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Lower Yuba River Accord Monitoring and Evaluation Program Interim Report Jl 9 2012 Lower Yuba River Symposium July 9, 2012 1
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Page 1: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Lower Yuba River AccordMonitoring and Evaluation Program Interim Report

J l 9 2012

Lower Yuba River Symposium

July 9, 2012

1

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Express Requirements of the Fisheries Agreement (2005)Agreement (2005)

Monitoring and evaluating the effectiveness of the implementation of the Lower Yuba River Accordimplementation of the Lower Yuba River Accord

Evaluating the condition of fish resources in the Lower Yuba River

Evaluating the viability of Lower Yuba River fall-run Chinook salmon and any Sub-populations of the Central Valley steelhead and spring run Chinook salmonValley steelhead and spring-run Chinook salmon Evolutionarily Significant Units (ESUs) that may exist in the Lower Yuba River

Page 3: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Yuba Accord Implementation Monitoring and Evaluationg

2001 - 2004 – Technical Team developed Yuba Accord flow schedules, including water temperature considerations for Chinook salmon and steelhead.

2006 2007 Yuba Accord implemented on a “pilot program” basis including water2006 – 2007 – Yuba Accord implemented on a pilot program basis, including water temperature and fisheries monitoring.

2008 – SWRCB issued water right orders for the long-term implementation of the Yuba AccordAccord.

• Establishment of the Yuba Accord RMT• Yuba Accord M&E Program implemented

2008 through 2011 RMT published annual reports describing individual year results2008 through 2011 – RMT published annual reports describing individual year results.

2010 – RMT evaluated the Yuba Accord Water Temperature regime since 2006 and published the results.

2012 – RMT began evaluating multi-year trends and preparation of the MONITORING AND EVALUATION PROGRAM INTERIM REPORT.

3M&E Interim Report

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Monitoring & Evaluation Program Interim Reportp

EVALUATE  WHETHER  IMPLEMENTATION  OF  THE  YUBA  ACCORD

Maintains Fish in Good Condition

Promotes Viable Salmonid Populations

f Provides suitable flow, water temperature and habitat conditions

Also evaluate:

Aquatic habitat attributes

Species/ lifestage, trends and behaviorsbehaviors

4M&E Interim Report

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M&E – Where Are We Now Full-time staff of 6 to 11 Interim report 2012

Bi-weekly RMT meetings –approximately 150 and counting

p

Final report late 2015

M&E Data Collection Challenges/ Lessons Learned Weather, High flows, Water Clarity Escapement

Developing, testing & deploying new data collection techniques

Acoustic Tracking

Lost or missed fish Cormack-Jolly-Seber vs Schaeffer

Vaki Counterg Fixed, and finite, stationary receivers No directional ability

Redd Sampling

Time lag from lower river or Daguerre Pool holding

Imperfect photos thus species capture (although getting better)p g

Platform challenges (kayak, pontoon, deep water camera)

(although getting better)

Page 6: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

M&E Interim Conclusions

The lower Yuba has highly functional spatial structure Diverse & Persistent Recurring functional flows Natural, complex river morphology

I l t ti f th A d id it bl fl Implementation of the Accord provides suitable flows and temperatures for all life stages for anadromous salmonids

The Lower Yuba has good habitat conditions Abundance of available, suitable habitats

The lower Yuba is ‘attractive’ (from standpoint of habitat) relative to other rivers

Page 7: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Functional Spatial Structure2D Modeling

G h l i U it M h bit t S b t t Geomorphologic Unit, Mesohabitat, Substrate, and Cover Mapping

Photo courtesy of Dr Greg Pasternack UCDPhoto courtesy of Dr. Greg Pasternack, UCD

7M&E Interim Report

Page 8: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Functional Spatial Structure2D Modeling

G h l i U it M h bit t S b t t Geomorphologic Unit, Mesohabitat, Substrate, and Cover Mapping

8M&E Interim Report

Page 9: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

The River Provides an Array of AbundantFunctional Spatial Structure

The River Provides an Array of Abundant Habitats for Different Salmonid Life StagesLife Stage Holding Spawning RearingLife Stage Holding Spawning Rearing

MU Pool Riffle, Run, Riffle Transition

Slow Glide, Slackwater

Reach Percent Areas of Baseflow ChannelEnglebright 52 9 32

Timbuctoo 9 37 32

Parks Bar 5 48 27

Dry Creek 7 36 34

DPD 8 48 22

Hallwood 20 38 25Hallwood 20 38 25

Marysville 41 19 28

Total LYR 16 37 28

Page 10: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Spawning Site Selection Predictive Model Bioverification

Chi k S lChinook Salmon

830 cfs

= redd

830 cfsHigh

Medium

Low

Very PoorVery Poor

Non-habitat

10M&E Interim Report

Page 11: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

2006 - 2007–Yuba Accord implemented on a “pilot program” basis, including

Water Temperature Considerationsp p p g , g

water temperature monitoring.

2008 – SWRCB issued water right orders for the long-term implementation of the Yuba Accordthe Yuba Accord.

• Establishment of the Yuba Accord RMT

• Yuba Accord M&E Program implemented

• Continued water temperature monitoring

2010 – RMT reviewed and updated

lifestage periodicitiesEvaluated the Appropriateness of 

the Yuba Accord Water lifestage periodicities

water temperature suitability index values

water temperature occurrences

the Yuba Accord Water Temperature Regime since 2006

2011 - Present – Continued water temperature monitoring

11M&E Interim Report

Page 12: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Yuba Accord M&E Program

“Given the entire suite of considerations in this Technical Memorandum, the RMTl d h i l i f h Y b A d id i bl h lconcludes that implementation of the Yuba Accord provides a suitable thermal

regime for target species in the lower Yuba River” (Water Temperature ObjectivesMemo 2010).

12M&E Interim Report

Page 13: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Spring-Run Chinook SalmonModeled Water Temperature Exceedances

Modeled Water Temperature Exceedances for Spring-Run Chinook Salmon in the lower Yuba River atSmartsville (SMRT), Daguerre Point Dam (DPD), and Marysville (MRY) (Modified from Water TemperatureObjectives Memo 2010).Lifestage Gage WTI Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Adult Immigration &Holding

SMRT 64°F 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

DPD 64°F 0% 0% 0% 2% 2%

MRY 64°F 0% 0% 8% 11% 4%

SpawningSMRT 56°F 7% 1.4% 0%

Embryo Incubation SMRT 56°F 0% 0% 7% 1.4% 0% 0%SMRT 56 F 0% 0% 7% 1.4% 0% 0%

Juvenile Rearing & Downstream Movement

DPD 65°F 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1.4% 1.4% 0% 0% 0%

MRY 65°F 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6% 4% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0%

Yearling+ Smolt Emigration

DPD 63°F 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

MRY 63°F 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

13M&E Interim Report

Page 14: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Spring-Run Chinook SalmonWater Temperature Monitoring

14M&E Interim Report

Page 15: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Acoustic, Redd, and Juvenile Data, ,

15

Page 16: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Adult Immigration and HoldingSpring-Run Chinook Salmonp g

DIVERSE PATTERN OF MOVEMENT AND HOLDING

• Most but not all fish migrate upstream ofMost, but not all, fish migrate upstream of Daguerre Point Dam

• Some fish migrate downstream, including into the Feather Riverinto the Feather River

• Daguerre Point Dam to the SR20 Bridge largely used as a migratory corridor

• Protracted temporal migrations to areas upstream of the SR20 Bridge

• Prolonged occupancy in pools throughout the river

• Extended holding in the Daguerre Point Dam plunge pool and the Narrows pool

Nelson and Bloom, CDFG, 2011

16M&E Interim Report

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OutmigrationRotary Screw TrappingRotary Screw Trapping

SAMPLING

Seasonal (fall to summer) 1999‐2006

Year round 2007/08 2008/09Year‐round 2007/08 – 2008/09

• Capture Efficiency Tests

GENERAL RESULTSGENERAL RESULTS

Most Chinook emigrate as post‐emergent fry or YOY

Some Chinook 70 140mm captured fromSome Chinook 70‐140mm captured from October‐March

Steelhead exhibit variable emigration – YOY from spring through summerfrom spring through summer

Steelhead YOY movement associated with ramping rates

17M&E Interim Report

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OutmigrationRotary Screw Trapping

1999 to 2009 – 95% of catch from December 1 to April 30

1.00

Cumulative Distribution of Weekly Observed Catch

0.70

0.80

0.90

0.40

0.50

0.60

umulative Fraction

0.10

0.20

0.30

Cu

0.00

0.10

All Years Expected Distribution Pre Accord Expected Distribution Accord Expected Distribution

18M&E Interim Report

Page 19: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Fitted temporal distribution of Chinook salmon carcass observations on the lower Yuba River, CA from 1999-

20102010.

0 9

1.0

0.7

0.8

0.9tio

nY =1/(1+e(-2.81903-0.37967*X))1/0.00754

0.4

0.5

0.6

Cum

ulat

ive F

ract

Accord Cumulative Fraction

Accord Fitted Logistic Curve

Pre Accord Cumulative Fraction

Pre‐Accord Fitted Logistic Curve

0.1

0.2

0.3

C

Y =1/(1+e(1.9768-0.51834*X))1/0.38609

0.0

1-Se

p

8-Se

p

15-S

ep

22-S

ep

29-S

ep

6-O

ct

13-O

ct

20-O

ct

27-O

ct

3-N

ov

10-N

ov

17-N

ov

24-N

ov

1-D

ec

8-D

ec

15-D

ec

22-D

ec

29-D

ec

5-Ja

n

12-J

an

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Adult EscapementSpring-Run + Fall-Run Chinook Salmonp g

Sacramento River Systemvs.

% Contributionof the Lower Yuba Rivervs.

Lower Yuba Riverof  the Lower Yuba River

to the Sacramento River System

20M&E Interim Report

Page 21: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

AbundanceSpring-Run Chinook Salmon

YearAll Spring-

Run Chinook Salmon

Ad Clipped Spring-Run

Chinook Salmon

Non-Ad clipped Spring-Run

Chinook Salmon

%

Ad-clipped

2004 531 60 471 11.3 %

2005 1 882 449 1 433 23 9 % All Spring-run2005 1,882 449 1,433 23.9 %

2006 374 36 338 9.6 %

2007 288 38 250 13.2 %

2008 370 13 357 3.5 %

2009 723 213 510 29 5 %

All Spring-run 2008-2010 TOTAL = 4,078 2008-2010 AVG = 1,359

2009 723 213 510 29.5 %

2010 2,985 1,816 1,169 60.8 %

2011 39 19 20 48.7 %

2011 1,159 323 836 27.9 %

2012* 689 447 242 65 %

Non - Ad Clipped Spring-run

* Only encompasses the period extending to June 25, 2012

2008-2010 TOTAL = 2,036 2008-2010 AVG = 679

21M&E Interim Report

Page 22: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

M&E Interim Conclusions

The lower Yuba has highly functional spatial structure Implementation of the Accord provides suitable flows p p

and temperatures for all life stages for anadromous salmonidsThe Lower Yuba has good habitat conditions The Lower Yuba has good habitat conditions

The lower Yuba is ‘attractive’ (from standpoint of habitat) relative to other rivers

M&E Program – what next?M&E Program what next?

Page 23: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Common Challenges, Central Valley SalmonidsSalmonids

IntrogressionO i ll i t h t l l? Occurs in all rivers, to what level?

Hatchery InfluenceHatchery Influence Benefit or curse?

Ocean and Delta Impacts Non-river conditions play a huge role in cohort success

Page 24: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

M&E Next Phase

Understand the interactions and interrelationships of the lower Yuba River in the regional contextlower Yuba River in the regional context

Understand the Yuba’s contribution to the systemUnderstand the Yuba s contribution to the system

Future directions for management of the Lower Yuba: Maximize the benefit of the lower Yuba, or Minimize the impact of the lower Yuba on the system?

Page 25: Lower Yuba River - yubaaccordrmt.com Yuba River Accord... · Microsoft PowerPoint - 07_Tom Johnson & Tracy_M&E Interim Report.pptx Author: jhuchet Created Date: 7/11/2012 8:05:35

Lower Yuba River AccordMonitoring and Evaluation Program Interim Report

J l 9 2012

Lower Yuba River Symposium

July 9, 2012