COMPANY NEWS Analyst: Mark Po FDG Electric Vehicles Limited [0729.HK; HK$0.40 Not Rated] - Trial production kicked off Market Cap: US$999m; Free Float: 63.6%; 3-month Average Daily Turnover: US$5.0m The Company. FDG Electric Vehicles Limited [0729.HK] (FDG) is currently engaged in 3 business lines including: a) Power Battery/Energy Storage; (PB), b) Electric Vehicles (EV); and c) Electric Vehicle Leasing (EVL). We recently visited FDG production facility in Hangzhou and had discussion with senior management regarding FDG’s strategy on EV development and battery business. FDG, through acquisition, entered into EV manufacturing in 2014. First phase of FDG production facility in Hangzhou has designed annual capacity of 100,000 vehicles with a total investment of RMB2.6bn. The production facility is highly automated and installed over 200 high- end 7-axles robotic arms in different production processes such as welding, assembling, painting and testing. The company’s Hangzhou factory has designed annual capacity of 100,000 vehicles, mainly producing 2-seater pure electric passenger cars, 5-seater pure electric passenger cars, and 6-9 meter long electric minibuses. The Hangzhou production facility is now in trial production. Utilization rate is still low at this moment as the company is fine tuning production process to comply with standards set by in-house industry experts. We also conducted a test-drive in FDG’s electric luxury mid-size bus at a speed of over 100km. There is a 10” multimedia panel installed for information display and control. The luxury mid-size bus easily climbed up 35 degree slope during the test drive. FDG has another production facility in Kunming, where the designed capacity is 4,500 vehicles - 2,500 buses and 2,000 minibuses & commercial vehicles. FDG subscribed to a US$2m note and promised subsequent capital injections into Smith Electric Vehicles (SEV), a US-based EV manufacturer. SEV has blue-chip partners including Fedex, Pepsi Cola, Staples and Coca-Cola. Electric vehicles for SEV are ready to ship in near term. Management believes that cooperation with SEV will help expand FDG business to Europe, Middle East, US and Asia. FDG is now marketing its electric minibuses to local government agencies and departments. According to management, demand for electric minibuses is strong due to central government’s policy of supporting development of EV and reduction of PM2.5 emission. Especially management mentioned that the company had a strong presence in Hangzhou, where the Hangzhou government targets to replace all conventional buses for public transportation in 2016 and 2017. The cash production cost of each electric minibus is about RMB450,000-RMB500,000. With government subsidies, FDG can make a profit of about RMB300,000-RMB400,000 per minibus. FDG is also one of the 10 companies complied with MIIT’s January 13, 2016 Source: Bloomberg, Company Data. [FDG Electric Vehicles Limited] standards to produce lithium batteries for EV. FDG announced that CITIC Limited would subscribe 1,000,000,000 FDG shares at HK$0.465. The proceeds from placement is used for plant expansion in Hangzhou and production of EV. Completion of share placement to CITIC Limited will boost sentiment on FDG. FDG reported losses in last several financial years and share price movement may be volatile given the lack of track record in EV industry and weak market sentiment. Concerns on slowing shipment of EV in 1Q 2016 due to demand front loading in 4Q 2015 may cap near term upside for EV supply chain. However, long term outlook for the EV supply chain remains positive given government’s supporting policy. Key risks for FDG include: a) change in government policy and b) car accident. 0 100 200 300 400 500 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 Jan15 Mar15 May15 Jul15 Sep15 Nov15 (HK$ million) (HK$) Turnover (RHS) Price (LHS) Key Financials (in HK$ m) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Revenue 59.4 53.9 84.0 307.4 Gross Profit 4.8 7.2 6.9 74.3 Gross Margin % 8.1 13.4 8.3 24.2 Net Profit (442.3) (324.4) (906.4) (409.8) Net Margin % (744.2) (602.5) (1,079.6) (133.3) EPS (Basic) (0.04) (0.03) (0.07) (0.02) ROE (%) (86.2) (74.6) (87.4) (21.5) Dividend Yield (%) - - - - PER (x) (9.71) (13.79) (6.00) (16.95) PBR (x) 8.31 14.41 3.92 3.45
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January 13, 2016 COMPANY NEWS...COMPANY NEWS Analyst: Mark Po FDG Electric Vehicles Limited [0729.HK; HK$0.40 Not Rated] - Trial production kicked off Market Cap: US$999m; Free Float:
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COMPANY NEWS
Analyst: Mark Po
FDG Electric Vehicles Limited [0729.HK; HK$0.40 Not Rated] -
The Company. FDG Electric Vehicles Limited [0729.HK] (FDG)
is currently engaged in 3 business lines including: a) Power
Battery/Energy Storage; (PB), b) Electric Vehicles (EV); and c)
Electric Vehicle Leasing (EVL).
We recently visited FDG production facility in Hangzhou and had
discussion with senior management regarding FDG’s strategy on
EV development and battery business. FDG, through acquisition,
entered into EV manufacturing in 2014. First phase of FDG
production facility in Hangzhou has designed annual capacity of
100,000 vehicles with a total investment of RMB2.6bn. The
production facility is highly automated and installed over 200 high-
end 7-axles robotic arms in different production processes such as
welding, assembling, painting and testing. The company’s
Hangzhou factory has designed annual capacity of 100,000
vehicles, mainly producing 2-seater pure electric passenger cars,
5-seater pure electric passenger cars, and 6-9 meter long electric
minibuses.
The Hangzhou production facility is now in trial production.
Utilization rate is still low at this moment as the company is fine
tuning production process to comply with standards set by in-house
industry experts. We also conducted a test-drive in FDG’s electric
luxury mid-size bus at a speed of over 100km. There is a 10”
multimedia panel installed for information display and control. The
luxury mid-size bus easily climbed up 35 degree slope during the
test drive. FDG has another production facility in Kunming, where
the designed capacity is 4,500 vehicles - 2,500 buses and 2,000
minibuses & commercial vehicles.
FDG subscribed to a US$2m note and promised subsequent
capital injections into Smith Electric Vehicles (SEV), a US-based
EV manufacturer. SEV has blue-chip partners including Fedex,
Pepsi Cola, Staples and Coca-Cola. Electric vehicles for SEV are
ready to ship in near term. Management believes that cooperation
with SEV will help expand FDG business to Europe, Middle East,
US and Asia.
FDG is now marketing its electric minibuses to local government agencies and departments. According to management, demand for electric minibuses is strong due to central government’s policy of supporting development of EV and reduction of PM2.5 emission. Especially management mentioned that the company had a strong presence in Hangzhou, where the Hangzhou government targets to replace all conventional buses for public transportation in 2016 and 2017. The cash production cost of each electric minibus is about RMB450,000-RMB500,000. With government subsidies, FDG can make a profit of about RMB300,000-RMB400,000 per minibus. FDG is also one of the 10 companies complied with MIIT’s
January 13, 2016
Source: Bloomberg, Company Data.
[FDG Electric Vehicles Limited]
standards to produce lithium batteries for EV.
FDG announced that CITIC Limited would subscribe 1,000,000,000 FDG shares at HK$0.465. The proceeds from placement is used for plant expansion in Hangzhou and production of EV. Completion of share placement to CITIC Limited will boost sentiment on FDG. FDG reported losses in last several financial years and share price movement may be volatile given the lack of track record in EV industry and weak market sentiment. Concerns on slowing shipment of EV in 1Q 2016 due to demand front loading in 4Q 2015 may cap near term upside for EV supply chain. However, long term outlook for the EV supply chain remains positive given government’s supporting policy.
Key risks for FDG include: a) change in government policy and b) car accident.
ROE ROA Div yield Share Price PerformanceP/BPE EV/EBITDA
Figure 2: Heavy Stamping Machine
Source: CGIS Research
Figure 3: Assembling Line
Source: CGIS Research
Figure 4: Assembling Line With Robotic Arms
Source: CGIS Research
Figure 5: Battery Assembling Line
Source: CGIS Research.
Figure 6: Luxury Mid Size Bus
Source: CGIS Research
Figure 7: Test Drive
Source: CGIS Research
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BUY share price will increase by >20% within 12 months in absolute terms :
SELL share price will decrease by >20% within 12 months in absolute terms :
HOLD no clear catalyst, and downgraded from BUY pending clearer signal to reinstate BUY or further downgrade to outright SELL :