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Redington 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD T. 020 7250 3331 www.redington.co.uk twitter.com/redingtontweets NAPF Manchester Key Themes for Pensions in 2012 Robert Gardner, Redington 23 rd February 2012
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Page 1: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Redington 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD T. 020 7250 3331 www.redington.co.uk twitter.com/redingtontweets

NAPF Manchester

Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Robert Gardner, Redington

23rd February 2012

Page 2: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Contents

1. Market Update • Gilt and swap rates

2. Key (Investment) Themes for Pensions in 2012 • Liability Driven Investment (LDI)

• Setting Clear Goals & Objectives

Importance of Strong Governance = Ability to ACT

The Pensions Risk Management Framework

Dynamic De-Risking

Flight Plan Consistent Assets and UK infrastructure

3. Social Media and #Pensions • An overview of using social media personally and professionally;

• And how to use social media to communicate, engage and educate key stakeholders:

Facebook

Twitter

LinkedIn

RedBlog

Mallowstreet

Page 4: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Market Update

30-Year UK Gilt Yield

Page 5: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Market Update

UK & Japan 30-Year Swap Rates

Page 6: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

Liability Driven Investments (LDI) : Maximise Your Toolset

Page 7: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

Good Governance = Ability to ACT

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Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

The PRMF Dashboard

Page 9: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

GB

P M

illio

ns

― Actual Liabilities

∙∙∙ Assets Path

- - - Liabilities Path

― Actual Assets

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Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

The Flight Plan: From ‘set and forget’ to ‘anticipate and recalibrate’

Source: Redington

Page 10: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

Case Study: Dynamic De-Risking

Funding level comparison 01/10/2010 – 07/09/2011

Fun

din

g le

vel

Source: Redington

Strategy Funding level Funding level

volatility

Original 70.6% 18%

Low risk allocation 71.8% 16%

Dynamic de-risking 76.2% 13%

As of 7 September 2011:

Page 11: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

GB

P M

illi

on

s

Years

Initial investment

Attractive real returns

Inflation-linked cashflows

Providing a match for liabilities

Inflows

Outflows

Source: Redington

Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

Flight Plan Consistent Assets: Cashflows

Page 12: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Key (Investment) Themes for 2012

Case Study: Cambridge Water

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Cambridge Water

• Economic environment has small impact on returns • Inflation-linked cashflows and returns

• Low regulatory risk

Water Infrastructure: Key Attractions

Image source: BM

Image source: Cambridge First

Image source: Cambridge Water

• Bought by HSBC in August 2011 (for

warehousing) for £74m

• Provides water for 300,000 people in Cambridgeshire

• 2010/2011: Revenue of £20m with pre-tax profits of £7m

• No external debt bar revolving credit facility

Page 13: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

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Questions?

Page 14: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Social Media in the #Pensions Space

Page 15: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Social Media in the Pensions Space

Facebook

Page 16: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Social Media in the Pensions Space

Twitter #Pensions

Page 17: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Social Media in the Pensions Space

LinkedIn

Page 18: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Social Media in the Pensions Space

RedBlog

Page 21: Key Themes for Pensions in 2012

Contacts Disclaimer

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Contacts

Direct Line: +44 (0) 20 7250 3416

Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7250 3331

Redington

13-15 Mallow Street

London EC1Y 8RD

Robert Gardner

Founder & Co-CEO

[email protected]

www.redington.co.uk

THE DESTINATION FOR ASSET & LIABILITY MANAGEMENT Disclaimer For professional investors only. Not suitable for private customers.

The information herein was obtained from various sources. We do not guarantee every aspect of its accuracy. The information is for your private information and is for discussion purposes only. A variety of market factors and assumptions may affect this analysis, and this analysis does not reflect all possible loss scenarios. There is no certainty that the parameters and assumptions used in this analysis can be duplicated with actual trades. Any historical exchange rates, interest rates or other reference rates or prices which appear above are not necessarily indicative of future exchange rates, interest rates, or other reference rates or prices. Neither the information, recommendations or opinions expressed herein constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities, futures, options, or investment products on your behalf. Unless otherwise stated, any pricing information in this message is indicative only, is subject to change and is not an offer to transact. Where relevant, the price quoted is exclusive of tax and delivery costs. Any reference to the terms of executed transactions should be treated as preliminary and subject to further due diligence .

Please note, the accurate calculation of the liability profile used as the basis for implementing any capital markets transactions is the sole responsibility of the Trustees' actuarial advisors. Redington Ltd will estimate the liabilities if required but will not be held responsible for any loss or damage howsoever sustained as a result of inaccuracies in that estimation. Additionally, the client recognizes that Redington Ltd does not owe any party a duty of care in this respect.

Redington Ltd are investment consultants regulated by the Financial Services Authority. We do not advise on all implications of the transactions described herein. This information is for discussion purposes and prior to undertaking any trade, you should also discuss with your professional tax, accounting and / or other relevant advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. All analysis (whether in respect of tax, accounting, law or of any other nature), should be treated as illustrative only and not relied upon as accurate.

©Redington Limited 2012. All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy, transmission or translation in whole or in part of this presentation may be made without permission. Application for permission should be made to Redington Limited at the address below.

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