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IRI Weekly News update Your window on the latest trends in Packaged Groceries Stephen Hall Friday 6 th January
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IRI's Weekly FMCG News Update - w/c 2nd January 2017

Jan 26, 2017

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Page 1: IRI's Weekly FMCG News Update - w/c 2nd January 2017

IRI Weekly News updateYour window on the latest trends in Packaged Groceries

Stephen Hall

Friday 6th January

Page 2: IRI's Weekly FMCG News Update - w/c 2nd January 2017

Copyright © 2015 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 2

• Morrisons fires starting gun on 2017 grocery price war, slashing cost of 800 products

• UK shop prices fall in December but also show first signs of upward trend• Christmas delivers for The Fragrance Shop as luxury brands dominate• B&M reports strong sales growth after record Christmas trading• Nisa sales rise over Christmas as promotions pay off• Amazon starts Prime Air drone delivery trial in UK• Boots like-for-likes flat as international profits slip • Poundland launches first sale • Disappointing Christmas for high street retailers• Good Christmas for Midcounties Co-operative’s food stores

Weekly News Summary – 2nd January 2017

Page 3: IRI's Weekly FMCG News Update - w/c 2nd January 2017

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Morrisons fires starting gun on 2017 grocery price war, slashing cost of 800 productsMorrisons has fired the starting gun on the 2017 supermarket price war by slashing prices on hundreds of products. Eight-hundred products have had their prices lowered

The grocer has cut shelf prices of 800 popular items including potatoes, fish fingers, meatballs, avocados and kale.The fresh wave of cuts under Morrisons’ ‘Price Crunch’ campaign means a total of 1,500 products are currently for sale at reduced prices across the supermarket giant’s stores.

Prices have been slashed by an average of 19% under the rolling programme of investment, which was revived by boss David Potts in January last year.

Morrisons’ cuts, which come into effect this week, include packs of beef meatballs falling to £1.77 from £2, a two-pack of avocados dropping to £1.47 from £1.80, and King Edward potatoes being sold for £1.67 instead of last year’s £2 shelf price.

The Bradford-based grocer has also simplified the price of 5,490 items into “round pounds”, in a bid to make it “easier for customers to calculate what is in their basket”.

Morrisons is the first member of the big four to show its hand as far as prices are concerned in 2017, as the mainstream supermarkets continue their fightback against the discounters.

Tesco and Sainsbury’s have both invested heavily in price over the past two years, while Asda is expected to hit the accelerator further this year after new boss Sean Clarke slashed prices as part of the grocer’s ‘That’s Better’ campaign towards the end of 2016.Morrisons marketing and customer director Andy Atkinson said: “These price cuts will help families who are on a tighter budget and will continue to make Morrisons more competitive.”

It comes months after Tesco’s UK boss Matt Davies said the market leader would do “everything” in its power to keep prices low, dubbing food price inflation “a bad, bad thing” for shoppers.

Experts have warned that the Brexit vote – and the subsequent slump in the value of the pound – will make imports more expensive and drive up prices.

But so far the leading supermarkets have managed to keep their prices down, with Tesco becoming embroiled in a well-publicised dispute with Unilever over the supplier’s demands to hike the price of Marmite by 10%.Source: Retail Week 3rd January 2017

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UK shop prices fall in December but also show first signs of upward trendThe figures from the British Retail Consortium and Nielsen in their monthly shop price index show that non-food deflation decelerated to 1.9%, down from 2.3% in the previous month. This is the weakest deflation rate since June 2015.

Meanwhile, food deflation decelerated marginally to 0.7% in December from the 0.8% fall in November.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said: “December saw an easing of shop price deflation. Prices were down 1.4% compared to last year, but the majority of the categories we monitor, particularly non-food, saw month-on-month increases in prices, with clothing and footwear seeing month-on-month inflation for the first time in nearly two years.”The figures also reveal that fresh food deflation remained at 1.2% for the second consecutive month. In addition, the ambient food category moved into inflationary territory for the first time since June 2016, up 0.1% in December from the 0.1% decline in the previous month.

Dickinson said: “We’ve said for some time that we expect to see underlying inflationary pressures, notably from the post-referendum fall in the value of the pound, feed through into shop prices. It’s too early to confirm that this is what we’re seeing in December’s figures: timings of seasonal discounts can cause monthly fluctuations at this time of year and retailers have continued to find ways to mitigate the impact on consumers.

“However, we expect the general trend in inflation to be upwards over 2017. The magnitude of the exchange rate movement and commodity price rises combined with the increasing costs of doing business means that retailers will have little choice other than to pass on some of these rising costs into prices but effect will be lessened by the intensity of competition.”

Source: The Retail Bulletin 4th January 2017

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Christmas delivers for The Fragrance Shop as luxury brands dominateIn the six weeks to 31 December, like-for-like sales were up 6.8%.

The retailer said its busiest day was 23 December when it sold over 80,000 bottles. Sales of male fragrance grew faster than female thanks to new launches.

Top performers included Dior Sauvage, Chanel Coco Mademoiselle and Hugo Boss - The Scent For Her and Diesel BAD. Fragrances from other luxury fashion houses such as YSL, Viktor & Rolf & Loewe were also big sellers.

Sanjay Vadera, chief executive of The Fragrance Shop, said: "New, accessibly-priced perfumes from high-end fashion houses were by far the top performing scents this Christmas, reflecting Britain's enduring love affair with luxury brands."The Fragrance Shop also recorded significant growth in gift set sales and purchases of larger 100ml+ fragrances as shoppers traded up from spending less on smaller sizes to get better value.

With a total of 184 stores, The Fragrance Shop opened 12 new shops last year and plans to open a further three in early 2017.

Vadera added: “Our complete focus on bringing a wide selection of brands to customers within the best possible retail experience continues to be the secret of our success, while also enabling us to outperform the market in luxury fragrances for the second year running, making this our fastest-growing segment."

Source: The Retail Bulletin 4th January 2017

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B&M reports strong sales growth after record Christmas tradingUK sales revenue for the 13 week period increased by 20.7% to £741.4 million while group revenue climbed by 20.5% at constant currency. On an actual currency basis, total sales revenue rose by 21.8% to £789.1 million.

The company said the stronger like-for-like growth was a reflection of a good seasonal product performance, improved in-store standards and increased levels of operational stability in its stores and supply chain.

B&M also benefited from an extra day's trade in the quarter compared with last year which added 1.1% to the headline like-for-like total. This timing benefit will unwind in the fourth quarter.

As a result, the retailer is confident that it will meet market expectations for adjusted EBITDA in the financial year to March 2017.

Simon Arora, B&M chief executive, said: "We have once again demonstrated the strength, relative appeal and popularity of our model at a time of uncertainty for consumers generally and continuing structural change in the retailing sector. We have delivered our best ever Christmas trading and served over 5.5 million customers in a single week in the UK alone as we continue to gain market share. Our German business Jawoll has also performed well and our first steps towards a faster pace of expansion are going to plan.”

At the end of the quarter, B&M’s UK business was trading from a total of 533 stores after opening 14 stores in the last 13 weeks and a net 34 in total during the financial year to date. In Germany Jawoll is now trading from 73 stores following seven new openings in the third quarter.

Source: The Retail Bulletin 4th January 2017

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Nisa sales rise over Christmas as promotions pay offNisa’s like-for-likes climbed during the Christmas trading period as investments in seasonal promotions drove sales.

The convenience specialist and wholesaler said like-for-like sales increased 2.2% in the 10 weeks ending January 1.Nisa registered an EBITDA, excluding exceptional items of £718,000 during the same period, up 38% year-on-year.Total sales, excluding its supply deal with the collapsed My Local convenience chain, advanced 2.7% to £235.6m compared to the same period last year.

Nisa, which swung to full-year profit with an EBITDA of £7.3m for the 53 weeks ending April 3, 2016, hailed the performance of its fresh proposition, which recorded a 17.7% increase in sales.

The Scunthorpe-headquartered business said its ‘Festive 5’ promotion on its own-label Heritage lines drove a 75% spike in sales of vegetables across the 10 weeks.

Sales of carrots rocketed 288%, while sales of parsnips and Brussels sprouts both more than doubled year-on-year.Nisa said it opened 77 new stores during the festive season, compared to 54 last year, as it continued to attract new members.

The business has recently secured contracts to supply the 298 stores McColl’s acquired from the Co-op and Bourne Leisure’s shops at Butlins and Haven holiday parks. Both contracts will commence in April.

Nisa Retail chief executive Nick Read said: “I’m very pleased that we have been able to provide significantly greater investment in our promotions this Christmas to assist our members trading this festive period.“We believe we have delivered a strong promotional mix to drive sales and footfall in our members’ stores.”

Source: Retail Week 4th January 2017

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Amazon starts Prime Air drone delivery trial in UKTwo shoppers are now able to order products by drone as early trials begin of online retailer’s Prime Air service

Amazon has launched a UK trial of its Prime Air service, with the first delivery including an Amazon Fire TV stick and a bag of popcorn.

On 7 December the first package was safely delivered to an address in Cambridge, with orders sent out from a Prime Air fulfilment centre nearby.

The fulfilment centre is different to others, Amazon said, as it uses “innovative Prime Air technology”, which includes an electrically-powered Amazon drone rising to the sky with the customer’s package on board.

The drones are autonomous and operate entirely alone, meaning that when an order is placed they deploy themselves.Able to carry packages up to 2.26kg and guided by GPS, the drones can deliver in 13 minutes from the moment of placing the order.

Currently only two UK consumers can order items using Prime Air, choosing from a variety of items such as electronic gadgets or dog biscuits.

Amazon will use the feedback and data from the beta test to roll-out the trial to “dozens of customers” living within several miles of the UK facility, growing to “hundreds” more.

Source: Cosmetics Business 5th January 2017

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Boots like-for-likes flat as international profits slip Boots’ UK retail like-for-likes came in flat in its first quarter as profits slid at its international arm.

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Boots’ parent company, reported that sales at its retail pharmacy international unit in the three months to November 30 edged up 0.5% to US$2.96bn on a constant currency basis. 

Operating profits at its retail pharmacy international arm fell 39.7% to $182m.

At Boots UK, like-for-like retail sales were flat, while like-for-like pharmacy sales fell 0.8%.

WBA said Boots’ December retail performance was “solid”, which it said was a “reflection of actions taken to counter challenging wider market conditions”. 

WBA has been cutting costs at Boots in the UK. In October a launched a voluntary redundancy scheme as it moves to cut 500 back-office roles. The high-street giant revealed in June last year it would slash its number of head office and field staff by 700 over three years.

Former Boots boss Simon Roberts told Retail Week at the time the cuts were first announced that it was part of a move to get the business “fit for the future” as it ups its focus on its online offer. 

Roberts unexpectedly left Boots in July after 13 years with the business, but will join Sainsbury’s as its new retail and operations director by next July.

He has been replaced at Boots by Elizabeth Fagan, formerly WBA’s managing director of international retail.

WBA’s group profits fell from $1.11bn to $1.05bn in the quarter. Group sales slid 1.8% to $28.5bn.

Executive vice chairman and chief executive Stefano Pessina said: “Overall we are pleased with the progress this quarter, with results in line with our expectations.”

Source: Retail Week 5th January 2017

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Poundland launches first sale Poundland has started the new year with its first ever sale, allowing shoppers to pick up products at half price following the costly Christmas period.

Products reduced to 50pPoundland has cut the price of several core products by 50p from 1st January 2017. These include household brands such as Dolmio, Heinz, McVities and more. Beyond grocery, Poundland is focusing its new year sale on beauty products, with the promotion including Pure deep cleanse and exfoliating wipes and Aquafresh toothpaste. 

This first-time promotion is expected to run for the month of January, giving shoppers plenty of time to stock up in the new year. The offer is only available in-store, however Poundland is promoting it online. The company's Irish business, Dealz, is also offering half price promotions at 75 cents.   'Mission to re-power the business'Talking about the promotion, new trading director Barry Williams, has said: "No-one loves a bargain more than Poundland customers and they're asking us to do more. Our promise to them is clear – amazing value on amazing items. That's why we're on a mission to re-power the business and look for new ways to provide that value. This 50 pence event to kick off the New Year is just the start of exciting times at Poundland as we work even harder to deliver on that promise in the months ahead."

It will be interesting to see what other initiatives Poundland uses to attract shoppers this year and whether or not the discounter will roll out its multi-price Poundland and more format following the company's takeover by Steinhoff.

Source: IGD 6th January 2017

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Disappointing Christmas For High Street RetailersThe UK’s high street failed to rally last month as shoppers shifted more of their Christmas spending to online retailers.

December’s like-for-like sales growth was 0.1% lower, according to BDO’s High Street Sales Tracker (HSST). The negative figure means the UK has now seen four consecutive Decembers with no high street sales growth.

Year-on-year sales of fashion goods declined by 1.07% in December, but the overall figure was pushed toward parity by like-for-like increases in the lifestyle (+2.4%) and homewares (+2.6%) sectors.

BDO said that while December’s decline of 0.1% may appear marginal, it comes off of a negative base of -5.3% for the same month last year, which was the worst month since December 2008. It added that a further decline from such a weak base will come as a serious disappointment for retailers.

However, BDO stressed that many stores did manage to capitalise on what was expected to be a very strong week leading up to Christmas Day, which this year fell on a Sunday. In that week overall sales were up by 11.7% year on year – the largest weekly growth for the whole of 2016 and the best weekly total like-for-like growth recorded since February 2014.

As expected, online retailers were the real winners over the period with sales in the channel rocketing in the week before Christmas – up 51.1% – a figure not beaten since the first week of 2015. The result helped to lift online sales growth for December up 19%, a notable improvement on the 7.5% increased seen in December last year.

Sophie Michael, Head of Retail and Wholesale at BDO LLP, commented: “With such a weak base for December 2015, any further decline can only be seen as a poor result for retailers.

“Coming at a critical juncture, this fourth negative December in succession highlights the magnitude of the challenge that lies ahead for 2017, when consumers will more keenly feel the bite of inflation and a falling pound.”

Source: NamNews 6th January 2017

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Good Christmas For Midcounties Co-operative’s Food StoresMidcounties Co-operative has reported a robust 3.6% increase in like-for-like sales across its food stores for the three weeks to 31 December.

The UK’s largest independent Co-operative said that an enhanced range of offers, along with improved the availability of locally-produced and Co-op own label products, helped it attract shoppers over the festive period.

It’s newly expanded chilled and frozen food party range, which included Christmas centre-piece styled desserts, was said to have proved popular. Meanwhile, sales of own ‘Best of Our Counties’ range jumped by 42% compared to the previous year. The range includes fresh produce from Warwickshire’s Mudwall Farm and creations from local producers, such as Whisky Beer from Chase Distillery and Hobson’s Brewery.

Last year, the retailer began a three year £30m store investment programme which included the development of new formats for its supermarkets and convenience stores.

Phil Ponsonby, Deputy Chief Executive of The Midcounties Co-operative, said: “Our rising sales over Christmas this year reflect the growing popularity of our stores and the quality of the product ranges we now offer. We’ve improved our product range with our own locally sourced products and the new Co-op branded range getting a good response from customers.”

He added: “We have been particularly pleased with the results of our new format stores which are attracting new customers and increasing the share of spend from existing shoppers. We have seen sales increases of up to 40% which is testament to the popularity of these new format stores and improved customer service.”

Source: NamNews 6th January 2017

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IRI Weekly News updateYour window on the latest trends in Packaged Groceries

Stephen Hall

Friday 6th January