Joe Salvo Presentation

Slide 1

The Dynamics of Population Change in New Yorks Neighborhoods

Presentation for the Macaulay Honors CollegeThe City University of New York

January 24, 2013

Joseph SalvoPOPULATION DIVISION1The Population Dynamic2Population Change for the 10 Largest Cities in the U.S., 2000 to 2010Ranked by Population in 2010*Achieved population peak in 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Census PL 94-171 FilesPopulation Division-New York City Department of City PlanningPopulation ChangeNew York City and Boroughs, 2010-2011Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 Census-Summary File 1 and 2011 Population Estimates ProgramPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

4Estimated Components of Population ChangeNew York City, 2010-2011ThousandsNet InternationalMigrationNet DomesticMigrationPopulation ChangeNatural IncreaseNet MigrationSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 Estimates Programas revised by Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

5,401,4405,239,633Total Population by NativityNew York City, 1970 to 20105,137,2466,457,7401,670,1991,437,058PercentForeign-born18.223.635.928.45,142,58437.22,082,9312,871,0323,042,315Source: U.S. Census of Population, 1970 to 2000; 2010 American Community Survey-Full SamplePopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning6

New York City

Top Countries of Birth for the Foreign-bornNew York City and United States, 2010Total = 3,042,315Total = 39,955,673 United StatesSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-FactFinderPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning* Includes Hong Kong and TaiwanTotal Births 121,736100.0Foreign-born 62,76951.6

7Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic OriginNew York City and Boroughs, 2010Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 Census-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning8Changed Asian numbers to reflect DCP websiteHispanic and Asian SubgroupsNew York City, 2010Total = 2,336,076 Asian*HispanicSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning*Includes a small number of Asians who are of Hispanic origin.** Includes TaiwaneseTotal = 1,038,3889Population by Hispanic SubgroupNew York City, 2000-2010-11.28.273.714.97.9-11.7-8.510.1PercentChange =Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Simulated Hispanic File; 2010 Census-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning10Population by Asian SubgroupNew York City, 2000-201034.6PercentChange =177.773.822.411.912.5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningSettlement Patterns for Selected Characteristics

E New YorkCanarsieGreat KillsSt AlbansBay RdgS Ozone PkRosedaleSteinwayFlatlandsQueens VlgForest HlsBelleroseJamaicaWhitestoneHunts PtAstoriaMiddle VlgWesterleighFlatbushMurray HlCollege PtArden HtsBorough PkFlushingBaisley PkRidgewoodHollisJackson HtsLaureltonS JamaicaCrown Hts NW VlgBedfordRichmond HlMaspethElmhurstMidwoodCo-Op CityGlendaleDyker HtsGreenpointMadisonBensonhurst WE FlushingWoodhavenGravesendAuburndaleBrownsvilleKew Gdns HlsE Hrlm NWoodsideCambria HtsOzone PkClintonRego PkCoronaE VlgOcean HlClinton HlStuyvesant HtsKew GdnsE Hrlm SN CoronaE ElmhurstPelham PkwySpringfield Gdns NCrown Hts SBushwick SBushwick NPrt RichmondBaysideBayside HlsRossvilleWoodrowFar RckwyBayswaterLindenwoodHoward BchStapletonRosebankSeagateConey IsN SideS SideNew DorpMidland BchPk SlopeGowanusOakwoodOakwood BchE FlatbushFarragutWoodlawnWakefieldJamaica EstsHolliswoodNew BrightonSilver LakeMott HavenPrt MorrisRugbyRemsen VlgBriarwoodJamaica HlsSpringfield Gdns SBrookvilleAllertonPelham GdnsFresh MdwsUtopiaProspect Lffrts GdnsWingateCharlestonRichmond VlyTottenvilleHunters PtSunnysideW MaspethSchuylervilleThrogs NckEdgewater PkOld TownDongan HlsS BchDouglas MnrDouglastonLittle NckFt TottenBay TerClearvwN RiverdaleFieldstonRiverdaleSheepshead BayGerritsen BchMN BchPomonokFlushing HtsHillcrestNew SpringvilleBloomfieldTravisTodt HlEmerson HlHeartlnd VlgLghthouse HlAnnadaleHuguenotPrince's BayEltingvlMariner's HbrArlingtonPrt IvoryGranitevilleSunset Pk WOakland GdnsHomecrestE WilliamsburgBensonhurst EUpper W SideW ConcSunset Pk EBath BchWash Hts SWash Hts NE TremontLower E SideQueensboro HlErasmusFt GreeneYorkvilleMt HopeNorwoodLincoln SqBelmontV Cortlandt VlgHighbridgeBronxdaleRikers IslandOld AstoriaBrighton BchChinatownCrotona Pk EOcean Pkwy SHamilton HtsMorningside HtsWindsor TerCentral Hrlm SLongwoodParkchstrWilliamsburgKingsbridge HtsProspect HtsW BrightonGramercyManhattanvilleFordhm SDUMBOVinegar HlDwntwn BKBoerum HlStarrett CityE New York (PA Ave)WillmsbridgeOlinvilleMidtownMidtown SCypress HlsCity LineWestchstrUnionprtElmhurstMaspethE ConcConc VlgClarmntBathgateCentral Hrlm NPolo GrndsW FarmsBronx RivUpper E SideCarnegie HlTurtle BayE MidtownUniversity HtsMorris HtsSpuyten DuyvilKingsbridgeMorrisaniaMelroseBedfrd PkFordhm NMarble HlInwoodSoundviewBrucknerMurray HlKips BayLenox HlRoosevelt IsKensingtonOcean PkwyBattery Pk CityLower MNMelrose SMott Haven NBK HtsCobble HlStuy TownCooper VlgEastchstrEdnwldBaychstrCarroll GdnsColumbia StRed HookGrymes HlCliftonFox HlsGlen OaksFloral PkNew Hyde PkW New BrightonNew BrightonSt GeorgeVan NestMorris PkWestchtr SqGrasmereArrocharFt WadsworthPelham BayCountry ClubCity IslandQueensbridgeRavenswoodLICHammelsArverneEdgemereSoundviewCastle HlClason PtHarding PkBreezy PtBelle HbrRckwy PkBroad ChannelHudson YrdsChelseaFlat IronUnion SqSoHoTriBeCaCivic CtrLittle ItalyGrgtwnMarine PkBergen BchMill BasinNeighborhood Tabulation Areas*New York City, 2010Bronx Queens StatenIsland

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Source: Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningLAGUARDIAAIRPORTJOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORTManhattan

Brooklyn 13Population Growth by Race/Hispanic OriginNew York City, 2000-2010PercentChange =-2.88.1-5.131.8Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning14Changed Asian numbers to reflect DCP websitePercent Change in Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010

Bronx Queens StatenIsland

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningLAGUARDIAAIRPORTJOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORTManhattan

Brooklyn (8 neighborhoods)(25)(17)(31)(74)(17) (10) (6)Percent ChangeGain of 15.0% or more9.0% to 14.9% 6.0% to 8.9% 3.0% to 5.9% -6.0% to -8.9% -2.9% to 2.9%-3.0% to -5.9% -9.0% to -14.9%15

Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningBronx Queens StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORTJOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORTManhattan

Brooklyn Less than 5,000 Black NHin 2000 and 2010 (3 neighborhoods)(9)(9)(19)(15) (23) (10)(1)Percent Change20.0% to 39.9%10.0% to 19.9%5.0% to 9.9%-10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%-20.0% to -39.9%Loss of 40.0% or more16

Percent Change in the White Nonhispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningLAGUARDIAAIRPORTBronx Queens StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORTJOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORTManhattan

Brooklyn Less than 5,000 White NHin 2000 and 2010 (18 neighborhoods)(4)(8)(11)(25)(16) (22) (29)(6)Percent ChangeGain of 40.0% or more20.0% to 39.9%10.0% to 19.9%5.0% to 9.9%-10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%-20.0% to -39.9%Loss of 40.0% or more17

Percent Change in the Asian Nonhispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningBronx Queens StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORTJOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORTManhattan

Brooklyn Less than 5,000 Asian NHin 2000 and 2010 (25 neighborhoods)(27)(5)(2)(2)(3) (1) Percent ChangeGain of 40.0% or more20.0% to 39.9%10.0% to 19.9%5.0% to 9.9%-10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%18

Percent Change in the Hispanic Populationby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2000 to 2010

* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1Population Division-New York City Department of City PlanningLAGUARDIAAIRPORTBronx Queens StatenIsland

LAGUARDIAAIRPORTJOHN F. KENNEDYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORTManhattan

Brooklyn Less than 5,000 Hispanicin 2000 and 2010 (21 neighborhoods)(16)(24)(17)(24)(7) (14) (6)Percent ChangeGain of 40.0% or more20.0% to 39.9%10.0% to 19.9%5.0% to 9.9%-10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9%-5.0% to -9.9%-20.0% to -39.9%19Persons by English Language AbilityNew York City, 2010Total Persons Ages 5 and Over = 7,670,643Speakslanguageother thanEnglishat home

49%3,781,160Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division-New York City Department of City PlanningLimited English Proficient Population by Language Spoken at HomeNew York City, 2010* Includes Chinese, Cantonese, Mandarin, and FormosanSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Limited English Proficient Population for the Population 5 Years and overby Neighborhood Tabulation Area*New York City, 2006-2010Bronx Manhattan

Queens StatenIsland

Brooklyn

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey-FactFinderPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning* Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods.Percent50.0% or more40.0 % to 49.9%30.0% to 39.9%20.0% to 29.9%Less than 20%(9 neighborhoods)(12)(40)(35)(92)NYC Average = 23.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division- New York City Department of City Planning2 Persons 5 years and over3 Persons 25 years and over1 Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan

Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York Citys Top 10 Foreign-born Groups, 2010Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata SamplePopulation Division- New York City Department of City Planning

4 Persons 16-64 years old1 Includes Hong Kong and TaiwanSelected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York Citys Top 10 Foreign-born Groups, 2010Data LinksDCP Population Division Web site: www.nyc.gov/population

New York City Census FactFinder: http://gis.nyc.gov/dcp/pa/address.jsp

Census Bureau Web site: www.census.gov

Sheet1RankGeographic AreaTotal PopulationPopulation ChangeNYC and Boroughs 200020102000-2010NumberPercent

1New York, NY*8,008,2788,175,133166,8552.12Los Angeles, CA*3,694,8203,792,62197,8012.73Chicago, IL2,896,0162,695,598-200,418-6.9Brooklyn, NY2,465,3262,504,70039,3741.6Queens, NY*2,229,3792,230,7221,3430.14Houston, TX*1,953,6312,099,451145,8207.5Manhattan, NY1,537,1951,585,87348,6783.25Philadelphia, PA1,517,5501,526,0068,4560.66Phoenix, AZ*1,321,0451,445,632124,5879.4Bronx, NY1,332,6501,385,10852,4583.97San Antonio, TX*1,144,6461,327,407182,76116.08San Diego, CA*1,223,4001,307,40284,0026.99Dallas, TX*1,188,5801,197,8169,2360.810San Jose, CA*894,943945,94250,9995.711Louisville, KY* -741,096--12Jacksonville, FL*735,617821,78486,16711.713Indianapolis, IN*781,870820,44538,5754.914San Francisco, CA*776,733805,23528,5023.715Austin, TX*656,562790,390133,82820.416Columbus, OH*711,470787,03375,56310.617Fort Worth, TX*534,694741,206206,51238.618Charlotte, NC*540,828731,424190,59635.219Detroit, MI951,270713,777-237,493-25.020El Paso, TX*563,662649,12185,45915.2

NYCpopChgChange, 2010-2011NaturalNet 20102011NumberPercentIncreaseMigrationNew York City8,175,1338,244,91069,7770.9Bronx1,385,1081,392,0026,8940.5Brooklyn2,504,7002,532,64527,9451.1Manhattan1,585,8731,601,94816,0751.0Queens2,230,7222,247,84817,1260.8Staten Island468,730470,4671,7370.4

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census-Summary File 1 and 2011 EstimatesPopulation Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Chart15142584304231551372462871032523963320829315401440167019964577401437058

Native-BornForeign-Born

Sheet120102000199019801970Native-Born5,142,5845137246523963354014406457740Foreign-Born3,042,3152871032208293116701991437058

Chart1382346348474183205173814138768133095922869087172926685531357977

Number

Sheet1Dominican RepublicChina*MexicoJamaicaGuyanaEcuadorHaitiTrinidad & TobagoIndiaRussiaOtherNumber382,346348,474183,205173,814138,768133,09592,28690,87172,92668,5531,357,977CountryTotalDominican Republic382346China*348474Mexico183205Jamaica173814Guyana138768Ecuador133095Haiti92286Trinidad and Tobago90871India72926Russia68553Other1357977Dominican RepublicChina*MexicoJamaicaGuyanaEcuadorHaitiTrinidad and TobagoIndiaRussiaOther382346348474183205173814138768133095922869087172926685531357977

Chart111711103216652617803221777588124054212140491104679110042287918783082416150431

Number

Sheet1MexicoChina*IndiaPhilippinesVietnamEl SalvadorCubaKoreaDominican RepublicGuatemalaOtherNumber11,711,1032,166,5261,780,3221,777,5881,240,5421,214,0491,104,6791,100,422879,187830,82416,150,431MexicoChina*IndiaPhilippinesVietnamEl SalvadorCubaKoreaDominican RepublicGuatemalaOther11,711,1032,166,5261,780,3221,777,5881,240,5421,214,0491,104,6791,100,422879,187830,82416,150,431

Sheet1NumberPercentNumberPercentNumberPercentTotal LEP1,816,599100.062,511100.0Top LEP LanguagesSpanish915,74250.4China*6,55610.5Chinese*299,56016.5Jamaica3,3705.4Russian113,9436.3Ecuador3,1745.1French Creole48,5012.7Trinidad1,8232.9Korean47,2012.6Haiti1,5812.5Italian39,0762.2Bangladesh1,5452.5Bengali38,7142.1India1,4202.3Polish29,9281.6Yiddish29,7681.6Arabic26,6071.5

Sheet1Table 2Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York City's Top 10 Foreign-born Groups2010 ACS PUMS

Educational Attainment3% Limited% High School% CollegeTotalEnglishGraduateGraduatePopulationSex RatioProficient2or Higheror Higher

Total8,185,3149023.779.333.3Native-born5,138,863936.586.239.7Foreign-born3,046,4518750.071.726.3Dominican Republic378,1997169.955.610.7China1351,3148978.359.925.1Mexico187,08614483.342.24.8Jamaica169,863750.777.919.3Guyana138,549832.377.219.0Ecuador138,09711277.058.89.8Haiti97,5167250.279.717.6Trinidad and Tobago84,347660.486.315.9India72,80311237.981.952.8Russia70,1237063.591.349.3

Sheet1Table 2Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York City's Top 10 Foreign-born Groups2010 ACS PUMS

Income and PovertyLabor ForceMedianParticipation Rate4HouseholdPovertyMalesFemalesIncome Rate

Total75.966.7$48,36620.3Native-born70.367.1$51,79221.3Foreign-born83.266.1$44,33518.6Dominican Republic77.666.4$30,22925.9China176.766.4$40,50621.5Mexico94.348.9$37,28228.5Jamaica78.882.9$49,37413.4Guyana81.776.5$60,4579.0Ecuador89.159.8$43,73117.2Haiti80.874.4$44,94016.2Trinidad and Tobago80.477.2$42,32014.3India81.956.5$61,66713.1Russia83.273.3$42,32014.8