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Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav Mareev, MD; Edward Horton, MD; Steven M. Haffner, MD; Vladimir Soska, MD; Rury Holman, MD; Angelyn Bethel, MD; Frank Schaper, MD; Jie Lena Sun, MS; John McMurray, MD; Robert Califf, MD; Henry Krum, MBBS, Diuretics, Beta-blockers and Statins Increase the Risk of Diabetes in Patients with Impaired Glucose Tolerance: Insights from the NAVIGATOR study
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Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Dec 26, 2015

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Page 1: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter

Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav Mareev, MD;

Edward Horton, MD; Steven M. Haffner, MD; Vladimir Soska, MD; Rury Holman, MD; Angelyn

Bethel, MD; Frank Schaper, MD; Jie Lena Sun, MS; John McMurray, MD; Robert Califf, MD;

Henry Krum, MBBS, Ph.D.

Diuretics, Beta-blockers and Statins Increase the

Risk of Diabetes in Patients with Impaired Glucose

Tolerance:

Insights from the NAVIGATOR study

Page 2: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Disclosures

L. Shen: None. B. Shah: None. E. Reyes: None. L. Thomas: None. P. Diem: Research Grant; Significant; Novartis. Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis.L. Leiter: Research Grant; Significant; Novartis. Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis. B. Charbonnel: Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis. V. Mareev: Speakers Bureau; Modest; Novartis. Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis. E. Horton: Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis. S. Haffner: None. V. Soska: None. R. Holman: Research Grant; Significant; Novartis. Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis. M. Bethel: Research Grant; Modest; Novartis, Bayer, Merck, Amylin, Lilly. F. Schaper: Research Grant; Significant; Novartis. J. Sun: None. J. McMurray: Other; Modest; Employer (Glasgow University) paid for time as member of executive committee of NAVIGATOR and travel and accommodations for NAVIGATOR executive/steering committee meetings. R. Califf: Research Grant; Significant; Novartis. Consultant/Advisory Board; Modest; Novartis. H. Krum: Research Grant; Significant; Novartis.

Page 3: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Background

• Diuretics, β-blockers, and statins are the cornerstone of therapy in patients with CVD

• Even with their robust evidence of benefit, more recent data suggests that the long-term use may increase fasting glucose levels

• These concerns have led the US FDA to mandate a label change for statins in 2012

• However, there are limited large scale studies using serial glucose measures that have linked these medications to new onset diabetes (NOD)

Page 4: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Objective

To examine the association of new onset diabetes (NOD) with the initiation of β-blockers, thiazide diuretics, or statins in high risk, treatment naïve patients.

Page 5: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

NAVIGATOR Study

• A multinational, randomized design study testing the efficacy and safety of long term administration of nateglinide and valsartan in the prevention of diabetes and cardiovascular outcomes

• Study population is 9518 patients with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and at least one other CV risk factor enrolled between January 4, 2002 to January 29, 2004.

• NAVIGATOR excluded patients with diabetes at baseline

Page 6: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Methods

• Therefore, we evaluated treatment initiation of the following medications on naïve patients.• β-blockers• Diuretics• Statins • CCBs – (metabolically negative control)• Median follow-up time: 5.0 years

Page 7: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Methods

• Endpoint: New onset diabetes (NOD)

• NOD defined as:• Fasting plasma glucose >126 mg/dl (7.0mmol/L) OR

Glucose level >200 mg/dl (11.1 mmol/L) 2 hours after

OGTT

AND• Confirmed by OGTT 12 weeks after the elevated glucose value

was recorded

• Glucose testing frequency:• Fasting plasma glucose level was measured every 6 months for

the first 3 years and then annually• Oral glucose tolerance tests were performed annually

Page 8: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Methods

• We examined the timing of the starting of each medication during study period

• We estimated the effect of receiving treatment on progression to NOD using Marginal Structural Models

– In short, this is a Cox Proportional Hazard model adjusting cofounders that change over time

– We present a single hazard ratio for treatment that represents the difference in rate of progression to NOD between someone who receives these medications and someone who does not

Page 9: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Results

N=5637 N=6343 N=6143 N=6290

Medication Initiation

Page 10: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

ResultsBaseline Characteristics

β –blockers Diuretics Statins

Yesn=993

Non=4644

Yesn=1425

Non=4918

Yesn=1474

Non=4669

Age (Median) 64 62 64 62 63 63

Hypertension (%) 80 69 84 65 77 84

Congestive Heart Failure (%) 4 2 3 2 3 4

Hx CV events (%) 30 19 34 32 31 29

Hx stroke (%) 5 3 6 3 4 3

Hx Heart Failure (%) 4 2 3 2 3 4

Fasting Glucose 6 6 6 6 6 6

HbA1c 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8

Page 11: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Results Incidence of New Onset Diabetes

Unadjusted HR(95% CI)

Adjusted HR(95% CI)

Diuretics 1.48

(1.30,1.68)1.35

(1.12,1.61)

Statins 1.38

(1.21, 1.57)1.30

(1.09, 1.55)

β-blockers 1.35

(1.16, 1.57)1.19

(0.97,1.46)

CCBs1.31

(0.97, 1.31)1.14

(0.91, 1.42)

Page 12: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Limitations

• Post-hoc analysis of a clinical trial so residual confounders cannot be excluded

• No information on dose-response for medication• No information on the adherence to specified medication• Small size of population in β-blocker subgroup contributes

to the limited power of the association in the β-blocker subgroup

Page 13: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Conclusion

• In high-risk patients with IGT, the use of diuretic and statin therapy is associated with NOD

• β-blocker therapy has a borderline effect towards the development of NOD, but the effect was not significant after adjustment

• Surveillance of glucose levels should be considered in high risk patients taking these medications

• Future studies are warranted to examine net benefit/risk profile of those medications in high risk CVD patients

Page 14: Lan Shen, MD; Bimal R. Shah, MD, MBA; Eric M. Reyes, Ph.D.; Laine Thomas, Ph.D.; Peter Diem, MD; Lawrence A. Leiter, MD; Bernard Charbonnel, MD; Viacheslav.

Thank you