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Jean-Louis W eber, 7 June2010 Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency “The same rule of self-destructive financial calculation governs every walk of life. We destroy the beauty of the countryside because the unappropriated splendours of nature have no economic value. We are capable of shutting off the sun and the stars because they do not pay a dividend.” John Maynard Keynes 1933 “ Because National Accounts are based on financial transactions, they account for nothing Nature, to which we don’t owe anything in terms of payments but to which we owe everything in terms of livelihood.” Bertrand de Jouvenel 1968 Solutions for Sustaining Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services International Conference and Workshop – Salzau Castle and Kiel University June 7th 2010 – June 11th 2010 Beyond GDP: Ecosystem services as components of progress, wealth and well-being
39

Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Mar 27, 2015

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Page 1: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Jean-Louis WeberSenior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h.,

European Environment Agency

“The same rule of self-destructive financial calculation governs every walk of life. We destroy the beauty of the countryside because the unappropriated splendours of nature have no economic value. We are capable of shutting off the sun and the stars because they do not pay a dividend.” John Maynard Keynes 1933

“ Because National Accounts are based on financial transactions, they account for nothing Nature, to which we don’t owe anything in terms of payments but to which we owe everything in terms of livelihood.” Bertrand de Jouvenel 1968

Solutions for Sustaining Natural Capital and Ecosystem ServicesInternational Conference and Workshop – Salzau Castle and Kiel University

June 7th 2010 – June 11th 2010

Beyond GDP: Ecosystem services as components of progress, wealth and well-being

Page 2: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Accounting for nature: recurrent policy demands

Cost and benefits of meeting policy targetsWater Framework Directive “good ecological quality of catchnments”, “full recovery of costs”

EU Climate change programme carbon emission offset costs

Environmental Liability Directive remediation costs of impacts

Natura2000 (as application of ELD 2004): restoration or replacement of degraded sites costs

And environmental sector policies: agriculture, regions, energy…

Adjust or supplement GDPGDP and Beyond “dashboard” of pressure indicators + “basket” of impact indicators

“Stiglitz/Sen/Fitoussi” report focus on Income (underinvestment) and Consumption (overconsumption)

TEEB (G8+5 initiative, UNEP, CBD) benefits from ES (+ ecosystem capital accounting)

Environmental performance of the economyDecoupling from resource use and generation of residuals / Material flows accounts

Decoupling from impacts / Life cycle analysis

+ insisting demand for information fit to be used in the actual decision process (incl. during the budgetary debates) Fit for policy trade-offs both physical and monetary indicators

Annual updates, like GDP nowcasting

Ecosystem capital accounting – fast track implementation by EEA & Eurostat

Page 3: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

GDP at 3% = "sustainable growth"

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

GDP

17 Mio km2 22 Mio km2Available

cropland

Solutions:technology &

change in consumption

patterns

Solutions: conservative

land use & soil ecological

management

Without soil conservation (land use) and soil ecological management, technological/economic solutions are not likely to be effective... And reciprocally...

GDP and the need to account for resource use and the ecosystem capital

Page 4: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Accounting, transparency and prudence

• All accounting guidelines and norms have been established against opaque handling of money and possible manipulation of accounting reports and statistics.

• Business accounting standards require “completeness” and “maintenance of capital” for “determination of profit”.

• Requirements for national accounts are quite similar. They include “consumption without reducing ... real net worth”.

Page 5: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Concepts of Capital Maintenance and the Determination of Profit

“104. The concepts of capital in paragraph 102 give rise to the following concepts of capital maintenance:

• (a) Financial capital maintenance. (...)

• (b) Physical capital maintenance. Under this concept a profit is earned only if the physical productive capacity (or operating capability) of the enterprise (or the resources or funds needed to achieve that capacity) at the end of the period exceeds the physical productive capacity at the beginning of the period, after excluding any distributions to, and contributions from, owners during the period.”

Page 6: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

SEEA2003: enlargement of SNA1993 (now 2008)for a better description of the economy-environment relation

Natural resources EcosystemsEconomic

assets (SNA) Non-economic

assets

Openingstocks

Opening stocks Opening State

SNAtransactions

and otherflows

Changes instocks

Changesin stocks

Economicactivities,

naturalprocesses,

etc.

Changesin state

Closing stocks Closing stocks

Closing state

Described in SNA

RM HASSAN - UN The System of Environmental and Economic Accounting (UN 2003) - RANESA Workshop June 12-16, 2005 Maputo

Volume 1

Statistical Standard

expenditure, taxes, hybrid accounts, physical flows,

sub-soil, energy, water land,economic assets depletion

Volume 2

Non Standard Accounts

ecosystems, quality,

valuation…

Revision SEEA2012/13

Macro-ecological closure(non-linear feedback, spatial issues)

Impacts on ecosystems & related services/benefits

Page 7: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Consumption of fixed capital in the UN SNA 2008“6.240 Consumption of fixed capital is the decline, during the course of the accounting

period, in the current value of the stock of fixed assets owned and used by a producer as a result of physical deterioration, normal obsolescence or normal accidental damage.

6.241 Consumption of fixed capital does not, therefore, cover the depletion or degradation of natural assets such as land, mineral or other deposits, coal, oil, or natural gas…”

Depreciation of natural assets in financial corporate accounts Subsoil Assets plus Timber and Fish stocks are depreciated for computing profit and (net) fiscal benefit.

Ecosystem capital depreciation/ consumptionNeither business accounts nor national accounts are recording it. Consumption of ecosystem capital is however an important variable when looking at sustainability issues for both business and governments.

Where are we, regarding ecosystems?

Page 8: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

What is ecosystem capital?

• All ecosystems: forests, wetlands, heathland, grassland, sand and dunes, rivers and lakes, lagoons, estuaries, the sea, the atmosphere, the soil, agro-systems, and urban systems…

• Ecosystems services are made of– resources which can be privately used (being privately or collectively owned): land,

crops, timber, fish, water…

and – functions like ecosystem renewal capacity and life support which are public goods

• Ecosystem state depends on resource extraction/harvesting which should not go beyond threshold values. Resource depletion and ecosystem degradation are entangled.

Page 9: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

3 – Ecosystem healthy state: public good, non-rival, non-exclusive use, non-transferable ownership rights

(green taxes as general source for maintenance, but offset certificates could be traded or leased)

1 – SNA produced & non produced

assets: mostly for

commodities (private goods &

govt services)

Assets, services and values: 3 dimensions

Regu

latin

g Recreating

2 - Non produced assets/ other services: mostly common

goods, could be traded

Provisioning

Page 10: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Primary benefits,

externalities & rents

[mostly private]

Ecosystem biophysical structures &

processes[landscapes,

biodiversity, Net Primary Production...]

Ecosystem functions

[nutrient cycling, water regulation,

habitats, biomass...] Ecosystem services

[provision, regulation, socio-cultural

services]

Payments to get usage of commodities & assets embedding

ES

[purchaser price, lease, fee & royalties]

Payments to get usage of commodities & assets embedding

ES

[purchaser price, lease, fee & royalties]

Physical flowsPhysical flows

Monetary flowsMonetary flows

Weber, J.-L., 2010,

adapted from Haines-Young, R. & Potschin, M.

Payments to maintain ES

benefits

[actual protection

expenditure embedded into

prices, insurance

premiums, annuities & interest of

loans, green taxes,

green subsidies]

Payments to maintain ES

benefits

[actual protection

expenditure embedded into

prices, insurance

premiums, annuities & interest of

loans, green taxes,

green subsidies]

Additional payments stated policy targets needed to restore ecosystem capacity up to

[corporate & public accounting norms, environmental laws & regulations, international conventions]

Additional payments stated policy targets needed to restore ecosystem capacity up to

[corporate & public accounting norms, environmental laws & regulations, international conventions]

Accounting for ecosystem services &

capital maintenance

Accounting for ecosystem services &

capital maintenance

Page 11: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Natural resource & services (left) vs. systems health (right)

Based on a painting by Niki de St Phalle

Page 12: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Policies: Resource Use and Ecosystem Capital Maintenance

ECOSYSTEM CAPITAL MAN-MADE CAPITAL

Land

Water

Bio-Carbon

Fauna-Flora

Functional Services

Commodities

Biod

iver

sity

Agriculture policyRegional policy

Transport/ urban policiesEnergy policy

Environmental policies

Fossil energy and materials

Nat

ural

Res

ourc

es

Inputs & Residuals

Page 13: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Products & assets

Fossil energy & materials

Bio-carbon

Water

Land functional services

Economy performance

Economic growthTradeValue-added, income, profit… ConsumptionInvestment Wealth (non-financial and financial assets)

Economic health(net savings, assets and debt quality, accountability, prices, well-being, knowledge)

Ecosystem potential (capacity to deliver services)

Ecosystem productivityFlowsAccumulation Stocks

Ecosystem health (biodiversity, integrity, resilience, interdependence)

Capital maintenance

(allowance “set aside” from the previous

accounting period)

Accounting for the performance(s) of 2 co-evolving systems: resources, productivity and health

Economic systemN

atur

e

(SUM)

(SUM)

Use of natural

resources

Page 14: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Valuation: macro and micro economics

Page 15: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Operation costs E.S n

Operation costs E.S 5

Operation costs E.S 4

Operation costs E.S 3

Operation costs E.S 2

Operation costs E.S 1

Stocks & flows HealthLand coverBiomass/CarbonSoilBiodiversityWater catchmentsSeaAtmosphere

VigourOrganisationResilienceAutonomyHealthy populations

Ecosystem / public good protection (all services)

Service 1: e.g. timber provision

Service 3: e.g. eco-tourism

Service 4: e.g. water regulation

Service 2: e.g. fish provision

Service 5: e.g. existence

Service n

Service 1 value

Service 4 value

Service 3 value

Service 2 value

Service 5 value ?

Service n value ??

Ecosystem Accounting: Green National Accounts and Costs-Benefits Analysis

National Accounts =the macro-economic picture

adjusted for natural capital depreciation

Benefits & Costs Assessments =inclusive accounts for projects,

sectors…

1 32 4 5

Ecological Taxes, Subsidies, Tradable Offset Certificates / Depreciation...

Ecosystem services valuation Bottom-up, individual preferences, market and shadow prices,

Costs-Benefits Analysis, General Equilibrium model

Top-Down, collective preferences, multi-criteria decision (economic & social values, long term targets…), Consumption of Ecosystem Capital

Ecosystem restoration costs

Ecosystem capital

n

Service 2: e.g. fish provision

2

Page 16: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Natural assets valuation and depreciation

• Non renewable assets and wealth maintenance, depletion• Depletion as difference between assets value at 2 dates• Problem when assets market prices statistics are uncertain use of the Net

Present Value of future benefits as a surrogate (SEEA2003, SNA2008)• Problems when using NPV: price volatility on speculative markets; depletion

valuation uncertain and not considered as a capital consumption in flows accounts (SNA2008)

• A more robust solution: the El Serafy “User Cost” methodology. Income from assets should be maintained by reinvesting one part of the operation rent. Only physical depletion of stock needs to be measured.

• Renewable assets (ecosystems...)• Statistics on prices limited to the economic capital (owned and managed) • NPV doesn’t work (see next slides)• El Serafy rule needs to be adapted: when assets are renewable, the objective is

no more to maintain income flows but instead to maintain their capacity of delivering services

Page 17: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Financial value of natural assets = “Net Present Value” of expected future benefits

= NPV

If surveys or econometric models tell how much homo economicus is willing to pay for ecosystem services, there is

no need to monitor Nature!

“NPV” doesn’t give appropriate valuation of ecosystem degradation

Conventional economic theory: asset depreciation = difference between asset values at two dates

Two options for assets valuation (see SNA2008):1. Use assets market prices when they exist2. Use the “fair valuation” rule of financial assets when no observed or reliable price exists

NB: 1. and 2. are assumed to be equivalent under the condition of “perfect market”

Page 18: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Ecosystem capital accounting: asset = “quantity*quality”, only change is priced (imputed remediation costs)

Restoration

+Purchaser price =

Final Consumption at

the full costRemediation

cost

Degradation

Page 19: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Two approaches of benefits: bottom-up and top-down

1. Bottom-up: valuation of ecosystem services• Micro-economic valuation: case studies, CBA of projects or of sector policies • Disentangling of ES values (rents) from market values of commodities (e.g. Provisioning

services) or assets (e.g. Regulating services) and addition of contingent “non use” values.• Require strong assumptions such as discount rates and opportunity costs• Limited consistency with national accounts prices, therefore weak comparability• Theoretical and statistical issues in aggregation (e.g. “benefit transfers” issue in a general

equilibrium context)• Relevance: ecosystem assessments, support to scenarios (e.g. The TEEB/ COPI (Cost of Policy

Inaction) study)2. Top-down: sustainable macro-economic benefits based on ES• Acknowledgement of the difficulties above mentioned• Functional definition of benefits as Income made possible by sustainable ecosystem services • Limitations: function are non additive.• Advantages:

– Statistical feasibility using input out put analysis, – Considers the full chain of beneficiaries of embedded rents, not only the primary producers or/and

the final consumers

Page 20: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

CICES: a general classification for accounting for ecosystem services

• CICES: Common International Classification of Ecosystem Goods and Services (CICES) for Integrated Environmental and Economic Accounting

• Cross referenced with international classifications (CPC, COICOP...)

• Discussed in 2 international workshops at the EEA, Dec.2009 and Dec 2010. and a discussion forum at http://cices.eu/

• (V1) submitted in March 2010 to the UN Committee on economic environmental accounting in view of the SEEA revision

• Aim at being a standard and the common platform for ecosystem services accounts and assessments

Page 21: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Table E.2: Thematic, Class and Group Structure Proposed for CICES

Theme Class GroupTerrestrial plant and animal foodstuffs

Freshwater plant and animal foodstuffs

Marine plant and animal foodstuffs

Potable water

Biotic materials

Abiotic materials

Renewable biofuels

Renewable abiotic energy sources

Bioremediation

Dilution and sequestration

Air flow regulation

Water flow regulation

Mass flow regulation

Atmospheric regulation

Water quality regulation

Pedogenesis and soil quality regulation

Lifecycle maintenance & habitat protection

Pest and disease control

Gene pool protection

Aesthetic, Heritage

Religious and spiritual

Recreation and community activities

Information & knowledge

Symbolic

Intellectual and Experiential

Provisioning

Regulation and Maintenance

Cultural

Nutrition

Materials

Energy

Regulation of wastes

Flow regulation

Regulation of physical environment

Regulation of biotic environment

Source, CICES proposal, Roy Haines Young and Marion Potschin eds, EEA, 2010

Page 22: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Implementing accounts for ecologically sustainable macro-economic benefits

• Benefits are extracted from economic statistics on the basis of surveys and/or Input-Output Analysis (see next slide). No further modeling with elasticity coefficients, substitution assumptions…

• Ecological sustainability coefficients are directly derived from physical ecosystem accounts (degradation)

• The policy message is simple: “no fish, no fishermen, no transporters of fish, no transformers/processers, no retailers and no final consumption”

• Income distribution along the complete production/distribution chain being described, the blame for degradation (overfishing, overharvesting, intensive practices…) doesn’t fall anymore on the primary producer alone (fisherman, farmer or forester) or on the final consumer; the responsibility of every links of the chain is measured, including export-imports.

• The cost of nature protection is not referred to a mere conservationism ideal but to the sustainability of agriculture, forestry and fisheries.

• In Europe ecosystem accounting, the first three “functional services” (agriculture, forestry and fisheries) currently tested by EEA and Eurostat may be followed by tourism and water regulation (following progress at JRC)

Page 23: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Benefits : How to proceed in order to determine the „real significance“ for the whole economy of ES based economic activity? The „hypothetical extraction“ approach

T : 3 x 3 matrix

Y : 3 x 3 matrix

P : 2 x 3 matrix

x : 3 x 1 vector

z : 3 x 1 vector

A : 3 x 3 matrix

Step 1: Calculation of input coefficents (both transaction T and primary input P coefficients)

24

Wuppertal Institut: José Acosta Fernández

IO Table of a fictional 3 x 3 production system

Activities ∑ Fina l use ∑ Output

S1 S2 S3 IO PH GFC EXP FU

G1

G2 T z Y y x

G3

∑ Txt

IMP PGVA

Output x

Input coefficient matrix

S1 S2 S3

G1

G2 A = T * <x>-1

G3

IMP

GVA P * <x>-1

Page 24: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Step 2: Assumption that an economic activity does not longer exist or ceases its production (elimination of column 2 and row 2, respectively)

woS2A : 2 x 2 matrix

woS2y : 2 x 1 vector

woS2 : without Sector 2

Original input coefficients matrix

S1 S2 S3 New input coefficients matrix

G1 S1 S3

G2 A G1

G3 G3

IMP IMP

GVA GVA

Original final use

FU New final use

G1 FU

G2 G1

G3 G3

woS2A

woS2y

25

Wuppertal Institut: José Acosta Fernández

The „hypothetical extraction“ approach

Page 25: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

From step 1

Activities ∑ Fina l use ∑ Output

S1 S2 S3 IO PH GFC EXP FU

G1

G2 T z Y y x

G3

∑ Txt

IMP P

GVA + Txt

Output x - woS2xt

From step 3 ∆x Activities ∑ Fina l use ∑ Output - x2

S1 S3 IO PH GFC EXP FU x TE = Total Effect

G1

G3

∑ woS2xt

IMP

GVA

Output

woS2T woS2Y woS2x

woS2P

woS2x

Step x: Calculation of reduction of total production due to ceasing of the production by sector 2 a) ∆x = Txt – woS2xt

b) TE = Total effect = ∆x – x2

∆x : Direct and indirect total domestic production of the whole economy induced by sector 2. It includes the own production of sector 2.

x2 : Own domestic production of sector 2

ES2 : Direct and indirect domestic total production of other sectors induced by production of sector 2

Step y: Application of this procedure on each sector of original production systemStep z: Calculation of Gross Value Added effect by sector

26

Wuppertal Institut: José Acosta Fernández

The „hypothetical extraction“ approach

Page 26: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Interpretation of „Total GVA-Effect Matrix“ resulting of the linkage of the„Total Effects/Flows Matrix“ of hypothetical extraction with the national Gross Value Added

Backward GVA/GDP effects by sector:Total quantity of Gross Value, which cannot be added by itself and by the product suppliers of sector j, if sector j reduces or ceases its production

Forward GVA/GDP effects by sector:Total quantity of Gross Value, which cannot be added by itself and by the users of the products of sector i, if sector i reduces or ceases its production

02.06.2010 - EEA workshop

27

Wuppertal Institut: José Acosta Fernández

TEGVA = < g > * TE Forward effects

GVA-TE1 GVA-TEj GVA-TEnF∑o

F∑jF∑o + F∑j

GVA-TE1

GVA-TEi

GVA-TEn

B∑o

B∑i

B∑o + B∑i

Page 27: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Implementing accounts for ecosystem restoration costs

Page 28: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Simplified Ecosystem Accounts for Degradation & Depreciation : a “Cubist” Approach

Multi-criteriadiagnosis

Georges Braque – H

arbour in N

ormandy, 1909

Water Index(exergy loss

from evaporation & pollution)

Bio-productivity Index

(carbon, biomass, diversion from

Nature)

Biodiversity Index

(rarefaction,loss of

adaptability)

Dependency Index

(land, soil, energy,water, N,P,K...)

Landscape Index

(the LandscapeEcological Potential)

Health Index (human, wildlife and plants populations)

Total Ecological Potential (terrestrial ecosystems)

Total Ecological Potential (terrestrial ecosystems)

Total Ecological Potential (terrestrial ecosystems)

Health Index (human, wildlife and plants populations)

Health Index (human, wildlife and plants populations)

Water Index(exergy loss

from evaporation & pollution)

Water Index(exergy loss

from evaporation & pollution)

Landscape Index

(the LandscapeEcological Potential)

Landscape Index

(the LandscapeEcological Potential)

Carbon/ biomass(carbon, biomass,

diversion fromNature)

Carbon/ biomass(carbon, biomass,

diversion fromNature)

Biodiversity Index

(rarefaction,loss of

adaptability)

Biodiversity Index

(rarefaction,loss of

adaptability)

Dependency Index

(land, soil, energy,water, N,P,K...)

Dependency Index

(land, soil, energy,water, N,P,K...)

Change in TEP * € = Consumption of Ecosystem CapitalNo valuation of ecosystem assets is needed

Page 29: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Change in Total

Ecosystem Potential

Change in Total

Ecosystem Potential

Serv

ices

Sect

ors

Spati

al U

nitsBa

sic

phys

ical

bal

ance

s

Spati

al U

nits

Hea

lth

coun

ts

Water resource, supply & use

Land Use (surfaces

& commodities)

Carbon/ biomass resource,

supply & use

Water functions & ecosystem

services

Land functions & ecosystem

services

Carbon/ biomass

functions & ecosystem

services

Water bodies resource & abstraction

Land cover stocks & change

Carbon/ biomass

resource and extraction/ harvesting

Water quantity & quality

Landscape patterns

Carbon/ Biomass,

productivity

Human morbidity/

environment & food security

Dependency fromregulating ecosystem

services

Biodiversity related

ecosystem services

Distribution of critical areas for

health

Natural and semi-natural

habitats & species

distribution

Water, C, energy, NPK,

subsidies

Ecosystem health factors

Biodiversity factors

Net external balances by

socio-ecosystems

LCA: impacts of chemical,, on human and

wildlife health

Fishing, hunting, harvesting of

wild species (non cultivated)

Sect

ors

Expe

nditu

re

acco

unts Water

protection & management

Land protection & management

Carbon/ biomass

Protection & management

Health protection/

environment

Biodiversity protection

Agriculture & fishery subsidies

Virtual land, water, and carbon use

(domestic and in imports)

Spati

al U

nits

Inde

xes Water Index

(exergy lossfrom evaporation

& pollution)

Landscape Index

(the LandscapeEcological Potential)

Carbon/ biomass

Index(carbon, biomass,

diversion fromNature)

Health Index (human, wildlife

and plants populations)

Biodiversity Index

(rarefaction,loss of

adaptability)

Inter-dependency

Index (land, soil, energy,

water, N,P,K...)

Maintenance/ Restoration

Costs

Ecosystem capital

depreciation

degradation

mean

Fast track implementation of simplified ecosystem capital accounts in Europe / costs

Page 30: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Corine land cover map (CLC is derived from satellite images)

Green Landscape Index (derived from CLC)

Nature Value (Naturilis, derived from Natura2000 designated areas)

Fragmentation (Effective Mesh Size (MEFF) derived from TeleAtlas Roads and CLC)

Landscape Ecological Potential (LEP) 2000, by 1km² grid cell

LEP 2000 by NUTS 2/3

Land Ecosystem Account: Landscape Ecological Potential

and

Page 31: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Landscape ecosystem potential and change

Improvement

Degradation

Page 32: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Accounting for ecosystem capital embedded into trade

Because ecosystem capital depreciation is not recorded, the commodities based on ecosystem services are underpriced, which is reflected in smaller South-North flows.

Global trade: the picture in US$

Page 33: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

International Trade Statistics: Virtual land use & agriculture footprints

Trends in EU virtual land flows: EU agricultural land use through international trade between 1995-2005. Manel van der Sleen, EEA 2009

Net virtual land use between EU and major trade partners

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Milj

oe

ne

n

Years

La

nd

us

e i

n h

ec

tare

s

UNITED STATES

UKRAINE

SAUDI ARABIA

RUSSIAN FEDERATION(RUSSIA)INDONESIA (ID+TP from77,excl. TP -> 2001)GHANA

COTE D'IVOIRE

CANADA

BRAZIL

ARGENTINA

Accounting for embedded water, carbon... is part of ecosystem capital accounting

Page 34: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Back to GDP...

Page 35: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Conditions for effective and efficient adjustment of national accounts

Important characteristics of National Accounts– National accounts are mostly based on statistics – only a few indirect

measurements (e.g. government production) and a very few estimations (constant prices, fixed capital depreciation and assets valuation when the NPV rule is chosen).

– National accounts observe the past: prices and consumption level/structure are given (NB: valuations based on willingness to pay are forward looking and include consumer surplus – therefore they are not consistent with observed market prices); in NA, the link to future is presented via subtraction of Consumption of Fixed Capital from National Income and Net Savings.

– National accounts are … national, and annual (even quarterly) macro-economic syntheses

Adjustments of costs and benefits must meet NA standards to be effective and efficient– robust which means based on verifiable statistics and monitoring data– backed upon physical accounts and indicators;– regularly updated for meeting the policy agenda, at least once per year– and clearly interconnected with the regular macro-economic tools

Page 36: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Final Consumption at

Full Cost of Commodities

Adjusted Real Net National Income

CEC: Adjustment of National Income and Final Consumption

Page 37: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

[future] Integration with National Accounts aggregates

Final Consumption [purchaser price] Final Consumption [full cost]

Adjusted Disposable National Income National Income

Ecosystem Adjusted Net Savings Net Savings

Consumption of Ecosystem Capital GDP

Consumption of Material/Energy GDP

Domestic + Foreign Ecological Liabilities Domestic +Foreign Ecological Fin’l Assets

ES based Sustainable Income Sectors and Social groups

ES based Sustainable Consumption ES based Commodities Consumption

Environment: mitigation of

nature degradation,

compensation, restoration

Social: sustainable

consumption, new skills & jobs,

benefits by social groups

Economy: performance,

double-decoupling, capital

maintenance, ecological debts

Sustainable macro-economic benefits based

ecosystem services

Remediation costs of

ecosystem capital

degradation

Page 38: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

F inal C onsumption [purchaser price] F inal C onsumption [full cost]

Adjusted Disposable National Income National Income

E cosystem Adjusted Net S avings Net S avings

C onsumption of E cosystem C apitalG DP

C onsumption of Material/E nergyG DP

Domestic + F oreign E cological L iabilitiesDomestic +F oreign E cological F in’l Assets

E S based S ustainable IncomeS ectors and S ocial groups

E S based S ustainable C onsumption E S based C ommodities C onsumption

E nvironment:mitigation of

nature degradation,

compensation, res toration

S oc ial: sustainable

consumption, new skills & jobs ,

benefits by social groups

E c onomy: performance,

double-decoupling,

capital maintenance,

ecological debts

S us tainable mac ro-

ec onomic benefits bas ed

ec os ys tem s ervic es

R emediation c os ts of

ec os ys tem c apital

deg radation

[future] Integration with National Accounts aggregates

Sustainable Development = Thriving ecosystems producing altogether:• economic resources• carbon• biodiversity• clean air, clean water• options for the future (“development as freedom” – A. Sen)

“double decoupling”

“over-consumption & under-investment”

“sustainable benefits from ecosystem services”

“adjusted net savings” & “ecological debts”

Page 39: Jean-Louis Weber Senior adviser on economic and environmental accounting, ad h., European Environment Agency The same rule of self-destructive financial.

Jean-Louis Weber, 7 June 2010

Thank you for your attention!

Jean-Louis Weber [email protected]