IT Curriculum Development in the Current Chaotic State of Technology Prof (Dr) RATTAN K. DATTA
Dec 21, 2015
IT Curriculum Development in the Current Chaotic State of
Technology
Prof (Dr) RATTAN K. DATTA
Contents
• Introduction
• Three Laws of Technology
• Convergence of Technology
• Fourth Law
• Philosophy of Dynamic Curriculum Development
• Conclusions
TECHNOLOGY IN THE
SERVICE OF MANKIND
• “I keep six Honest Serving Men they taught me all I knew their name are What and Why and When and How and Where and Who”.
Rudyard Kipling
SCIENCE
LIFE SCIENCES CHEMISTRYPHYSICS
Newton, Archemedese Einstein, De Broglie, PLANK
Neil Bohr
CLASSICAL
ELECTRICITY
William Gilbert & Dufay Frictional Electricals1546-1603 1698-1739
Franklin Benjamin (1706 – 1790)Michael Faraday (1791 – 1867)
Edison (1882) Light Bulb
Contd.(a)
QUANTUM MECHANICS
Contd..(b)
Contd. (a)
ELECTRONICS
Lee de Fleming (1904) DIODEForest – TRIODETransistor (1948)
IC (1958)
MORSE Message RADIO Transmission
TV Transmission
Heinrieh Hertz (1887)MARCONI (1897)
John Legia Baird (1925)
ETEMICRO ELECTRONICS COMPUTING
INSTUMENTATIONNANO Technology
CHEMISTRY
TOP – DOWN APPROACH
Contd.(b)
Introduction• IT is growing in its application almost in an
exponential mode• Besides the increase in the complexity and
processing power the size is shrinking and price is sharply decreasing, making the system affordable and easily transportable.
• The rapid expansion of bandwidth and fast improvement in connectivity are governed by Gilder & Metcalf’s Law respectively.
• 4th law of technology• A strategy for dynamic development of
curriculum to enable the youth entering industry to face this chaotic growth.
Three laws of Technology
The chaotic state of growth in this technology has been often explained through working together of three laws of Technology, namely,
• Moore’s Law • Gilder’s Law • Metcalfe’s Laws.
1st Law of Technology
1. Moore’s Law (Gordon Moore of INTEL)
“The processing power of microchip doubles every 18 months (2 years)” – Price halves for the same level of computing power.
MOORE’S LAW IN OPERATIONDENSITY OF TRANSISTERS IN ICs WILL DOUBLE AT REGULAR INTERVALS OF ` 2YEARS ACTUAL 18 MONTHS.
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 88 90 92 94 96 98 2K
80384
PENTIUM
103
DRAM
1MB
4MB
80486
64MB
56MB1GB
INTEL MICROPROCESSORS
16KBITS
PENTIUM PRO
1A64
1KB
105
106
107
108
109
1010
YEARS
NO.OF TRANSISTORS ON A CHIP
•THUS SINCE 1945- FIRST COMPUTER ENIAC-1 THE PROGRESS HAS BEEN PHENOMENAL.
•INTERESTING
•SPEED OF PROCESSING INCREASES BY A FACTOR OF 10 EVERY 5 YEARS.
•PRICE DECREASES 40 P.C PER YEAR.
50 80 90 2000
0.01
7060
0.1
1.0
10
1012
109
106
103
10
PR
OC
ES
SIN
G P
OW
ER
YEARS
PRICE
Rs/K BIT OF MEMORY
2nd Law of Technology
Gilder’s Law by George Gilder• “The total bandwidth of communication system
triples every 12 months.” (Price decreases)1960’s bandwidth 25 bauds1970’s bandwidth 1000 bps1980’s bandwidth 64000 bps1990’s bandwidth > 256,000 bps2008/09 bandwidth > 2,000,000 bps
3rd Law of Technology
Metcalfe’s Law (Robert Metcalfe)
• Originator of Ethernet & founder of 3com.
“The value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes; so, as a network grows, the value of being connected to it grows.” (Price of getting connected decreases)
Convergence of the 3 Laws of Technology
MOORE’s LAW
(Processing Speed)
Gilder’s LAW
(Increasing Bandwidth)
Metcalfe’s LAW
(Power of Networking)
NEW PARADIGM / INITIATIVE
3 Laws Working Together• Sooner than later Individuals using 100s of
Computers/Chips embedded in body through insertion, special body wear connected through PAN & WIFI connection to the internet. Closely resembling human neuron connection.
• Personal intelligence likely grow with availability of vast knowledge through internet.
• Embedded systems will expand availability of entertainment media at any place & time on demand.
• Industrial & business processes automation will also significantly expand embedded intelligence and connectivity.
1800PHILOSOPHY
SCIENCE 2K
Physics Chem. Biology Social Sciences
ELECTRICAL
CHEMICAL TECH
MECHANICAL
CIVIL
Narrow Band Technologies
BIOTECH
Period of interdisciplinary research
Biophysics
Biochem
Biotech
Convergence phase
Divergence phase
1900s
1940s
1970sMathematician
Physicists
Chemists
Biologist
Social Scientist
Common man
Impact of wonder chip
1990s
BioinformaticsBiotech
C+C=CIT
DIVERGENCE TO CONVERGENCE(Fission to Fusion)
ATTRACTERS OF TECHNOLOGY CONVERGENCE
Commerce
Academics
EntertainmentIncluding Edu-Ent
Defense
Food
Health&
Bio-Informatics
4th Law-Our Creation“Technologists and scientists are encouraged to spend just 10 percent extra resources and time in planning and envisaging the end result which should lead to efficient, economically affordable and green eco-friendly technology. Ethics & value systems are more important in the current global scenario than a few extra gold coins”.
How to Face This Technological Convergence?
• Areas to Safeguard- Fast obsolescence with fast development- Security Vs Privacy- Value System (ethics) Vs Competition- Challenges of Chaotic development Vs opportunity for creating better planet“Our Planet Earth is like proverbial Golden Goose which provides all of us golden Eggs in the form of resources.In this environment of competition, fast development & greed, let us remember value systems to keep nurturing the goose to share the gifts.”
10% extra efforts/resources can help to innovate green technology. Let us do that.”
Futurist: Points to Ponder• When looking at future, the “What” is more predictable than “When” and “How” will always feel different than predicted.
Thomas Frey
(Futurist)
•The every house in 2010 will have 100 computers embedded in all kinds of appliances and amenities and mostly networked to each other and to the web.
Glen Heimstra
•Talking Computers will replace written languages by 2050
William Crossman
•The age of reason has ended and now we must organize around chaos.
Watts Wacker
Balance between the Development and overall impact on Ecosystem of
4th Law MAN
Technology Development Ecosystem
Philosophy of Dynamic Curriculum Development
• Semester 1 & 2 - Homogeneity (Basic Science + Mathematics)
• Semester 3 & 4 - Core Papers
• Semester 5 & 6 - Streams
• Semester 7 - Emerging Areas
• Semester 8 - Major Projects
Conclusion
• In this presentation a procedure has been suggested to develop curriculum to meet the challenges of rapid development & fast obsolescence. Lessons have been derived from the three laws of technology, chaotic growth with attractors. A 4th law on Ethics has been formulated.
• It is believed that this strategy will help student community to better face the impact of rapid development of technology as well as fast obsolescence.
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