Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta

8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta

1/16

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,501 Albertans by Smart IVR™ on March 24th, 2016. A mixture of landlines an

phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 1.96%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error; Edmonton: +/- 3.59%; Calgar3.51%, Rest of Alberta +/- 3.13%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the

Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM MST, MARCH 31st, 2016T EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK

THE FEDERAL BUDGET IN ALBERTA


2/16

ALBERTANS MORE POSITIVE ON FEDERAL INVOLVEMENT, LESS POSITIVE ON ECONOMY

March 31, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds more Albertans are positive ahe Federal government’s plans to tackle the economic situation - but less Albertans are positive abou

outlook for the provincial economy and their own personal finances. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll hmargin of error of +/- 1.96%, 19 times out of 20.

58% of Albertans are pessimistic about Alberta’s economy," said Quito Maggi, President of MainstResearch. “While that is a drop from our previous poll (-6%) conducted in October, Optimism has droas well (-1%). It’s not that Albertans are more positive it’s that an increasing number are undecided a

what they think (Not sure, +6%).”

Albertans are also more pessimistic about their own family situation. 49% are optimistic (-4%), 35%

pessimistic (+4%) while 16% are not sure (no change)."

Reaction to the federal budget seems to be a net positive with scores among Albertans less negativebefore. There appears to a good reaction to the EI changes though less so in Edmonton where it d

appear it has registered that they have been left out of new EI funding.”

Many Albertans are saying the low Canadian dollar won’t impact their travel plans. 35% of those whbelieve they will be impacted are saying their new plans involve either travelling only within Alber

Canada. Another 18% now won’t travel at all. Of course, there are other factors than just the Canadian dhat may impact travel plans moving forward,” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet Research

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levegovernment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of p

opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate pollingn several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was thepolling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onbe rebroadcast or republished with full and propecredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”


3/16

Thinking about the next 12 months, woulyou say you feel optimistic or pessimistic

about the state of Alberta economy?

Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure


4/16

Thinking about the next 12 months, woulyou say you feel optimistic or pessimisti

about the state of Alberta economy?

15%

65%

20%

17%

59%

24%

21%

58%

21%

35%

40%

24%

20%

59%

22%

21%

58%

22%

20%

58%

22%

24%

53%

24%

20%

57%

23%

19%

60%

21%

Rest of ABEdmontonAlberta Calgary

Optimistic

Pessimistic

Not Sure

Optimistic

Pessimistic

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

20% 59% 22%

21% 58% 22%

15% 65% 20%

17% 59% 24%

21% 58% 21%

35% 40% 24%


5/16

Thinking about the next 12 months, wouldyou say you feel optimistic or pessimistic

about your own family's financial situation

Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure


6/16

Thinking about the next 12 months, woulyou say you feel optimistic or pessimistic

about your own family's financial situation

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

55%

32%

13%

40%

42%

18%

48%

35%

16%

51%

27%

22%

52%

35%

13%

45%

35%

19%

49%

35%

16%

52%

33%

15%

51%

36%

13%

47%

35%

18%


Optimistic

Pessimistic

Not Sure

Optimistic

Pessimistic

Not Sure

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

52% 35% 13%

45% 35% 19%

55% 32% 13%

40% 42% 18%

48% 35% 16%

51% 27% 22%


7/16

The Canadian dollar recently hit a 13-year-ollow in terms of value against the American

dollar. Will the low value of the Canadian dolimpact your summer holiday plans?

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

15%

60%

25%

29%

54%

17%

19%

59%

22%

22%

56%

22%

20%

59%

22%

23%

56%

21%

21%

57%

22%

18%

54%

28%

27%

40%

33%

20%

66%

15%


Yes

No

Not Sure

Yes

No

Not Sure

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

20% 59% 22%

23% 56% 21%

15% 60% 25%

29% 54% 17%

19% 59% 22%

22% 56% 22%


8/16

18%

21%

14%

14%

18%

15%

Will Not Travel Alberta Only Canada Only Avoid US Only

Something Else Not Sure

If yes, how will this impact your vacation plan[RESPONDED YES PREVIOUS Q ONLY]


9/16

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Will Not Travel

Alberta Only

Canada Only

Avoid US Only

Something Else

Not Sure


Will Not Travel

Alberta Only

Canada Only

Avoid US Only

Something Else

Not Sure

18%

21%

14%

14%

18%

15%

10%

20%

20%

20%

15%

15%

20%

13%

20%

20%

13%

15%

20%

26%

9%

9%

23%

14%

27%

13%

17%

17%

17%

10%

20%

16%

12%

10%

24%

18%

13%

30%

17%

13%

13%

13%

10%

30%

10%

20%

15%

15%

20%

20%

15%

15%

17%

13%

17%

21%

13%

13%

20%

16%

If yes, how will this impact your vacation plan[RESPONDED YES PREVIOUS Q ONLY]


10/16


11/16

How would you rate the federal governmentplan to deal with the economic downturn?

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Very Poor

Not Sure


Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Very Poor

Not Sure

12%

11%

25%

20%

22%

9%

15%

16%

25%

15%

18%

11%

20%

8%

27%

15%

22%

8%

8%

11%

25%

23%

24%

9%

13%

9%

32%

11%

25%

10%

13%

13%

14%

24%

29%

8%

12%

16%

31%

20%

13%

8%

9%

6%

24%

29%

20%

12%

13%

10%

25%

20%

25%

7%

11%

13%

26%

20%

19%

12%


12/16

How would you rate the federal governmentchanges to employment insurance?

20%

19%

10%17%

16%

18%

Excellent Good Fair Very Poor Not SurePoor


13/16

How would you rate the federal governmentchanges to employment insurance?


Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Very Poor

Not Sure

20%

19%

10%

17%

16%

18%

11%

21%

12%

15%

14%

27%

27%

15%

13%

11%

17%

17%

21%

19%

8%

20%

17%

16%

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Very Poor

Not Sure

20%

19%

8%

11%

16%

26%

20%

19%

9%

19%

18%

14%

22%

21%

10%

19%

12%

16%

20%

11%

13%

22%

22%

12%

20%

18%

11%

17%

16%

18%

21%

19%

8%

17%

16%

18%


14/16

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the stateAlberta economy?

OptimisticPessimisticNot Sure

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your ow

family's financial situation?

Optimistic

PessimisticNot Sure

The Canadian dollar recently hit a 13-year-old low in terms of value against the American dollar. W

the low value of the Canadian dollar impact your summer holiday plans?

YesNo

Not Sure

If yes, how will this impact your vacation plans?

Will Not Travel At AllWill Travel Within Alberta OnlyWill Travel Within Canada Only

Will Only Avoid the United StatesSomething ElseNot Sure

How would you rate the federal government’s plan to deal with the economic downturn?

Excellent

GoodFairPoor

Very Poor

Not Sure

How would you rate the federal government’s changes to employment insurance?

ExcellentGoodFair

PoorVery PoorNot Sure

SCRIPT


15/16

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatfor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


16/16

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all th

levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadpublic affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshotspublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Libe

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayo

election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majogovernment in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER

@MainStResearch

FACEBOOK

fb.com/mainstresearch

Mainstreet - Federal Budget in Alberta

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