Lovaas advancedenergyconfppt

TDM: Innovating Our Way Out of Gridlock

Advanced Energy Conference

New York City

May 1, 2013

Remarkable Oil Demand Projection

Helping to Fill the Gap: Moving Cooler

– The Kresge Foundation

– The Rockefeller Brothers

Foundation

– Urban Land Institute

– Natural Resources

Defense Council

– Shell Oil Company

– The Surdna Foundation

– Rockefeller Brothers

Fund

Analytic Team: Cambridge Systematics

Multiple Party Steering Committee

– US Environmental

Protection Agency

– US Federal Highway

Administration

– US Federal Transit

Administration

– American Public

Transportation

Association

– Environmental Defense

Fund

– ITS America

Wide Range of Strategies

• Pricing, tolls, PAYD

insurance, VMT fees,

carbon/fuel taxes

• Land use and smart

growth

• Non-motorized / active

transportation

• Public transportation

improvements

• Regional ride-sharing,

commute measures

• Regulatory measures

• Operational/ITS

strategies

• Highway

capacity/bottleneck

relief

• Freight sector strategies

46%

34%

29%

26%

25%

26%

13%

17%

17%

12%

18%

18%

6%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Strg. Agree S.W. Agree S.W. Disagree Strg. Disagree DK/NA

Most citizens would like to drive less, but do not believe it is a realistic option for them.

8c/e/i. I'm going to read you a list of several statements. After I read each statement, I'd like you to tell me whether you generally agree or disagree. Split Sample.

I have no choice but to drive as much as I do.

I avoid driving at certain times of the day just

because of traffic congestion

I would like to spend less time in my car.

Total Agree

Total Disagree

72% 25%

59% 35%

55% 35%

Only one in five Americans backs building new roads as a solution for traffic congestion.

Q10 tracking.

42%47%

49%

21%25%26%

20%20%21%

17%8%

4%0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

2012

2007

2012

2007

2012

2007

2012

2007

Which of the following proposals is the best long-termsolution to reducing traffic in your area?

Improving public transportation

Developing communities where people do not have to drive as

much

Building new roads

All/None/DK/NA

Highway Accounts Running Dry

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Revenues & Interest

Deficit Spending

Outlays

Balance/Shortfall

Source: 2/2013 CBO estimates

Transit Account Running Dry

Source: 2/2013 CBO estimates

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Revenues & Interest

Deficit Spending

Outlays

Balance/Shortfall

Thank You!

Deron Lovaas

Federal Transportation Policy Director

202-289-2384

[email protected]

Twitter: @LovNRDC