Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies? Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies? Evidence from the Life in Transition Survey Joanna Tyrowicz Lucas van der Velde GRAPE Group for Research in APplied Economics June 2015, IZA/World Bank, Bonn
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Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Can we really explain worker flows in transitioneconomies?
Evidence from the Life in Transition Survey
Joanna TyrowiczLucas van der Velde
GRAPEGroup for Research in APplied Economics
June 2015,IZA/World Bank, Bonn
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Table of contents
1 Introduction
2 Hypotheses
3 Data and methods
4 Results
5 Conclusions
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?
What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Introduction
Introduction
Motivation
Transition theories better than universal labor market theories?When is transition over?
The missing link of demographic changes
Our goal: to understand better worker flows in transition economies
What flows prevailed during transition?What was the role played by demographic changes?
Advantage: new, comprehensive retrospective data: Life inTransition Survey (EBRD)
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Results
How good are survival models – Fit to the data
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Conclusions
Summarizing
1 AB and CH movements are the smallest part of transition.
2 School-to-work transition very important for transformation.
3 Retirement decisions are affected by both personal characteristics and thepace of restructuring.
Female workers and medium education workers appear to have alarger share of the burden. Role for SBTC?Positive relation between new firms and retirement time close to ABprediction.
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Conclusions
Questions or suggestions?
Thank you for your attention!
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?
Conclusions
Questions or suggestions?
Thank you for your attention!
Can we really explain worker flows in transition economies?