Insurance Financial Planning Retirement Investments Wealth investor presentation 2014 interim results 4 September 2014
Jan 04, 2016
Insurance Financial Planning Retirement Investments Wealth
investor presentation2014 interim results
4 September 2014
agenda
Operating environment
Strategic overview
Financial review
Priorities and outlook
2014 interim results agenda
operating environmentfundamentals remain weak
operating environment
Challenging operating conditions
Slow growth in global demand
Weak economic growth in SA
Industrial action, in particular platinum mines
SA consumer under pressure
SA economy
Growth
Interest rates
Equity markets
Currencies
Africa/India/Malaysia
2014 interim results operating environment
sa economy
Growth in real retail sales, GDP and PDI (%)
sub-2% growth outlook
2014 interim results operating environment
12/05 06/06 12/06 06/07 12/07 06/08 12/08 06/09 12/09 06/10 12/10 06/11 12/11 06/12 12/12 06/13 12/13-7
-4
-1
2
5
8
11
14
Growth y-o-y in real retail sales Growth y-o-y in real GDP Growth y-o-y in real PDI
sa interest rates
SA 9-year bond yields and short-term interest rates
higher LT rates had negative impact on RoGEV and VNB growth
2014 interim results operating environment
12/12 01/13 02/13 03/13 04/13 05/13 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 06/144.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
9-year Short term
+70bps
Impact on growth:
Net VNB -4%
New business margin -3%
sa equity and bond markets
Higher average AuM (average Alsi up 20%)
2014 interim results operating environment
12/12 01/13 02/13 03/13 04/13 05/13 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 06/1495
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
All Share rebased All Bond rebased Alsi avg
SA Indices (re-based = 100)
2,3%
11,8%
-1,3%
3,4%
average exchange ratebenefiting non-sa results
2014 interim results operating environment
Europe United Kingdom
USA Botswana India Rest of Africa0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
21.2%
26.2%
16.4%
7.6%
5.3%
0.2%
Contribution to growth:
Net result from financial services 5%
New business volumes 2%
Net VNB 1%
rest of africa/india/malaysia
Botswana
Resilient economy and consumer base
Rest of Africa
GDP growth prospects exceed SA, despite slow growth in global demand
Ghana economy struggling; devaluation of currency
India
Below-trend economic growth
Buoyant equity market
Positive environment post elections
Malaysia
Growth prospects remain in place
2014 interim results operating environment
strategic deliveryvalue delivered
strategic focus remains unchanged maximise shareholder return
2014 interim results strategic delivery
Ret
urn
s(R
OG
EV
)
Cap
ital
E
ffic
ien
cy
Optimal Application
Return of Excess
Strategic Investments
Gro
wth
/
Op
erat
ion
al
Eff
icie
ncy
Net Business Flows
Operational Efficiency
Diversification
core strategic objectivesprogress in all areas during 2014, particularly growth markets
2014 interim results strategic delivery
South AfricaDelivery of sustainable
growth
InternationalCreating a platform for
future growth
Maximising return on Investment in existing businessEfficient and effective management
Identification of core markets for growth & expansion
Effe
ctiv
e c
ap
ital m
an
ag
em
en
t
Sourcing new growth opportunities
top-line earnings growth
Earnings per share
Net operating profit per share increased by 43%
Normalised headline earnings per share up 27%
Business volumes
New business volumes increased by 8% to R82bn (excl white label)
Net fund inflows of R19bn (excl white label), up 40%
Net life VNB up 7% to R626m
Net VNB margin of 2,68% – maintained on per product basis
Group Equity Value of 4 277 cents per share
Annualised RoGEV per share of 18% (15,3% adjusted)
financial performance in 1H2014
2014 interim results strategic delivery
operational efficiencies
Gross VNB grew by 9%; 13% on comparable economic basis
profitable volume growth
2014 interim results strategic delivery
1H06 1H07 1H08 1H09 1H10 1H11 1H12 1H13 1H140
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
-0.3%
0.2%
0.7%
1.2%
1.7%
2.2%
2.7%
3.2%
South Africa Africa Other International Margins - rhs
Value of new business (Rm) vs new business margins (%)
operational efficiencies
Persistency – SA middle-income market
focus on quality
2014 interim results strategic delivery
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5% 4.8%
3.9% 3.9%3.6%
3.4%3.8% 3.9%
3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9%
4.2%4.0%
3.8% 3.7% 3.6%
4.2%
3.4%
2.9% 2.8% 2.7%2.9%
Lapses, surrenders & fully paid-ups as % of in-force per half year
H1 H2
operational efficiencies
Persistency – SA lower income market
focus on quality
2014 interim results strategic delivery
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
15.2%
17.5%
14.1%12.7%
11.4% 11.1%10.0%
11.3%
27.6%
16.8%
14.5%12.7%
11.1% 10.4% 11.0%
Number of NTUs, lapses and surrenders as % of in-force
H1 H2
investment performance
Percentage of SIM’s AUM to exceed benchmark
focus on long-term performance track record
2014 interim results strategic delivery
Rolling 3 Yr0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 1H14
Rolling 5 Yr0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 1H14
operational efficiencies
Focus on quality, costs + prudence = consistent positive experience
experience variances
2014 interim results strategic delivery
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H140
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
241
142 138
277 288 278
636
468
681
555
1021
477
R'million% of VIF (rhs)
Group Equity Value Net operating profit
diversificationdiversified earnings base
2014 interim results strategic delivery
Life business57%
Short-terminsurance*
13%
Investmentmanagement
13%
Credit & banking14%
Admin, health & other3%
Life business53%
Short-term insurance*17%
Investment management
14%
Credit & banking8%
Admin, health & other8%
* General insurance
diversificationinternational positioning
2014 interim results strategic delivery
RSA based
Rest of Africa
BotswanaGhanaKenyaLesothoMalawiMozambiqueNamibiaNigeriaRwandaSouth SudanSwazilandTanzaniaThe GambiaUgandaZambia
South-East Asia
IndiaMalaysiaPhilippines
Developed markets
UK / IrelandSwitzerlandAustraliaUSA
Emerging Markets - Direct presence
Emerging Markets - Indirect presence
Developed Markets
SA Traditional98%
Namibia2%
diversificationgrowth markets delivering value
2014 interim results strategic delivery
Net VNB – 1H03 (R100m) Net VNB – 1H14 (R626m)
SA Traditional55%
SA Entry-level22%
Namibia4%
Botswana8%
Rest of Africa8%
Other international3%
SA Traditional98%
Namibia1%
Other international1%
SA Traditional65%
SA Entry-level11%
Namibia5%
Botswana4%
Rest of Africa2%
India/Malaysia7%
Other international6%
SA Traditional65%
SA Entry-level11%
Namibia5%
Botswana5%
Rest of Africa1%
India/Malaysia7%
Other international6%
1H03 – R756 million
diversification
Contribution to group net operating profit
increasing contribution from growth markets
2014 interim results strategic delivery
1H13 – R2 409 million 1H14 – R3 461 million
diversificationcontribution from businesses outside of South Africa
2014 interim results strategic delivery
South Africa Other emerging markets Developed markets
1H14 1H13
76% 76%
18% 18%
6% 6%
Net operating profit
1H14 1H13
77%82%
20%14%
3% 4%
Net VNB
1H14 1H13
77%81%
16%13%
7% 6%
Group Equity Value
capital efficiency
Final SAM specifications expected towards end of the year
SAM QIS3 results indicate that sufficient capital is allocated to life operations
R1,8 billion of investments in growth opportunities finalised during 1H14
Discretionary capital of R3,3 billion earmarked for investment in growth opportunities
optimising capital base
2014 interim results strategic delivery
capital efficiency
Balance 1 January 2014 4 000
Investments (1 761)
SE Asia (1 258)
Rwanda (255)
Botswana (95)
Rest of Africa (81)
SEM/Santam co-investment 43
Developed markets (25)
South Africa (90)
Investment return & other 1 061
Balance 30 June 2014 3 300
discretionary capital
2014 interim results strategic delivery
sanlam groupfinancial review
changes in presentation / key assumptions
Accounting policies & basis of presentation
No change from 2013
Changes in RDR: (Sanlam Life 11,0%)
30 bps up from December 2013
70 bps up from June 2013 Negative impact on valuations and RoGEV
2014 interim results financial review
salient features
2014 2013 ê
Group Equity Value* cps 4 277 4 121 4%Annualised RoGEV per share % 18,0 14,3Annualised RoGEV per share (adjusted)% 15,3 15,1CAR cover (Sanlam Life)* 4,4 4,5Net operating profit R mil 3 461 2 409 44%
cps 169,2 118,1 43% Normalised Headline earnings R mil 4 393 3 449 27%
cps 214,8 169,1 27% New business volumes + R mil 81 833 75 796 8% Net fund flows + R mil 19 222 13 746 40% New Life business EV (net) R mil 626 587 7% New Life EV margin % 2,68 2,83
2014 interim results financial review
* Comparative information as at 31 December 2013+ Excludes white label
sanlam personal finance
R million 2014 2013 ê
New business flows 23 662 19 239 23%
Sanlam Sky 474 503 -6%
Individual Life 5 821 5 368 8%
Glacier 17 367 13 368 30%
Net flows 8 087 6 564
Sanlam Sky 1 307 1 410
Individual Life (859) (701)
Glacier 7 639 5 855
2014 interim results financial review
sanlam personal finance
R million 2014 2013 ê
Value of new life business 437 450 -3%
Sanlam Sky 135 146 -8%
Individual Life 228 240 -5%
Glacier 74 64 16%
Comparable economic basis 467 450 4%
New business margin 2,73% 3,07%
Sanlam Sky 7,62% 7,46%
Individual Life 2,59% 2,89%
Glacier 1,37% 1,45%
Comparable economic basis 2,89% 3,07%
2014 interim results financial review
sanlam personal finance
R million 2014 2013 ê
Gross operating profit 2 439 1 941 26%
Sanlam Sky 518 360 44%
Individual Life life and investments 1 571 1 267 24%
Glacier 171 122 40%
Personal loans 148 157 -6%
Other 31 35 -11%
Net operating profit 1 763 1 409 25%
Group Equity Value* 36 976 35 666
RoGEV (six months) 8,7% 6,8%
2014 interim results financial review
* Comparative information as at 31 December 2013ite label
sanlam emerging markets
R million 2014 2013 ê
New business flows 4 030 5 933 -32% Namibia 1 541 4 263 -64% Botswana 1 137 871 31% Rest of Africa 827 436 90% India/Malaysia 525 363 45%
Net fund flows 1 762 607Namibia 343 (419)Botswana 478 460Rest of Africa 814 530India/Malaysia 127 36
Value of new life business 196 136 44% Margin 7,30% 6,52%
2014 interim results financial review
sanlam emerging markets
R million 2014 2013 ê
Gross operating profit 1 129 697 62%
Namibia 254 112 127%
Botswana 348 276 26%
Rest of Africa 108 76 42%
India/Malaysia 432 244 77%
Corporate (13) (11) -18%
Net operating profit 624 391 60%
Group equity value* 12 967 10 189
RoGEV (six months) 12,3% 22,0%
2014 interim results financial review
* Comparative information as at 31 December 2013
sanlam investments
R million 2014 2013 ê
Net investment business flows 4 871 2 959Investment management SA 3 883 (810)Wealth management (457) 2 457International 1 346 1 312Capital management 99 -
New life business 4 389 3 644 20% Employee benefits 952 1 157 -18% Sanlam UK 3 437 2 487 38%
Net life business 1 491 1 235
Value of new life business 64 53 21% Margin 1,16% 1,13%
2014 interim results financial review
sanlam investments
R million 2014 2013 ê
Gross operating profit 982 687 43%
Investment management 605 451 34%
Employee benefits 216 174 24%
Capital management 161 62 160%
Net operating profit 727 523 39%
Group Equity Value* 19 267 17 971
Covered business 7 268 6 901
Other 11 999 11 070
RoGEV (six months) 11,2% 9,2%
2014 interim results financial review
* Comparative information as at 31 December 2013
santam
R million 2014 2013 ê
Net earned premiums 8 459 8 096 4%
Gross operating profit 871 296 194%
Underwriting surplus 626 101 520%
Working capital & other 245 195 26%
Net operating profit 353 128 176%
Underwriting margin 7,4% 1,3%
Group Equity Value* 13 236 12 644
RoGEV (six months) 7,0% 2,9%
2014 interim results financial review
* Comparative information as at 31 December 2013
business flows
Gross Net
R million 2014 2013 ê 2014 2013
by business
Personal Finance 23 662 19 239 23% 8 087 6 564
Emerging Markets 4 030 5 933 -32% 1 762 607
Sanlam Investments 45 682 42 528 7% 6 362 4 194
Santam 8 459 8 096 4% 3 011 2 381
by licence
Life insurance 17 536 14 956 17% 6 137 5 159
Investment 55 251 52 436 5% 9 979 6 160
Short-term 9 046 8 404 8% 3 106 2 427
Total 81 833 75 796 8% 19 222 13 746
2014 interim results financial review
* Excludes white label
value of new covered business
Value of New Business Margin
R million 2014 2013 ê 2014 2013
Personal Finance 437 450 -3% 2,73% 3,07%
Emerging Markets 196 136 44% 7,30% 6,52%
Employee Benefits 42 30 40% 2,30% 1,45%
Sanlam UK 22 23 -4% 0,59% 0,87%
Total 697 639 9% 2,88% 2,98%
Net of minorities 626 587 7% 2,68% 2,83%
Comparable economic basis 650 587 11% 2,77% 2,83%
2014 interim results financial review
net operating profit
R million 2014 2013 ê
Personal Finance 1 763 1 409 25%
Emerging Markets 624 391 60%
Sanlam Investments 727 523 39%
Santam 353 128 176%
Corporate & other (6) (42) 86%
Total 3 461 2 409 44%
2014 interim results financial review
income statement
R million 2014 2013 ê
Net operating profit 3 461 2 409 44% Per share 169,2 118,1 43%
Net investment return 1 122 1 150 -2%
Other (190) (110) -73%
Normalised headline earnings 4 393 3 449 27% Per share 214,8 169,1 27%
Fund transfers 54 25
Headline earnings 4 447 3 474 28% Per share 220,2 171,4 28%
2014 interim results financial review
group equity value
Equity Value* RoGEV+
R million 2014 2013 Rm %
Group operations 82 446 76 470 7 282 9,5%
Personal Finance 36 976 35 666 3 107 8,7%
Emerging Markets 12 967 10 189 1 258 12,3%
Investments 19 267 17 971 2 031 11,2%
Santam 13 236 12 644 886 7,0%
Discretionary & Other 5 142 7 939 6 0,1%
TOTAL 87 588 84 409 7 288 8,6%
cps 4 277 4 121 356 8,6%
Adjusted return 7,4% Return target 5,9%
2014 interim results financial review
* Comparative information as at 31 December 2013+ Return for six months
group equity value earnings
R million Actual Adjusted
Net value of new business 626 626Existing business 2 260 2 260Expected return on VIF 1 659 1 659Operating experience variance 477 477Operating assumption changes 124 124
2 886 2 886Inv variances in-force 497 (497) - Tax changes (3) 3 - Economic assumption changes (200) 200 -
3 180 (294) 2 886Return on net worth 765 (189) 576EV earnings 3 945 (483) 3 462Non-life 3 343 (578) 2 765GEV earnings 7 288 (1 061) 6 227
2014 interim results financial review
summary
Delivery on strategy:
Shareholder value
Cumulative RoGEV per share exceeds hurdle
Profitable growth
Strong growth in most markets and segments
Net VNB +11% on comparable basis
Net operating profit up 29% on comparable basis
Diversification
Increasing contribution from growth markets
Capital management
Investments in growth markets
2014 interim results financial review
rogev versus target
Out perform cumulative growth target of long-bond rate + 400bps since listing
2014 interim results financial review
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Target Cost of Capital (RFR + 300bps) Actual
priorities for 2H14
sanlam personal finance
Focus on sales growth and maintain margins on same discount rate
Grow adviser force in all market segments
Product innovation, particularly recurring premiums
Improve Sanlam Sky broker channel performance
Increased focus on persistency
Continue focus on operational efficiency - manage costs
Focus on transformation and employer of choice
Meet regulatory obligations
2014 interim results priorities for 2014
sanlam emerging markets
Focus remains on Africa, India and South-East Asia
Continue focus on top-line growth, efficiencies and capital optimisation in current operations
Bed down new acquisitions in Rwanda and Malaysia
Unlock Shriram Capital synergies
Bed down IT implementations
Delivery on revenue diversification initiatives
Bolt-on transactions/deepening existing partnerships in Africa, India and Malaysia
Strong deal-making focus to remain the leading player in Africa
Continuously refine organisational capacity to support growth
Governance, ethics and values
2014 interim results priorities for 2014
sanlam investments
Maintain consistent upper quartile investment performance
Grow market share in higher margin areas
Institutional fund flows
Retail fund flows
Large mandates from promising EB pipeline
Provide appropriate, innovative and cost effective solutions to clients from across SI value chain
Further leverage competitive active and passive management capabilities
Accelerate efforts to grow a market leading African Investments proposition
Continued focus on collaboration and efficiencies across businesses
2014 interim results priorities for 2014
santam
Deliver on diversified growth
Market diversification (specialist business, Santam Re, investment in SEM partners)
Continued growth at MiWay
Increased emphasis on quality of risk pool
Ongoing segmented premium rate increases
Underwriting actions to rectify unprofitable accounts
Drive efficiency through value chain
Focus on cost management and strategic sourcing to counter rand weakness
Ongoing implementation of key strategic projects in Santam Commercial and Personal
2014 interim results priorities for 2014
outlook
outlook for 2014
Weak SA environment will continue to hamper new business growth
Some market volatility likely in second half of 2014
Focus on bedding down new acquisitions
Number of investment opportunities under consideration
Compliance to regulatory changes
2014 interim results outlook
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