Top Banner

of 24

Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

Apr 14, 2018

Download

Documents

ikonoclast13456
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    1/24

    CarnegieP a P e r s

    Islam,

    mIlItarIsm, an

    the 20072008

    electIons

    In PakIstan

    Frdric Grare

    South Asia

    Project

    nb 70

    ag 2006

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    2/24

    6 C E I P. A s sv.

    N p s p p s s pss C E. Ps qs :

    C E I PPs Dp19 Mssss Av, NWWs, DC 36P: -483-6Fx: -483-184www.CarnegieEndowment.org

    Ts p www.CarnegieEndowment.org/pubs.L p ps s v. qs p, s -

    ps@CE..

    cgi Pp

    C Pps ps s E sss s ss. T ss s -ssvs k xps ks pss. Cs s s ; ps p ss v - ps@CE..

    ab a

    Frdric Grare s vs s C E IP, sssss U.S. Ep ps Pks ss s s z Pks, s s , Iss p z, . G s xp S As, v sv s FEss Pks , 1999 3, N D s C S Ss Hs. G s xsv s sss,Iss vs, s Pks As s

    v India, China, Russia: Intricacies o an Asian riangle.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    3/24

    contents

    Te MMA and the 2002 Elections 5

    Religious Political Parties and the Military: Long-erm rends and actical Mistakes 6T L R Is-Ns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    Pkss Iss Ps D . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

    Does the MMA Matter? 10

    Te 20072008 Elections: One Central Issue 12

    T U.S. F . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

    F E Ss . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

    P Ip R Pks Nz S Bz B

    Up Es . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

    Policy Implications 17

    Notes 19

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    4/24

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    5/24

    3

    he year 2007 will be crucial Pks. I s P As Ms S A Nz s , ps s pv s J 3, 8. As s sz U Ss s, ss , p s, s p ps, M Mjs--A (MMA). M s Ws v Pks p s s s Isss ps MMA

    Ps Pvz Ms Pks A. Hv, s Is s . T p v s p s . T qss s s p 8 s s s Is ps p pss.

    T MMA Pk-A Ds C, -sx Iszs ss D ps s U Ns - As. T s s 1. I J , sx s j ps MMA pp s O. T MMA pss v S zs JU--Is M Fz R , J U--Is S -Hq ,

    J U--Pks, J--Is, J--H Sp, k--Is.

    F , sss MMA pv s s sps s. I s, v, ss . A Sp C v M , q s s v, s N Ass pv sss s p s vs. T s ps pvs v . P s sv L Fk O (LFO) ss s, ps ssv N Ass N S C,

    vs p v.1

    T pp s Iss p s s s s k z s . M , sp U Ss, s v Ms p v . A Sp 11, 1, s ks U Ss, s s s v pp Iss s k Pks s s pv p -s Is v.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    6/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    4

    Ts pp s v Pks s. Ev p s v Iss ps, s s . H-k s s k s, Iss v Bs N-Ws F Pv (NWFP) p s spss xps, ss

    Is s pss s psss Pks . As s, s sp s , USs.

    T 8 s k p x, s.Pks s pv s p s s k U Ss s . Pkss s s pv. As s, sss Isszs s s, v ssss .

    A Pks pps ss sv s , s pv. T x s s s. F PsMs p, s s p

    . F s p s, p ppsps s s Pks Pps P (PPP) Pks Ms L Nz (PML-N), s kp ( kp) pss z x s, Bz B Nz S, spv. F pp, s , s s, v s pss xs ss.A sk, s s k s s.

    O p s : Is s. T s,s s , s . A pps, MMA s sv z v pss,

    k spp . I p, MMA s s v LFO pss P. Ev MMA ps s ss, s pv v spp s . T MMA s pps vs s s . T MMA s pssvv p s v s ps s sk s s MMA s k v. Y, s s s MMA ss Msv s s s, spp v .

    F MMA, s s-s s; v s z s. Dsp spps v MMA s svs, p v. I

    s s p sp; v, s k s k . I s s s s.

    T s MMA ss s ss sss sp Isss . T p k s pss s s vs . Hs, v, s s p sp Isss, v p p s p v spp v js s.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    7/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    D pss s s s j s pp. I sks v s vs v s Msp ps MMA . F , s x ps ss.

    the mma and the 2002 electIons

    T MMA s s v pv s.M s s p s s Is. As 1 ss, v, MMA v 11.1 p v , PPP x p s Bz B ( v .1 p), p-MsPks Ms L Q--Az (PML-Q, v 4.81 p), PML-N x p s Nz S (11.3 p). T s s s, ,sps: T PML-Q s s s p, ss, MMA, sp

    11.1 p v, s-s ,

    3 ss 34 N Ass.3 T MMAs s s p ps ps s PPP, 6 ss. M p,pps, MMA s v pvs As. IBs, s p PML-Q, NWFP s v s .

    tb 1. B, b P, f Vig s i Pi G ei, 2002

    P

    V

    (ii)

    s f v

    (p)

    nb f

    *

    PPP 7.39 25.01 62

    PML-Q 7.33 24.81 77

    PML-N 3.32 11.23 14

    MMA 3.19 11.10 53

    * The number of seats does not include the reserved seats for women and minorities, which are apportioned according to

    the percentage of votes obtained in the general vote.

    Source:International Crisis Group,Pakistan:TheMullahsandtheMilitary,ICG Asia Report 49 (Islamabad/Brussels:

    International Crisis Group, 2003), pp. 1718.

    Sv s v pps xp s MMA s.

    A-As s s NWFP s s s v, p s pp s ssv Pss As. O pp s p ss s s s p pss s .4 S s s p sss v s pp, pz ss pp v p.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    8/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    6

    W xp ps-9/11 s As, s xps ; s xp ss s. T ss ps sv 199s, v s p pp s 3.4 p 199. B s, , vss s s v s pv .6

    Mps p s, p Ep U EOsv Mss, s p. A E OsvMsss p, ps s s ss s E Css Pks ss ps pps v ps spp .

    Ss s s s q vs s. 8 T EOsv Mss : T pss s k s q s, s [] ss [] sp p ps.9 F xp,vs s s q, ss ps s qv. Ts

    s s v MMA, p Bs, s ps s vs s pv v sv pvs xs s v s pv.Rs s spks p. T p s s .

    Ts ss pp sv. F xp, PML-N PPP pss z s, MMA s . Mv, s MMAp ss sss sqs, x s s vs, sv s ps v.1

    relIGIous PolItIcal PartIes and the mIlItary:lonG-term trends and tactIcal mIstakes

    T MMA pp s -Ms p, s v . T p s ss s x Isss . Ts sp s sss pps vs: T Isss s p s s xp , s ss s s s p z s xpss. Ts, xs s ps pv pxs s s s sps.

    Ex s pspv, s s vs. M Ws svs:T ss v p ss s ps Pks.11 Hs s:

    T p Is s s p. I v s s s ps ps p p s ss s s. U , , k s ss s s s. T s

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    9/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    s Is sp s . I s v sps Is p, pss s S, ss v ss ss ps Is ps ks.1

    B Pks q s Is 13 s

    s . I s s s spp Issps s k s ps Pks ps s . A s Iss v s s v p v Isss spps ps.14

    T vs s ss xp s p pspv s p ps. I s ss Isss s vs sp s s sp p s ps ps. F s, MMA s ss p k s ss s sk

    s.1

    Hv, s s sss s. Pkss ps v Is s , ss p . O , s Is s ks xp pss.

    U, s sp Iss ps : v Ov R qs s Is-s, s, p-Iss ss p s ss p s Pkss, pv s v vs ummah;16 Issps . Ts s Isss sp v ss.

    t lg r t I-niiI s s v zs pps 194 p S As s s k ummah, vs. Is, s s sp vv Pkss ps s s s v ummah, v -p sp.

    Ts p s s s v J--Is (JI). As v, MMA s sx Iss ps1 pp O s. B, s p , zs s . Ts, J U--Is (JUI), D z,18 s s p.

    T JUI s v J U--Is M Fz R (JUI-F) J U--Is S -Hq (JUI-S), Fz R S -Hq,spv. H - ss N Ass - MMAs ss s NWFP, JUI-F s s; s s, , s p p .19

    T s z, JI, s s Is Pks, s s s s. Hv p sv ss O

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    10/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    8

    s, JI s s-s p MMA, s s s p ss. Is v pzs ss v p Is s, p Pks.

    T pps JI, S A A M,

    Pks s s qs-Mxs s , s Is -Is p ss s. M v s s Is -Is Is v Is S s s s p Is .1T sss Is s v s s s s. Is Isz s s.

    T s JI s s spp , , jv ss Is s z, s js p s. A s s vvs v, JI p p. F , jv k v s pv v p, JI s ps s , s , v

    Is ss.U 19s, s JI pps s ps. B

    p G M Z -Hq s. T ss pp. T JI s v. Mv, As, Z -Hq s v JI Pkss p. T JIs p s s, Pkss s vv As, Ks, C Ass p ss .

    O s ps, ks, s v s ss v p . F xp,

    Pks I-Svs I p v GHks Hz--Is v -199s, s J U--Is s px. As s, Iss v s Pks.

    Pi Ii Pi d

    Ev Pks Iss v s , Iss psv s sps . F s , v ss ps xp v. T ps s MMA z,

    sps , s v ss p s s p svv.

    T M A K s, p Z -Hq, p s Iss ps. Lk p ss, Iss ps As , v s,, s vs. Bs s ps pv sss, s ps k v s v

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    11/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    9

    s s, s sp. Bs sv s G, p v, s p p svv. D s s s pps s p.

    Dsp s sps Z -Hq, Iss ps p p s s Zs p. Ts p s p JI s Isz p . Hv B s Is D, JI s sppv Zs p, s s . A pss s, JI pp v, ss s vs ps s. Rs s S s xs s Is xp s , x ss, vk ss S.

    S Z -Hq 1988, s p ps v v s p

    s ss s. O , v svvp, v ps v p s xp. O , Isz pz spp , pvs JI s Pks sps s. I p, s s s s s p s spp .

    PervezMusharra and the MMA. P s JIs v v s JI, Qz Hss A, 1999 p. Ps , sp s , G Ms,

    x j sss v Nz S, ss v s p E Css ps , s , .Qz Hss A s sv s ps s .3 T JIs s v s s, sp s v MMA s z.

    Legal Framework Order. T ps s s sp Iss . T v LFO s s s MMA s pp s sp p .

    F s, MMA s j p-Ms ps.Ts ps , vss, v, ks PPP s s ps. T Pks ps s -s j v s s LFO ( )ppv P, spp s ps.

    F s, MMA s s pps A Rs D (ARD).4 T j s LFO

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    12/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    1

    Mss s. I D 3, s pvs s ARD, MMA p LFO (s vs) s Ms ps s s ps s D 31 .

    W MMA sp v Mss ps s .

    A ssss s sp s p, s sss Isz. T HLs, s - s s s s Pks, sss pvs ks, p ps H RsCss s s s s k .

    P MMA s pp. Hv ps s pps s, pp s s spp . T MMA p sz ps Pkss p N SC (NSC), p. I s MMA NSC sv pss s s jss s ssv sp

    j -s spj.6 Gv s v pss, v, ss s ss s.

    T MMA vs s.T Sp C s sq s ss s sss s pss xs Es, U, Pks ss. TI Css Gp s s s kp pss Ak D, NWFP MMA s, Fz R, JUI-F pps N Ass, NSC.8

    As s s ps, MMA s PML-Q NWFP, JI s s K M Q Mv (MQM). Bs,

    JUI-F sx s nazim ss, s xp.9 Gv ss pv, v s ps p ps s NWFP. T ss s : W sq MMA ps s p SpC, s p p x.

    N j j N Ass s s p v pss s s ss s p , s ps. Mv, v pps MMA . W s s pps x MMA ARD,

    z s s s ppss k.

    does the mma matter?

    T qs ss p MMA ( sq s p s p s v). N s MMA ss ss , s s

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    13/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    11

    s ps sss. Lk s ps, MMA s pps vs vs--vs . I J 6, s JI Pkss p k, p, , s sp spp psp.3 Lk s s ps, v pps, MMA sps s pps vs.

    S, MMA s ss . O J3, 6, xp, shura JI pss s s s v xpss pps s spv s s p sv. T s s sp pss s ss p ss sss p p, p j.31

    Uk JI, MMAs s Is s s. T JI s s pps ps sss: Isz p. F sMMA s, Isz p k.

    O s s, , s ss. O, Isz s p MMA . T q s 3 s sz p, s Ms pp p v s Isss s sk U Ss s ps z Pks. B, , s ,, p s MMA sv . T Ms ppssIsz v, s sz ps , s, . Mss s sss MMA sp s s s s.

    M p s , sp s xs, s spp s pssv ss k. W s sk s k sss

    j zs , , k ss s s p.Mss ss k qpp sks v j k. B ss p pp s s s, s s s; - pp ps sk , s p, q s s ss.

    T s s s p . D ps sv s, MMA s Ms s xssv p s U.S. ps,sp Sp 11, 1, U- Pkss A p. B s, s xp U.S. spp vs, s ps v

    U Ss v z s spp . Y MMA s s p Pkss Ks A ps. JUI sss spv p, ps, s s JI, v Ks. A p v, MMA pp s pss s ss v pp spp.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    14/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    1

    the 20072008 electIons: one central Issue

    T v s sp s p v, , p Pkss p sp. Sv ss vs Iss p s s s s s. A p

    ss: pss s s s. Es ps, N Ass, pv sss sp sss, ps s s s S. I s, s z p k.

    Ms s Ap , v v N Ass, S, pv sss.33 I s ss Mss p svv s v PML-Q. Hs s s ps s s s psps .

    R s s s GMs p. Hv p s, s v

    s s s kp s ps s. Ts pps ss pv ss s. O sp s s s ,v s p .

    T ssp s Ms s p s . F s s k Pks, ss vs Ms, sp s ps Pks s .34 Mp ps s p vs xs ss s s xs -s ps v nazims, p pv xv , , ssv.

    A s spps s ps ss, ps p s p spp PML-Q s.3 P s .T I Css Gp p s pps s p. I Bs, s pps vs , s spp. 36 TNewslinep Gj ( Pj), v s PML-Q s.3

    N As O s k s pps ps, Ms s k s spps p s.38 L s s Mss s p, s s s v z s. Bs PML-Q s, j pss ps p ss.

    T s s k s ss, QzM Fq, Sp C j , M 1, , v p Ms ss s ss. Fq s ss vs ss, v . H s k spss, Js A H D, v k p. As v, Js A H D ps sp.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    15/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    13

    T MMA, k s p ps , s s k sk s:

    T ss s s pp sq (Ms s Nv 1, , s pv s

    6 s sss s); T Ms sp s ps s s s

    .

    A sq Ms p s v.

    T JI s k pp p s. T , Qz Hss A, s s ps MMA, s s Ms. I L, M 14, 6, MMA x s Pks s, s ppssv ss.39 I Ps, M 6, p s ps -p vss s Ms,

    k v, s p-1999 s, p ss.4

    t u.s. F

    T s U Ss ss Pkss s sv ps . T qs s p p , s, x s ss ps Pkss p p s U.S. ss. W spps Pks ps sp ps ssq p s- - ss.

    T s psp Ms v s s ps s s.T ps U.S. s sv Pksps. T s psss s Pks s Ms s s ps s ps Iss ps.

    W vs Pks Ap , 6, U.S. Asss S S R Bs Bs s s v v v Pks.41 Ak G Mss s ps sp , B s ss ss Pks ps. B vsv qs

    U Ss p Ps Ms s s.4

    Ts ss U Ss s s Pks.A U Ss pp vs (ss National Security Strategy o the United States o America43), U.S. ss, s s p U.S. ps s p v. W p U.S. ps S

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    16/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    14

    As , U.S. qs Ms s s s ks.

    F e si

    F ss s. p s U Ss ps Ms s s s psss s ps p s psss x z Pks.

    Scenario 1: In exchange or implicit U.S. acquiescence in Musharra continuing in uniorm,Musharra distances himsel urther rom the Islamist parties. Ts s s, sx, xs . S LFO s pss P, G Ms sss s s ps s v, v s . I s, s s

    s s ps ss ss pvsss.

    Es s k s ps qv ss s vs s sppss q ps pssss vs . S s s ps s Bs NWFP. Gv ps Bs, s s s k. T JUI v spp pv.

    A pss s x MMA s, s s p . Qz Hss A, MMA, s s

    sv ss, sp MMA s v pvk sp z, s s s p . Qz Hss s s MMA s p.44 As , sp ss, MMA s pv sv v .4 Mv, v s s p k Is p, z.

    T pspv pps , s s USs Ep U . Ts ss MMA s pps s ARD s s, MMA s v.

    T ss Ms MMA MMA s ps.46 S ps xp MMA (, , U.S. p s p ps s) p v MMA k , s p s. W xp ps, s p s s v, MMA s pps. T pp pz. T MMA

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    17/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    1

    , z s ss pp s v sp Isss.

    Scenario 2: Musharra continues in uniorm despite U.S. pressure and decides to avor the

    Islamist parties to ease the pressure, repeating the 2002 scenario. S s MMA, s s ssv s s. Is p p ss , p k pss Isz, p s .

    Ts s s k s ss:

    , s v spvs s, s j,ks s, s PML-Q v v s ps.

    T s sp, v p p.

    Y s sss s pss s .F Bs vs Pks Ap , 6, PML-Q s s s , q Az K, U Ss []Ps Ms ss,4 s pps s v.

    Mv, s ps (PML-N PPP) v s s, p ss Nz S Bz B, pv Pks k v s .48 F MMA, s s s s s ps. TIss p v, v s s ss s .

    Scenario 3: Musharra disappears rom the political scene. A s s s sk, s p s s x. Ns s ss , s s s p ss: Ms ssss, s s spsv s.

    T ssss Pkss s s k s psp s. Wv s s, v MMA,s ps ps ks j vs x ss .

    M ss p s Ms, s pp A K. S s , xp, , v v s , v ss p Ms v p s ps.

    T s Wzs s Bs k s sp, s s v s . S s k ps p , xp, Bz B k s

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    18/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    16

    z pp s . A s k s, s pss sss. T p sk Ms s v ss p kp s vs p.

    S Ms x p s s, p

    ss pss ppx . T p vs p p p , pv ss s , , pvs p.

    I s s, MMA s p s s p Pkss p s ss ss q s , pps p.

    Scenario 4: Musharra resigns his position o chie o army staf, and the national andprovincial elections are held in a ree and air manner. Ts s s s k

    s z Pkss p . F MMA, s p s s 3.

    Pi Ip f r Pi f nz sif Bzi B

    upig ei

    Uss s s, G Ms s v k p x p ss, Nz S Bz B. T p BzB s As Z s k, s s p p. S, x Nz S s xp s . I s p s Sz,

    s Pj, Pks s.T v ( Ps -

    sss) s p ss Nz S Bz B M 1, 6, C D x ss s s s s s , s p ps, x s s ps49s pss pp s v, v s p x s Pks s, s .

    S , s p PML-Q

    Ms. A v ss, .

    I s 1 ( x p U.S. qs Ms ,Ms ss s Iss ps), ps S B, , Mss p pv MMA Pj S, spv ss. I , v, k , s k v vss PML-Q s s s

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    19/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    1

    p j PML-N. ss vs, p PML-N PPP ss s Ms. I x Ms v s s . I j s, pss Ms .

    S (Ms s s U.S. pss s v Iss ps s pss, p s) p s S B k. T MMA vs s . A s ss v s k s s, MMA k s s Pj S. A, Ms s ps p PPP PML-N .

    I ss 3 (Ms spps p s) 4 (Ms ss sps s, pv s ), ps S B ps k MMA s s p, s s vs.

    F, s s s pss ss s , p s 1. I s s MMA s pps, v s v. S pss ss MMA, v,s s pss s. I s pss, MMA s p v s sj k p ps. I s s s, MMA s k s ps s p.

    U, MMA s p -8 s, PML, s s s ps . N ss pps vss s Iss

    , MMA s ss Pj S Nz S Bz B pv . I s v s vs s p Iss kv ss s s ( s, p I-Svs I ), sp pv pv.

    PolIcy ImPlIcatIons

    Wv pv s, Is s , , p v . I s , Ms s k v s s pps sss s .

    T MMAs sss s s, 9/11, s spps pss x xs. T s s sxs s p Is. T p s s z s pvs s zs, s s Sp--S, p

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    20/24

    Islam, mIlItarIsm, andthe 20072008 electIonsIn PakIstan

    18

    s, , s vs ss ss v s . A v , ss sp , , j s v. F , s Wzs, ss pv s , pp.

    Hv s pp, s , p ss s. I s , s ss s s ps. T A NP s NWFP, MQM z sp pps K s S. T s p Bs s s s, p xp vss s sk N P, z, j vs -MMA , s k s MMA s ss pv ss pp v. Ov, PML-Q j p s s ss. T ps, v,

    ss PML-Q v.I, ss sss s s s

    s pps, Nz S Bz B, pv s. T PPP p s p s PPP s p . T s ps , MMA, s ssv PPP ks.

    T MMA spp p s. Dp v s, v p ps s s . B v p p spk p . T MMAs ,

    , pp spp k ss ss s MMA v v ss v ps A s . P, v, MMA k s ps pps p p s ss ps.

    Wv MMAs , s s v Pks. Dsp s, , p ps p Is p . Js s MMAs v sss s v p Pks , s MMAs jv p Pks s. R s vs sv Ws s

    Ws pps s s Is s. T ss Pks s Iss, s.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    21/24

    FrdrIc Grare

    19

    notes

    1 M Ws, Te 2002 Elections in Pakistan (Is: Q--Az Uvs, I RsDp, 3), p. 3.

    I Css Gp, Pakistan: Te Mullahs and the Military, ICG As Rp 49 (Is/Bsss: ICss Gp, 3), .

    3 I.4 Ws, Te 2002 Elections, p. 33. I.6 I., p. 18, 1. EU E Osv Mss Pks, Final Report o the European Unions Observation Mission to Pakistan:

    National and Provincial Assembly Election (1 O ), p. 31, .

    8 I., p. 3.9 I., p. 33.1 I Css Gp, Pakistan: Te Mullahs and the Military, p. 16.11 Ws, Te 2002 Elections, p. .1 I.

    13 J Mk, Colonization o Islam: Dissolution o raditional Institutions in Pakistan (L: V Bks, 1996), p. 8.14 F G, Pakistan: Te Myth o an Islamist Peril, P B 4 (Ws, D.C.: C E

    I P, 6), .1 Ws, p. ., p. 6.16 S Ov R, L s sq O, Esprit, Ap 1996, p. 8.1 F v p MMA, s I Css Gp, Pakistan: Te Mullahs and the Military,

    pp. 6.18 D zs H s. T q svs s s

    s 186 D, D. A J Mk, ps v svs s, ss s s s, ss s s s, ss s p s s. Mk s, Pp sp ss (p) s Ds. T pj s p ps s ps . I s ss, vv s , hic et nunc.T pz s . S J M k, Colonization o Islam, pp. 4.

    19 I Css Gp,Authoritarianism and Political Party Reorm in Pakistan, ICG As Rp 1 (Is/Bsss: I Css Gp, ), p. 13, .

    I.1 S V Rz Ns, Te Vanguard o Islamic Revolution: Te Jamaat-i-Islami o Pakistan (L: I. B. s, 1994),

    p. 16. Pakistan Political Perspectives, Nv 11, 1999, p. 44.3 Pakistan Political Perspectives, D 1, 1999, p. .4 S K. A Ks, Pakistans Domestic Political Developments, Rp N. RL361 (Ws, D.C.:

    Css Rs Sv, Sp 19, ), p. 16, . I.6 I. I., p. .8 I Css Gp, Pakistans Local Polls: Shoring Up Military Rule, As B 43 (Is/Bsss:

    I Css Gp, ), p. 6, .

    9 I., p. 11.3 I.31 JI Media News, JI S Rs P S, J 3, .

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    22/24

    3 Pks Ns Sv, Pk., D 1, 4.33 O s s, ss s s ss s ss pv sss,

    s q .34 Pks Is D, Daily imes, M 6, 6, .3 I Css Gp, Pakistans Local Polls, p. 4.36 I., p. 1.3 Z Hss, T G E F, Newsline, Sp .38 F p p s, s I Css Gp, Pakistans Local Polls.39 MMA B Es Ms: Qz,JI Media News, M 14, 6, .4 Qz Ds Ms s Rs, Ck Gv,JI Media News, M 6, 6, .41 Qss Akq, U.S. Ws Cv R: B: N F, F Ps Sss, Dawn, Ap 6, 6,

    .4 I.43 National Security Strategy o the United States o America(Ws, D.C.: W Hs, M 6), p. 39,

    .44

    Pak ribune, D 18, .4 M. M. A, D Is Bk Pks s Rs Ps E s Ss P F, Washington Report onMiddle East Aairs, JF 3, pp. 343.

    46 S Daily imes, Ap , 6.4 Pks Ns Sv, Pk., Ap , 6.48 B, S Ps M B Pks Ps, Khaleej imes, Ap , 6.49 x C D, Dawn, M 16, 6, . Az As, W p, Te Herald, M 6, pp. 331. A , s

    M--Is [ Sp--S Pks] s s vs ss s s k M 6.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    23/24

    aBout the carneGIe endowment

    he Carnegie Endowment for International Peace s pv, pz v p s pv U Ss. F 191, C

    s ps v p ss.T s, ps, v, , s,

    ss ks, E sss sp s ppps. T ss sp p s s vs, sss, zs, v s, s , p, s v .

    T s C Ms C, E ps vp p p ss Sv Rps pvs Rss U Ss. T E pss ForeignPolicy, s zs ps s,

    s s 1 s sv s.F , vswww.CarnegieEndowment.org.

    Te South Asia Projects ss ss , v pspv sss s s p: Is s p U.S. s I; pssv Pks s Wsvs s ; , , p-sss U Ss I; v s sss S As.

    Ts s s C E, , Eq, Dvp Pj, s sp s Is x ss z. As , Cs N N-p Pj sxsv , s, ss S As ps s s,www.ProlierationNews.org

    F Cs S As Pj, vswww.CarnegieEndowment.org/SouthAsia.

  • 7/29/2019 Islam, Militarism and the 2007 Elections in Pakistan

    24/24

    cgi Pp

    2006

    . Islam, Militarism, and the 20072008 Elections in Pakistan (F. G)69. Reorm in Syria: Steering between the Chinese Model and Regime Change68. Te Saudi Labyrinth: Evaluating the Current Political Opening(A. Hz)6. Islamist Movements and the Democratic Process in the Arab World (N. B, A. Hz M. O)66. Evaluating Egyptian Reorm (M. D)6. Pakistan: Te Resurgence o Baluch Nationalism (F. G)64. Lebanon: Finding a Path rom Deadlock to Democracy(J. C)

    2005

    63. Te Dangers o Political Exclusion: Egypts Islamist Problem (B. K)6. Why Did the Poorest Countries Fail to Catch Up?(B. Mv)61. Legalism Ss Fs? U.S. Rule-o-Law Aid in the Arab World(D. M)6. Te Complexity o Success: Te U.S. Role in Russian Rule o Law Reorm (M. Sp)9. Evaluating Palestinian Reorm (N. B)8. Judicial Reorm in China: Lessons rom Shanghai(V. H)

    . Lessons Not Learned: Problems with Western Aid or Law Reorm inPostcommunist Countries(W. C)

    6. Evaluating Middle East Reorm: How Do We Know When It Is Signicant?(M. O). Competing Denitions o the Rule o Law: Implications or Practitioners(R. B)

    2004

    4. E.U.Russia Relations: Interests and ValuesA European Perspective(R. S)3. Te Political-Economic Conundrum: Te Anity o Economic and Political Reorm in the Middle East

    and North Arica(E. B). Political Reorm in the Arab World: A New Ferment?(A. H)1. Cambodia Blazes a New Path to Economic Growth and Job Creation (S. Psk)

    . Integrating Democracy Promotion into the U.S. Middle East Policy(M. D)49. Islamists in the Arab World: Te Dance around Democracy(G. F)48. Democracy and Constituencies in the Arab World(M. O)4. Development and Foreign Investment: Lessons Learned rom Mexican Banking(J. S)46. Deterring Confict in the aiwan Strait: Te Successes and Failures o aiwans

    Deense Reorm and Modernization Program (M. S)4. Europes Uncertain Pursuit o Middle East Reorm (R. Ys)44. Middle Eastern Democracy: Is Civil Society the Answer?(A. H)43. Small Enterprises and Economic Policy(A. s, S. Js)4. Womens Rights and Democracy in the Arab World(M. O)

    2003

    41. Beyond Rule o Law Orthodoxy: Te Legal Empowerment Alternative(S. G)4. Strengthening Linkages between U.S. rade Policy and Environmental Capacity Building

    (J. A, V. U)39. Is Gradualism Possible? Choosing a Strategy or Promoting Democracy in the Middle East(. Cs)38. Veriying North Korean Nuclear Disarmament(J. Ws, F. MGk, S. C)3. Liberalization versus Democracy: Understanding Arab Political Reorm (D. B)

    For a complete list of Carnegie Papers, go to wwwCarnegieEndowmentorg/pubs