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Lecture 06a

Jun 04, 2018

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    ECON 1BB3 Introduction to Macroeconomics

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    Using CPI

    Example: your father earned $40,000 in 1972. What isthis salary worth in 2007 dollars?

    CPI1972

    = 41.8

    CPI2007= 132.3

    Answer:

    CPI2007 = 132.3 = $3.165 the value of $1 from 1972 in terms of 2007 dollars is $3.165

    CPI1972 41.8 in 2007, the value of $40,000 earned in 1972 would be (40,000)(3.165)

    ! \

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    Problems with CPIfixed basket that an avg consumer will purchase

    there are 3 problems with CPI 1. Substitution bias the CPI ignores the possibility of consumer

    substitution and overstates the increase in the cost of living from one

    year to the next

    2. Introduction of new goods since the CPI is based on a fix basket of

    goods and services, a change in the cost of living is not reflected in thepurchasing power of the dollar

    3. Unmeasured quality change the CPI cannot measure the change in

    quality

    Doesnt take into account the externalities such as quality improvement

    CPI doesnt actively measure the true economic activities

    CPI measure every 15 days

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    Comparison of CPI to the GDP deflator

    two important differences between CPI and GDP deflator: 1. CPI reflects prices of all goods and services bought by typical

    consumers.

    GDP deflator reflects prices of all goods and services produced

    domestically.

    2. CPI compares the price of a fixed basket of goods that

    occasionally changes.

    GDP deflator compares the price of currently produced goods and

    services to the price of goods and services produced in an earlier

    period.

    Imports would be better reflected in CPI than GDP

    Price Indexthe avg of the overall prices tat you see in any

    economy

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    Interest ratesthe opportunity cost of currently available fundsthe price of loans

    Example:suppose you have $100 in a savings accountearning 5% interest per year. How many dollars do you

    have after 1 year?

    Answer:

    (100)(1.05) = 105

    $105.00(earning $5 by sacrificing current

    consumptions)

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    Example:a) If all prices in the economy increased by 3% during the

    year, how much stuff can you buy with it?

    Answer:

    105-(100)(0.03) = $102.00 (need to adjust the value of

    dollars)

    b) What if the prices in economy increased by 10% during

    the year?Answer:

    105-(100)(0.10) =$95 (only the value is going dwn, not

    your actual amt)

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    nominal interest rate:interest rate withoutcorrectionfor inflation measures the increase in the number of

    dollars in your bank account. DOLLAR VALUE OF INCOME

    real interest rate:interest rate withcorrection for

    inflation measures the increase in the purchasingpower of the dollars in your savings account. INDEXATION

    real interest rate = nom. interest rate inflation rate

    in the end, who is gaining?bank is benefiting cuz it

    takes loan of $100, yet only gives/pays back customer

    $95.

    Lender loses money if inflation arises!

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    Extra info. Real Wagepurchasing value of income Real Wage = Nominal WagePrice of labours in labour

    Price Index market