Life Satisfaction in Past, Present, and Future Q1 - Q1 - Taking all things together, would you say you are… Q2A - Q2A - Compared to a year ago, overall.

Life Satisfaction in Past, Present, and FutureLife Satisfaction in Past, Present, and FutureQ1 - Q1 - Taking all things together, would you say you are…

Q2A -Q2A - Compared to a year ago, overall are things in your life much better now, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?

Q2B -Q2B - What is your expectation for how things in your life will be overall in a year from now? Will they be much better, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,050 (1 year ago), Valid N = 2,064 (Today), Valid N = 2,029 (In a year from now) LY11q01_q02a_q02b.HCX

Base = All Respondents

3840

77

38

46

18

810

13 4

1

12

3

1 year ago Today In a year from now0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Much better/Very goodSomewhat better/Quite good

Somewhat worse/Quite badMuch worse/Very bad

About the same

%

Standard of Living in Present and FutureStandard of Living in Present and FutureQQ33A -A - How would you judge your household’s standard of living compared with other households in your community?

QQ3B3B - - What do you expect your household’s standard of living to be in 12 months time?

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,053 (Q3a), Valid N = 1,981 (Q3b)

LY11q03a_q03b.HCX


10

6

16

5

59

21

11

29

5

39

Now In a year from now0

10

20

30

40

50

60

A lot below averageA bit below average

AverageA bit above average

A lot above average

%

Free Choice and Control over OneFree Choice and Control over One''s Lifes LifeQQ44 - - Some people feel they have completely free choice and control over their lives, while other people feel that

they have no real effect on what happens to them.

None at all Completely freechoice

%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,029

LY11q4.HCX

3 1 2

5

14

9

1214

10

31

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

5

10

15

20

25

30

35


Mean Score = 7.5 Std. Deviation = 2.4

Situation in Situation in LibyaLibya - Compared to - Compared to Before the RevolutionBefore the RevolutionQQ1212 - - Compared to our country as it was before the revolution in February of this year, are things in Libya overall

much better now, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?

LY11q12.HCX

Much better now34%

Somewhat better41%

About the same13%

Somewhat worse8%

Much worse3%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N = 2,043


Situation in Situation in LibyaLibya - Expectation in One Year’s Time - Expectation in One Year’s TimeQQ13 - 13 - What is your expectation for how things will be for Libya as a country overall a year from now? Will they be

much better, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?

LY11q13.HCX

Much better79%

Somewhat better18%

About the same3%

Somewhat worse1%

Much worse1%



RevolutionRevolution in in LibyaLibya – – Right or Wrong?Right or Wrong?QQ15 - 15 - From today’s perspective and all things considered,

was it absolutely right, somewhat right, somewhat wrong or absolutely wrong that there was a revolution in Libya?

LY11q13.HCX

Absolutely right82%

Somewhat right15%

Somewhat wrong2%

Absolutely wrong2%



Social TrustSocial TrustQQ99 - - Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be

trusted or that you have to be very careful in dealing with people?

Most people can be trusted18%

Very careful with people82%


LY11q09.HCX


Future Structure of Future Structure of LibyaLibya

QQ2222 - - Which structure should Libya have in future?

21%

65%

14%

1%

A centralised Libya - government and ministries in TripoliA centralised Libya - government in Tripoli and ministries in other citiesA group of regional states and federal government in TripoliDividing the country into separate independent states


LY11q22.HCX


Spending Areas – 100 Million Dinars – Mean ScoresSpending Areas – 100 Million Dinars – Mean ScoresQQ1111 - - If you were the government of Libya and had 100 million Dinars to spend, how would you share it out between health care for the people, education, telephone technology for landline and mobiles, more trees, provision of water,

roads or electricity and public offices to govern this country?

Health care34

Education27

Provision of water, roads or electricity17

Telecommunication8

More trees8

Public offices7


LYq11.HCX


Distribution of Oil MoneyDistribution of Oil Money

QQ2323 - - As you may know, Libya produces oil which it can sell abroad. Some regions have oil but others do not. How do you think the oil money should be distributed within Libya?

0%

5%

95%

The regions that have oil should keep all the money from oil sales for themselvesThe regions that have oil should keep some of the money and distribute the rest around all of LibyaAll the oil money should be equally distributed around all of Libya


LY11q23.HCX


Importance of TribesImportance of TribesQ1Q199 - - How important or unimportant do you think tribes will be for the political future of the new Libya?

Very important33%

Quite important23%

Quite unimportant11%

Entirely unimportant34%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,996 LY11q19.HCX


Interest in PoliticsInterest in PoliticsQ1Q166 - - How interested would you say you are in politics?

Very interested35%

Somewhat interested41%

Not very interested16%

Not at all interested8%


LY11q16.HCX


Changes in Changes in Interest in PoliticsInterest in PoliticsQ1Q177 - - Over the past 12 months, would you say your interest in political matters has increased, stayed the same or

decreased?

Has increased79%

Stayed the same17%

Has decreased4%


LY11q17.HCX


Involvement in the Political ProcessInvolvement in the Political ProcessQ1Q188 - - I'm going to read out some different forms of political action that people can take, and I'd like you to tell me, for

each one, whether you have actually done any of these things, whether you might do it or would never, under any circumstances, do it.

LY11q18.HCX

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,939 to 2,024)


%0 20 40 60 80 100

Talking politics with others

Demonstrating

Using violence or force

Joining a political party or citizens' action group

Voting

83

31

7

3

2

6

31

16

42

83

10

38

78

55

15

Have done Might do Would never do

Role of Political MovementsRole of Political MovementsQQ2020 - - There are different political movements in Libya. Of the following movements which do you believe should play a

role in the political future of Libya and which ones should not.

LY11q20.HCXNational Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,936 to 1,967)


%0 20 40 60 80 100

Democratic Patriotic Stream

17th February Alliance

National Front for the Salvation of Libya (NFSL)

Libyan Revolutionary Union (ATHALL)

Muslim Brotherhood

9

12

18

24

57

27

66

51

58

27

64

23

31

18

16

Should not pay a role Should pay a role I have not heard of this movement

People and Organisations – AwarenessPeople and Organisations – AwarenessQQ21A21A - - I am going to read a number of people and organisations. For each one, could you please tell me if you have

heard of them or not?

%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,087 LY11q21a.HCX

Base = All RespondentsMultiple Response Set

99

98

94

93

91

90

89

89

86

84

69

67

66

62

0 20 40 60 80 100

The NTC

NATO

The new interim government

The Revolutionary Army

The Imams in the mosques

The United Nations

TV that broadcasts for Libya

Libyan politicians who came from abroad

The press

The European Union (EU)

Ministries in Tripoli

Local leaders in your community\tribe

The police in your area

Political parties

People andPeople and Organisations Organisations – Trust – TrustQ2Q21B1B - - How much confidence do you have in [organisation]: is it a great deal of confidence, quite a lot of confidence,

not very much confidence or none at all?

LYq21b.HCX


Base = Respondents who have heard of people/organisation

%0 20 40 60 80 100

The NTC






NATO




The press

The United Nations


Political parties

53

40

37

35

29

27

27

26

22

19

17

14

10

5

28

32

31

36

35

35

26

36

36

30

33

29

29

22

16

25

25

24

30

33

28

30

36

38

42

39

42

49

4

4

7

4

7

5

20

8

6

13

8

18

19

24

A great deal Quite a lot Not very much None at all

People andPeople and Organisations Organisations – Trust – Trust- - Mean Scores Mean Scores - -

Q2Q21B1B - - How much confidence do you have in [organisation]: is it a great deal of confidence, quite a lot of confidence, not very much confidence or none at all?

LY11q21b_ms.HCX

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,156 to 2,010) Base = All Respondents

A Great Deal(+1.5)

None at all(-1.5)

Mean Scores(In brackets = Std. Deviation)

-1 -0,8 -0,6 -0,4 -0,2 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1

The NTC








NATO

The press


The United Nations


Political parties

0,79

0,576

0,529

0,49

0,341

0,337

0,294

0,243

0,088

0,082

0,044

-0,112

-0,196

-0,413

(.87)

(.89)

(.88)

(.92)

(.94)

(.89)

(.87)

(1.08)

(.92)

(.87)

(.94)

(.94)

(.89)

(.82)

Religion and PoliticsReligion and PoliticsQQ2727 - - How would you place your views on this scale? ‘1’ means you “agree completely” with the statement on the left;

‘10’ means you “agree completely” with the statement on the right; and if your views fall somewhere in between, you can choose any number in between.

A new Libyan governmentwhich follows the idea that

religion and politics aremuch the same thing

A new Libyan governmentwhich follows the idea that

there is a distinction betweenpolitics and religion

%


LY11q27.HCX

49

64 4

7

2 23 3

21

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

10

20

30

40

50


Mean Score = 4.1 Std. Deviation = 3.7

Decision MakingDecision MakingQQ3434 - - Libya is at an important point in its history. Do you think that …

69%

31%

Ordinary citizens should have a say in how the country will developThe leaders of this country should decide a way ahead


LY11q34HCX


Influence on Political Decisions by Ordinary CitizensInfluence on Political Decisions by Ordinary CitizensQQ3535 - - In the current circumstances, do you think there is scope for ordinary citizens like yourself to influence

political decisions in your local area or at the national level?

Yes, at the national level13%

Yes, at the local level18%

Yes, both at national and local levels62%

No, not really8%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,354 LY11q35HCX

Base = Respondents who answered "Ordinary citizens should have a say in how the country will develop" in Q34

Type of Government – NowType of Government – NowQQ31A31A - - People have different ideas about what Libya needs at this time. How about you? How much do you agree or

disagree with the following statements?

LYq31a.HCX



%0 20 40 60 80 100

The NTC

A (single) strong Libyan leader

A government made up of experts and\or managers

A Libyan-style democracy

A group of strong Libyan leaders

A Western-style democracy

A government made up mainly of religious leaders

A government made up mainly of Libyan military leaders

60

54

48

45

39

25

23

20

26

16

27

28

28

23

29

27

9

14

17

17

21

31

30

31

5

15

7

10

12

21

18

23

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree

Type of Government – NowType of Government – Now- - Mean Scores Mean Scores - -

QQ31A31A - - People have different ideas about what Libya needs at this time. How about you? How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

LY11q31a_ms.HCX

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,799 to 1,982) Base = All Respondents

Stronglyagree(+1.5)

Strongly disagree

(-1.5)

Mean Scores(In brackets = Std. Deviation)

-1 -0,8 -0,6 -0,4 -0,2 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1

The NTC

A government made up of experts and\or managers







0,91

0,66

0,59

0,58

0,44

0,06

0,02

-0,07

(.85)

(1.14)

(.96)

(1.01)

(1.03)

(1.04)

(1.09)

(1.05)

Type of Government – In the FutureType of Government – In the FutureQQ31B31B - - What do you think Libya needs in 12 months time? QQ31C31C - - What do you think Libya needs in five years time?

29

21

17

13

9

6

4

2

25

23

5

10

17

12

5

3

0 5 10 15 20 25 30


A government made up of experts and/or managers

The NTC






In 12 months time In 5 years time

%

Base = All respondentsLY11q31b_q31c.HCX

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,906 (Q31B), Valid N=1,807 (Q31C)

Priorities in the Next 12 MonthsPriorities in the Next 12 MonthsQQ32A32A - - I am going to read some ideas about priorities for the next 12 months.

Please tell me which one is your first priority, your second priority and your third priority.

%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,017 (1st), N = 2,014 (2nd), N = 1,991 (3rd) LY11q32A.HCX

(Total)


0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Fighting crime, disorder

Rebuilding infrastructure

Create jobs

Rebuilding education system

Ensuring that people make a decent living

Insist on rule of law for all

Increase national income from oil

Holding a national election

Encouraging people to work harder

Improving efficiency of government and bureaucracy

Making sure we live peacefully with our neighbours

Dealing with members of previous government

51

9

8

6

6

6

5

5

2

1

2

1

11

15

17

11

11

9

14

4

3

3

2

1

8

15

14

14

12

11

7

6

4

3

3

1

First prioritySecond priorityThird priority

(25.5)

(39.6)

(14.6)

(28.2)

(30.5)

(39.3)

(69.8)

(25.5)

(8.6)

(7.9)

(6.4)

(2.5)

Priorities in the Next 12 Months – No Priority at AllPriorities in the Next 12 Months – No Priority at AllQQ3232B -B - Also, please tell me which one you think is no priority at all.

%


LY11q32b.HCX


75

8

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Dealing with members of previous government

Making sure we live peacefully with our neighbours

Encouraging people to work harder

Holding a national election

Increase national income from oil

Improving efficiency of government and bureaucracy

Rebuilding infrastructure

Fighting crime, disorder

Create jobs

Ensuring that people make a decent living

Rebuilding education system

Insist on rule of law for all

Supporters and Members of the Previous RegimeSupporters and Members of the Previous RegimeQQ33A33A - - For Supporters but not members of the previous regime, please tell me if you think they could be

welcomed back into the society of the new Libya, or not?QQ33B33B - - For actual members of the previous regime, please tell me if you think they could be

welcomed back into the society of the new Libya, or not?

51

14

7

6

5

6

11

69

5

3

3

2

12

6

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

They need to go to a fair trial in a court of law

They should apologise for what they have done

Nothing needs to happen

Libya needs a stable government before

More time will have to pass

They can never be welcomed into Libyan society again

They always have been and always will be part of Libyan society

Supporters Members

%

Base = All respondentsLY11q33.HCX

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,006 (Q33A), Valid N=1,999 (Q33B)

Learning about PoliticsLearning about PoliticsQQ3636 - - In the current circumstances, do you think there is scope for ordinary citizens like yourself to influence

political decisions in your local area or at the national level?

79

15

2

1

1

0

0

3

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

TV

Talking with other people

Radio

Through the Imams in the mosques

Through local leaders such as Sheikhs

Newspapers and magazines

Through political parties / organisations

I feel there is no need to learn about politics

%

Base = All respondentsLY11q36.HCX


Libya Needs in 12 Months TimeLibya Needs in 12 Months TimeA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan LeadersA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan Leaders

Exploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = OtherExploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = Other

StrongLeader(s)

CrimeFighting crime compared

to Other

ß Scores, Standard Error in Brackets (α=-0.50 [0.18])National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N=2,087

Age45+ compared

to 15-24

TVLearn about Politics

TV compared to Other

GenderFemale compared

to Male Age25-44 compared

to 15-24

HH IncomeHigh compared

to Low

HH IncomeMiddle compared

to Low

EducationHigh compared

to Low

EducationMiddle compared

to Low

+0.37 (0.10)

-0.49 (0.15)

Libya Needs in 5 Years TimeLibya Needs in 5 Years TimeA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan LeadersA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan Leaders


StrongLeader(s)

CrimeFighting crime compared

to Other


Age45+ compared

to 15-24





to 15-24


to Low


to Low


to Low


to Low

+0.36 (0.10)

-0.42 (0.14)

Libya Needs in 12 Months TimeLibya Needs in 12 Months TimeA Western-Style or Libyan-Style DemocracyA Western-Style or Libyan-Style Democracy


DemocracyCrime

Fighting crime comparedto Other


Age45+ compared

to 15-24





to 15-24


to Low


to Low


to Low


to Low

-0.57 (0.15)

+0.51 (0.19)

Libya Needs in 5 Years TimeLibya Needs in 5 Years TimeA Western-Style or Libyan-Style DemocracyA Western-Style or Libyan-Style Democracy


DemocracyCrime

Fighting crime comparedto Other


Age45+ compared

to 15-24





to 15-24


to Low


to Low


to Low


to Low

-0.58 (0.12)

+0.79 (0.15)

+0.55 (0.16)

+0.54 (0.15)

+0.27 (0.12)

Model for Libya – Top TenModel for Libya – Top TenQQ2525 - - Considering everything, which country could serve as a model for Libya in the coming years?

Base = All RespondentsLY11q25.HCX


21,8

8,6

4,6

4,1

3,3

3,2

3,1

3,0

3,0

1,8

5,6

37,7

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

UAE

Qatar

United States

Saudi Arabia

Britain

France

Turkey

Switzerland

Malaysia

Germany

Other

Libya needs no model

%

Who Should Influence?Who Should Influence?QQ26A26A - - Which of the following countries and organisations should have most influence on the future of Libya, which

one is second and which one is third?

%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,018 (Most influence), N = 403 (2nd), N = 384 (3rd) LY11q26a.HCX


(Total)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

France

United States

Qatar

Britain

Arab League

NATO

Germany

Italy

United Nations

Tunisia

Egypt

African Union

Algeria

No influence, people in Libya will decide 80

Most influence2nd3rd

(14)

(6)

(4)

(3)

(4)

(10)

(10)

(2)

(2)

(2)

(2)

(1)

(0)

(In brackets = Total)

No Influence at All No Influence at All QQ2626B -B - Also, please tell me which one you think should have no influence at all.

%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 381

LY11q26b.HCX

Base = Respondents who mentioneda country/organisation in Q26A

42

26

10

6

5

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Algeria

African Union

United States

Egypt

NATO

Tunisia

Qatar

Germany

France

Arab League

Britain

Italy

United Nations

Ousting the Old Regime from Power – ContributionOusting the Old Regime from Power – ContributionQQ28A28A - - Please rank the following countries according to their contribution in helping to oust the old regime from power.

%

National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,998 (Most influence), N = 1,995 (2nd), N = 1,967 (3rd)

LY11q28a.HCX


(Total)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Qatar

France

United States of America

Britain

Russia

Tunisia

Egypt

Italy

Germany

Algeria

Other

42

39

7

5

5

2

0

19

40

13

16

2

5

2

2

14

10

25

29

2

7

3

6

1

Choice 1Choice 2Choice 3

(14)

(49)

(45)

(9)

(15)

(74)

(89)

(8)

(6)

(2)

(1)

(1)

Ousting the Old Regime from Power – Least HelpfulOusting the Old Regime from Power – Least HelpfulQQ2828B -B - Also, please tell me which country was least helpful in ousting the old regime from power.

%


LY11q28b.HCX


60

14

6

6

5

2

2

2

2

1

1

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Algeria

Russia

China

Niger

Chad

Egypt

Germany

Tunisia

Italy

United States of America

Other

Role of Germany in the Libyan RevolutionRole of Germany in the Libyan RevolutionQQ2929 - - Which was the role of Germany in the Libyan Revolution? Germany was …

32%

38%

15%

14%

part of the NATO campaign and is supporting the new Libyapart of the NATO campaign but is not supporting the new Libyanot part of the NATO campaign but is supporting the new Libyaneither part of the NATO campaign nor supporting the new Libya


LY11q29.HCX


View of GermanyView of GermanyQQ3030 - - Has your view of Germany changed compared with the time before the Libyan Revolution?

LY11q30.HCX

Yes, it has improved39%

Yes, it has worsened10%

No, it has remained the same51%



Life Satisfaction in Past, Present, and Future Q1 - Q1 - Taking all things together, would you say you are… Q2A - Q2A - Compared to a year ago, overall.

Documents

political future of

government of libya

libya right

libya expectation

new libya

q31a people

number of people

political decisions