouthern storm tracks impactingthe U.S. West Coast offshorewaters.
Johnson, Bruce, The APL China -A Calamity To Be Remembered(Transpacific Shipping, MarineDigest and Transportation News,December 1998).
Sienkiewicz, Joe and Chesneau,Lee, Mariner’s Guide to the 500-Millibar Chart (Mariners WeatherLog, Winter 1995).h
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I. Introduction
Sea surface temperature anomaliesin the tropical Eastern Pacificchanged from warm to cold,showing a change from El Niño toLa Niña conditions. This aidedwell above normal tropicalcyclone activity in the Atlantic,which saw 14 tropical stormsduring the 1998 season (Figure 1).Nine storms became hurricanes,with three becoming majorhurricanes (winds 100 kt orgreater). A 35-day period from 19August through 23 September sawten tropical storms develop,making it one of the most active
Tropical Prediction CenterSeptember 1998 through December 1998
Dr. Jack BevenTropical Prediction CenterNational Hurricane Center11691 SW 17th StreetMiami, FL 33165-2149
times ever in the Atlantic. Fourhurricanes existed simultaneouslyon 25-26 September.
The Eastern Pacific basin pro-duced 13 tropical storms during1998 (Figure 2), of which ninebecame hurricanes and six majorhurricanes. Two non-developingdepressions also occurred.
Most 1998 tropical cyclonesformed from tropical waves.Several waves spawned cycloneswhile interacting with an unusu-ally strong monsoon environmentover the Gulf of Mexico andEastern Pacific.
II. The Gulf of Mexico/EastPacific Monsoon of 1998
The word “monsoon” derives fromthe Hindi word for season andrefers to seasonal wind andweather changes over India. Insummer, southwest winds bringmoisture and considerable rainfall.In winter, north and northeastwinds bring cooler and dryer air.
These changes are due to move-ments of the Intertropical Conver-gence Zone (ITCZ), which is alsocalled the monsoon trough. In the
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Figure 1. The 1998 Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm tracks.
northern hemisphere summer, theITCZ moves north across Indiaand brings southwesterly flowbehind it. In the northern hemi-sphere winter, the ITCZ movessouth across the Equator withnortheasterly flow north of theEquator.
Similar monsoon trough behavioroccurs over much of the world,with two notable exceptions, theAtlantic and eastern Pacific. The
Atlantic ITCZ, while migratingwith the seasons, usually does notshow monsoon-type wind flowsexcept near the African coast.Exceptions occurred during theactive Atlantic hurricane season of1995 and 1996, when the ITCZmore resembled a western Pacificmonsoon trough.
The Eastern Pacific ITCZ showsmonsoon trough characteristicsduring the northern hemispheresummer but not during the south-ern hemisphere summer. It occa-sionally extends into the Western
Caribbean Sea, particularly inMay/June and October/November.This produces monsoon-type windflows in this area.
The monsoon trough is a naturalspawning ground for tropicaldisturbances. These include largelow pressure areas called monsoondepressions that have very broadcenters. Associated strong winds(often 30-40 kt) and convectionare usually 100 nm or more from
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Figure 2. The 1998 Eastern Pacific hurricane and tropical storm tracks.
Figure 3. TAFB surface analysis at 0600 UTC 31 August showing the pre-Earl and pre-Isis disturbances.
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the center. Monsoon depressionslack the structure of a tropicalcyclone. However, they candevelop into tropical cyclones ifconvection forms near the center.
The period 25 August through 10September 1998, saw an unusuallystrong monsoon trough form fromthe western Gulf of Mexico acrossMexico into the Pacific. Thetrough helped spawn Hurricane
Figure 4. GOES-8 visible image at 1815 UTC 6 September 1998 showing the just developed Tropical DepressionJavier (south of Baha, California off the Mexican coast) and the pre-Frances disturbance (in the Western Gulf ofMexico). Image courtesy of the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
Earl and Tropical Storm Francesin the Gulf, and Hurricane Isis andTropical Storm Javier in thePacific. All four systems wereformed from tropical waves.However, interaction with themonsoon gave them monsoondepression characteristics duringtheir initial development.
Figure 3 shows the TropicalPrediction Center (TPC) TropicalAnalysis and Forecast Branch(TAFB) surface analysis for 0600UTC 31 August showing the pre-
Earl and pre-Isis disturbances.Notice the large size of bothsystems, with the pre-Isis lowalready 900 nm wide. Bothsystems were producing 25-30 ktwinds at this time but lacked theorganized convection needed fortropical depressions. That soonformed, as Earl became a tropicalstorm later that day and Isis thenext day.
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Figure 4 shows a GOES-8 visibleimage at 1815 UTC 6 September.At the far left is Javier, which hasjust become a tropical depression.The large cloud swirl covering thewestern Gulf of Mexico andadjacent land areas is the pre-Frances low, which lacks orga-nized convection. Notice the largearea of clouds over the Pacificsouth of southeastern Mexico andCentral America. This is associ-ated with 20-25 kt southwestmonsoon flow.
A similar but weaker surgeoccurred in October. This helpeddevelop Mitch, Kay, Lester,Madeline, and a Gulf of Mexicolow.
Monsoon trough development thisstrong is unusual over the easternPacific and rare over the Gulf ofMexico. However, similar (butweaker) development was seenthere during the 1995 hurricaneseason (Landsea et al., 1998). Onesuch episode helped produceTropical Storm Gabrielle in theGulf and Hurricane Flossie in thePacific.
III. Significant Weather ofthe Period
Note: All times are UTC unlessstated otherwise.
A. Tropical Cyclones: Eighthurricanes and one additionaltropical storm developed in theAtlantic basin during the period,
with an additional hurricane (Earl)left over from August. Two ofthese became major hurricanes.The Eastern Pacific produced sixcyclones, of which five becametropical storms and four becamehurricanes. One reached majorhurricane status.
1. Atlantic:
Hurricane Earl : As the periodopened, Tropical Storm Earl wasstrengthening over the westernGulf of Mexico (Figure 1). Anupper level trough steered thecyclone north-northeast on 1September and northeast for therest of its life. Earl reachedhurricane strength on 2 Septemberwith a peak intensity of 85 kt laterthat day. A weakening hurricanemade landfall over Panama City,Florida, early on 3 September. Itweakened and became extratropi-cal over the southeastern U.S.later that day. Extratropical Earlwas trackable until 8 September,when it was absorbed by a largerlow (ex-Hurricane Danielle) overthe north Atlantic.
The combination of monsooncharacteristics and trough interac-tion gave Earl a non-classicalstructure. An eye never formed,and the strongest winds were in aband well east of the center.
Strong winds affected the centraland eastern Gulf. A U.S. Navyship reported 40 kt winds withgusts to 70 kt and a pressure of989.7 mb at 2100 2 September.Buoy 42039 reported 45 kt windswith gusts to 63 kt and a pressure
of 989.4 mb on 3 September. Theminimum pressure recorded byreconnaissance aircraft was 985mb on 3 September.
Earl was responsible for threedeaths and U.S. damages of $79million.
Tropical Storm Frances:Frances’ initial development wassimilar to Earl’s a week earlier.The cyclone first developed overthe southern Gulf of Mexico andnorthwest Caribbean on 4 Septem-ber. It drifted northwest andbecame Tropical Depression Sixabout 140 nm east of Brownsville,Texas, on 8 September (Figure 1).An erratic southward drift oc-curred on 9 September. This wasfollowed by a north-northwestmotion the next day as the systembecame a tropical storm. Francesreached a peak intensity of 55 kt atlandfall just north of CorpusChristi, Texas, early on 11 Sep-tember. The cyclone looped nearthe coast after landfall, and itremained a tropical storm until 12September. A northward trackresumed later that day, and theremnant low moved into thecentral U.S. before dissipating on14 September.
Frances’ size produced a largearea of tropical storm force windsmainly east of the center. TheCoastal Marine AutomatedNetwork (C-MAN) station at SeaRim State Park, Texas, reported 44kt winds with gusts to 57 kt at1210 11 September. Buoy 42002reported 38 kt winds with a gust to
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50 kt at 0550 the same day. Twooffshore oil rigs, the K7R8 and theKS58, reported hurricane- forcegusts of 77 kt and 70 kt respec-tively. Minimum pressure reportedby reconnaissance aircraft was990 mb just before landfall.
A Louisiana tornado caused theonly known fatality in Frances.
Widespread heavy rains of up to16 inches across eastern Texas andLouisiana caused flooding thatcontributed most of the $500million damage estimated for thestorm.
Hurricane Georges: This classicCape Verde hurricane began whena tropical wave spawned TropicalDepression Seven near 10N 25Won 15 September (Figure 1). Thecyclone followed a general west to
west-northwest track for the nextten days, reaching tropical stormand hurricane strength on 16 and17 September, respectively. Fasterstrengthening occurred on 19September (Figure 5), andGeorges reached a peak intensityof 135 kt and an aircraft-measuredminimum pressure of 937 mbearly the next day. Georges movedthrough the Leeward Islands, the
Figure 5. GOES-8 visible image of Hurricane Georges at 1545 UTC 19 September 1998. Image courtesy of theCooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS).
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Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico on21 September with 90-100 ktwinds. It smashed into the Do-minican Republic the next daywith 105 kt winds. This encounterweakened the cyclone, and itmoved across Haiti into easternCuba as a minimal hurricane on 23September. Slow re-intensificationoccurred on 24-25 September asGeorges moved along the northCuban coast and across Key West,Florida. A northwest motionoccurred on 26-27 September asthe hurricane maintained 90-95 ktwinds (Figure 6). A northwardturn took place on 28 September,which brought Georges to a finallandfall near Biloxi, Mississippi.After a loop, Georges moved eastand merged with a frontal systemnear the Georgia coast on 1October.
Ships generally avoided Georges.The PROJECT ARABIA reported44 kt sustained winds and a1002.9 mb pressure at 1500 29September. Nearer the coast, theC-MAN station at Sombrero Key,Florida, reported 81 kt winds withgusts to 92 kt at 1500 25 Septem-ber. Buoy 42040 reported 54 ktwinds with gusts to 68 kt at 190027 September and a minimumpressure of 963.4 mb four hourslater. The buoy also reportedsignificant wave heights of 36 ft.
Georges is responsible for anestimated 601 deaths, primarilydue to flooding and mudslides inthe Dominican Republic and Haiti.Total damage figures are not
known. However, U.S. damagesare estimated at $5.91 billionincluding $3.5 billion in PuertoRico.
Tropical Storm Hermine:Tropical Depression Eight formedin the central Gulf of Mexico near27N 90W on 17 September(Figure 1). The system’s originswere complex, involving twotropical waves, an upper level low,and the remains of the monsoonflow over the Gulf. The cyclonemade a slow cyclonic loop thatended with a northward track on19 September. It reached tropicalstorm strength later that day.Hermine reached a peak intensityof 40 kt and an aircraft-measuredminimum pressure of 999 mb justbefore landfall near Cocodrie,Louisiana, early on 20 September.The system dissipated over landlater that day.
Oil rig KS58 reported 42 kt windswith gusts to 51 kt at 1345 19September. The TMM Mexico(XCMG) reported 35 kt winds at1200 the same day.
Two associated tornadoes causedthe one injury and minor damageassociated with Hermine.
Hurricane Ivan : Tropical Depres-sion Nine formed from a tropicalwave near 13N 27W on 19September (Figure 1). Initiallymoving west, the cyclone turnednorthwest the next day andcontinued this motion through 21September. The depressionbecame Tropical Storm Ivan lateon 20 September, and slowstrengthening continued for the
next two days despite interactionwith two upper level troughs. Ivanmoved north-northwest from 22-24 September and reached hurri-cane strength early on the 24th.The hurricane recurved northeast-ward on 25-26 September, whilereaching a peak intensity of 80 kt(Figure 6). Weakening followed asIvan turned east, and it becameextratropical about 300 nmnortheast of the Azores on 27September.
The TINEKE reported 89 kt windsat 0300 24 September. However,the reliability of the report issuspect. The highest reliablewinds are from the SLAVONIJAand HADERA, which reported 35kt at 0600 22 September and 120023 September respectively.
There are no reports of damage orcasualties from Ivan.
Hurricane Jeanne: TropicalDepression Ten formed from atropical wave near 10N 17W lateon 20 September (Figure 1). Thegenesis was unusually far east foran Atlantic tropical cyclone, asonly one other known cyclone(Tropical Storm Christine in 1973)formed further east. Moving west-northwest, the cyclone reachedtropical storm strength on 21September, and hurricane strengththe next day. It reached a peakintensity of 90 kt on 24 Septem-ber. Jeanne followed a smoothcurve track around an easternAtlantic ridge, turning northwestby 25 September, north on 26September, northeast by 28
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September, and east by 30 Sep-tember. The cyclone maintainedhurricane strength until 29 Sep-tember, and then rapidly weak-ened. It was a depression when itpassed through the Azores on 30September, and it became extratro-pical just east of the islands laterthat day. Extratropical Jeannecontinued east and moved intoPortugal on 4 October.
A French drifting buoy reported75 kt winds at 1900 26 September.
The TEIGNBANK and AUCK-LAND STAR reported 36 ktwinds at 1200 and 1800 28September respectively. Gusts to35 kt were reported in the Azores.
There are no reports of damage orcasualties from Jeanne.
Hurricane Karl : A non-tropicallow formed near the coast of theCarolinas on 21 September, andtracked east. Convection becamebetter organized, and the lowbecame Tropical DepressionEleven about 50 nm west-north-
west of Bermuda on 23 September(Figure 1). The depression turnedeast-southeast and reached tropi-cal storm strength on 24 Septem-ber. This was followed by aneastward turn and hurricanestrength the next day. When Karlbecame a hurricane, it marked thefirst time since 22 August 1893,that four Atlantic hurricanesexisted simultaneously (Figure 6).Karl turned northeast on 26September, and this motioncontinued for the rest of the
Figure 6. GOES-8 visible image of the four Atlantic hurricanes at 1445 UTC 26 September 1998. Image courtesyof National Climatic Data Center.
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storm’s life. It reached a peakintensity of 90 kt on 27 Septem-ber. The hurricane weakened to atropical storm on 28 September,and became extratropical later thatday about 180 nm north of theAzores. Extratropical Karl wastrackable until just west of Franceon 29 September.
There are no reports of damage,casualties, or tropical storm forcewinds from Karl.
Hurricane Lisa: A tropical wavespawned Tropical DepressionTwelve near 14N 46W on 5October (Figure 1). Despite strongwind shear, the system became atropical storm later that day.Initially moving northwest, Lisarecurved northeast on 6 October,
and this motion continued until anorthward turn on 8 October.Acceleration occurred with theforward speed exceeding 50 kt bylate on 9 September. Lisa brieflybecame a minimal hurricane onthat day, and it became extratropi-cal near 52N 32W early the nextday.
Figure 7. GOES-8 visible image of Hurricane Mitch near peak intensity at 1745 UTC 26 October 1998. Imagecourtesy of CIMSS.
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A NOAA drifting buoy reported35 and 36 kt winds at 0850 and2138 5 October, which helpeddetermine that Lisa had become atropical storm. The CHIQUITAFRANCES reported 61 kt winds at1800 9 October.
There are no reports of damage orcasualties from Lisa.
Hurricane Mitch : This classiclate-season Caribbean hurricanebegan when a tropical wavespawned Tropical DepressionThirteen near 12N 76W early on22 October (Figure 1). Initiallymoving west, the system reachedtropical storm strength later thatday. Mitch made a small loop on23 October. This was followed bya northward motion on 24 Octoberas it reached hurricane strength.Mitch turned to a west to west-northwest track on 25-26 October,while rapidly intensifying. Maxi-mum sustained winds reached 155kt at 1800 26 October, with anaircraft-measured central pressureof 905 mb (Figure 7). Mitchweakened while moving west-southwest on 27 October, andfurther weakening took placewhen the storm stalled near 16N86W the next day. It drifted southon 29 October, which broughtMitch across the coast of Hondu-ras with 85 kt winds. The cyclonemoved south and southwest acrossCentral America on 30 October.Since the large circulation coveredparts of both the Caribbean andthe Pacific, Mitch was slow to
weaken. It remained at tropicalstorm strength until late on 31October, while moving west overland.
Most tropical cyclones die afterseveral days over land, but Mitchproved quite tenacious. Theremnant low continued west andnorthwest across Central Americaand Mexico, and it emerged overthe southwest Gulf of Mexico on 2November. It recurved northeastand re-intensified into a tropicalstorm the next day. The rebornMitch moved northeast across theYucatan Peninsula on 4 Novem-ber, and the Florida Peninsula on 5November. It became extratropicalover the Atlantic later that day.Extratropical Mitch continued topack a punch. The storm wastracked until it was northwest ofthe British Isles on 9 November,and associated gales continued for2-3 days after Mitch moved northof 31N.
The 905 mb central pressure is thelowest observed pressure of recordin an October Atlantic hurricane.It also ties Mitch with HurricaneCamille for the fourth lowestobserved in Atlantic hurricanes.Only Hurricane Gilbert of 1988(888 mb), the Florida Keys LaborDay Hurricane of 1935 (892 mb),and Hurricane Allen of 1980 (899mb) are known to have lowerpressures.
Mitch had wide-ranging marineeffects. Many ships reportedtropical storm force winds,including the SEABOARD
MARINER (C6HH3) with 54 kt at1500 31 October and the CARNI-VAL DESTINY (3FKZ3) withtwo reports of 48 kt on 4 Novem-ber. The C-MAN station at FoweyRocks, Florida, reported 52 ktwinds with gusts to 63 kt at 13005 November. Swells produced bythe hurricane over the Caribbeanspread for hundreds of miles andwere felt along the northern Gulfof Mexico coast.
Great intensity, large size, andslow movement combined toproduce a ghastly tragedy overCentral America. An estimated9,055 people were killed, mainlyin Honduras and Nicaragua. Atleast that many more are missing.Property damage is in the billions.The vast majority of the damageand casualties were from pro-longed heavy rains and flooding,not winds and storm surge.However, the sailing shipFANTOME was lost in Mitch nearGuanaja Island, Honduras, on 27October. All 31 aboard perishedafter an extensive search foundonly small amounts of debris fromthe ship.
Hurricane Nicole: This lateseason hurricane developed into atropical depression and tropicalstorm near 28N 28W on 24November (Figure 1). It formedfrom a non-tropical low that hadpersisted in eastern Atlantic fortwo weeks. The track was asmooth curve: an initial west-southwest motion, then west on26-28 November, then recurvature
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northeastward on 28-30 Novem-ber, followed by a northwardacceleration on 1 December. Theintensity was not so simple. Aninitial rapid development to 60 kton 24 November was followed bygradual weakening to a depressionon 26 November. Regeneration toa tropical storm occurred late on27 November, with hurricanestatus reached on 30 November. Apeak intensity of 75 kt occurredearly on 1 November. Nicoleweakened to a tropical stormbefore becoming extratropicallater that day near 43N 34W.
The MAGIC confirmed satelliteestimates that Nicole had devel-oped. It reported 36 kt winds at1200 24 November, and 58 ktwinds six hours later. Addition-ally, the MOSEL ORE (ELRE5)reported 49 kt winds at 0900 1December.
There are no reports of damage orcasualties from Nicole.
2. Eastern Pacific:
Hurricane Isis: The disturbancethat became Isis first developed inthe last few days of August. Aweak tropical wave interactingwith the monsoon spawned abroad low on 29 August, severalhundred miles west-southwest ofthe Mexican coast. The low grewin both size and strength as itmoved north (Figure 3). Associ-ated convection became betterorganized and the system became
a tropical depression near 18N109W early on 1 September(Figure 2). Ship reports indicatedthe system became a tropicalstorm later that day. Isis continuednorth for the rest of its life. Itcrossed the southern tip of Baja,California, as a tropical storm on 2September, then it reached a peakintensity of 65 kt later that day.The hurricane maintained thisintensity until landfall near LosMochis, Mexico, early on 3September. Isis dissipated overnorthwest Mexico early the nextday.
The TCFC (name not available)reported 40 kt winds at 1800 1September, and 45 kt winds at0000 2 September. The AMTC(name not available) reported 54kt winds and a 997.6 mb pressureat 0600 2 September, while theDOLE ECUADOR reportedBeaufort force 10 (48-55 kt) and a993 mb pressure at 2300 1 Sep-tember.
Isis was responsible for eightdeaths in Mexico. Hundreds ofhomes were reported destroyed.
Tropical Storm Javier: Javierformed from the interaction of themonsoon flow with a tropicalwave which spawned AtlanticHurricane Danielle. The monsoondepression developed off theMexican coast on 5 September. Itconsolidated into Tropical Depres-sion Eleven-E near 18N 107W on6 September, and into TropicalStorm Javier the next day (Figure2). Javier initially moved north-west. It slowed to an eastward
drift between Baja California andSocorro Island on 8 September, asit reached a 50 kt peak intensity.The drift continued on 9-10September, as Javier weakened toa depression. This was followedby a southeast motion on 11September. Recurvature to thenortheast occurred on 12 Septem-ber as Javier regained tropicalstorm status. This brief secondpeak intensity was 45 kt. Thenortheast track continued untillandfall as a depression near CaboCorrientes, Mexico, early on 14September. The cyclone dissipatedover land later that day.
The SUN ACE (3EMJ6) reported44 kt winds and a 1004.4 mbpressure at 2100 12 September.This was instrumental in deter-mining that Javier had re-intensi-fied.
There are no reports of damage orcasualties from Javier.
Tropical Depression Twelve-E:Tropical Depression Twelve-Eformed near 21N 109W on 1October. It drifted slowly north-west until it dissipated near 22N110W on 3 October. Maximumsustained winds were estimated at30 kt.
Hurricane Kay : Tropical Depres-sion Thirteen-E formed near 16N118W on 13 October (Figure 2).Initial strengthening was rapid,with the system reaching bothtropical storm and hurricanestrength later that day. Kayinitially drifted west, then it turned
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southwest on 14 October, whileweakening to a tropical storm.This was followed by a south tosoutheast drift until dissipation.Kay weakened to a depression on15 October, and dissipated near11N 120W on 17 October. Theremnant low drifted east and waseventually absorbed into theITCZ.
There are no reports of damage,casualties, or tropical storm forcewinds from Kay.
Hurricane Lester: Lester formedfrom the same tropical wave thatspawned Atlantic Hurricane Lisa.The wave moved into the Pacificon 12 October, and developed intoTropical Depression Fourteen-Eearly on 15 October, near 11N92W (Figure 2). Drifting north-west, the system reached tropicalstorm strength later that day andhurricane strength the next day.Lester turned west on 17 October,passing about 60 nm south ofPuerto Angel, Mexico. The samemotion with a faster forward speedcontinued through 19 October.The hurricane moved west-northwest on 20-21 October, thenstalled near 17N 109W on 22October. The stall coincided withthe peak intensity of 100 kt. Asouthwest motion and weakeningto a tropical storm occurred on 23October. Lester resumed a west-northwest motion on 24 October,that continued for the rest of itslife. The storm weakened to adepression on 26 October, and
dissipated later that day near 18N115W.
Shipping avoided Lester and theassociated strong winds stayedmostly offshore. Thus, there areno reports of damage, casualties,or tropical storm force winds.However, associated heavy rainsand coastal flooding did affectportions of southern Mexico.Reconnaissance aircraft flew intoLester and measured a 973 mbpressure on 18 October.
Hurricane Madeline: TropicalDepression Fifteen-E formedabout 200 nm west-southwest ofManzanillo, Mexico, on 16October (Figure 2). The cyclonemoved north-northwest andbecame Tropical Storm Madelinelater that day. Madeline turnednortheast on 17 October, as itreached hurricane strength, and aslow turn to the north occurred thenext day as winds peaked at 75 kt(Figure 8). At this time, Madelinewas about 90 nm west of theMexican coast. Rapid weakeningstarted as Madeline turned north-west on 19 October, and by earlyon 20 October, Madeline was adepression. The system dissipatedlater that day near 24N 109W.
A few ships reported tropicalstorm force winds in Madeline.Most notable was the STARTRONDANGER (LAQQ2), whichreported 50 kt winds and a 1003.8mb pressure at 2100 17 October.The ALLIGATOR RELIANCE(ZCBN5), which had encounteredMitch the week before, reported40 kt and 1002.5 mb at 0900 the
same day. Reconnaissance aircraftalso flew into Madeline andmeasured a 980 mb centralpressure at 2153Z on 18 October.
Although Madeline passed nearthe Islas Marias, there are noreports of damage or casualties.
B. Other Significant Events
1. Atlantic:
Tropical/Hybrid Low : A broadlow pressure area formed over thenorthwest Caribbean Sea on 19October. Associated convectiongradually organized as the lowcrossed the Yucatan Peninsula intothe Gulf of Mexico on 20-21October. To this point, the devel-opment resembled the early stagesof Earl and Frances. However, on22 October, the system interactedwith a strong cold front (withgales to the north) and turnedsouth. It moved inland over theIsthmus of Tehuantepec on 23October and dissipated over landthe next day.
Several ships and land stationsreported tropical storm forcewinds during this event. Theseincluded a 58 kt gust atVillahermosa, Mexico, at 1345 23October, and 45 kt sustainedwinds from the SEALAND FREE-DOM (V7AM3) at 0000 the sameday. A reconnaissance aircraftobserved 70 kt winds about 120nm west of the center at 1715 thatday. While the reports suggest thesystem was of tropical stormstrength, many winds were
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associated with the cold air surgewhile others (such as Villaher-mosa) came from areas known forterrain-enhanced winds.
The exact nature of this cyclone isuncertain. The tropical origin andattempts to develop centralconvection (particularly on 23October) suggest tropical cyclonecharacteristics. However, the coldfront and a broad center suggestnon-tropical characteristics.
Other Events: Two cold frontsproduced gales in the TPC area inDecember. The first was over theGulf of Mexico on 22-23 Decem-ber, and the second was over thewestern Atlantic on 30-31 Decem-ber. A large high pressure systemover the North Atlantic producedgales over the region south ofBermuda and east of the Bahamason 2-3 December.
2. Eastern Pacific:
Three Gulf of Tehuantepec galeevents occurred, with the most
Figure 8. GOES-8 visible image of Hurricanes Lester and Madeline (both on the Pacific coast of Mexico, Lesterbeing farther south).
notable being the prolonged eventof 12-19 December. The otherevents were 2-3 December and 24-27 December. Two gale-producingcold fronts affected the area on 30November and 6-8 December.
IV. References
Landsea, C. W., G. D. Bell, W. M.Gray, and S. B. Goldenberg, 1998:The extremely active 1995 Atlantichurricane season: Environmentalconditions and verification ofseason forecasts. MonthlyWeather Review, 126, 1174-1193.h
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The chart on the left shows the two-month mean 500-mb height contoursat 60 m intervals in solid lines, with alternate contours labeled indecameters (dm). Height anomalies are contoured in dashed lines at30 m intervals. Areas where the mean height anomaly was greater than30 m above normal have light shading, and areas where the mean heightanomaly was more than 30 m below normal have heavy shading
The chart on the right shows the two-month mean sea level pressure at4-mb intervals in solid lines, labeled in mb. Anomalies of SLP arecontoured in dashed lines and labeled at 2-mb intervals, with lightshading in areas more than 2 mb above normal, and heavy shading inareas in excess of 2 mb below normal.
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The chart on the left shows the two-month mean 500-mb height contoursat 60 m intervals in solid lines, with alternate contours labeled indecameters (dm). Height anomalies are contoured in dashed lines at30 m intervals. Areas where the mean height anomaly was greater than30 m above normal have light shading, and areas where the mean heightanomaly was more than 30 m below normal have heavy shading
The chart on the right shows the two-month mean sea level pressure at4-mb intervals in solid lines, labeled in mb. Anomalies of SLP arecontoured in dashed lines and labeled at 2-mb intervals, with lightshading in areas more than 2 mb above normal, and heavy shading inareas in excess of 2 mb below normal.
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Fam Float
In December 1998 I acceptedan invitation to sail on the
M/V KENNICOTT on hervoyage from Juneau to Sewardand back to Juneau. The AlaskaState ferries make only a fewsailings a year across the Gulf ofAlaska, and seldom during thewinter months. This was anexcellent opportunity for me toobserve the weather and check themarine forecasts and our newmarine verification program.
The distance from Juneau toSeward, across the Gulf, is 600nautical miles. At 16 knots, it took36 hours to make the trip. Wedeparted Juneau at at 7 a.m.January 5, and arrived back inJuneau at 3 p.m. January 8. Thetrip included an eight-hour stop-over in Seward.
Prevailing winds, northbound andsouthbound, were northeast, 15 to30 knots, and seas ranged from 6to 12 feet. Southbound, nearYakutat, wind speed reached 44knots with seas to 19 feet. The
A Winter Voyage Across the Gulf of Alaska
Leif LieMeteorologist In ChargeNational Weather Service Forecast OfficeJuneau, Alaska
gale force winds lasted for threehours.
I was given free access to thebridge, and spent many hoursthere. I spent much of my timewith the captains and matesexplaining and interpretingweather maps received onboard. Ialso stressed the importance of theVoluntary Observing Ship (VOS)program. The KTVA-TV crewonboard for this special sailinginterviewed me twice during thetrip.
Perhaps the highlight of this tripwas being able to see first handhow important a single marineobservation can be. On January 4,the captain on the KENNICOTTcalled the National WeatherService Forecast office Juneauwith a report that the wind speedin Lynn Canal was 60 kts (a bitstronger than the forecast). Theduty forecaster took immediateaction and upgraded our forecastto “storm warning,” thereby
alerting other vessels and mari-ners.
Three of the ship captains I metwith on this trip stated that theywould be willing to participate inthe VOS program. Arrangementshave been made to implement theVOS programs on the KENNI-COTT and TUSTUMENA. Allthe Alaska State ferries are nowparicipating in our marine verifi-cation program (by informing theweather service whenever condi-tions are different than forecast).
The captain on the M/V TUSTU-MENA asked me to take anothertrip on his ship. He said that toimprove our service, we mustcontinue to work closely together.
I think it’s important for marinersand weather forecasters to knowmore about their respective workand services. When we know moreabout each other’s needs, we canbetter work together. This willresult in better products andsmoother sailing for themariners.h
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Coastal Forecast Office News
Although the weather overthe coastal waters of SanDiego County is usually
quite mild, on occasion, someweather conditions can causehavoc with boaters. A Santa Ana*condition on December 15, 1998,caused strong east winds thatproduced four- to six-foot windwaves. Along with a northwestswell of three to six feet, theconfused sea state which devel-oped nearly sank a commercialfishing boat about two miles offPoint Loma. Several other boatsneeded assistance from the CoastGuard. Winds of 30 to 40 knotswere reported during the event,
with an unofficial gust of 57 knotsreported.
Fog can also catch boaters unpre-pared if they are inexperiencedand do not carry the properequipment. During the first fewweeks of January 1999, SouthernCalifornia coastal waters hadmuch fog. Boaters must beprepared to slow down, as thereare many kinds of things they canrun into. Also, the fog will rede-velop at night (sometimes soonerthan expected), and may catchsome sailors unprepared. As aresult of the recent foggy condi-tions, some boaters requested
Coastal Forecast Office NewsSouthern California Area
Don WhitlowMarine Focal PointNational Weather Service Office San Diego
Coast Guard escorts into harbors.The Coast Guard recommends thatsailors carry a VHF radio, becognizant of your equipment andnavigation, use a GPS unit, andbring an EPIRB. Lifejackets are amust.
*A Santa Ana wind conditionresults from high pressure at thesurface building behind a frontalsystem and moving into the greatbasin. This causes a moderate tostrong pressure gradient and gustynortheast winds in SouthernCalifornia.h
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Weather Observing Handbook, Forms, and Instructions for Shipboard Use
All vessels in the Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS) program should have the weather observing forms andpublications shown below. They are all available from National Weather Service Port Meteorological Officers(for the current PMO roster, see “Meteorological Services—Observations” in the back of this publication).
(1) NWS Observing Handbook No. 1. Serves as the main technical reference and source book for VOSProgram vessels, with detailed instructions about weather reporting procedures and the ships synoptic code.(2) Ships Weather Observations Form B-81. Contains the Ships Synoptic Code pre-printed in columns, andis used to record your coded observations. Observations recorded on this form are provided to the PMO forreview (who sends them to the National Climatic Data Center for archiving).(3) Weather Report For Immediate Transmission Form B-80. A compact 8x6 inch form which allows acoded observation to be written down and easily transported aboard ship (i.e., to the radio room) for real-timetransmission.(4) Ships Code Card. A quick reference guide which contains the Ships Synoptic code with all definitionsand tables, in abbreviated form.(5) Barogram, for recording your barograph trace.(6) Pre-addressed envelopes. These large 12x16 inch envelopes are for mailing your completed ShipsWeather Observations forms to your servicing PMO. They require no postage when mailed in the UnitedStates. You can order observing supplies from your PMO by checking the appropriate boxes on the the backof the envelopes.(7) Sea State Wind Speed Poster. This was developed to assist shipboard observers estimating wind speedusing the appearance of the sea. It contains 12 sea state photographs with corresponding values for BeaufortForce, wind speed, and wave height.(8) Cloud Poster. Contains 27 cloud photographs to assist you with observing and coding cloud type infor-mation.
Voluntary Observing Ship Program
Martin S. BaronNational Weather ServiceSilver Spring, Maryland
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Reporting Sea and Swell
With the possible exception of the wind, waves have a greater impact on vessel operations than any otherobserved element in the Ships Synoptic Code. Reporting sea and swell is a unique responsibility peculiar toshipboard observers—weather observers on land have no comparable data to record, since the ground is notfluid and does not move.
The ships synoptic code contains four wave groups. This is to report your local wind-driven sea and up to twodifferent observed swells. Three wave characteristics are reported: (1) wave period (for sea and swell), (2)wave direction (for swell only, sea wave direction is not reported since it is presumed to be the wind directionreported as dd in group Nddff), and (3) wave height (for sea and swell).
Sea waves are produced by the local wind, either at the time of observation, or in the recent past. Swell wavesare waves that have travelled into your area after having been produced by distant winds, which can be a greatdistance (thousands of miles) away. In general, swell waves are long in comparison to sea, because shorterwavelength swell waves tend to dissipate (they have less energy and don’t travel as far). The longest swellstravel the greatest distances, and also travel faster than shorter swells (wave speed equals 3.1 times waveperiod in seconds). As swell travels, it’s height decreases (after travelling 1200 miles, a swell loses about halfit’s height).
Sea wave period (PwPw) and swell wave period (Pw1Pw1Pw2Pw2) are the time intervals in seconds, for successivewave crests or troughs to pass a given point. Choose a distinctive patch of foam or a small floating object, andnote the time it takes for it to go from one one crest or trough to the next. Note several such oscillations, andreport the average period you have observed. There is no code table for period—it’s reported in seconds.
Swell direction (dw1dw1dw2dw2), like wind direction, is the true direction from which the waves are coming.This is coded using the wind direction table (true direction from 00-36). When only one swell is reported,code dw2dw2 as //.
Sea wave height (HwHw) and swell wave height (Hw1Hw1Hw2Hw2) are a measure of the vertical distance be-tween the the top of a wave crest and the bottom of an adjacent trough. As estimates, they depend on the skilland ingenuity of the observer. Use a known height, such as that of a man, bulwark, forecastle, or other knownship dimension. Since wave trains always contain waves of varying heights, report the average height of thelarger, better formed waves in your visual range (significant wave height). The code for wave height is inunits of half meters, i.e., code figure 10 is 5 meters or 16 feet.
Swell has an intriguing use as a weather forecast guide—longer swells will travel ahead of and give advancewarning of a storm (which may or may not be approaching your ship). To determine if the storm is comingcloser to your vessel, review your cloud as well as your swell observations. Advancing and thickening stormclouds accompanied by increasing swell is a good indication that a storm system with strong winds and heavyseas is approaching.
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New Address For PMO New York
Tim Kenefick, PMO New York City, has moved his office from Newark Airport to South Amboy, New Jersey.If you are sending your completed Ships Weather Observations Forms to him, please correct the mailingaddress on the PMO envelopes (which are pre-printed with the Newark address). The new address is:
Tim Kenefick, PMONOAA, NWS110 Lower Main Street, Suite 201South Amboy, NJ 08879-1367Telephone: 732-316-5409Fax: 732-316-7643Pager: 888-399-6512Email: [email protected]
Summary of Weather Report Transmission Procedures
Weather observations sent by ships participating in the VOS program are sent at no cost to the ship except asnoted.
The stations listed accept weather observations which enter an automated system at National Weather Serviceheadquarters. This system is not intended for other types of messages. To communicate with NWS personnel,see phone numbers and e-mail addresses at the beginning of this manual.
INMARSAT
Follow the instructions with your INMARSAT terminal for sending a telex message. Use the special dialingcode 41 (except when using the SEAS/AMVER software in compressed binary format with INMARSAT C),and do not request a confirmation. Here is a typical procedure for using an INMARSAT A transceiver:
1. Select appropriate Land Earth Station Identity (LES-ID). See table below.2. Select routine priority.3. Select duplex telex channel.4. Initiate the call. Wait for the GA+ signal.5. Select the dial code for meteorological reports, 41+.6. Upon receipt of our answerback, NWS OBS MHTS, transmit the weather message starting with
BBXX and the ship’s call sign. The message must be ended with five periods. Do not send anypreamble.GA+41+NWS OBS MHTSBBXX WLXX 29003 99131 70808 41998 60909 10250 2021/ 4011/ 52003 71611 85264 2223400261 20201 31100 40803…
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The five periods indicate the end of the message and must be included after each report. Do not request aconfirmation.
Land-Earth Station Identity (LES-ID) of U.S. Inmarsat Stations Accepting Ships Weather (BBXX) andOceanographic (JJYY) Reports
Operator Service Station IDAOR-W AOR-E IOR POR
COMSAT A 01 01 01 01COMSAT B 01 01 01 01COMSAT C 001 101 321 201COMSAT C (AMVER/SEAS) 001 101 321 201STRATOS/IDB A (octal ID) 13-1 13-1 13-1 13-1STRATOS/IDB A (decimal ID) 11-1 11-1 11-1 11-1STRATOS/IDB B 013 013 013 013
Use abbreviated dialing code 41.Do not request a confirmation
If your ship’s Inmarsat terminal does not contain a provision for using abbreviated dialing code 41, TELEXaddress 0023089406 may be used via COMSAT. Please note that the ship will incur telecommunicationcharges for any messages sent to TELEX address 0023089406 using any Inmarsat earth station other thanCOMSAT.
Some common mistakes include: (1) failure to end the message with five periods when using INMARSAT A,(2) failure to include BBXX in the message preamble, (3) incorrectly coding the date, time, latitude, longi-tude, or quadrant of the globe, (4) requesting a confirmation.
Using The SEAS/AMVER Software
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), in cooperation with the U.S. Coast GuardAutomated Mutual-assistance VEssel Rescue program (AMVER) and COMSAT, has developed a PC soft-ware package known as AMVER/SEAS which simplifies the creation of AMVER and meteorological(BBXX) reports. The U.S. Coast Guard is able to accept, at no cost to the ship, AMVER reports transmittedvia Inmarsat-C in a compressed binary format, created using the AMVER/SEAS program. Typically, in thepast, the cost of transmission for AMVER messages has been assumed by the vessel. When ships participatein both the SEAS and AMVER programs, the position of ship provided in the meteorological report isforwarded to the Coast Guard as a supplementary AMVER position report to maintain a more accurate plot.To obtain the AMVER/SEAS program contact your U.S. PMO or AMVER/SEAS representative listed at theback of this publication.
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If using the NOAA AMVER/SEAS software, follow the instructions outlined in the AMVER/SEAS User’sManual. When using Inmarsat-C, use the compressed binary format and 8-bit X.25 (PSDN) addressing(31102030798481), rather than TELEX if possible when reporting weather.
Common errors when using the AMVER/SEAS include sending the compressed binary message via the code41 or a plain text message via the X.25 address. Only COMSAT can accept messages in the compressedbinary format. Text editors should normally not be utilized in sending the data in the compressed binaryformat as this may corrupt the message.
Telephone (Landline, Cellular, Satphone, etc.)
The following stations will accept VOS weather observations via telephone. Please note that the ship willbe responsible for the cost of the call in this case.
The National Weather Service is developing a dial-in bulletin board to accept weather observations using asimple PC program and modem. The ship will be responsible for the cost of the call when using thissystem. For details contact:
Reporting Through United States Coast Guard Stations
U.S. Coast Guard stations accept SITOR (preferred) or voice radiotelephone weather reports. Begin with theBBXX indicator, followed by the ships call sign and the weather message.
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U.S. Coast Guard High Seas Communication Stations
Ship ShipSEL ITU Xmit Rec
Location (CALL) Mode CAL MMSI # CH# Freq Freq Watch
Stations also maintain an MF/HF DSC watch on the following frequencies: 2187.5 kHz, 4207.5 kHz, 6312kHz, 8414.5 kHz, 12577 kHz, and 16804.5 kHz.
Voice frequencies are carrier (dial) frequencies. SITOR and DSC frequencies are assigned frequencies.
Note that some stations share common frequencies.
An automated watch is kept on SITOR. Type “HELP+” for the of instructions or “OBS+” to send the weatherreport.
For the latest information on Coast Guard frequencies, visit their webpage at: http://www.navcen.uscg.mil/marcomms.
1 MF/HF DSC has not yet been implemented at these stations.2 2300-1100 UTC Nights, 1100-2300 UTC Days3 2230-1030 UTC Nights, 1030-2230 UTC Days4 0600-1800 UTC Nights, 1800-0600 UTC Days5 0900-2100 UTC Nights, 2100-0900 UTC Days
U.S. Coast Guard Group Communication Stations
U.S. Coast Guard Group communication stations monitor VHF marine channels 16 and 22A and/or MFradiotelephone frequency 2182 kHz (USB). Great Lakes stations do not have MF installations.
The following stations have MF DSC installations and also monitor 2187.5 kHz DSC. Additional stations areplanned. Note that although a station may be listed as having DSC installed, that installation may not have yetbeen declared operational. The U.S. Coast Guard is not expected to have the MF DSC network installed anddeclared operational until 2003 or thereafter.
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The U.S. Coast Guard is not expected to have an VHF DSC network installed and declared operational until2005 or thereafter.
STATION MMSI #
CAMSLANT Chesapeake VA MF/HF — 003669995COMMSTA Boston MA MF/HF Remoted to CAMSLANT 003669991COMMSTA Miami FL MF/HF Remoted to CAMSLANT 003669997COMMSTA New Orleans LA MF/HF Remoted to CAMSLANT 003669998CAMSPAC Pt Reyes CA MF/HF — 003669990COMMSTA Honolulu HI MF/HF Remoted to CAMSPAC 003669993COMMSTA Kodiak AK MF/HF — 003669899Group Atlantic City NJ MF 003669903Group Cape Hatteras NC MF 003669906Group Southwest Harbor MF 003669921Group Eastern Shore VA MF 003669932Group Mayport FL MF 003669925Group Long Island Snd MF 003669931Act New York NY MF 003669929Group Ft Macon GA MF 003669920Group Astoria OR MF 003669910
Reporting Through Specified U.S. Commercial Radio Stations
If a U.S. Coast Guard station cannot be communicated with, and your ship is not INMARSAT equipped, U.S.commercial radio stations can be used to relay your weather observations to the NWS. When using SITOR,use the command “OBS +”, followed by the BBXX indicator and the weather message. Example:
Commercial stations affiliated with Globe Wireless (KFS, KPH, WNU, WCC, etc.) accept weather mes-sages via SITOR or morse code (not available at all times).
Commercial Stations affiliated with Mobile Marine Radio, Inc. (WLO, KLB, WSC) accept weathermessages via SITOR, with Radiotelephone and Morse Code (weekdays from 1300-2100 UTC only) alsoavailable as backups.
MARITEL Marine Communication System accepts weather messages via VHF marine radiotelephonefrom near shore (out 50-60 miles), and from the Great Lakes.
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Globe Wir eless
Ship ShipSEL ITU Xmit Rec
Location (CALL) Mode CAL MMSI # CH# Freq Freq Watch
The frequencies listed are used by the stations in the Global Radio network for both SITOR and GlobeEmail.Stations listed as being 24hr may not be operational during periods of poor propagation.
For the latest information on Globe Wireless frequencies, visit their webpage at: http://www.globewireless.com
Stations and channels are added regularly. Contact any Globe Wireless station/channel or visit the website foran updated list. Information on Morse frequencies available upon request.
Mobile Marine Radio Inc.
Ship ShipSEL ITU Xmit Rec
Location (CALL) Mode CAL MMSI # CH# Freq Freq Watch
WLO Radio is equipped with an operational Thrane & Thrane TT-6200A DSC system for VHF and MF/HFgeneral purpose digital selective calling communications.
To call an Mobile Marine Radio Inc., coast station facility on Morse Code ‘CW’, use a frequency from theworldwide channels listed below.
Tawas City, MI (Huron) 87Detroit, MI (Erie) 28Cleveland, OH (Erie) 86Buffalo, NY (Erie) 28
NORTH EAST COAST
Portland, ME 87Southwest Harbor, ME 28Rockport, ME 26,84Gloucester, MA 25Boston, MA 26,27Hyannisport, MA 28Nantucket, MA 85
7) MOM8) MSG+?
9) SEND MESSAGE10) KKKK (End of Message Indicator,
WAIT for System ResponseDO NOT DISCONNECT)
11) RTTY CHANNEL12) SHIP’S ANSWERBACK
13) SYSTEM REFERENCE,INFORMATION, TIME, DURATION
14) GA+?15) GO TO STEP 6, or16) BRK+? Clear Radio Circuit)
Stations listed as being 24Hr may not be operational during periods of poor propogation.
For the latest information on Mobile Marine Radio frequencies, visit their webpage at: http://www.wloradio.com.
MARITEL Stations
Instructions for MARITEL
Key the mike for five seconds on the working channel for that station. You should then get a recording tellingyou that you have reached the MARITEL system, and if you wish to place a call, key your mike for anadditional five seconds. A MARITEL operator will then come on frequency. Tell them that you want to pass amarine weather observation.
For the latest information on MARITEL frequencies, visit their webpage at: http://www.maritelinc.com.
Continued on Page 75
Stations VHF Channel(s)
WEST COAST
Bellingham, WA 28,85Port Angeles, WA 25Camano Island, WA 24Seattle, WA 26Tumwater, WA 85Astoria, OR 24,26Portland, OR 26Newport, OR 28Coos Bay, OR 25Santa Cruz, CA 27Santa Barbara, CA 86Redondo Bch, CA 27,85,87
HAWAII
Haleakala,HI (Maui) 26
GREAT LAKES
Duluth, MN (Superior) 84Ontonagon, MI (Superior) 86Copper Harbor (Superior) 87Grand Marias (Superior) 84Sault Ste Marie (Superior) 86Port Washington, WI (Mich) 85Charlevoix (Michican) 84Roger City (Huron) 28Alpena, MI (Huron) 84
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April 1999 75
VOS ProgramContinued from Page 74
VOS Program
New Bedford, MA 24,26Narragansett, RI 84New London, CT 26,86Bridgeport, CT 27Staten Island, NY 28Sandy Hook, NJ 24Toms River, NJ 27Ship Bottom, NJ 28Beach Haven, NJ 25Atlantic City, NJ 26Philadelphia, PA 26Delaware WW Lewes, DE 27Dover, DE 84Ocean City, MD 26Virginia Bch, VA 26,27
Freeport, TX 27Galveston, TX 24Arcadia, TX 87Houston, TX 26Port Arthur, TX 27Lake Charles, LA 28,84Erath, LA 87Morgan City, LA 24,26Houma, LA 86Venice, LA 27,28,86New Orleans, LA 24,26,87Hammond, LA 85Hopedale, LA 85Gulfport, MS 28Pascagoula, MS 27Pensacola, FL 26Ft Walton Bch, FL 28Panama City, FL 26Apalachicola, FL 28Crystal River, FL 28Clearwater, FL 26Tampa Bay, FL 24Venice, FL 27Ft Myers, FL 26Naples, FL 25
Military Communications Circuits
Navy, Naval, and U.S. Coast Guard ships wishing to participate in the VOS program may do so by sendingunclassified weather observations in synoptic code (BBXX format) to the following Plain Language ADdress(PLAD):
SHIP OBS NWS SILVER SPRING MD
As weather observations received by NWS are public data, vessels should check with their local commandbefore participating in the VOS Program.
New Recruits�September through December 1998
During the four-month period ending December 31, 1998, PMOs recruited 34 vessels as weather observers/reporters in the National Weather Service (NWS) Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS) Program. Thank you forjoining the program.
All Voluntary Observing Ships are asked to follow the worldwide weather reporting schedule—by reportingweather four times daily at 0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 UTC. The United States and Canada have a three-hourly weather reporting schedule from coastal waters out 200 miles from shore, and from anywhere on theGreat Lakes. From these coastal areas, please report weather at 0000, 0300, 0600, 0900, 1200, 1500, 1800,and 2100 ZULU or UTC, whenever possible.h
76 Mariners Weather Log
VOS Program
National Weather Service Voluntary Observing Ship Program
New Recruits from September 1 to December 31, 1998
NAME OF SHIP CALL AGENT NAME RECRUITING PMO
AQUARIUS ACE 3FHB8 HUAL AGENCIES, INC NEW YORK CITY, NY
CAPE JUBY WEBW AMSEA NORFOLK, VA
CARNIVAL PARADISE 3FOB5 CARNIVAL CRUISE LINE MIAMI, FL
CHOYANG SUCCESS 3FPV8 INCHCAPE SHIPPING SERVICES NEW YORK CITY, NY
EL MORRO KCGH SEA STAR SHIPPING LOS ANGELES, CA
EL YUNQUE WGJT SEA STAR SHIPPING JACKSONVILLE, FL
ENTERPRISE WAUY FARRELL LINES INC NEW YORK CITY, NY
EVER DEVELOP 3FLF8 EVERGREEN AMERICA CORP. NEW YORK CITY, NY
EVER DEVOTE 3FIF8 EVERGREEN AMERICA CORP. NEW YORK CITY, NY
EVER DIAMOND 3FSQ8 EVERGREEN AMERICA CORP. NEW YORK CITY, NY
EVER DYNAMIC 3FUB8 EVERGREEN AMERICA CORP NEW YORK CITY, NY
INDEPENDENT LEADER DHOU RICE, UNRUH, REYNOLDS CO. NEW YORK CITY, NY
KAPITAN MASLOV UBRO FESCO AGENCIES N.A., INC SEATTLE, WA
KEN YO 3FIC5 INUI STEAMSHIP CO., LTD SEATTLE, WA
LEOPARDI V7AU8 JOHN S. CONNOR, INC. BALTIMORE, MD
MAERSK BROOKLYN C6OE8 MAERSK SHIPPING INC NEW YORK CITY, NY
MSC GINA C4LV MEDITERRANEAN SHIPPING COMPANY NEW YORK CITY, NY
NATHANIEL B. PALMER WBP3210 EDISON CHOUEST OFFSHORE SEATTLE, WA
NORWEGIAN DREAM C6LG5 NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE MIAMI, FL
NORWEGIAN WIND C6LG6 NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE MIAMI, FL
PRESIDENT GRANT WCY2098 AMERICAN SHIP MANAGEMENT LOS ANGELES, CA
REMBRANDT C6IP4 PREMIER CRUISES NEW YORK CITY, NY
RENEGADE ZCMF9 BRETON INVESTMENTS LTD MIAMI, FL
RIO APURE ELUG7 KING OCEAN....CHINA NAV CO. MIAMI, FL
SEABOURN PRIDE LALT2 ROBERT CHAMBERLAIN MIAMI, FL
STAR HARMONIA LAGB5 A/S BILLABONG BALTIMORE, MD
STELLAR KOHINOOR 3FFG8 SHOWA LINE ENG. CO, LTD. SEATTLE, WA
TORM MARTA 3FYV6 CAPES SHIPPING NORFOLK, VA
TOWER BRIDGE ELJL3 K LINE AMERICA, INC SEATTLE, WA
TROPICAL DAWN ELTK9 INCHCAPE SHIPPING SERVICES BALTIMORE, MD
USNS BOB HOPE NHNM USNS BOB HOPE NORFOLK, VA
USNS MT BAKER NZHN COMMANDER MSC, NFAF EAST NORFOLK, VA
WORLD SPIRIT ELWG7 M.O.SHIP MANAGEMENT CO., LTD, 8TH FLR SEATTLE, WA
WORLD SPIRIT ELWF7 M.O.SHIP MANAGEMENT CO., LTD, 8TH FLR SEATTLE, WA
April 1999 77
VOS Program
VOS Program Awards and Presentations Gallery
New Orleans PMO JackWarrelmann (left) presents a1998 VOS award to RadioOfficer Correia, CaptainNielsson, Captain Olsen, andfirst officer Varpenius of theM/V SAN ANTONIO.
The crew of the MEKHANIKMOLDOVANOV while inSeattle discussed AMVER/SEAS reports with SeattlePMO Pat Brandow.
78 Mariners Weather Log
VOS Program
Two crew members of the RUBIN KOBE receivedAMVER/SEAS instruction from Seattle PMO PatBrandow while in port in Tacoma, Washington.
Lt. Joseph A. Pica (left) of NOAAShip OREGON II receiving a1998 VOS award from PMO NewOrleans Jack Warrelmann.
Jim Saunders, PMO Baltimore (left) presents SecondOfficer of the M/V AGULHAS with a VOS award for1998.
April 1999 79
VOS Program
Jim Saunders, PMO Baltimore (left) presentsCapt. Juergen Herter, M/C COLUMBINE withan outstanding performance award for 1998.
Baltimore PMO Jim Saunders (left) presentsCapt. Scribner, ITB JACKSONVILLE , with aVOS award for 1998.
George Burkley (left), Instructorat the Maritime Institute ofTechnology, and Lee Chesneau ofNCEP-Marine Forecast Branch.Lee is a visiting professor atMITAG’S Heavy Weather coursefor mariners. Photo by JimSaunders.
80 Mariners Weather Log
VOS Program
Barograph trace from the M/V MANOA enroute from Yokohama to Oakland on March 10, 1998.
Barograph trace from the KAUAI enroute from Honolulu to Seattle. Wind of 50 knots was reported at 1800on November 23, 1998.
April 1999 81
VOS Cooperative Ship Reports
VOS Coop Ship Reports � September through December 1998
The National Climatic Data Center compiles the tables for the VOS Cooperative Ship Report from radiomessages. The values under the monthly columns represent the number of weather reports received. PortMeteorological Officers supply ship names to the NCDC. Comments or questions regarding this report shouldbe directed to NCDC, Operations Support Division, 151 Patton Avenue, Asheville, NC 28801, Attn: DimitriChappas (828-271-4055 or [email protected]).
Weather observations are taken each hour during a 20-minute averaging period, with a sample takenevery 0.67 seconds. The significant wave height is defined as the average height of the highest one-third of the waves during the average period each hour. The maximum significant wave height is thehighest of those values for that month. At most stations, air temperature, water temperature, windspeed and direction are sampled once per second during an 8.0-minute averaging period each hour(moored buoys) and a 2.0-minute averaging period for fixed stations (C-MAN). Contact NDBC DataSystems Division, Bldg. 1100, SSC, Mississippi 39529 or phone (601) 688-1720 for more details.
Peter Gibino, PMO, NorfolkNWS-NOAA200 World Trade CenterNorfolk, VA 23510Tel: 757-441-3415Fax: 757-441-6051E-mail: [email protected]
James Saunders, PMONational Weather Service, NOAAMaritime Center I, Suite 2872200 Broening Hwy.Baltimore, MD 21224-6623Tel: 410-633-4709Fax: 410-633-4713E-mail: [email protected]
PMO, New JerseyNational Weather Service, NOAA110 Lower Main Street, Suite 201South Amboy, NJ 08879-1367Tel: 732-316-5409Fax: 732-316-6543
Tim Kenefick, PMO, New YorkNational Weather Service, NOAA110 Lower Main Street, Suite 201South Amboy, NJ 08879-1367Tel: 732-316-5409Fax: 732-316-7643E-mail: [email protected]
Great Lakes Ports
Amy Seeley, PMONational Weather Service, NOAA333 West University Dr.Romeoville, IL 60441Tel: 815-834-0600 Ext. 269Fax: 815-834-0645E-mail: [email protected]
George Smith, PMONational Weather Service, NOAAHopkins International AirportFederal Facilities Bldg.Cleveland, OH 44135Tel: 216-265-2374Fax: 216-265-2371E-Mail: [email protected]
Gulf of Mexico Ports
John Warrelmann, PMONational Weather Service, NOAAInt’l Airport, Moisant FieldBox 20026New Orleans, LA 70141Tel: 504-589-4839E-mail: [email protected]
James Nelson, PMONational Weather Service, NOAAHouston Area Weather Office1620 Gill RoadDickinson, TX 77539Tel: 281-534-2640 x.277Fax: 281-337-3798E-mail: [email protected]
Pacific Ports
Derek Lee LoyOcean Services Program CoordinatorNWS Pacific Region HQGrosvenor Center, Mauka Tower737 Bishop Street, Suite 2200Honolulu, HI 96813-3213Tel: 808-532-6439Fax: 808-532-5569E-mail: [email protected]
Robert Webster, PMONational Weather Service, NOAA501 West Ocean Blvd., Room 4480Long Beach, CA 90802-4213Tel: 562-980-4090Fax: 562-980-4089Telex: 7402731/BOBW UCE-mail: [email protected]
Robert Novak, PMONational Weather Service, NOAA1301 Clay St., Suite 1190NOakland, CA 94612-5217Tel: 510-637-2960Fax: 510-637-2961Telex: 7402795/WPMO UCE-mail: [email protected]
Patrick Brandow, PMONational Weather Service, NOAA7600 Sand Point Way, N.E.Seattle, WA 98115-0070Tel: 206-526-6100Fax: 206-526-4571 or 6094Telex: 7608403/SEA UCE-Mail: [email protected]
Gary EnnenNational Weather Service, NOAA600 Sandy Hook St., Suite 1Kodiak, AK 99615Tel: 907-487-2102Fax: 907-487-9730E-mail: [email protected]
Lynn Chrystal, OICNational Weather Service, NOAA
Meteorological Services
Meteorological Services�Observations
Continued on Page 103
April 1999 103
Meteorological Services
Box 427Valdez, AK 99686Tel: 907-835-4505Fax: 907-835-4598E-mail: [email protected]
Greg Matzen, Marine Program Mgr.W/AR1x2 Alaska RegionNational Weather Service222 West 7th Avenue #23Anchorage, AK 99513-7575Tel: 907-271-3507E-mail: [email protected]
SEAS FieldRepresentatives
Mr. Robert DeckerSeas Logistics/ PMC7600 Sand Point Way N.E.Seattle, WA 98115Tel: 206-526-4280Fax: 206-526-6365Telex: 7408535E-Mail: [email protected]
Mr. Steven CookNOAA-AOMLUnited States GOOS Center4301 Rickenbacker CausewayMiami, FL 33149Tel: 305-361-4501Fax: 305-361-4366E-Mail: [email protected]
Mr. Robert BenwayNational Marine Fisheries Service28 Tarzwell Dr.Narragansett, RI 02882Tel: 401-782-3295Fax: 401-782-3201E-mail: [email protected]
Mr. Jim FarringtonSEAS Logistics/ A.M.C.439 WestWork St.Norfolk, VA 23510Tel: 757-441-3062Fax: 757-441-6495E-mail: [email protected]
Richard T. KenneyAMVER Maritime Relations OfficerUnited States Coast GuardBattery Park BuildingNew York, NY 10004Tel: 212-668-7764Fax: 212-668-7684Telex: 127594 AMVERNYKE-mail: [email protected]
MelbourneMichael T. Hills, PMAVictoria Regional OfficeBureau of Meteorology, 26th Floor150 Lonsdale StreetMelbourne, VIC 3000Tel: +613 66694982Fax: +613 96632059
FremantleCaptain Alan H. Pickles, PMAWA Regional Office1100 Hay Street, 5th FloorWest Perth WA 6005Tel: +619 3356670Fax: +619 2632297
SydneyCaptain E.E. (Taffy) Rowlands, PMANSW Regional OfficeBureau of Meteorology, Level 15300 Elizabeth StreetSydney NSW 2000Tel:+612 92961547Fax: +612 92961589Telex: AA24640
Canada
Randy Sheppard, PMOEnvironment Canada1496 Bedford Highway, Bedford(Halifax) Nova Scotia B4A 1E5902-426-6703E-mail: [email protected]
Jack Cossar, PMOEnvironment CanadaBldg. 303, PleasantvilleP.O. Box 21130, Postal Station “B”St. John’s, Newfoundland A1A 5B2Tel: 709-772-4798E-mail: [email protected]
Michael Riley, PMOEnvironment CanadaPacific and Yukon RegionSuite 700, 1200 W. 73rd AvenueVancouver, British Columbia V6P 6H9Tel: 604-664-9136Fax: 604-664-9195E-Mail: [email protected]
Ron Fordyce, Supt. Marine Data UnitRick Shukster, PMORoland Kleer, PMOEnvironment CanadaPort Meteorological Office100 East Port Blvd.Hamilton, Ontario L8H 7S4Tel: 905-312-0900Fax: 905-312-0730E-mail: [email protected]
China
YU ZhaoguoShanghai Meteorological Bureau166 Puxi RoadShanghai, China
Denmark
Commander Lutz O. R. NiegschPMO, Danish Meteorological Inst.Lyngbyvej 100, DK-2100Copenhagen, DenmarkTel: +45 39157500Fax: +45 39157300
United Kingdom
HeadquartersCapt. Stuart M. Norwell,Marine Superintendent, BD (OM)Meteorological Office, Met O (OM)Scott Building, Eastern RoadBracknell, Berks RG12 2PWTel: +44-1344 855654Fax: +44-1344 855921Telex: 849801 WEABKA G
Port Meteorological OfficerKobe Marine Observatory14-1, Nakayamatedori-7-chomeChuo-ku, Kobe, 650 JapanFax: 078-361-4472
Port Meteorological OfficerNagoya Local Meteorological Obs.2-18, Hiyori-cho, Chikusa-kuNagoya, 464 JapanFax: 052-762-1242
Port Meteorological OfficerYokohama Local Met. Observatory99 Yamate-cho, Naka-ku,Yokohama, 231 JapanFax: 045-622-3520
Kenya
Ali J. Mafimbo, PMOPO Box 98512Mombasa, KenyaTel: +254 1125685Fax: +254 11433440
Malaysia
NG Kim LaiAssistant Meteorological OfficerMalaysian Meteorological ServiceJalan Sultan, 46667 PetalingSelangor, Malaysia
Mauritius
Mr. S RagoonadenMeteorological ServicesSt. Paul Road, Vacoas, MauritiusTel: +230 6861031Fax: +230 6861033
Netherlands
John W. Schaap, PMOKNMI/PMO-OfficeWilhelminalaan 10, PO Box 2013730 AE De Bilt, NetherlandsTel: +3130 2206391Fax: +3130 210849E-Mail: [email protected]
New Zealand
Julie Fletcher, MMOMetService New Zealand Ltd.P.O. Box 722Wellington, New ZealandTel: +644 4700789Fax: +644 4700772
Jozef Kowalewski,PMOInstitute of Meteorology and Water Mgt.Maritime Branchul.Waszyngtona 42, 81-342 Gdynia PolandTel: +4858 6205221Fax: +4858 6207101E-mail: kowalews@stratus/imgw.gdynia.pl
Saudi Arabia
Mahmud Rajkhan, PMONational Met. Environment Centre
EddahTel:+ 9662 6834444 Ext. 325
Singapore
Edmund Lee Mun San, PMOMeteorological Service, PO Box 8Singapore Changi AirportSingapore 9181Tel: +65 5457198Fax: +65 5457192
South Africa
C. Sydney Marais, PMOc/o Weather OfficeCapt Town International Airport 7525Tel: + 27219340450 Ext. 213
Continued on Page 106
Meteorological ServicesContinued from Page 104
Fax: +27219343296
Gus McKay, PMOMeteorological OfficeDurban International Airpot 4029Tel: +2731422960Fax: +2731426830
David FeitNational Centers for Environmental PredictionMarine Prediction CenterWashington, DC 20233Tel: 301-763-8442Fax: 301-763-8085
Meteorological Services - Forecasts
Tropics
Chris BurrNational Centers for Environmental PredictionTropical Prediction Center11691 Southwest 17th StreetMiami, FL 33165Tel: 305-229-4433Fax: 305-553-1264E-Mail: [email protected]
Central Pacific High Seas
Tim CraigNational Weather Service Forecast Office2525 Correa Road, Suite 250Honolulu, HI 96822-2219Tel: 808-973-5280Fax: 808-973-5281E-mail: [email protected]
Alaska High Seas
Dave PercyNational Weather Service6930 Sand Lake RoadAnchorage, AK 99502-1845Tel: 907-266-5106Fax: 907-266-5188
Coastal Atlantic
John W. CannonNational Weather Service Forecast OfficeP.O. Box 1208Gray, ME 04039Tel: 207-688-3216E-mail: [email protected]
Mike FitzsimmonsNational Weather Service Office810 Maine StreetCaribou, ME 04736Tel: 207-498-2869Fax: 207-498-6378E-mail: [email protected]
Tom Fair/Frank NoceraNational Weather Service Forecast Office445 Myles Standish Blvd.Taunton, MA 02780Tel: 508-823-1900E-mail: [email protected];[email protected]
Ingrid AmbergerNational Weather Service Forecast Office175 Brookhaven AvenueBuilding NWS #1Upton, NY 11973Tel: 516-924-0499 (0227)E-mail: [email protected]
106 Mariners Weather Log
Meteorological Services
James A. EberwineNational Weather Service Forecast OfficePhiladelphia732 Woodlane RoadMount Holly, NJ 08060Tel: 609-261-6600 ext. 238E-mail: [email protected]
Dewey WalstonNational Weather Service Forecast Office44087 Weather Service RoadSterling, VA 20166Tel: 703-260-0107E-mail: [email protected]
Brian CullenNational Weather Service Office10009 General Mahone Hwy.Wakefield, VA 23888-2742Tel: 804-899-4200 ext. 231E-mail: [email protected]
Robert FrederickNational Weather Service Office53 Roberts RoadNewport, NC 28570Tel: 919-223-5737E-mail: [email protected]
John F. TownsendNational Weather Service Office5777 South Aviation AvenueCharleston, SC 29406-6162Tel: 803-744-0303 ext. 6 (forecaster)803-744-0303 ext. 2 (marine weatherrecording)
Kevin WoodworthNational Weather Service Office5777 S. Aviation AvenueCharleston, SC 29406Tel: 843-744-0211Fax: 843-747-5405E-mail: [email protected]
Andrew ShashyNational Weather Service Forecast Office13701 Fang RoadJacksonville, FL 32218Tel: 904-741-5186
Randy LascodyNational Weather Service Office421 Croton Road
Melbourne, FL 32935Tel: 407-254-6083
Michael O’BrienNational Weather Service Forecast Office11691 Southwest 17 StreetMiami, FL 33165-2149Tel: 305-229-4525
Great Lakes
Daron Boyce, Senior Marine ForecasterNational Weather Service Forecast OfficeHopkins International AirportCleveland, OH 44135Tel: 216-265-2370Fax: 216-265-2371
Tom PaoneNational Weather Service Forecast Office587 Aero DriveBuffalo, NY 14225Tel: 716-565-0204 (M-F 7am-5pm)
Tracy PackinghamNational Weather Service Office5027 Miller Trunk Hwy.Duluth, MN 55811-1442Tel: 218-729-0651E-mail: [email protected]
Dave GuentherNational Weather Service Office112 Airport Drive S.Negaunee, MI 49866Tel: 906-475-5782 ext. 676E-mail: [email protected]
Terry EggerNational Weather Service Office2485 S. Pointe RoadGreen Bay, WI 54313-5522Tel: 920-494-5845E-mail: [email protected]
Robert McMahonNational Weather Service Forecast OfficeMilwaukeeN3533 Hardscrabble RoadDousman, WI 53118-9409Tel: 414-297-3243Fax: 414-965-4296E-mail: [email protected]
Amy SeeleyNational Weather Service Forecast Office333 West University DriveRomeoville, IL 60446Tel: 815-834-0673 ext. 269E-mail: [email protected]
Bob DukeshererNational Weather Service Office4899 S. Complex Drive, S.E.Grand Rapids, MI 49512-4034
John BorisNational Weather Service Office8800 Passenheim Hill RoadGaylord, MI 49735-9454Tel: 517-731-3384E-mail: [email protected]
Bill HosmanNational Weather Service Forecast Office 9200White Lake RoadWhite Lake, MI 48386-1126Tel: 248-625-3309Fax: 248-625-4834E-mail: [email protected]
Len BucklinNational Weather Service Forecast Office62300 Airport RoadSlidell, LA 70460-5243Tel: 504-522-7330
Steve Pfaff, Marine Focal PointNational Weather Service Forecast Office300 Pinson DriveCorpus Christi, TX 78406Tel: 512-289-0959Fax: 512-289-7823
Rick GravittNational Weather Service Office500 Airport Blvd., #115Lake Charles, LA 70607Tel: 318-477-3422Fax: 318-474-8705E-mail: [email protected]
Eric EsbensenNational Weather Service Office8400 Airport Blvd., Building 11Mobile, AL 36608Tel: 334-633-6443Fax: 334-607-9773
Paul YuraNational Weather Service Office20 South VermillionBrownsville, TX 78521
Brian KyleNational Weather Service OfficeHouston1620 Gill RoadDickenson, TX 77539
Meteorological ServicesContinued from Page 105
Continued on Page 107
April 1999 107
Tel: 281-337-5074Fax: 281-337-3798
Greg Mollere, Marine Focal PointNational Weather Service Forecast Office3300 Capital Circle SW, Suite 227Tallahassee, FL 32310Tel: 904-942-8999Fax: 904-942-9396
Dan SobienNational Weather Service OfficeTampa Bay2525 14th Avenue SERuskin, FL 33570Tel: 813-645-2323Fax: 813-641-2619
Scott Stripling, Marine Focal PointNational Weather Service OfficeCarr. 190 #4000Carolina, Puerto Rico 00979Tel: 787-253-4586Fax: [email protected]
Coastal Pacific
William D. BurtonNational Weather Service Forecast OfficeBin C157007600 Sand Point Way NE
Seattle, WA 98115Tel: 206-526-6095 ext. 231Fax: 206-526-6094
Stephen R. StarmerNational Weather Service Forecast Office5241 NE 122nd AvenuePortland, OR 97230-1089Tel: 503-326 2340 ext. 231Fax: 503-326-2598
Rick HoltzNational Weather Service Office4003 Cirrus DriveMedford, OR 97504Tel: 503-776-4303Fax: 503-776-4344E-mail: [email protected]
Jeff OsienskyNational Weather Service Office300 Startare DriveEureka, CA 95501Tel: 707-443-5610Fax: 707-443-6195
Jeff KoppsNational Weather Service Forecast Office21 Grace Hopper Avenue, Stop 5Monterey, CA 93943-5505Tel: 408-656-1717Fax: 408-656-1747
Chris JacobsenNational Weather Service Forecast Office520 North Elevar Street
Meteorological ServicesContinued from Page 106
Meteorological Services
Oxnard, CA 93030Tel: 805-988-6615Fax: 805-988-6613
Don WhitlowNational Weather Service Office11440 West Bernardo Ct., Suite 230San Diego, CA 92127-1643Tel: 619-675-8700Fax: 619-675-8712
Andrew BrewingtonNational Weather Service Forecast Office6930 Sand Lake RoadAnchorage, AK 95502-1845tel: 907-266-5105
Dave HefnerNational Weather Service Forecast OfficeIntl. Arctic Research Ctr. Bldg./UAFP.O. Box 757345Fairbanks, AK 99701-6266Tel: 907-458-3700Fax: 907-450-3737
Robert KananNational Weather Service Forecast Office8500 Mendenhall Loop RoadJuneau, AK 99801Tel and Fax: 907-790-6827
(MWL) at $12.00 ($15.00 foreign) per year (3 issues).
In this Issue:
U.S. Department of CommerceNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 401315 East-West HighwayDistribution UnitSilver Spring, MD 20910Attn: Mariners Weather Log
Address Correction Requested Book RateOFFICIAL BUSINESSPENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE $300
The Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale: An Interview with Dr. Robert Simpson .......................................................................10
How Does the Wind Generate Waves? ............................................................................17
The Endangered Right Whales—Reducing the Threat of Ship Strikes with Mandatory Ship Reporting ....................................................................................26