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Lunar libration a complication
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Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Dec 29, 2015

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Page 1: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Lunar libration a complication

Page 2: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Extinction demonstrates precision

Page 3: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

The lunar phase function

Page 4: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Measured albedos

Page 5: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Hourly variation

Roughly 1/3 coverage, independent of lunar phase

Page 6: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Hourly variation

Page 7: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Seasonal variations

Observations

Simulation

Page 8: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 9: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 10: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 11: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 12: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 13: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Spectroscopy an intriguing possibility

• Hi-res spectroscopy has revealed much about other planets– Few, if any, whole earth visible spectra – LEO satellite spectrometers available

• Earthshine spectrum– Earthshine passes 3 times through the

atmosphere, moonlight once– Line depths, shapes, and ratios might

provide global information on molecular amounts, temperatures, and profiles

Page 14: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

F. Very, 1914

Page 15: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Palomar 60” echelle spectrometer

Solar hydrogen Atmospheric oxygen

MS

ES

Sky

ES-Sky/MS

Page 16: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 17: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 18: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 19: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Some words on programmatics

• Present team– SEK, Phil Goode (NJIT/BBSO)– Two postdocs (PRC, Russia)– One tech, one grad student (US)

• Funding at $100k/yr (DOE, NASA)

• Two additional stations planned for continuous coverage – Crimea, Hunan

Page 20: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 21: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 22: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 23: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.
Page 24: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Three-pronged attack on the problem

• Computational modeling– Conservation of mass, momentum, energy– Grid in longitude, latitude, altitude

• Process studies– Seb-grid scale parameterizations– Coupling of the various componets

• Monitoring (what is the climate doing?)

Page 25: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Observations are essential to understanding global change

• Monitoring and process studies are complementary, but equally important

• The monitoring requirements are stringent– Regional or global converate to average spatial variability

– Long time series to average temporal variability, identify modes, and detect gradual changes

– High precision to detect small shifts

• But the Earth is big, the modern record is short, and precision is difficult from any platform

Page 26: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

The Moon offers a “new” method for monitoring the Earth

• Earthshine visible on the lunar disk can reflect the changing climate– Intensity, Color, Spectrum

• Outline– Albedo and climate

– Earthshin

– Photometry

– Historical measurements (1927-1934; 1940-1960)

– The present program (Caltech, NJIT)

Page 27: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

The albedo sets the input to the climate heat engine

• Shortware input (visible, 0.5 m, 6000 K)

• Longwave output (IR, 15 m, 255 K)

• Global and seasonal average is A ~ 0.30

)1(4

4);1(

4

422

AC

TPP

TRPARCP

Eoutin

EoutEin

Page 28: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

The earth’s albedo is highly variable

• Local albedo depends upon:– Surface type

– Solar zenith angle (time of day)

– Meteorology (clouds)

• The global albedo varies with the seasons– North/South land symmetry

– Snow/ice cover

Clear Overcast

Land 0.16 0.50

Ocean 0.08 0.44

Desert 0.23

Snow 0.68

Page 29: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

The climate is very sensitive to A

• Te=255K is the temperature at 6 km– Atmosphere transparent to 15 mm radiation

– Not the surface temperature (287 K)

• Linearization of the power balance gives dT/DA~-1.5K/0.01– Similar to that observed in models

– Real data are sparse and ambiguous

• Greenhouse effect on A uncertain– Doubling CO2 will likely increase T by 1.5-4.5K

– Clouds increase (type changes) but snow/ice decrease

Page 30: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Satellites are the standard way to measure the albedo

• Low-earth orbit (few 100 km)• Observe one spot (10 km) at at time; average over

pixels• Incomplete space/time converate• Expensive• Tough to calibrate at a fraction of a percent• Subject to failures (none now working)• Complex scene models required to analyze data• Precision of about 0.7%

Page 31: Lunar libration a complication. Extinction demonstrates precision.

Earthshine is reflected from the earth to illuminate the moon

• Ghostly glow of the dark part of the lunar disk• E/S ~Albedo X geometry X moon properties• Intensity varies during the month

– Largest when phase ~pi (full earth, crescent moon)

– Smallest when phase ~0 (full moon, crescent earth)

• Measure by A. Danjon (1927-34) and J. Dubois (1940-1960)