@let@token CH7.2 2 Sample Tests - Hanover Collegejagels/mat217/week2/ch7_2.pdf · Intro Suppose we wish to compare the heights, X1, of IN 12 year olds with the heights, X2, of KY

CH7.2

2 Sample Tests

Intro

Suppose we wish to compare the heights, X1, of IN 12 year oldswith the heights, X2, of KY 12 year olds. We proceed as follows.

Step I: Take an SRS of size n1 from the IN pop and compute x̄1.If we assume the population is N(µ1, σ1) then the distribution ofx̄1 is N(µx̄1

= µ1, σx̄ = σ1/√n1).

Step II: Take an SRS of size n2 from the KY pop and compute x̄2.If we assume the population is N(µ2, σ2) then the distribution ofx̄2 is N(µx̄2

= µ2, σx̄ = σ2/√n2).

Step III: Compute the statistic

diff = x̄1 − x̄2

Distribution of diff

diff will be used to estimate the difference in the population meansµ1 − µ2. Question: What is the distribution of our statistic? Weuse the rules from CH4 to answer this.

µdiff = µx̄1− µx̄2

= µ1 − µ2

diff is an unbiased estimator.

σ2

diff = σ2

x̄1+ (−1)2σ2

x̄2

= σ2

1/n1 + σ2

2/n2

diff is normal with the above mean and variance.

SEdiff

We assumed knowledge of σ1 and σ2 in the previous slide. Theseare unknown generally and we approximate them with the sampledeviations s1 and s2. Substituting these into the expression for σ2

diff

and taking the square root, we have the standard error of diff:

SEdiff =

√

s21

n1+

s22

n2

Example

Group n x̄ s

IN 30 63 5KY 40 60 3

The data for the comparison of the heights of 12 yr olds is given inthe table. IN is Pop I and KY is Pop 2. Find SEdiff

Soln: First find SE2

diff

SE2

diff =s21

n1+

s22

n2

=52

30+

32

40= 25/30 + 9/40

= 1.0583

Example continued

It’s important that you use your calculators correctly. First do thedivisions and then do the addition. Now take the square root ofthe above answer.

SEdiff =√1.0583 = 1.0288

Quiz: prob 54, p505

Group n x̄ s

Intervention 165 4.10 1.19Control 212 3.67 1.12

You should read 53, 54 p505. We will return to the data above.Find SEdiff


diff

Quiz: prob 54, p505

Group n x̄ s




diff

SE2

diff =s21

n1+

s22

n2

=1.192

165+

1.122

212= .0086 + .0059

= .0145

Now take the square root

Quiz: prob 54, p505

Group n x̄ s




diff

SE2

diff =s21

n1+

s22

n2

=1.192

165+

1.122

212= .0086 + .0059

= .0145

Now take the square root

SEdiff =√.0145 = .1204

2 sample hypothesis testing

The hypothesis for the 2 sample test has the form

H0 : no difference

Ha : there is a difference

For the null, this translates to

H0 : µ1 = µ2

or the equivalentH0 : µ1 − µ2 = 0

The assumption then is that there is no difference between the twopopulations mean.

The test statistic

Recall that the test statistic is of the form

z =stat− µstat

σstat

Our statistic is diff= x̄1 − x̄2. We found its mean and standarddeviation. So

z =(x̄1 − x̄2)− (µ1 − µ2)√

σ2

1/n1 + σ2

2/n2

But under the null hypothesis H0 : µ1 − µ2 = 0, this reduces to

z =(x̄1 − x̄2)

√

σ2

1/n1 + σ2

2/n2

The test statistic, final version

But as we stated before, we use SEdiff to estimate the denominatorof the statistic z . Using this and the fact that the numerator is diffgives us the final version of the test statistic.

t =diff

SEdiff

which has an approximate t distribution with df=smaller of

n1 − 1, n2 − 1.

Example

We return to the table on slide 5 of the heights of the 12 year olds.Is there a difference in the heights?

1. State H0 and Ha.Ans: “difference” implies a two tail alternative.

H0 : µ1 = µ2

Ha : µ1 6= µ2

2. Find the test statistic t.Ans: We found SEdiff = 1.0583. We need to find diff.

diff = x̄1 − x̄2

= 63 − 60

= 3

Example continued

So

t =diff

SEdiff

=3

1.0583

= 2.8347

with df the smaller of n1 − 1 = 29, n2 − 1 = 39 or df=29.

Example continued

3. Find the P value.Ans: Go to table D, row 29 df. We see that

t.01 < t < t

.005

So2 ∗ .005 < P < 2 ∗ .01

(Multiply by 2 since it is two tail). Hence

.01 < P < .02

4. Make your decision at the α = .05 level.Ans: P < .02 ≤ .05 = α. The test is significant. Reject H0 infavor of the alternative that there is a difference in the heightsof the two populations.

Quiz: prob 54 againWe return to the table on slide 7 of the intervention and controlgroups. The researcher thinks that the test scores for theintervention group are higher.

1. State H0 and Ha.


1. State H0 and Ha.Ans: “higher” implies a one tail alternative.

H0 : µ1 = µ2

Ha : µ1 > µ2

2. Find the test statistic t.


1. State H0 and Ha.Ans: “higher” implies a one tail alternative.

H0 : µ1 = µ2

Ha : µ1 > µ2

2. Find the test statistic t.Ans: We found SEdiff = .1204. We need to find diff.

diff = x̄1 − x̄2

= 4.10 − 3.67

= .43

Quiz continued

So

t =diff

SEdiff

=.43

.1204

= 3.571

with df the smaller of n1 − 1 = 164, n2 − 1 = 211 or df=164. Wewill use df=100.

Quiz continued

3. Find the P value.

Quiz continued

3. Find the P value.Ans: Go to table D, row 100 df. The largest t∗ value is t

.0005.Since t > t

.0005

P < .0005

4. Make your decision at the α = .01 level.Ans: P < .0005 ≤ .01 = α. The test is significant. Reject H0

in favor of the alternative that the intervention group hashigher test scores.

Two sample CIs

Recall that a CI has the form

statistic - error < parameter < statistic + error

For the two sample CI

parameter→ µ1 − µ2

statistic→ diff.

error→ t∗SEdiff .

t∗ depends on C and the df. So the CI has the form

diff − t∗SEdiff < µ1 − µ2 < diff + t∗SEdiff

with df =min{n1 − 1, n2 − 1}.

Example

We once again use the comparison of the heights, slide 5.Find a 95% CI for difference in the means.We found that

diff = 3, SEdiff = 1.0583, df = 29 .

Using table D, row 29df, column 95

diff − t∗SEdiff < µ1 − µ2 < diff + t∗SEdiff

3− 2.045 ∗ 1.0583 < µ1 − µ2 < 3 + 2.045 ∗ 1.0583or

.8358 < µ1 − µ2 < 5.1642

Significance

Recall that the null hypothesis is

H0 : µ1 − µ2 = 0.

A point of interest then is “does the CI contain 0”? In our casethe answer is no.

Based on the CI, reject the null hypothesis of no difference

against a 2 tail alternative at the α = .05 level since 0 is not

contained in the 95% CI.

This is the same result as the two tail hypothesis test that weconducted.

Quiz

We use the data in prob 54 (slide 7).Find a 95% CI for difference in the means.You found that

diff = .43, SEdiff = .1204, df = 100 .

1. Find t∗.

Quiz


diff = .43, SEdiff = .1204, df = 100 .

1. Find t∗. Ans: df=100; t∗ = 1.984.

2. Find error.

Quiz


diff = .43, SEdiff = .1204, df = 100 .

1. Find t∗. Ans: df=100; t∗ = 1.984.

2. Find error.

error = t∗SEdiff

= 1.984 × .1204

= .2389

Quiz continued

3. Construct the CI.

Quiz continued


.43 − .2389 < µ1 − µ2 < .43 + .2389

or.1911 < µ1 − µ2 < .6689

4. Do you reject H0 : µ1 = µ2 against Ha : µ1 6= µ2 at theα = .05 level based on the CI?

Quiz continued


.43 − .2389 < µ1 − µ2 < .43 + .2389

or.1911 < µ1 − µ2 < .6689

4. Do you reject H0 : µ1 = µ2 against Ha : µ1 6= µ2 at theα = .05 level based on the CI?

Ans: Yes. The CI does not contain 0.

More Quiz questions

These are questions (a) and (b) in prob 54.

(a) The scores on the exam are integers from 0 to 6. Is the datanormally distributed?

More Quiz questions



Ans: No. The data are discrete and the normal distribution iscontinuous. It takes on all values from −∞ to ∞.

(b) Do you think that it is appropriate to use the T test on thesedata.

More Quiz questions



Ans: No. The data are discrete and the normal distribution iscontinuous. It takes on all values from −∞ to ∞.

(b) Do you think that it is appropriate to use the T test on thesedata.

Ans: The assumption behind the T test is that the data arenormally distributed. These data are not. However, thesample sizes are large. The CLT tells us that the approximatedistributions of x̄1 and x̄2 are normal. The answer is “Yes”.

Yet more Quiz questions

1. A 98% CI for the difference of two means is

−1 < µ1 − µ2 < 2

Do you reject H0 : µ1 = µ2 against Ha : µ1 6= µ2 at theα = .02 level based on the CI?



−1 < µ1 − µ2 < 2


Ans: No. The CI contains 0.

2. A test H0 : µ1 = µ2 against Ha : µ1 6= µ2 yields a P value of.06. Does a 95% CI contain 0?



−1 < µ1 − µ2 < 2


Ans: No. The CI contains 0.

2. A test H0 : µ1 = µ2 against Ha : µ1 6= µ2 yields a P value of.06. Does a 95% CI contain 0?

Ans: Yes. α = .05 and P > α. Do not reject H0 ⇒ the CIcontains 0.

Homework

p504: 53, 55, 59, 61, 73, 82, 83

Do hwfri.pdf for this week.

@let@token CH7.2 2 Sample Tests - Hanover Collegejagels/mat217/week2/ch7_2.pdf · Intro Suppose we wish to compare the heights, X1, of IN 12 year olds with the heights, X2, of KY

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