Investing in Early Childhood Education...Unknown Childcare Situations 803 Children at Home With a Stay-At-Home Parent 33% 476 Children in Licensed Juneau Childcare 19% Wages for child

If you could:

• Turn around the lives of many of Juneau’s kids for the better, including their lifelong success, health, and earnings,

• Keep more young families in Juneau, and reduce their stress,

• Improve Juneau’s economy, and make us a better capital city,

• Keep a lot of crime, substance abuse, etc. from ever happening,

• Make Juneau a leader in Alaska and the U.S. in achieving successful productive citizens.

WOULD YOU??

Juneau Economic Development Final Plan Ord 2015-10 2/23/15

Please tell me whether you think each of the following are very significant, somewhat significant, or not significant barriers to Juneau’s economic development.

Very/Somewhat Not N/A

Availability child care services Household 66% 11% 22%

Business 75% 10% 15%

Cost of child care services Household 63% 9% 28%

Business 72% 13% 15%

Only 1 out of 10 Juneau residents and businesses think cost and availability of child care is NOT a significant barrier to economic development.

Juneau Economic Development Final Plan

• Ease the Child Care Barrier: Increasing the capacity, quality, and affordability of child care will allow more Juneau residents to fully participate in the local workforce and more fully utilize their talents and energy.

• Support Quality Pre K-12 Education: Attract families and businesses to Juneau and build a strong local workforce by raising education standards, offer education that includes vocational alternatives; support entrepreneurship and business education in Juneau’s schools; enhance job-readiness.

America’s next “Moon Mission” https://www.strongnation.org/articles/296-larry-jensen-early-childhood-education-is-america-s-next-moon-mission

“If we don’t look at this seriously and think about early childhood education as our moon mission for the next 10 years, then we miss the opportunity to save a generation of children….”

Larry Jensen, President and CEO of Cushman & Wakefield Commercial Adviser Partners, a large commercial real estate company and a member of ReadyNation. (A conservative business group promoting a stronger nation and economy)

CBJ Economic Development Plan: Attract and Prepare the Next Generation Workforce: Goal: Prepare and attract the professional, technical, skilled, entrepreneurial, and creative labor force that Juneau’s diverse employers, businesses, and non-profits need.

Objective 2. Increase availability of child care year round, with an emphasis on Kindergarten readiness. 2-A HEARTS Initiative (Hiring Educating and Retaining Teachers)2-B Develop 80-100 child daycare facility – public/ private collaboration2-C Lobby bigger state Child Care Assistance Subsidies2-D Support/expand afterschool and summer child care2-E Secure affordable pre-K space – public/private collaboration2-F Encourage employers to provide/support child care2-G Review ordinance and zoning review to support child care

“Police Chiefs Say Child Care Will Reduce Crime, Save Money”George Mason University Survey, 2000

Nine out of ten Police Chiefs (91%) agreed:

“If America does not make greater investments in after-school and educational child care programs to help children and youth now, we will pay far more later in crime, welfare and other costs.”

“We will pay far more later if we don’t invest now”

Lifetime Effects: the High/Scope Perry Preschool Study Through Age 40. (2005)

• 123 low-income children/high risk for school failure• Randomly assigned - 58 preschool/ 65 did not • Pre-school program at ages 3 and 4• Tracked through age 40

James Heckman, Nobel Economist“Schooling after the second grade plays only a minor role in creating or reducing gaps.”“It is imperative to change the way we look at education. We should invest in the foundation of school readiness from birth to age 5.”

More High/Scope Perry Preschool StudyPreschool None

Owned home at 27 27% 5%

Not on social services last 10 years 80% 59%

Employed at 40 76% 42%

Median income at 40 $1,856/mo $1,308/mo

Heroin use at 40 0% 9%

Lifetime arrests 5 or more 36% 55%

Note:

• High risk individuals

• Results are only from preschool from ages 3-4. No consideration of prenatal care, child care, afterschool programs, etc.

“Investment in early childhood development programs brings a real (inflation adjusted) total return, public and private, of 16%. We are unaware of any other economic development effort that has such a public return…”

Art Rolnick, SVP and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of MinneapolisResults of longitudinal study following 123 children from preschool to age 40.

Early Childhood Development is Economic Development

10

“Expanding access to quality early childhood programs offers a win-win-win opportunity for program participants, their parents, and society as a whole.” “The Economics of Early Childhood Investment”, Dec, 2014, President’s Council of Economic Advisers

“Existing research suggests expanding early learning initiatives would provide benefits to society of roughly $8.60 for every $1 spent”:

• About 50% from children’s increased lifetime earnings

• Immediate increase in parental earnings (e.g. 49 % of working parents have chosen to pass up a job they felt would conflict with family obligations (Nielson 2014), more in work force, less non-productive time).

• Lower involvement with the criminal justice system

• Lower involvement with mental, physical, and social health services.

• Reduced school costs (e.g. lower special ed costs, lower remedial time affecting other students.)

Economic Impact in Juneau would be greater if we implement Best Starts…..

Because universal affordable high quality child care and preschool would allow schools to be more successful with all students, even those who already had a great start, boosting the success and earnings of every child.

• Juneau is generous in its support of youth and education

• But, Juneau has never adopted a community-wide youth plan….a comprehensive evidence based strategy, with measured goals/outcomes

• Result: dangerous and costly gaps in support for kids and families that are damaging the community and the economy

A Simple Youth PlanJuneau Key Gaps in Youth and Family Support

1. 0-5 - Adequate support to young families to improve health and care of infants.

2. 0-5 - Adequate affordable high quality child care and pre-school for every child and family.

3. K-12 - Adequate collective community action and resources to link school age youth and families to needed counseling, support, activities, and services.

Currently Measured Goals for JuneauJuneau in 5 years:

• Achieve affordable high quality day care and pre-school for all kids 0 to 5.

• Raise Kindergarten Readiness to 70% (State measured).

Juneau in 10 years

• Increase academic skills at all grade levels by at least 20%. (State measured)

Juneau in 15 years

• Increase the High School graduation rate to 90% or 95%.

• Reduce community costs due to less crime, addiction, mental/physical health issues, etc.

Juneau in 20 years:

• Improve lifelong success and health of kids growing up in Juneau by using measures of key factors such as college graduation, income, mental and physical health, crime rates, addiction rates, etc.

What do we know now, we didn’t know 50 years ago?Brain development is most significant from birth to age 3

85-90% of brain development occurs before age 5 http://developingchild.harvard.edu/science/key-concepts/brain-architecture/ - (Center on the Developing Child, Harvard University)

Age 5School begins

Adverse Childhood Experiences“Adverse fetal and early childhood experiences can lead to physical and chemical disruptions in the brain that can last a lifetime. The biological changes associated with these experiences can affect multiple organ systems and increase the risk not only for impairments in future learning capacity and behavior, but also for poor physical and mental health outcomes.” Center on the Developing Child, Harvard University, “8 Things to Remember About Child Development.”

Alaska reported ACES are higher than many other states.

Juneau exceeds the State of Alaska average in half the ACES categories including sexual and emotional abuse and household substance abuse. (Alaska DHSS-BRFSS)

Why decrease ACES/help children build resilience? (National Survey of Children’s Health Alaska and U.S. Outcomes by Adverse Childhood Experiences Scores, Analysis Done by [email protected],

http://dhss.alaska.gov/abada/ace-ak/Documents/NSCH201601.pdf

9 ACES: Parent /guardian divorced or separated, died, or served time in jail; Child observed or victim of violence or discrimination, or household member who was mentally ill/suicidal/severely depressed/substance abuse; family economic problems.

Do Alaskan Kids have ACES?

Zero ACES One ACE Two or More ACES

Age 0-5 59.8% 24.7% 15.5%

Age 6-11 48.1% 24.9% 27.0%

Age 12-17 38.3% 26.1% 35.6%

The comparisons of children with zero ACES vs 4 or more ACES follows:10 times more likely to have received mental health treatment in last 12 months.5 times more likely to have a developmental disability.4 times more likely to have a learning disability.6 times more likely to have ADHD or ADD10 times more likely to be diagnosed with an Autism Spectrum Disorder20 times more likely to have been diagnosed with depression.6 times more likely to repeat a school grade.

Over Half of Juneau kids not “Kindergarten Ready,” holding back all kids in K-12.

SuccessWell-paying jobHealthy family& Community

One third of Juneau kids with 2 or more ACES by age 17, holding back all kids K-12.

Best Starts helps keep ALL Juneau Kids on the Path to Success

Affordable, safe, learning preparatory, high quality child care and pre-school will help kids succeed academically, and help identify and prevent ACES impact. An enhanced community net of support services for K-12, with inclusive affordable summer, and afterschool academic, arts, cultural and athletic opportunities will help “sustain the gain.”

Early Childhood 0-5

JuneauQuality Child Care

There is not enough child care to meet the needs of the community

Total Juneau kids under six = 2,460 Total child care capacity = 476

48%

1,181 Children with Working Parents in Unknown Childcare Situations

803 Children atHome With aStay-At-Home

Parent

33%

476 Children in Licensed Juneau Childcare

19%

Wages for child care workers are lowwith few benefits

$69,730

$50,730

$26,600

Average Juneau

Child Care

Wage

Average Juneau

Wage

Average Juneau

Kindergarten

Teacher salary- half the average Juneau wage.The average annual wage for a child care worker in Juneau is $26,600

Juneau’s kindergarten teachers are paid 2.6 times more than childcare teachers.

Juneau child care costs are high$10,370

$9,815

Average cost of attending

UAS in Juneau for one year.

Includes tuition, student fees,

books, and supplies in 2016.

Average cost of one year

of childcare in Juneau.

Average of all ages and

childcare types in 2015.

The HEARTS initiative is working…wages up

$26,600

$20,158

$13,500 $20,250$0 $6,750 $27,000 $33,750

2016

2010

Since the HEARTS initiative was

childcare wage has increased by 32%

established the average

The HEARTS initiative starting to work…

The ratio of childcare workers with minimum credentials has increasedfrom one of out seven to one out of four for a net gain in accredited teachers

2010

2016 1:4

1:7

But….Would you fly an airline that advertised, “At least one out of every four of our pilots has minimum flight training”

But childcare capacity increased in 2016

250

337.5

425

512.5

600

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

476

395

519

551563

575

Between 2015 and

2016, we have gone

from 395 child care

slots in Juneau to

476 - or 21% more

childcare capacity

in the last year.

+21%

Early Childhood 0-5

JuneauQuality Pre-School

Not enough Alaskan Kids are ready for Kindergarten –Alaska Development Profile (ADP) – It is getting worse

• All kindergarten students - Multiple teacher observations recorded during the first 4 weeks.

• ADP includes 13 sets of skills and behaviors. (3 ratings – 0,1,2)• Health and motor skills

• Social and emotional development (regulates feelings, participates)

• Approaches to learning (interest, attention, persistence)

• Cognition and general knowledge (counts and organizes)

• Communication, language, and literacy (alphabet knowledge, listens, expresses )

https://education.alaska.gov/tls/Assessments/developmental.html

Find Alaska Developmental Profile, ADP here:

Kindergarten Preparedness scores in Alaska are headed

in the wrong direction

2015-2016 Kindergarten Readiness16.3%

11.9%

71.8%

Students Demonstrating Kindergarten Readiness on all 13 Goals

Students Demonstrating Kindergarten Readiness on 11 or 12 Goals

Students Demonstrating Kindergarten Readiness on 10 or Fewer Goals

K-12(Graduation)

Sustaining the GainAdequate collective community action and

resources to link school age youth and families to needed support and services.

Youth Services in Schools are Down• Grant and school district funding for counseling, other student support,

and extracurricular programs have decreased significantly.

• Research shows that this kind of student support is absolutely critical to help youth overcome ACES, and set and achieve academic and life goals.

• Best Starts:

1. Working with existing youth services (E.g., Teen Health Center, Juneau Youth Services, Communities-in-Schools, Tlingit and Haida, etc.), and the Juneau Community Foundation, develop a broader and more effective safety net for youth.

2. Afterschool and extracurricular activities: A more effective student scholarship system, and support for the expansion of effective youth activity programs, such as Juneau Music Matters (JAMM), summer camps, etc. can benefit all of Juneau’s youth, regardless of family income.

Best Starts Principles: Achieve cost effective results by:

• Work to strengthen existing successful businesses and agencies. (E.g. no new buildings, or new government programs, just support for families and private sector providers to creatively create adequate, affordable, high quality child care and pre-school.)

• Create sliding scales of support to level the playing field for every family and child.

• Supporting only evidence based successful programs or services.

• Evaluate every program to ensure that predicted results are achieved.

Best Starts Principles: Achieve cost effective results by: continued

• Require agencies and programs to adopt mutual goals and create seamless services.

• Use Assembly and/or Juneau Community Foundation to select business and community leaders to oversee the funds, review results/recommend changes, recommend decisions on allocation.

Best Starts - Bottom Line• By partnering and supporting the private and nonprofit child

care and pre-school sector we can create a workable high quality system for ages 0-5 for approximately the cost of one semester of K-12 (i.e., $3.1 million).

• Best Starts:• Supports employers and fosters growth in Juneau’s economy, • Encourages young families to stay in Juneau, • Help Juneau’s kids achieve success in life,• Reduce long term trends in crime, addictions, health costs and

increase local revenues.

Example: Best Start for Kids, King County (Seattle)

• Best Starts for Kids is an initiative to improve the health and well-being of King County by investing in prevention and early intervention for children, youth, families, and communities.

• The levy will generate about $65 million per year and cost the average King County property owner an estimated $56 per year, which is about one dollar per week. Over six-year 14 cents on $1,000 in property taxes.

• It will be the most comprehensive approach to early childhood development in the nation, starting with prenatal support, sustaining the gain through teenage years, and investing in healthy, safe communities that reinforce progress.

Juneau Best Starts by the Heckman Equation

Initial allocation strategy:

• 75% - 0-5 years – family support and high quality child care and universal high quality pre-school.

• 21% - K-12 “sustain the gain” - school connected student support and resources; additional out of school academic related, physical, and social activities to keep youth healthy and productive.

• 4% data collection, evaluation, and improving the effectiveness of services.

Finding The Money (one way to do it)

• Currently Juneau has a temporary 1% sales tax for capital projects -up for renewal next year - that yields about $9 million/year.

• If we ask the voters to invest ½% in kids, we have $4.5 million for kids and $4.5 million for school bonds, capital repairs and maintenance.

• The public will vote again in 5 years to decide if it was a good investment.

Over Half of Juneau kids not “Kindergarten Ready,” holding back all kids in K-12.

SuccessWell-paying jobHealthy family& Community

One third of Juneau kids with 2 or more ACES by age 17, holding back all kids K-12.

Best Starts helps keep ALL Juneau Kids on the Path to Success

Will you support all of Juneau’s kids getting their best start?Talk, advocate, help us access groups/organizations