Inventing in an Expanding Frontier of Ignorance

8/16/2019 Inventing in an Expanding Frontier of Ignorance

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Inventing in anxpanding Frontier o

Ignorance

TRIZ forInformation-era

ArticialIntelligence andSystems with a

I!"!avneet#$h%shan&cratti#com


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6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. 2


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.ongrat%lationsand Than/

012


3We do not yet

know all thebasic laws:there is anexpandingfrontier of

i norance4 5


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3We do notyet know all

the basiclaws: there isan expandingfrontier of

ignorance4 5RichardFeynman67ect%res on

8hysics9

Altsh%ller

At the dawn o the humanrae man!ind on"ueredthe ill%minating power ofre.

#ow we are learning toconquer something muhmore $owerul% the powerof mind% to $enetrate and


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7aws and 7ife ;

&irst Law o 'hermod(namis< Energy ofthe 2niverse is constant#

)eond Law o 'hermod(namis < TheEntropy of the 2niverse always

increases#

6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. *

7iving creat%res + are the( an e,am$leo anti-thesis to seond law

37iving creat%res onound the usualom$utation o entro$(. ore generall(

so does information0 =ames >leic/ in3The Information4

From o$servations andmeas%rements9 the physicistsderive scientic laws? with these

laws9 people create machines neverseen in nat%re9 with the most


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@hat 7ife does it EvolvesB


.harles"arwinB

C%estion


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D#everything else -The Theory ofEvol%tion Explaining Human

Cultural Evolution!

6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd.

att 5idle(% “the way thehuman history is taught cantherefore mislead, because it

places far too much emphasis

on design, direction and planning, and far too littleon evolution”.

'he wa( in whih thestreams o humanulture ow is grad%al9incremental9

%ndirected9emergent and driven$y nat%ral selectionamong competingideas.

And though it has nogoal in mind% ulturalevolution none the less

produces functionaland in enious


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)(stem + a newunderstanding 9#A)A re$ort 2::;<• Cosmi 8volution% the idea that

the universe and its onstituent$arts are onstantl( evolving% has=eome widel( ae$ted onl( in thelast *: (ears. > a entur( ater?arwin $ro$osed that evolution =(natural seletion a$$lies to lie onour own $lanet

• Cosmos and Culture @ Cultural 8volutionin a Cosmi Conte,t / )teven . ?i! andar! Lu$isella% editors. 9#A)A 5e$ort2::;<

6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. B

8mergeneo rder%&orm and

)truture


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D#E8#'D# and ethod o D#E8#'D#F0

;

•

#ew and #on-o=vious 'ehnial )olution to aPro=lem 98atent 7aw<

– #ew 9#ovel< in the wholeworld

–#on-o=vious 9there is aninventive ste$<

– 'ehnial solution9tehne0% Free! or Gart%s!ill% unning o hand<

– Pro=lem 9usuall( aonit% ontradition orhange


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)J)'8 A#? &7#C'D#

1:

•

)(stem - rom undamental $rini$les $ointo view

– set o elements wor!ing together toahieve an o=Ketive or $erorm a

untion.

– set o elements 98nerg(-matter organied in s$ae-time<wor!ing together 9e,hanging energ( and inormation< toahieve an o$ective or perform a f%nction 9CreateChange - in atter% 8nerg( and Dnormation in Space-time


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TRIZ - )J)'8) 8ELE8) 'A5?) D?8ALD'J

11

•

Altshuller was the frst to realie that the diretiono $rogress% or tehnial evolution% is defned =(inreasing the idealit( level

• An Ddeal s(stem does not e,ist% =ut all o itsuntions are ulflled at the right time and at theright $lae > without energ(% su=stane% or other

resoures% and without an( ill eMets.

Ddealit( $rovides an

overall starting $oint orthin!ing + rather thansearhing in the urrentmess0

Searching for aneedle in a

Gaystac/B


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'5DN LA) & )J)'8 8EL7'D#

12

Paths to D?8ALD'J

)# 7aw of

#ncreasing$egree of#deality %#ncreasing &atio%'(ene)ts*Harm+cost

+# 7aw of -on%uniform evolution ofsubsystems %'.eads to /ystemCon0icts

Trial and

Error

• Technical.ontradictions

• 8hysical.ontradictions

• Administrative.ontradictions

• Inventive8rinciples

• Separation8rinciples

H# 7aw of1ransition to ahigher.evelsystem

%'fromsimple tomore

complex

# 7aw of#ncreasing

dynamism+0exibilit y%' 2oreadaptabl e to

J# 7aw of1ransition to

micro%level%'#ncreasingfragmentation# 7aw ofCompleteness

%' 3radualElimination of

HumanComponent ,# 7aw of/hortening ofEnergy 4low 5ath%' &eduction inEnergy*#nfotransformation

stagesK# 7aw of#ncreasingcontrollability %'Evolution ofcontrolledinteractions of

system elements

(# 7aw of Harmoni6ation of rhythms %'

/ynchroni6ation of natural fre7uencies ofelements


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'5DN - * Levels o Dnvention

13

44O o in ven tion

s

emana te rom a

sim$le im$ro vemen t

o a s (s tem

$arame ter or sligh t

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s (s tem

I n c r e a s i n g

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)trongDnventions+ Level 3to Level *


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D#E8#' )'5#F - &5A85I

14

• Changes in the)(stem Hierarh( +#ew/alternativeo$erating

$rini$les o thes(stem

• Laws o )(stem

8volution – 5esolving System

.ontradiction

–

oving along the

8aths toI"EA7IT0 + (7aws of

SystemEvol%tion

Gow to Invent Strong AFramewor/

htt$@//$a$ers.ssrn.om/sol3/$a


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D#E8#' )'5#F - &5A85I

1*

•

Changes in the )(stemHierarh( +#ew/alternative o$erating$rini$les o the s(stem


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in a 8atent 8sing Cra)tti9s

/trength of #nvention 1ool htt$@//aitri.org/tri-artiles/inside-tri/6*3-levels-o-innovation

6/1/1616 ©

A887E Filed

this patentin +**J

ItLs a 7evel +Invention


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Geight of Inventive Step 2sing7aws of Evol%tion

6/1/161 ©


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Ruanti(ing the Height o Dnventive)te$

6/1/161B ©


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1: an 2::6

Power System• Violence• Wealth• Knowledge• Knowledge based Violence

& Wealth• Violence & Wealth based

knowledge

Structure

of World

Technological

Systems• Information Technology• Industrial Automation• Genomics• io!Technology• Smart "aterials• #anotechnology• Pro$ulsion Technology

Geo Political System• Bipolarity/ Multi-polarity•

Multinational Companiescontrolling the world• Reducing Value of ation State

Social System• Rise of the !ndi"idual/#thnic/Religious

groupings

• uclear/Single parent family system• Rise of dissatisfaction

#conomic System• Small more etwor$ed

%rgani&ations•

Rapid Changes in the waywealth is generated

• 'ow tariff (arriers• Common Currencies and

compati(le economic systems• 'ow entry (arriers

%rgani&ation )orms• *ierarchies shifting to etwor$ed form

of %rgani&ation• *ierarchical etwor$s

• etwor$ed *ierarchies

Bhushan N and Rai K., Strategic Decision Making, Jan 2004, Sringer, !K.

orld is a Continuous


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Natureis

Fractal!heel ould have ome onl( rom a linear mind0+G%man mind + =eause there are no smoothsuraes in nature + or wheel to emerge there

sho%ld have $een a need for it in the

NORMAL IS NOT


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NORMAL IS NOTNATURAL!

Nature is NON- LINEAR!

With Apologies to Six Sigma Gurus!

Bl k S Th i t f


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Black Swan – The impact ofthe highly improbable

• “I cannot accept a pretense ofscience. I much prefer asophistiate raft focuse ontricks to a faile! science looking

for certainties" Nassim NicholasTaleb

"eath of#ertai$t


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#nti$Fragile

So&iet-'ar&ar Illusio$

“%ecturing Birs on flight anthinking that the lecture

cause their skill at flying"Nassim Nicholas Taleb

S%stems that(eome stro$ger

u$er stress


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D#?• 'H7FH'• C#)CD7)#

8))• P85

The STEI-.-T.8 odel

STEI• )PAC8-'D8• 8#85FJ-

A''85• D#&5A'D# . G A ! > E

.rafting !ew .hoices - Innovationand "ecision-a/ing in the>lo$aliMing @orldhttp


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6Revisit: Technical Systems in -Information Era

A technical system is a set of elements that interact with eachother and possibly with the environment to deliver whatsomething is used for % a useful or usable statethrough transforming either its own state or the stateof the environment in which it exist % which we call as

delivering a function

A technical system - since it is a transformation from one stateto another must have structure to ful)l its functions. Thestructure needs information. t has to have information

about states - or it has to be designed!structured for processing information - which gets manifested intransformation to multiple states.

The more “information” the system uses for performing itsdesignated function the more “automated” it becomes and

move to an ideal systems " # 1 law of reducing humaninvolvement 6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. 2*


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'5DN - Ideality in the Dnormation 8ra


Information

Era achine

withSoftware B


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HA' D) )&'A58 T.

6/1/162 ©

So"t#are has $een de"ined as (1) instructions (computer programs) that when executed provide desired function

and performance, (2) data structures that enable the

programs to adequately manipulate information, and (3)

documents that describe the operation and use of programs.

Software has considera(ly different characteristics than those of hardware

• Soft)are is e&elope or e$gi$eere* it is $ot ma$ufature i$the lassial se$se

• Soft)are oes$+t ,)ear-out• Most soft)are is ustom-(uilt. rather tha$ (ei$g assem(le

from existi$g ompo$e$ts /That ma% (e ha$gi$g to some exte$t

$o) 0


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Uroo!s + in (thial an-month

• Uroo!s desri=es the essene osotware entit( as a construct ofinterloc$ing concepts% data sets,relationships among data items,

algorithms and invocation offunctions. )ine this onstrut isa=strat + in the sense thatone$tual onstrut remainssame under diMerentre$resentations% it is diVult to=uild. Aording to Uroo!esW thisirreducible essence of modernsoftware systems% comple&ity,

conformity, changeability and6/1/162B ©


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A=strat odel o )&'A58

• )otware at the generi level is a=out data + $roessing%ommuniation and re$resentation. 'he out$ut o data$roessing leads to inormation on whih urther threeo$erations an =e $erormed% i.e.% $roessing% ommuniation and re$resentation. e an re$resent this at as =elow -

Proessing% ommuniation and storage/re$resentation odata% inormation and !nowledge an =e defned as thesotware tehnolog( at the a=strat level.

6/1/162; ©

D%&%

'rocessing

Reresentation

( StorageIN)*RM%&I*N

KN*+,-D.-

'rocessing

/ommunication

)ig+ ,+- Software technology in the a(stract form


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&he act o" design is a goa1oriented,constrained, decisionmaking,

e31oration 1earning acti5ity

#hich oerates #ithin a conte3t,

#hich deends uon the designer6s ercetion o" the conte3t7J.S. ero, Design 'rototyes8 % Kno#1edge Reresentation Scheme "or

Design, A !aga"ine, 9o1. ::, No. 4, :;;0.

Design is "ar more #idesread

and encomassing than #hat #e

usua11y ca11 so"t#are designKruchten '., So"t#are Design in a 'ost Modern -ra, I---

So"t#are, Mar%r, 2000s ;0s 00s

Object OrientedDesign Approaches

Software2rchitecture

Service Oriented ArchitectureModel Driven Development

Aspect Oriented Software DevelopmentXP/Agile Methods

No Si15er Bu11et

- 3 t e n t o " ! s e


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)otware )(stem 8volvesS

&untionalit( o )otware )(stem 95e"uirements<

5e"uirements onstruted into struture

?e$lo(ment and 7sage reates newre"uirements 9new untionalit(<

)otware s(stem hanges struture through – Addition o new strutural elements 9e.g. new

untionalit(<

– Changes 9e.g. =ug-f,ing< in the e,isting s(stem

8volutionar( nature o sotware s(stems !ee$s oninreasing s(stem om$le,it(


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)otware )(stem 8volution + .omplexityIncreases

/ o m 1 e

3 i t y

&ime

Dnitial )otware?esign

aKor ?esignChange

#ew

&untionalit( +5edesign and#ew $ath

'he&inal

)otware)(stem+ Highl(Com$le,


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Software .omplexity

.omplexity is IncreasingB

!on-physical nat%re of software

systems9 where int%ition9 experienceand %dgment of experts plays moreimportant role than Q%antitative andmeas%ra$le metrics of the traditionalengineering world#

Gow can we craft 3Systems ofSystems4 and 32ltra 7arge Systems4 Are we creating the approaches for

these;


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The way we are handling itD

Complexity leads to Emergence“I know English but none of my neurons do”

– Ray Kurweil ! “"ingularity is #ear”

$he E%olutionary &pproach & complex system that works is in%ariably found to ha%e

e%ol%ed from a simple system that worked' & complex

system designed from scratch ne%er works and cannot be

patched up to make it work –(rady )ooch

The needs of the f%t%re 2ltra


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The needs of the f%t%re 2ltra7arge Systems 627S: "esign

'hese tehnologies and methodologies +/=>, W?C,2$>, H5C, 3lobal Command @ Control /ystems,3lobal #nformation 3rid, -etwork Centric/ystems and others T. Dn !e( wa(s% however% eahis defient in meeting the hallenges assoiated with7L) s(stems o the uture.

-one addresses the set of root characteristicsof 8./ systems or the complexity stemming

from the scale and the ecosystem nature of 8./systems

?ealing with these harateristis% hallenges% and om$le,it( at thefdelit( needed or 7L) s(stems re"uires a new generation of

research areas that are informed byAbut not necessarilyconstrained b Athe existin technolo base"

!1tra arge Sca1e Systems ? So"t#are /ha11enge o" the )uture7, S-I Book, 200@


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h( '5DN missed

inormation 8raThere were no

Software 8atents B



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Patent - Case Law 8volution


>ottschal/ v enson 6)(,+: 6!o Software 8atent:It is conceded that one may not atent an idea. But in ractica1 e""ect

that #ou1d $e the resu1t i" the "ormu1a "or con5erting B/D numera1s to

ure $inary numera1s #ere atented in this case.

8ar/er v Floo/ 6)(,K: 6!o Software 8atent:

ResondentAs method "or udating a1arm 1imits during cata1yticcon5ersion rocesses, in #hich the on1y no5e1 "eature is a

mathematica1 "ormu1a, he1d not atenta$1e under :0: o" the 'atent

%ct.)(K) - "iamond v "iehr 68atent >ranted:

&he rocess o" curing synthetic ru$$er deends on a num$er o"

"actors inc1uding time, temerature and thickness o" the mo1d. A

claim drawn to sub#ect matter otherwise statutory does not become

non$statutory simply because it uses a mathematical formula,

computer program, or digital computer%


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h( )otware is ?iMerent T

6/1/163B © Craftti Consulting

http3//firstmonday+org/ht(in/cgiwrap/(in/o4s/inde5+php/fm/article/"iew/678/9,:


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STEI to I!"- Era

Technical Systems with the ind of theirownB

Articial Intelligence 6intelligence getsre0ected in the output and behavior ofthe system, whether the system isconscious in the human sense or is

thinking in the human sense is notimportant :

6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. 3;


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6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. 4:


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8roposed a !E@ 7A@ery clearly visi$le in the

software $ased Era of technicalsystems that we are inB

7aw of

IncreasingIntelligenceof Technical

Systems

htt$@//aitri.org/tri-artiles/inside-tri/*;6-law-o-inreasing-intelligene-o-tehnial-s(stems

7aw of increasing intelligence of


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7aw of increasing intelligence ofsystems


htt$@//aitri.org/tri-artiles/inside-tri/*;6-law-o-inreasing-

intelligene-o-tehnial-s(stems

Stage )< "2 S0STES

D!MB M!NI&I*N % gra5ity $om$, a1so

kno#n as a "ree"a11 $om$, dum$

$om$, iron $om$, or unguided $om$, is a

con5entiona1 aircra"tde1i5ered $om$ thatdoes not contain a guidancesystem and hence, simplyfollows a ballistic traectory



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6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. 4*

Stage +< >2I"E" S0STES

!ID-D M!NI&I*N % oneonone

munition8 % seci"ic munition engages a

seci"ic target, #hich is ad5antageous during

c1ose com$at situations. >n operator is

re7uired in the loop to select thetarget and often assist in theguidance &he munition may $eeither /*MM%ND&*IN-*)

SIC& /*SE, or ossess C*MIN



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Stage H< SART S0STES

SM%R& M!NI&I*N % manyonmany

munition #ith a minima1 target se1ection

caa$i1ity that does not reFuire an oerator in

the 1oo. &here are t#o rime categories o"

SM%R& M!NI&I*NS8 termina11y guidedhittoki11E and sensor "uGed shootto

ki11E.



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Stage < RI77IA!T S0STES

BRII%N& M!NI&I*N % manyonmany

munition that oerates autonomously to search

for, detect, identify, acquire, and attac&

specific classes of targets. &he sensor on each

munition acFuires and attacks one among thec1ass o" targets, so that in a $att1e"ie1d situation

t#o munitions may attack the same target

1ea5ing others in5io1ate.


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6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. 4;

Stage < TRA!S-G2A!S0STES

&R%NSC!M%N M!NI&I*NSH % Munition

$eyond Cuman ingenuity( inte11igence

System capa$ility ena$ling parameters for next


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stages of evol%tion on 7aw of System Intelligence6ore than the contradiction we propose that theseparameters need to $e incorporated for each stage:

6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. *:

CrafttiWs )truture+&untion Dnteration


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'ool 9)&D'< or Law o inreasingintelligene o 'ehnial s(stems

6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd. *1

Lines o )(stem Dntelligene under Law


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Lines o )(stem Dntelligene under Lawo inreasing Dntelligene



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I8J &D#AL PD#') 9in Ula! and hite<

•

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.ongrat%lations


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.ongrat%lationsand Than/

012


3#f our small minds, forsome conveniencedivide this universe,into parts physics,biology, geology,astronomy, psychology

and so on rememberthat nature does not

know it 4 5 Richard

A7IS I!!1ATI1!


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6/1/16**

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.ontents

6/1/16

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.RAFITTI< 0o%r >lo$al Innovation and I8

Thin/ Tan/

.ratti oers active colla$orationto craft ideas in m%ltiple

innovation contexts#

1%r .lients 6Representative


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6/1/16© Craftti Consulting Private Ltd.

6 plist:


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.ratti .ons%lting 8rivate7imited

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.rafting I!!1ATI1! Together

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.ratti actsthro%gh activecolla$oration to

craft innovation in

m%ltiple contexts#

6/1/166: © Craftti Consulting

.RAFITTI< 0o%r >lo$al InnovationThin/Tan/

#ncreasing #nnovation 2omentum in th8nter$rise

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.ratti .ons%lting< ac/gro%nd

• D##EA'D# 58)8A5CH A#?C#)7L'D#F in =usiness%siene and tehnolog(onte,ts

• )tarted in une 2::B and wasinu=ated at the #)5 Centre or8ntre$reneurial Learning at )*angalore

• +rattis framewor$s provide potent platforms to innovate incrafting strategies,brea$through products, newservices technological

Inventing in an Expanding Frontier of Ignorance

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