Land Use, Transportation, Land Use, Transportation, Population and Human Population and Human Health Health Indicators Indicators John Nasarzewski John Nasarzewski Southgate Anderson High School and Downriver Stream Southgate Anderson High School and Downriver Stream Teams Teams
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Land Use, Transportation, Land Use, Transportation, Population and Human Population and Human
HealthHealth IndicatorsIndicators
John NasarzewskiJohn NasarzewskiSouthgate Anderson High School and Downriver Stream Southgate Anderson High School and Downriver Stream
TeamsTeams
Land Use, Transportation, Population & Human Health Land Use, Transportation, Population & Human Health IndicatorsIndicators
INDICATORINDICATOR CONTACTSCONTACTSLand Use Changes Xuan Liu, Data Centre, SEMCOGHuman Population Growth and Distribution
Xuan Liu & Jim Rogers, Data Centre, SEMCOG
Transportation Trends Jennifer Evans, Transportation Coordinator, SEMCOG
Michigan’s Carbon Emissions US Environmental Protection Agency
Rates of Asthma Hospitalization
Robert Wahl, Michigan Department of Community Health & Guadalupe Cummins,Wayne State University
Lead Poisoning Valerie Monet & Guadalupe Cummins, Wayne State University
West Nile Virus Erik Foster, Michigan Department of Community Health
Land Use Change: SE MichiganLand Use Change: SE MichiganXuan Liu, SEMCOG
Land Use Change: SE MichiganLand Use Change: SE Michigan
Land Use Change: SE MichiganLand Use Change: SE Michigan
Needs:Needs:EcosystemEcosystem--based land based land management management Defined roles by all government Defined roles by all government levelslevelsResearch Research
1980 2020 2040
BuiltForestOther land useLake
BuiltForestOther land useLake
Human Population Growth and Distribution in SE Human Population Growth and Distribution in SE MichiganMichigan
XuanXuan Liu & Jim Rogers,Liu & Jim Rogers, SEMCOGSEMCOG
Storm water runoff Storm water runoff problemsproblems↓↓ wildlife habitatwildlife habitat↑↑ water & air pollutionwater & air pollution↑↑ herbicides/pesticidesherbicides/pesticidesinvasive speciesinvasive species
Human Population Growth and Distribution Human Population Growth and Distribution in SE Michiganin SE Michigan
Human Population Growth and Distribution Human Population Growth and Distribution in SE MIin SE MI
By 2030: By 2030: –– 10 % pop. growth10 % pop. growth–– 250,000 acres converted250,000 acres converted
Needs:Needs:Growth management Growth management techniquestechniquesIntegrated land use & Integrated land use & transportationtransportationPreserve key ecosystem Preserve key ecosystem featuresfeaturesAwareness & researchAwareness & research
Transportation Trends in SE MichiganTransportation Trends in SE MichiganJennifer Evans,Jennifer Evans, SEMCOGSEMCOG
PrePre--1950: walking or bus1950: walking or busAuto = Auto = ↑↑ commute timecommute time2004: (SE Michigan)2004: (SE Michigan)
4 million vehicles4 million vehicles27,684 miles of roads27,684 miles of roads30 airports30 airports
Air pollution & overuse of Air pollution & overuse of natural resourcesnatural resources
Transportation Trends in SE MichiganTransportation Trends in SE Michigan
People driving further, People driving further, often unaccompanied often unaccompanied As population As population ↑↑, roads , roads will age/deterioratewill age/deteriorate↓↓ mass transit usagemass transit usage
EconomicsEconomicsLimited availabilityLimited availabilityreliance on reliance on automobileautomobile
Transportation Trends in SE MichiganTransportation Trends in SE Michigan
Conditions unlikely to change unless we:Conditions unlikely to change unless we:
1)1) Emphasize greenways & carpoolingEmphasize greenways & carpoolingAlleviate congestionAlleviate congestionImprove air qualityImprove air quality↓↓ commuting costcommuting cost
2)2) Improve mass transit Improve mass transit Must be safe, reliable, Must be safe, reliable, accessible, costaccessible, cost--effectiveeffective↓↓ pollution, pollution, ↓↓ congestion↑ quality of life
MichiganMichigan’’s Carbon Emissionss Carbon EmissionsMichigan's CO2 Emissions
0255075
100125150175200225
1960 1970 1980 1990 2001
Year
Emis
sion
s (m
illio
n m
etric
to
ns/y
ear)
Oil and Coal Emissions Oil and Coal Emissions –– 80% of increase80% of increaseNeeds:Needs:
Reduce fossil fuel dependenceReduce fossil fuel dependenceResearch & computer modelsResearch & computer modelsGlobal, national & local changeGlobal, national & local change
Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne County, MICounty, MI
Robert Wahl, Michigan Department of Community Health & GuadalupeRobert Wahl, Michigan Department of Community Health & GuadalupeCummins, Wayne State UniversityCummins, Wayne State University
Irritants, allergens, air Irritants, allergens, air pollutants, nonpollutants, non--environmental factorsenvironmental factorsOzone & particulate Ozone & particulate pollutionpollutionDetroit (2005):Detroit (2005):
66thth most polluted city (by most polluted city (by yearyear--round particle pollution)round particle pollution)2020thth most ozone polluted citymost ozone polluted city
Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne County, MICounty, MI
Hospitalization Rates due to Asthma State of Michigan and Wayne County
Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne County, MICounty, MI
Hospitalization Rates due to AsthmaWayne County, MI and HP 2010 by age group
83.6
25.7 25.5
48.5
12.416.6
25
7.711
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 to 4 5 to 64 65 and OlderAge
Rat
e (p
er 1
0,00
0)
Wayne CoutyMichiganHP 2010 83.6
25.7 25.525
7.7 11
↓ 70%
↓ 70% ↓ 57%
Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne Asthma Hospitalization Rates in Wayne County, MICounty, MI
Asthma can be controlled, not curedAsthma can be controlled, not cured$ to prevent hospitalization $ to prevent hospitalization increasing exponentiallyincreasing exponentiallyNeeds: Needs:
Lead Poisoning in DetroitLead Poisoning in DetroitValerie Monet & Guadalupe Cummins, Wayne State UniversityValerie Monet & Guadalupe Cummins, Wayne State University
Highly toxic but widely used & ubiquitous Highly toxic but widely used & ubiquitous Neurological and behavioural effects on childrenNeurological and behavioural effects on children
Sources:Sources:1.1. LeadLead--based paintbased paint2.2. Soil around smeltersSoil around smelters3.3. Leaded gasolineLeaded gasoline4.4. Water in old lead pipesWater in old lead pipes
High risk neighbourhoodsHigh risk neighbourhoods
Lead Poisoning in DetroitLead Poisoning in Detroit
18.7%
14.5%
10.5%
15.5%
10.6%
6.3% 6.0%
y = -0.0194x + 0.1947
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004Year
Perc
ent o
f Chi
lder
n
% children w/ EBLL'sLinear (% children w/ EBLL's)18.7%
6.0%
% of children in Detroit City with elevated blood lead levels (> 10µg/dL)
3.2%
Lead Poisoning in DetroitLead Poisoning in DetroitNeeds:Needs:
Remove lead based paintRemove lead based paintIndustrial cleanup in residential areasIndustrial cleanup in residential areasIncrease # children testedIncrease # children testedTarget highTarget high--risk neighbourhoods risk neighbourhoods LeadLead--safe housingsafe housing↑↑ funding, support & awareness
funding, support & awarenessResearchResearch
West Nile VirusWest Nile VirusErik Foster, Michigan Department of Community HealthErik Foster, Michigan Department of Community Health
““Emerging Infectious DiseaseEmerging Infectious Disease””Birds, horses, humansBirds, horses, humansStagnant water Stagnant water Found In MI crows in 2001Found In MI crows in 200120% of infected humans show 20% of infected humans show symptoms (encephalitis/meningitis symptoms (encephalitis/meningitis is rare but should be monitored)is rare but should be monitored)