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Trends in Trends in Information Information Technology Technology Dr. Lloyd Brooks Dr. Lloyd Brooks The University of Memphis The University of Memphis
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Trends in Information Trends in Information TechnologyTechnology

Dr. Lloyd BrooksDr. Lloyd Brooks

The University of MemphisThe University of Memphis

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Procedures for Assuring Industry Procedures for Assuring Industry Certification StandardsCertification Standards

Statewide testing certification program for Statewide testing certification program for all current business technology teachersall current business technology teachers

Incorporation into teacher education Incorporation into teacher education program by colleges and universities program by colleges and universities offering teacher licensure programsoffering teacher licensure programs

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Over 250 million Microsoft Office users worldwide

Over 95% of all businesses standardize on Microsoft Office

The average user only understands 20% of the functionalityavailable in the Office suite

Four out of five jobs (80%) in today’s workplace require computer literacy skills.

Provides a national standard of competency in technical skills

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Microsoft® Office Specialist 60-second VideoMicrosoft® Office Specialist 60-second Video

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Potential Test Sites in Potential Test Sites in TennesseeTennessee

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Future Movie WatchingFuture Movie Watching

Connects (wireless) to any video source – PC, DVD, TV and so forth

Uses two AA batteries and sells for $499 – Available Now

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Shower Radio With Caller IDShower Radio With Caller ID

Shower

Listen to the Radio

Get Traffic Reports

Check the Time

Check Phone Caller ID

Sells for $49.95

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WOMEN ON THE WEBWOMEN ON THE WEB

Women Surpass Men

Men49.6%Women

50.4%

Source: USA Today

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Search Engine TrendSearch Engine Trend

Google Number 1 – Started in 1998Google Number 1 – Started in 1998 Yahoo/AOL Searches Routed to GoogleYahoo/AOL Searches Routed to Google 88% of All Searches Use Google88% of All Searches Use Google 200 Million Searches Per Day200 Million Searches Per Day 6 Billion Pages on the Web6 Billion Pages on the Web Orders Pages by Popularity in LinksOrders Pages by Popularity in Links Microsoft Announced a Challenge to Microsoft Announced a Challenge to

Google in 2006Google in 2006

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Bill Gates Introduces the Tablet PCBill Gates Introduces the Tablet PC

May change the way that notes are taken

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Speed and Power GrowthSpeed and Power Growth

Processing SpeedProcessing Speed 2 times every 18 months2 times every 18 months

Storage SpaceStorage Space 2 times ever 9 months2 times ever 9 months

Fiber OpticsFiber Optics 2 times every 6 months2 times every 6 months

Internet TrafficInternet Traffic 2 times every 12 months2 times every 12 months

Source: U. S. News and World Report

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Hands-Free Remote ControlHands-Free Remote Control

“Increase Volume”

“Change to Channel 3”

“Record”

Remembers Favorite ChannelsRemembers 54 Different Voice Commands Recognizes 4 Voices

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Keyboard of the FutureKeyboard of the Future Half the size of your average deck of cardsHalf the size of your average deck of cards Sits wirelessly on any flat surfaceSits wirelessly on any flat surface Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on

any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the key locations it has projected, and then sends the key locations it has projected, and then sends the keystrokes through to your PDA or PC keystrokes through to your PDA or PC

Available Now

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Global Positioning SystemsGlobal Positioning Systems

Direct Auto DrivingDirect Auto Driving Integrated into Cell PhoneIntegrated into Cell Phone

Keep Up With ChildrenKeep Up With Children Keep Up With SpouseKeep Up With Spouse

Disney PhoneDisney Phoneis Available Now is Available Now

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Computer Speed TrendsComputer Speed Trends According to According to Moore's LawMoore's Law, computer power doubles every 18 months, , computer power doubles every 18 months,

meaning that computers will be a million times more powerful by 2034.meaning that computers will be a million times more powerful by 2034. At that rate, we’ll see half a trillion operations per At that rate, we’ll see half a trillion operations per

second – 500 times faster than today’s fastest PCs – second – 500 times faster than today’s fastest PCs – in just 15 years. That’s just half way through a 30-in just 15 years. That’s just half way through a 30-year mortgage. Likewise, everyday devices with year mortgage. Likewise, everyday devices with embedded processors could be 10-50 times faster embedded processors could be 10-50 times faster than today’s fastest PCs. They will surely be than today’s fastest PCs. They will surely be networked, and at current growth rates, speeds will networked, and at current growth rates, speeds will exceed 1 gigabit per second in that timeframe.exceed 1 gigabit per second in that timeframe.

  

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Spyware Remains a ProblemSpyware Remains a Problem

We'll also spend a big percentage of the We'll also spend a big percentage of the computer power on defense mechanisms computer power on defense mechanisms such as self-healing software (to root out such as self-healing software (to root out bugs and adapt to changing environments) bugs and adapt to changing environments) and aggressively defensive virus and aggressively defensive virus antibodies. We'll need such software to antibodies. We'll need such software to protect against "social engineering" protect against "social engineering" attacks, such as e-mail that purports to attacks, such as e-mail that purports to come from your boss and asks you to come from your boss and asks you to open an attachment. open an attachment.

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Privacy – A Thing of the PastPrivacy – A Thing of the Past

Such machines would likely surpass the Such machines would likely surpass the capabilities of NEC's Earth Simulator. capabilities of NEC's Earth Simulator. Sensor networks, robots and biological Sensor networks, robots and biological chips would enable us to leave network chips would enable us to leave network management, health care and many management, health care and many household tasks to machines. Every household tasks to machines. Every moment of your life would be preserved on moment of your life would be preserved on video. video.

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Internet StatisticsInternet Statistics

$2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus$2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus 7.9 Million Personal Web Visits From Work 7.9 Million Personal Web Visits From Work

Per MonthPer Month Online Gaming Growth to $14 Billion by Online Gaming Growth to $14 Billion by

20082008 60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal 60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal

Use PurposesUse Purposes 32 % Bought Holiday Gift Online32 % Bought Holiday Gift Online

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Technology TrendsTechnology Trends

The power of an Xbox console is now the The power of an Xbox console is now the equivalent of a supercomputer in 1973equivalent of a supercomputer in 1973

The emergence of digital ink, radio frequency ID The emergence of digital ink, radio frequency ID (RFID) tags to monitor the locations of goods will (RFID) tags to monitor the locations of goods will be two of many ways that networked smart be two of many ways that networked smart objects will manifest themselves objects will manifest themselves

Smart pills will appear in the next decade. These Smart pills will appear in the next decade. These will be engineered to release their drugs at pre-will be engineered to release their drugs at pre-defined times, saving the patient from having to defined times, saving the patient from having to remember to take doses over a period of time remember to take doses over a period of time

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Internet StatisticsInternet Statistics

““Sex” is the Number 1 Search TermSex” is the Number 1 Search Term Workers Spend 21 Hours at Home and 9.5 Workers Spend 21 Hours at Home and 9.5

Hours at Work on Internet Each WeekHours at Work on Internet Each Week 32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective 32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective

While Surfing the InternetWhile Surfing the Internet 31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use 82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use 82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use

Should Be MonitoredShould Be Monitored

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IT TrendsIT Trends By 2008, at least $90 billion worth of business-By 2008, at least $90 billion worth of business-

to-consumer (B2C) purchase decisions to-consumer (B2C) purchase decisions By 2008, $350 billion worth of business-to-By 2008, $350 billion worth of business-to-

business (B2B) purchase decisions — will be business (B2B) purchase decisions — will be based on tags containing information and based on tags containing information and opinions about purchasable items. opinions about purchasable items.

By 2008, more than 60 percent of the U.S. By 2008, more than 60 percent of the U.S. population aged 15 to 50 will carry or wear a population aged 15 to 50 will carry or wear a wireless computing and communications device wireless computing and communications device at least six hours a day at least six hours a day

(Source: Gartner Group).(Source: Gartner Group).

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Source: [http://www.ict.tuwien.ac.at/skripten/Penzhorn] article by Dr. W. Z. Penzhorn

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$380 Million

$1.5 Billion

2001 2003

Worldwide Biometrics Revenue

Source: BTT, article by Dr. Yau Wei Yun, Laboratories for Information Technology[http://www.biometrics-today.com/who.htm]

AverageAnnualGrowthRate forthe Next3 Years

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Smart HomesSmart Homes

Lighting for mood and comfortLighting for mood and comfort Wireless detector when guests arriveWireless detector when guests arrive Remotely unlock door and direct guestsRemotely unlock door and direct guests Mood lighting for home theaterMood lighting for home theater

Source: Frost & Sullivan – A Marketing Source: Frost & Sullivan – A Marketing Research FirmResearch Firm

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Energy ManagementEnergy Management

HVAC System programmed for efficiencyHVAC System programmed for efficiency Check HVAC system remotelyCheck HVAC system remotely Wireless plumbing leak remote detectionWireless plumbing leak remote detection PDA to remotely check home temperaturePDA to remotely check home temperature

Source: International Data CorporationSource: International Data Corporation

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Home SecurityHome Security

Blinds, garage doors, front door, smoke Blinds, garage doors, front door, smoke detector, gas detector, and security system detector, gas detector, and security system remotely checkedremotely checked

Surveillance cameras with Internet accessSurveillance cameras with Internet access Monitor what kids are watching on TV in another Monitor what kids are watching on TV in another

roomroom View search paths on the Internet to see where View search paths on the Internet to see where

others (kids and employees) have been on the others (kids and employees) have been on the WebWeb Source: Microsoft NetworkSource: Microsoft Network

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Smart AppliancesSmart Appliances

Microwave with 400 recipesMicrowave with 400 recipes Refrigerator that recognizes sour milkRefrigerator that recognizes sour milk Alarm clock communicates with coffee Alarm clock communicates with coffee

makermaker Sharp Co. offers microwaves with Internet Sharp Co. offers microwaves with Internet

connection capabilityconnection capability Source: Microsoft NetworkSource: Microsoft Network

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IT Internet TrendsIT Internet Trends

Microsoft to win the browser warMicrosoft to win the browser war Microsoft to be a player on the Internet as Microsoft to be a player on the Internet as

the operating system war escalates. the operating system war escalates. More services to come over the Internet More services to come over the Internet

with a fee. Updates, repairs, and productswith a fee. Updates, repairs, and products Security and privacy to be big concernsSecurity and privacy to be big concerns

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Privacy Trends - ConcernsPrivacy Trends - Concerns

Acme Car Rental in Connecticut electronically Acme Car Rental in Connecticut electronically monitors car speeds of customers and issues monitors car speeds of customers and issues speeding tickets.speeding tickets.

Microsoft Office XP can monitor who installs the Microsoft Office XP can monitor who installs the software and how many times it is installed.software and how many times it is installed.

Cookies can track where you surf on the Cookies can track where you surf on the Internet.Internet.

Global Positioning System (GPS) to become an Global Positioning System (GPS) to become an integrated device for cell phones and autosintegrated device for cell phones and autos

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IT TrendsIT Trends

Cisco pioneers first Net home in Vienna. Cisco pioneers first Net home in Vienna. A server monitors operations and controls A server monitors operations and controls operations. For example, recipes can be operations. For example, recipes can be sent to the oven. A visitor at the front door sent to the oven. A visitor at the front door can be watched. can be watched.

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InfoPathInfoPath

Software to coincide with introduction of Software to coincide with introduction of MS Office 2007 – Now in Beta VersionMS Office 2007 – Now in Beta Version

Uses XML to permit a doctor to check the Uses XML to permit a doctor to check the knowledge base to determine drug knowledge base to determine drug insurance coverage and potential patient insurance coverage and potential patient interaction with the prescribed druginteraction with the prescribed drug

Physician will then issue prescription to Physician will then issue prescription to the pharmacy for the drugthe pharmacy for the drug

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Phones 2010Phones 2010

Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear-Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear-mounted, and equipped with one follow-you mounted, and equipped with one follow-you phone number. It will connect to the Net via phone number. It will connect to the Net via the PDAthe PDA

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Writing Pens 2010Writing Pens 2010

As you write with your pen, it captures your As you write with your pen, it captures your scrawled messages and beams them to scrawled messages and beams them to your PDA or your tube rollup monitoryour PDA or your tube rollup monitor

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PDA 2010PDA 2010

The PDAThe PDA of the future will connect to the of the future will connect to the Net and replace money, keys, credit cards, Net and replace money, keys, credit cards, and remotesand remotes

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PDA Agent ID 2010PDA Agent ID 2010

By using new scanning technology that verifies the By using new scanning technology that verifies the user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars, user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars, homes, and offices. It will secure access to your homes, and offices. It will secure access to your personal databases, such as online medical records, personal databases, such as online medical records, and guarantee their privacyand guarantee their privacy

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Laptop 2010Laptop 2010

The laptop with voice recognition will make The laptop with voice recognition will make keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen permits the monitor to scrollpermits the monitor to scroll

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Sight and Sound 2010Sight and Sound 2010

A display on the eyewear will show A display on the eyewear will show sensitive information for-your-eyes-only. sensitive information for-your-eyes-only.

Noise is controlled through optional Noise is controlled through optional earpieces that electronically mute sound earpieces that electronically mute sound waveswaves

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Computers 2010Computers 2010

Computer displays and TV monitors are Computer displays and TV monitors are replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your PDA pulls up your personal desktop PDA pulls up your personal desktop configuration for work or for play configuration for work or for play

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Medical Diagnosis 2010Medical Diagnosis 2010

A camera and LCD screen analyze skin A camera and LCD screen analyze skin color and provide a real-time link to doctors. color and provide a real-time link to doctors. "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your parents' health, too parents' health, too

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Wrist Watch 2010Wrist Watch 2010

A sports watch times your exercise, monitors A sports watch times your exercise, monitors vital statistics, and analyzes performance. vital statistics, and analyzes performance. Performance data is uploaded to your agent Performance data is uploaded to your agent PDA for analysis PDA for analysis

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E-Map 2010E-Map 2010

Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a lightweight moving map that displays your exact lightweight moving map that displays your exact location in all terrainslocation in all terrains

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Seating 2010Seating 2010

Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms to your body shape and will be matched to to your body shape and will be matched to human tissue to provide a subtle human tissue to provide a subtle massagingmassaging

People will be able to heat and cool their People will be able to heat and cool their chair and change its configurations for chair and change its configurations for perching, lounging, and sittingperching, lounging, and sitting

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Connectivity 2012Connectivity 2012

Most electrical appliances connected to Most electrical appliances connected to Web - machine to machine communicationWeb - machine to machine communication

Washing machine using too much water—Washing machine using too much water—message sent electronically to Maytagmessage sent electronically to Maytag

People will be mostly unaware of near People will be mostly unaware of near universal connectivity because of universal connectivity because of machine-to-machine communicationmachine-to-machine communication

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Location 2012Location 2012

Friends and co-workers will instantly be Friends and co-workers will instantly be able to see where you are because of tiny able to see where you are because of tiny wireless phones and GPS locatorswireless phones and GPS locators

People can specify how they want to be People can specify how they want to be reached—text, phone, videoreached—text, phone, video

Much controversy about whether schools, Much controversy about whether schools, employers, advertisers, etc., should have employers, advertisers, etc., should have access to your presenceaccess to your presence

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Cable 2012Cable 2012

Television will contain a hard disk to Television will contain a hard disk to record shows—1 terabyte of space to record shows—1 terabyte of space to store hundreds of hours of high-definition store hundreds of hours of high-definition programmingprogramming

Shows can be seen when you want to see Shows can be seen when you want to see them—not just when they are transmittedthem—not just when they are transmitted

Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee or as a monthly subscriptionor as a monthly subscription

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Identification 2012Identification 2012

Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) to keep track of inventory and payment. to keep track of inventory and payment. RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice and will sell for one cent.and will sell for one cent.

People will bag the products and a RFID People will bag the products and a RFID will total the products and deduct from will total the products and deduct from your RFID credit card in your walletyour RFID credit card in your wallet

RFID will mark the beginning of the end for RFID will mark the beginning of the end for cashcash

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Communications 2012Communications 2012

Reliable speech recognition will allow Reliable speech recognition will allow computers, phones, and household computers, phones, and household appliances to understand spoken appliances to understand spoken commandscommands

Commands such as “Car, how far to the Commands such as “Car, how far to the next gas station?” will be commonnext gas station?” will be common

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Education ImplicationsEducation Implications

Wireless Networking DevicesWireless Networking Devices Database Storage Concepts and Database Storage Concepts and

ApplicationsApplications Voice Communication CommandsVoice Communication Commands Efficient Internet Search and NavigationEfficient Internet Search and Navigation Keyboarding Skills Remain ImportantKeyboarding Skills Remain Important Constant Professional Growth of FacultyConstant Professional Growth of Faculty

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Questions?Questions?