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Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday, 19 th May 2009 There’s a hole in the bucket Dear Liza, Dear Liza, a hole!
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Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

Dec 28, 2015

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Page 1: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Prof. Mike YoungExecutive DirectorThe Environment InstituteThe University of Adelaide

Singapore 3rd Tuesday, 19th May 2009

There’s a hole in the bucket

Dear Liza, Dear Liza, a hole!

Page 2: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide 2

There’s a hole in the bucket There's a hole in the bucket, dear Liza …

So fix it, Dear Henry … With what should I fix it, … With straw, Dear Henry … But the straw is too long, ...

So cut it, Dear Henry… With what should I cut it, … Use an axe, …But the axe is too dull, … So, sharpen it, …

With what should I sharpen it, … Use the stone, ...But the stone is too dry, … So wet it, … With what should I wet it, …

With water, … With what should I carry it, … With the bucket, Dear Henry, …There's a hole in the bucket, Dear Liza, … a hole!

Page 3: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Australia has been running out of water. Why?

Page 4: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

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Ra

infa

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)

14% less 20% less

Rainfall for Jarrahdale

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ow

(G

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N o te s : S tre a m flo w is fro m Ma y o f la b e lle d ye a r to th e fo l lo w in g Ap ri l

48% less

66% less

S tre a m in flo w fo r P e rth d a m s (P rio r to S tirlin g D a m )

PERTH

Small declines in rainfall mean big declines in run-off

- 1%

- 3%

Page 5: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

With half as much water?

Users

Environment

River Flow

Environment

River Flow

Users

Page 6: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

How should we share the water? Dear Henry, Dear

Henry

Page 7: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Volu

me o

f W

ate

r in

th

e

Syste

m

Page 8: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Language & concepts matter

1. Water to maintain the system– Conveyance

– Evaporation

2. Shared water

1. Users get X%

2. Environment gets (1-X)%

3. Major floods managed separately

4. Several reliability pools possible

Page 9: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

How do we facilitate adjustment

in a changing world? Dear Henry,

Dear Henry

Page 10: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

By unbundling licences and

allowing trading, Dear Liza, Dear

Liza

Page 11: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Water

Tradable Licence Price

Land

Single Title to

Land with aWater Licence

Entitlement Shares

in PerpetuityBank-like Allocations

Use licences with limits & obligations

Delivery Capacity Shares

Delivery Capacity Allocations

SalinityShares

SalinityAllocations

National CompetitionPolicy 1993/94Plus Cap

National Water Initiative2004

Page 12: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Unbundle & enable trading, Dear Liza

Source: Murray Darling Basin Commission, 2007.

Murray-Darling Basin Water Entitlement Transfers - 1983/84 to 2003/04

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)

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Page 13: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

But there is not enough water for our cities, Dear

Henry, Dear Henry

Page 14: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

And people don’t like restrictions,

Dear Henry, Dear Henry

Page 15: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Water restrictions cost

• Cost Sydney $223 million/yr (Grafton, 2007)

Page 16: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Diversify, Dear Liza, Dear Liza

• Desalination– Gold Coast, Sydney, Melbourne,

Adelaide, Perth

• Stormwater capture and storage

• Recycling sewage to parks and gardens

Page 17: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

But water is too cheap, Dear Henry,

Dear Henry

Page 18: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide 18

Competitive pricing

1. Raise prices

2. Charge full costs to everyone

3. Get rid of rising block tariffs and fixed charges

4. Set water security caps and introduce scarcity pricing

5. Give credits to those who save water

6. Give businesses an entitlement and allow them to trade

7. Appoint independent regulators to set supply charges and prices

Page 19: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

This is part of the Green New Deal, Dear Liza, Dear

Liza

Page 20: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

We all have to pay our way, Dear Liza,

Dear Liza

Page 21: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

But making all people pay full cost

is inequitable, Dear Henry, Dear

Henry

Page 22: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

What about the poor,

Dear Henry, Dear Henry

Page 23: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Tinbergen, Dear Liza

• A separate instrument for every objective– Unbundle to get control in a

changing world

– Don’t compromise everything

• Give the real poor rebates and targeted assistance

• Get the pricing right

Page 24: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Then industry will invest, Dear Liza,

Dear Liza

Page 25: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide 25

Cost of water supply

$0.25

$1.30 $1.45 $1.50 $1.58

$2.61$3.00 $3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$5.60$6.00

$9.30

$1.68

$1.15 $1.30

$0.63

$0.22

$0.30$0.06

$3.00

$0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.15 $0.08$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$9.00

$10.00

$/k

L

Page 26: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

What about infrastructure,

where’s the future, Dear Henry, Dear

Henry?

Page 27: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide 27

Build for the future

Developer & Builder ~ 80%

Owners & Occupiers ~ 20%

Source: Marsden Jacob 2005 PMSEIC 2007

Raise subdivision and building standards

Page 28: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

The are lots of opportunities

1. We could – Make developers source urban water

entitlements prior to subdivision

– Place urban infill and extensions under same regulatory disciplines as new homes

– Require mandatory disclosure of water efficiency at a house sale

Page 29: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

What about governance,

Dear Henry, Dear Henry

Page 30: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

We could unbundle the management

system, Dear Liza, Dear

Liza

Page 31: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide 31

How many businesses?

Water source management

Water distribution

Water retailing

Waste water purification, use & disposal

Storm water

Storm water

Page 32: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

– We are running out of water, Dear Henry …There's a hole in the bucket, Dear Liza …So fix it, Dear Henry, … With what should I fix it, Dear Liza … With shares, give the environment a share, Dear Henry …

– But how shall we adjust, Dear Liza … By allowing trading, Dear Henry … But what about security for our cities, Dear Liza, … Diversity, Dear Henry, … Recycle it, use groundwater, stormwater & seawater, Dear Henry, …

– But water is too cheap, Dear Liza …Business can’t compete, Dear Henry, Dear Liza …So charge for the full cost, Dear Henry… But they will charge too much, Dear Liza… Appoint an independent price regulator, Dear Henry...

– But there is still not enough water, Dear Liza, … Set a security cap and let industry invest, Dear Henry … But what about population growth, Dear Liza …Improve building regulations, Dear Henry, …And unbundle the supply system, Dear Henry …

– Water businesses are growing, Dear Liza, …That’s good, Dear Henry, Dear Henry, that’s good!So we don’t need restrictions, Dear Liza, Dear Liza …That’s right, Dear Henry, Dear Henry, …You have fixed it, Dear Henry, fixed it!

Page 33: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Prof. Mike YoungWater Economics and ManagementEmail: [email protected]: +61-8-8303.5279Mobile: +61-408-488.538

Subscribe to Droplets at www.myoung.net.au

Page 34: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide

Page 35: Life Impact The University of Adelaide Prof. Mike Young Executive Director The Environment Institute The University of Adelaide Singapore 3 rd Tuesday,

The Environment Institute

Life Impact The University of Adelaide 35

There is a hole in the bucket There's a hole in the bucket, dear Liza …

So fix it, dear Henry, … With what should I fix it, dear Liza … With business, dear Henry …

But we have postage stamp pricing, dear Liza … So change the price, dear Henry … But what about equity, dear Liza, … Use rebates, dear Henry, …But business needs access, dear Liza …

So charge for access, dear Henry… So who sets the charge, dear Liza… An independent price regulator, dear Henry...But SA Water owns all the water, dear Liza… So lease some of it to business, dear Henry…

But there is not enough water, dear Liza, … Recycle it, use groundwater, stormwater & seawater, dear Henry, …But we might need more, dear Liza …Let people trade water, dear Henry …

Water businesses are growing, dear Liza, …That’s good, dear Henry, dear Henry, that’s good!So we don’t need restrictions, dear Liza, dear Liza …That’s right, dear Henry, dear Henry, …I think you have got it, dear Henry, we’ve got it!