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Introduction to Game Theory If only I had studied Game Theory
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Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

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Page 1: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Introduction to Game Theory

If only I had studied Game Theory

Page 2: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Introduction to Game Theory

Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction among independent, self-interested agents.

Page 3: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Outlook Ø Games in Normal Form Perfect-information Sequential Actions Games Imperfect-information SA Games Repeated Games Bayesian Games Coalitional Games

Page 4: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Normal Form

Actually, it’s a table :) such as this one

Page 5: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Prisoner’s dilemma 2 players à 2 dimensions

Available actions

Payoff for particular action profile

Page 6: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Special cases

Page 7: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Strategies

Page 8: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Strategy profile dominance

How to measure “goodness” of a strategy profile?

Is strategy profile A better than B?

There is always some Pareto optimal (pure) strategy profile.

In common-payoff games, all Pareto optimal strategy profiles have the same payoffs.

Page 9: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Nash Equilibrium

Best response which is not pure implies infinite number of best responses.

Mixed strategy cannot be Strict Nash.

Page 10: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Nash Equilibrium example

Are these the only equilibria?

Unfortunately no…

Page 11: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Existence of Nash Equilibrium

Does every game have at least one Nash Equilibrium?

Yes!, now give me a Nobel prize please.

Page 12: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

MaxMin & MinMax What if the other players really don’t like me?

Page 13: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

MinMax/MaxMin and Nash

Page 14: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Strategy dominance

Page 15: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Strategy dominance

We can remove strictly dominated pure strategies as they will not be a part of any best response.

R is strictly dominated

M is dominated by mixed strategy of U and D

Page 16: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Outlook Games in Normal Form Ø Perfect-information Sequential Actions Games Imperfect-information SA Games Repeated Games Bayesian Games Coalitional Games

Page 17: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Perfect-information Game

Page 18: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Perfect-information Game

Who is on turn Choice node Available action

Action successor

Terminal node

Payoff

Page 19: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Perfect-information Game

Page 20: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Strategies

Strategy must define actions even in the unused branches.

Page 21: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Normal Games vs. PI Games

So this can be done for every Perfect-information Game?

Yes, but… And what about the reverse?

No! Consider the Prisoner’s dilemma.

Page 22: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

PI Games Equilibrium

In the 1nd (left) equilibrium, player 1 plays H only as a threat.

Page 23: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Perfect-information Subgames

Subgame-perfect equilibrium is also a Nash equilibrium.

The “problematic” equilibrium is not subgame-perfect.

Page 24: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Backward Induction We can compute the Subgame-perfect equilibrium efficiently.

It is actually minimax algorithm for two-player, zero-sum games.

Page 25: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Backward Induction

We have an efficient algorithm… any drawbacks?

Well, games can be big… e.g., chess game will have approx 10 ^150 nodes.

Page 26: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Outlook Games in Normal Form Perfect-information Sequential Actions Games Ø Imperfect-information SA Games Repeated Games Bayesian Games Coalitional Games

Page 27: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Imperfect-information Games

Page 28: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Imperfect-information Games Prisoner’s dilemma can be represented in the imperfect-information form.

Page 29: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Behavioral vs. Mixed strategies

Behavioral and Mixed equilibrium sets might be not comparable

Backward Induction Mixed

Behavioral

Page 30: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Outlook Games in Normal Form Perfect-information Sequential Actions Games Imperfect-information SA Games Ø Repeated Games Bayesian Games Coalitional Games

Page 31: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Finitely repeated Games

Page 32: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Infinitely repeated Games

What is the proper definition of the payoffs in IR Games?

Either we do not care about the future or the game may end at some point.

Page 33: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Let us define:

Folk theorem So what about the Nash Equilibria in IR Games?

Page 34: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Outlook Games in Normal Form Perfect-information Sequential Actions Games Imperfect-information SA Games Repeated Games Ø Bayesian Games Coalitional Games

Page 35: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Even more uncertainty We know what to do when we are uncertain about the history; however, what about if we are not sure about the available actions or even which game we are playing?

We can reduce these uncertainties to uncertain payoffs.

Page 36: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Bayesian Games I

Page 37: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Bayesian Games II

Agent knows his own type while does not know types of the others.

Page 38: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

ISBG to TBG

Page 39: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Expected Utility in BG

Page 40: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Towards Equilibrium in BG

Page 41: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Towards Equilibrium in BG We can reduce BG to NG with ex ante expected utility.

ex interim after observing certain type

Page 42: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Towards Equilibrium in BG

Now, Nash Equilibria in ex-ante induced game correspond to the Bayes-Nash Equilibria; thus, there is always at least one Bayes-Nash Equlibrium.

Is a Nash Equilibrium in ex-interim induced game meaningfull?

No! The other agents can not observe the player’s type.

Beware! There are alternative algorithms for finding BN Eq. (e.g. expectimax).

Page 43: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Outlook Games in Normal Form Perfect-information Sequential Actions Games Imperfect-information SA Games Repeated Games Bayesian Games Ø Coalitional Games

Page 44: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Coalitional Games

Which coalition will form?

How should that coalition divide its payoff among its members?

Page 45: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Game Types

Page 46: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Some extra definitions

Page 47: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

How to divide payoffs? How to define “fair” division?

Page 48: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Shapley value

It is average “marginal” contribution of i.

Page 49: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

Core

Is core always nonempty or unique? No to both…

Page 50: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

That was theory, what about reality?

Split or Steal?

St. Petersburg paradox

Page 51: Introduction to Game Theory - Department of Theoretical ...bartak/ui_seminar/talks/2015LS/GameTheory.pdf · Introduction to Game Theory Game theory is the mathematical study of interaction

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