Johnthescone The IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation Sustainable Development, Policies, Financing October 9,

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The IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation

Sustainable Development, Policies, FinancingOctober 9, 2011

Mexico City

Demand for energy services is increasing.

GHG emissions resulting from the provision of energy services contribute significantly to the increase in atmospheric GHG concentrations.

Potential emissions from remaining fossil resources could result in GHG concentration levels far above 600ppm.

The current global energy system is dominated by fossil fuels.

Shares of energy sources in total global primary energy supply in 2008

POLICY GOALS

• Deployment of renewable energy is being stimulated by a combination of policy goals:

• energy security and diversification, • climate change mitigation,

environmental concerns,• economic development,• Millennium Development Goals.

POLICY FRAMEWORK

• Policies in some countries are leading to a significant and rapid growth in investment in renewable energy. In 2007 it represented [30%] of the global power sector investment, including large hydro. For the most part, without effective policies renewable energy deployment is limited. A successful, vibrant renewable energy sector relies on a favorable policy framework. Scaling up to a global level would require many more Governments to institute significant, stable, long-term policies.

POLICY EFFECTIVENESS & POLICY MIX

• The policies are implemented as a comprehensive framework which addresses the country-specific barriers.

• The evidence of what works is increasing as investment in renewable energy rises: R&D, regulations, economic and information instruments.

BARRIERS

• Human resources• Information• Technical and Infrastructure• Economic• Financial• Fiscal• Institutional• Cultural and social• Unique challenge of least developed and evolving

countries• A prerequisite is that policies are implemented as a

comprehensive framework which addresses the country-specific barriers.

STRUCTURAL SHIFT

• An energy system which includes very high levels of renewable energy would require a structural shift to a more integrated energy service approach, which will vary in decentralization depending on the characteristics of the country. This will require a combination of innovative policies which address the broad spectrum of issues, from technological through to social concerns. Given the longer term nature of infrastructure decisions, it is necessary for Governments to give the appropriate policy signals.

ENABLING ENVIRONMENT&FINANCING• Technology transfer,• Capacity building, • Financing and Investment

• In many developing countries, there is a huge untapped or inefficiently utilized renewable energy resource which need specific policy initiatives, including finance, to be exploited.

• New finance mechanisms and creative policies on all levels are needed to stimulate the technology transfer, investment and deployment of renewable energy.

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Global New Investment in Sustainable Energy, 2002-2008, $ billions

Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment 2009

22 2735

60

93

148155

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

S/RP, corp RD&D, gov R&D

Financial investment

Growth: 25% 29% 73% 54% 59% 5%

S/RP = small/residential projects. New investment volume adjusts forre-invested equity. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals

Source: New Energy Finance

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Financial New Investment by Region, 2002-2008$ billions

Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment 2009

Source: New Energy Finance, UNEP SEFINew investment volume adjusts for re-invested equity. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals

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Renewable power* Generation and Capacity as a proportion of global power, 2002-2008, % share

Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment 2009

Source: New Energy Finance, UNEP SEFI* Excluding Large Hydro

8%

10% 10%

19% 19%

25%

5%6% 6%

15%16%

23%

3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2%

2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Renewable power capacityaddition as a % of global powercapacity addition

Renewable power generationincrease as a % of global powergeneration increase

Renewable power as a % ofglobal power capacity

Renewable power as a % ofglobal power generation

A ‘carbon abatement curve’ showing financial cost (+)or savings (‐) for a range of efforts, projects, and programswith the unit financial impact per ton of carbon dioxide not emittedto the atmosphere (Brazil, China, Mexico, US, UK)

An integrated RE-based energy plant in Lillestrøm, Norway, supplying commercial and domestic buildings

THANK YOU!