Corporate Presentation March, 2012
Jan 13, 2015
Corporate Presentation March, 2012
NAL Energy Corporation Profile
2
TSX Symbol NAE
Market Capitalization1 $1.1 Billion
Monthly Dividend $0.05/share
Net Debt2 $363 Million
Current Shares Outstanding2 151.9 Million
Notes:
1) As at March 7, 2012
2) As at 31DEC11
Convertible Debentures
Trading Symbol NAE.DB NAE.DB.A NAE.DB.B
Coupon 6.75% 6.25% 6.25%
Principal Outstanding ($MM) 80 115 150
Conversion Price ($/share) 14.0 16.50 9.90
Maturity Date 31AUG12 31DEC14 31MAR17
Strategic Direction – Long Term Sustainability
3
• Dividend paying E&P company
• Maximize cash flow
• Add scalable liquids opportunities
• Utilize new tools and technologies
• Deliver operating and capital cost efficiency
• Disciplined acquisition focus
• Balance dividend with sustaining capital
Key Focus – Grow Liquids Volumes
4
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12E Q2/12E Q3/12E Q4/12E
Volu
mes
(bo
e/d)
NAL Liquids Volumes
2012 Corporate Plan
5
• Grow liquids volumes – oil +4%, liquids mix @ 50%
• Capital focused on high ROR and recycle ratio projects
• Higher proportion of low risk development capital
• Continued appraisal activity in new oil resource plays
• Maintain financial flexibility
Executed Financial Action Plan
6
Reduced monthly dividend to $0.05
per share
Maintain credit lines by
focusing capital on oil and
liquids plays
Converted bank line from one to three year term
in 2011
Termed out $150 MM of bank debt with
convertible
Refinanced 2012 convertible
maturity ($80MM) with bank debt
Financial Flexibility
2012 Full Year Guidance
7
•Production (boe/d) 28,000 – 29,000
•Capital ($MM) 200
•Operating Costs ($/boe) 11.50 – 12.00
2011 Fourth Quarter & Full Year Results
8
• Q4 volumes of 29,795 boe/d exceeded expectations
• Oil & liquids volumes up 19% from Q2 to Q4
• Cash flow of $0.45 per share beat forecast
• Full year operating netback of $30.41/boe was up 11% y-o-y
• Added acreage in two of NAL’s core oil properties – Cardium in AB & Mississippian in SK
Reserves Profile
9
• P+P reserves: 104 MMBoe – 100% total production replacement
• Proved reserves: 64% of total P+P
• Current RLI: 10.0 years
• Higher liquids mix in 2011: 51% Liquids – 49% Natural gas
• 3 yr average F&D including FDC of $21.99/boe; FD&A of $21.99/boe
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
P+P
Res
erve
s (M
boe) Natural Gas
Oil & Liquids
PROVED PRODUCING
56%
PUD's8%
PROBABLE 36%
Reserves @ Jan 1 2012
10
Reserves & Capital Efficiency Summary 2011 2010
Reserves (MMboe)
Proved 66.2 71.0
Proved + Probable (“P+P) 103.8 103.9
P+P Reserves/sh (boe/sh) 0.69 0.71
RLI (years)
P+P 10.0 9.4
Reserves Replacement Ratio
P+P (excluding A&D) 127% 90%
P+P (including A&D) 99% 109%
Three Year Weighted Average
Including Changes in Future Development Capital 2011 2010 2009 2009 – 2011
Finding & Development Costs ($/boe)
Proved 27.09 21.41 18.52 21.99
P+P 24.86 22.60 17.86 21.99
F&D Recycle Ratio(3)
Proved 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.4
P+P 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.4
Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs ($/boe)
Proved 33.16 22.37 27.87 27.23
P+P 29.23 22.85 22.33 23.59
Operate Across Western Canada
11
Alberta
% Crude Oil: 45%
% of Production: 59%
British Columbia
% Gas & NGL’s: 100%
% of Production: 14%
SE Saskatchewan
% Crude Oil: 93%
% of Production: 25%
Cardium Oil
Mississippian Oil
Natural Gas
2012 Operational Strategy
12
• Go forward - Oil 100% of the capital program
• Deliver capital performance – execution/results
• High grade opportunity inventory
• Farm-out high risk/unproven acreage
13
2012 Capital – Focused Development
2011e 2012e
Drill, Complete & Tie-in 200 170
Plant & Facilities 18 10
Land & Seismic 18 10
Subtotal E&D 236 190
Other 10 10
Total 246 200
Note: Net dispositions totaled ~($29) MM in 2011
Capital Allocation By Play
14
$26
$23
$40
$51
$42
$34
$51
$73
$26
$26
$39
$79
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90
Liquids Rich Gas
Other Oil
Mississippian Oil
Cardium Oil
(Millions)
2012
2011
2010
Note: Does not include G&A, Facilities, Land & Seismic.
Drill, Complete & Tie-in - $170 MM
Cardium Oil: West Central AB
15
**Resource Halo Areas provided by Canadian Discovery
• Developing selectively to 3-4 wells/section
• Local sweet-spots emerging - focus on high-graded lands in Garrington/Westward Ho
• De-risking non-core through farm-outs
• New land deal completed in January 2012
Gross Risked Locations assuming up to 4 wells/ sec (see Appendix)
NAL Access Lands Tier 1 Halo Tier 2 Halo Tier 3 Halo Conventional
Garrington/ Westward Ho
Lochend
New Cardium Land Deal Increases Inventory
16
• New four year deal finalized January 2012
• Net $6MM commitment per year
• Access to 280 (182 net) sections of Cardium prospective land directly offsetting existing Garrington/Westward Ho acreage
• Adds 50 new drillable Cardium locations plus future upside
Cardium Oil: Cochrane / Lochend AB
17
• Sweet spot outperforming regional type curve by 2-3 times
• New 3D applied to delineate sweet spot
• Solution gas infrastructure added
3D
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1 13 25 37 49
Prod
ucti
on V
olum
es (
Boe/
d)
Month
Lochend Sweet SpotLochend NormalWWHOGarrington
NAL Access Lands Key Penetrations 2012 Program 2011 Program
Lochend Cardium Exceeding Expectations
18
• Q4 2011 results set-up active program for 2012
• Liquids and solution gas handling facilities added in 2011
Lochend W5M 3-17-027-03 1-17-027-03 1-18-027-03 16-19-027-03 14-20-027-03 16-20-027-03 8-33-027-03
On Production August 27, 2010
December 1, 2011
November 3, 2011
November 3, 2011
September 5, 2011
December 1, 2011
August 6, 2011
30 day IP (boe/d) 335 310 588 840 770 300 172
90 day IP (boe/d) 268 - - - - - 162
Current (boe/d) 174 153 258 660 234 167 100
Formation Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A
Frac Fluid Type Water Water Water Water Water Water Water
Number of Fracs 10 15 11 13 14 14 12
Lateral length (m) 1,082 1,179 1,024 1,260 1,132 1,276 1,000
30
45
39
Mississippian Prospect Inventory: n=114
2012 Program
Drillable Inventory
ContingentLocations
Mississippian Oil – Greater Hoffer
19
• Multiple play trends now proven
• Infrastructure in-place to:
o Facilitate pressure maintenance
o Minimize production down-time
o Reduce operating costs
• Land increased through strategic farm-ins
Gross Risked Locations assuming 300 m inter-well spacing (see Appendix)
NAL Access Lands MSSP Producers 2012 Program 2011 Program MSSP Oil Pools 3D Seismic Outline
Area Play-Types Schematic
Hoffer 2009 Pool Discovery
Beaubier New Pool Discovery
Neptune New Pool Discovery
Oungre Pool Extension
Emerging Tight Oil Play – Sawn Lake
20
• Scalable, repeatable oil resource play targeting Slave Point Platform Carbonates – positioned in 2010 - 2011
• OOIP of up to 6 mmboe/section
• Ave 50% WI in 32 gross sections
• Analogous development at 8 wells/ sec
• Play de-risked by offsetting activity
2
26
20
Slave Point Prospect Inventory: n=48
2012 Program
Drillable Inventory
Contingent Locations
Gross Risked Locations assuming 4 wells/ sec (see Appendix)
NAL Access Lands SLVP Penetrations 2012 Program 2011 Program
3D
1-26-91-13W5 IP: 445 bopd & 2%WC 16-35-91-13W5 IP: 380 bopd & 7%WC
Montney – Fireweed - NE British Columbia
21
• Discovery well – IP’d >1,000 boe/d @ 100
bbls/mmcf of liquids
• EUR - 630 Mboe per well
• 100% WI in 21 gas spacing units (sections)
• Second earning well drilled Q1/12
1
11
8
Montney Prospect Inventory: n=20
2012 Program
Drillable Inventory
Contingent Locations
Gross Risked Locations assuming 3 wells/ sec (see Appendix)
NAL Access Lands MNTY Penetrations 2012 Program 2011 Program
Significant Potential To Increase Oil Reserves
22
Gross Net
Drillable Inventory
Contingent Inventory
Total Risked
Locations
EUR per Well
(mboe)
Upside Reserve Potential (mmboe)
Average WI%
Upside Reserve Potential (mmboe)
Cardium 151 191 342 170 58.1 65 37.8
Mississippian – East 75 39 114 65 7.4 50 3.7
Mississippian – West 74 37 111 85 9.4 50 4.7
Slave Point Carbonate 28 20 48 170 8.2 50 4.1
Montney 12 8 20 630 12.6 100 12.6
635 95.7 62.9*
• Non-contingent development drilling inventory is drill-ready
• Well defined production and capital profiles
• Third Party activity is actively de-risking off-setting contingent locations
• Incremental potential exists at Fireweed and Sawn Lake to double location tallies beyond that represented above
*Note: includes 9.2 mmboe of booked reserves
Extensive Land Base
23
Note: Excludes Approx 950,000 Acres (Gross) of undifferentiated Developed and Undeveloped Lands
955,000
919,000
294,000
NAL Access Lands (Gross Acres)
Developed
Undeveloped
JV
195,000
747,000
271,000
NAL Undeveloped Access Lands (Gross Acres)
BC
Alberta
Saskatchewan
• 2.2 million gross acres • 1.2 million gross acres
24
Summary & Key Messages
Sustainable business model
Capital focused in core areas
Increasing liquids
volumes
Attractive relative
valuation
Appendix
26
Manulife: • Direct investor in oil and gas assets since
1990 • Long term investment horizon • Desire to increase investment
Terms of Administrative Cost Sharing
Agreement: • No management or acquisition fees • Shared G&A costs • Independently controlled board • Long term contract - 90 day NAL Energy
exit option
Benefits: • Enhanced technical/financial capability • Broad market view & investment discipline • Financial partner in transactions
Strategic Partnership with Manulife
NAL Resources Management
(manages 46,500 boe/d)
65% of assets are common
90% are operated
NAL Energy
28,500
boe/d
Manulife
18,000
boe/d
Non-Taxable For Many Years
27
Note: as at December 31, 2011
Available Tax Pools $ MM
Canadian Exploration Expense 91
Canadian Development Expense 516
Canadian Oil & Gas Property Expense 398
Undepreciated Capital Costs 245
Other (including loss carry forwards) 136
Total 1,386
Institutional 39%
Retail 60%
Manulife 1%
28
NAL Shareholder Analysis
Note: As at December 31, 2011
Canadian 71%
U.S. 21%
Foreign 8%
Income Focused Institutional Presence High Canadian Ownership
29
Available Credit Lines
Credit Lines ($MM)
2011
Bank of Montreal* 145
Royal Bank of Canada 110
CIBC 87.5
Bank of Nova Scotia 87.5
Alberta Treasury Branch 40
National Bank Financial 40
Union Bank of California 40
Total 550 * Includes $15 million of working capital facility
$365 MM of credit available as at Mar. 7th
Hedging Programs Manage Risk
30
• Objective - Protect cash flow for the purposes of sustaining dividends and maintaining an active capital program
• Board approval: maximum of 60% of net revenue
• Counterparties: all Canadian chartered banks
2012 Hedging Program
31
•Crude oil hedges - 7,878 bbls of 2012 oil volumes • Average floor price of US$ 97.37/bbl on swaps • Average floor price of US$ 101.25/bbl on collars
•Natural gas hedges - 12,396 of 2012 gas volumes • Average floor price of C$ 3.88/GJ on swaps • Average floor price of C$ 2.50/GJ on collars
• Interest rate: • 35 – 40% of 2012 bank debt @ 1.71%*
•Foreign Exchange: • 45% of 2012 US$ exposure @ 1.01(70% collared to 1.045)
* All in bank interest rate 4.7% after bank fees
Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate.
Quarterly contracts are a sum of multiple contracts aggregated for summary presentation.
Average prices are the weighted average price of all contracts summed in the respective quarters.
• For 2012, there are five swa p contracts for a total of 1,500 bbl/day at an average contract price of $102.30 that contain extendable call options. These call options provide the Counterparty with the option to extend the contract into calendar 2013 under the same price and volumetric terms. The counterparty can exercise this option at any time prior to December 31, 2012.
32
Crude Oil Hedge Positions
Crude Oil Hedge Contracts as at 3/7/2012
Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13
US$ Collar Contracts
WTI Collar Volume (bbls/d) 900 900 700 700
Bought Puts – Avg. Strike Price ($/bbl) 101.11 101.11 101.43 101.43
Sold Calls – Avg. Strike Price ($/bbl) 117.07 117.07 117.66 117.66
US$ Swap Contracts
WTI Swap Volume (bbls/d) 7,115 7,200 7,000 7,000 500 500 500 500
Avg. WTI Swap Price ($/bbl)* 97.30 97.44 97.36 97.36 100.95 100.95 100.95 100.95
Total Oil Volume (bbls/d) 8,015 8,100 7,700 7,700 500 500 500 500
US$ Option Contracts
Volume (bbls/d) 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Sold Calls – Avg. WTI Strike Price ($/bbl) 110 110 110 110
Premium Received ($/bbl/d) 10.33 10.33 10.33 10.33
33
Natural Gas Hedge Positions
Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate.
Quarterly contracts are a sum of multiple contracts aggregated for summary presentation.
Average prices are the weighted average price of all contracts summed in the respective quarters.
Natural Gas Hedge Contracts as at 3/7/2012
Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13
C$ Collar Contracts
AECO Collar Volume (GJ/d) 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Bought Puts & Avg Strike Price ($/GJ) $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50
Sold Calls – Avg. Strike Price ($/GJ) $3.05 $3.05 $3.05 $3.05 $3.05 $3.05 $3.05
C$ Swap Contracts
AECO Swap Volume (GJ/d) 24,000 7,000 7,000 5,674 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
AECO Avg. Price ($/GJ) $3.98 $3.77 $3.77 $3.69 $2.81 $2.81 $2.81 $2.81
Total Natural Gas Volume (GJ/d) 24,000 9,000 9,000 7,674 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
34
Interest Rate Hedge Positions
Financial Interest Rate Swap Contracts as at 3/7/2012
Remaining Term Notional Amount (C$ MM)
Floating Rate (Receive)
Fixed Rate (Pay)
Jan 2012 – Jan 2013 22 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.3850%
Jan 2012 – Jan 2014 22 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.5100%
Jan 2012 – Mar 2013 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.8750%
Jan 2012 – Mar 2014 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.9850%
Jan 2012 – Mar 2013 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.8500%
Jan 2012 – Mar 2014 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.9300%
Total Notional (Cdn $) 100*
* Fixed approximately 40% of floating bank debt ($250MM average for 2012e)
Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate.
35
Foreign Exchange Hedge Positions
Optional Fixing Range (USD/CAD)
Notional (US) per month
Term Counterparty Floating Rate
0.97 – 1.04 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
NAL has a commitment to sell the above notional USD at the lower fixing rate versus the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate. If the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate falls within the option fixing range. NAL has no commitments to sell USD.
When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate is outside the payout range, the monthly premium is forfeited. NAL is committed to selling the above listed USD at the upper payout range value for that month when the average noon spot foreign exchange rate exceeds the upper payout range.
Note: FX contracts as at 03/07/2012.
Fade-in Level (USD/CAD)
Strike Price (USD/CAD)
Participation Level (USD/CAD)
Notional (US) per month
Term Counterparty Floating Rate
0.92 0.985 1.03 $2.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
0.91 1.0075 1.05 $1.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
0.935 1.00 1.05 $0.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
0.92 1.012 1.0625 $0.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
0.92 0.995 1.035 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
0.93 1.04 1.075 $0.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012
BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
0.90 1.065 1.15 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2013 to Sept 30, 2013 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
Option Payout Range (USD/CAD)
Notional (US) per month
Term Counterparty Floating Rate Monthly Premium Received
0.93 - 1.03 $2.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate CAD $40K
0.90 - 1.15 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2013 to Sept 30, 2013 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate CAD $40K
NAL is fixed to sell USD on a monthly basis at the strike price. If the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate is below the fade-in level or between the strike and participating level, NAL has no commitment to sell USD.
36
Foreign Exchange Hedge Positions – Cont’d
NAL has a monthly commitment to settle the notional amount of the above fixed rates against the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate.
Note: FX contracts as at 3/7/2012.
Fixed Rate (USD/CAD)
Notional (US) per month
Term Counterparty Floating Rate
0.9954 $2.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
1.0565 $1.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
2012 Program: Half Cycle Play Metrics
37
Note: See Appendix for price assumptions
App
roxi
mat
e %W
I
DCE
T Ca
pita
l- G
ross
($
MM
)
EU
R pe
r W
ell -
Gro
ss
(mbo
e)
% G
as
F &
D (
$/bo
e)
Net
back
($/
boe)
Rec
ycle
Rat
io (
x)
BTA
X N
PV @
15 -
Gro
ss
($M
M)
BTA
X RO
R (%
)
BTA
X Pa
yout
(m
nths
)
201
2e P
rogr
am
Cochrane CRDM 65 3.5 - 3.7 200 - 300 21 12 - 20 60 3.5 - 5.0 1.7 - 6.0 30 - 200 8 - 36 16
Garr/ WWho CRDM 65 - 70 3.0 -3.3 160 20 20 75 4.0 1.4 - 1.7 34 - 40 24 - 30 15
Deep Basin Gas 20 - 70 3.0 - 6.0 300 - 550 60 - 94 9 - 14 20 - 35 2.0 - 4.0 0.6 - 2.0 20 - 50 22 - 40 10
Fireweed- MNTY 100 7.5 - 9.0 630 60 14 29 2.1 0.45 17 58 1
SW Williston MSSP 50 1.8 - 2.3 85 - 105 0 20 - 27 55 - 60 2.0 - 3.0 0.8 - 1.4 30 - 50 24 - 36 23
Greater Williston MSSP 35 - 100 1.2 - 1.7 60 - 70 0 - 10 18 - 28 70 - 85 2.5 - 4.0 0.9 - 1.9 45 - 190 12 - 24 22
Sawn Lake- SLVP 50 4.0 - 5.0 167 5 25 62 2.5 1.9 55 15 2
Other Oil 35 - 100 1.5 - 3.0 80 - 270 0 - 60 6 - 30 40 - 60 2.0 - 9.0 0.8 - 3.5 35 - 200 10 - 34 24
Misc. 11
Understanding Our Inventory
38
Prospect Attributes
Risked Inventory
>100% ROR
Tier 1 locations Tier 2 locations Tier 3 locations
Failed Proof-of-concept Positioning Barriers
Execution Barriers
80% 50%
20%
Drillable Immediately
Proven
Economic
Well Constrained by Mapping Positioning complete
Drillable in Near Term Drillable in
Medium Term
20% ROR
Geoscience Professionals Feeding Prospect Hopper
Un-Risked Inventory (n=2,750)
(n=1,150)
Risk Factors
Understanding Our Inventory
39
• Drillable Inventory equals • 100% of Tier 1 Locations
• Total Risked Inventory equals • 90% of Tier 1 locations plus • 50% of Tier 2 locations plus • 10% of Tier 3 locations
• Contingent Inventory equals • Total Risked Inventory minus Drillable Inventory
40
PDP reserves represent a high percentage of total proved
Conservatively Booked Reserves
96%93%
94% 95%
94%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Mbo
e
PROVED PRODUCING PROVED NON-PRODUCING & UNDEVELOPED
41
Probables represent a low percentage of total P+P reserves
Conservatively Booked Reserves
29%
30%
30% 27% 28%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Mbo
e
PROVED PROBABLE
42
NAL’s RLI has increased to 10 years in 2011
Increasing Reserves Life Index
5
6
7
8
9
10
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
RLI (
Year
s)
43
Stable Reserves Per Share Performance
Note: DARPS calculated using year-end reserves, net debt, convertibles and shares outstanding. Net debt converted to shares using annual average share price. Converts converted to shares at strike price
Stable reserves per share performance reinvesting approximately 66% of cash flow
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Mbo
e /
000
unit
s
44
Stable Production Per Share Performance
Note: Production per share calculated using annual average production and annual average shares outstanding. This metric is not debt-adjusted given complications in calculating average annual debt figures.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
boe
/ 00
0 un
its
P+P Reserves Per Unit
45
2012 Sensitivities on FFO
Impact on FFO – Excluding Hedges
Change ($MM) $/share
WTI ($US/bbl) $5.00 16.9 0.11
AECO ($C/GJ) $0.50 14.4 0.09
FX (CAD/US) $0.01 3.4 0.02
Prime Rate 1.0% 3.4 0.02
Production (bbl/d) 100 2.1 0.01
Production (mmcf/d) 1 0.4 0.003
Oil Differential 1.0% 3.9 0.03
Gas Differential 1.0% 0.9 0.01
Note: Excludes impact of hedge contracts
46
2012 Sensitivities on FFO
Impact on FFO – Including Hedges
($MM) $/share
WTI ($US/bbl) $5.00 2.9 0.02
AECO ($C/GJ) $0.50 12.7 0.08
FX (CAD/US) $0.01 2.3 0.02
Prime Rate 1.0% 2.4 0.02
Note: Includes impact of hedge contracts
Economic Evaluation Price Assumptions
47
Edmonton Par ($C/bbl) AECO Gas ($C/GJ)
2012 88.95 3.50
2013 92.00 3.90
2014 93.98 4.15
2015 95.96 4.40
2016 97.94 4.65
Thereafter +2%/year +2%/year
48
Sell-side Research
Analyst Firm Gordon Tait BMO Capital Markets
Grant Hofer Barclays Capital
Jeremy Kaliel CIBC World Markets
Katrina Karkkainen FirstEnergy Capital
Stacey McDonald GMP Securities
Cristina Lopez Macquarie Capital
Kyle Preston National Bank Financial
Cindy Mah Peters & Co.
Kristopher Zack Raymond James
Mark Friesen RBC Capital Markets
Gordon Currie Salman Partners
Patrick Bryden Scotia Capital
Michael Zuk Stifel Nicolaus
Travis Wood TD Securities
49
EXECUTIVE TEAM
Andrew Wiswell President & CEO
Keith Steeves VP Finance & CFO
John Koyanagi VP Business Development
INVESTOR RELATIONS
Clayton Paradis Director, Investor Relations
Local: (403) 294-3620 Toll-free: (888) 223.8792 E-mail: [email protected]
Corporate Information
TRUSTEE AND TRANSFER AGENT
Computershare Trust Company of Canada
AUDITOR
KPMG
ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS
McDaniel & Associates
LEGAL COUNSEL
Bennett Jones LLP
STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING & SYMBOL
Toronto Stock Exchange: NAE
EXECUTIVE OFFICE 1000 – 550 6th Avenue SW, Calgary, Alberta, T2P 0S2
Website: www.nalenergy.com
Disclaimers
50
• Forward Looking Statements • This document contains statements that constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation as to NAL
Energy Corporation’s (“NAL’s”) internal projections, expectations and beliefs relating to future events or future performance. This forward-looking information includes, among others, statements regarding: NAL’s strategic focus, business strategy and plans and budgets; business plans for drilling, exploration and development, including drilling locations; estimates of production and operations performance; forecasted commodity price estimates of future sales; estimated amounts, allocation and timing of capital expenditures; estimates of operating costs and unit operating costs; the estimated timing and results of new development programs; estimates of anticipated funds from operations, cash flow, netbacks, dividends, working capital and debt levels; estimated rates of return; the anticipated results of NAL’s divestiture program; various tax matters related to NAL; NAL’s hedging program; NAL’s prospect inventory; and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of operations or performance.
• Various assumptions were used in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts and projections contained in the forward-looking information contained in this presentation including, without limitation, with respect to commodity prices, interest rates, exchange rates, royalty rates, general and administrative expenses, the success of NAL's drilling programs and the production profile of NAL's oil and natural gas reserves. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks, which could cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by NAL and described in the forward-looking information contained in this document. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information. The material risk factors include, but are not limited to: the risks of the oil and gas industry, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing oil and natural gas, market demand and unpredictable facilities outages; risks and uncertainties involving the geology of oil and gas deposits; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; risk that adequate pipeline capacity to transport oil and natural gas to market may not be available; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates; the outcome and effects of any future acquisitions and dispositions; safety and environmental risks; uncertainties as to the availability and cost of financing and changes in capital markets; competitive actions of other industry participants; changes in general economic and business conditions; the possibility that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld; changes in tax laws; changes in royalty rates; the results of NAL’s risk mitigation strategies, including insurance; and NAL’s ability to implement its business strategy. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors which could affect NAL’s operations or financial results are included in NAL’s most recent Annual Information Form and Annual Financial Report. In addition, information is available in NAL’s other filings with Canadian securities regulatory authorities.
• Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of NAL’s management at the time the information is released. • Boe Conversion • Throughout this press release, the calculation of barrels of oil equivalent (boe) is based on the widely recognized conversion rate of six thousand cubic
feet (mcf) of natural gas for one barrel (bbl) of oil. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalence conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalence at the wellhead.
• All dollar amounts in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated.