Chapter 13 Evaluation and Project Management Management of Computer System Performance
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Chapter 13
Evaluation and Project Management
Management of
Computer SystemPerformance
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Agenda:
Project Planning
Understanding Cost Components Estimating the Project
Project Control
Ob jective:
Students should be able: to show theapproaches applied in evaluation and project
management .
Evaluation and Project Management
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Understanding Cost
Components
Costs are usually divided into two elements.
Direct and Indirect.
Specific allocations are a function of AccountingPractices and may differ.
Direct Costs-Labor, Materials, Facilities, Services
and Supervision
Indirect Costs- Administration, Fringe, G& A, Sr.Management. Etc .
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Projects & Project
Management
The following are some basic characteristics of aProject. Specific objectives ± defines concisely what you are
trying to do and what you will deliver«.in detail. This
will be to solve some problem or set of problems.
Schedule ± define specifically the duration of the effort
Budget ± Identify what is the budget and all variablesthat will affect it.
It should also include what you can and cannot control.
Resources ± Identify who will do the work andcommitments that those resources will be available.
One-time rather than ongoing
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Who are the Project Players?
The Sponsor ± The individual who has requestedthat the project be undertaken. They usually getor provide the funding and face the executives. (Remember the golden rule: he who has the gold, rules)
The Stakeholders ± Those who are affected bythe project and its implementation,
The Project Manager ± The individualresponsible for the management of the project.
Project Team ± The grunts. Individuals tasked toperform the work identified in the project plan.
Bystanders ± Those who provide unwantedadvice.
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Characteristics of a Project
Sequence or phases of activities
Unique (Non-repetitive)
Simple and/or Complex Inter-related activities
Specific Goal
Specific Time-frame
Specified Budget
Defined Specifications
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Project Stages
Scope
Definition
Scope Definition ±
Requirements & Business AnalysisPlanning
Planning ± Involves creating detailed,
step by step plansExecutionExecution ±
Execute the plan and only the plan.
Closure
Closure ±
Project review with a detailed lessons learned.
Feedback
Feedback Loops ± During the Execution,
as problems come up, take the issues back to the scope and planning stages as needed.
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Leading Contributors to
Project Success
Formal guidelines
Accountable sponsors
Project management skills Measurement systems
Formal priorities
Regular communication
Clear tracking Automated tools
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Why Projects Fail
Lack of Scope Control
Poor requirements Definition
Schedule/Cost overruns
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Time & Charge Numbers
Project time accounting is begun beforerequirements development begins. In every project in most companies, each has its
own budget.
Control and protect that budget.
The most efficient way to do this is through the use if real time accounting data. As people charge the
account, identify who and what they are doing. As projects grow or become more complex, this
becomes a problem.
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Importance of Estimates
Estimates are created using the following threevariables. Effort or Labor - This ensures that appropriate resources
are provided to the project. Time - Establishes an expectation to allow team members
to budget their time. This is also used to calculate costelements such as cost of capital and carrying costs.
Cost - Enables benefits to be weighed against costs. Thisis used as one of the key components of project valuation.
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Identifying Estimating Issues
Supportive data in the form of time and coststandards. The Basis of Estimate is a useful tool.
Reasonability based on experience
Definition of resource requirements for eachactivity
Influencing factors other than time and cost Contingency plan estimates
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Examples:Goal = e-business site
Function 1-Storyboards
1.1 Create layout Template
1.2 Select Color Scheme
1.3 Identify threads
Function 2 ± Site SystemDesign
2.1 Identify Static Pages
2.2 Identify Dynamic Pages 2.3 Identify Dynamic
content templates
Function 3 - ««
IT Project Management - WBS
GOAL Function 1
Task 1.1
Task 1.2
Task 1.3
Function 2
Task 2.1
Task 2.2
Task 2.3
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Importance of Scheduling
Role of project schedule
Coordinate tasks with non-project activities.
Acquiring or committing capital
Coordinate a project¶s task activities.
Assign resources over time.
Identify schedule and resource issues.
Identify potential problems.
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Planning Tools and Techniques
Gantt Chart: Popularized by Henry Gantt inthe early 1900¶s. Simple to construct,
Communicates resources and tasks well.
PERT Chart: Program Evaluation andReview Technique - Invented by US Navy in1958, More complex to construct,
Clearly shows relationships between tasks,
Show a more complete picture of the project.
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Schedule Components
Planned start and expected finish dates for allphases Major milestones and/or key events
Related reports Dependencies and the sequence of activities
There are three ways to present information visually.These are: The Calendar
The Gantt chart
The PERT/CPM (Arrow) chart
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Calendar
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Gantt
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Gantt Chart - Types of Task
Relationships
TASK A
TASK B
TASK A
TASK B
TASK A
TASK B
LAG TIME
FINISH TO START
LEAD
TIM
E
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PERT/CPM (Arrow)
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The Critical Path
For any presentation of a project schedule, the oneelement that requires clear and concise definition isthe Critical Path.
The Critical Path is a sequence of activities thatdrive the completion date. Late critical path activity equals late project
completion.
Identify critical path activities early and monitor
closely. Create prevention and contingency plans.
Monitor activities that could enter the critical path.
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Project Schedule Critical Path
The critical path is a sequence of Tasks
(WBS elements) that drive the completion
date.
Most critical path element have little, if any,
slack time. It must be completed sequentially
and on schedule.
If the critical Task path element is late, the projectwill be late.
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Project Schedule Critical Path
The management of a project¶s critical
path is critical. It is strongly suggested
that you, as the Project Manager; Identify critical path activities early and monitor
closely.
Create prevention and contingency plans.
Monitor activities that could enter the criticalpath.
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Project Schedules
Role of project schedule Coordinate tasks with non-project related activities.
Coordinate a project¶s task activities.
Assign resources over time. Identify schedule and resource issues.
Identify potential problems.
Planned start and expected finish dates for allphases. Major milestones and/or key events.
Related reports.
Dependencies and the sequence of activities.
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Creating a Bottom-Up Budget
This, as the title implies, requires that each element
within the Project be priced.
Determine how, at what rate, and when monetary
resources will be applied to a project. This is a costof capital approach and is critical to the
management of the budget.
Demonstrate whether you can meet the top-down
budget developed during the scope phase.
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Risk and Variance
The difference between the initial project budget andthe actual spending on the project is variance.
Causes of budget variance
Accuracy of estimates ± this is usually the biggest issue.Errors are made when getting aggressive to win the job.
Inflation ± Lately, this has been in check. Labor inflation isa potential problem.
Availability of resources ± Try to get a WebSphere
Programmer. Use of overtime and Seasonal fluctuations in prices ± if not
accounted, can trash a budget.
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Project Planning
Keys to Failure
Unplanned Schedule Delays are a major factor inproject failures. Many Project Managers fail to allow for any slack in any
portion of the schedule, essentially placing everything onthe critical path. This is sure to result in conflicts. Pre-mature Estimates - too precise with out the Project Schedule Not Adjusted as Scope Changes Failure to recognize Schedule Dependencies
Project Falls prone to the ³Mythical Man-monththeory - [Brooks]
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All Projects must have a risk managementprocess in place. This must include risk
mitigation. This approach is to identify critical paths through
the project¶s life and to identify various issuesassociated with each path.
Issues are weighted and those with the greatestprobability of occurrence are mitigated withalternative plans.
Risk Management
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IT Project Risk Management
R isk is inherent in every project.
Risk is a fundamental ingredient of opportunity.
It is inherent in every project. It is the possibility, not the certainty, of bearing
a loss that must be addressed.
Loss could be anything from diminished
quality of an end product to increasedcost, missed deadlines, or project failure.
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IT Project Risk Management
R isk is neither intrinsically good nor bad.
Risk is not something to avoid, especially because is
inherent in every project. It is to be mitigated.
Most risk mitigation methodologies consider risk as the
basis for opportunity.
The manner in which the risk is mitigated may be the
professional differentiator between your project solution
and that of your competitor.
As such, risk in itself, risk is neither essentially good
nor bad.
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IT Project Risk Management
R isk is not something to fear, but
something to manage.
Successful teams deal with risk by recognizingand minimizing uncertainty
They do this by proactively and aggressively
addressing each identified risk area and
developing a mitigation for it..
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IT Project Risk Management
Assess risks continuously throughout the project life cycle. Successful risk management is morethan just identifying risk factors at the start of the
project; Risk must be addressed and a constant assessment of
risk throughout the life of the project must beundertaken.
New risks are revealed during the life of a project and
work continues Previously identified risks change. They become
either;
more or less probable or more or less severe.
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IT Project Risk Management
Ongoing risk management of a project introduces adegree of resilience to change.
P roactive risk management involves identifying
risks ahead of time and preventing them throughreduction, transference, or avoidance.
R educe the risk . Risk reduction tries to minimize the likelihood that a risk will occur or,
to minimize the impact if the risk does occur.
Ex: architecting a system with strong system security sothat the risk of data loss or corruption is reduced.
Ex. minimizing the impact of a risk is installing anuninterruptible power supply to your hardware.
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IT Project Risk Management
T ransfer the R isk. (this does not refer to giving it to the new PMwhen you leave.)
Risk transference reduces overall risk by ensuring that itis handled by the most competent party.
Ex: when a company contracts with a third-party firm todeploy software, the customer determines that contractingwith an outside entity will result in fewer and less severerisks than if the customer¶s own people were to do it.
A company may also transfer a risk by transferring the
consequences. Ex. A company may have offsite data backup and
storage.
Ex: A company might choose to have an application-hosting provider host its critical functionality in a moresecure or proven environment.
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IT Project Risk Management
Avoid the risk . Risk avoidance tries to eliminate the risk by doing
something less risky. Selecting an alternative.
In the worst case this may involve canceling a project,but in other cases it could involve sacrificing somefunctional requirements to allow adoption of apackaged solution or avoiding unproven technology.
Ex: instead of creating open Internet access for a Web-based application, the company might choose to build avirtual private network to provide greater security.
Note: Canceling a project, from a business perspectivemay, be the correct solution.
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The IT Risk
Management Process
The process for Risk Management addresses thefollowing elements: Identify risks and quantify potential damages.
Determine and document risks likely to affect theproject.
Perform on a regular basis.
Use strategies to reduce potential impact.
Address both internal and external risks.
This is done from both a Top down and Bottomsup perspective.
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Risk and Budget Contingency
Management reserve
Budget to accommodate risks
Manage to achieve the expected value
Allocate time and money at expected value
This is easier said than done. Maintaining a
management reserve is usually difficult. It is one of
the first things to go when a contract is bid
competitively. For internal projects, there remainshope.
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Q uestion ?
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Homework