Lec. 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem
Lec . 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem
Dec 30, 2015
Lec . 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem. Today’s Outline. Probability a. Addition law b. Conditional probability 2. Baye s’ Theorem a. theory b. In class exercise c. Examples from the coastal geomorph literature d. Examples from YOUR field of research – - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Lec. 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem
1. Probability
a. Addition lawb. Conditional probability
2. Bayes’ Theorem
a. theoryb. In class exercisec. Examples from the coastal geomorph literatured. Examples from YOUR field of research –
(email me a .pdf before class on Thursday.)
Today’s Outline
Probability – the addition law
Conditional Probability
Bayes’ Theorem - Origin
Bayes’ Theorem Example 1
Bayes’ Theorem Example 2
In class exercise…
Write a MATLAB .m file that uses Bayes’ theorem to calculate the probability that a Xian-like, a Gulf of Tonkin-like, and a Java sea-like oil strike will occur in this concession.
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