London, March 13 th 2002 2001 Group Results Alessandro Profumo - CEO UniCredito Italiano
Dec 17, 2015
London, March 13th 2002
2001 Group Results
Alessandro Profumo - CEO
UniCredito Italiano
2
2001 Group Highlights
Divisional Reporting
Italian Commercial Banking
Wholesale Banking
Investment Banking
Asset Management
New Europe Banking
Conclusions
Agenda
3
2000 2001
ROE(1)
20.8%(4)
COST/INCOME RATIO52.7%
51.0%
2000 2001
47.8%47.7%Structural Cost/Income
18.0%
+3.5%
2000 2001
9,318
NET INCOME
4,726
9,989
4,566
+7.2%
20002001
1,3951,454
2000 2001
(Euro mln)
+4.2%1,611(2)
1,695(3)
+5.3%
22.2%(2)
21.0%(3)
(Euro mln)
19.2%(5)
DESPITE A DETERIORATED MARKET ENVIRONMENT UCI SHOWS GOOD REVENUE AND INCOME GROWTH
TOTAL REVENUES
OPERATING INCOME
(1) Calculated on end of period net equity(2) Adding back goodwill amortisation related to the Group and 98-’99 provisions related to Ciampi Law(3) Adding back goodwill amortisation related to the Group(4) Adding back ’98-’99 provisions related to Ciampi Law(5) Calculated on Group net income of Euro 1395 mln
(Euro mln)
4
TOTAL REVENUES BREAKDOWN
REVENUES INCREASED 7.2% y/y THANKS TO A DIVERSIFIED MIX OF REVENUES ...
2000
4,747
3,339
638594
9,318
2001
5,049
3,291
933716
9,989
Net commissions
Net interest income
Trading profitsOther income
+6.4%
-1.4%
+20.5%
+46.2%
+7.2%
Positive contribution from the domestic network: +8.5% y/y due to increased volumes both in customer deposits(+3% y/y) and loans (+7% y/y) with improved average spread from 4.8% to 5.09% in 2001In New Europe net interest income up 16% y/y mainly due to increased volumes in customer deposits (+16.1% y/y) and loans (+16.4% y/y)At Group level net interest income is partially reduced by debt impact and cost of equity investments financing
Net non interest income up 8.1% on 2000 due to positive trend in other income and trading profits that more than compensates the decline in net commissions
(Euro mln)
5
Italian Banking- OtherItalian Banking-
Wealth Management*New Europe
UBM + TL Pioneer
REVENUE COMPOSITION BY BUSINESS AREA (Net of Corporate Centre negative contribution)
… AND A WELL BALANCED BUSINESS PORTFOLIO
59.8%
13.7%
2.7%4.8%
19.0%
60.2%
14.6%
4.7%
5.8%
14.6%
78.8% 74.8%
2000 2001
6
NEGATIVE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON TOTAL COMMISSIONS PARTIALLY COUNTERBALANCED BY DISTRIBUTION OF VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS
NET COMMISSIONS2000* 2001 % ch.
(Euro mln)
Excellent impact of capital guaranteed products on commissions from segregated accounts and insurance products
* consistent with new Bank of Italy criteria for breakdown of commissions
Commissions from securities in custody suffered the lower turnover of customers’ portfolios
Positive contribution from other services (mainly commissions from loans granted and from payment services)
Asset management commissions stable despite negative market environmentAsset management 1,8031,789 +0.8
Mutual funds 1,3241,447 -8.5
Securities in custody 334422 -20.8
Other services, of which: 1.1541,128 +2.3
Insurance products 226156 +44.9
Total 3,2913,339 -1.4
Loans granted & received 456 497 +9.0
Cash management services 250 263 +5.2
Segregated accounts 253186 +36.0
7
PROFIT FROM FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS HAD A BRILLIANT PERFORMANCE (+46.2% ON 2000) THANKS TO THE CONTRIBUTION OF ALL DIVISIONS
INCOME FROM FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS(Euro mln)
UBM (excl. TL)
TradingLab
Italian banks
+46.6%
+59.1%New Europe banks
+105.5%
* Balance due to Other Group companies
+46.2%
Cautious risk management: average daily VaR of only Euro 3.7 mln for UBM and Euro 2.9 mln for TL during 2001
Increasing impact of CorporateLab, accounting for around 370 Euro mln (220 Euro mln inside UBM and 150 Euro mln inside the Italian Banking division). Corporate derivatives volumes up 125% on 2000 to 19.1 Euro bln
2001
208
312
337
202
933*
8
TOTAL OPERATING COSTS(Euro mln)
Staff Costs
Other costs
% y/y Ch.
+9.8%
+15.4%Depreciation
+11.4%
+10.8%
Staff costs (excl. Pioneer):
+2.6% development of Wholesale Banking (IB and Asset Management)
+0.4% Zloty appreciation
+3.2% investments in sales effectiveness, incentivisation program
2001
3,045
1,813
405
5,263
% ch. Excl. Pioneer
+7.2%
+12.9%
+7.6%
+6.2%
OPERATING COSTS UP 10.8%, SUPPORTING UCI’s REVENUE GENERATION AND FUTURE GROWTH
Other costs:
+7.6% related to the Group’s restructuring and development (IT, branches, Pioneer advertising campaign)
Staff from 65,124 (2000) to 63,576 (-2.4% y/y)
9
Acquisitions:Lower weight (from 4.3% in 1H01) due to closing of C/I gap between acquisitions and internal best practice (know-how transfer, improvement of efficiency)
New Initiatives: Development of new business
models dedicated to specific customer segments
47.8%
3.4%
1.0%
0.5%Develop. projects
Acquisitions
New Initiatives
EXCELLENT STRUCTURAL C/I CONFIRMED
Italian Banks: Reorganisational process of
commercial network under way (full segmentation, improvement branch layout)
Structural C/I ratio
2001 C/I 52.7%
2001 C/I lower than the budgeted
55.3%.2001
investment savings don’t affect future
growth targets
10
DIVISIONAL CONTRIBUTION TO GROUP NET INCOME
58(1)227(1) -61
+35.1%N.m.
N.m.
1,669(1)
1,454+16.6%
2,109
Italian banking(2)
Wholesale banking
New Europe
banking(5)
New Initiatives(6)
Corp. Centre & elisions(7)
Group total
Total pre-Corp. Centre
-655(1)
GOODWILL AND HOLDING CHARGES:
- 242 goodwill depr.- 460 holding loss (net of
dividends), of which 275 due to financial costs
(Euro mln)
+4.2%
N.m.216(1)
+38.5%+14.6%
Inv. banking(3)
Pioneer Group(4)
(1) Net of infragroup dividends. Goodwill depreciation is fully charged to Corp. Centre(2) Credito Italiano, Rolo Banca 1473, Cariverona, CRT, Cassamarca, Caritro, CRTrieste, Banca
dell’Umbria, CRCarpi, Mediovenezie, BMC, Adalya Banca Imm. Spa, Banque Monegasque, Unicredit Suisse, BAC Marino, CRTS Zagabria, RoloPioneer Lux, Rolo Pioneer Sgr, Gesticredit, Gestiveneto, Fondinvest, Pioneer inv. Management SA, S+R Investimenti, Fida Sim, FRT Sim, Fid. Cordusio, CRV Ireland, CRTS Ireland, Uniriscossioni, Quercia Funding, Unicredit Servizi informativi, Unicredit Prod. Acc., Trivimm, Quercia Software
(3) UBM, TradingLab, Euro Capital Structures
(4) Group Pioneer Global Asset Management Spa, Unicredit Capital Italia Spa
(5) Group Pekao, Bulbank, Pol’nobanka, Splitska Banka(6) Xelion, Clarima(7) Parent Company, other financial companies and elisions
11
42
1.272
442
7517Italian banking
Wholesale banking
New Europe banking
New Initiatives
CAPITAL ABSORPTION
1.469
-73
226
90
VALUE CREATION
7.076Group total 706
Adj NET INCOME
2.139(3)
-65
374(3)
222(3)
1.558
RARORAC
%
19,5
N.s.
17,7
20,4
9,97
(*) Estimate(1) Minimum regulatory capital, market risks, credit risks and operational risks (2) The Cost of Equity is related to the capital employed (Net equity for the Group and allocated capital for the business units)(3) Includes minorities and elisions
MARGINAL RARORAC
%
19,8
N.s.
23,2
60,1
13,9
(Euro mln)
Tier 1 from 6.85% (Dec 00) to 7,17%(*)
(Dec 01)
WE ARE ABLE AND COMMITTED TO CREATE EXTRA VALUE FOR OUR SHAREHOLDERS, OPTIMISING CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Net Income + goodwill
depreciation(a)
Risk taken(1)
(b)
Shareholder’s value added
(c) =(a)-COE(2)
Value added per unit of risk taken
(c)/(b)
12
2001 Group Highlights
Divisional Reporting
Italian Commercial Banking
Wholesale Banking
Investment Banking
Asset Management
New Europe Banking
Conclusions
Agenda
13
ITALIAN BANKING DIVISION: KEY HIGHLIGHTS
SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTS ON BANKS’ SERVICE MODELS FOR FUTURE GROWTH
GOOD RESULTS DESPITE A DIFFICULT MARKET SCENARIO
SOUND COST CONTROL STABILISING COST-INCOME DESPITE INVESTMENTS
Started roll-out of new service models for affluent, mass market and small business customers, preparing all banks for S3 project
Ability to promptly react to difficult market conditions, with significant growth in mutual funds, bancassurance and capital guaranteed products, more than compensating decrease in AuM due to financial markets turmoil
Cost Income ratio at 47.5% (46.9% in 2000), 46.6% (46.5% in 2000) without project investments
ASSET QUALITY AT EXCELLENT LEVEL
Improved NPL/Gross loans ratio as a result of selective loan growth and careful risk management policies
14
2000 % ch.2001
Cost/Income ratio(1) 46.9% 47.5%
Interest margin 3,702 +8.54,017
Net non interest income 3,641 -5.23,801
Total revenues 7,343 +6.57,818
Administr. costs (incl. depr.) 3,502 +10.33,862
Operating income 3,841 +3.03,956
Net loan loss provisions -568 -17.4-469
Net extraordinary income 33 +103.067
Net income +15.71,730 2,002
Other net provisions -211 -24.2-160
(Euro mln)
Tax expenses -1,365 +2.0-1,392
Net income for the Group +16.61,431 1,669
GOOD RESULTS IN A DIFFICULT MARKET ENVIRONMENT, WITH IMPROVEMENT OF KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
(1) After deduction of costs and revenues arising from USI/UPA services (around Euro 280 mln in 2001, Euro mln 111 in 2000), which are included in other net operating income for USI/UPA and in administrative costs for the other companies of the division. At Group level these costs/revenues are elided
“Ordinary” C/I
Impact on C/I of project investments
Impact on C/Iof Cost Excellence project
46.6%
+1.1%
-0.2%
2001 COST/INCOME COMPOSITION
Revenues per employee from Euro 210.5 th. to Euro 221.4 th., + 5.2%
Net income per employee from Euro 49.6 th. to Euro 56.7 th., + 14.3%
15
GROWTH IN MASS MARKET, SMALL BUSINESS AND CORPORATE SEGMENTS MORE THAN OFFSETS DECLINE IN AFFLUENT AND PRIVATE BANKING DUE TO FINANCIAL MARKETS TURMOIL
Oper. Income
(Euro mln)
Net Income
(Euro mln)
Private banking
-18 -18
Affluent -19 -19
Mass market
+2 +9
Small Business
+20 +48
Corporate +37 +79
Other* -7 +23
% ch. y/y
Total 7 banks
+2 +14
% ch. y/y
C/I ratio, %
26.9
50.0
65.7
49.8
36.3
N.s.
46.9
* Revenues and costs not arising from segment activities (mainly Rolo treasury dept., Rolo foreign subsidiary, free capital of the banks and inter-banking activities)
Corporate: excellent results thanks to selective reduction of less profitable assets, growth in low risk loans and in commissions from high value-added services
Small business: positive impact of Imprendo package on commissions and volumes; growth of lending volumes supported interest margin increase
Mass market: improved cross selling (current account packages), growth of lending volumes and increased spreads
Private & affluent: results penalised by bad performance of financial markets, but excellent sales of high value-added products
322 183
566 309
685 323
473 206
871 381
667 388
3,584 1,790
16
Asset mgmt commissions
Other commissions
Net interest income
Other income
52% 17%
30%
1%
BREAKDOWN OF TOTAL REVENUESEuro 1,573 mln, -10.1% y/y
PRIVATE & AFFLUENT: NEGATIVE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL MARKETS TURMOIL ON AUM AND ASSET MANAGEMENT COMMISSIONS BUT EXCELLENT NET SALES OF HIGH VALUE-ADDED PRODUCTS
ASSET MANAGEMENT COMMISSIONS
2001 sales
New inflows 1,965 13.56
Ch. on 2000
+23 bp
Dec 01 mkt sh.
MUTUAL FUNDS
2001 sales
Premium written +43
Rank in Italy
1st
UNIT LINKED
2001 inflows
New inflows 4,362
O/w unit
linked
1,599
O/w segreg.
accounts
CAPITAL GUARANTEED
3,889
7,460
909 814
-10.4%
UCI Group ranked first in the sales of all high value-added products in Italy, partially compensating the devaluation of stocks
Confirmed leadership in market shares on Unit Linked (98% of the total new production of insurance premiums):
34.5% (+11 pp y/y) in Bancassurance 26.7% (+ 9.7 pp y/y) on total market
% Ch. on 00
(Euro mln)
PRIVATE & AFFLUENT
2000 2001
17
MASS MARKET: GOOD RESULTS THANKS TO INCREASE IN LENDING VOLUMES AND SPREADS, WITH IMPROVED CROSS SELLING
2000
1,924 1,999
TOTAL REVENUES
+3.9%
INTEREST INCOME
NON INTEREST INCOME
974
950
1,044
955
+0.5%
+7.2%
(Euro mln) The good increase in lending volumes more than offset the decrease of deposits
M/l term loans: + 16% Sight deposits: +2.4%
Improved spreads both on loans and deposits:
Loans: + 3 bp Deposits: + 12 bp
Increase in Assets & Deposits per customer (+6.9%, from 14.3 th Euro to 15.3 th Euro) as a consequence of improved cross selling
Good results from package accounts:
1.5 mln customers, 19% growth on Dec 00 (compared with 2% growth of the number of traditional current accounts)
penetration from 34% (Dec 00) to 40% (Dec 01)
2001
2000 2001
2000 2001
18
SMALL BUSINESS: GOOD LENDING PERFORMANCE AND POSITIVE EFFECT FROM IMPRENDO NEW CUSTOMERS
848 943
635574
308274
11,43412,048
3.94 4.24
TOTAL REVENUES
INTEREST INCOME
NON INTEREST INCOME
LENDING VOLUMES
SPREAD ON LOANS, %
+ 11.2%
+10.6%
+12.5%
(Euro mln)
Imprendo customers as of Dec 01: 125,000 (+ 36% on Dec 00),
representing 23% of total small business customers
35,000 new customers (19,000 in 2001 only)
Positive effect on revenues per customer from Euro 1.5 th to 1.7 th, +13.3% y/y)
+ 5.4%
+ 30 bp
2000 2001
2000 2001
2000 2001
2000 2001
2000 2001
19
CORPORATE: EXCELLENT RESULTS DUE TO IMPROVED CUSTOMERS PORTFOLIO AND GROWING COMMISSIONS FROM HIGH VALUE-ADDED SERVICES
BREAKDOWN OF COMMISSIONS % ch.
on 00% weight on total2001
Forex & derivativesForeign services
Payment servicesPortfolio management
Other
Total
187 +59 38
95 +28 20
68 +21 14
39 +5 8
99 +1 20
488 +27 100
32.0 -1.96.0 36.1
Avg. Loans
00
Selective reduction
Avg. Loans
01
New Loans
(Euro bn)
Increase lending profitability: growing loans (+12.8% y/y), even
after a selective reduction of less profitable assets
better spread, +23 bp y/y(Euro mln)
Good performance of all commissions, not only from Forex & Derivatives
5.6%
0.5%
+5.1 pp
2000 2001
RARORAC
PROFITABILITY INCREASE
20
SELECTIVE GROWTH TO MAINTAIN ASSET QUALITY AT EXCELLENCE LEVEL ALSO FOR THE FUTURE
DEFAULT LIKELIHOOD(1)
LOW(1)
MEDIUM(1)
HIGH(1)
Total portfolio
(1) See Annex for definition
WEIGHT ON LOAN
PORTFOLIO (DEC 2001)
% GROWTH (DEC O1/00)
51.1%
38.1%
10.8%
+12.4
+2.1
-10.0
100.0% +5.5
2000
2.9% 2.6%
4.0% 3.3%
0.73% 0.68%
Gross NPL/Gross Loans
Gross NPL/Gross Loans T-2
New NPL/Gross Loans T-2
1.05% 0.99%New Watchlist
/Gross Loans T-1
20017 MAJOR ITALIAN BANKS
48.2% 48.1%Coverage ratio on total gross NPL
Good improvement of asset quality indicators of the 7 major Italian Banks (includes a securitisation of Euro 660 mln of NPL carried out by Cariverona and Mediovenezie in 2001)
The flows of NPL and Watchlist Loans on Gross Loans show a good improvement
Stable coverage ratios
GOOD ASSET QUALITY:
21
S3 PROJECT IS WELL ON TRACK AND REINFORCES OUR CONFIDENCE TOWARDS THE RESPECT OF THE PLANNED TIMETABLE
MAIN EVENTS OCCURRED AFTER THE APPROVAL OF S3 PROJECT (DECEMBER, 14TH 2001)
Creation of 13 task forces responsible of the reorganisation plan, with direct involvement of the Holding company Top Management
Top Management’s Roadshow in the main Italian towns to meet more than 8,000 members of the middle management to share the rationale and targets of Project S3
The task forces organised into working groups focused on the operational aspects of the reorganisation, 40 of which are currently working towards Jan 1st deadline (spin-off of the 3 new segment banks)
22
2001 Group Highlights
Divisional Reporting
Italian Commercial Banking
Wholesale Banking
Investment Banking
Asset Management
New Europe Banking
Conclusions
Agenda
23
2001 REPRESENTED A TEST OF REVENUE STABILITY AND PREDICTABILITY FOR UCI’S INVESTMENT BANKING
NON CYCLICAL BEHAVIOR OF P&L
UBM & TRADINGLAB: TOWARDS A MODEL OF STABLE GROWTH IN INVESTMENT BANKING
HIGH VOLUMES WITH LIMITED RISKS: LOW AND STABLE DAILY VAR, RESILIENCE TO MARKET STRESS
LIGHT AND FLEXIBLE PROFESSIONAL STRUCTURE
LIMITED IMPACT OF BAD MARKET CONDITIONS: NON-CORRELATION BETWEEN REVENUE SOURCES (CORPORATE DERIVATIVES VS RETAIL DERIVATIVES AND CORPORATE FINANCE)
STABILITY OF DAILY REVENUES
35.4% C/I (including variable compensation)
24
BRILLIANT INCREASE IN NET INCOME ...
Net Income
Total Revenues
Euro mln
C/I ratio (%)
Net operating income 394.1
610.3
35.4
218.3
2001
444.0
155.8
37.3
278.6
2000 % Ch.
+37.4
+40.2
-1.9 pp
+41.5
Key figures
C/I Ratio at excellent level (35.4%, -1.9 pp vs. 2000), despite significant IT investments and increased headcount (566, +181 vs. 2000)
ROE higher than 55%
Average daily net revenues from trading up 35% vs 2000 (Euro 2.04 mln vs Euro 1.51 mln), despite difficult market conditions; their “recurring nature” confirmed by 2002 trend
25
Wider product range (“Range”, “Pick Up”, “Strategy”, “Super Stock” and “Dynamo”); issuance (Euro 4.5 bn) and market making of Derivatives Linked Notes
50% market share in CW in Italy as at Dec. 2001, despite increased competition
... MAINLY DUE TO A STRONG REVENUE INCREASE IN COUNTERCYCLICALDERIVATIVES FOR CORPORATE AND INSTITUTIONAL CUSTOMERS
Derivatives (1)
Capital Markets & Corporate Finance
Euro mln
Fixed Income (1)
Equities (1)
(1) Sales & Trading
Corporate Banking 19.4
Corporate
Institutional
220.6
75.1
Total Revenue Composition
32.0
30.2
25.3
295.7
2001
38.5
127.1
40.6
40.9
-
93.7
33.4
2000 % Ch.
-16.9
-25.4
-29.0(2)
402.6TOTAL 247.1 +62.9
n.s.
+135.4
+124.2
+132.6
198.7196.9 +0.9
610.3TOTAL INVESTMENT BANKING (3) 444.0 +37.4
(2) Calculated on a comparable basis
UBM KEY HIGHLIGHTS
DERIVATIVES CORPORATE: More than 25,000 deals with
customers (nominal value of risk covered higher than 120 bn Euro)
INSTITUTIONAL: Engineering (in jv with Pioneer) of Capital Guaranteed Products
Euro 19.4 mln from Syndication Financing (start-up in 2001)
Ranking 1st in the Italian Gov. Bonds primary market with 8.4% market share
Ranking 1st Italian issuer in Corporate Bond League Table
CORPORATE BANKING
FIXED INCOME
TRADINGLAB KEY HIGHLIGHTS
(3) Balance due to Euro Capital Structures, operating as Agent in the securitisation business
26
2001 Average daily VAR(1) 4.3% down vs 2000 (Euro 4.4 mln vs Euro 4.6 mln)
11 Trading days with negative P&L before September 11th; 16 after September 11th; no negative daily P&Ls in 2002 up to end of February
No negative outliner
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
RESILIENCE TO MARKET STRESS PROVED BY STABILITY OFPOSITIVE DAILY P&Ls FROM TRADING ACTIVITIES
Daily VAR(1) and P&L UBM+TL (Jan. 2001 - Feb. 2002)
Euro mln
Daily V
AR
an
d P
&L U
BM
+TL
Daily P&L VaR
(1) Figure relates to UBM and TL combined; calculation made with a 98-99% asymmetric double tail confidence interval
27
2001 Group Highlights
Divisional Reporting
Italian Commercial Banking
Wholesale Banking
Investment Banking
Asset Management
New Europe Banking
Conclusions
Agenda
28
Best performance in Pioneer US’ history for gross and net sales in 2001, despite bad market conditions
SUCCESSFUL TURNAROUND OF INFLOWS IN USA IN THE FIRST YEAR AFTER ACQUISITION ...
1,0191,361
2,166 2,287
3,430 3,2832,751
3,838
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
PIONEER US - Gross Domestic Sales
0
USD mln
563 6291,000
506
1,189
-251
-1,740
1,231
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
PIONEER US - Net Domestic SalesUSD mln
Euro 673 mln net sales in the first two months of 2002
Euro 21.7 bn AuM as at end 2001; Euro 22.4 bn as at 28.2.2002
Increased market shares in USA: 1.32% (+5 bp) on total AuM(1); 1.98 (+14 bp) on Equity AuM(2)
(2) Year-end figures(1) Non Proprietary Long Term Assets
29
Leadership in the institutional segment thanks to a strong contribution from life insurance and pension products marketed to institutional customers (Insurance +13.1%; pension funds +39.0% vs 2000)
Increased market shares(2) in Italy (from 13.33% in Dec00 to 13.56% in Dec01) and Poland (from 19.7% to 24%)
Excellent turnaround of inflows in the “International” business area: +596 Euro mln in 2001, +561 in 2002 first two months vs -414 Euro mln in 2000
... AND GOOD RESULTS IN ALL THECOUNTRIES WHERE PIONEER OPERATES THROUGH THIRD PARTY DISTRIBUTORS
TOTAL
New Europe
International
(Euro mln)
2,683
1,044
Italy
+596
+408
+561
+37
3,370
1,071
2001Net
sales
Institutional (2)5,733 5,843
10,2839,460
+1,048
+2,052 +775
+177
Dec ‘01 AUM
2002 Net
sales(1)
28.2.’02 AUM (1)
(1) January and February 2002 - Management accounts
Pioneer TOTAL AuM as at 31.12.2001: Euro 111.0 bn
Pioneer TOTAL AuM as at 28.2.2001: Euro 111.6 bn
(2) Market shares in mutual funds including institutional and retail customers
Pioneer TOTAL net sales in 2001: Euro 3.0 bn
30
Total Revenues
2001
Operating costs
Gross operating income
Net Profit (3)
483.9
378.4
105.6
58.2
(Euro mln)
+3.9% Vs. 2000 pro-forma(1) thanks to successful turnaround of inflows and focus on high margin products (i.e. Capital Guaranteed)
Costs impacted by non recurring restructuring charges, interest expenses(2) and advertising campaigns to relaunch Pioneer brand
Gross operating income affected by impact of turnaround costs
Net Profit also affected by increased reserves and very conservative approach to tax provisions
(1) Pro-forma based on UCI estimates (not accounting figures) including Pioneer USA results (for the whole 2000) in 2000 Pioneer Group’s income statement
PIONEER HAD A GOOD INCREASE IN REVENUES (ON A PRO-FORMA BASIS);C/I RATIO AFFECTED BY THE COSTS OF TURNAROUND
Trend Vs. 2000
Percentage changes over 2000 reported figures are not meaningful because of differences in consolidation perimeter
(3) Contribution to UCI Group’s Net Profit(2) Interest expenses related to financing of goodwill
31
2001 Group Highlights
Divisional Reporting
Italian Commercial Banking
Wholesale Banking
Investment Banking
Asset Management
New Europe Banking
Conclusions
Agenda
32
BRILLIANT ECONOMIC RESULTS …
+43% OPERATING INCOME GROWTH (+31% at fixed FX), THANKS TO:
Revenue generation (+21% y/y, +11% at fixed FX) and diversification (Net non Interest Income/Total Revenues 39%,+2.5 p.p. y/y)
Strict cost control (C/I Ratio down by 8 p.p. to 48.9%)
NEW EUROPE BANKING: KEY HIGHLIGHTS
… IN A LESS FAVOURABLE THAN EXPECTED 2001 ENVIRONMENT (TO IMPROVE IN 2002)
Economic slowdown in Poland (1,1% real GDP growth in 2001 vs 4.0% in 2000) while growth in other countries remained strong
Strong reduction of Polish interest rates (-750 bp in 12 months)
STRONG PERFORMANCE OF THE DIVISION ALSO PROVEN BY:
Outperformance of Bank PEKAO vs. major competitors
Increased contribution of other banks
MORE AND MORE AN IMPORTANT GROWTH FACTOR FOR UCI Macroeconomic environment sustains accelerated growth Further restructuring opportunities available New acquisition in the pipeline to fuel further growth
CAPITAL GAIN ON SPLITSKA (over Euro 34 mln gross of tax effect with 60% gross return on 1.5 years) PROVIDES TANGIBLE EVIDENCE OF NE STRATEGY
33
Net Interest Income
2000 2001
552
787
1,275
1,541
56.7%
48.9%
Operating Income
Total Revenues
Cost/Income
2000 2001
2000 2001
812943
464599
Non NetInterestIncome
2000 2001
2000 2001
+43%
+21%+16%
-7.8 pp
(Euro mln)
OPERATING INCOME UP 43% Y/Y AND NET INCOME GROWTH AT +53% Y/Y (+31% AND +42% AT END 2000 FX RESPECTIVELY)
+31%
+11% +6%
+29%
+18%
-2.400 HEADCOUNT VS 2000: Implementation of outsourcing opportunities Incentivised exits, management of turnovers
STRICT COST CONTROL Tight procurement, centralised purchasing Real estate restructuring Full scope contract renegotiation
At end 2001 FX
At end of period FX(1)
* Calculated on end of period data
VOLUMES GROWTH: Gross Customer Loans:
+17,3% yoy* Customer Deposits:
+16,6% yoy* COMMERCIAL ACTIONS:
Active and rapid Repricing Increased sales
productivity
NEW VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS INTRODUCED
Structured CD Asset Management
products Credit Cards and Payment
Services
(1) Exchange ratio of 31 dec 01 for 2001, exchange ratio of 31 dec 00 for 2000
34
NEW EUROPE BANKING NET INCOME – UCI’s PORTION: EURO 227.3 mln (+35% y/y)
SPLITSKA 5% (Euro 10.9 mln)
BULBANK 14%(Euro 30.9 mln)
INCREASED CONTRIBUTION TO DIVISION’S NET INCOME FROM BULBANK, SPLITSKA AND POL’NOBANKA THANKS TO RESTRUCTURING
(1) At Unchanged FX(2) For 2000 Bulbank Net Profit net of € 79 mln (pre tax) extraordinary income from UBB disposal
GROUP PEKAO 80% (Euro 183.3 mln)
POL’NOBANKA 1% (Euro 2.2 mln)
Total Division
Net Income – % y/y growth (1)
ROE, %
Splitska Pol’no Banka
Group Pekao
Bulbank
n.s.
9.0
+175
23.8
+80 (2)
14.722.2
+53
C/I Ratio, % 68.248.045.948.7
C/I Ratio – p.p. Ch. on 2000 -13.7-6.9-5.2-7.9
+81 (2)
21.1
48.9
-7.8
ROE – p.p. Ch. on 2000 n.s.+13.5+6.6 (2) +2.6 +5.5 (2)
RARORAC, % 1.817.929.723.5 17.7
35
BANK PEKAO OUTPERFORMS ALL MAJOR COMPETITORS THANKS TO ADEQUATE REPRICING AND TIGHT COST CONTROL
y/y % growth (1)
Pekao
65Net Income
-29
Best perf. Pekao
Banking System (3)
Pekao
20
46
Net Commissions
17
Best perf.BH
BankingSystem (3)
(1) Calculated on data based on Polish accounting standards at unchanged FX; all data are unconsolidated (2) Salaries, statutory employment costs, Non-personnel costs, Taxes and charges, Contribution and payment to Bank, Other costs(3) Considered Kredyt Bank, BSK, LG Petro Bank, BZWBK, BRE, BH, BPH + PBK, BOS, BIG BG, Fortis Bank (not included Pekao)
Pekao
7 7
Net Interest Income
-6Best perf.
Pekao
BankingSystem (3)
Pekao
-4 -4
Overheads costs (2)
18
Best perf.Pekao
BankingSystem (3)
65
36
OVERALL ASSET QUALITY OF THE DIVISION PRESERVED DESPITE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN IN POLAND THANKS TO PEKAO’S SELECTIVE LENDING POLICY AND EFFECTIVE RECOVERY ACTIONS
% Ch.
(Fixed FX)2000
(1) Total loan loss provisions /Total gross loans(2) Total specific provisions for doubtful loans/ Total gross doubtful loans(3) Internal estimate based on Pekao’s current portfolio situation(4) Due to restrictive Polish regulation based on financial ratios and risky sectors
2001(Euro mln)
WE ARE PROMPTLY REACTING THROUGH:
Conservative lending policy Implementation of new lending rules and procedures and active monitoring Effective recovery actions
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Coverage ratios
-on Total gross Loans (%) (1)
-on Total gross doubtful loans (%) (2)
+0.7
-3.3
9.7
59.4
10.4
56.1
Good coverage ratios, although negatively impacted by write-offs
Volumes
Total gross loans 9,845 +7.411,552
Gross NPL 916 +25.41,241
Gross NPL/Tot. gross loans (%)
Net NPL/Tot. net loans (%)
9.3 +1.4
1.4 +1.0
10.7
2.4
Selective and conservative lending policies
Deterioration of asset quality mainly due to the economic slowdown in Poland in 2001
Approximately 25%(3) of Doubtful Loans with no payment delays(4)
37
2,92,8
3,83,4
1,01,6
4,1
0,41,1
2000 2001 2002NECs Eurozone USA
IN AN INTERNATIONAL SLOWDOWN SCENARIO NECs SHOW A STRONGER GROWTH (COMPARED TO USA AND EUROZONE) WITH A DECREASING RISK
Good GDP growth above both the Eurozone and the USA
(1)UCI – FBD(2)J.P. Morgan EMBI Global (Emerging Market Bond Index)(3)UCI - FBD- Average S&P’s NEC’s Country Rating weighted on GDP(4)Average of first two months of 2002
Real % GDP Growth (1)
BBBBBBBBBBBB-
194 bp208bp
254 bp250bp
1999 2000 2001 2002(4)
Decreasing risk supported by economic stability, inflation and budget deficit control
EU accession process accelerated as a result of Nice meeting leading very likely to EU entrance in 2004, and thus contributing to a virtuous economic cycle
S&P’s NECsRating (3)
Average yearly spread of Polish sovereign debt vs Treasury (2)
38
POSITIVE MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND EXPLOITMENT OF FURTHER RESTRUCTURING OPPORTUNITIES WILL SUPPORT DOUBLE DIGIT INCOME INCREASE
Increase in salesforce productivity
Divisionalisation (Corporate, Affluent / SMEs, Mass Market) to lead to improved commercial effectiveness
Product range enlargement to develop higher value added products and increase fee contribution (Asset management, Structured Products, Life Insurance in Retail; Forex,Trade Finance and Derivatives in Corporate)
Possible launch of focused initiatives (with dedicated sales force) to reinforce leadership in Affluent segment
Rebranding and relaunch of Pol’nobanka activities (to be renamed UniBanka in April 2002)
SUSTAINED REVENUES GROWTH
Common business models and standard applications
New IT system in Pekao and Bulbank leading to higher effectiveness and efficiency
NEW IT SYSTEM
Ongoing cost control initiatives supported by further cost reduction driven by economies of scale
Development of regional credit card processing operation
Centralised IT purchase
COST CONTROL
Full redesign of credit process
Development of focused/state of the art rating and scoring system
CREDIT PROCESS IMPROVING
39
2001 Key Highlights(1)
SUCCESSFUL COMPLETION OF THE ZAGREBACKA DEAL
Successfully completed tender offer for ZaBA Total shareholding of Consortium: 80% Mandatory cash offer for outstanding voting shares expected to be
launched on 15 March 2002 Splitska sold to allow completion of Zagrebacka deal generating
Euro 34 mln gross capital gain and 60% gross return in 1.5 years
Strategic Rationale
2004 EPS accretion of 1.8%(3) at group level
Operating income: 378.2 Pre-tax income: 84.5 Total assets: 6,723 Branches(2): 237 Customers(2): 1,3 mln Market share deposits(2): 36%
Undisputed leading bank in Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina
One of the most efficient and best performing banks in the region
Natural platform for further regional expansion
(1) Euro mln, Kune/Euro FX: 7.14 as at 8th March(2) Number of total group branches as at 1H01(3) Based on net effect of UCI acquiring an 85% shareholding in ZaBa and disposal of Splitska banka
40
2001 Group Highlights
Divisional Reporting
Italian Commercial Banking
Wholesale Banking
Investment Banking
Asset Management
New Europe Banking
Conclusions
Agenda
41
SUMMING UP: 2001 GROUP HIGHLIGHTS
Italian Banking: Corporate, Small Business and Mass Market counterbalance the Private and Affluent results hit by negative market conditions
Investment Banking: strong revenue increase in countercyclical products for corporate and institutional customers more than offsets the decline in traditional Investment Banking
New Europe: revenue growth led by increased volumes and commercial actions (distribution of new value-added products) with improved efficiency
STRATEGIC VISION AND RAPID ACTIONS: S3 project enhances UCI’s competitive advantage and value creation
SOUND COST CONTROL: Cost Income Ratio at 52.7%, 47.8% at structural level
GOOD REVENUE GENERATION AND INCREASED PROFITABILITY SUPPORTED BY A WELL BALANCED REVENUE MIX:
42
Annexes
43
2001 CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
Net extraordinary income
Net interest income (incl. dividends)
Net non interest income
Total revenues
Operating income
Tax rate, %
Net loan loss provisions
2000 % ch.
Administrative costs (incl. depr.)
Net income +4.2
4,571
4,747
9,318
903
100
+6.4
+8.1
+7.2
1,395
-5.5
+131.0
4,752 +10.8
4,566 +3.5
Other net provisions* 355 +9.6
43.6
Goodwill depr. 115 +140.9
2001
43.2
5,049
4,940
9,989
5,263
4,726
853
231
1,454
389
277
(Euro mln)
Minorities 463 +8.0500
Taxes 1,435 +3.41,484
(*) Including provisions to general banking risk fund
44
GOOD ASSET QUALITY CONFIRMED DESPITE THE SLOWDOWN IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
TIER 1 ratio
2001E
Coverage ratios
-on total gross NPL, %
-on tot. Gross doubtful loans, %
Total gross doubtful loans
y/y % change
Italian banks
‘00 ‘01
New Europe banks
Other(2) Group
‘00 ‘01 ‘00 ‘01 ‘00 ‘01
Gross NPLy/y % change
Gross NPL/Tot. Gr. Loans,%
Net NPL/Tot. Net Loans,%
3,379 2,761(1) 916 1,241 341 245 4,636 4,247
-18.3 +35.5 -28.2 -8.4
3.4 2.7 9.3 10.7 1.8 1.7 3.9 3.5
1.8 1.5 1.4 2.4 0.6 0.6 1.7 1.5
4,968 4,309(1) 1.545 2,077 515 457 7,028 6,843
-13.3 +34.4 -11.3 -2.6
47.5 46.3 86.8 79.6 67.2 64.9 56.8
39.3 37.8 59.4 56.1 53.4 45.2 44.4
Coverage ratios are satisfactory. Securitisation deal impacts on the mix of doubtful loans (lower weight of non-performing loans with higher coverage ratios and higher weight of watchlist with lower coverage ratios)Total capital ratio
7.17%
10.50% (1) In 1H01 Cariverona and Mediovenezie carried out a securitisation of Gross NPL for Euro 660 mln (Euro 250 mln net of write downs) (2)Mainly Locat, UniCredit Factoring and Parent Company
Net Doubtful Loans/Tot. Net Loans,%
3.3 3.23.1 2.7 7.1 8.8 1.1 1.5
60.0
(Euro mln)
Italian Banks Division’s asset quality substantially better than industry (Gross NPL ratio at 2.8% compared to 4.7%)
57.1
45
LOW LENDING EXPOSURE VERSUS HIGH RISK SECTORS AND COUNTRIES
High risk sectors(relative to the economic trend)
High risk countries
4,303(1)
Euro mln 2001
138(2) Low lending exposure to South America (0.1% of 2001 gross customer loans):Euro 39.5 mln ArgentinaEuro 41.1 mln CileEuro 24.1 mln VenezuelaEuro 33.2 mln Brazil
Low lending exposure versus sectors with high conjunctural risk (4.7% of 2001 performing loans):Euro 98 mln AeronauticsEuro 312 mln InsuranceEuro 2,008 mln Leisure and EntertainmentEuro 1,171 mln TelecommunicationsEuro 714 mln Telecom equipment manufactures
(2) Based on Bank of Italy matrix account and related to 7 banks, BMC and BMV(3) Of which Euro 42.9 mln guaranteed primarily by SACE
46
RESULTS BREAKDOWN BY DIVISION
Italian banking
Wholesale banking
New Europe banking
New Initiatives
Corp. Centre
& elisions
Group total
Interest margin (incl. div.) 4,017 5,049-20 942 2 108
Net non interest income 3,801 4,9401,117 599 22 -599
Total revenues 7,818 9,9891,097 1,541 24 -491Administrative costs (incl. depr.) 3,862 5,263595 754 83 -31
Operating income 3,956 4,726502 787 -59 -460Net provisions and other costs
629 1,24226 207 2 378
Tax expenses 1,392 1,484183 164 - -255
Net income for The Group 1,669 1,454274 227 -61 -655
of which: Staff 2,090 3,045291 385 13 266
Goodwill depreciation - 277- - - 277
Net income 2,002 1,954290 410 -61 -687
Extraordinary Income +67 +231-3 -6 - +173
(Euro mln)
47
APPENDIX ON ASSET QUALITY FOR ITALIAN BANKING
The Default Likelihood is based on internal calculations, taking into account historical trends of NPL, doubtful loans and watch-list loans, sector historical trends and expectations
Low default likelihood - main sectors included: Metal products Farm & industrial machinery Other industrial products Electrical materials & supplies Energy products Other sales-oriented services
Medium default likelihood - main sectors included: Commercial services Textile leather & clothing Food beverages & tobacco
High default likelihood - Sectors included: Construction and public works TMT Transport related services
48
UBM T.Lab
ASSET MANAGEMENT (Pioneer+UCI Capital Italia)
Interest margin (incl. div.) 11.4 -13.4 -2.0 -18.5 -20.5
Net non interest income 391.2 212.2 612.3 505.0 1,117.3
Total revenues 402.6 198.7 610.3 486.5 1,096.8
Administrative costs (incl. depr.)
138.4 74.1 216.2 378.4 594.6
Operating income 264.2 124.6 394.1 108.1 502.2
103.2
-0.5 -2.8 -0.5 -3.3
Net income for The Group 143.4 71.1 216.0 58.2 274.3
of which: Staff 69.1 23.1 92.6 198.4 291.0
Net income 143.4 71.1 218.3 71.9 290.2
Extraordinary Income -1.3
50.8 154.6 28.3 182.9
(Euro mln) TOTALINVESTMENT
BANKING*
TOTALWHOLESALE
BANKING
Tax expenses
C/I Ratio, % 34.4 37.3 35.4 77.8 54.2
WHOLESALE BANKING DIVISION INCOME STATEMENT
(*) Balance due to Euro Capital Structures (52% owned by UBM)
49
THE COOPERATION WITH UBM AND TRADINGLAB RESULTED IN A SOUND SUCCESS FOR CAPITAL GUARANTEED PRODUCTS
CAPITAL GUARANTEED PRODUCTS: EURO 7.46 Bn NET INFLOWS IN 2001*, MORE THAN EURO 8.7 Bn FROM LAUNCH TO FEB. ‘02
(1) Net of Euro 91 mln. inflow from a joint BANK PEKAO / TRADINGLAB Capital Protected Note issued in October
DIFFERENT PRODUCTS - ONE COMMON CONCEPT
Freedom for the asset manager; equity up to 60% of total capital invested
Low cost of the guarantee
Low capital absorption (according to B.I. standards)
ADVANTAGES FOR THE WHOLESALER
Higher equity content of AUM
Higher market share in wealth management
1,242
731
16
2,734
868
386
1,000
2,000
(Euro mln)
02Q’01 3Q’01 4Q’01 Jan-Feb.
2002
Segregated Accounts
Unit Linked (UNISTAR)
1Q’01
465 386
632
703
165
146
Fund, Equity & Index Linked Notes
3,000
4,000
Tot: 1,018
Tot: 465
Tot: 1,989
Tot: 3,988
Tot: 1,273
50
NEW EUROPE BANKING: RESULTS BREAKDOWN BY BANK
Interest margin (incl. div.)
Net non interest income
Total revenues
Operating costs (incl. dep.)
Net operating income
Net income
ROECost/income(excl. goodwill dep.)
- Staff costs
- Other costs
TOTAL (1)SPLITSKA BANKA (62,6%)
POL’NO BANKA (72,4%)
Group PEKAO (53,2%)
BULBANK (85,2%)
823 51 47 21 942
599
1 541
754
787
410
21,1%
48,9%
13
34
23
11
3
9,0%
68,2%
18
65
31
34
18
23,8%
48,0%
23
74
34
40
14,7%
45,9%
545
1 368
666
702
22,2%
48,7%
353
38591714345
369141420321
Net loan loss provisions 1855126*174
Tax Rate 28,6%16,0%20,9%29,6% 46,6%
Capital Absorption
RARORAC
Value Creation
(Euro mln)
(UCI stake)
36
Net income (UCI’s portion) 227,32,210,9183,3 30,9
1.27265941.083 29
1228255 1 226
17,9%29,7%23,5% 1,8% 17,7%(*) Writeback (1) Balance due to roundings and elisions
51
Monetary policy from expansionary to restrictive in 2002:after the wait and see policy in the first months of 2002, the EBC might revise up its stance by year end in line with the expected recovery (Refi rate at 3,25% in Dec.’02 as at in Dec.’01)
Customer Deposits (domestic banking business): growth expected to moderate its pace (+4% current accounts in 2002 vs +9.5% in Dec.’01). Stock markets recovery will lower households’ risk aversion reducing their liquidity preference and increasing AuM business (+4,9% Mutual Funds* stock in 2002 vs –6,2% in 2001)
Customer Loans (domestic banking business): further slowdown in 2002, but still increasing (5% vs. 7,7%)
Interest rates average banking spread is expected to end this year at the same level as in Dec.’01, but narrowing on 2002 average (4.44% vs 4.57%) due to the very low rates reached in the 1Q’02
The business cycle is expected to improve at a moderate pace (real GDP +1.4% in Italy in 2002, +1,6% in Europe and +1,5% in US)
Financial markets are turning up in line with stronger than expected Us economic figures, but volatility remains high (+3% the market effect of AuM expected for 2002)
AFTER A DIFFICULT 2001 WE EXPECT A MORE FAVOURABLE SCENARIO THIS YEAR ALREADY SUPPORTED BY SIGNS OF RECOVERY
TREND OF MAIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
99I II III IV 00I II III IV 01I II III IV 02I II III IV
Us
UeItaly
Real GDP y-o-y growth rates
* Total funds managed by Italian asset managers