North America High Yield Research April 12, 2012 High-Yield Relative Value Weekly For the week ended April 11, 2012 www.morganmarkets.com Changes and additions to relative value recommendations The table below is an at-a-glance summary of the changes in this week’s “Relative Value Analysis” recommendations versus last week’s recommendations. Change Change Recom. Recom. Coupon Sector From To Texas Petrochemical Group 8.250% Sr. Sec. Notes due 2017 Chemicals Sell Hold Contents Page Analyst Phone Aerospace/Defense 2 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265 Automotive 4 Eric Selle (1-212) 270-9624 Building 8 Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085 Building Materials 11 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265 Cable/Satellite 12 Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Chemicals 18 Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468 Consumer Products 20 Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798 Energy 22 Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997 Food and Restaurants 32 Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798 Gaming 34 Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085 Healthcare 36 David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260 Industrials 42 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265 Leisure 44 Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Lodging 46 Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085 Media 47 Avi Steiner (1-212) 270-5512 Metals and Mining 50 Dave Katz (1-212) 270-4593 Paper and Packaging 54 Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468 Retail 58 Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798 Services 61 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265 Shipping 63 Jenna Giannelli (1-212) 270-9455 Technology 64 Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149 Transportation 68 Mark Streeter (1-212) 834-5086 Utility 69 Dave Katz (1-212) 270-4593 Wireless Telecommunications 71 Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149 Wireline Telecommunications 73 Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149 North America Credit Research directory page 75 See page 76 for analyst certification and important disclosures. J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. J.P. Morgan High-Yield Relative Value Weekly is available on the J.P. Morgan MorganMarkets website: www.morganmarkets.com Peter D. Acciavatti AC • (1-212) 270-9633 • [email protected]J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
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North America High Yield ResearchApril 12, 2012
High-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
www.morganmarkets.com
Changes and additions to relative value recommendationsThe table below is an at-a-glance summary of the changes in this week’s “Relative Value Analysis” recommendations versus last week’s recommendations.
Change ChangeRecom. Recom.
Coupon Sector From To
Texas Petrochemical Group 8.250% Sr. Sec. Notes due 2017 Chemicals Sell Hold
Contents Page Analyst Phone
Aerospace/Defense 2 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265Automotive 4 Eric Selle (1-212) 270-9624Building 8 Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085Building Materials 11 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265Cable/Satellite 12 Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530Chemicals 18 Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468Consumer Products 20 Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798Energy 22 Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997Food and Restaurants 32 Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798Gaming 34 Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085Healthcare 36 David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260Industrials 42 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265Leisure 44 Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530Lodging 46 Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085Media 47 Avi Steiner (1-212) 270-5512Metals and Mining 50 Dave Katz (1-212) 270-4593Paper and Packaging 54 Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468Retail 58 Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798Services 61 Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265Shipping 63 Jenna Giannelli (1-212) 270-9455Technology 64 Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149Transportation 68 Mark Streeter (1-212) 834-5086Utility 69 Dave Katz (1-212) 270-4593Wireless Telecommunications 71 Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149Wireline Telecommunications 73 Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149
North America Credit Research directory page 75
See page 76 for analyst certification and important disclosures.J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interestthat could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
J.P. Morgan High-Yield Relative Value Weekly is available on the J.P. Morgan MorganMarketswebsite: www.morganmarkets.com
Peter D. Acciavatti AC • (1-212) 270-9633 • [email protected]. Morgan Securities LLC
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
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Alliant Techsystems (ATK)L + 200 Term Loan A NR 7-Oct-15 NR/BBB- $400.0 99.00 3.08% 228bp na na na $624 2.1x 0.6x 1.5x 6.6x 49% 4.3x $1,715.3 6.750% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Apr-16 Ba3/BB- $400.0 102.38 5.33% 516bp 1-Apr-13 1-Apr-13 101.13 $624 2.1x 0.6x 1.5x 6.6x 49% 4.3x $1,715.3 6.875% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Sep-20 Ba3/BB- $350.0 106.00 5.74% 455bp 15-Sep-18 15-Sep-15 103.44 $624 2.1x 0.6x 1.5x 6.6x 49% 4.3x $1,715.3 BE Aerospace (BEAV) 1
8.500% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jul-18 Ba2/BB $600.0 109.75 3.64% 344bp 1-Jul-13 1-Jul-13 104.25 $558 2.5x 0.2x 2.4x 5.3x 23% 10.8x $4,677.7 6.875% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-20 Ba2/BB $650.0 109.00 4.94% 436bp 1-Oct-15 1-Oct-15 103.44 $558 2.5x 0.2x 2.4x 5.3x 23% 10.8x $4,677.7 5.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-22 Ba2/BB $500.0 100.00 5.25% 370bp 1-Apr-20 1-Apr-17 102.63 $558 2.5x 0.2x 2.4x 5.3x 23% 10.8x $4,677.7 Bombardier (BBDBCN)6.750% Sr Nts NR 1-May-12 Ba2/BB+ $151.1 100.13 3.59% 355bp 1-May-12 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 6.300% Sr Nts NR 1-May-14 Ba2/BB+ $162.0 105.50 3.48% 318bp 1-May-14 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 7.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-16 Ba2/BB+ $785.0 103.25 5.62% 549bp 15-Nov-12 15-Nov-12 102.42 $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 7.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-18 Ba2/BB+ $650.0 109.50 5.59% 451bp 15-Mar-18 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-20 Ba2/BB+ $850.0 110.25 6.10% 455bp 15-Mar-20 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 6.125% Sr Nts NR 15-May-21 Ba2/BB+ $780.0 98.50 6.34% 475bp 15-May-21 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 5.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-22 Ba2/BB+ $500.0 96.63 6.21% 421bp 15-Mar-22 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 7.450% Sr Nts NR 1-May-34 Ba2/BB+ $250.0 101.00 7.36% 464bp 1-May-34 nc nc $1,657 3.0x 0.0x 1.2x 2.1x 57% 5.3x $6,959.8 Colt Defense (CLTDEF)8.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-17 Caa1/CCC+ $250.0 68.00 18.08% 1708bp 15-Nov-17 15-Nov-13 104.38 $36 nm nm nm nm na na naDynCorp (DCP)L + 500 Term Loan B NR 7-Jul-16 Ba2/BB- $570.0 99.94 6.27% 531bp na na na $204 4.8x 2.8x 4.3x 2.2x na na na10.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Jul-17 B2/B- $455.0 83.50 15.04% 1412bp 1-Jul-17 1-Jul-14 105.19 $204 4.8x 2.8x 4.3x 2.2x na na naEsterline Technologies (ESL)6.625% Sr Nts Hold 1-Mar-17 Ba2/BB $173.7 103.38 5.12% 495bp 1-Mar-13 1-Mar-13 102.21 $343 2.9x 0.7x 2.6x 8.1x 32% 8.8x $2,118.3 7.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Aug-20 Ba2/BB $250.0 110.25 4.60% 406bp 1-Aug-15 1-Aug-15 103.50 $343 2.9x 0.7x 2.6x 8.1x 32% 8.8x $2,118.3 Hexcel (HXL) 6.750% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Feb-15 B1/BB+ $75.0 101.00 5.43% 527bp 1-Feb-13 1-Feb-13 100.00 $199 1.7x 1.3x 1.1x 8.6x 12% 14.2x $2,600.0 Huntington Ingalls (HII) L + 300 Term Loan NR 30-Mar-16 Baa3/BB+ $575.0 99.38 3.17% 233bp na na na $573 3.3x 1.0x 2.3x 3.5x 57% 5.7x $1,949.9 6.875% Sr Nts Buy 15-Mar-18 Ba3/B+ $600.0 105.25 5.64% 478bp 15-Mar-17 15-Mar-15 103.44 $573 3.3x 1.0x 2.3x 3.5x 57% 5.7x $1,949.9 7.125% Sr Nts Buy 15-Mar-21 Ba3/B+ $600.0 105.75 6.09% 478bp 15-Mar-19 15-Mar-16 103.56 $573 3.3x 1.0x 2.3x 3.5x 57% 5.7x $1,949.9 Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)10.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Jun-17 B3/B+ $625.0 108.00 7.69% 699bp 1-Jun-16 1-Jun-14 105.00 $124 5.1x 0.0x 4.5x 2.4x 85% 6.0x $185.1
Aerospace/Defense – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265Ratings Amount EquityMoody’s Outst. Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Debt/ Sr. Sec./ Net Debt./ EBITDA/ Total Debt/ TEV/ Mkt
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread YTW Date Date Price EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Int. Exp TEV LTM EBITDA Cap
1. Pro forma for recently completed acquisitions.Note: Loan yields are to maturity; spreads are over libor.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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L-3 Communications (LLL) 6.375% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Oct-15 Ba1/BB+ $500.0 102.38 3.65% 351bp 15-Oct-12 15-Oct-12 101.06 $2,191 1.9x 0.0x 1.6x 8.2x 39% 5.5x $6,872.3 ManTech International (MANT)7.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-18 Ba2/BB+ $200.0 106.25 5.49% 481bp 15-Apr-16 15-Apr-14 103.63 $262 0.8x 0.0x 0.5x 16.9x 15% 5.1x $1,204.1 Moog (MOG)6.250% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jan-15 Ba3/B+ $187.0 101.00 4.86% 470bp 15-Jan-13 15-Jan-13 100.00 $313 2.3x 1.1x 2.0x 8.9x 29% 7.9x $1,863.0 7.250% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jun-18 Ba3/B+ $191.6 106.50 4.51% 432bp 15-Jun-13 15-Jun-13 103.63 $313 2.3x 1.1x 2.0x 8.9x 29% 7.9x $1,863.0 Spirit Aerosystems (SPR)L + 200 Term Loan B NR 30-Sep-13 Ba1/BBB- $591.3 99.69 2.44% 169bp na na na $508 2.4x 1.2x 2.0x 6.6x 25% 9.5x $3,808.3 L + 300 Term Loan B NR 30-Sep-16 Ba1/BBB- $437.4 99.75 3.78% 277bp na na na $508 2.4x 1.2x 2.0x 6.6x 25% 9.5x $3,808.3 7.500% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-17 Ba3/BB- $300.0 107.75 4.47% 424bp 1-Oct-13 1-Oct-13 103.75 $508 2.4x 1.2x 2.0x 6.6x 25% 9.5x $3,808.3 6.750% Guar Nts NR 15-Dec-20 Ba3/BB- $300.0 107.63 5.28% 466bp 15-Dec-15 15-Dec-15 103.38 $508 2.4x 1.2x 2.0x 6.6x 25% 9.5x $3,808.3 Transdigm (TDG) 1
L + 300 Term Loan NR 14-Feb-17 Ba2/BB- $1,550.0 99.90 4.02% 293bp na na na $722 5.0x 2.8x 4.9x 3.1x 38% 13.1x $5,925.3 7.750% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Dec-18 B3/B- $1,600.0 107.50 5.92% 531bp 15-Dec-15 15-Dec-14 103.88 $722 5.0x 2.8x 4.9x 3.1x 38% 13.1x $5,925.3 Triumph Group (TGI)8.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Nov-17 B1/B+ $175.0 108.25 4.97% 472bp 15-Nov-13 15-Nov-13 104.00 $534 2.3x 1.0x 2.2x 5.9x 29% 7.9x $3,015.5 8.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-18 Ba3/B+ $350.0 111.50 4.98% 464bp 15-Jul-14 15-Jul-14 104.31 $534 2.3x 1.0x 2.2x 5.9x 29% 7.9x $3,015.5 Wyle Services (WYLE) 1
L + 400 Term Loan B NR 26-Mar-17 B1/NR $283.4 99.00 4.95% 384bp na na na na na na na na na na na10.500% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Apr-18 Caa2/B- $175.0 106.00 8.67% 800bp 1-Apr-16 1-Apr-14 105.25 na na na na na na na na
Aerospace/Defense – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265
1. Pro forma for recently completed acquisitions.Note: Loan yields are to maturity; spreads are over libor.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Ratings Amount EquityMoody’s Outst. Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Debt/ Sr. Sec./ Net Debt./ EBITDA/ Total Debt/ TEV/ Mkt
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread YTW Date Date Price EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Int. Exp TEV LTM EBITDA Cap
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Issue Data Bond and CDS Data Total Return Credit Fundamentals (LTM 12/31/11)Amout Current 5-Yr. Next Call Data EBITDA EBITDA Interest EBITDA-Capex Total Net TEV/
Issue Data Bond and CDS Data Total Return Credit Fundamentals (LTM 12/31/11)Amout Current 5-Yr. Next Call Data EBITDA EBITDA Interest EBITDA-Capex Total Net TEV/
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Issue Data Bond and CDS Data Total Return Credit Fundamentals (LTM 12/31/11)Amout Current 5-Yr. Next Call Data EBITDA EBITDA Interest EBITDA-Capex Total Net TEV/
Heavy Duty Average $107.1 8.0% 7.1% 561 458 -0.1% 9.0% $622 11.3% 10.8x 7.4x 3.6x 2.7x 7.5x
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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Issue Data Bond and CDS Data Total Return Credit Fundamentals (LTM 12/31/11)Amout Current 5-Yr. Next Call Data EBITDA EBITDA Interest EBITDA-Capex Total Net TEV/
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Ratings LTM HB LTM HB EBITDA/ Net HB Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA HB Gross Deliveries Backlog Interest LTM HB
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P Size Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price ($mn) Margin (Units) (Units) Incurred EBITDA
Building – Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085
Toll Brothers6.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Nov-12 Ba1/BB+ $139.8 102 3.44% 329bp 15-Nov-12 $132.5 23.2% 2,605 1,784 1.2x 12.0x5.950% Sr Nts Hold 15-Sep-13 Ba1/BB+ $104.7 105 2/5 2.04% 182bp 15-Sep-13 $132.5 23.2% 2,605 1,784 1.2x 12.0x4.950% Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-14 Ba1/BB+ $268.0 103 4/5 2.89% 261bp 15-Mar-14 $132.5 23.2% 2,605 1,784 1.2x 12.0x5.150% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-15 Ba1/BB+ $300.0 104 5/7 3.52% 302bp 15-May-15 $132.5 23.2% 2,605 1,784 1.2x 12.0x8.910% Sr Guar Nts Hold 15-Oct-17 Ba1/BB+ $400.0 121 2/5 4.47% 349bp 15-Oct-17 $132.5 23.2% 2,605 1,784 1.2x 12.0x6.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Nov-19 Ba1/BB+ $250.0 108 3/4 5.33% 387bp 1-Nov-19 $132.5 23.2% 2,605 1,784 1.2x 12.0xSource: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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Ratings Amount TEV/ EquityMoody’s Out Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Date LTM Debt/ Net Debt/ Sr. Sec./ EBITDA Total Debt/ LTM Market
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price EBITDA EBITDA LTM EBITDA EBITDA Int. Exp. TEV EBITDA CapAssociated Materials (SIDE)9.125% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Nov-17 Caa1/B $730.0 89.75 11.69% 1069bp 1-Nov-17 1-Nov-13 106.84 $100 8.3x 8.2x 1.0x 1.3x na na naGibraltar (ROCK)8.000% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Dec-15 B2/BB- $204.0 102.63 5.77% 562bp 1-Dec-12 1-Dec-12 101.33 $61 3.4x 2.9x 0.4x 2.2x 36% 10.4x $430.6 Griffon Corporation (GFF)7.125% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-18 B1/BB- $550.0 102.25 6.58% 572bp 1-Apr-17 1-Apr-14 105.34 $178 3.9x 2.7x 0.0x 3.9x 67% 5.7x $539.8 HD Supply (HD Supply)8.125% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Apr-19 B2/NR $950.0 100.50 8.02% 692bp 15-Apr-18 15-Apr-15 106.09 $508 4.2x 4.0x 5.5x 1.1x na na na11.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Apr-20 Caa1/CCC+ $675.0 102.75 10.37% 923bp 15-Apr-18 15-Apr-16 105.50 $508 5.5x 5.3x 5.5x 1.1x na na naInterline Brands (IBI)7.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Nov-18 B2/BB $300.0 105.25 5.68% 489bp 15-Nov-16 15-Nov-13 105.25 $110 2.7x 2.0x 0.0x 4.6x 34% 8.0x $666.0 Mueller Water (MWA)8.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Sep-20 B2/B+ $225.0 111.25 6.19% 563bp 1-Sep-15 1-Sep-15 104.38 $99 6.8x 6.4x 0.4x 1.5x 57% 12.1x $555.6 7.375% Sr Sub Nts Buy 1-Jun-17 Caa2/CCC+ $420.0 98.50 7.73% 683bp 1-Jun-17 nc nc $99 6.8x 6.4x 0.4x 1.5x 57% 12.1x $555.6 USG Corp. (USG)6.300% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-16 Caa2/B- $500.0 95.00 7.61% 682bp 15-Nov-16 nc nc $65 nm nm nm nm 68% nm $1,801.8 9.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Aug-14 B2/BB- $300.0 110.25 4.96% 461bp 1-Aug-14 nc nc $65 nm nm nm nm 68% nm $1,801.8 7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-18 Caa2/B- $500.0 100.00 7.75% 670bp 15-Jan-18 nc nc $65 nm nm nm nm 68% nm $1,801.8 8.375% Sr Nts NR 15-Oct-18 B2/BB- $350.0 103.75 7.38% 661bp 15-Oct-16 15-Oct-14 104.19 $65 nm nm nm nm 68% nm $1,801.8
Building Materials – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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1. CDS Spread references 5-year CDS.2. TEV for Cablevision adjusted to include only cable assets; FWD EBITDA is 2012E EBITDA.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Cable/Satellite: Domestic HY Cable – Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ Net Debt/ TEV/
Moody’s / Amount Recent Quotes Bank/CDS Next Call Data Total Int. Basic EBITDA FwdCoupon Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW STW Spread 1 Date Price LQA Sub LQA EBITDA2
AMC Networks7.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jul-21 B2/B+ 700.0 111 5.62% 489bp 15-Jul-16 103.88 4.2x nm 4.6x 10.6xL+300 (1% floor) TLB 30-Dec-18 Ba2/BB+ 595.0 99 5/8 4.07% 307bp na na nm 3.1xAtlantic BroadbandL+850 (125bp floor) 2nd Lien TL 20-Sep-19 Caa1/B- 350.0 99 3/4 9.80% 855bp 20-Mar-14 103.00 2.3x $5,300 6.8x PrivateL+400 (125bp floor) 1st Lien TL Hold 20-Mar-19 B2/B+ 660.0 99 1/2 5.34% 409bp nc na $3,400 4.4xCablevision SystemsCVC Bonds and CDS8.625% (HoldCo) Sr Nts Buy 15-Sep-17 B1/B+ 900.0 108 6.83% 586bp nc na 3.9x $3,300 4.5x 6.4x7.750% (HoldCo) Sr Nts Hold 15-Apr-18 B1/B+ 750.0 103 3/4 6.97% 587bp nc na8.000% (HoldCo) Sr Nts Hold 15-Apr-20 B1/B+ 500.0 105 3/4 7.05% 549bp nc na5-YR CDS (HoldCo) 585bp8.500% (OpCo) Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-15 Ba3/BB 120.5 105 6.71% 620bp nc na $2,300 3.4x7.625% (OpCo) Sr Nts Hold 15-Jul-18 Ba3/BB 500.0 110 3/4 5.56% 440bp nc na8.625% (OpCo) Sr Nts Hold 15-Feb-19 Ba3/BB 526.0 113 6.25% 496bp nc na5-YR CDS (OpCo) 490bpCVC Bank DebtL+300 (Bresnan) TLB Hold 14-Dec-17 NR/NR 765.0 99 1/2 4.60% 310bp 4.6xL+300 TLB Hold 30-Mar-16 Baa3/BBB- 2,375.0 98 1/2 3.88% 342bp na na $1,200 1.7xCequel Communications8.625% Sr Nts Buy 15-Nov-17 B3/B- 1,825.0 106 3/4 6.48% 588bp 15-Nov-12 106.47 2.4x $3,200 5.5x PrivateL+300 (1% floor) 1st Lien TLB Hold 14-Feb-19 Ba2/BB- 2,200.0 98 1/4 4.29% 329bp na na $1,700 3.0xCharter Communications HoldingsBonds and CDS13.5% (CCH II) Sr Nts Hold 30-Nov-16 B2/B 1,146.4 113 5/8 2.16% 201bp 30-Nov-12 106.75 3.0x $3,100 5.0x 6.8x8.125% (CCOH) Sr Nts NR 30-Apr-20 B1/BB- 700.0 110 1/2 5.57% 507bp 30-Apr-15 104.06 $2,900 4.5xBank DebtL+ 325 (OLD EXT) TLC Hold 6-Sep-16 B1/B+ 2,500.0 99 1/4 3.91% 344bp na na $900 1.4x
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Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ Net Debt/ TEV/Moody’s / Amount Recent Quotes Bank/CDS Next Call Data Total Int. Basic EBITDA Fwd
Coupon Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW STW Spread 1 Date Price LQA Sub LQA EBITDA2
Cable/Satellite: Domestic HY Cable – Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530
Crown Media10.500% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jul-19 B3/B- 300.0 108 3/4 8.40% 747bp 15-Jul-15 105.25 4.4x nm 4.0x 8.1xL+450 TLB 14-Jul-18 Ba2/BB- 210.0 100 4.97% 450bp na na nm 1.5xMediacomBonds and CDS8.500% (Broadband) Sr Nts Hold 15-Oct-15 B3/B- 500.0 103 5.16% 502bp 15-Oct-11 102.83 2.9x $3,300 5.7x Private9.125% (LLC) Sr Nts Hold 15-Aug-19 B3/B- 350.0 108 1/4 7.05% 670bp 15-Aug-14 104.56 $3,300 5.6x5-YR CDS 570bpBank DebtL + 175 (Broadband) TLD Hold 31-Jan-15 NR/BB- 800.0 96 1/4 3.39% 292bp na na $2,500 4.1xL + 175 (LLC) TLC Hold 31-Jan-15 Ba3/BB- 650.0 96 1/4 3.39% 292bp na na $2,600 3.5x
1. CDS Spread references 5-year CDS2. TEV for Cablevision adjusted to include only cable assets; FWD EBITDA is 2012E EBITDA.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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Cable/Satellite: European Cable (David Caldana (44 207) 777-1737 / Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ Net Debt/ TEV/
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Relative value analysis
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Cable/Satellite: Satellites - FSS/MSS – Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ TEV/
Moody’s / Amount Recent Quotes Bank/CDS Next Call Data Total Int. EBITDA FwdIssuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW STW Spread 1 Date Price LTM LTM EBITDA
EutelsatValuation Only na NR na na na na na na na na 8.5x 2.4x 8.5xGeoEye 8.625% 2nd Lien 1-Oct-16 B3/B- 125.0 103 1/2 7.46% 688bp 1-Oct-13 104.31 2.1x9.625% 1st Lien Buy 1-Oct-15 Ba3/BB- 400.0 109 5.65% 527bp 1-Oct-13 104.81 3.6x 1.3x 4.8xInmarsat7.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Dec-17 Ba2/BB+ 850.0 106 1/4 5.45% 503bp 1-Dec-13 103.69 9.8x 1.5x 6.0xIntelsat Ltd.6.5% (SA) Sr Nts Buy 1-Nov-13 Caa3/CCC+ 353.6 103 5/8 4.05% 381bp nc na 1.7x 7.9x Private5-YR CDS (SA) 335bp11.25% (Luxemborg) Sr Nts Hold 4-Feb-17 Caa3/CCC+ 2,805.0 100 3/4 10.92% 1,047bp 15-Feb-13 105.63 7.4x11.25% (Jackson) Sr Nts Buy 15-Jun-16 Caa2/CCC+ 1,032.9 105 1/8 9.72% 901bp nc na 4.9xSES GlobalValuation Only na NR na na na na na na na na 5.8x 3.2x 8.5xTelesat12.500% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Nov-17 B3/B- 217.2 111 1/4 6.99% 681bp 1-May-13 106.25 3.0x 4.4x Private11.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-15 B3/B- 692.8 106 5/8 6.88% 670bp 1-May-12 105.50 4.0xViaSat8.875% Sr Nts Buy 15-Sep-16 B1/B+ 275.0 108 1/2 4.04% 392bp 15-Sep-12 106.66 6.0x 1.7x 12.8x1. CDS spread references 5-year CDS; Fwd EBITDA is 2012E EBITDA.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
16
CANADIAN CABLEQuebecor Media/Videotron7.750% (QMI) Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-16 B1/B+ 700.0 102 3/4 6.94% 627bp 15-Mar-11 103.88 4.3x na 3.6x Private6.875% (Videotron) Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-14 Ba1/BB 395.0 100 6.87% 660bp 7.3x C$ 1,000.0 1.7x Private6.375% (Videotron) Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-15 Ba1/BB 175.0 102 3/8 4.29% 414bp 15-Dec-12 101.069.125% (Videotron) Sr Nts Hold 15-Apr-18 Ba1/BB 715.0 110 1/2 2.91% 273bp 15-Apr-13 104.56Rogers Communications6.250% Sr Sec Nts Hold 15-Jun-13 Baa1/BBB 350.0 106 1/5 0.89% 70bp nc na 7.3x $4,200.0 2.0x 6.5x5.500% Sr Sec Nts Hold 15-Mar-14 Baa1/BBB 350.0 108 2/9 1.14% 86bp nc na6.375% Sr Sec Nts Hold 1-Mar-14 Baa1/BBB 750.0 110 1/8 0.91% 64bp nc na5-YR CDS Hold 67bpShaw CommunicationsValuation (Canadian bonds only) na Hold na na na na na na nc na 6.8x $1,700.0 2.3x 6.7x5-YR CDS Hold 157bp
HIGH GRADE US CABLEComcast5.700% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jul-19 Baa1/BBB+ 700.0 118 3/5 2.83% 145bp nc na 6.2x $1,700.0 2.2x 6.7x6.550% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jul-39 Baa1/BBB+ 800.0 123 5/9 4.96% 194bp nc na5-YR CDS Hold 75bpCox Communications9.375% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-19 Baa2/BBB 600.0 134 3/5 3.56% 228bp nc na 7.1x na 2.2x Private8.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Mar-39 Baa2/BBB 1,250.0 142 1/4 5.38% 238bp nc na5-YR CDS Hold 50bpTime Warner Cable5.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-Feb-20 Baa2/BBB 1,500.0 111 3.39% 187bp nc na 4.7x $2,600.0 2.8x 6.1x6.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-39 Baa2/BBB 1,500.0 120 1/2 5.31% 229bp nc na5-YR CDS Hold 138bp
1. Fwd EBITDA is 2012E EBITDA.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Cable/Satellite: Canadian Cable/High Grade Cable – Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ Net Debt/ TEV/
Moody’s / Amount Recent Quotes CDS Next Call Data Total Int. Basic EBITDA FwdIssuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW STW Spread Date Price LQA Sub 1 LQA EBITDA1
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
17
DBSDirecTV4.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-14 Baa2/BBB 1,000.0 108 2/5 1.26% 88bp nc na 10.1x 2.4x 6.0x7.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-16 Baa2/BBB 1,500.0 104 5/9 4.98% 479bp 15-May-12 103.815.875% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-19 Baa2/BBB 1,000.0 115 2/5 3.51% 207bp nc na5-YR CDS 155bpEchostar DBS (DISH Network)7.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-13 Ba2/BB- 500.0 106 3/4 2.27% 204bp nc na 7.6x 1.5x 5.8x6.625% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-14 Ba2/BB- 1,000.0 108 1/2 3.01% 263bp nc na7.125% Sr Nts Hold 1-Feb-16 Ba2/BB- 1,500.0 110 1/4 4.17% 353bp nc na7.875% Sr Nts Buy 1-Sep-19 Ba2/BB- 1,400.0 114 3/4 5.42% 400bp nc na5-YR CDS 305bp
SATELLITE RADIOSirius XM Radio9.750% 1st Lien Nts Buy 1-Sep-15 Ba2/BBB- 257.0 107 1/2 2.53% 242bp 1-Sep-12 104.88 2.4x 0.0x 17.8x7.625% Sr Nts Buy 1-Nov-18 B2/BB 700.0 108 3/4 5.32% 492bp 1-Nov-14 103.81 3.6x8.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Apr-15 B2/BB 800.0 113 4.04% 356bp nc na13.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-Aug-13 B2/BB 778.5 113 2.68% 247bp nc na
1. CDS Spread references 5-year CDS2. Fwd EBITDA is 2012E EBITDASource: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Cable/Satellite: Satellites - DBS/Satellite Radio – Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ TEV/
Moody’s / Amount Recent Quotes Bank/CDS Next Call Data Total Int. EBITDA FwdIssuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW STW Spread 1 Date Price LTM LTM EBITDA2
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
18
Chemicals – Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468 Ratings LTMMoody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Current Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA/ Net Debt/
Issuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Size Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price Yield Adj. EBITDA Margin Int. Exp. Adj. EBITDA
COMMODITY CHEMICALSCelanese (CE)L+275 Term Loan C NR 31-Oct-16 Ba1/BBB- $1,140.0 100 1/3 3.71% 267bp na na na 3.20% $1,362.0 20.1% 6.2x 0.5x6.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Oct-18 Ba3/BB- $600.0 105 1/2 5.24% 446bp 15-Oct-16 15-Oct-14 103 1/3 6.28% $1,362.0 20.1% 6.2x 1.7xGeorgia Gulf (GGC)9.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Jan-17 B1/B+ $500.0 110 1/2 5.13% 486bp 15-Jan-14 15-Jan-14 104 1/2 8.14% $230.3 7.1% 3.5x 1.8xIneos Group Holdings Plc (INEGRP)L+500 Term Loan C Buy 16-Dec-14 Ba3/B $732.0 103 2/3 6.46% 573bp na na na 7.72% € 1,713.5 9.7% 2.6x 2.0x9.000% Sr Sec Nts Buy 15-May-15 Ba3/B $570.0 105 6.39% 608bp 15-May-14 15-May-13 104 1/2 8.57% € 1,713.5 9.7% 2.6x 2.4x8.375% Sr Sec Nts Buy 15-Feb-19 Ba3/B $1,000.0 104 3/4 7.35% 629bp 15-Feb-18 15-Feb-15 106 2/7 8.00% € 1,713.5 9.7% 2.6x 2.4x8.500% Sr Nts Buy 15-Feb-16 Caa1/CCC $677.5 90 1/4 11.72% 1,108bp 15-Feb-16 15-Feb-12 102 5/6 9.42% € 1,713.5 9.7% 2.6x 3.6x7.875% Sr Nts Buy 15-Feb-16 Caa1/CCC € 1,532.1 84 13.33% 1,290bp 15-Feb-16 15-Feb-12 102 5/8 9.38% € 1,713.5 9.7% 2.6x 3.6xLyondellBasell (LYO)5.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-19 Ba2/BB+ $2,000.0 99 5.17% 384bp 15-Apr-19 15-Jan-19 100 5.05% $5,279.0 10.3% 5.2x 0.6x5.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-24 Ba2/BB+ $1,000.0 98 1/2 5.93% 379bp 15-Apr-24 15-Jan-24 100 5.84% $5,279.0 10.3% 5.2x 0.6x6.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-21 Ba2/BB+ $1,000.0 104 1/4 5.42% 350bp 15-Nov-21 nc nc 5.76% $5,279.0 10.3% 5.2x 0.6x8.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-17 Ba2/BB+ $618.9 112 1/4 1.81% 162bp 1-May-13 1-May-13 106 7.13% $5,279.0 10.3% 5.2x 0.6x11.000% Sr Nts NR 1-May-18 Ba2/BB+ $1,921.6 110 1.30% 112bp 1-May-13 1-May-13 100 10.00% $5,279.0 10.3% 5.2x 0.6xNova Chemicals (NCX)8.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Nov-16 Ba2/BB $350.0 110 1/2 3.95% 371bp 1-Nov-13 1-Nov-13 104 1/5 7.58% $1,279.0 24.4% 7.7x 0.6x8.625% Sr Nts Hold 1-Nov-19 Ba2/BB $350.0 113 3/4 4.46% 406bp 1-Nov-14 1-Nov-14 104 1/3 7.58% $1,279.0 24.4% 7.7x 0.6xTexas Petrochemical (TPCG)8.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Sell 1-Oct-17 B1/NR $350.0 103 5/8 7.28% 651bp 1-Oct-16 1-Oct-13 106 1/5 7.96% $130.0 4.7% 3.8x 2.0xWestlake (WLK)6.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-16 Baa3/BBB- $250.0 101 3/4 5.55% 529bp 15-Jan-14 15-Jan-13 101 1/9 6.51% $584.0 16.1% 11.5x nm
SPECIALTY & FINE CHEMICALS Ashland (ASH)L+225 Term Loan A Hold 23-Aug-16 Baa3/BB $1,500.0 99 3/5 3.31% 237bp na na na 2.76% $1,235.0 14.2% 4.8x 2.0xL+275 Term Loan B Hold 23-Aug-18 Baa3/BB $1,400.0 99 8/9 4.36% 294bp na na na 3.75% $1,235.0 14.2% 4.8x 2.0x9.125% Sr Nts Sell 1-Jun-17 Baa3/BB $650.0 110 1/2 3.53% 333bp 1-Jun-13 1-Jun-13 104 4/7 8.26% $1,235.0 14.2% 4.8x 2.6xChemtura Corp. (CHMT)L+400 Term Loan B Hold 29-Aug-16 Ba1/BB+ $295.0 100 3/8 5.27% 430bp na na na 5.48% $385.0 12.7% 6.1x 0.3x7.875% Sr Nts Sell 1-Sep-18 B1/BB- $455.0 106 3/4 6.09% 534bp 1-Sep-16 1-Sep-14 104 7.38% $385.0 12.7% 6.1x 1.5xCompass Minerals (CMP)L+275 Term Loan C Hold 15-Jan-16 Ba1/BBB $234.0 99 2/3 3.71% 285bp na na na 3.23% $280.0 25.3% 13.3x 0.9xL+150 Term Loan A Hold 24-Dec-12 Ba1/BBB $350.0 99 5/7 2.82% 195bp na na na 1.98% $280.0 25.3% 13.3x 0.9xL+200 Term Loan B Hold 24-Dec-12 Ba1/BBB $56.1 99 5/7 3.32% 245bp na na na 2.48% $280.0 25.3% 13.3x 0.9x8.000% Sr Nts Buy 1-Jun-19 Ba2/BB+ $100.0 108 5.74% 542bp 1-Jun-14 1-Jun-14 104 7.41% $280.0 25.3% 13.3x 1.3x
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
19
Chemicals – Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468 Ratings LTMMoody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Current Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA/ Net Debt/
Issuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Size Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price Yield Adj. EBITDA Margin Int. Exp. Adj. EBITDA
Ferro Corp. (FOE)7.875% Sr Nts Sell 15-Aug-18 B1/B+ $250.0 101 3/8 7.49% 675bp 15-Aug-16 15-Aug-14 104 7.77% $183.0 8.5% 6.5x 1.6xHexion/Borden (HXN)L+375 Term Loan C NR 5-May-15 Ba3/B- $426.5 99 4.86% 414bp na na na 4.35% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 1.5xL+375 Term Loan C NR 5-May-15 Ba3/B- $178.2 99 4.86% 413bp na na na 4.33% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 1.5xL+375 Term Loan C NR 5-May-15 Ba3/B- $148.6 97 3/4 5.30% 458bp na na na 4.38% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 1.5xL+375 Term Loan C NR 5-May-15 Ba3/B- $85.6 97 1/2 5.38% 466bp na na na 4.40% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 1.5x6.625% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Apr-20 Ba3/B- $450.0 101 3/4 6.27% 517bp 15-Apr-18 15-Apr-15 105 6.51% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 1.5x8.875% Sr Sec Nts (1.5 Lien) NR 1-Feb-18 B3/CCC+ $1,000.0 101 3/4 8.42% 759bp 1-Feb-17 1-Feb-14 104 4/9 8.72% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 3.1x9.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Nov-20 NR/CCC+ $440.0 90 1/4 10.77% 907bp 15-Nov-20 15-Nov-15 104 1/2 9.97% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 4.2x8.375% Debs NR 15-Apr-16 Caa2/CCC+ $61.5 89 1/4 11.83% 1,115bp 15-Apr-16 nc nc 9.38% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 4.9x7.875% Debs NR 15-Feb-23 Caa2/CCC+ $188.4 81 10.90% 883bp 15-Feb-23 nc nc 9.72% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 4.9x9.200% Debs NR 15-Mar-21 Caa2/CCC+ $74.0 87 11.57% 980bp 15-Mar-21 nc nc 10.57% $635.0 12.2% 2.4x 4.9xHuntsman International LLC (HUN)L+150 Term Loan B Hold 19-Apr-14 Ba1/BB $2,180.0 99 5/8 2.31% 172bp na na na 2.01% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 1.6xL+225 Term Loan C Hold 30-Jun-16 Ba1/BB $500.0 98 2/7 3.65% 269bp na na na 2.77% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 1.6xL+250 Term Loan B Hold 19-Apr-17 Ba1/BB $650.0 98 2/3 3.93% 280bp na na na 3.01% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 1.6xL+300 Term Loan B Hold 19-Apr-17 Ba1/NR $345.7 98 2/3 4.43% 331bp na na na 3.52% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 1.6x5.500% Sr Nts Hold 30-Jun-16 B1/B+ $600.0 99 3/4 5.57% 485bp 30-Jun-16 nc nc 5.51% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 2.0x8.625% Sr Sub Nts Sell 15-Mar-20 B2/B $350.0 113 5.15% 468bp 15-Mar-15 15-Mar-15 104 1/3 7.63% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 2.8x8.625% Sr Sub Nts Sell 15-Mar-21 B2/B $530.0 113 5.55% 499bp 15-Sep-15 15-Sep-15 104 1/3 7.63% $1,214.0 10.8% 4.9x 2.8xMomentive Performance Materials (MOMENT)L+350 Term Loan C Hold 5-May-15 Ba3/B $436.4 95 1/2 5.87% 514bp na na na 4.24% $379.0 14.4% 1.5x 2.0x12.250% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Buy 15-Jun-14 B2/CCC $200.0 105 1/2 8.20% 805bp 15-Dec-12 15-Dec-12 103 1/8 11.61% $379.0 14.4% 1.5x 2.5x9.000% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jan-21 Caa1/CCC $635.0 84 1/4 11.94% 1,021bp 15-Jan-21 15-Jan-16 104 1/2 10.68% $379.0 14.4% 1.5x 5.7x11.500% Sr Sub Nts Buy 1-Dec-16 Caa2/CCC $381.9 80 5/8 17.81% 1,701bp 1-Dec-16 1-Dec-12 103 5/6 14.26% $379.0 14.4% 1.5x 6.7xPolyOne (POL)L+375 Loan Buy 20-Dec-17 Ba1/BB- $300.0 100 1/4 5.28% 401bp na na na 4.99% $278.5 9.1% 5.4x 0.4x7.375% Sr Nts Hold 15-Sep-20 Ba3/B+ $360.0 105 1/4 6.36% 517bp 15-Sep-18 15-Sep-15 103 2/3 7.01% $278.5 9.1% 5.4x 1.8xSolutia Inc. (SOA)L+275 Term Loan B Hold 1-Aug-17 Ba1/BB+ $700.0 99 4/5 4.10% 291bp na na na 3.51% $518.0 24.7% 5.1x 1.1x8.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Nov-17 B1/BB- $389.0 113 2.86% 262bp 1-Nov-13 1-Nov-13 104 3/8 7.74% $518.0 24.7% 5.1x 2.4x7.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-20 B1/BB- $286.0 116 1/4 3.28% 281bp 15-Mar-15 15-Mar-15 104 6.77% $518.0 24.7% 5.1x 2.4x
11.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Buy 1-Nov-16 Ba2/B+ $293.8 116 4.01% 377bp 1-Nov-13 105.63 $319.6 4.1x 2.9x 0.9x 8.0x9.75%/11.75% Sr Nts Hold 15-Aug-13 B3/B $73.0 112 1/2 2.16% 195bp Make Whole T+50 $319.6 4.1x 2.9x 2.2x 8.0x7.375% Sr Nts Buy 1-Sep-23 B3/B $114.7 97 3/4 7.67% 557bp nc nc $319.6 4.1x 2.9x 2.2x 8.0x7.125% Sr Nts Buy 1-Aug-27 B3/B $167.9 93 3/4 7.83% 550bp Make Whole T+15 $319.6 4.1x 2.9x 2.2x 8.0xCentral Garden and Pet (CENT)8.250% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Mar-18 B2/B $450.0 102 3/8 7.53% 687bp 1-Mar-14 104.13 $109.3 2.9x 1.9x 4.6x 9.2xEaston-Bell Sports (EASTON)9.750% Sr Sec Nts Hold 1-Dec-16 B2/B- $350.0 110 5/8 4.02% 387bp 1-Dec-12 107.31 $98.2 2.3x 1.7x 3.7x naElizabeth Arden (RDEN)7.375% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-21 B1/BB- $250.0 108 3/4 5.70% 504bp 15-Mar-16 103.69 $125.5 5.8x 4.7x 1.5x 10.2xHanes Brands (HBI)FRN Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-14 B1/BB- $293.3 99 1/2 4.08% 339bp 14-May-12 100.00 $578.8 3.7x 3.1x 3.5x 8.1x8.000% Sr Nts Sell 15-Dec-16 B1/BB- $500.0 110 4.07% 381bp 15-Dec-13 104.00 $578.8 3.7x 3.1x 3.5x 8.1x6.375% Sr Nts Sell 15-Dec-20 B1/BB- $1,000.0 101 1/8 6.16% 491bp 15-Dec-15 103.19 $578.8 3.7x 3.1x 3.5x 8.1xJarden Corp. (JAH)8.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-May-16 Ba3/BB- $300.0 108 3.89% 370bp 1-May-13 104.00 $790.8 4.4x 3.7x 3.0x 7.5x6.125% Sr Nts Hold 15-Nov-22 Ba3/BB- $300.0 104 1/2 5.18% 418bp 15-Nov-15 103.06 $790.8 4.4x 3.7x 3.0x 7.5x7.500% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-May-17 B2/B $650.0 109 1/2 5.33% 445bp 1-May-12 103.75 $790.8 4.4x 3.7x 3.0x 7.5x7.500% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Jan-20 B2/B $275.0 108 1/4 5.50% 506bp 15-Jan-15 103.75 $790.8 4.4x 3.7x 3.0x 7.5xJones Apparel Group (JNY)5.125% Sr Unsub Nts Hold 15-Nov-14 Ba3/B+ $250.0 101 1/2 4.50% 410bp Make Whole T+15 $283.3 3.9x 2.5x 2.1x 5.5x6.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-19 Ba3/B+ $300.0 97 1/4 7.39% 608bp Make Whole T+50 $283.3 3.9x 2.5x 2.1x 5.5x6.125% Sr Unsub Nts Hold 15-Nov-34 Ba3/B+ $250.0 76 8.54% 579bp Make Whole T+20 $283.3 3.9x 2.5x 2.1x 5.5xLevi Strauss & Company (LEVI)8.875% Sr Nts Hold 1-Apr-16 B2/B+ $350.0 103 1/4 6.83% 665bp 1-Apr-13 101.48 $473.2 3.5x 2.7x 3.6x na7.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-18 B2/B+ € 300.0 101 1/2 7.32% 683bp 15-May-14 103.88 $473.2 3.5x 2.7x 3.6x na7.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-20 B2/B+ $525.0 105 6.61% 549bp 15-May-15 103.81 $473.2 3.5x 2.7x 3.6x naLiz Claiborne (LIZ) 2
10.500% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Buy 15-Apr-19 B2/B $220.0 111 7.00% 671bp 15-Apr-14 105.25 $94.1 1.6x 7.1x 2.4x 17.0x5.000% Sr Nts Buy 8-Jul-13 Caa1/CCC+ € 81.5 97 1/2 7.18% 708bp Make Whole T+15 $94.1 1.6x 7.1x 3.1x 17.0xPhillips-Van Heusen, Inc. (PVH)7.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Hold 15-Nov-23 Ba1/BBB $100.0 115 3/4 5.86% 375bp nc nc $804.9 6.3x 5.0x 1.3x 11.0x7.375% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-20 Ba3/BB+ $600.0 110 4.96% 445bp 15-May-15 103.69 $804.9 6.3x 5.0x 2.1x 11.0x
Consumer Products – Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798
Note: TEV calculations are based on Thursday prices.1. BC net debt/EBITDA is net of maintenance cash of $500 mn.2. LIZ leverage levels are shown PF for sale of Mexx of $85 mn.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
21
Relative value analysis
Ratings Amount (LTM EBITDA- Net Debt/Moody’s / Outstanding Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM LTM EBITDA/ Capex)/ LTM TEV/
Coupon Description Recommendation Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread Date Price EBITDA Net Interest Cash Interest EBITDA LTM EBITDA
Consumer Products – Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798
Prestige Brands (PBH)8.250% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Apr-18 Ba3/BB- $250.0 109 1/4 5.24% 496bp 1-Apr-14 104.13 $211.4 2.3x 2.3x 4.1x 9.5x8.125% Sr Nts NR 1-Feb-20 B3/B- $250.0 108 1/4 6.39% 534bp 1-Feb-16 104.06 $211.4 2.3x 2.3x 5.4x 9.5xQuiksilver, Inc. (ZQK)6.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-15 Caa1/CCC+ $400.0 100 6.87% 670bp 15-Apr-12 101.15 $191.5 3.2x 1.7x 3.2x 6.5x8.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-17 Ba3/B € 200.0 101 8.60% 799bp 15-Dec-14 104.44 $191.5 3.2x 1.7x 3.2x 6.5xRevlon, Inc. (REV)9.750% Sr Sec Nts Hold 15-Nov-15 B2/B $330.0 107 1/4 5.27% 513bp 15-Nov-12 104.88 $266.0 2.8x 2.2x 4.1x 7.6xScotts Miracle Gro (SMG)7.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-18 B1/BB $200.0 107 1/4 4.88% 461bp 15-Jan-14 103.63 $409.1 7.2x 6.1x 2.2x 10.1x6.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-20 B1/BB $200.0 104 1/2 5.80% 454bp 15-Dec-15 103.31 $409.1 7.2x 6.1x 2.2x 10.1xSealy Corporation (ZZ)10.875% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Buy 15-Apr-16 Ba3/BB- $295.0 108 1/2 7.24% 706bp 15-Apr-12 108.16 $128.4 2.1x 2.1x 3.2x 6.9x8.250% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-Jun-14 Caa1/CCC+ $268.9 98 1/2 9.02% 869bp 15-Jun-12 100.00 $128.4 2.1x 2.1x 5.3x 6.9xSpectrum Brands (SPB)9.500% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Jun-18 Caa3/CCC- $750.0 111 7/8 5.68% 535bp 15-Jun-14 104.75 $460.8 2.3x 2.2x 3.1x 7.5x12.000% Sr Sub Toggle Nts NR 28-Aug-19 B3/CCC+ $245.0 109 3/4 1.59% 148bp 28-Aug-12 106.00 $460.8 2.3x 2.2x 3.7x 7.5xNote: TEV calculations are based on Thursday prices.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
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Energy: Exploration and Production – Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997 Ratings MTD YTD 2011 % Balance Moody's Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Date Current Total Total Reserves Natural LTM Sheet Debt/ Debt/PD Debt/
Ratings MTD YTD 2011 % Balance Moody's Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Date Current Total Total Reserves Natural LTM Sheet Debt/ Debt/PD Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW Spread Date Price Yield Return Return Bcfe Gas EBITDAX FCF Liquidity EBITDAX (mcfe) EV
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
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Energy: Exploration and Production – Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997Ratings MTD YTD 2011 % Balance Moody's Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Date Current Total Total Reserves Natural LTM Sheet Debt/ Debt/PD Debt/
Energy: Exploration and Production – Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997Ratings MTD YTD 2011 % Balance Moody's Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Date Current Total Total Reserves Natural LTM Sheet Debt/ Debt/PD Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW Spread Date Price Yield Return Return Bcfe Gas EBITDAX FCF Liquidity EBITDAX (mcfe) EV
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
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Relative value analysisEnergy: Exploration and Production – Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997
Ratings MTD YTD 2011 % Balance Moody's Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Date Current Total Total Reserves Natural LTM Sheet Debt/ Debt/PD Debt/
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
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Energy: Exploration and Production/Diversified – Gregg Brody (1-212) 834-5997Ratings MTD YTD 2011 % Balance Debt/Moody's Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Date Current Total Total Reserves Natural LTM Sheet Debt/ Proved Res Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW Spread Date Price Yield Return Return Bcfe Gas EBITDAX FCF Liquidity EBITDAX (mcfe) EV
Ratings Amount (LTM EBITDA- Adj Net Debt/Moody’s Outstanding Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM LTM EBITDA/ Capex)/ LTM TEV/
Coupon Description Recommendation Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread Date Price EBITDA Net Int. + 1/3 Rent Int + 1/3 rent EBITDAR LTM EBITDARESTAURANTS 1
Burger King9.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Oct-18 B3/B- $800.0 112 3/4 6.15% 576bp 15-Oct-14 104.94 $585.0 3.0x 2.7x 4.9x na0.000%/11.000% Sr Disc Nts NR 15-Apr-19 Caa1/CCC+ $685.0 75 1/4 7.85% 737bp 15-Apr-15 94.79 $585.0 3.0x 2.7x 5.5x naCKE Restaurants11.375% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Jul-18 B2/B- $503.6 114 1/8 6.86% 652bp 15-Jul-14 105.69 $165.1 2.3x 1.7x 4.2x na11.250% Sr Toggle Nts NR 14-Mar-16 Caa1/CCC $223.2 104 1/2 10.01% 954bp 14-Mar-13 105.25 $165.1 2.3x 1.7x 5.2x naDave and Buster’s11.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Jun-18 Caa1/CCC+ $200.0 106 7/8 8.96% 826bp 1-Jun-14 105.50 $98.4 4.3x 1.5x 4.7x na0.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-16 NR/NR $180.8 67 10.51% 996bp 15-Aug-13 78.84 $98.4 4.3x 1.5x 5.5x naDineEquity Inc.9.500% Sr Nts NR 30-Oct-18 B3/CCC+ $785.3 108 1/4 7.33% 655bp 30-Oct-14 104.75 $311.5 2.5x 2.5x 6.0x 8.1xLogan’s Roadhouse10.750% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Oct-17 B3/B- $355.0 96 1/2 11.63% 1064bp 15-Oct-13 108.06 $72.6 2.3x 1.2x 5.8x naOutback Steakhouse Inc.10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jun-15 Caa3/CCC $248.1 103 1/4 5.09% 502bp 15-Jun-12 102.50 $345.5 4.2x 3.2x 4.7x naWendy’s10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-16 B3/B+ $565.0 109 1/4 2.61% 253bp 15-Jul-12 107.50 $331.1 2.8x 1.8x 3.8x 8.7x6.200% Sr Nts NR 15-Jun-14 Caa1/B- $225.0 106 1/4 3.19% 286bp Make Whole T+25 $331.1 2.8x 1.8x 3.8x 8.7x7.000% Debs NR 15-Dec-25 Caa1/B- $100.0 89 1/8 8.35% 611bp nc nc $331.1 2.8x 1.8x 3.8x 8.7x1. Credit stats are rent adjusted.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
33
Post Holdings, Inc.7.375% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-22 B1/B+ $775.0 103 1/2 6.79% 526bp 15-Feb-17 103.69 $234.4 3.3x 3.3x 4.0x 8.7xSmithfield Foods, Inc.10.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Hold 15-Jul-14 Ba2/BBB- $612.0 116 7/8 2.25% 191bp Make Whole T+50 $1,133.6 6.1x 4.7x 0.1x 4.7x7.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-13 B2/BB $160.0 105 1/2 2.55% 237bp nc nc $1,133.6 6.1x 4.7x 1.6x 4.7x7.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jul-17 B2/BB $500.0 113 4.89% 397bp nc nc $1,133.6 6.1x 4.7x 1.6x 4.7xTyson Foods10.500% Sr Nts Hold 1-Mar-14 Ba1/BBB- $810.0 115 1/2 2.03% 175bp Make Whole T+50 $1,552.0 7.2x 4.1x 0.4x 5.3x6.600% Sr Nts Hold 1-Apr-16 Ba1/BBB- $638.0 113 3.09% 242bp Make Whole T+30 $1,552.0 7.2x 4.1x 0.4x 5.3x7.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-May-18 Ba2/BB+ $121.0 111 4.88% 376bp nc nc $1,552.0 7.2x 4.1x 0.9x 5.3x7.000% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-28 Ba2/BB+ $18.0 99 7.10% 475bp nc nc $1,552.0 7.2x 4.1x 0.9x 5.3x
Food and Beverage (continued)– Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.1. 10.5% TSN notes are guaranteed by all tomestic subsidiaries, while the 6.6% notes are only guaranteed by beef and pork subs.
Restaurants – Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
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Ratings Amount LTM Total Debt/ LTMMoody’s Outstanding Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Adjusted LTM EBITDA/
Mohegan Tribal Gaming6.125% Sr Nts Sell 15-Feb-13 Caa3/CCC $16 93.00 15.39% 1522bp $1,435 $266 5.1x 1.6x7.125% Sr Sub Nts Sell 15-Aug-14 Caa3/CCC $225 75.00 21.25% 2090bp 15-Aug-12 100.00 $1,435 $266 7.2x 1.6x6.875% Sr Sub Nts Sell 15-Feb-15 Caa3/CCC $10 75.00 18.62% 1816bp 15-Feb-13 100.00 $1,435 $266 7.2x 1.6x10.500% Sr Sec Nts (3rd Lien) NR 15-Dec-16 NR/CCC $418 84.25 15.29% 1448bp $1,435 $266 4.7x 1.6x11.500% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Sell 1-Nov-17 Caa3/CCC $200 101.50 10.97% 1038bp 1-Nov-13 105.75 $1,435 $266 3.1x 1.6x11.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Sep-18 NR/CCC $344 72.50 18.48% 1728bp $1,435 $266 7.2x 1.6xMTR Gaming11.500% Sr Sec Toggle Nts (2nd Lien) Hold 1-Aug-19 Caa1/B- $568 98.00 11.91% 1051bp 1-Aug-15 106.00 $428 $81 7.0x 1.8xPenn National Gaming, Inc.8.750% Sr Sub Nts Sell 15-Aug-19 B1/BB $325 111.00 5.44% 508bp 15-Aug-14 104.38 $2,742 $741 2.8x 9.5xPinnacle Entertainment8.625% Sr Nts Sell 1-Aug-17 B1/BB- $450 109.00 4.64% 442bp 1-Aug-13 104.31 $1,158 $262 2.9x 2.7x8.750% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-May-20 B3/B $350 108.75 6.85% 635bp 15-May-15 104.38 $1,158 $262 5.5x 2.7x7.750% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Apr-22 B3/B $325 103.75 7.20% 588bp 1-Apr-17 103.88 $1,158 $262 5.5x 2.7xScientific Games7.875% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jun-16 B1/BB- $200 104.00 5.87% 555bp 15-Jun-12 103.94 $879 $263 5.3x 2.5x8.125% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Sep-18 B1/BB- $250 108.25 5.96% 540bp 15-Sep-14 104.06 $879 $263 5.3x 2.5x9.250% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jun-19 B1/BB- $350 110.00 6.26% 593bp 15-Jun-14 104.63 $879 $263 5.3x 2.5xSnoqualmie Entertainment9.125% Sr Sec Nts Hold 1-Feb-15 Caa1/B $200 100.25 9.01% 857bp $203 $85 4.5x 2.4xWynn Las Vegas7.875% 1st Mtg Nts Hold 1-Nov-17 NR/BBB- $500 109.00 4.28% 404bp 1-Nov-13 103.94 $1,481 $412 7.6x 2.2x7.875% 1st Mtg Nts Hold 1-May-20 NR/BBB- $382 109.00 5.81% 531bp 1-May-15 103.94 $1,481 $412 7.6x 2.2x7.750% 1st Mtg Nts Hold 15-Aug-20 Ba2/BBB- $1,320 109.00 5.81% 526bp 15-Aug-15 103.88 $1,481 $412 7.6x 2.2x5.375% 1st Mtg Nts NR 15-Mar-22 Ba2/BBB- $900 95.75 5.95% 395bp 15-Mar-17 102.69 $1,481 $412 7.6x 2.2x
Gaming – Susan Berliner (1-212) 270-3085
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
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Healthcare – David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260
HOSPITALS AND RELATEDAir Medical Group 9.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-18 B2/B $545 $101.50 8.84% 806bp 1-Nov-16 1-Nov-14 $104.63 $102 2.3x 5.5x 69%Capella Healthcare9.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Jul-17 B3/B $500 $100.75 9.02% 831bp 1-Jul-16 1-Jul-13 $106.94 $96 1.9x 5.2x 79%Community Health Systems Inc.L + 350 TLB - Ext (Old) NR 1/25/2017 Ba3/BB $1481 $99.00 4.20% 373bp na na na $1,828 2.5x 3.3x 54%L + 350 TLB - Ext (New) NR 1/25/2017 Ba3/BB $1532 $99.00 4.20% 373bp na na na $1,828 2.5x 3.3x 54%L + 225 TLB - NonExt NR 7/25/2014 Ba3/BB $2205 $99.25 3.06% 259bp na na na $1,828 2.5x 3.3x 54%8.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jul-15 B3/B $1781 $102.75 6.41% 632bp 15-Jul-12 15-Jul-12 $102.22 $1,828 2.5x 4.8x 78%8.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-19 B3/B $2000 $102.63 7.42% 641bp 15-Nov-17 15-Nov-15 $104.00 $1,828 2.5x 4.8x 78%Emergency Medical ServicesL + 375 TLB NR 5/25/2018 B1/B+ $1417 $99.50 5.35% 385bp na na na $345 2.0x 4.1x 48%8.125% Sr Nts NR 1-Jun-19 Caa1/B- $950 $100.25 8.06% 716bp 1-Jun-17 1-Jun-14 $106.09 $345 2.0x 6.9x 81%HealthSouth Corporation7.250% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-18 B2/B+ $335 $105.63 5.80% 503bp 1-Oct-16 1-Oct-14 $103.63 $464 3.5x 2.9x 39%8.125% Sr Nts Hold 15-Feb-20 B2/B+ $290 $109.25 5.87% 541bp 15-Feb-15 15-Feb-15 $104.06 $464 3.5x 2.9x 39%7.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-Sep-22 B2/B+ $310 $107.25 6.35% 538bp 15-Sep-17 15-Sep-15 $103.88 $464 3.5x 2.9x 39%HCA, Inc.L + 125 TLA1 NR 11/17/2012 Ba3/BB $414 $100.25 1.30% 83bp na na na $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%L + 250 TLA2 NR 5/2/2016 Ba3/BB $564 $98.50 3.41% 294bp na na na $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%L + 225 TLB1 NR 11/17/2013 Ba3/BB $1689 $100.00 2.72% 225bp na na na $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%L + 325 TLB2 NR 3/31/2017 Ba3/BB $2000 $98.75 4.00% 353bp na na na $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%L + 325 TLB3 NR 5/1/2018 Ba3/BB $2373 $98.50 4.00% 353bp na na na $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%8.500% 1st Lien Buy 15-Apr-19 Ba3/BB $1500 $110.63 4.90% 461bp 15-Apr-14 15-Apr-14 $104.25 $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%6.500% 1st Lien NR 15-Feb-20 Ba3/BB $3000 $103.75 5.89% 437bp 15-Feb-20 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%7.875% 1st Lien Buy 15-Feb-20 Ba3/BB $1250 $109.25 5.21% 486bp 15-Aug-14 15-Aug-14 $103.94 $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%7.250% 1st Lien Buy 15-Sep-20 Ba3/BB $1400 $108.25 5.32% 485bp 15-Mar-15 15-Mar-15 $103.63 $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%5.875% 1st Lien NR 15-Mar-22 Ba3/BB $1350 $99.25 5.97% 397bp 15-Mar-22 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 2.9x 48%9.875% 2nd Lien Buy 15-Feb-17 B2/BB $202 $108.50 5.17% 500bp 15-Feb-13 15-Feb-13 $104.94 $6,287 3.2x 3.0x 48%6.950% Sr Nts Buy 1-May-12 B3/B- $402 $100.00 6.74% 670bp 1-May-12 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%6.300% Sr Nts Buy 1-Oct-12 B3/B- $500 $100.75 4.62% 449bp 1-Oct-12 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%6.250% Sr Nts Buy 15-Feb-13 B3/B- $500 $101.50 4.38% 422bp 15-Feb-13 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%6.750% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jul-13 B3/B- $500 $103.50 3.84% 364bp 15-Jul-13 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%5.750% Sr Nts Buy 15-Mar-14 B3/B- $500 $103.50 3.83% 355bp 15-Mar-14 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%6.375% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jan-15 B3/B- $750 $104.75 4.51% 408bp 15-Jan-15 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%6.500% Sr Nts Buy 15-Feb-16 B3/B- $1000 $105.00 5.05% 440bp 15-Feb-16 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%8.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-18 B3/B- $500 $108.25 6.42% 521bp 1-Oct-18 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%7.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-22 B3/B- $2000 $104.50 6.86% 488bp 15-Feb-22 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%7.690% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jun-25 B3/B- $291 $96.00 8.19% 599bp 15-Jun-25 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%7.500% Sr Nts Buy 6-Nov-33 B3/B- $250 $92.50 8.25% 556bp 6-Nov-33 nc nc $6,287 3.2x 4.3x 70%7.750% Sr Nts Buy 15-May-21 B3/B- $1525 $102.00 7.36% 612bp 15-Nov-18 15-Nov-15 $103.88 $6,287 3.2x 4.5x 74%
Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid Yield Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
37
Health Management AssociatesL + 350 TLB NR 11/18/2018 Ba3/BB- $1397 $100.25 4.45% 345bp na na na $893 4.0x 2.9x 49%6.125% Sr Sec Nts Hold 15-Apr-16 NR/BB- $400 $104.25 4.94% 426bp 15-Apr-16 nc nc $893 4.0x 2.9x 49%7.375% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-20 B3/B- $875 $101.88 6.97% 593bp 15-Jan-18 15-Jan-16 $103.69 $893 4.0x 4.0x 67%Iasis HealthcareL + 375 TLB NR 5/3/2018 Ba3/B $1010 $100.25 4.95% 370bp na na na $322 2.8x 3.2x 53%8.375% Sr Nts Buy 15-May-19 Caa1/CCC+ $850 $95.38 9.28% 793bp 15-May-19 15-May-14 $106.28 $322 2.8x 5.8x 97%Kindred HealthcareL + 375 TLB NR 6/1/2018 Ba3/B+ $695 $95.00 6.26% 476bp na na na $445 4.2x 2.2x 34%8.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Jun-19 B3/B- $550 $86.50 11.03% 967bp 1-Jun-19 1-Jun-14 $106.19 $445 4.2x 3.4x 53%Lifepoint Hospitals6.625% Guar Nts NR 1-Oct-20 Ba1/BB- $400 $104.50 5.78% 457bp 1-Oct-18 1-Oct-15 $103.31 $550 5.1x 2.9x 48%MedAssetsL + 375 TLB NR 11/16/2016 Ba3/BB- $577 $100.50 5.12% 362bp na na na $184 2.6x 3.1x 36%8.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-18 B3/B- $325 $105.50 6.59% 580bp 15-Nov-16 15-Nov-14 $104.00 $184 2.6x 4.9x 56%Rural/Metro10.125% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-19 Caa1/CCC+ $200 $93.50 11.46% 1007bp 15-Jul-19 15-Jul-15 $105.06 $89 2.1x 6.0x 70%Select MedicalL + 375 TLB NR 6/1/2018 Ba3/BB- $844 $97.00 6.10% 435bp na na na $386 3.9x 2.3x 35%7.625% Sr Sub Nts Buy 1-Feb-15 Caa1/CCC+ $345 $98.75 8.13% 768bp 1-Feb-15 1-Feb-13 $100.00 $386 3.9x 3.2x 48%6.494% Sr HoldCo FRN Buy 9/15/2015 Caa1/CCC+ na na na na na 10-May-12 $100.00 $386 3.9x 3.6x 55%Tenet Healthcare10.000% Sr Sec Nts Buy 1-May-18 B1/BB- $714 $114.00 5.05% 475bp 1-May-14 1-May-14 $105.00 $1,161 3.1x 2.3x 36%6.250% Sr Sec Nts Buy 1-Nov-18 B1/BB- $900 $103.00 5.69% 447bp 1-Nov-18 nc nc $1,161 3.1x 2.3x 36%8.875% Sr Sec Nts Buy 1-Jul-19 B1/BB- $925 $111.38 5.27% 493bp 1-Jul-14 1-Jul-14 $104.44 $1,161 3.1x 2.3x 36%7.375% Sr Nts Buy 1-Feb-13 Caa1/CCC+ $216 $102.50 4.12% 396bp 1-Feb-13 nc nc $1,161 3.1x 3.9x 62%9.250% Sr Nts Buy 1-Feb-15 Caa1/CCC+ $474 $110.25 5.25% 480bp 1-Feb-15 nc nc $1,161 3.1x 3.9x 62%8.000% Sr Nts Buy 1-Aug-20 Caa1/CCC+ $600 $100.75 7.84% 667bp 1-Aug-18 1-Aug-15 $104.00 $1,161 3.1x 3.9x 62%6.875% Sr Nts Buy 15-Nov-31 Caa1/CCC+ $429 $84.25 8.54% 597bp 15-Nov-31 nc nc $1,161 3.1x 3.9x 62%Universal Health ServicesL + 225 TLA NR 11/15/2015 Ba2/BB+ $1017 $100.25 2.64% 217bp na na na $1,165 5.8x 1.0x 15%L + 275 TLB NR 11/15/2016 Ba2/BB+ $1455 $100.38 3.66% 266bp na na na $1,165 5.8x 1.0x 15%7.125% Sr Sec Nts NR 30-Jun-16 Ba2/BB+ $400 $112.75 3.81% 310bp 30-Jun-16 nc nc $1,165 5.8x 3.1x 48%7.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-18 B1/B+ $250 $106.75 5.28% 451bp 1-Oct-16 1-Oct-14 $103.50 $1,165 5.8x 3.1x 48%Vanguard Health Systems8.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-Feb-18 B3/B- $1175 $100.50 7.84% 720bp 1-Feb-16 1-Feb-14 $104.00 $544 2.9x 5.0x 83%7.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Feb-19 B3/B- $725 $98.50 8.04% 675bp 1-Feb-19 1-Feb-14 $105.81 $544 2.9x 5.0x 83%
DISTRIBUTORS Omnicare7.750% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Jun-20 Ba3/BB $550 $109.50 5.55% 504bp 1-Jun-15 1-Jun-15 $103.88 $614 4.5x 1.6x 18%VWR International10.250% Sr Toggle Nts NR 15-Jul-15 Caa1/B- $713 $103.00 7.66% 745bp 15-Jul-13 15-Jul-12 $102.56 $395 2.0x 5.7x 63%Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Healthcare – David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid Yield Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
38
ALTERNATE SITE PROVIDERSAlliance Imaging8.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Dec-16 B3/B- $190 $74.25 16.10% 1530bp 1-Dec-16 1-Dec-12 $104.00 $133 2.9x 4.8x 89%American Renal Holdings8.375% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-May-18 B2/B $250 $106.00 6.20% 570bp 15-May-15 15-May-13 $104.19 $69 3.3x 3.8x 51%9.750% Sr PIK Nts NR 1-Mar-16 Caa2/CCC+ $149 $105.25 8.32% 786bp 1-Mar-15 1-Mar-13 $105.00 $69 3.3x 5.4x 72%CRC Health10.750% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Feb-16 Caa1/CCC $177 $91.25 13.77% 1314bp 1-Feb-16 nc $103.58 $105 2.3x 5.7x 76%DavitaL + 275 TLA NR 10/20/2015 Ba2/BB $938 $100.50 3.04% 257bp na na na $1,359 5.8x 2.0x 26%L + 300 TLB NR 10/20/2016 Ba2/BB $1728 $100.75 4.31% 281bp na na na $1,359 5.8x 2.0x 26%6.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-18 B2/B $775 $103.50 5.49% 471bp 1-Nov-16 1-Nov-13 $104.78 $1,359 5.8x 3.2x 40%6.625% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-20 B2/B $775 $103.75 5.82% 483bp 1-Nov-17 1-Nov-14 $104.97 $1,359 5.8x 3.2x 40%Fresenius Medical Care6.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-17 Ba2/BB+ $500 $109.00 4.91% 398bp 15-Jul-17 nc na $2,575 13.3x 3.4x 31%6.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Sep-18 Ba2/BB+ $400 $107.25 5.16% 396bp 15-Sep-18 nc na $2,575 13.3x 3.4x 31%5.625% Sr Nts NR 31-Jul-19 Ba2/BB+ $800 $101.00 5.46% 406bp 31-Jul-19 nc na $2,575 13.3x 3.4x 31%5.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-21 Ba2/BB+ $650 $101.25 5.57% 381bp 15-Feb-21 nc na $2,575 13.3x 3.4x 31%5.875% Sr Nts NR 31-Jan-22 Ba2/BB+ $700 $101.00 5.74% 376bp 31-Jan-22 nc na $2,575 13.3x 3.4x 31%Fresenius SE5.000% Sr Nts Hold 31-Jan-13 Ba1/BB+ $500 $102.00 2.42% 222bp 31-Jan-13 nc na $4,507 5.5x 2.9x 39%8.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jul-15 Ba1/BB+ $275 $116.00 3.49% 319bp 15-Jul-15 nc na $4,507 5.5x 2.9x 39%9.000% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jul-15 Ba1/BB+ $500 $114.88 4.06% 353bp 15-Jul-15 nc na $4,507 5.5x 2.9x 39%Gentiva Health Services11.500% Sr Nts NR 1-Sep-18 Caa2/CCC $325 $93.13 13.12% 1193bp 1-Sep-18 1-Sep-14 $105.75 $271 3.0x 3.7x 92%Hanger Orthopedic Group7.125% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-18 NR/B $200 $103.50 6.23% 544bp 15-Nov-16 15-Nov-14 $103.56 $149 4.7x 3.4x 43%National MentorL + 525 TLB NR 2/9/2017 B1/B+ $525 $98.25 7.44% 569bp na na na $117 1.6x 4.6x 77%12.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-18 Caa2/CCC+ $250 $99.25 12.68% 1161bp 15-Feb-18 15-Feb-14 $106.25 $117 1.6x 6.7x nmOnCure Medical Group11.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-May-17 Caa1/B $210 $67.00 23.10% 2221bp 15-May-17 15-May-14 $105.88 $35 1.3x 6.0x 85%Radiation Therapy9.875% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Apr-17 B3/CCC+ $360 $79.75 15.90% 1503bp 15-Apr-17 15-Apr-14 $104.94 $123 2.0x 4.9x 70%RadNet10.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-18 Caa1/CCC+ $200 $98.00 10.84% 975bp 1-Apr-18 1-Apr-14 $100.00 $106 2.0x 5.3x 83%Res-Care10.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-19 NR/B- $200 $110.50 8.04% 722bp 15-Jan-17 15-Jan-15 $105.38 $129 3.7x 2.9x naSkilled Healthcare Group11.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jan-14 Caa1/CCC+ $130 $99.25 11.46% 1120bp 15-Jan-14 15-Jan-13 $100.00 $128 3.3x 3.7x 65%Surgical Care AffiliatesL + 400 TLB NR 6/30/2018 Ba3/B $100 $98.25 5.83% 433bp na na na $131 2.2x 3.4x 45%9.625% Sr Toggle Nts NR 15-Jul-15 B3/CCC+ $165 $101.00 10.07% 954bp 15-Jul-15 15-Jul-12 $102.22 $131 2.2x 6.0x 80%10.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jul-17 Caa1/CCC+ $150 $100.00 9.99% 946bp 15-Jul-15 15-Jul-12 $105.00 $131 2.2x 6.0x 80%
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Healthcare – David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid Yield Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
39
Healthcare – David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260
Symbion8.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Jun-16 B2/B $341 $98.75 8.36% 765bp 15-Jun-16 15-Jun-14 $104.00 $76 1.5x 4.6x 62%11.000% Sr Toggle Nts NR 23-Aug-15 Caa2/CCC+ $95 $95.25 12.77% 1222bp 23-Aug-15 23-Aug-12 $102.75 $76 1.5x 7.3x 97%United Surgical Partners9.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-20 Caa1/CCC+ $440 $103.00 8.35% 726bp 1-Apr-18 1-Apr-15 $106.75 $210 2.5x 6.3x 84%
PRODUCT & DEVICE COMPANIESAccellent Inc.8.375% 1st Lien Nts NR 1-Feb-17 B1/B+ $400 $99.50 8.50% 767bp 1-Feb-17 1-Feb-13 $106.28 $107 1.5x 3.7x 47%10.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Nov-17 Caa2/CCC+ $315 $76.75 16.57% 1557bp 1-Nov-17 1-Nov-13 $107.50 $107 1.5x 6.7x 84%Alere7.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Feb-16 B2/B $250 $104.13 6.24% 579bp 1-Feb-15 1-Feb-13 $103.94 $528 2.7x 5.3x 50%9.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-May-16 B3/B- $400 $103.00 7.88% 738bp 15-May-15 15-May-13 $104.50 $528 2.7x 6.3x 60%8.625% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Oct-18 B3/B- $400 $102.50 7.95% 718bp 1-Oct-16 1-Oct-14 $104.31 $528 2.7x 6.3x 60%Apria Healthcare Group11.250% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Nov-14 Ba3/BB+ $700 $103.25 8.94% 870bp 1-Nov-13 1-Nov-12 $102.81 $274 2.1x 2.6x 46%12.375% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Nov-14 B3/BB- $318 $98.38 13.14% 1274bp 1-Nov-14 1-Nov-12 $103.09 $274 2.1x 3.8x 68%Bausch & LombL + 325 TLB NR 4/24/2015 B1/BB- $1143 $99.50 3.90% 343bp na na na $566 3.3x 3.6x 40%9.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-15 Caa1/B $650 $104.88 5.18% 503bp 1-Nov-12 1-Nov-12 $102.47 $566 3.3x 4.8x 53%Biomet Inc.L + 300 TLB NR 3/25/2015 B1/BB- $2235 $99.50 3.65% 318bp na na na $1,014 2.1x 3.3x 44%10.000% Sr Nts Hold 15-Oct-17 B3/B- $771 $107.75 4.15% 401bp 15-Oct-12 15-Oct-12 $105.00 $1,014 2.1x 4.8x 64%10.375% Sr Toggle Nts Hold 15-Oct-17 B3/B- $761 $108.25 3.80% 366bp 12-Oct-12 12-Oct-12 $105.19 $1,014 2.1x 4.8x 64%11.625% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-Oct-17 Caa1/B- $1015 $108.50 5.73% 559bp 15-Oct-12 15-Oct-12 $105.81 $1,014 2.1x 5.8x 78%Bio-Rad Laboratories8.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Sep-16 Ba2/BBB- $300 $110.63 3.05% 283bp 15-Sep-13 15-Sep-13 $104.00 $416 7.8x 1.8x 28%4.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-20 Ba1/BBB $425 $105.02 4.18% 246bp 15-Dec-20 nc na $416 7.8x 1.8x 28%Boston Scientific6.400% Sr Nts NR 15-Jun-16 Baa3/BBB- $600 $115.64 2.43% 172bp 15-Jun-16 nc na $1,705 6.0x 2.5x 36%ConvatecL + 425 TLB NR 12/22/2016 Ba3/B+ $496 $100.75 5.57% 407bp na na na $423 2.3x 3.9x 48%10.500% Sr Nts Buy 15-Dec-18 Caa1/B $745 $102.00 9.95% 914bp 15-Dec-16 15-Dec-14 $105.25 $423 2.3x 6.4x 80%DJO/Reable8.750% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Mar-18 B2/B+ $230 $99.50 8.86% 778bp 15-Mar-18 15-Mar-15 $104.38 $278 1.6x 4.1x 51%10.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-14 B3/B- $675 $100.50 10.51% 1027bp 15-Nov-13 15-Nov-12 $102.72 $278 1.6x 6.9x 86%7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-18 B3/B- $300 $81.00 12.32% 1122bp 15-Apr-18 15-Apr-14 $105.81 $278 1.6x 6.9x 86%9.750% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Oct-17 Caa1/CCC+ $300 $73.50 17.44% 1645bp 15-Oct-17 15-Oct-13 $107.31 $278 1.6x 8.0x 100%Kinetic Concepts10.500% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Buy 1-Nov-18 B3/B $1750 $102.50 9.90% 890bp 1-Nov-17 1-Nov-15 $105.25 $734 1.7x 5.5x 76%12.500% Sr Nts Buy 1-Nov-19 Caa1/CCC+ $1500 $92.00 14.26% 1281bp 1-Nov-19 1-Nov-15 $106.25 $734 1.7x 6.5x 90%Lantheus Medical Imaging9.750% Sr Nts NR 15-May-17 Caa1/B+ $400 $88.00 13.05% 1216bp 15-May-17 15-May-14 $104.88 $80 2.1x 5.0x 83%Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid Yield Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
40
Rotech Healthcare10.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Oct-15 B1/BB- $230 $99.50 10.93% 1034bp 15-Oct-15 15-Apr-13 $105.38 $110 1.8x 2.6x 52%10.500% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Mar-18 Caa1/B $290 $65.00 21.13% 2005bp 15-Mar-18 15-Mar-15 $105.25 $110 1.8x 4.7x 94%Teleflex6.875% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Jun-19 B1/BB- $250 $107.75 5.13% 423bp 1-Jun-17 1-Jun-15 $103.44 $368 5.2x 2.6x 28%Universal Hospital Services8.500% Sr Sec Toggle Nts NR 1-Jun-15 B3/B+ $405 $102.25 6.38% 619bp 1-Jun-13 1-Jun-12 $102.13 $124 2.6x 5.2x 75%4.121% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Jun-15 B3/B+ $230 na na nm nm 10-May-12 $102.00 $124 2.6x 5.2x 75%
PHARMA & LIFE SCIENCESAptalis/AxcanL + 400 TLB NR 2/11/2017 B1/B+ $741 $99.50 5.62% 412bp na na na $218 2.8x 4.5x 58%12.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Mar-16 Caa1/B $235 $106.75 8.16% 799bp 1-Mar-13 1-Mar-13 $103.19 $218 2.8x 4.5x 58%BioScrip10.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-15 Caa1/B- $225 $109.00 5.35% 506bp 1-Apr-14 1-Apr-13 $105.13 $67 2.4x 4.1x 44%Catalent Pharmaceuticals (PTS Acq.)L + 225 TLB NR 4/10/2014 Ba3/BB- $1010 $96.25 4.09% 384bp na na na $369 2.2x 3.8x 47%9.500% Sr Toggle Nts NR 15-Apr-15 Caa1/B $624 $102.50 6.86% 668bp 15-Apr-13 15-Apr-13 $102.38 $369 2.2x 5.5x 68%Elan Pharmaceuticals8.750% Sr Nts Buy 15-Oct-16 B1/BB- $200 $109.63 4.86% 462bp 15-Oct-13 15-Oct-12 $108.75 $231 2.0x nm 16%8.750% Sr Nts Buy 15-Oct-16 B1/BB- $625 $109.63 4.86% 462bp 15-Oct-13 15-Oct-12 $108.75 $231 2.0x nm 16%Endo Pharmaceuticals7.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-19 Ba3/BB- $500 $105.25 5.82% 489bp 15-Jul-17 15-Jul-15 $103.50 $974 4.5x 3.8x 46%7.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-20 Ba3/BB- $400 $105.00 6.07% 482bp 15-Dec-18 15-Dec-15 $103.50 $974 4.5x 3.8x 46%7.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-22 Ba3/BB- $400 $105.50 6.29% 490bp 15-Jul-19 15-Jul-16 $103.63 $974 4.5x 3.8x 46%GrifolsL + 350 TLB NR 6/4/2017 Ba3/BB $1600 $100.50 4.39% 339bp na na na $849 3.2x 3.8x 29%8.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Feb-18 B3/B $1100 $107.00 6.52% 569bp 1-Feb-17 1-Feb-14 $106.19 $849 3.2x 5.1x 39%Immucor11.125% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-19 Caa1/B- $400 $111.00 8.51% 756bp 15-Aug-17 15-Aug-15 $105.56 $151 1.6x 6.7x 75%INC Research11.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-19 Caa1/B- $300 $98.25 11.86% 1047bp 15-Jul-19 15-Jul-15 $105.75 $111 2.2x 5.8x 84%MylanL + 200 TLA NR 11/14/2016 Baa3/BBB $1227 $100.00 2.47% 200bp na na na $1,677 5.0x 0.7x 9%7.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-17 Ba3/BB $550 $108.75 5.20% 467bp 15-Jul-15 15-Jul-15 $101.91 $1,677 5.0x 2.8x 34%6.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-18 Ba3/BB $800 $103.00 5.25% 446bp 15-Nov-16 15-Nov-14 $103.00 $1,677 5.0x 2.8x 34%7.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-20 Ba3/BB $1000 $110.00 5.58% 505bp 15-Jul-15 15-Jul-15 $103.94 $1,677 5.0x 2.8x 34%Patheon8.625% First Lien Nts Hold 15-Apr-17 B3/B+ $280 $84.50 12.93% 1206bp 15-Apr-17 15-Apr-13 $106.47 $47 1.8x 6.0x 53%PPD9.500% Sr Nts NR 1-Dec-19 B3/B $575 $108.00 7.72% 670bp 1-Dec-17 1-Dec-14 $107.13 $350 2.4x 5.8x 64%
Relative value analysisHealthcare – David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260
Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid Yield Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
41
Healthcare – David Common, CFA (1-212) 270-5260Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid Yield Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
Valeant Pharmaceuticals6.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-16 B1/BB- $950 $101.50 5.98% 545bp 15-Jul-15 15-Jul-13 $103.25 $1,747 5.2x 4.2x 31%6.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-17 B1/BB- $500 $100.25 6.68% 592bp 1-Oct-16 1-Oct-14 $103.38 $1,747 5.2x 4.2x 31%6.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Dec-18 B1/BB- $1000 $99.75 6.92% 568bp 1-Dec-18 1-Dec-14 $103.44 $1,747 5.2x 4.2x 31%7.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-20 B1/BB- $700 $98.63 7.22% 555bp 1-Oct-20 1-Oct-15 $103.50 $1,747 5.2x 4.2x 31%6.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-21 B1/BB- $650 $96.50 7.27% 540bp 15-Aug-21 15-Feb-16 $103.38 $1,747 5.2x 4.2x 31%7.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-22 B1/BB- $550 $98.00 7.53% 550bp 15-Jul-22 15-Jul-16 $103.63 $1,747 5.2x 4.2x 31%Warner ChilcottL + 325 TLB1 NR 3/15/2018 Ba3/BBB- $720 $100.25 4.14% 314bp na na na $1,380 2.2x 2.2x 38%L + 325 TLB2 NR 3/15/2018 Ba3/BBB- $396 $100.25 4.14% 314bp na na na $1,380 2.2x 2.2x 38%L + 325 TLB3 NR 3/15/2018 Ba3/BBB- $545 $100.25 4.14% 314bp na na na $1,380 2.2x 2.2x 38%7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Sep-18 B3/BB $1250 $102.00 7.21% 645bp 15-Sep-16 15-Sep-14 $103.88 $1,380 2.2x 2.8x 49%
MISCELLANEOUSCarriage Services7.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-15 B1/B- $130 $101.00 6.46% 630bp 15-Jan-13 15-Jan-13 $100.00 $44 2.4x 3.1x 50%Centene 5.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Jun-17 Ba2/BB $250 $101.00 5.52% 462bp 1-Jun-17 nc na $249 12.2x 1.4x 19%Corrections Corp of America6.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-13 Ba1/BB $40 $100.00 6.24% 607bp 15-Mar-13 nc $100.00 $418 5.7x 2.8x 35%6.750% Sr Nts NR 31-Jan-14 Ba1/BB $150 $100.13 6.67% 640bp 31-Jan-14 nc $100.00 $418 5.7x 2.8x 35%7.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Jun-17 Ba1/BB $465 $108.44 3.44% 325bp 1-Jun-13 1-Jun-13 $103.88 $418 5.7x 2.8x 35%Inventiv10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-18 Caa2/CCC+ $275 $88.25 12.75% 1157bp 15-Aug-18 15-Aug-14 $105.00 $326 1.8x 6.0x 80%10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-18 Caa2/CCC+ $390 $88.75 12.63% 1145bp 15-Aug-18 15-Aug-14 $105.00 $326 1.8x 6.0x 80%Merge Healthcare11.750% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-May-15 B2/B+ $257 $107.00 7.96% 766bp 1-May-14 1-May-13 $105.88 $57 1.9x 4.4x 39%Multiplan9.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Sep-18 Caa1/CCC+ $675 $107.50 7.81% 706bp 1-Sep-16 1-Sep-14 $104.94 na na 5.9x 74%Service Corporation International7.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-14 Ba3/BB- $181 $109.00 3.52% 314bp 1-Oct-14 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%6.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-15 Ba3/BB- $135 $109.00 3.52% 304bp 1-Apr-15 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%6.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-16 Ba3/BB- $196 $108.25 4.45% 378bp 1-Apr-16 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%7.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jun-17 Ba3/BB- $295 $110.75 4.63% 372bp 15-Jun-17 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%7.625% Sr Nts NR 1-Oct-18 Ba3/BB- $250 $114.25 5.01% 381bp 1-Oct-18 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%7.000% Sr Nts NR 15-May-19 Ba3/BB- $250 $107.50 5.13% 453bp 15-Nov-15 15-Nov-14 $103.50 $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%8.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-21 Ba3/BB- $150 $114.50 5.99% 406bp 15-Nov-21 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%7.500% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-27 Ba3/BB- $200 $100.25 7.47% 516bp 1-Apr-27 nc nc $558 4.2x 3.4x 44%Sterigenics8.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Mar-18 B2/B $475 $107.00 6.32% 546bp 15-Mar-17 15-Mar-14 $106.00 $102 2.9x 4.7x 71%Stewart Enterprises6.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-19 B1/BB- $200 $103.75 5.63% 476bp 15-Apr-17 15-Apr-14 $104.88 $97 4.3x 3.2x 30%Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
Altra Holdings (ALTHDS)8.125% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Dec-16 Ba3/BB- $198.0 107.50 5.46% 531bp 1-Dec-12 1-Dec-12 106.09 $99 2.9x 2.0x 2.0x 4.1x 41% 7.1x $507.1 Briggs & Stratton (BGG)6.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-20 Ba3/BB $225.0 104.00 6.27% 455bp 15-Dec-20 nc nc $158 1.4x 1.2x 0.0x 6.0x 22% 6.7x $870.0 Cleaver-Brooks (CLEAVB)12.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-May-16 B2/B $185.0 104.00 10.03% 973bp 1-May-14 1-May-13 106.13 na na na na na na na naCNH Global (CNH) 1
7.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Sep-13 Ba2/BB+ $1,000.0 106.25 3.07% 285bp 1-Sep-13 nc nc $1,692 2.7x 1.9x 0.6x 4.4x 33% 8.0x $10,360.5 7.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-16 Ba2/BB+ $254.0 109.50 4.47% 384bp 15-Jan-16 nc nc $1,692 2.7x 1.9x 0.6x 4.4x 33% 8.0x $10,360.5 6.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-16 Ba2/BB $500.0 105.50 4.88% 410bp 1-Nov-16 nc nc $1,692 2.7x 1.9x 0.6x 4.4x 33% 8.0x $10,360.5 7.875% Sr Nts Hold 1-Dec-17 Ba2/BB+ $1,500.0 115.25 4.75% 374bp 1-Dec-17 nc nc $1,692 2.7x 1.9x 0.6x 4.4x 33% 8.0x $10,360.5 Columbus McKinnon (CMCO)7.875% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Feb-19 B1/B+ $150.0 104.00 6.88% 605bp 1-Feb-17 1-Feb-15 103.94 $52 2.9x 1.4x 0.2x 3.7x 41% 7.2x $304.5 Dynacast International (DYNCST)9.250% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Jul-19 B2/B $350.0 103.88 8.32% 739bp 15-Jul-17 15-Jul-15 104.63 na na na na na na na naGeneral Cable (BGC)7.125% Sr Nts Hold 1-Apr-17 Ba3/B+ $200.0 102.75 6.09% 562bp 1-Apr-15 1-Apr-13 102.38 $395 2.7x 1.6x 0.6x 4.3x 51% 5.2x $1,418.5 Gibraltar (ROCK)8.000% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Dec-15 B2/BB- $204.0 102.63 5.77% 562bp 1-Dec-12 1-Dec-12 101.33 $67 3.1x 2.3x 0.0x 3.6x 35% 8.7x $430.6 HD Supply (HD Supply) 2
8.125% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Apr-19 B2/B+ $950.0 100.50 8.02% 692bp 15-Apr-18 15-Apr-15 106.09 $508 4.2x 4.0x 5.5x 1.1x na na na11.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Apr-20 Caa1/CCC+ $675.0 102.75 10.37% 923bp 15-Apr-18 15-Apr-16 105.50 $508 5.5x 5.3x 5.5x 1.1x na na naInterline Brands (IBI)7.000% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Nov-18 B2/BB $300.0 105.25 5.68% 489bp 15-Nov-16 15-Nov-13 105.25 $110 2.7x 2.0x 0.0x 4.6x 34% 8.0x $667.4 Manitowoc (MTW)L + 300 Term Loan A NR 13-May-16 Ba2/BB $350.0 98.77 3.88% 300bp na na na $349 5.4x 5.2x 1.9x 2.4x 52% 10.5x $1,843.8 L + 300 Term Loan B NR 13-Nov-17 Ba2/BB $400.0 99.38 3.60% 233bp na na na $349 5.4x 5.2x 1.9x 2.4x 52% 10.5x $1,843.8 7.125% Sr Nts Hold 1-Nov-13 B3/B+ $150.0 100.25 6.95% 671bp 1-Nov-13 $349 5.4x 5.2x 1.9x 2.4x 52% 10.5x $1,843.8 9.500% Sr Nts Buy 15-Feb-18 B3/B+ $400.0 111.25 5.45% 518bp 15-Feb-14 15-Feb-14 104.75 $349 5.4x 5.2x 1.9x 2.4x 52% 10.5x $1,843.8 8.500% Sr Nts Buy 1-Nov-20 B3/B+ $600.0 109.25 6.61% 602bp 1-Nov-15 1-Nov-15 104.25 $349 5.4x 5.2x 1.9x 2.4x 52% 10.5x $1,843.8 Mueller Water (MWA)7.375% Sr Sub Nts Buy 1-Jun-17 Caa2/CCC+ $420.0 98.50 7.73% 683bp 1-Jun-17 1-Jun-12 103.69 $99 6.8x 6.4x 0.4x 1.5x 57% 12.1x $555.6 8.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Sep-20 B2/B+ $225.0 111.25 6.19% 563bp 1-Sep-15 1-Sep-15 104.38 $99 6.8x 6.4x 0.4x 1.5x 57% 12.1x $555.6
Industrials – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265
1. Leverage stats exclude finance arm subsidiary, although Enterprise Value calculations are on a consolidated basis.2. Leverage stats are only through the notes, total leverage on a consolidated basis is 10.6x.Note: Loan yields are to maturity; spreads are over libor.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Ratings Amount EquityMoody’s Outst. Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Debt/ Net Debt/ Sr. Sec./ EBITDA/ Total Debt/ TEV/ Mkt
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread YTW Date Date Price EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Int. Exp TEV LTM EBITDA Cap
42
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
43
Oshkosh (OSK)L + 300 Term Loan A NR 1-Oct-15 Ba2/BBB- $650.0 98.50 3.73% 294bp na na na $555 1.8x 1.0x 0.9x 6.9x 39% 4.9x $2,020.3 8.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Mar-17 B1/BB $250.0 108.00 5.79% 552bp 1-Mar-14 1-Mar-14 104.13 $555 1.8x 1.0x 0.9x 6.9x 39% 4.9x $2,020.3 8.500% Sr Nts NR 1-Mar-20 B1/BB $250.0 107.75 6.84% 618bp 1-Mar-16 1-Mar-15 104.25 $555 1.8x 1.0x 0.9x 6.9x 39% 4.9x $2,020.3 Park Ohio Industries (PKOH)8.125% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-21 B3/CCC+ $250.0 102.88 7.58% 626bp 1-Apr-19 1-Apr-16 104.06 $72 4.9x 4.1x 1.4x 3.0x 65% 7.6x $254.3 Polypore (PPO)L + 200 Term Loan NR 3-Jul-14 Ba2/BB $322.9 99.16 2.87% 224bp na na na7.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-17 B3/B $365.0 104.75 6.29% 550bp 15-Nov-16 15-Nov-13 105.63 $242 2.9x 2.5x 1.4x 6.5x 31% 9.6x $1,720.5 Rexnord (RXN) 1
8.500% Sr Nts Buy 1-May-18 Caa1/B $1,145.0 107.00 6.50% 582bp 1-May-16 1-May-14 104.25 $383 6.3x 5.7x 2.4x 2.2x na na na11.750% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Aug-16 Caa2/B- $300.0 105.88 4.65% 456bp 1-Aug-12 1-Aug-12 103.92 $383 6.3x 5.7x 2.4x 2.2x na na naSPX Corp. (SPW) 2
7.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-14 Ba2/BB+ $500.0 111.00 3.28% 286bp 15-Dec-14 nc nc $621 3.2x 2.4x 0.0x 6.0x 37% 7.7x $3,957.2 6.875% Guar Nts NR 1-Sep-17 Ba2/BB+ $600.0 108.50 5.05% 409bp 1-Sep-17 nc nc $621 3.2x 2.4x 0.0x 6.0x 37% 7.7x $3,957.2 Terex Corp. (TEX)L + 400 Term Loan NR 28-Apr-17 Ba2/BB $460.1 100.48 5.39% 427bp na na na $200 nm nm nm nm 56% nm $2,596.1 8.000% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Nov-17 Caa1/B $800.0 101.50 7.51% 691bp 15-Nov-15 15-Nov-12 104.00 $200 nm nm nm nm 56% nm $2,596.1 10.875% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jun-16 B2/BB- $300.0 112.75 3.94% 375bp 1-Jun-13 1-Jun-13 105.44 $200 nm nm nm nm 56% nm $2,596.1 6.500% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-20 B2/BB- $300.0 100.50 6.40% 530bp 1-Apr-18 1-Apr-16 103.25 $200 nm nm nm nm 56% nm $2,596.1 Tomkins (PINFOR)L + 300 Term Loan A NR 29-Sep-15 Ba2/NR $296.0 99.33 4.46% 365bp na na na $704 4.5x 3.8x 2.8x 2.2x na na naL + 300 Term Loan B NR 29-Sep-16 Ba2/BB $1,677.3 99.95 4.26% 325bp na na na $704 4.5x 3.8x 2.8x 2.2x na na na9.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 1-Oct-18 B1/B+ $1,035.1 110.50 6.06% 568bp 1-Oct-14 1-Oct-14 104.50 $704 4.5x 3.8x 2.8x 2.2x na na naTriMas (TRS)L + 300 Term Loan B NR 21-Jun-17 Ba2/BB $225.0 99.58 4.34% 318bp na na na $165 2.9x 2.8x 2.9x 3.5x 37% 7.9x $832.6 9.750% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Dec-17 B2/B- $250.0 110.50 5.86% 560bp 15-Dec-13 15-Dec-13 104.88 $165 2.9x 2.8x 2.9x 3.5x 37% 7.9x $832.6 Wire Co. (WIREWG)L + 300 Term Loan B NR 10-Feb-14 Ba1/BB $125.0 98.00 6.17% 554bp na na na na na na na na na na na9.500% Sr Nts NR 15-May-17 B2/B $425.0 103.25 8.28% 778bp 15-May-15 15-May-13 104.75 na na na na na na na naWabtec (WAB)6.875% Sr Nts Hold 31-Jul-13 Ba1/BB+ $150.0 105.00 2.89% 268bp 31-Jul-13 nc nc $246 1.7x 0.8x 1.1x 23.8x 11% 15.6x $3,650.0
Industrials – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265
1. Pro forma for VAG acquisition.2. Pro forma for acquisitions and divestitures.Note: Loan yields are to maturity; spreads are over libor.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Ratings Amount EquityMoody’s Outst. Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Debt/ Net Debt/ Sr. Sec./ EBITDA/ Total Debt/ TEV/ Mkt
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread YTW Date Date Price EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Int. Exp TEV LTM EBITDA Cap
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
44
Carnival Cruises6.650% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-28 A3/BBB+ 200.0 105 3/8 6.11% 376bp nc na 8.9x 2.5x nm 10.4xCedar Fair9.125% Sr Nts Buy 1-Aug-18 B2/B 405.0 111 3/4 5.49% 514bp 1-Aug-14 104.56 9.5x 4.1x 5.9x 7.9xL+300 TLB NR 15-Dec-16 Ba3/BB 1150.0 100 4.00% 300bp na na 2.9x 4.7xExpedia Inc.7.456% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-18 Ba1/BBB- 500.0 113 1/3 4.98% 380bp 15-Aug-13 100.00 10.2x 0.4x 0.4x 5.3x5.950% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-20 Ba1/BBB- 750.0 103 5.51% 387bp5-YR CDS NR 230bpLive Nation Entertainment8.125% (Live Nation Ent) Sr Nts NR 15-May-18 B3/B 250.0 105 6.70% 601bp 15-May-14 104.06 3.4x 3.5x 4.9x 6.4x10.75% (Ticketmaster) Sr Nts NR 1-Aug-16 B3/B 287.0 107 1/4 3.95% 385bp 1-Aug-12 105.38L+300 TLB NR 30-Apr-16 Ba3/B+ 325.0 99 3/4 4.56% 306bp nc na 2.2x nmManchester United8.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Feb-17 NR/NR 425.0 107 6.27% 563bp 1-Feb-13 108.38 4.0x 3.2x nm PrivateNetFlix8.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-17 Ba2/BB- 200.0 109 5.11% 487bp 15-Nov-13 104.25 20.5x -0.3x nm nmRoyal Caribbean Cruises6.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Dec-13 Ba1/BB 350.0 105 3.67% 342bp nc na 4.7x 5.3x nm 9.1x7.250% Debs NR 15-Jun-16 Ba1/BB 350.0 107 1/2 5.22% 451bp nc na7.500% Nts NR 15-Oct-27 Ba1/BB 300.0 100 3/4 7.42% 508bp nc na5-YR CDS NR 475bpSix Flags, Inc.L+325 1st Lien TL NR 20-Dec-18 B1/BB+ 770.0 99 5/8 4.32% 332bp 2.9x 2.0x 6.0x 9.8x1. CDS spread references 5-year CDS.2. Forward EBITDA is 2012E EBITDASource: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Leisure/Entertainment – Michael Pace (1-212) 270-6530 Ratings EBITDA/ Net Debt/ Net Debt/ TEV/
Moody’s / Amount Recent Quotes Bank/CDS Next Call Data Total Int. EBITDA UFCF FwdIssuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW STW Spread 1 Date Price LTM LTM LTM EBITDA2
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
45
Cinemark USA8.625% Sr Nts Sell 15-Jun-19 B2/B 470.0 110 1/2 5.32% 500bp 15-Jun-14 104.31 4.8x 1.9x 4.0x 7.1x7.375% Sr Sub Nts Sell 15-Jun-21 B3/B 200.0 107 6.15% 478bp 15-Jun-16 103.69 2.3x 4.3xL+325 TLB Hold 30-Apr-16 Ba2/BB 1,043.5 99 3/4 3.79% 332bp 1.0x 3.4xRegal Cinemas8.625% (Regal Cinemas) Sr Nts Sell 15-Jul-19 B2/B- 400.0 109 6.09% 575bp 15-Jul-14 104.31 3.5x 2.6x 4.9x 7.4x9.125% (Regal Ent- Holdco) Sr Nts Sell 15-Aug-18 B3/B- 525.0 109 3/4 6.39% 604bp 15-Aug-14 104.56 3.7x 5.5xL+325 TLB Hold 23-Aug-17 NR/BB- 1,086.9 99 2/5 3.82% 336bp 1.8x 4.5xNational Amusements8.250% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-Dec-17 B1/BB 400.0 109 3/4 5.62% 537bp 15-Dec-13 106.19 na na na PrivateNational CineMedia7.875% Sr Unsec Nts NR 15-Jul-21 B2/B 200.0 106 1/4 6.77% 538bp 15-Jul-16 103.94 3.5x 3.1x na 10.5x
1. Forward EBITDA is 2012E EBITDA.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
6.050% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jun-17 B1/BB $450 $101.25 5.76% 486bp 1-Jun-17 nc nc $854 4.6x 4.7x 52%7.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-Feb-18 B1/BB $500 $102.50 6.47% 542bp 1-Feb-18 nc nc $854 4.6x 4.7x 52%7.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Apr-20 B1/BB $600 $102.00 7.04% 549bp 1-Apr-20 nc nc $854 4.6x 4.7x 52%7.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-22 B1/BB $400 $99.25 7.61% 561bp 15-Mar-22 15-Mar-17 $103.75 $854 4.6x 4.7x 52%6.650% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jun-37 B1/BB $350 $83.50 8.21% 531bp 1-Jun-37 nc nc $854 4.6x 4.7x 52%
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.1. AK Steel capitalization data is pro forma for refinancing of tax-expemt industrial revenue bonds and new 2022 notes.2. Algoma enterprise value estimated using 6.0x multiple of normalized EBITDA. Data presented in Canadian dollar.3. U.S. Steel capitalization data is pro forma for issuance of 2022 notes and retirement of 2013 notes.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
51
Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
Metals and Mining – Dave Katz (1-212) 270-4593
COAL COMPANIESArch Coal, Inc. 6.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jul-13 B1/BB- $450 $100.00 6.74% 654bp 1-Jul-13 nc nc $921 4.1x 4.4x 67%8.750% Sr Nts Hold 1-Aug-16 B1/B+ $600 $103.25 7.61% 707bp 1-Aug-15 1-Aug-13 $104.38 $921 4.1x 4.4x 67%7.000% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-19 B1/B+ $1000 $89.75 8.97% 760bp 15-Jun-19 15-Jun-15 $103.50 $921 4.1x 4.4x 67%7.250% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-20 B1/B+ $500 $89.75 9.01% 734bp 1-Oct-20 1-Oct-15 $103.63 $921 4.1x 4.4x 67%7.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-21 B1/B+ $1000 $89.75 8.91% 708bp 15-Jun-21 15-Jun-16 $103.63 $921 4.1x 4.4x 67%Cloud Peak Energy 1
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.1. Cloud Peak data is historical and not adjusted for structuring transactions.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
52
Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-19 B3/B $200 $95.13 8.69% 736bp 15-Apr-19 15-Apr-15 $103.88 $107 nm 2.3x 39%Thompson Creek Mining Company Inc. 7.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Jun-18 Caa2/B $350 $89.00 9.80% 867bp 1-Jun-18 1-Jun-14 $105.53 $295 109.2x 1.3x 32%
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.1. Calcipar SA enterprise value based on 6.5x LTM EBITDA. Calcipar EBITDA presented in €, other in US dollar.2. Consolidated Minerals enterprise value based on 6.0x LTM EBITDA. 3. Fortescue Metals capitalization data is pro forma for the new 2017 and 2022 notes.4. Taseko Mines Ltd individual bond outstanding amounts presented in $US. Other data presented in Canadian dollar.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
53
Relative value analysis
Ratings EBITDA/ Debt/Moody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Data EBITDA Interest EBITDA Debt/
Coupon Desc. Recom. Maturity S&P Current Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM LTM TEV
6.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Mar-14 Ba1/BB $142 $100.00 6.37% 609bp 1-Mar-14 nc nc $213 8.4x 1.4x 18%SunCoke Energy, Inc.7.625% Sr Nts Hold 1-Aug-19 B1/B+ $400 $101.50 7.27% 634bp 1-Aug-17 1-Aug-14 $105.72 $153 109.0x 4.8x 45%
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.1. Noranda Aluminum capitalization data is pro forma for the debt refinancing, a $75mn tender of the 2015 notes, and a $88mn dividend payment.2. Novelis enterprise value estimated using a 6.5x multiple of estimated normalized mid-cycle EBITDA. 3. JMC Steel EV estimated using a 7.0x multiple of LTM EBITDA. Capitalization data is pro forma for the for Lakeside Steel transaction and the $150mn add-on to the 8.75% notes and $100mn add-on to the term loan. 4. Russel Metals data presented in Canadian dollar.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysisPaper and Packaging – Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468
Ratings LTMMoody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Current Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA/ Net Debt/Adj.
Issuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Size Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price Yield Adj. EBITDA Margin Int. Exp. EBITDAPLASTIC PACKAGINGBerry Plastics (BERRY)L+200 Term Loan C Hold 3-Apr-15 B1/B $1,200.0 97 1/4 3.70% 299bp na na na 2.54% $758.0 16.3% 2.4x 3.0x8.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Hold 15-Nov-15 B1/B $370.0 106 1/4 4.32% 417bp 15-Nov-12 15-Nov-12 104 1/8 7.76% $758.0 16.3% 2.4x 3.0x9.500% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Hold 15-May-18 Caa1/CCC $500.0 104 1/4 8.25% 755bp 15-May-16 15-May-14 104 3/4 9.11% $758.0 16.3% 2.4x 5.1x9.750% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Hold 15-Jan-21 Caa1/CCC $800.0 107 1/4 8.32% 705bp 15-Jan-19 15-Jan-16 104 7/8 9.09% $758.0 16.3% 2.4x 5.1x10.250% Sr Sub Nts Hold 1-Mar-16 Caa2/CCC $168.0 102 1/2 8.64% 847bp 1-Mar-13 1-Mar-13 101 2/7 10.00% $758.0 16.3% 2.4x 5.9xPlastipak Holdings (PLASPK)8.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-15 B3/B $250.0 103 5.93% 578bp 15-Dec-12 15-Dec-12 101 3/7 8.25% $239.4 10.4% 3.5x 2.8x10.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-Aug-19 B3/B $225.0 113 1/4 6.54% 618bp 15-Aug-14 15-Aug-14 105 1/3 9.38% $239.4 10.4% 3.5x 2.8xSolo Cup Co. (SOLOC)10.500% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Nov-13 B2/B $300.0 101 1/4 9.60% 936bp 1-Nov-13 1-May-12 100 10.37% $76.2 4.7% 1.1x 3.6x8.500% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Feb-14 Caa2/CCC $325.0 100 1/4 8.34% 807bp 15-Feb-14 nc nc 8.48% $76.2 4.7% 1.1x 7.9x
GLASS AND METAL CONTAINERSArdagh Glass (ARGID)7.375% Sr Sec Nts Hold 15-Oct-17 Ba3/BB- $510.0 106 5.84% 506bp 15-Oct-16 15-Oct-14 103 2/3 6.96% € 555.5 16.9% 2.1x 2.3x9.125% Sr Nts Buy 15-Oct-20 B3/B- $450.0 106 7.93% 671bp 15-Oct-18 15-Oct-15 104 4/7 8.61% € 555.5 16.9% 2.1x 4.5xBall Corporation (BLL)L+175 Term Loan A Hold 21-Dec-15 Ba1/BBB- $200.0 99 1/3 2.77% 203bp na na na 2.24% $1,168.3 13.5% 6.6x 0.5x7.125% Sr Nts Hold 1-Sep-16 Ba1/BB+ $375.0 108 3/4 3.13% 290bp 1-Sep-13 1-Sep-13 103 4/7 6.55% $1,168.3 13.5% 6.6x 2.5x6.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-18 Ba1/BB+ $57.3 102 1/5 5.31% 513bp 15-Mar-13 15-Mar-13 101 1/9 6.48% $1,168.3 13.5% 6.6x 2.5x7.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Sep-19 Ba1/BB+ $325.0 110 1/2 4.18% 381bp 1-Sep-14 1-Sep-14 103 2/3 6.67% $1,168.3 13.5% 6.6x 2.5x6.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-Sep-20 Ba1/BB+ $500.0 109 4.51% 405bp 15-Mar-15 15-Mar-15 103 3/8 6.19% $1,168.3 13.5% 6.6x 2.5x5.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-21 Ba1/BB+ $500.0 105 5/8 4.74% 374bp 15-Nov-17 15-Nov-15 102 7/8 5.44% $1,168.3 13.5% 6.6x 2.5xBway Holding (BWY)L+325 Term Loan B NR 23-Feb-18 Ba3/B $470.7 99 5/6 4.89% 358bp na na na 4.51% $154.0 13.2% 2.2x 3.1x10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jun-18 B3/CCC+ $202.6 109 7.44% 673bp 15-Jun-16 15-Jun-14 105 9.17% $154.0 13.2% 2.2x 4.5xCrown Holdings (CCK)6.250% Sr Nts Hold 1-Feb-21 Ba3/BB € 700.0 107 1/4 4.89% 425bp 1-Feb-16 nc nc 5.83% $1,129.0 13.1% 5.1x 2.8x7.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-17 Ba3/BB $400.0 107 1/4 4.17% 399bp 15-May-13 15-May-13 103 4/5 7.11% $1,129.0 13.1% 5.1x 2.8x7.125% Sr Nts Buy 15-Aug-18 Ba1/BB € 500.0 106 1/4 5.48% 494bp 15-Aug-16 15-Aug-14 103 4/7 6.71% $1,129.0 13.1% 5.1x 2.8x7.375% Debs Buy 15-Dec-26 B1/BB- $350.0 104 6.93% 464bp 15-Dec-26 nc nc 7.09% $1,129.0 13.1% 5.1x 2.8x7.500% Debs Buy 15-Dec-96 B1/BB- $64.0 83 1/2 8.98% 262bp 15-Dec-96 nc nc 8.98% $1,129.0 13.1% 5.1x 2.8xO-I (OI)7.375% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-16 Ba3/BB $600.0 110 3/4 4.46% 377bp 15-May-16 nc nc 6.66% $1,253.0 17.0% 4.1x 2.7x7.800% Sr Debs Buy 15-May-18 B1/BB- $250.0 111 1/2 5.54% 443bp 15-May-18 nc nc 7.00% $1,253.0 17.0% 4.1x 2.9x
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
54
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
55
Paper and Packaging – Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468 Ratings LTMMoody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Current Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA/ Net Debt/Adj.
Issuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Size Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price Yield Adj. EBITDA Margin Int. Exp. EBITDAPAPER AND OTHER PACKAGINGGraphic Packaging (GPK) L+225 Term Loan A Hold 16-Mar-17 Ba2/BBB $1,000.0 99 4/7 3.42% 236bp na na na 2.73% $591.3 14.1% 4.1x 2.4x9.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-17 B2/BB+ $425.0 110 1/2 4.18% 398bp 15-Jun-13 15-Jun-13 104 3/4 8.60% $591.3 14.1% 4.1x 3.5x7.875% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-18 B2/BB+ $250.0 110 5.02% 464bp 1-Oct-14 1-Oct-14 104 7.16% $591.3 14.1% 4.1x 3.5xGreif Inc. (GEF)6.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Feb-17 Ba2/BB $300.0 107 1/2 4.97% 414bp 1-Feb-17 nc nc 6.28% $526.5 12.4% 6.6x 2.6x7.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Aug-19 Ba2/BB $250.0 112 5.71% 431bp 1-Aug-19 nc nc 6.92% $526.5 12.4% 6.6x 2.6xMeadWestvaco (MWV)7.350% Sr Nts Hold 1-Mar-17 Ba1/BBB $150.0 111 2/7 4.73% 388bp 1-Mar-17 nc nc 6.60% $1,031.0 17.0% 5.7x 1.4x7.375% Sr Nts Hold 1-Sep-19 Ba1/BBB $250.0 117 4/5 4.51% 309bp 1-Sep-19 nc nc 6.26% $1,031.0 17.0% 5.7x 1.4x7.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-27 Ba1/BBB $97.5 112 1/2 6.21% 389bp 15-Jun-27 nc nc 6.67% $1,031.0 17.0% 5.7x 1.4x8.200% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jan-30 Ba1/BBB $400.0 112 4/5 6.93% 446bp 15-Jan-30 nc nc 7.27% $1,031.0 17.0% 5.7x 1.4x7.950% Debs Hold 15-Feb-31 Ba1/BBB $300.0 109 5/7 7.01% 448bp 15-Feb-31 nc nc 7.25% $1,031.0 17.0% 5.7x 1.4x6.800% Sr Nts Hold 15-Nov-32 Ba1/BBB $76.1 96 2/3 7.11% 448bp 15-Nov-32 nc nc 7.04% $1,031.0 17.0% 5.7x 1.4xReynolds Group (REYNOL)L+525 Term Loan C NR 9-Aug-18 Ba3/BB- $2,000.0 101 6.70% 532bp na na na 6.43% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 4.5xL+525 Term Loan B NR 9-Feb-18 Ba3/BB- $2,325.0 101 6.52% 524bp na na na 6.19% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 4.5x7.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Oct-16 Ba3/BB- $1,125.0 105 1/4 4.74% 460bp 15-Oct-12 15-Oct-12 103 7/8 7.36% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 4.5x7.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Oct-16 Ba3/BB- € 450.0 103 3/4 6.53% 618bp 15-Oct-15 15-Oct-12 103 7/8 7.47% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 4.5x7.125% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Apr-19 Ba3/BB- $1,500.0 102 1/4 6.54% 577bp 15-Oct-16 15-Oct-14 103 4/7 6.97% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 4.5x6.875% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Feb-21 Ba3/BB- $1,000.0 100 1/4 6.83% 553bp 15-Feb-19 15-Feb-16 103 4/9 6.86% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 4.5x8.500% Sr Nts NR 15-May-18 Caa1/B- $1,000.0 98 1/8 8.90% 778bp 15-May-18 15-May-14 104 1/4 8.66% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 7.3x8.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-16 Caa1/B- € 480.0 90 1/2 10.63% 1,001bp 15-Dec-16 15-Jun-12 102 8.84% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 7.3x9.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-19 Caa1/B- $1,500.0 96 1/4 9.75% 842bp 15-Apr-19 15-Oct-14 104 1/2 9.35% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 7.3x8.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-21 Caa1/B- $1,000.0 91 1/2 9.70% 795bp 15-Feb-21 15-Feb-16 104 1/8 9.02% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 7.3x8.125% Sr Nts NR 15-Jun-17 Caa1/B- $299.7 92 10.15% 924bp 15-Jun-17 nc nc 8.83% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 8.2x7.950% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-25 Caa1/B- $276.4 80 10.78% 854bp 15-Dec-25 nc nc 9.94% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 8.2x9.500% Sr Sub Nts NR 15-Jun-17 Caa1/B- $420.0 87 13.03% 1,230bp 15-Jun-17 nc nc 10.92% $2,109.5 16.4% 1.9x 8.2xRock-Tenn Co. (RKT)L+200 Term Loan A NR 27-May-16 NR/NR $1,475.0 99 3/5 3.03% 214bp na na na 2.51% $1,160.7 12.2% 11.6x 2.6x5.625% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-Mar-13 Ba1/BB+ $80.5 101 7/8 3.52% 335bp 15-Mar-13 nc nc 5.52% $1,160.7 12.2% 11.6x 3.0xSealed Air Corp. (SEE)L+375 Term Loan B Buy 3-Oct-18 Ba1/BB+ $790.0 101 5.19% 376bp na na na 4.71% $1,119.3 13.8% 3.7x 1.4x7.875% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jun-17 B1/BB $400.0 108 1/3 3.84% 364bp 15-Jun-13 15-Jun-13 104 7.27% $1,119.3 13.8% 3.7x 3.9x8.375% Sr Nts Buy 15-Sep-21 B1/BB $750.0 111 6.32% 556bp 15-Sep-16 15-Sep-16 104 1/5 7.55% $1,119.3 13.8% 3.7x 3.9x6.875% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jul-33 B1/BB $450.0 95 1/8 7.33% 466bp 15-Jul-33 nc nc 7.23% $1,119.3 13.8% 3.7x 3.9x5.625% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jul-13 B1/BB $400.0 103 1/6 3.02% 282bp 15-Jul-13 nc nc 5.45% $1,119.3 13.8% 3.7x 3.9x8.125% Sr Nts Buy 15-Sep-19 B1/BB $750.0 109 1/4 6.09% 512bp 15-Sep-17 15-Sep-15 104 7.44% $1,119.3 13.8% 3.7x 3.9xSource: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
Ratings LTMMoody’s Recent Quotes YTW Next Call Current Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA/ Net Debt/Adj.
Issuer Description Recommendation Maturity S&P Size Bid YTW Spread Date Date Price Yield Adj. EBITDA Margin Int. Exp. EBITDA
56
Paper and Packaging – Tarek Hamid (1-212) 834-5468
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
58
1. JCPenney covered by Virginia Chambless.Note: Ratios are calculated using EBITDAR, and Adjusted Debt (Net Debt + Rent x 8). TEV calculations are based off Thursday stock prices.For secured bonds, we calculate Net Debt/EBITDA instead of rent-adjusted leverage.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Ratings (LTM EBITDA/ Adj. Net Debt/Moody’s Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM LTM EBITDAR/ Capex)/ LTM TEV/
8.125% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-19 Caa1/CCC+ 450.0 99 1/4 8.27% 696bp 15-Mar-14 104.06 na na na na naLimited Brands8.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-19 Ba1/BB+ 500.0 117 1/4 5.55% 418bp Make Whole nc $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x7.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-May-20 Ba1/BB+ 400.0 111 5.30% 373bp Make Whole T+50 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x6.625% Sr Nts Hold 1-Apr-21 Ba1/BB+ 1000.0 107 1/4 5.58% 380bp Make Whole T+50 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x5.625% Sr Nts Hold 15-Feb-22 Ba1/BB+ 1000.0 99 3/4 5.66% 367bp Make Whole T+50 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x6.125% Sr Nts Hold 1-Dec-12 Ba2/BB- 57.8 102 1/4 2.47% 232bp Make Whole T+30 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x5.250% Sr Nts Hold 1-Nov-14 Ba2/BB- 213.6 106 2.79% 239bp Make Whole T+20 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x6.900% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jul-17 Ba2/BB- 700.0 111 4.52% 359bp Make Whole T+30 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x6.950% Sr Nts Buy 1-Mar-33 Ba2/BB- 350.0 97 7.23% 458bp Make Whole T+35 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7x7.600% Sr Nts Buy 15-Jul-37 Ba2/BB- 300.0 101 7.51% 460bp Make Whole T+35 $1,902.7 5.7x 6.0x 2.7x 8.7xMichael’s Stores, Inc.7.750% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-18 Caa1/CCC 800.0 105 1/2 6.34% 555bp 1-Nov-14 103.88 $688.0 2.8x 2.3x 4.2x na11.375% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Nov-16 Caa1/CCC 392.9 106 1/4 6.43% 628bp 1-Nov-12 103.79 $688.0 2.8x 2.3x 4.6x na0.000%/13.000% Sr Disc Nts NR 1-Nov-16 Caa1/CCC 306.6 105 1/2 4.42% 435bp 1-Nov-12 104.33 $688.0 2.8x 2.3x 5.7x naNBTY, Inc.9.000% Sr Nts Hold 1-Oct-18 B3/B 650.0 109 3/8 6.52% 594bp 1-Oct-14 104.50 $500.5 2.9x 2.6x 4.7x naNeiman Marcus Group, Inc.7.125% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Hold 1-Jun-28 B2/BB- 125.0 94 7.78% 541bp nc nc $558.2 2.3x 1.7x 4.2x na10.375% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-Oct-15 Caa1/B- 500.0 105 3.61% 347bp 15-Oct-12 101.73 $558.2 2.3x 1.7x 4.8x naOffice Depot9.750% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-Mar-19 B2/B- 250.0 101 1/4 9.47% 838bp 15-Mar-16 104.88 $313.7 4.2x 5.7x 1.6x 4.0xPetco Animal Supplies 3
9.250% Guar Nts NR 1-Dec-18 Caa1/CCC+ 500.0 109 6.94% 614bp 1-Dec-13 106.94 na na na na naQVC Inc.1
7.125% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Apr-17 Ba2/BBB- 500.0 106 4.44% 426bp 15-Apr-13 103.56 $1,733.0 7.6x 6.4x 1.1x 7.3x7.375% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Oct-20 Ba2/BBB- 500.0 109 1/4 5.16% 467bp 15-Apr-15 103.69 $1,733.0 7.6x 6.4x 1.1x 7.3x7.500% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Oct-19 Ba2/BBB- 1000.0 109 1/4 4.91% 453bp 1-Oct-14 103.75 $1,733.0 7.6x 6.4x 1.1x 7.3x
Retail – Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798
1. QVC ratios are not rent-adjusted.2. Financial data is available and disclosed through Intralinks only. Please contact us with any questions.3. Financial data is available and disclosed through Intralinks only. Please contact us with any questions.Note: Ratios are calculated using EBITDAR, and Adjusted Debt (Net Debt + Rent x 8). TEV calculations are based off Thursday stock prices.For secured bonds, we calculate Net Debt/EBITDA instead of rent-adjusted leverage.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
60
Ratings (LTM EBITDA/ Adj. Net Debt/Moody’s Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM LTM EBITDAR/ Capex)/ LTM TEV/
RadioShack Corp.6.750% Sr Nts Hold 15-May-19 Ba3/B+ 325.0 77 1/2 11.47% 1,012bp Make Whole T + 50 $241.3 3.8x 3.6x 4.5x 2.8xRent-A-Center, Inc.6.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-20 Ba3/BB- 300.0 103 6.06% 483bp 15-Nov-15 103.31 $387.1 5.4x 6.9x 4.0x 7.2xRite Aid Corp.9.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Buy 12-Jun-16 B3/B+ 410.0 111 1/4 3.87% 367bp 12-Jun-13 104.88 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 2.8x 8.2x8.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) Buy 15-Aug-20 B3/B+ 650.0 115 4.25% 370bp 15-Aug-15 104.00 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 2.8x 8.2x10.375% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Buy 15-Jul-16 Caa2/B- 470.0 106 6.53% 644bp 15-Jul-12 105.19 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 4.1x 8.2x7.500% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Buy 1-Mar-17 Caa2/B- 500.0 101 1/2 6.91% 645bp 1-Mar-13 102.50 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 4.1x 8.2x10.250% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) Buy 15-Oct-19 Caa2/B- 270.0 115 3.93% 354bp 15-Oct-14 100.13 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 4.1x 8.2x9.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Mar-20 Caa3/CCC 481.0 100 3/4 9.08% 800bp 15-Mar-16 104.63 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 7.0x 8.2x9.375% Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-15 Caa3/CCC 405.0 101 3/4 7.76% 756bp 15-Jun-12 102.34 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 7.0x 8.2x9.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-17 Caa3/CCC 810.0 100 1/4 9.40% 888bp 15-Jun-12 104.75 $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 7.0x 8.2x6.875% Debs Hold 15-Aug-13 Ca/CCC 180.3 101 3/4 5.49% 527bp nc nc $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 7.3x 8.2x7.700% Debs Hold 15-Feb-27 Ca/CCC 295.0 90 1/2 8.86% 656bp nc nc $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 7.3x 8.2x6.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-28 Ca/CCC 128.0 86 1/4 8.42% 602bp nc nc $934.2 2.2x 1.4x 7.3x 8.2xSally Holdings LLC6.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Nov-19 B1/BB+ 750.0 106 5.61% 460bp 15-Nov-15 103.44 $525.1 3.4x 3.2x 4.0x 11.5xYankee Candle Co., Inc.8.500% Sr Nts Hold 15-Feb-15 B2/CCC+ 325.0 102 1/2 5.37% 520bp 15-Feb-13 100.00 $190.9 2.8x 2.4x 4.3x na9.750% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Feb-17 B3/CCC+ 188.0 103 1/4 8.43% 797bp 15-Feb-13 103.25 $190.9 2.8x 2.4x 5.1x na10.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Feb-16 Caa1/CCC+ 315.0 101 10.44% 980bp 15-Feb-13 102.50 $190.9 2.8x 2.4x 6.4x na
Retail – Carla Casella, CFA (1-212) 270-6798
Note: Ratios are calculated using EBITDAR, and Adjusted Debt (Net Debt + Rent x 8). TEV calculations are based off Thursday stock prices.For secured bonds, we calculate Net Debt/EBITDA instead of rent-adjusted leverage.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
61
Ratings Amount EBITDA/ Sr. Sec. Debt/ Total Debt/ Net Debt/ Total TEV/ EquityMoody’s Out Recent Quotes Next Call Data EBITDA Int. Exp. EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Debt/ EBITDA Market
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread Date Price LTM LTM LTM LTM LTM TEV LTM CapBUSINESS & CONSUMER SERVICESDematic (DEMAT)8.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-May-16 B3/B $300.0 104.38 7.12% 663bp 1-May-13 104.38 na na na na na na na naCEVA Group (TNTLOG)L + 500 Term Loan B NR 31-Aug-16 NR/NR $225.8 92.75 7.40% 641bp na na € 350 1.4x 5.5x 6.9x 6.3x na na naL + 500 Term Loan B NR 31-Aug-16 NR/NR $109.4 92.69 7.42% 643bp na na € 350 1.4x 5.5x 6.9x 6.3x na na na8.375% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Dec-17 Ba3/B+ $775.0 100.00 8.37% 736bp 1-Dec-13 106.28 € 350 1.4x 5.5x 6.9x 6.3x na na na11.625% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-Oct-16 B3/B- $210.0 106.00 9.54% 897bp 1-Oct-12 108.72 € 350 1.4x 5.5x 6.9x 6.3x na na na11.500% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 1-Apr-18 Caa1/B- $701.8 98.75 11.79% 1070bp 1-Apr-14 105.75 € 350 1.4x 5.5x 6.9x 6.3x na na naIron Mountain (IRM)6.625% Sr Sub Nts Buy 1-Jan-16 B1/B+ $317.5 100.13 6.58% 596bp $932 4.7x 0.8x 3.6x 3.4x 43% 8.3x $5,041.9 8.750% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-Jul-18 B1/B+ $200.0 103.88 4.60% 451bp 15-Jul-12 102.92 $932 4.7x 0.8x 3.6x 3.4x 43% 8.3x $5,041.9 7.750% Sr Sub Nts NR 1-Oct-19 B1/B+ $400.0 108.38 5.93% 495bp 1-Oct-15 103.88 $932 4.7x 0.8x 3.6x 3.4x 43% 8.3x $5,041.9 8.000% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-Jun-20 B1/B+ $300.0 105.50 6.37% 618bp 15-Jun-13 104.00 $932 4.7x 0.8x 3.6x 3.4x 43% 8.3x $5,041.9 8.375% Sr Sub Nts Buy 15-Aug-21 B1/B+ $548.2 108.38 6.15% 580bp 15-Aug-14 104.19 $932 4.7x 0.8x 3.6x 3.4x 43% 8.3x $5,041.9 ServiceMaster (SVMSTR)L + 300 Term Loan B NR 24-Jul-14 B1/B+ $2,410.0 98.73 3.55% 292bp na na $588 2.1x 4.3x 6.7x 6.4x na na na10.750% Sr Toggle Nts Buy 15-Jul-15 B3/B- $396.0 104.75 2.24% 215bp 15-Jul-12 102.69 $588 2.1x 4.3x 6.7x 6.4x na na na8.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Feb-20 B3/B- $600.0 105.75 6.79% 572bp 15-Feb-15 106.00 $588 2.1x 4.3x 6.7x 6.4x na na naSyncreon (SYNCIM)9.500% Sr Nts NR 1-May-18 B3/B $300.0 98.00 9.95% 884bp 1-May-14 104.75 na na na na na na na na
RENTALSAshtead Group (AHTLN)9.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Aug-16 B2/B+ $550.0 104.25 4.93% 483bp 15-Aug-12 103.00 $464 4.7x 1.2x 2.9x 2.8x 41% 7.0x $1,953.6 Avis (CAR) 1
L + 500 Term Loan B NR 22-Sep-18 Ba1/BB $420.0 100.79 6.10% 469bp na na $781 2.5x 1.1x 4.1x 3.4x 79% 5.5x $1,370.5 7.625% Sr Nts NR 15-May-14 B2/B $200.0 100.50 1.37% 132bp 15-May-12 100.00 $781 2.5x 1.1x 4.1x 3.4x 79% 5.5x $1,370.5 7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-May-16 B2/B $375.0 102.63 6.36% 618bp 15-May-12 102.58 $781 2.5x 1.1x 4.1x 3.4x 79% 5.5x $1,370.5 9.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-18 B2/B $450.0 107.50 7.38% 672bp 15-Mar-14 104.81 $781 2.5x 1.1x 4.1x 3.4x 79% 5.5x $1,370.5 8.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-19 B2/B $600.0 103.00 7.57% 659bp 15-Oct-15 104.13 $781 2.5x 1.1x 4.1x 3.4x 79% 5.5x $1,370.5 9.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-20 B2/B $250.0 108.00 7.90% 694bp 15-Sep-15 104.88 $781 2.5x 1.1x 4.1x 3.4x 79% 5.5x $1,370.5 H&E Equipment Services (HEES)8.375% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-16 B3/BB- $250.0 102.50 7.14% 680bp 15-Jul-12 102.79 $91 3.1x 0.0x 2.8x 2.7x 29% 9.7x $639.2
Services – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265
1. Pro forma for acquisition.Note: Loan yields are to maturity; spreads are over libor.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
Relative value analysis
62
Ratings Amount EBITDA/ Sr. Sec. Debt/ Total Debt/ Net Debt/ Total TEV/ EquityMoody’s Out Recent Quotes Next Call Data EBITDA Int. Exp. EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Debt/ EBITDA Market
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P ($ mn) Bid YTW Spread Date Price LTM LTM LTM LTM LTM TEV LTM Cap
Services – Yilma Abebe (1-212) 270-3265
Hertz (HTZ)L + 300 Term Loan B NR 11-Mar-18 Ba1/BB $1,400.0 99.51 3.84% 252bp na na $1,319 3.4x 1.2x 3.7x 3.5x 46% 8.1x $6,138.4 7.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Oct-18 B2/B $700.0 105.88 5.99% 522bp 15-Oct-14 103.75 $1,319 3.4x 1.2x 3.7x 3.5x 46% 8.1x $6,138.4 6.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-19 B2/B $1,000.0 102.75 6.08% 525bp 15-Apr-15 103.63 $1,319 3.4x 1.2x 3.7x 3.5x 46% 8.1x $6,138.4 7.375% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-21 B2/B $500.0 105.50 6.36% 508bp 15-Jan-16 103.69 $1,319 3.4x 1.2x 3.7x 3.5x 46% 8.1x $6,138.4 7.625% Sr Nts NR 1-Jun-12 B3/B $176.1 100.63 2.53% 247bp nc nc $1,319 3.4x 1.2x 3.7x 3.5x 46% 8.1x $6,138.4 Maxim Crane (MXMC)12.250% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Apr-15 Caa2/B $250.0 95.25 14.25% 1377bp 15-Apr-13 105.00 na na na na na na na naNES Rentals Holdings (NESRH)12.250% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 15-Apr-15 Caa2/CCC+ $150.0 94.00 14.80% 1432bp 15-Apr-13 106.13 na na na na na na na naNeff Rentals (NEFF)9.625% Sec Nts NR 15-May-16 Caa1/B- $200.0 99.00 9.92% 923bp 15-May-13 107.22 na na na na na na na naRSC Rental Equipment (RRR)10.000% Sr Sec Nts Hold 15-Jul-17 B1/BB- $400.0 115.75 1.22% 102bp 15-Jul-13 105.00 $560 3.0x 1.7x 4.1x 4.1x 50% 8.2x $2,296.0 9.500% Sr Nts Hold 1-Dec-14 Caa1/B- $503.0 102.63 5.16% 501bp 1-Dec-12 100.00 $560 3.0x 1.7x 4.1x 4.1x 50% 8.2x $2,296.0 10.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Nov-19 Caa1/B- $200.0 111.00 7.33% 692bp 15-Nov-14 105.13 $560 3.0x 1.7x 4.1x 4.1x 50% 8.2x $2,296.0 8.250% Sr Nts Hold 1-Feb-21 Caa1/B- $650.0 105.50 7.21% 592bp 1-Feb-16 104.13 $560 3.0x 1.7x 4.1x 4.1x 50% 8.2x $2,296.0 United Rentals (URI) 2
9.250% Sr Nts Hold 15-Dec-19 B3/B $500.0 109.00 7.08% 666bp 15-Dec-14 104.63 $1,494 3.0x 1.3x 4.5x 4.5x 73% 6.3x $2,550.4 10.875% Sr Nts Hold 15-Jun-16 B3/B $500.0 112.63 4.24% 404bp 15-Jun-13 105.44 $1,494 3.0x 1.3x 4.5x 4.5x 73% 6.3x $2,550.4 8.375% Sr Sub Nts Hold 15-Sep-20 Caa1/CCC+ $750.0 101.50 8.07% 687bp 15-Sep-15 104.19 $1,494 3.0x 1.3x 4.5x 4.5x 73% 6.3x $2,550.4 5.750% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-Jul-18 Ba3/BB- $750.0 101.50 5.42% 449bp 15-Jul-15 102.88 $1,494 3.0x 1.3x 4.5x 4.5x 73% 6.3x $2,550.4 7.375% Sr Nts NR 15-May-20 B3/B $750.0 100.75 7.22% 610bp 15-May-16 103.69 $1,494 3.0x 1.3x 4.5x 4.5x 73% 6.3x $2,550.4 7.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-22 B3/B $1,325.0 101.00 7.46% 590bp 15-Apr-17 103.81 $1,494 3.0x 1.3x 4.5x 4.5x 73% 6.3x $2,550.4
L + 500 Term Loan B NR 15-Aug-16 Ba3/BB+ $560.0 100.00 6.25% 527bp na na $154 2.1x 1.2x 3.2x 2.9x 59% 5.4x $383.9 10.750% Guar Nts NR 15-Aug-18 Caa1/BB- $300.0 103.25 9.80% 906bp 15-Aug-14 105.38 $154 2.1x 1.2x 3.2x 2.9x 59% 5.4x $383.9 1. Leverage metrics net of restricted cash.2. Pro forma for acquisition.Note: Loan yields are to maturity; spreads are over libor.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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Relative value analysis
Issue Data Market Data Total Return Credit Fundamentals (LTM 9/30/11)Amout Current Next Call EBITDA EBITDA Interest EBITDA-Capex Total Net TEV/
Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.1. Enterprise value calculated on total debt value, not just through recourse debt. 2. For Edision Mission, an assumed 7.0x EV/EBITDA multiple was used. Midwest Generation pass-through certificates are recourse to Edison Mission.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
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Ratings EBITDA ResourceMoody’s Recent Quotes YTD Next Call Data EBITDA Interest Debt/ Debt
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P Current Offer YTW Spread Date Date Price LTM LTM EBITDA LTM EV 1
Utilities – Dave Katz (1-212) 270-4593
Texas Competitive Electric Holdings Company LLC 1
10.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-15 Caa3/D $1833 $22.50 75.38% 7479bp 1-Nov-15 nc nc $3,584 0.9x 8.3x 119%10.250% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-15 Caa3/D $1292 $22.00 76.67% 7608bp 1-Nov-15 1-Nov-12 $102.56 $3,584 0.9x 8.3x 119%11.250% Sr Toggle Nts NR 1-Nov-16 Caa3/D $1567 $19.00 55.03% 5425bp 1-Nov-16 1-Nov-12 $105.25 $3,584 0.9x 8.3x 119%11.500% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Oct-20 B2/CCC $1750 $63.00 20.92% 1925bp 1-Oct-20 1-Apr-16 $105.75 $3,584 0.9x 8.3x 119%15.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 1-Apr-21 Caa3/CC $1235 $39.50 40.03% 3824bp 1-Apr-21 1-Oct-15 $107.50 $3,584 0.9x 8.3x 119%Energy Future Holdings Corp.2
5.550% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-14 Ca/D $326 $72.50 19.63% 1922bp 15-Nov-14 nc nc $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%7.460% Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Jan-15 Caa3/CC $14 $100.32 7.32% 689bp 1-Jan-15 nc nc $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%12.000% Sr Toggle Nts NR 1-Nov-17 Ca/D $438 $84.75 16.23% 1523bp 1-Nov-17 1-Nov-12 $105.63 $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%10.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-17 Ca/D $181 $85.00 14.95% 1395bp 1-Nov-17 1-Nov-12 $105.44 $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%7.480% Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Jan-17 Caa3/NR $55 $90.01 10.20% 938bp 1-Jan-17 nc nc $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%9.750% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-Oct-19 Caa3/B- $115 $102.00 9.28% 829bp 15-Oct-17 15-Oct-14 $104.88 $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%10.000% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-Jan-20 Caa3/B- $1061 $108.00 8.22% 740bp 15-Jan-17 15-Jan-15 $105.00 $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%6.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-24 Ca/CC $740 $51.75 15.22% 1305bp 15-Nov-24 nc nc $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%6.550% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-34 Ca/CC $744 $49.50 13.94% 1119bp 15-Nov-34 nc nc $5,036 1.2x 7.4x 105%
1. Enterprise value calculated on total debt value, not just through recourse debt. 2. For Texas Competitive Electric Holdings Company LLC enterprise value estimated using a 7.0x EBITDA multiple. Capitalization and liquidity data is pro forma for the $650mn repayment of borrowings under TCEH revolver.3. For Energy Future Holdings enterprise value estimated using a 7.0x EBITDA multiple. Capitalization and liquidity data is pro forma for the $650mn repayment of the borrowings under TCEH revolver and the issuance of EFIH's 11.750% notes due 2022.Note: EBITDA is Adjusted EBITDA. Interest Expense is based on LTM values.Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
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RatingsMoody’s Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Interest LTM Total
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW Spread Date Price Coverage Leverage SubscribersClearwire Corporation12.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Dec-15 B3/CCC 2,027.5 93 1/4 14.44% 1,384bp 1-Dec-12 106.00 nm nm 10,414,000 12.000% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Dec-15 B3/CCC 920.0 93 1/4 14.44% 1,384bp 1-Dec-12 106.00 nm nm 10,414,000 14.750% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 1-Dec-16 B3/CCC 300.0 106 12.98% 1,218bp nm nm 10,414,001 12.000% Sr Sec Nts (2nd Lien) NR 1-Dec-17 Caa3/CC 500.0 84 16.46% 1,544bp nm nm 10,414,000 Digicel Group8.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-15 Caa1/NR 1,000.0 102 6.07% 592bp 15-Jan-13 100.00 2.7x 4.4x 12,700,000 9.125% Sr Toggle Nts NR 15-Jan-15 Caa1/NR 415.1 102 6.32% 616bp 15-Jan-13 100.00 2.7x 4.4x 12,700,000 10.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-18 Caa1/NR 775.0 109 1/2 7.75% 746bp 15-Apr-14 105.25 2.7x 4.4x 12,700,000 Leap Wireless International, Inc.7.750% Sr Sec Nts NR 15-May-16 Ba2/B+ 1,100.0 105 1/2 5.77% 527bp 15-May-12 105.81 2.2x 2.0x 5,934,000 10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jul-15 B3/CCC+ 300.0 104 3/4 7.65% 731bp 15-Jul-12 105.00 2.2x 5.3x 5,934,000 7.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Oct-20 B3/CCC+ 1,600.0 97 8.25% 657bp 15-Oct-15 103.88 2.2x 5.3x 5,934,000 MetroPCS7.875% Sr Nts NR 1-Sep-18 B2/B 1,000.0 104 3/4 6.60% 585bp 1-Sep-14 103.94 5.2x 3.6x 9,346,659 6.625% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-20 B2/B 1,000.0 98 6.94% 524bp 15-Nov-15 103.31 5.2x 3.6x 9,346,659 NII Capital10.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-16 B2/B+ 800.0 113 3.60% 338bp 15-Aug-13 105.00 4.9x 3.1x 10,712,000 8.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Dec-19 B2/B+ 500.0 104 3/4 7.82% 679bp 15-Dec-14 104.44 4.9x 3.1x 10,712,000 7.625% Sr Nts NR 1-Apr-21 B2/B+ 1,450.0 96 1/2 8.18% 640bp 1-Apr-16 103.81 4.9x 3.1x 10,712,000 Sprint Nextel Corporation6.875% Sr Nts NR 31-Oct-13 B1/B+ 1,472.9 99 7/8 6.96% 672bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 5.950% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-14 B1/B+ 1,169.9 99 7/8 6.02% 573bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 7.375% Sr Nts NR 1-Aug-15 B1/B+ 2,137.1 95 1/2 8.98% 844bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 6.000% Sr Nts NR 1-Dec-16 B3/B+ 2,000.0 88 3/4 9.03% 823bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 9.125% Sr Nts NR 1-Mar-17 B3/B+ 1,000.0 99 1/4 9.31% 847bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 8.375% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-17 B3/B+ 1,300.0 95 1/4 9.53% 858bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 9.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-18 Ba3/BB- 3,000.0 108 1/2 7.35% 611bp 5.0x 1.1x 55,021,000 6.900% Sr Guar Nts NR 1-May-19 B3/B+ 1,729.4 85 1/2 9.80% 846bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 7.000% Nts NR 1-Mar-20 Ba3/BB- 1000.0 100 1/2 6.91% 538bp 5.0x 1.1x 55,021,000 11.500% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-21 B3/B+ 1,000.0 106 1/2 10.41% 848bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 9.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Apr-22 B3/B+ 200.0 97 9.73% 771bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 6.875% Sr Nts NR 15-Nov-28 B3/B+ 2,475.0 74 3/4 10.03% 763bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 8.750% Sr Nts NR 15-Mar-32 B3/B+ 2,000.0 84 1/2 10.64% 804bp 5.0x 4.4x 55,021,000 Trilogy International Partners10.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Aug-16 Caa1/CCC+ 370.0 87 14.37% 1,363bp 15-Aug-13 105.13Vimpelcom6.493% Nts NR 2-Feb-16 Ba3/BB 500.0 102 1/4 5.82% 518bp 4.8x 2.6x 205,000,000 7.748% Nts NR 2-Feb-21 Ba3/BB 1,000.0 97 5/9 8.14% 639bp 4.8x 2.6x 205,000,000 7.504% Bds NR 1-Mar-22 Ba3/BB 1,500.0 95 3/8 8.19% 620bp 4.8x 2.6x 205,000,000 Wind Acquisition11.750% Sr Sub Sec Nts NR 15-Jul-17 B3/BB- 2,000.0 94 13.36% 1,244bp 15-Jul-13 105.88 2.9x 4.4x 21,014,000 11.750% Sr Sub Sec Nts NR 15-Jul-17 B3/BB- 1,250.0 89 14.82% 1,408bp 15-Jul-13 105.88 2.9x 4.4x 21,014,000 12.250% Sr Toggle Nts NR 15-Jul-17 Caa1/B 754.2 85 16.63% 1,570bp 15-Jul-13 106.13 2.9x 4.9x 21,014,000 12.250% Sr Toggle Nts NR 15-Jul-17 Caa1/B 392.2 85 16.63% 1,588bp 15-Jul-13 106.13 2.9x 4.9x 21,014,000 7.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Feb-18 Ba3/BB 1,300.0 92 3/8 8.96% 789bp 15-Nov-13 105.44 2.9x 3.0x 21,014,000 7.250% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Feb-18 Ba3/BB 400.0 91 1/4 9.22% 816bp 15-Nov-13 105.44 2.9x 3.0x 21,014,000 7.375% Sr Sec Nts (1st Lien) NR 15-Feb-18 Ba3/BB 1,750.0 88 1/2 10.03% 915bp 15-Nov-13 105.53 2.9x 3.0x 21,014,000 Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
Wireless Telecommunications: Rural, Regional, and National Wireless – Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149
April 12, 2012 North America High Yield ResearchHigh-Yield Relative Value WeeklyFor the week ended April 11, 2012
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RatingsMoody’s Amount Recent Quotes Next Call Data LTM Interest LTM Total
Coupon Description Recom. Maturity S&P Outst. Bid YTW Spread Date Price Coverage Leverage TowersCrown Castle7.750% Sr Sec Nts NR 1-May-17 Baa3/BB 1000.4 108 5/8 2.99% 280bp 1-May-13 103.88 3.2x 3.6x 23,7839.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Jan-15 B1/B- 866.9 110 1/4 2.56% 240bp 15-Jan-13 105.63 3.2x 5.3x 23,7837.125% Sr Nts NR 1-Nov-19 B1/B- 500.0 108 3/8 4.91% 451bp 1-Nov-14 103.56 3.2x 5.3x 23,783SBA Telecommunications8.000% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-16 B1/B+ 375.0 107 3/8 3.53% 343bp 15-Aug-12 106.00 2.8x 5.6x 10,5248.250% Sr Nts NR 15-Aug-19 B1/B+ 375.0 110 1/8 5.26% 490bp 15-Aug-14 104.13 2.8x 5.6x 10,524
Wireless Telecommunications: Tower – Thomas J. Egan (1-212) 270-2149
Source: J.P. Morgan and company reports.
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RatingsMoody’s Amount Recent Quotes Next Call LTM LTM LTM
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“Other Disclosures” last revised January 6, 2012.
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