SWEDISH DEFENCE RESEARCH AGENCY [email protected][email protected]Karl Henriksson Ulf Jonsson Swedish Defence Research Agency Construction of a tool for economic analysis of force structures, and its use in the transformation of the Swedish Armed Forces
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Karl Henriksson Ulf Jonsson Swedish Defence Research Agency
Karl Henriksson Ulf Jonsson Swedish Defence Research Agency. Construction of a tool for economic analysis of force structures, and its use in the transformation of the Swedish Armed Forces. Context of the tool The tool it self Cross-road issue Basis of the tool Lessons Learned Conclusions. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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• EBV - Swedish acronym for “Economical Calculation Tool”• Spread sheet model• Big data base• Economical calculations of complete future Force Structures
– Economical possibilities of implementation within the timeframe – Highlighting the important decisions during the period 2005-2007– Operational use– Entire national infrastructure– Modelling of different manning provision solutions
• Quick economic calculation of different Force Structures over time• The base for calculation is the land, sea and air units
• Modelling different manning provisions• Modelling different infrastructure for training• Calculation of “phasing in” and “phasing out” units and equipment
General• When constructing a model it is important to first find out
– which data is readily available– what types of results are desired by decision-makers and the way to deliver the results.
• Decide on the level of generalisation of the model and try to stick to it.• Organisational inexperience of conceptual modelling => poor acceptance • Don’t use the model outside its area of validity
EBV• Risk of Force Structures design directly in the tool• Paradox: initial doubts => great enthusiasm => disapproval
– Wrong expectations of the level of detail in the results of the tool
• A very useful tool• Figure out what types of results are desired by decision-makers • Use already existing data when constructing a model• Communicate what the model can and cannot be used for and don’t let it