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Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews Prepared for: The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) Training Modules for Medical Test Reviews Methods Guide www.ahrq.gov
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Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Dec 30, 2015

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Page 1: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Prepared for: The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) Training Modules for Medical Test Reviews Methods Guide

www.ahrq.gov

Page 2: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Describe the purpose of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews.

Understand the unique features of medical test reviews.

Review the structure of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews.

Learning Objectives

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 3: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Systematic reviews of medical tests help determine which tests can be relied on to improve health outcomes and the circumstances required for the tests to achieve this.

Systematic reviews developed under the auspices of the Evidence-based Practice Center (EPC) Program: Need to be technically comprehensive and practical Need to be completed with limited time and resources

Medical Test Reviews (1 of 4)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 4: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

The Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews: Provides practical guidance for those who

prepare and use systematic reviews. Promotes consistency and rigor in how

specific issues are addressed. Complements the Methods Guide for

Effectiveness and Comparative Effectiveness Reviews developed by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.

Medical Test Reviews (2 of 4)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Agency for Health Care Research and Quality. Methods Guide for Effectiveness and Comparative Effectiveness Reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/methodsguide.cfm.

Page 5: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Medical tests are defined here as any test used in a health care context, for example, screening, diagnosis, or prognosis.

Using medical tests depends on the context. Pre-existing conditions Results of other tests Skill and knowledge of providers Availability of therapeutic resources And others

Medical Test Reviews (3 of 4)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 6: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Researchers have tended to focus on the ability of medical tests to: Conform to technical specifications Classify patients into diagnostic or prognostic

categories Influence thought or actions by clinicians and

patients

Rarely are medical tests evaluated in randomized controlled trials with representative patient populations and comprehensive measures of patient-relevant outcomes.

Medical Test Reviews (4 of 4)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 7: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Creation of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews was guided by two tenets:

1. Evaluation of a medical test must be linked to the context of its use

2. Medical tests are about improving patient outcomes

Development of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews (1 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Agency for Health Care Research and Quality. Methods Guide for Effectiveness and Comparative Effectiveness Reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/methodsguide.cfm.

Page 8: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

The first tenet is to consider the context. Medical tests are not neutral reporters of reality.

The context often affects sensitivity, specificity, and the clinical implications of a particular test result.

Therefore, systematic reviews must specify the context in which the test is being used.

The second tenet is to focus on patient outcomes. The ultimate purpose of medical tests is to

improve patient outcomes. Improvement occurs by guiding the judgments of

clinicians concerning disease state or treatment response.

Development of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews (2 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 9: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Most of the published literature: Fails to address the clinical impact of tests. Focuses instead on test development and

performance characteristics.

The first step in a medical test review must be to establish a link between the use of a test and patient outcomes.

Development of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews (3 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Causal Chain DiagramTest Result Categorization* Decision Patient

Outcome*For example: high risk, disease present, disease progression

Page 10: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Typical uses of medical tests are to: Screen for the likelihood of a disorder. Diagnose the presence of disease. Assess response to treatment. Assess probability of desirable/undesirable

consequences.

Medical Tests Overview (1 of 2)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 11: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Typical types of medical tests: Laboratory tests Radiological imaging Patient history Physical examinations Scored questionnaires

For screening For determining likely prognosis For assessing the potential response to therapy

Medical Tests Overview (2 of 2)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 12: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Assessing the impact of medical tests can be challenging. Medical tests have several steps between conducting the

test and determining the outcome of clinical importance. Conversely, most treatments lead directly to intended

results or adverse effects. Consequences result from the less direct relationship

between medical tests and patient outcomes. Medical tests are often evaluated in isolation for their ability to

detect a substance or a particular anatomic condition. Medical tests are not evaluated in terms of their impact on

overall health outcomes.

Challenges Specific to Medical Tests (1 of 2)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Siebert U. Eur J Health Econ 2003;4(3):143-50Tatsioni A, Zarin DA, Aronson N, et al. Ann Intern Med 2005 Jun 21;142(12 Pt 2):1048-55. PMID: 15968029.

Page 13: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Randomized controlled trials, generally considered the strongest form of evidence, are rarely performed for medical tests. Trials are difficult to carry out because of the

numerous steps and the variables between the test and patient outcomes.

Challenges Specific to Medical Tests (2 of 2)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 14: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Medical tests can be likened to an electronic signal detector for the presence or absence of a clinical condition. Signal detection theory (e.g., sensitivity,

specificity) can be used to calculate disease probabilities for positive or negative test results.

Using Medical Tests (1 of 2)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Green DM, Swets JA. Signal detection theory and psychophysics. New York, NY: Wiley; 1966. Reprinted 1988.Ledley RS, Lusted LB. Science 1959 Jul 3;130(3366):9-21. PMID: 13668531.Yerushalmy J. Public Health Rep 1947 Oct 3;62(40):1432-49. PMID: 20340527.

Page 15: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Medical test evaluation studies fall along a continuum related to the study objectives.

Using Medical Tests

Study Objective Terms Used ExamplesTest conforming to technical specifications

• Technical efficacy • Technical quality of a radiological image

• Analytic validity • Accuracy of a chemical assay for the target analyte • Concordance of a commercial genetic test with the true genotype

Test classifying a patient into a disease/phenotype or prognosis category

• Diagnostic accuracy efficacy • Clinical validity • Test accuracy • Test performance • Performance characteristics • Operating characteristics

• Sensitivity and specificity • Positive and negative likelihood ratios • Positive and negative predictive value • Test yield • Receiver operating characteristic curve

Test directing clinical management and improving patient outcomes

• Diagnostic thinking efficacy • Therapeutic efficacy • Patient outcome efficacy • Clinical utility

• Impact on mortality or morbidity• Impact on clinician judgment about diagnosis/ prognosis • Impact on choice of management

Test benefiting society as a whole

• Societal efficacy • Incremental cost-effectiveness

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm. Ɩ Fryback DG, Thornbury JR. Med Decis Making 1991 Apr-Jun;11(2):88-94. PMID: 1907710.

Page 16: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Reviewers need an explicit strategy for summarizing complex literature in a logical way to respond to key questions.

Frameworks can be used to: Maintain an orderly process. Clarify questions. Organize evidence.

Analytic Frameworks (1 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Bravata EP, McDonald KM, Shojania KG, et al. Ann Intern Med 2005 Jun 21;142(12 Pt 2): 1056-65. PMID: 15968030.Mulrow C, Langhorne P, Grimshaw J. Ann Intern Med 1997 Dec 1;127(11):989-95. PMID: 9412305.Whitlock EP, Orleans CT, Pender N, et al. Am J Prev Med 2002 May;22(4):267-84. PMID: 11988383.

Page 17: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Analytic frameworks: Depict graphically the linkages that relate

interventions and outcomes. Identify questions to help structure the

literature review. Provide an evidence map after the review for

identifying gaps and weakness in the evidence.

Analytic Frameworks (2 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Procedure Manual. Available at www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf08/methods/procmanual.htm.

Page 18: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

An analytic framework has two key components: A typology for describing the context in which the

test is used: Fits with the PICOTS (population, intervention,

comparator, outcomes, timing, and setting) typology (the current standard approach).

A visual representation of the relationship between the application of the test/treatment and the outcomes of importance to decisionmaking.

Analytic Frameworks (3 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 19: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

PICOTS stands for population, intervention, comparator, outcome, timing, and setting.

This typology was developed to describe the context in which medical interventions might be used. It is important for defining the key questions of a

review. It is important for assessing whether or not a

given study is applicable.

Variations in the typology exist, but the standard unchanging elements are PICO.

PICOTS Typology (1 of 3)

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.Chalmers I, Hedges LV, Cooper H. Eval Health Prof 2002 Mar;25(1):12-37. PMID: 11868442.

Page 20: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

PICOTS Typology (2 of 3)

PICOTSAs Applied to Medical Tests Comments

Population Patient population; includes results of other/previous tests

Condition(s), disease severity and stage, comorbidities, and patient demographics

Intervention Index test; includes clinical role of the index strategy in relation to comparator and the test-and-treat strategyin relation to clinical outcomes

• Description of index test; includes administrator training, technology specifications, specific application issues • Three main clinical roles in relation to the comparator: replacement, add-on, and triage • Description of index test performance and interpretation; how the results of index test lead to management decisions/actions

Comparator Comparator test-and-treat strategy

Description of comparator test performance and interpretation; how the results of the comparator test lead to management decisions/actions

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 21: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

PICOTS Typology (3 of 3)

PICOTSAs Applied to Medical Tests Comments

Outcomes Relevant clinical outcomes; includes any intermediate outcomes of interest

• Patient health outcomes; includes morbidity (which also includes the adverse effects of the test and treatment), mortality, quality of life• Intermediate outcomes; includes technical specifications, accuracy, decisional, therapeutic impact

Timing Timing of outcome assessment

Duration of followup; single or multiple followup assessments

Setting Setting of test assessment Ambulatory settings (including primary, specialty care) and inpatient settings

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 22: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Module 1 – Introduction Module 2 – Topic Development and Structure Module 3 – Choosing Outcomes Module 4 – Search Strategies Module 5 – Risk of Bias Module 6 – Applicability Module 7 – Grading Strength of Evidence Module 8 – Meta-analysis With a “Gold Standard” Module 9 – Meta-analysis Without a “Gold Standard” Module 10 – Decision Modeling Module 11 – Genetic Tests Module 12 – Prognostic Tests

Organization of the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 23: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Overview of the Flow of Modules

Prepare Topic

2. Develop the Topic and Structure the Review

3. Choose the Important Outcomes

Research Sources

Search for and Select Studies for Inclusion

4. Search for Studies

Extract Data From Studies

Analyze and Synthesize Studies

5. Assess Risk of Bias as a Domain of Quality

6. Assess Applicability

7. Grade the Body of Evidence

8. Meta-analysis of Test Performance Evidence With a “Gold Standard” — or —

9. Meta-analysis of Test Performance Evidence With an Imperfect Reference Standard

10. Decision Modeling

Report Medical Test

Review

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 24: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Evaluation of medical tests presents challenges: There are several steps between a medical test and

outcomes of interest (indirect impact). Context has great importance. Few randomized controlled trials are aimed at

comparing clinical outcomes of different tests and test strategies.

Available guidance provides some suggestions: Use the PICOTS (population, intervention,

comparator, outcomes, timing, and setting) topology to clarify the context.

Use an organizing framework for classifying the types of studies and their relationship to key questions.

Summary

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods guide for medical test reviews. Available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Page 25: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

1. How are analytic frameworks used in the context of this module?

a. To graphically depict the specific questions that need to be answered by the literature review.

b. To list the challenges associated with a review of a medical test.

c. To demonstrate recurrent themes from the literature.

d. To display all areas of potential bias.

Practice Question 1 (1 of 2)

Page 26: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Explanation for Question 1:

The correct answer is a. The analytic framework should be used to clearly present the questions that need to be answered in the literature review. The questions are shown by linkages between interventions and outcomes.

Practice Question 1 (2 of 2)

Page 27: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

2. Test accuracy is included in which part of the PICOTS typology?

2. P for patient population

3. I for intervention

4. C for comparator

5. O for outcomes

Practice Question 2 (1 of 2)

Page 28: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Explanation for Question 2:

The correct answer is d. The “O” in the PICOTS typology stands for outcomes, which include patient health outcomes and intermediate outcomes such as test accuracy.

Practice Question 2 (2 of 2)

Page 29: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

3. Most of the published literature on medical tests addresses the clinical impact of tests.

a. True

b. False

Practice Question 3 (1 of 2)

Page 30: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Explanation for Question 3:

The statement is false. Most of the published literature on medical tests focuses on test development and test characteristics and not on the clinical impact of tests. This poses a challenge when reviewing medical tests.

Practice Question 3 (2 of 2)

Page 31: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

4. A causal chain diagram is used to:

a. Show possible sources of bias

b. Show the links between the use of a test and the patient outcomes

c. Help with decisionmaking based on a positive or negative test result

d. Display the method used for the literature search

Practice Question 4 (1 of 2)

Page 32: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Explanation for Question 4:

The correct answer is b. A causal chain diagram is used to show visually the links between the use of a test and patient outcomes.

Practice Question 4 (2 of 2)

Page 33: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

This presentation was prepared by Brooke Heidenfelder, Rachael Posey, Lorraine Sease, Remy Coeytaux, Gillian Sanders, and Alex Vaz, members of the Duke University Evidence-based Practice Center.

The module is based on Chapter 1, Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. AHRQ Publication No. 12-EC017. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; June 2012. www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/medtestsguide.cfm.

Authors

Page 34: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Procedure Manual. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; July 2008. 22-4. AHRQ Publication No. 08-05118-EF. www.uspreventive servicestaskforce.org/uspstf08/methods/procmanual.htm.

Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. Methods Guide for Effectiveness and Comparative Effectiveness Reviews. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; April 2012. AHRQ Publication No. 10(12)-EHC063-EF. Chapters available at www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/methods guide.cfm.

Bravata DM, McDonald KM, Shojania KG, et al. Challenges in systematic reviews: synthesis of topics related to the delivery, organization, and financing of health care. Ann Intern Med. 2005 Jun 21;142(12 Pt 2):1056-65. PMID: 15968030.

References (1 of 4)

Page 35: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Chalmers I, Hedges LV, Cooper H. A brief history of research synthesis. Eval Health Prof 2002 Mar;25(1):12-37. PMID: 11868442.

Fryback DG, Thornbury JR. The efficacy of diagnostic imaging. Med Decis Making 1991 Apr-Jun;11(2):88-94. PMID: 1907710.

Green DM, Swets JA. Signal detection theory and psychophysics. New York, NY: Wiley; 1966. Reprinted in 1988 with corrections and an updated topical bibliography (Los Altos, CA: Peninsula Publishing).

Ledley RS, Lusted LB. Reasoning foundations of medical diagnosis; symbolic logic, probability, and value theory aid our understanding of how physicians reason. Science 1959 Jul 3;130(3366):9-21. PMID: 13668531.

References (2 of 4)

Page 36: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Matchar DB. Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews. In: Chang SM and Matchar DB, eds. Methods guide for medical test reviews. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; June 2012. p. 1.1-1.11. AHRQ Publication No. 12-EHC017. www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov/ medtestsguide.cfm.

Mulrow C, Langhorne P, Grimshaw J. Integrating heterogeneous pieces of evidence in systematic reviews. Ann Intern Med. 1997 Dec 1;127(11):989-95. PMID: 9412305.

Siebert U. When should decision analytic modeling be used in the economic evaluation of health care? Eur J Health Econ. 2003;4(3):143-50.

Tatsioni A, Zarin DA, Aronson N, et al. Challenges in systematic reviews of diagnostic technologies. Ann Intern Med. 2005 Jun 21;142(12 Pt 2):1048-55. PMID: 15968029.

References (3 of 4)

Page 37: Introduction to the Methods Guide for Medical Test Reviews

Whitlock EP, Orleans CT, Pender N, et al. Evaluating primary care behavioral counseling interventions: an evidence-based approach. Am J Prev Med. 2002 May;22(4):267-84. PMID: 11988383.

Yerushalmy J. Statistical problems in assessing methods of medical diagnosis, with special reference to X-ray techniques. Public Health Rep. 1947 Oct 3;62(40):1432-49. PMID: 20340527.

References (4 of 4)