Agriculture Working Group Meeting March 4th, 2015 Ankara, Turkey Making Cooperation Work For Building an Interdependent Islamic World COMCEC AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK 2014 COMCEC STRATEGY E.Emrah HATUNOGLU
Agriculture Working Group Meeting March 4th, 2015
Ankara, Turkey
Making Cooperation Work
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC
AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK
2014
COMCEC STRATEGY
E.Emrah HATUNOGLU
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
‣ Agricultural GDP
‣ Agricultural Trade Performance
‣ Agricultural Population
‣ Agricultural Labor Productivity
‣ Crops Production and Yields
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
‣ Land Use
‣ Irrigation
‣ Fertilizer Use
3. Food Security in the OIC
4. Challenges and Recommendations
1
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
OUTLINE
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Agricultural GDP Rankings Agricultural GDP
(Billion Dollar)
Share of Agr. GDP
(Percent)
1 Indonesia 125,3 14,4
2 Nigeria 106,9 21,0
3 Turkey 60,8 8,3
4 Pakistan 53,9 11,0
5 Iran 41,4 19,5
6 Egypt 34,4 13,9
7 Malaysia 29,1 9,4
8 Bangladesh 23,8 16,3
9 Sudan 23,1 42,6
10 Algeria 20,5 10,2
Top Ten Total 519,1 13,8
Top Ten Country
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
14 17
-3
21
102
-81
108
86
21
143
205
-62 -100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250E
xport
Import
Tra
de
Bala
nce
Export
Import
Tra
de
Bala
nce
Export
Import
Tra
de
Bala
nce
Export
Import
Tra
de
Bala
nce
African Group Arab Group Asian Group OIC
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
Agr. Trade Deficit of Sub-Regions, 2011
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
As of 2013;
The total population of the OIC is about 1,62 billion
people. (% 23,8 of world population)
The agricultural population of OIC Member
Countries is about 568 million people
(% 35,1 OIC total population)
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
Agricultural Population
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
279 387
92 121 114 163 11 9
2.061
2.587
475 638
777
1.088
73 76
13,5% 15,0%
19,3% 18,9%
14,6% 15,0% 15,3%
11,9%
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
2000 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011
Cereals Fruit Vegetable Meat
% Million Tons
OIC (left axis) World (left axis) OIC Share in the World Total (rigth axis)
Crops Production and Share in the World
Source: FAO
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Wheat Yield in the OIC and the World, (tons/hectare)
1,8 1,6
1,5 1,6 1,7 1,6
1,8 1,9
2,1 2,0
1,8
2,1 1,9
2,1
2,6 2,5 2,4 2,5 2,6 2,7 2,8 2,7 2,7
2,9 2,8
3,1 3,0 3,1
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
OIC WorldSource: FAO
1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy
7
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
Source: FAO
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
Land areaAgricultural
AreaArable land
Permanent
Crops
Permanent
Meadows and
Pastures
OIC (million ha) 3.192 1.420 293 55 1.043
Share in Total Agricultural
Area (%) 100 21 4 74
World
(million ha) 13.003 4.912 1.396 154 3.359Share of OIC in the World
(%) 25 29 21 36 31
Land Use
7
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
Source: FAO
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
Sub-Regional Land Use
Land areaAgricultural
AreaArable land
Permanent
Crops
Permanent
Meadows and
Pastures
African Group (%) 24 25 35 24 23
Arab Group (%) 43 37 19 15 44
Asian Group (%) 33 37 46 61 33
OIC 100 100 100 100 100
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Share of Agriculture in Total Water Consumption.
90 86
81
72 70 64
39
29
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
OIC Africa Asia Oceania World Carrabian North
America
EuropeSource: FAO
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Renewable Water-Rich OIC Member Countries, (over 200 km3/year)
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
Source: FAO
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Renewable Water-Poor OIC Member Countries, (below 10 km3/year)
0,00
1,00
2,00
3,00
4,00
5,00
6,00
7,00
8,00
9,00
Source: FAO
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Fertilizer Use (2011, kg/ha)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
OIC
World
2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC
3. Food Security in the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
59 55 58 54 64
24 24 25 29 37
115 115 109 102 92
194 189 187 179 185
0
50
100
150
200
250
1990-92 1995-97 2000-02 2005-07 2010-12
Million People
AfricanGroup
Arab Group
AsianGroup
OIC
The Number of the Undernourished People in the OIC
Source: FAO and IFPRI
3. Food Security in the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Two basic categories regarding to the food
consumption;
dietary energy supply adequacy:
there is not a serious problem in the
OIC as a whole
average protein supply: less than
needed level in general
3. Food Security in the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
The Global Food Security Index considers the core issues of affordability, availability, quality and safety across a set of 109 countries.
The overall goal of the study is to assess which countries are most and least vulnerable to food insecurity through the categories of Affordability, Availability, and Quality and Safety.
All scores are normalised on a scale of 0-100 where 100=most favourable.
Global Food Security Index, 2014
3. Food Security in the OIC
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Global Food Security Index, 2014
3. Food Security in the OIC
1 United States 89,3 2 Un. Arab Emirates 70,9 Kazakhstan 53,3 Cameroon 38,1
2 Austria 85,5 3 Saudi Arabia 69,6 Jordan 53,0 Nigeria 36,5
3 Netherlands 84,4 4 Malaysia 68,0 Azerbaijan 50,3 Bangladesh 36,3
4 Norway 84,4 5 Turkey 63,8 Morocco 50,1 Sierra Leone 35,8
5 Singapore 84,3 Egypt 49,3 Yemen 35,2
6 Switzerland 84,2 Algeria 47,5 Mali 33,4
7 Ireland 84,0 Indonesia 46,5 Sudan 32,7
8 Canada 83,7 Uzbekistan 46,0 Guinea 32,5
9 Germany 83,7 Uganda 45,6 Burkina Faso 31,6
10 France 83,4 Cote d’Ivoire 44,7 Mozambique 31,0
… … … Pakistan 43,6 Niger 30,5
… … … Ghana 43,1 Togo 28,4
1 Kuwait 72,2 Syria 40,3 Chad 25,5
Tajikistan 38,7
Benin 38,4
Senegal 38,4
Best Environment
Score 72-89
Good Environment
Score 54-72
Moderate Environment
Score 38-54
Needs Improvement
Score 25-38
Global Food Security Index, 2014
3. Food Security in the OIC
1 Uganda 5,8 Egypt -2,9
2 Togo 5,2 Tunisia -2,9
3 Benin 4,8 Niger -1,6
4 Mali 4,7 Bangladesh -1
5 Sierra Leone 4,7 Mozambique -1
6 Sudan 4,7 Burkina Faso -0,4
7 Azerbaijan 4,6 Morocco -0,4
8 Cote d’Ivoire 4,3 Jordan -0,2
9 Nigeria 3,4
10 Saudi Arabia 2,5
26/34 Score Improved 8/34 Score Declined
SCORE IMPROVED SCORE DECLINED
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Challenges in the OIC Agriculture
Low productivity,
Inefficient use of land and water resources
Inefficient use of agricultural machinery and technologies,
Poor market performance,
Inadequate agricultural planning and strategy making,
Lack of reliable and up-to-date data,
Lack of effective governance
Poor risk management of natural disasters
4. Challenges and Recommendations
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World
COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work
Recommendations
To make efforts to increase agricultural
productivity,
To increase collaboration on information share,
To increase intra-OIC agricultural technology
transfer,
To make efforts to enhance intra‐OIC agricultural
investments,
To increase efficiency of agricultural commodity
markets
4. Challenges and Recommendations
Agriculture Working Group Meeting
Thank You
September 25th, 2014
Ankara, Turkey
Making Cooperation Work
For Building an Interdependent Islamic World COMCEC STRATEGY