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A presentation in two acts By Justin Bowra, Sydney Adventist & Royal North Shore Hospitals, Australia SMACC 2015 The Elephant in the Living Room
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Justin Bowra - The Elephant In The Living Room

Jan 23, 2018

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Page 1: Justin Bowra - The Elephant In The Living Room

A presentation in two acts

By Justin Bowra, Sydney Adventist & Royal North Shore Hospitals,

Australia SMACC 2015

The Elephant in the Living Room

Page 2: Justin Bowra - The Elephant In The Living Room

DISCLOSURE

Page 3: Justin Bowra - The Elephant In The Living Room

PROLOGUE

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PART I

The Elephant in the Living

Room

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But…

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AUSTRALIA

Health spending

1995: 7.5% of GDP

2012: 9.1%

Australian Institute of Health and Welfare

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USA

1995: 13.3%

2012: 17.9%

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AT THIS RATE…

2050

Australia 13%

USA 25%

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What’s going on?

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Ageing population?

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Better treatments?

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‘On average, a 50-year-old now is seeing

doctors more often, having more tests and

operations…’

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‘Health systems themselves are

becoming a threat to society’s

wellbeing.’Atul Gawande, Reith lectures

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Doctors

Government Special

interests

Hospitals

Insurers Lawyers

Consumers

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Doctors

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Plumbers

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PART II

Fixing the system

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Doctors

Government Special

interests

Hospitals

Insurers Lawyers

Consumers

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Doctors

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HOW CAN THE

ELEPHANT HELP?

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1. Look at the big picture

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2. End-of- l i fe discussion

about the healthcare budget

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3. Sur render some

autonomy

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1. Look at the big picture

2. Shared decision making across society

3. Surrender our autonomy

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A challenge

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FINAL THOUGHT

‘Business as usual’ is not an option

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THANKS

Rob Day, Mark Gillett, Cath Herlihy, Sally

McCarthy, Stella McGinn, Larry Melniker & Nick

Stow

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REFERENCES

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Armstong K, Tess D. Fault versus No Fault- Reviewing the

International Evidence. Institute of Actuaries of Australia

Seminar, 2008.

Dartmuth Atlas of Healthcare http://www.dartmouthatlas.org/

Gawande, A. Reith lectures

Gawande, A. The cost conundrum. New Yorker, June 2009 [link]

Godlee, F. Tackling practice variation. BMJ 2011. 342:d1884 [link]

Gortmaker SL, Bickford AF, Mathewson HO, et al. A successful

experiment to

reduce unnecessary laboratory use in a community hospital. Med

Care 1988; 26:

631-642.

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Kennedy PJ, Leathley CM, Hughes CF. Clinical practice variation. Med J Aust.

2010 Oct 18;193(8 Suppl):S97-9. PubMed PMID: 20955142. [Fulltext]

Magnan S, Fisher E, Kindig D, et al. Achieving accountability for health and

health care. Minn Med. 2012;95:37-39.

O’Callaghan G et al. Choosing wisely: the message, messenger and method. MJA

2015 202 (4): 175-8.

Oberlander J et al. Rationing medical care: rhetoric and reality in the Oregon

Health Plan. CMAJ 2001;164(11):1583-7

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Stuart PJ et al An interventional program for diagnostic testing in the emergency

department MJA 2002 177 (3): 131‐134

Wennberg, JE, Thomson PY. Time to tackle unwarranted variations in practice.

BMJ 2011. 342:d1513 [link]

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http://americannewsreport.com/arthroscopic-knee-surgery-

questioned-8816014

Australian Bureau of Statistics www.abs.gov.au

Australian Institute of Health & Welfare http://www.aihw.gov.au/

http://www.aihw.gov.au/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=6442457

479

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100840148

http://fc07.deviantart.net/fs71/f/2011/194/7/7/mad_doctor_by_diz

oider-d3nsl64.jpg

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http://www.forbes.com/sites/merrillmatthews/2013/11/25/when-

will-the-government-start-forcing-doctors-to-see-obamacare-patients/

https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2012/197/10/over-150-potentially-

low-value-health-care-practices-australian-study

http://seqclinic.com/chinese_medicine.html

http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/funds-run-out-for-cancer-operations-

20130530-2neu3.html

https://theconversation.com/infographic-comparing-international-

health-systems-30784

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http://theconversation.com/tough-choices-how-to-rein-in-australias-

rising-health-bill-13658

https://theconversation.com/explainer-what-is-health-rationing-13667

http://www.worth1000.com/entries/325508/dinosaur-doctor