Labor Market Data Access and Linking · 2016-09-29 · KCTCS Strategic Plan High Wage, High Demand Completions 3,098 3,207 2,759 3,089 3,274 2,500 2,600 2,700 2,800 2,900 3,000 3,100

Dr. Christina Whitfield, Vice Chancellor Kentucky Community and Technical College System

Labor Market Data Access and Linking

Center for Analysis of Postsecondary Education and Employment September 19, 2014 Washington, DC

Fall 2013: • 92,365 students • 9,917 dual credit/high school students • 56,640 students enrolled in distance education courses • 59% part-time, 41% full-time • 57% female, 43% male • 15% minority students • 27.5 average age • 42% enrolled in technical programs, 27% liberal arts 2012-13 Academic Year: • 28,469 credentials awarded • 61,929 students served via workforce training

Economic Development Sectors:

• Healthcare

• Banking and Finance

• Construction and Skilled Trades

• Transportation and Logistics

• Energy

• Manufacturing

Registered Nurses

(Health Unit Coordinator/Ward Clerk)

Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants

(Medical/Health Management & Clinical)

Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses

Pharmacy Technicians

Home Health Aides

Medical Secretaries

Medical Assistants

(Mental & Social Health)

(Medical Office)

Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics

Dental Assistants

Radiologic Technologists and Technicians

Medical Records and Health Information Technicians

Respiratory Therapists

Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investigators

Healthcare Support, Other

Physical Therapist Assistants

Veterinary Technologists and Technicians

Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other

Surgical Technologists

Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians

Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians

Massage Therapists

Physical Therapist Aides

Medical Transcriptionists

Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers

Diagnostic Medical Sonographers

Opticians, Dispensing

Medical Equipment Preparers

Psychiatric Aides

Occupational Therapist Assistants

Pharmacy Aides

Psychiatric Technicians

Nuclear Medicine Technologists

Dietetic Technicians

Dental Laboratory Technicians

Ophthalmic Laboratory Technicians

Occupational Health and Safety Technicians

Radiation Therapists

Respiratory Therapy Technicians

Occupational Therapist Aides

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000

20

10

-20

20

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

2012 Median Wage

KY Average Percent Change Line

High Wage &

High Demand

Low Wage &

Low Demand

High Wage &

Low Demand

KY 75th Percentile Wage Line -> Low Wage &

High Demand

Team Assemblers

Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other

Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers

Production Workers, All Other

Helpers--Production Workers

First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers

Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine SOTs, M&P

Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers

Packaging and Filling Machine OTs

Extruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine SOTs

Machinists

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine SOTs, M&P

Woodworking Machine SOTs, Except M&P

Mixing and Blending Machine SOTs

Food Batchmakers

Printing Machine Operators

Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine SOTs

Water and Liquid Waste Treatment Plant and System Operators

Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers

Butchers and Meat Cutters

Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, M&P

Paper Goods Machine SOTs

Cutting and Slicing Machine SOTs

Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine SOTs

Bakers

Extruding and Drawing Machine SOTs

Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except M&P

Rolling Machine SOTs, M&P

Multiple Machine Tool SOTs, M&P

Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

Sewing Machine Operators

Sawing Machine SOTs, Wood

Slaughterers and Meat Packers

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

Chemical Plant and System Operators

Painters, Transportation Equipment

Food Cooking Machine OTs

Heat Treating Equipment SOTs, M&P

Plating and Coating Machine SOTs, M&P

Bindery Workers

Dental Laboratory Technicians

Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers

Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool SOTs, M&P

Chemical Equipment OTs

Separating, Filtering, Clarifying, Precipitating, and Still Machine SOTs

Cleaning, Washing, and Metal Pickling Equipment OTs

Tool and Die Makers

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool SOTs

Photographic Processing Machine Operators

Power Plant Operators

Prepress Technicians and Workers

Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers Metal Workers and Plastic Workers, All Other

Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators

Forging Machine SOTs, M&P

Pourers and Casters, Metal

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners Woodworkers, All Other

Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers

Fiberglass Laminators and Fabricators

Crushing, Grinding, and Polishing Machine SOTs

Engine and Other Machine Assemblers

Photographic Process Workers

Tailors, Dressmakers, and Custom Sewers

Metal-Refining Furnace OTs

Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle OTs

Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine OTs

Furniture Finishers Plant and System Operators, All Other

Grinding and Polishing Workers, Hand

Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers

Power Distributors and Dispatchers Gas Plant Operators

Ophthalmic Laboratory Technicians

Drilling and Boring Machine Tool SOTs

Milling and Planing Machine SOTs, M&P

Medical Appliance Technicians

Cementing and Gluing Machine OTs

Cutters and Trimmers, Hand

Numerical Tool and Process Control Programmers

Upholsterers

Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials

Job Printers

Bookbinders

Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine SOTs

Etchers and Engravers

-35.0

-30.0

-25.0

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000

20

08

-20

18

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

2010 Median Wage

KY Average Percent Change Line

High Wage &

High Demand

Low Wage &

Low Demand

High Wage &

Low Demand

KY 75th Percentile Wage Line -> Low Wage

& High Demand

7/26/2011 5

ACCOUNTABILITY

KCTCS Strategic Plan High Wage, High Demand Completions

3,098

3,207

2,759

3,089

3,274

2,500

2,600

2,700

2,800

2,900

3,000

3,100

3,200

3,300

3,400

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Note: Number of unduplicated credentials in programs cross-walked to a high wage, high demand occupation. KCTCS Data Base, Kentucky Occupational Outlook to 2014, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.

High Wage, High Demand Programs

• Registered Nurses • Claims Adjusters • Dental Hygienists • Computer Occupations • Insurance Sales Agents • Aircraft Mechanics • Engineering Technicians • Power-line Installers • Industrial Maintenance • Radiologic Technicians • PT Assistants • Electricians • Respiratory Therapists • Plumbers

KCTCS Strategic Plan Wage Index

95% 98% 92%

88% 85% 83% 83% 80%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

Note: Median wage of KCTCS completers earning $2500 or more in the second quarter after completion, indexed to the state median occupational wage. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.

KCTCS Strategic Plan Wage Index

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

2003-04* 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13**

Kentucky Median Occupational Wage (annual / 4) KCTCS Wage Index

Notes: Median wage by highest KCTCS degree, graduates earning $2,500+ Graduates who return to KCTCS in the following academic year are excluded from this analysis. KCTCS Official data as reported to CPE, KCTCS UI wage match, Office of Employment and Training’s Occupational Employment and Wages (OES) * Does not include Summer 2003 graduates; ** denominator is based on BLS data for KY.

Technical Considerations

• Threshold for “Employment”

• Privacy and Suppression Rules

• Timing/Reporting Lag

• Match Rates/Representativeness of Data

Unemployment Match Rates by College

43%

56%

83% 57%

59% 62%

67%

67%

69%

69%

69%

70%

70%

71%

74%

74%

Policy and Practice Considerations

• Impact of technical limitations of labor market information vary by institution

• Institutions must partner with local economic development entities and employers

• Many economic factors affecting employment outcomes are beyond institutional control

CURRICULUM REVIEW

Dynamic Skills Audit

• A means to gauge education supply against employer demand

• A methodology that incorporates traditional and real-time labor market information into a structured review of curriculum

• A way to determine how responsive course content is to employer requirements

Note: KCTCS participated in a pilot project to develop DSAs with Jobs for the Future.

Dynamic Skills Audit: Labor Market Assessment

16

DEMAND: Traditional LMI

DEMAND:

Real-time

LMI

SUPPLY:

College & Employment Indicators ANALYSIS / ASSESSMENT

Program

of Study

2011

Jobs

2008

Jobs

2018

Jobs

10 Yr %

Change

Projected

Annual

Openings

2011

Median

Annual

Wage

2011

Jobs

2010

Jobs

2010-11

No. of

Students

by

Program

2010-11

Graduates

by Program

(KCTCS)

2010-11

All

Complet-

ions

Job

Placement/

Entered

Employ-

ment

Ratio of

2011

Employed

to 2011

Job

Postings

Ratio of

All

Complet-

ions to

2011 Job

Postings

Job

Postings

minus

Complet-

ions

RN 2,440 2,163 2,634 21.78% 83

$54,401 298 175 160 65 81 82.1% 8:1 1:4 217

CMM 1,130 2,895 2,478 -14.40% 60

$37,000 1,534 683 28 20 46 63.6% 1:1 1:33 1,488

Note: Labor Market Assessment for selected programs at Owensboro Community and Technical College.

DSA: Skills Matrix Development

17

Real-Time LMI Skills

Patient Care

Organizational Skills

Spanish

Traditional LMI Skills

Social Perceptiveness

Judgment

Mathematics

Certifications

Registered Nurse

Cardiac LS

Certified Rehab

Policy and Practice Considerations

• How can this process be integrated with existing curriculum processes?

• Supply/demand mismatch may be unrelated to institutional production

• Test data against anecdotal experiences shared by employers

• Improve curriculum in “real time,” based on market research

• Be responsive to industry demands

PROGRAM REVIEW

$34,478

$35,000

$20,963

$46,164

$24,184

$27,132

$30,307

$17,013

$32,305

$20,126

$26,396

$39,154

$16,808

$20,316

$23,726

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

Trades

STEM

Soc and Beh Sciences

Health

Business and Com

Arts and Humanities

Trades

STEM

Health

Business and Com

Trades

STEM

Soc and Beh Sciences

Health

Business and Com

What Are Their Median Annual Wages One Year After Completion?

Median Annual Wages of 2005-06 Completers the Following Year

Certificates (Less than 1 Year)

Certificates (1 Year, Less than 2 Years)

Associate Degrees

Median Annual Wages of Working Adults with Just a High School Diploma ($16,122)

$46,207

$42,665

$24,276

$51,975

$29,895

$34,484

$39,200

$26,107

$35,956

$21,386

$33,504

$50,011

$18,628

$23,530

$28,211

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

Trades

STEM

Soc and Beh Sciences

Health

Business and Com

Arts and Humanities

Trades

STEM

Health

Business and Com

Trades

STEM

Soc and Beh Sciences

Health

Business and Com

What Are Their Median Annual Wages Five Years After Completion?

Median Annual Wages of 2005-06 Completers Five Years After Completion

Certificates (Less than 1 Year)

Certificates (1 Year, Less than 2 Years)

Associate Degrees

Median Annual Wages of Working Adults with Just a High School Diploma ($16,122)

Graduate Employment Profiles Employment by Industry

Registered Nursing

Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

47%

93%

53%

7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Date of Participation 1st Quarter after Completion

Health Industries

Other Industries

Health Industries

Other Industries

Graduate Employment Profiles Employment by Industry Business Administration

Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

23% 18%

25% 19%

11% 15%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Date of Participation 1st Quarter after Completion

Manufacturing

Finance/Insurance

Retail

Considerations for Policy and Practice

• Programs that yield poor employment outcomes may generate revenue for the institution

• Can faculty be retrained/reassigned (tenure and accreditation requirements)?

• “Social Welfare Index”: Cosmetology vs. Early Childhood Education

STUDENT INFORMATION

Graduate Employment Profiles

% NRG Employed

Median Wage % NRG Earning $2500/Q

Median Wage $2500+

Liberal Arts 60.7 $3,572 40.3 $5,100

Registered Nursing

81.4 $11,176 78.5 $11,277

Business Administration

72.3 $5,485 59.9 $6,158

Welding Technology

63.8 $5,313 50.0 $6,360

All 67.2 $5,306 53.8 $6,450

Note: 2009-10 graduates two quarters post-completion. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Graduate Employment Profiles ETA Common Measures Entered Employment

Employment Retention

6-month Earning Increase

Median Wage $2500+

Registered Nursing

70.7 90.2 $13,739.22

$11,277

Business Administration

40.5 92.2 $4,759.51 $6,158

Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks

Tellers Insurance Sales Agents

Bill and Account Collectors

Financial Managers

Tax Examiners, Collectors, and Revenue Agents

Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents

Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investigators

Loan Officers

Personal Financial Advisors

Market Research Analysts

Loan Interviewers and Clerks

Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks

Financial Analysts

Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks

New Accounts Clerks

Insurance Underwriters

Legal Support Workers, All Other

Financial Examiners

Credit Analysts

Loan Counselors

Brokerage Clerks

Economists Actuaries

Survey Researchers

Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000

20

08

-20

18

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

2010 Median Wage

KY Average Percent Change Line

High Wage &

High Demand

Low Wage &

Low Demand

High Wage &

Low Demand

KY 75th Percentile Wage Line -> Low Wage

& High Demand

7/26/2011 28