A Simple and Rapid earthquake Detection and Discrimination System for ELARMS or A new conceptual schema for earthquake detection Marco Olivieri 1 & Richard M. Allen 2 1) Istituto Naz. Di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy 2) SeismoLab, UCBerkeley, Berkeley, CA
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Marco Olivieri 1 & Richard M. Allen 2 1) Istituto Naz. Di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy
Marco Olivieri 1 & Richard M. Allen 2 1) Istituto Naz. Di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy 2) SeismoLab, UCBerkeley, Berkeley, CA. A Simple and Rapid earthquake Detection and Discrimination System for ELARMS or A new conceptual schema for earthquake detection. Aim of the project. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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A Simple and Rapid earthquake Detection and Discrimination
System for ELARMSor
A new conceptual schema for earthquake detection
Marco Olivieri1 & Richard M. Allen2
1) Istituto Naz. Di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy2) SeismoLab, UCBerkeley, Berkeley, CA
Aim of the project
To develop a new earthquake detection algorithm
Objective:• To speed-up the detection process• To reduce false detections
• Peculiar attention to EEW systems
Traditional approach
“Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence”Why?
Traditional approach (2)
Because traditional phase associators do not know: • If the missing station is broken. • If not, when the pick for that station will be made
available.
i.e. Detection bases ONLY on the presence of picks in
a certain time-window.
Modern seismic networks • Status monitor:
– active-down station (real-time flow monitors)– good ground motion signal (real-time PSD)
• Latency monitor: – delay in data trasmission
These can be updated in real-time
A new concept• Assumption: If the network is reliable, all the operating
stations in the surrounding of the epicenter will detect ground motion change and the picker will produce a P-wave detections with a a priori known delay
If the network is reliable, we can look only at close stations
SubnetsWe define the concept of subnet:A subnet is small network made by a master
station + the five closest surrounding stations.
(If the azimuthal coverage is not appropriate (> 180o) we replace some of the stations to enhance it)
An earthquake is detected at a subnet when more than 3 stations produce a pick consistent with an hypocenter beneath the master station
Or: for each earthquake we will have only one subnet centered above its epicenter
• MGR subnet (left) • AOI subnet (right) this is the case of a
“border” subnet (azimuthal gap > 200o)• Each station belong to “its” subnet plus some of the
Expected relative arrival time for substation:MSCL 3.7 3MPAZ 5.1 10CEL 5.2 6MSRU 5.2 4SOI 5.8 3
Side effect:The fourth pick is expected 6 +14 seconds= 20. This means that for a EEW we know that an alert can not be earlier than 20 seconds after the eq occurrence, i.e. the area that can not be protected has a radius of about 70km
• enhance the rapid detection capability for a dense network of seismic stations in terms of:– Delay for the event declaration– False alert generated by sparse picks
• give a real-time and punctual information for the detection delay of the forthcoming earthquake (a crucial input for EEW systems)
the work is absolutely in progress
Association Diagram
example• TIME 20080606213901 -1• TIME 20080606213902 -1• TIME 20080606213903 -1• TIME 20080606213904 -1• TIME 20080606213905 -1• TIME 20080606213906 -1• TIME 20080606213907 -1• TIME 20080606213908 -1• MTTG 20080606213909 20080606213855.730• TIME 20080606213909 -1• MSRU 20080606213910 20080606213857.840• TIME 20080606213910 -1• CEL 20080606213911 20080606213855.820• MSCL 20080606213911 20080606213855.030• SOI 20080606213911 20080606213856.300• TIME 20080606213911 -1• TIME 20080606213912 -1• TIME 20080606213913 -1• TIME 20080606213914 -1• TIME 20080606213915 -1• TIME 20080606213916 -1• MPAZ 20080606213917 20080606213857.020
Latency issue:If latency is not constant over the different stations (and usually it is not!) the first incoming trigger can belong to a station that is not closest one to the epicenter