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Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Adina Levin - Friends of Caltrain December 2015
27

Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Feb 13, 2017

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Page 1: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership

Adina Levin - Friends of CaltrainDecember 2015

Page 2: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Keeping up with Caltrain ridershipUnderlying trends driving ridership growthHow Caltrain can keep up with growthGrade separationsFunding and participation opportunities

Page 3: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Ridership doubled in last decade

Dot.Com Crash

Baby Bullet

Great Recession

Page 4: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Fastest-growing transit in Bay Area

Page 5: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Rapid growth in Mountain View, Palo Alto

Average weekday ridership growth

Rank 2013 2014 2015 Change

Palo Alto University

2 5,469 6,156 7197 32%

Mountain View 3 3,876 4,274 4570 18%

Redwood City 6 2,619 2947 3233 23%

Page 6: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Trains are crowded

Standing room only

Platforms 4th & King

Page 7: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Trains are crowded

Page 8: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Transit corridor growth

State policy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, coordinate transportation & land use

Accommodate 80% of housing, 60% of job growth in < 5% of land with transit access

Page 9: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Better access to San Francisco

Central Subway 2019

Connects to Powell Street BART and Muni Metro

Page 10: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Better access to jobs in San Francisco

Credit: Clem TIllier

Downtown extension to Transbay 202x

Page 11: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Diridon and the BART ConnectionDiridon Station Area Plan● 20,000+ jobs● 2600 housing units● ~20,000 avg daily BART ● ~20,000 avg daily

Caltrain ● Up from ~4,000 Caltrain● 40% drivealone mode

share

Page 12: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Growth in Redwood City Downtown

● > 2500 housing units

● 740K square feet of office space (~3,000 jobs)

● In pipeline or under construction

Page 13: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

City policies to reduce tripsTransportation Demand Management● Accommodate more people with less cars,

traffic, parking demand● Transit passes, shuttles, carpool, carshare,

education/marketing● Transportation Management Association

Nonprofit (typically)● Funded by employers, developments, parking● Data, reporting, accountability

Established Developing

Page 14: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Goals to reduce drivealone

Mountain View North Bayshore● 45% drivealone (55% today)Downtown Palo Alto● 30% reduction (55% today)Redwood City● Work in progress...

Page 15: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Double ridership in the next decade

“We need to double Caltrain ridership from 60,000 to 120,000 daily trips by the next

decade”

Carl Guardino, Silicon Valley Leadership Group

Page 16: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Peak hour capacity

How many people can travel at peak hour● number of train cars● number people per car (seated, standing,

bikes)● number of trains per hour● distribution (are some cars less full)

Page 17: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

How can Caltrain keep up?

Current peak - 5 car trains, 5 trains per hour = 25

Page 18: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

1) Surplus cars from LA Metrolink

6 cars x 5 trains per hour = 30

Page 19: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

2) Electrification● Faster acceleration

More stops in same end to end time

● More service to underserved stations

● But fewer seats per car

6 trains per hour x 6 car trains

Page 20: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

3) Longer platforms, level boarding8-car trains

Level boarding● faster service● better for mobility-impaired, strollers,

bikes● more reliable

6 trains/hour x 8 cars = 48

Page 21: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

4) Increase frequencyBlended system: Caltrain & HSR share tracksUp to 2 HSR trains per hour without passing tracks Up to 4 HSR trains per hour with passing tracksShared space on trains

8 trains per hour x 8 car trains = 64

Page 22: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Grade separations

● Safety and reliability● More frequent service won’t

stall traffic● 40 at-grade crossings

remaining (⅔ separated)● Projects in process in San

Mateo, Menlo Park, Burlingame

Page 23: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

How can Caltrain keep up?

Scenario Peak service Peak hour train cars

Today 5x5 25

Metrolink used cars 6x5 30

Electrification 6x6 36

Longer platforms 6x8 48

Increase frequency (w/HSR) 8x8 64

Page 24: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Cost for capacity improvements

Page 25: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Upcoming decisions1) Finalize funding for electrification2) Santa Clara County 2016 Ballot Measure - capacity and

grade separations3) San Mateo County Ballot Measure?4) 101 Toll Lanes?5) Planning with High Speed Rail

Page 26: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Cars off the freewayIf Caltrain were shut down, it would take 4-5 extra lanes on Highway 101 to carry the extra rush hour traffic.

1,500 cars/hour/lane8,000 pax/peak hour trad peak6,000 pax/peak hour rev. peak

Page 27: Keeping up with Caltrain Ridership Redwood City

Back to the FutureCaltrain corridor is original transit-oriented development

Cities grew around train

RWC, PA, MV1938