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Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science of Active Trend Trading
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Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Mar 14, 2018

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Page 1: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Lighting the Way:

Using Candlestick Patterns

The Art & Science of Active Trend Trading

Page 2: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Disclaimer

• U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures

and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware

of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets.

Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to

Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to

achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this training. The past performance of any

trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

• CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN

LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT

REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE

RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN

MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN

GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF

HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY

TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

• All Materials presented are for training purposes only . Traders should paper trade any new method prior to risk of

personal capital.

Page 3: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Candlestick History

• Charting method originating In Japan between the 18th century & late 1800’s

• Potentially used by Japanese Rice Traders

• Introduced to Western Traders by Steve Nison in the 1990’s

• Knowledge base and trading importance expanded by Steve Bigalow

Page 4: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Candles and Technicals

• Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders

• Immediate feedback on investors sentiment

• Clarify Misconception and Simplify Candle Usage

• Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames

• Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues

Presentation Material by: The Candlelight Trader

Candles Show Us When!

Techncials show us how much! $$$$

Page 5: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Patterns and Trade Set Ups

Part 1

Page 6: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Golden Rule

Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria

for proper interpretation:

1. A Completed Line

2. Shape of the line of pattern

3. The Preceding Trend

Page 7: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Basic & Best Candlestick Signals

Best Candlestick Reversal Signals • Doji/Spinning Tops

• Engulfing Patterns

• Hammer/Hanging Man

• Piercing Line

• Dark Cloud

• Harami

• Shooting Star

• Morning Star

• Evening Star

• Inverted Hammer

• Kicker

Page 8: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Supporting Clues

Non Candlestick Supporting Clues

• Moving averages (8 EMA, 20 SMA, 50

SMA)

• Trends

• Support/Resistance

• Stochastics (12/3)

• Voided Patterns

• Daily & Weekly Charts

Page 9: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Basic Trading Checklist

• Trade Top Quality Growth Stock from IBD 50, Leaderboard or other IBD sources

• Define Support & Resistance (Horizontal)

• Define Trend

• Define Trading Timeline

• Look for Convergence of Clues

• Establish Reward/Risk on every trade (it’s easier than you think)

• Establish Targets and Proper Exits

• Be very careful TRADING BEFORE NEWS or NUMBERS

Page 10: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Sample Patterns

Single Candles

&

In Context

Page 11: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

- Single Candlesticks tell us immediately, who won the battle

that day (Buyers or Sellers) - This translates to being able to visually determine investor sentiment - What does this do for you and your planning your trades? - In combination with trend, other candles, moving averages, i.e.; other clues they are predictive of potential trend reversals or pauses in existing trend

What do Candlesticks tell us immediately?

Page 12: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

- Every Single Candlestick tell us immediately, who won the

battle that hour, day, week or month

What do Candlesticks tell us immediately?

Open

Open Close

Close

Buyers Sellers

Low

High

Page 13: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

- Single Candlesticks tell us immediately, who won the battle

that day Who Won the Battle?

What do Candlesticks tell us immediately?

Bulls Bears Indecisive

Trend tells us Who’s Winning the War

Page 14: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Comparison

Presentation Material by: The Candlelight Trader

Page 15: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Doji/Spinning Tops - Doji’s show indecision between buyers & sellers

- Clue: When present at past support or moving averages

potential trend reversal or break out

- Price Action will tend to move in the direction of the open after a Doji/Spinning Top

Indecision: More than one shows greater Indecision

Page 16: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Doji/Spinning Top Bullish

Series of Doji’s at Support

Clue: Oversold Stochastics

26%+ Gain from Signal to High in one month

&

Page 17: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Doji/Spinning Top Bearish

Series of Doji’s at Resistance

Clue: Overbought Stochastics & Divergent

Notice how after the series of doji’s resistance was tested and then failure

-15% drop from signal to stop

Page 18: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bullish Engulfing

Only occurs after a downtrend. Completely

engulfs the previous days body.

Expected move back to swing high, trend lines

or moving averages

Support

Swing High

Page 19: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bullish Engulfing

Bullish Engulfing

Clue: Divergent Stochastics

12.8%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks

Page 20: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bearish Engulfing

Resistance

Only occurs after a Uptrend. Completely engulfs

the previous days body.

Expected move back to Swing Low, trend lines

or moving averages

Swing Low

Page 21: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bearish Engulfing

Bearish Engulfing

Clue: Divergent Stochastics

12.8%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks

Page 22: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Hammer

Hammer Support

Only occurs after a downtrend.

Shadow must be 2X the Body

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing High

Page 23: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Hammer

21%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks

Hammer

Clue: Oversold Stochastics

Clue: What’s the other clue?

Page 24: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Hanging Man

Only occurs after a

Uptrend. Shadow must

be 2X the Body

Expected move back to

swing high, trend lines or

moving averages

Resistance

Swing Low

Page 25: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Hanging Man

-17% Drop from 2nd Signal to Low in 2 weeks

Hanging Man: Two of them & More.

Clue: Overbought Stochastics

Page 26: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Piercing Line

Support

Only occurs after a downtrend. Must

open below and close more than ½

way up preceding candle.

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing High

Page 27: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Piercing Line

70%+ Gain from Signal to High in 2 Months

Piercing Line

Clue: Oversold Stochastics

Page 28: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Dark Cloud

Resistance Only occurs after a uptrend. Must

open above and close more than ½

way down preceding candle.

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing Low

Page 29: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Dark Cloud

-9% Drop from Signal to Low in 2 days

Dark Cloud

Clue: Overbought Stochastics

Page 30: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bullish Harami

Only occurs after a downtrend.

Body inside previous days candle

One of the most powerful signals

Color of candle doesn’t matter

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing High

Page 31: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bullish Harami

13%+ Gain from Signal to High in 4 Weeks

Bullish Harami

Clue: Oversold Stochastics

Page 32: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bearish Harami

Swing Low

Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body

inside previous days candle

One of the most powerful signals

Color of candle doesn’t matter

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Page 33: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Bearish Harami

-20% Drop from Signal to Low in 5 Weeks

Bearish Harami

Clue: Divergent Stochastics

Page 34: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Shooting Star

Resistance Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body

inside previous days candle

Wick must be 2X Body

Color of candle doesn’t matter

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing Low

Page 35: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Shooting Star

-25% Drop from Signal to Low in 5 Days

Shooting Star

Clue: Divergent Stochastics

Page 36: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Morning Star

Hammer Support

Swing High Only occurs after a downtrend.

Body inside previous days candle

2nd Down day closes at least ½ way

down candle from 2 days prior

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Page 37: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Morning Star

11%+ Gain from Signal to High in 2 Weeks

Morning Star

Clue: Stochastics @ Support

Page 38: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Evening Star

Resistance Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body

inside previous days candle

2nd Down day closes at least ½ way

down candle from 2 days prior

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing Low

Page 39: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Evening Star

Evening Star

Clue: Divergent Stochastics

Page 40: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Inverted Hammer

Hammer Support

Only occurs after a downtrend.

Shadow must be 2X the Body

Can be very powerful signal

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Swing High

Page 41: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Inverted Hammer

30%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 Weeks

Inverted Hammer

Clue: Stochastics Oversold

Page 42: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Kicker

Swing High

Only occurs after a downtrend. Can

follow sell off gap down.

Very Powerful Signal

Next day opens up with a gap

Expected move back to swing high,

trend lines or moving averages

Reverse signal at for a bearish Kicker Gap up

Page 43: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Kicker—Bullish

13%+ Gain from Signal to High in 4 Weeks

Bullish Kicker

Clue: Stochastics Oversold

Page 44: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Kicker—Bearish

-7%+ Gain from Signal to Low in 2 Weeks

Bearish Kicker

Clue: Stochastics Divergence

Page 45: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Test Yourself

Page 46: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

What would you do?

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Page 47: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

What would you do?

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Page 48: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

What would you do?

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Candle Line?

Page 49: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

And Now?

What would you do?

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Page 50: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Want to go again?

Page 51: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science
Page 52: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Now what?

Buy or Wait?

Page 53: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Confirmation?

Page 54: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Left Right Combo

Page 55: Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns - Meetupfiles.meetup.com/3337362/Active Trend Trading Candlestick Patterns...Lighting the Way: Using Candlestick Patterns The Art & Science

Take a Break Part 2 begins

in 10 Minutes

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