2012-10-26 1 Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides) Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a power system operator perspective Conference on Levelised Costs of Renewable Energy, IEA-RETD and IRENA-RETD, Bonn, October 26’th 2012 Anders Bavnhøj Hansen, Chief consultant Strategic Planning Energinet.dk, Denmark E-mail: [email protected]
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2012-10-26 1 Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides)
Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a power system operator perspective Conference on Levelised Costs of Renewable Energy, IEA-RETD and IRENA-RETD, Bonn, October 26’th 2012
Example wind scenario long horizon (2050) Fossil independent energy system with wind power as a major energy source (17 GW wind + 4 GW solar + 1 GW wave)
60 days Jan-feb.
Need for peak load capacity – security of supply
Need for integration of windpower – high production hours
Low production wind, photovoltage, wave
Classical cons. Wind, PV
Power consumption and fluctuating production Peak production wind and photo-voltage
Need for
integration of
biomass and
waste in
a volatile power
system
Need for fuels
for non
electrified
services
El. demand
Electricity production costs 2030
2012-10-26 9 Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides)
2012-10-26 10 Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides)
Costs with 1000 operation hours a year
Electricity price simulated for 2050 in Denmark
2012-10-26 11 Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides)
West DK
(€/MWh)
East DK
(€/MWh)
Offshore wind 48 64
Land wind 60 60
Photovoltaic 73Source: Climate commission 2010
DKK/MWh
Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides)
2 x 200 MW
Rødsand
Connecting offshore windpower to the grid
Each dot represents a 200
MW offshore wind farm –
supplying 200,000
households with
electricity.
2012-10-26 12
13
50% wind power share in
2020
Transport Gas transmission
Electricity transmission Heat transmission
RE gas & biofuels Conv. elec. generation CHP Heat generation
Electr. consumption
Electricity storage
Neighbouring countries Heat pumps
Electric boilers
Heat storage
Heat consumption
Closer coupling between energy systems
2012-10-26 Levelised costs of renewable Energy – a system operator perspective (draft slides)