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Investor Meetings November December 2010 John R. Koelmel Chief Executive Officer Michael W Harrington Michael W. Harrington Chief Financial Officer
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Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Oct 02, 2020

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Page 1: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Investor MeetingsNovember ‐ December 2010

John R. KoelmelChief Executive Officer

Michael W HarringtonMichael W. HarringtonChief Financial Officer

Page 2: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Safe Harbor Statement

This presentation contains forward‐looking information for First 

Niagara Financial Group Inc Such information constitutesNiagara Financial Group, Inc.  Such information constitutes 

forward‐looking statements (within the meaning of the Private 

Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) which involve significantSecurities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) which involve significant 

risks and uncertainties.  Actual results may differ materially from 

the results discussed in these forward‐looking statements.

In connection with the proposed merger, First Niagara Financial Group, Inc. (“First Niagara”) has filed with the SEC a Registration Statement on Form S-4 that includes a Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus for NewAlliance Bancshares, Inc. (“NewAlliance”) and First Niagara, as well as other relevant documents concerning the proposed transaction. NewAlliance and First Niagara have mailed the definitive Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus to stockholders of NewAlliance and First Niagara (which mailings were first made on or about November 5, 2010). Stockholders are urged to read the Registration Statement and the definitive Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus regarding the merger and any other relevant documents filed with the SEC as well as any amendments or supplements to those documents because they contain importantthe merger and any other relevant documents filed with the SEC, as well as any amendments or supplements to those documents, because they contain important information. You may obtain a free copy of the definitive Joint Proxy Statement/Prospectus, as well as other filings containing information about First Niagara and NewAlliance at the SEC’s Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). You may also obtain these documents, free of charge, from First Niagara at www.fnfg.com under the tab “Investor Relations” and then under the heading “Documents” or from NewAlliance by accessing NewAlliance’s website at www.newalliancebank.com under the tab “Investors” and then under the heading “SEC Filings.”

First Niagara and NewAlliance and certain of their directors and executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from the stockholders of NewAlliance in connection with the proposed merger. Information about the directors and executive officers of First Niagara is set

2

forth in the proxy statement for First Niagara’s 2010 annual meeting of stockholders, as filed with the SEC on a Schedule 14A on March 19, 2010. Information about the directors and executive officers of NewAlliance is set forth in the proxy statement for NewAlliance’s 2010 annual meeting of stockholders, as filed with the SEC on a Schedule 14A on March 11, 2010. Additional information regarding the interests of those participants and other persons who may be deemed participants in the transaction may be obtained by reading the Proxy Statement/Prospectus regarding the proposed merger. You may obtain free copies of this document as described in the preceding paragraph.

Page 3: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Why We are Here Today

Affirm your support for NewAlliance transaction

Convey confidence in our execution preparednessy p p

Underscore our consistent financial performance

Elaborate on our growth strategy and game plan

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Page 4: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Today’s Discussion

NewAlliance Acquisition

Execution and 

F d tiFoundation

Financial Performance

Strategic ViewpointPerformance Viewpoint

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Page 5: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

NAL Acquisition – Strategic Rationale

Advances strategy of building premier Northeast regional banking franchisefranchise

Unites two strong, growing companies

Accelerates growth potential of each company in attractive markets

Fortress balance sheet supports continuation of offensive game plan

Low risk transaction leveraging FNFG’s acquisition skills and infrastructure build out along with NAL’s efficient operating model

Solid economics ‐ Immediately accretive transaction with strong IRR 

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Page 6: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Building a Strong Franchise in the Northeast

Multi‐state territory

$30 billion in assets

$20 billion in deposits

$15 billion in loans

Albany

Buffalo

SyracuseRochester

$15 billion in loans

TRB Capital:  14.3%

340 branches

730 000 tPittsburgh

Philadelphia

New Haven

730,000 customers

5,000 employees

Information is pro forma at transaction closeFNFG NAL

Frames our desired footprint 6

Page 7: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Market Opportunity

NewAlliance will expand FNFG’s existing footprint by more than the size of Pittsburgh, while adding favorable demographics similar to Philadelphia…

DemographicsThe Central Connecticut markets have a population of 2.7 MM, greater than the population of Pittsburgh

Business ProfileCentral Connecticut has roughly as many small businesses as the Pittsburgh MSA with slightly more middle and large marketpopulation of Pittsburgh. 

Median household income is roughly 20% greater than Pittsburgh (and similar to Philadelphia), accompanied b l d i b f

more middle and large market firms.  Central Connecticut has a similar industry composition to First Niagara’s existing footprint, with a high proportion of 

t h lth dby a total deposit base of more than $50 billion.

government, health care and education jobs.

Population TrendsCompared to First Niagara’s other markets, Central Connecticut demographics are more favorable than FNFG’s existing footprint.  The  MSA population is projected to grow at 0.73% from 2010 – 2015, compared to 0.71%, (1.52%) and (0.47%) for Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Upstate New York respectively. Median Household income is estimated to grow at 15% over the same period, in line with the existing footprint. 

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Page 8: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Outstanding Commercial Market Potential

140,000Number of Firms by Size ‐ Small Business and Business Number of Firms by Size ‐Middle 

100,000

120,000

140,000

3,000

3,500

Market and Corporate

60,000

80,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

20,000

40,000

500

1,000

,

0

< 20 Employees Small Business < 500 Employees Business

Philadelphia Pittsburgh Central Connecticut Buffalo Albany

0

500+ Employees Middle Market and Corporate

8Source: SBA firms and employment by MSA 2006

Page 9: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Pro Forma Financial Impact – Original Assumptions

Immediately accretive in 2011

4‐5% GAAP accretion in 20124 5% GAAP accretion in 2012

• Better than street consensus

• Leveraging the strengths of combined entity• Leveraging the strengths of combined entity

• No capital management assumed in modeling

IRR in excess of 15%IRR in excess of 15%

7% tangible book dilution and short earnback period

Strong pro forma capital levelsStrong pro forma capital levels

• TRBC  14.3%

Ti 1 C 13 0%

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• Tier 1 Common 13.0%

• TCE/TA 8.2%

Page 10: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Pricing Valuation Consistent With Longer Term Norms

NAL transaction in line with pricing during a more “normal” environment 

Historically low pricing of Harleysville and Nat City branch deals due to FNFG’s unique        position of strength during financial crisis

DealDeal Price Core

DepositMarket 

DealValue

DepositPremium 

(%)

Premium(%)

EarningsMultiple

TBV(%)

NAL  Transaction Pro forma(1) $1.4B 19x 156 13 20

M&A  Transactions since 1/2006(2)

(mean values)$1.1B 21x 314 29 32

Previous FNFG Transactions:

Hudson River (4/2004) $611mm 16x 267 24 (6)

Troy Financial Corp.(8/2003) $348mm 23x 266 26 23

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(1) Based on FNFG stock prices as of November 12, 2010 and NAL deposits as of September 30, 2010(2) Nationwide M&A transactions with deal values between $500 million and $2.5 billionSource: SNL Financial

Page 11: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Building Franchise with Pricing Discipline

ActualNational City(1)

Harleysville(1) NewAlliance(2) Total

Deal Value$52 $300 $1,380 $1,732$ in millions

Assets  $3.9 $5.2 $8.8 $17.9

Loans  $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4

n bi

llions

Deposits  $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0

Deposit Premium

$ in

Core(3)

Total2.5%1.3%

3.6%2.2%

13.0%9.0%

7.0%5.0%

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(1) All data are as of acquisition close date. Balance sheet amounts shown are stated at fair value(2) Based on NewAlliance footings at September 30, 2010 and FNFG stock price as of November 12, 2010(3) Core deposits defined as total deposits less certificate of deposits

Page 12: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

First Niagara & NewAlliance….Continue to Perform Well in Current Environment

Operating Net Income (1)

Millions  FNFG NAL SNL Midcap Bank Index

$44.9 $46.9$50 $16.9$18

$27.3

$

$30$12.6

$14.9

$10

$14

$10

3Q 2009 2Q 2010 3Q 2010$6

3Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2010

NCOs / Average LoansReturn on Average 

Assets (1) TCE/TA

0.92%0.77% 0.74%0.80%

1.00%1.18%

1.20%

1.50%8.6%

11.1%9.0%10.00%

12.00%

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

0.27% 0.35%

0.00%

0.30%

0.60%

0.90%

0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%

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(1) Non‐GAAP/operating results excludes certain non‐recurring items. The Company believes that these measures are useful to management and investors because they permit a more effective evaluation and comparison of the Company’s results and performance in relation to its ongoing operations. See Notes  for details.(2) Annualized

3Q  2010 (2) 3Q  2010 (2) 3Q  2010 (2)

Page 13: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

NewAlliance Update –Financial & Strategic Assessment

Confident with our growth/revenue projections from due diligence

Confident in our synergy assessment / expense savings

FNFG commercial strategy will translate well into NAL’s market

Create additional scale and efficiencies using FNFG’s retail brokerageCreate additional scale and efficiencies using FNFG s retail brokerage, wealth management and merchant services strategies

Leverage NAL’s product and brand managementLeverage NAL’s product and brand management 

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Page 14: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Guiding Principles of Integration Approach

Focus on the best interest of customersFocus on the best interest of customers

Strong partnerships maintained with customers, l iti d liemployees, communities and suppliers

FNFG and NAL keep their financial commitment to shareholders

Go‐forward operating model combines the best of both franchises 

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Page 15: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

How We Will Manage Combined Company

Key customer decisions are made where our customers interact with us

Albany

Buffalo

SyracuseRochester

New Haven

PittsburghPhiladelphia

Information is pro forma at transaction closeFNFG NAL15

Page 16: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

How We Will Manage Combined Company

Regional President      (TBD)

Regional management structure ‐New England franchise

(TBD)

Commercial Banking Retail Banking Credit Management Financial Services

Paul McCraven, SVP Community Development 

Banking

Partnership Services IT/Operation

James Bzdyra, SVP     Market Executive

Andy Moser SVP

Marlene Piche, SVP Retail

Tom Hylinski, SVP 

Our wealth business model 

While centralization of some support functions is 

Andy Moser, SVP   Asset Based Lending

Tom Reid, FVP Commercial Real Estate Lending

yResidential Lending is in support of 

our Commercial and Retail businesses and is market basedRetail bank will operate as

necessary, we maintain local support for Marketing, PR/Community Affairs, HR, Compliance, Legal, and IT functions.

Our focus will be to bring our Commercial model to the NewAlliance franchise with an emphasis on all 

is market‐based.Retail bank will operate as it does today with support from product specialists (e.g., Mortgage, Retail Brokerage)p

commercial segments.

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Page 17: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

How We Will Manage Credit for the Combined Company

Loan approval structure encompasses a balance of regional decision making

Proven credit structure applied across all regions

Loan approval structure encompasses a balance of regional decision making and centralized governance

All policy making and the establishment of lending authorities, risk tolerances and portfolio concentration limits is centralized within Credit Administrationand portfolio concentration limits is centralized within Credit Administration function

In‐market Senior Credit Manager and Market Executive‐Regional President can approve transactions of $7 5MM or lessapprove transactions of $7.5MM or less

All transactions over $7.5MM require the centralized approval of the Chief Credit Officer.  Additionally, loans over $12.5MM require the approval of a committee comprised of senior management from the credit and lending linescommittee comprised of senior management from the credit and lending lines of business

The Bank’s loan review function is centralized and reports to the Enterprise Risk Management function

17

Management function

The Bank’s credit structure has passed OCC scrutiny

Page 18: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Hitting the Ground Running With All Stakeholders

Shareholders•Very positive response•Initial concerns addressed

Customers CommunitiesCustomers•Active calling efforts

•Management highly  visible in market

•Regional growth strategy well‐received

•Met with political and civic leaders

Employees

Employees•Proactive outreach•Energized and engaged

Regulators•Timeline on track for Dec 20 vote and 2Q11 conversion

/ /

18

conversion8/19/10 – FNFG acquiring NAL

$5.1B in deposits, $5.0B in loans, 88 branchesNew Haven, Hartford, Manchester, Springfield

Page 19: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Today’s Discussion

NewAlliance Acquisition

Execution and 

F d tiFoundation

Financial Performance

Strategic ViewpointPerformance Viewpoint

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Page 20: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Foundation for Future Growth Substantially Complete

Added 500 positions in past 18 months• Customer Facing ‐ 160

• Customer Service & Support ‐ 185

• IT/Operations ‐ 110

• Audit & Risk Management 45• Audit & Risk Management ‐ 45

Recruited senior talent from larger institutions

Building out system capabilities

Enhancing internal processes and proceduresEnhancing internal processes and procedures

Entering new business lines and services to meet customer demand

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meet customer demand• Capital markets, healthcare, foreign exchange, 

international wires

Page 21: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Infusing Talent Into Senior Leadership

Senior Leadership HireYears of 

ExperiencePrior Experience

Chief Operating Officer 34

JP Morgan Chase

Corporate Development 17

Eastern PA Market 31 JP Morgan ChaseCitibankPNCNational CityM&T

Western PA Market 20

Capital Markets 20

M&TBank of NY MellonTD BanknorthKey BankDTCC

Financial Services 23

Retail Administration 24

Chief Information Officer 20 DTCCOperations 25

Enterprise Risk Management 20

C li 25

21

Compliance 25

Page 22: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Enhancements Made To Support Large Size Institution 

IT Operations Risk Management

Capacity on demand     mainframe technology• Scalability to support  $50B+ size bank

Full featured web‐based cash management system• Better lockbox processing

Comprehensive governance structure• Risk committee of the Board$50B  size bank

Teller capture functionality

I i

• Better lockbox processing, account reconciliation, foreign exchange capabilities

From NAL robust asset

Board• Formal management committees

• Working groups including stakeholders and risk• Improves processing 

efficiency, branch productivity and reduces costs in branches and b k ffi

From NAL ‐ robust asset based lending platform• Leverage bank‐wide across commercial services 

stakeholders and risk professionals

back office business line

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Page 23: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Western Pennsylvania: Commercial and Retail Success One Year Later 

Origination volume ahead of expectations$707 $740

$849$917

$750

$1,000 Commercial loan balances (millions)

expectationsLow customer attritionRobust and consistent pipelineSolid credit qualityN hi t f

$662$707 $740

$250

$500

New hires are top performersMany opportunities remain

$0

3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10

Core deposits at 104% of Sept ’09 pre‐close levels

$1,953  $2,040 

$1 400

$2,100Core deposit balances (millions)

Retaining the right customers and growing relationshipsAggressively pursuing new household acquisition

$700

$1,400

23

acquisitionInvesting in the distribution channel ‐two new branches opening this month $0

Page 24: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Eastern Pennsylvania: Positive Early Results

Completed very successful system conversion

Strong core deposit retention of 96%

Over $600 million in loan originations in first six monthsg

Building commercial loan pipeline – over $70 million

Team strengthened by hiring lenders with bigger bank experienceTeam strengthened by hiring lenders with bigger bank experience

Calling program and new sales goals to increase productivity

Supporting community through charitable fundingSupporting community through charitable funding 

24

Page 25: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Today’s Discussion

NewAlliance Acquisition

Execution and 

F d tiFoundation

Financial Performance

Strategic ViewpointPerformance Viewpoint

25

Page 26: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Strong Key Financial Metrics

FNFG2007

FNFG2008

FNFG2009

FNFG Peers 13Q 2010

2007 2008 2009

ofita

bility

Net Interest MarginOperating Return on Average AssetsOperating Return on Average Tangible Equity

3.33%1.03%13 83%

3.55%1.00%13 18%

3.65%0.92%8 93%

3.61%0.91%10 90%

3.78%0.86%11 30%

Pro Operating Return on Average Tangible Equity 13.83% 13.18% 8.93% 10.90% 11.30%

Cred

it Quality NCO/Average Loan

NPL/Total LoansAllowance/Non Performing Loans

0.18%0.49%250%

0.28%0.72%168%

0.50%0.94%129%

0.27%0.93%

1.06%2.72%84%C Q Allowance/Non‐Performing Loans 250% 168% 129% 100% 84%

Capital 

Strength Tier 1 Common Ratio

Total Risk Based Capital RatioTCE/TA

11.1%12.3%8.2%

12.0%16.2%9.0%

17.3%18.5%10.5%

13.4%15.1%8.6%

10.4%15.7%8.0%

S

1 Peer group is SNL Mid Cap Bank Index.Capital ratios are at the consolidated level.pReturn on average assets (ROAA) and return on average tangible equity (ROATE)excludes the merger and integration costs related to the acquisitions of 57 NatCity branches in September, 2009 and Harleysville National Corporation in April 2010 and other non-operating items. See notes page for detail.

26

Page 27: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Consistently Delivering Earnings Growth

Annual Operating Net Income 1 Quarterly Operating Net Income 1

$105.6

$110

$44.9 $46.9$40

$50

$82.3

$89.8

$55

$83

$27 3

$31.3$32.6$30

1.12%$28

$27.3

$10

$20

2007 2008 2009

$0 $0

3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10millions

1 Operating net income excludes the merger and integration costs related to the acquisitions of 57 NatCity branches in September 2009 and Harleysville National Corporation in April 2010 and other non-operating items. See notes page for detail.

27

Page 28: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Well Capitalized with Excess Liquidity

$1 Billion in common equity raised since September 2008

Over $500 million in excess capital under Basel III guidelines

A ti it l t t t i d di id d b 7% i 3Q 2010Active capital management strategy ‐ raised dividend by 7% in 3Q 2010

• Further dividend increase / share buybacks under consideration

FNFG Pro‐formaFNFG9/30/10

Pro forma with NAL

Tier 1 Common Risk Based 13.4% 13.2%

Total Risk Based 15.1% 14.5%

TCE/TA 8 6% 8 2%TCE/TA 8.6% 8.2%

Loan/Deposit 76% 78%

28

Dividend Yield 4.8%

Tier 1 Common Risk Based and Total Risk Based ratios are at the consolidated level

Page 29: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Deploying excess liquidity drives earnings growth

$3 billion of liquidity created by NCC transaction has not yet been optimized

• Initially invested in highly liquid securities with stable cash flows

Monthly cash flow is greater than current needs of business

• Capacity in new markets is rapidly expanding 

Current portfolio will be diversified into less liquid instruments

• Trading down the liquidity / credit curve

• Improving portfolio performance / yield

Maintain cash flow dynamics in support of future business needs

29

Page 30: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Recent Highlights – October 2010

Commercial ServicesN l d li f $330 illi l d b 12 d l $5 illiNew loans and lines of $330 million were led by 12 deals over $5 million

Historically high pipeline of over $530 million  

Deepened regional product offering with purchase of property & casualtyDeepened regional product offering with purchase of property & casualty insurance broker(Summit) in Eastern PA 

Retail ServicesRetail ServicesAggressive home equity campaign increased balances by $20 million with  application volume averaging over 400/week

Momentum continues with HE loan pipeline of 1,200 deals/$78 million

Residential mortgage production of $140 million well above expectations

30

Branch based investment sales continue to exceed estimates –led by WPA

Page 31: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Today’s Discussion

NewAlliance Acquisition

Execution and 

F d tiFoundation

Financial Performance

Strategic ViewpointPerformance Viewpoint

31

Page 32: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Bar is Raised in Financial Services Industry

POSITION PERFORMANCE POTENTIAL

Winning companies will possess:

Strong capital & liquidity positions

Proven credit skills

Consistent, high quality earnings

Top line driven growth

Growth market footprint

Ability to exploitProven credit skills

The right customer market share

Top line driven growth

Diversity of revenue sources

Ability to exploit market/customer gaps

R ll t itiService/product excellence

Capability to balance short term performance and long term franchise 

Rollup opportunities

Scalable operating platform

And First Niagara excels….value

32

First Niagara excels across the board

Page 33: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Northeast Region Major CompetitorsPerforming well against bigger players

InstitutionWestern New York

Eastern New York

Western Pennsylvania

Eastern Pennsylvania

New England

Citizens(RBS) X X X X X

Bank of America X X X X

M&T  X X X

HSBC X X

KeyCorp X X

Sovereign(Santander) X X

TD Bank North X X

Wells Fargo  X X

PNC X X

Webster X

People’s X

33

Page 34: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Customer Centric, Relationship Driven Focus

First

Top tier bank peers with strong customer service cultures

First Niagara Peer A Peer B Peer C Peer D

Loyalty Index 85 76 76 82 77

Likeliness to Recommend Bank 84 65 82 80 86

Expected Change in Amount of Business Conducted with Bank 52 28 22 45 23

Likelihood to Continue Using for Future Banking Needs 100 91 89 100 91

Source:  June 30, 2010 Greenwich Associates Market Tracking Program 

Loyalty evaluation scores based off of lead relationships

34

Page 35: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

M&A Landscape

Industry consolidation forces picking up steamy p g p

Prolonged economic downturn accelerating pressures

Regulatory pressures(compliance credit capital liquidity)Regulatory pressures(compliance, credit, capital, liquidity)

Access to capital and growth markets more limited

l l f hPrivate capital clamoring for their return on investment

Smaller banks at greatest disadvantage

35

Page 36: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

The Foundation is Framed – “Working the Farm”

Small banks are at a huge disadvantage: AlbanySyracuse

Themes: We Anticipate a Wave of Small‐Bank Consolidation in 2011 ‐ 2012

• Little access to capital

• Greater regulatory burden

Buffalo

New Havenburden

• High expense structure

Possibly some legacy 

PittsburghPhiladelphia

branch rationalization by bigger players

We do not intend to just fill in the map

FNFG NALjust fill in the map –logical, targeted, urban

# of Banks  WithAssets  $500m‐$5bn Total  Assets  ($000) Total  Deposits  ($000)

Philadelphia MSA 20 28,127,943 21,683,076Connecticut & Western Mass. 13 14,117,850 10,212,780Greater Buffalo Area 4 5,035,878 4,337,897Pittsburgh MSA 4 4,622,787 3,792,409

36

Greater Albany Area 3 6,577,314 5,655,517Source: SNL Financial as of September 30, 2010

Page 37: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

FNFG – Poised to Capitalize on Industry Shakeout and Stay On Offense 

Operating with great momentumOperating with great momentum

Franchise is “fresh” – not burdened by legacy credit and liquidity issues

Open and healthy dialogue with regulators

Energized management team – great blend of old and new

Size and scale enables greater “ear to the ground” market intelligence

37

Page 38: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Why We are Here Today

Seek your support for NewAlliance transactionSeek your support for NewAlliance transactionAffirm your support for NewAlliance transactionSeek your support for NewAlliance transactionSeek your support for NewAlliance transaction

Convey our execution preparedness and confidence

Affirm your support for NewAlliance transaction

Elaborate on our growth strategy and game plan

38

Page 39: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Appendix

Investor MeetingsNovember ‐ December 2010

39

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Loan Portfolio Diversification

FNFG NAL COMBINEDFNFG NAL COMBINED

5% 4%

$10.1B $5.1B $15.2B

1%5%

19%

3%

4%

15%4%

30%2%3%

14%1%

9%

1%

14%

10%

25%

19%

7%

24%

16%51%

1%

23%

%1%

Commercial Construction 1‐4 Family Multifamily

Commercial Real Estate Commercial Business Consumer

Other Home Equity

As of September 30, 2010

40

Page 41: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

High Quality Investment Securities Portfolio

FNFG NAL COMBINED

98.5% of combined portfolio is investment grade

FNFG NAL COMBINED

$8.5B $2.8B $11.3B

1% 1%

8%1%

1% 16%

1%6%2%

2% 3%5% 6%

74%

89% 85%

Agency MBS & CMO Corps/TruP/Other Municipals

Private Label CMO Agency Debt

41

As of September 30, 2010

Page 42: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Focus on Transactional Accounts 

FNFG NAL COMBINEDFNFG NAL COMBINED

$13.4B $5.1B $18.5B

29%

19%

27%27% 27%25%

33%

19%9%

37%

16%

32%

Time Savings Money Market Checking

42As off September 30, 2010

Page 43: Investor Meetings 2010 - SNL · 2010. 11. 18. · Loans $0.8 $2.6 $5.0 $8.4 n billions Deposits $3.9 $4.0 $5.1 $13.0 Deposit Premium $ i Core(3) Total 2.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 13.0% 9.0%

Non Interest Income Diversification

FNFG NAL COMBINED

1%

FNFG NAL COMBINED

$132.5M $45.9M $178.4M

47%11%

15%

11%

11%4%

45%

10%

6%5%

47%

19%

8%

44%

29%21%

13%

Banking Service Fees Insurance & Benefits Consulting

Wealth Management Lending and Leasing

BOLI Other

21%

43

Represents YTD September 30, 2010(1) Other income includes gain on securities and limited partnerships

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FNFG: Notes to Operating Results:  Net Income, Return on Average Assets and Return on Tangible Equity

The Company believes that non-GAAP financial measures provide a meaningful comparison of the underlying operational performance of the Company, and facilitate investors’ assessments of business and performance trends in comparison to others in the financial services industry.

g g q y

(millions) 2009 2008 2007 3Q10 2Q10 1Q10 4Q09 3Q09

Operating net income excludes (all amounts are after‐tax):

Reported (GAAP) Net Income $79.4 $88.4 $84.1 $45.6 $20.0 $28.9 $28.9 $10.9

Operating (Non GAAP) Net Income $105.6 $89.8 $82.3 $46.9 $44.9 $32.6 $31.3 $27.3

p g ( )

2010 ( Beginning in Q2 2010, the impact of income taxes on these non‐operating items was calculated using the effective tax rate for the quarter)Q3:  After‐tax noninterest expense: Acquisition related expenses of $1.3 million.Q2: Noninterest expense: Harleysville acquisition related expenses of $ 18.8 million, $5.6 million charitable contribution related to the acquired markets and severance and related costs of $0.5 million.  Q1:  Noninterest expense:  Harleysville National Corporation acquisition related expenses of $3.7 million.  2009 Q4: Noninterest expense: Harleysville National Corporation acquisition related expenses of $2.4 million. Q3: Noninterest income: Gain on the sale of the merchant services’ customer list of $1.5 million.  Noninterest expense: Expenses of $14.9 million primarily related to the National City branch acquisition and merger with Harleysville National Corporation. Also, a $3.0 million contribution to the First Niagara Bank Foundation in support of charitable giving in Western Pennsylvania. Q2:  Noninterest expense: FDIC special assessment charge of $3.3 million based on each insured depository institution’s assets less Tier 1 Capital. Also, expenses related to the National City branch acquisition of $1.4 million. Q1:  Noninterest expense: Settlement of service mark infringement matter of $1.8 million and professional service fees related to the National City branch acquisition of $1.0 million.  2008Q1: Noninterest expense: real estate write‐downs and severance related to the acquisition of Greater Buffalo Savings Bank of $1.4 million.2007 

b h l f $ ll d f l l f $ ll b hQ4: Noninterest income ‐gain on branch sales of $12.9 million and investment portfolio restructuring loss of $3.4 million. Noninterest expense ‐ branch deposit loss of $1.4 millionQ2: Noninterest expense ‐ real estate write‐downs and severance costs of $5.0 million related to prior year’s performance improvement initiative. Q1: Noninterest expense ‐ severance and related costs of $1.4 million. 

44

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NAL: Notes to Operating Results:  Net Income, Return on Average Assets and Return on Tangible Equity

The Company believes that non‐GAAP financial measures provide a meaningful comparison of the underlying operational performance of the Company and facilitate investors’ assessments ofunderlying operational performance of the Company, and facilitate investors  assessments of business and performance trends in comparison to others in the financial services industry.  Operating net income excludes (all amounts are after‐tax):

2010 Q3: After tax noninterest expense: Merger related charges of $3 0 million2010 – Q3: After‐tax noninterest expense: Merger related charges of $3.0 million2010 – Q2: After‐tax noninterest revenue: Gain on limited partnership of $1.7 million. 

Reported(GAAP) net income  was $13.9 million for the third quarter of 2010, $16.3 million for secondsecond.Reported(GAAP) ROAA for the third quarter of 2010 was 0.64%.

45