Machinery 4.0 - KIMMforum.kimm.re.kr › download › San_Kyu_Choi.pdf · - Autonomous platforms for design, processing, O&M, etc. - Autonomous working platforms (recognition, decision,

Machinery 4.0 :

Toward A Quantum Jump of Korea Mfg. Industry

Choi, Sang Kyu

2017.11.9.

- 2 -

Accelerating Pace of Change

Agricultural Revolution

Industrial Revolution

Light Bulb

Moon Landing

WWW.

Smart Phone

AlphaGo

8,000

years

120

years90 22 16 7

- 3 -

Exponential Growth of Digital Power

Source: “2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal”, TIME, 2011 / The Singularity Is Near, Ray Kuzweil

𝑊 = 𝑊0𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑐1𝑐2𝑐3𝑐4

𝑒𝑐4𝑡

- 4 -

America’s Top Companies (1917-2017)

(1위)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(6)

(18)

(29)

(33)

(1위)

• 1917 (Asset Value : Mil. $)

• 1967 (Asset Value : Bil. $)

• 2017 (Asset Value : Bil. $)

Source: Forbes.com, 2017

- 5 -

Manufacturing vs. Services in US

High-Tech Mfg

High-Tech Services

60%

0%

1994 2014 2024

Annual Share of high-tech employment Advanced industries sector job creation

(2013-2015)

High-Tech

Services (50%)

• Computer

Systems

Design

• Web

Search &

Internet

• S/W Product

High-Tech Mfg(15%)

• Motor Vehicle Parts

• Medical Equipment

• Aircraft products

Remaining

Industries

(34%)

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Brookings’s Analysis of Moody’s Analytics Estimates

- 6 -

Industrial Production of US vs. EU

- 7 -

2012.3.

• First large scale I4.0

Demonstrator by Smart factory

2016.1.2013.4.

• Industry 4.0

Action Plan

2011. 2015.4.

• The Platform Industry 4.0

launched and expanded

Industry 4.0

* Davos WEF 2016 : Mastering the 4th industrial revolution

• Official Use of

“Industry 4.0”

• German DFKI

Industry 4.0

A German term for the trend of automation and data exchange in manufacturing utilizing Cyber-physical systems, Internet of Things, Cloud computing. It created what has been called “Smart Factory”

- 8 -

Smart Factory

Advanced Manufacturing

Industry Innovation 3.0

Industry Revive Plan

Made in China 2025

- 9 -

Korea Manufacturing Industry Status

- 10 -

46%

18%

31%41%

47%38% 38% 38%

32%

0%

55%49%

30% 34% 30%

12%19%

0

100(%)

`00 `10 `16`08 `09

Subprime mortgage crisisby Lehman Brothers

8.9

4.5

7.4

2.9

4.9

3.9

5.2 5.5

2.8

0.7

6.5

3.7

2.32.9

3.32.6 2.7

GDP Growth rate (%)

Mfg contribution(GDP Growth rate=100)

• Mfg Contribution to GDP Growth : 46% (‘00) 19% (‘16)

Source : Data from Statistics Korea(Kostat)

Why a Quantum Jump needed in Manufacturing?

- 11 -

`06 `15`11

103

100

`10

96

81

(2010 Yr=100)

Korea Mfg Productivity

Source : Data from Statistics Korea(Kostat)

Why a Quantum Jump needed in Manufacturing?

Age-Quake

- 12 -

Number ofCompanies

Number ofWorkers

Amount ofProduction

99.9% 88%48%

52%

22%

0.1%

SMEs

Large company

SMEs Competence1)

1) Data based on all SME association, KOSTAT 2014 Yr

100% = 354,000 companies 100% = 16 Mil. workers 100% = Around 1,500 Tril. KRW

Why a Quantum Jump needed in Manufacturing?

- 13 -

Machinery Tech. Stagnation

Marine engine fuel efficiency development Semiconductor fabrication

`60 `14

44%

53%

Large Vessel Diesel

Engine Efficiency

Source: flash memory summit 2015Source: energy efficiency centre

`03 `15

90nm

10nm

- 14 -

Machinery Tech. Stagnation

Fuel consumption reduction in cars

43% 15%

43% Reduction

during 15 years

(‘75~’90)

15% Reduction

during 20 years

(‘90~’09)

(CAGR 0.8%)

Source: D. MacKenzie et. al., Applied Energy, 2015

- 15 -

Machines with Physical Power

Mechanization

Mass

production

Automation

Machinery 1.0 Machinery 2.0 Machinery 3.0

Inte

llig

en

ce L

evel

The late 1700’s The late 1800’s The late 1900’s

Hum

an

Machinery Paradigm Shift

Human-MachinePartnerships

Machinery 4.0

Around 2020

Machines with Mental Power

- 16 -

Unstructured Structured

- 17 -

Deductive Intuitive Design

- 18 -

Isolated Connected

- 19 -

Mass production of Intelligence

- 20 -

Personalization (Customization)

- 21 -

4th Industrial

Revolution

Structurization

Intuitive Design

H2M & M2M Connectivity

Mass Production of

Intelligence

Personalization

Machinery 4.0 / Philosophy

- 22 -

Machinery 4.0 / Strategic Directions

Mass production of intelligence

- Digital transformation of expert knowledge & machinery O&M data

- Cloud intelligence transfer to edge machines for human-machine collaborations

Machinery service platform developments based on AI

- Autonomous platforms for design, processing, O&M, etc.

- Autonomous working platforms (recognition, decision, cooperation, etc.)

Disruptive technology exploration to face challenges in machinery industry

- (e.g.) Manufacturing without molding process / Frameless machines

Robots with artificial muscles / Super high speed transportation systems

Mass

Intelli-

gence.

Platform

Disruptive

1

2

3

Cyber World Physical World

ⓛ

②

③

- 23 -

Machinery 4.0 / Industry Transformation

Machinery

4.0Industry

Trans-

portation

Mfg

Health

CareGreen

Energy Environ

-ment

IoT

CPS

5G

Cloud

MES

Big Data

AI

VR

AR

MR

Hologram

Smart

Factory

Collaborative

robot

3D printing

Autonomous

vehicle

DroneUnmanned

delivery

Construction

machinery

Smart

Care

Wearable

device

Wise farm

Renewable

energy

Sunlight Wind

ESS

Machine

learning

Hyper-

Connected

Hyper-

reality

Hyper-

intelligence

Disruptive

H/W tech

Data, Needs

Platform, Solution

The present & future of KIMM

- 25 -

We are focusing on…

“New opportunity and job creation with next generation mfg. technology”

AI-based Design Platform CPS-based Service Platform

Innovative Mfg. Technology Technology Fusion

- 26 -

S/W platform(From Design to CAE) of 9 core mechanical module and components (‘16~’21)

- Gear trains, Gas turbine burners, Micro dust collectors, Bearings, Injection nozzles, etc.

Development of smart design platform utilizing machine simulation technology

Smart Design PlatformDesign &

Engineering

Digital Twin

Smart Factory

- 27 -

Intuitive Machine Design Platform

Core technological elements : Industrial design data, expert knowledge, CAE verification tools

Deep-learning based intuitive machine design platform

Handbook,

catalog

Industry

BOM DB

Reliability/

O&M data

Real 3D

object dataBigdata tech. AI-based design tech. Post-processing data/re-learning

Expert knowledge System

(self-learning)

e.g.) Drone body designAI-based intuitive design: Propose multiple design drafts → selection

Design & Engineering

- 28 -

AI based Plant Management System

AI based predictive diagnosis & damage management

AI based monitoring, predictive diagnosis and damage management technology

Damage management

Predictive diagnosis

- Special purpose

pump system

- Failure by internal factors

- Fault high-risk system

- Ship pipeline system

- Failure by external factors

- Fast recovery system

- Big data

- Machine

learning

- Deep

learning

Service Platform

- 29 -

Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring Platform

Domestic first certified international institution for wind turbine monitoring and management

Prognostic health management tech. on driving, vib., temp., conditions of wind turbine

Service Platform

- 30 -

Industrial Dual Arm Robot

AMIRO : Dual arm robots capable of packaging/assembling in cell production process

Human-friendly collaborative safe robots with newly developed human-like artificial muscle actuators

Cooperative robot in assembly line with human workers

AMIRO

Innovative Mfg. Tech.

Artificial muscle actuators

- 31 -

Cherry picker type

(mounted over mobile platform)

Mobile Machining System

Mobile drilling/milling machine based on diverse moving mechanisms

Free-form workpiece machining module with less than100 ㎛ precision accuracy

Environment adaptable machining platform developments

Workpiece on the machine

Machine on the workpiece

Frameless

machine tool

Car wash type

(using gantry structure)

Crawler type

(workpiece is machine support

structure)

Innovative Mfg. Tech.

Concept of mobile machining Mobile Machine Platform Topology

- 32 -

Autonomous Working Robots/Machines

SME Mfg With obstacle

Tool usage Collaboration

Autonomous & Collaboration Robots/Machines

Rough terrain

Tele-operation

cognition&

control

HRI

Autonomous operation based on Artificial Intelligence

Human-machine collaboration, machine-machine collaboration

Autonomous working machines in unstructured environments

Innovative Mfg. Tech.

- 33 -

전도성복합금속

소재

Metal 3D Printing

M3P(Metal 3D Printing) technology developments (‘16~’18, 26 Bil. KRW)

Commercialization of Metal 3D Printing (PBF, DED, ME) equipment with high industry demands

Innovative Mfg. Tech.

- 34 -

Flexible Electronic Device Mfg. Tech.

Transparent electrode printing technology

Vacuum depositing equipment

R2R Hybrid flexible device Micro LED Mfg Tech.

Innovative Roll-to-Roll processing and Micro LED manufacturing technology

Current LED industry KIMM

x10,000chip bonding

(1 ea./sec)

Roll stamp

based transfer

(10,000 ea./sec)

Innovative Mfg. Tech.

- 35 -

• (Ex.) Metastructure Embedded Hologram : Phase control varying nano scale slit width

Metamaterial and Application Technology

Development of innovative technology utilizing metamaterials

Innovative Mfg. Tech.

SAAB Kockums A26 (available ‘ghost mode’)Warner Bros., Harry Potter

- 36 -

AI based Wise Farm Building

Urban Agriculture : Energy Reduction (Cultivation/Transportation/Storage) Building’s Waste Energy

Building Energy : Heating/Cooling Energy Reduction (Thermal Barrier) Distributed Power Generation

Energy Recycling in Urban Building Farms (Energy-integrated Rooftop Greenhouse)

FusionTech.

Gotham Greens (USA)

- 37 -

Nano-based Omni-TEX Technology

Breakthrough of textile fabrication technology through fabric type stretchable nano-micro process

Core material & process technology applied to smart wearables, advanced sensors, immersive actuation interface

Next generation smart fabric type device developments

FusionTech.

INNOVATION ENGINE

FOR TOMORROW

Thank you!