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“The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.” —William Gibson, quoted in The Economist, December 4, 2003
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Itd nares on megatrands

Dec 01, 2014

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Page 1: Itd   nares on megatrands

“The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.”

—William Gibson, quoted in The Economist, December 4, 2003

Page 2: Itd   nares on megatrands

“Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market”

Mega Trends in Asia-Pacific

Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight

7 new

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Cities, and not Countries, will drive wealth creation in the future.

• Cities as island of excellence and competitiveness.– Attracts young and vibrant talent– Compactness energy efficiency

• Emerging countries survive only when they can manage how to merge these “island of competitiveness” into the rest of the country.– China vs. Mexico in early 2000s

Source: NASA image of Canary Islands

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Mega Cities

• Bangkok accounts for 25% of Thailand’s GDP

• Seoul accounts for 50% of Korea’s GDP

Since 2008 more than ½ of the world population live in cities.

IMPLICATIONS• High economic power• Hub and spoke business

model• Transit-oriented

development• New mobility solutions

Source: Andy Council MegaCity Fauna

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Green Growth is Smart Growth

Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012

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Source: www.apple.com

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Geo Socialisation

Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012

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Complete recyclability from households

Zero defects

Zero breaches of security

Zero accidents

Zero emissions from cars

Carbon neutral cities

Zero crime rates

Zero waste emissions

Source: CISASIA

ZERO achievement from innovation

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Talentism

Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. - Prof. Klaus Shwab, WEF

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and particularly the potential of

social network in enhancing

partnerships among themselves,

among the people who share their

ideologies,

between their companies and their customer-base, and between the cities – cross national boundaries.

• Young people, the digital generation, are equipped with the capability to create their own jobs.– People with new ideas will

explore the new wave of ICT

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ASEAN Integration

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ASEAN Community

Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)

ASEAN Political-Security

Community(APSC)

ASEAN Economic

Community(AEC)

ASEAN Socio-Cultural

Community(ASCC)

AEC by 2015

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Photo from Flickr.comAll rights reserved by Fadzly

ASEAN Connectivity

There’s plenty of room at the bottom.

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Source: An Industrial Workers of the World poster (1911).

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Mega Trend

Sub Trend

Impact to

Industry

Impact on product/

technology

Analysis of opportunity and unmet

needs

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Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology for the Next 5-10 Years

• Electrical storage for electrified transportation and grid-connected renewables

• Nanostructured material for improved lighting efficiency

• Terawatt-scale solar energy at fossil energy costs

• Nanostructured thermoelectric materials for economical energy conversionSource: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston

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