May 06, 2015
Michell [email protected]
London Futurists
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3 days of contentuploaded every minute.
InevitabilityEfficiency ComplexityInherence
1. TECHNOLOGICAL IMPERATIVES
INHERENCETechnology wants to be part of us.
“ Anything useful thatwe make is technology.
— Kevin Kelly— Founding executive editor, WIRED Magazine
EFFICIENCYTechnology wants to be faster.
SPEEDCOST
RAM SSD MbpsCPU × FSB
2008
2012
0
5
10
15
20
25
30El
ectr
icity
Tele
phon
e
Radi
o
Tele
visi
on
Com
pute
r
Inte
rnet
Mob
ile p
hone
Smar
tpho
ne
Tabl
et
ADOPTIONTIME
COMPLEXITYTechnology creates itself out of itself.
Multi-touchXMPP Email SMS TFT-
LCD
NFCTrian-gulation A-GPS Blue-
tooth USB
GPRSNiMH File-system OS Cloud
sync
Touch-screen
Videocamera
Photocamera TCP IPS
GSMLi-Ion App store LTESocial
network
Li-Pol Multi-media EDGEKernel
HSDPAInternet MMS LCDSIM
Key-boardGPS Compass Wi-FiLED
Videocamera
GSM
HSDPA
EDGE
GPRS
TFT-LCD LCD CRT
Multi-touch
Touch-screen
Key-board
NFC
Blue-tooth
USB
Wi-Fi
A-GPSGPSTrian-gulationCompass
XMPP
MMSSMS
Internet TCP
NiMH
Li-Ion
Li-Pol
Cloudsync
App store
Socialnetwork
Photocamera
Multi-media
Kernel
system
OS
IPS
LTE
SIM
INEVITABILITYIf it’s possible, it’s necessary.
InevitabilityEfficiency Complexity
1. TECHNOLOGICAL IMPERATIVES
Inherence
GPS
GPS
Genetic testing for $299
GPS
2. MAKING SENSE OF INNOVATION
2012
2020
2030
2040
AI INTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECH
“SCI-FI SCAFFOLDING”
3. BETTER GUESSES
Faces & smiles
Ubiquity
Person recognition
Object recognition
Focus & cropping
“UBICAM”
Knows where you areKnows who you are withKnows what to focus onKnows what matters to you
Records & publishes automatically.
“UBICAM”
“UBICAM”
“UBICAM”
£499
£499£29
Mesh networking
Better photovoltaics
Affordable smartphones
“AIRDROPPED REVOLUTIONS”
“AIRDROPPED REVOLUTIONS”
Drone cameras
Swarm robotics
Computer vision
“IRREPRESSIBLE PANOPTICON”
“IRREPRESSIBLE PANOPTICON”
“IRREPRESSIBLE PANOPTICON”
“IRREPRESSIBLE PANOPTICON”
2014
Arkyd 100:In-orbit telescopeswith remote sensing
Arkyd 200:More scientific instrumentswith additional propulsion
Arkyd 300:Networked swarm of robotsorbiting an asteroid
Arkyd 300Arkyd 200
Arkyd 100
Asteroid miningH2O extraction
2020 2030 2040
4. WHAT NEXT?
“ It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place.If you want to get somewhere else, you must run at least twice as fast as that!
HIT & MISS
envisioningtech.com/methodology/