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Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Restoring flight is our business.
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Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Apr 14, 2018

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Page 1: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development

Restoring flight is our business.

Page 2: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

A320 Series

Page 3: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Why the A320 Series? Factors Affecting Values Approx 5,300 aircraft still in service. (109 recycled)

Strong demand for airframe material HOWEVER… Commonality between newer A320s and classic

A320s is low – this is affecting values

Component values depreciation rate increasing

Retirement rate of current A320 fleet will accelerate with arrival of the NEO

Engine type directly affects aircraft values. CFM56-5A1 and V2500-A1 engines in low demand – very little value

Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available

A319s retirements starting to happen

Page 4: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

A320 Series Disassembly Dynamics CFM56-5B and V2500-A5 Engines and material

in very high demand. Solid lease candidates

CFM56-5A / V2500-A1 / PW6000 Engine and material in low demand – little value for redeployment or part-out

Older A320 component values falling

Newer A318/19/20/21 component values high and will continue to have strong demand (post 2001 build airframes will have 90% commonality with A320NEO

Strong demand for major assets (APU/TRs,etc)

Page 5: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

A330 Series

Page 6: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Why the A330? Factors Affecting Values Strong Demand for Aircraft (primarily RR powered)

Popular with Medium/Long Haul LCCs

Very low CASM.

Currently 944 in Service/40 in storage

Older airframes better recycling candidate

Airlines phasing out early models

Freighter conversion candidates – a work in progress

High demand for PW4000 and CF6 engines/material

RR Trent powered aircraft most popular with operators however little value / demand for RR material

Page 7: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

A330 Disassembly Dynamics Only 7 Aircraft Torn Down- MAS, Aer Lingus,

and bmi Airframes

PW4000 & CF6 engine material- solid demand

Solid demand for airframe components

Commonality between older A330 and A340

Strong demand for major assets- Heavy Weight Landing Gear / APU / TRs

Good demand for PW4000 and Trent TRs and Nose Cowls

Market saturation is a concern moving forward

Page 8: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

A340 Series

Page 9: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Why the A340? Factors Affecting Values A340-200/300 retirements accelerating. Its not an

economical aircraft.

A340-500/600 was not a popular aircraft with operators – very high CASM and reliabiliy issues.

Limited demand for CFM56-5C engines.

NO demand for RR Trent 500 Engines or material. RR has damaged this market (A340-5/600).

Over 80% commonality with A330 on components – this is driving the strong demand for material.

Solid demand for major assets (TRs, landing gear, etc)

As component values decrease, operators are buying rather than repairing.

Page 10: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Boeing 737NG Series

Page 11: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Why the Boeing 737NG? Factors Affecting Values B737-600 a lost leader – never was in high demand.

Retired aircraft being recycled.

B737-7/800 mass produced – over 4000 in service.

B737-700/800 are beginning to be retired. Rate will increase towards 2017 and 737MAX deliveries.

Recent resurgence in the market has seen aircraft destined for recycling redeployed as flyers. This will be short-term.

B737-600 / 700 / 800 / 900 high commonality with components and major assets.

Component values decreasing – by approx 50% over the past 7 years. Trend to continue.

Page 12: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Boeing 737NG Disassembly Dynamics Very high demand for CFM56-7B Engines

Higher thrust (24K/26K) and SAC (not DAC) in highest demand

Engines and solid lease candidates

Airframe components in high demand due to the shear number of aircraft flying.

Major assets selling strong (APU/TRs/Nose inlets/landing gear).

Strong demand by Support Program (PBH, etc) suppliers to replenish stock.

Page 13: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Boeing 737 Classic Series

Page 14: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

Boeing 737 Classic B737-300/400/500 aircraft available in mass quantity on the market

300/400 being redeployed as freighter conversions – has given some new but limited life to the market

Most assets now flying in Eastern Europe/South-East Asia/Africa (1200+)

Airframe component values have plummeted – airframe worth approx $100K

Major asset values falling – solid demand for material on the market at the lower values

Hundreds of airframes being disassembled and recycled

Strong demand for CFM56 engine material (following slide)

Page 15: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

CFM56-3 Engine

Page 16: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Aircraft Valuation Panel- 2013 AFRA Annual Meeting

CFM56-3 Engine CFM56-3 market has deteriorated – high number of engines being

disassembled, lots of LLP available on the market, and many new players in the MRO business.

Demand continues to be strong in the lower end of the market.

Many “new” operators are operating hot and high – high thrust engines with green time in high demand. (CFM56-3C1)

Solid lease candidates but lease rates falling rapidly.

Trend will continue as phase-outs of B737 Classics continue.

PMA material really affecting engine values and asset values not meeting expectation at time of sale.

Page 17: Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Lewis Vice President- Business Development ... Several older A320/A321 aircraft now available A319s retirements starting to happen .

Jeff Lewis Vice President- Business Development Email: [email protected]

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