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INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergradua te SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund Undergraduate Student Investment Management Fund Semi-Annual Presentation Friday, April 26 th , 2013 INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

Jan 03, 2016

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Page 1: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Undergraduate Student Investment Management Fund

Semi-Annual PresentationFriday, April 26th, 2013

INTRODUCTION

Page 2: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund Fund Members

Fund Managers Fund Analysts

Aaron BakerAndrew Farber

Clayton Jenners

Dakota BoydDylan King

John Happe

Kenneth Qian

Leo Panopoulos

Yili YuKai Lam

Jaesung Lee

Lorne Forcum Brian WrightTroy Hebert Adrian Reiter

INTRODUCTION

Page 3: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Portfolio Strategy and Construction• Two Portfolio Strategies:

1. Passive Portfolio• Market weighted• Contains multiple asset classes

2. Active Portfolio• Incorporates information on insider

transactions• 100% U.S. equity

• Rebalancing

REVIEW

Page 4: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Passive Portfolio Overview

• Initially represented 70% of our overall portfolio value

• Goals • Highly diverse, global• Low cost • Easily scalable • International tilt

REVIEW

Page 5: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

• One US instrument and one international instrument per asset class (equity, bond, REIT)

• Equities• iShares FTSE All World Ex-US (VEU)• Schwab US Broad Market (SCHB)

• Bonds• iShares Barclays Intermediate Credit (CIU)• Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND)

• REITs• Vanguard REIT Index (VNQ)• SPDR Dow Jones International Real Estate (RWX)

Passive Portfolio Strategy and Asset Classes

REVIEW

Page 6: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Active PortfolioInsider Trading• Initially represented 30% of our total portflio value• Use information on insider positions to determine

which stocks to purchase• Hold 40 securities in active portfolio• Purchase top 10 firms ranked by net number of

opportunistic buyers (# insiders buying - # insiders selling) each week

• Hold each stock for 4 weeks

REVIEW

Page 7: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

• The fund made the decision to rebalance the active portfolio so that it would represent 50% of our total portfolio value

• This process began on 2/11/13 and was completed on 3/5/13 (4 weeks)

30%

70%

Initial Portfolio Weights

Active Passive

50%

50%

Final Portfolio Weights

Active Passive

Rebalancing

REBALANCING

Page 8: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

• Purchase a larger amount of the ten individual stocks in the active portfolio

• Each week, sell the stocks that we had purchased 4 weeks prior

• Gradually liquidate position in SCHB ETF (U.S. Broad Market)

• Process was completed on 3/5/13

Rebalancing Method

REBALANCING

Page 9: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Initial Weights

REBALANCING

Page 10: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Final Weights

REBALANCING

Page 11: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Performance• Total Portfolio vs. Russell 3000• Total Portfolio vs. Custom Benchmark• Active Portfolio vs. Russell 3000• Portfolio Statistics

PERFORMANCE

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INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

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SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Total Portfolio vs. Russell 3000

PERFORMANCE

Page 13: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

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REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

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SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Total Portfolio vs. Custom Benchmark

20%  Barclays U.S. Aggregate, 25% FTSE Index, 55% Russell 3000

PERFORMANCE

Page 14: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Active Portfolio vs. Russell 3000

PERFORMANCE

Page 15: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Portfolio Statistics

PERFORMANCE

Page 16: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Attribution• Active Sector Attribution• Sector Attribution vs. Russell 3000• Active Size Weights• Active Size Attribution

ATTRIBUTION

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Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Sector Attribution vs. Russell 3000

ATTRIBUTION

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INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

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SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Active Sector Attribution

ATTRIBUTION

Page 19: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

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SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Active Size Weights

ATTRIBUTION

Page 20: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Active Size Attribution

ATTRIBUTION

Page 21: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

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REVIEW

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SHORT SCENARIO

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Hypothetical Scenarios• Holding Period Analysis• Long/Short Portfolio• Margin Calls

HOLDING PERIOD

Page 22: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Holding Period Analysis

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8-1

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1A

vg %

Exc

ess

Ret

urn

Weekly Holding Periods

Optimal Holding Period

Average Weekly Return

90% Confidence Interval

HOLDING PERIOD

Page 23: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

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HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

SHORT SCENARIO

• Short Portfolio– 100% Active Short Portfolio

• Long/Short Portfolio– 50% Long, 50% Short

• Total Portfolio– 50% Active Long/Short, 50% Passive

SHORT SCENARIO

Page 24: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Short Portfolio Returns

-20.00%

-15.00%

-10.00%

-5.00%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

Ret

urn

HPR: -15.0%Daily RET: -0.2%Daily SD: 0.8%t-Statistic: -2.09

Short Portfolio

SHORT SCENARIO

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Long/Short Portfolio

-1.00%

-0.50%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

Ret

urn

HPR: 1.3%Daily RET: 0.0%Daily SD: 0.2%t-Statistic: 0.73

Long/Short Portfolio

SHORT SCENARIO

Page 26: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Margin Call Analysis• Margin Calls Occur when the equity in

the account drops below the product of the current market value (CMV) of the shorted security and maintenance margin

SHORT SCENARIO

Page 27: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Margin Call Analysis

Assumptions:• Initial Margin (IM): 50%• Maintenance Margin (MM): 30%

SHORT SCENARIO

Page 28: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

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REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Margin Call AnalysisExample of Shorting Stock:• Short 100 Shares of ABC at

$10 a share• Required to post 50%

Equity (Reg-T)

SHORT SCENARIO

Page 29: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

PERFORMANCE

ATTRIBUTION

REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

HOLDING PERIOD

CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Margin Call Analysis

SHORT SCENARIO

Example of Shorting Stock:• Price increase to $13/share• Amount to be paid back:• $13 x 100 shares = $1300• Equity decreases to $200

($1500 - $1200 = $300)• Margin call occurs:

30% x $1300 = $390$200 < $390

• Required to bring equity to initial margin

Page 30: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Margin CallsDate Ticker Magnitude

11/30/2012 ATML $1,017.90

12/11/2012 HRG $1,405.53

1/14/2013 HPQ $1,237.11

1/14/2013 DK $992.67

1/22/2013 PCYC $1,057.35

2/1/2013 VLO $1,023.78

2/13/2013 MAS $1,023.00

3/8/2013 DF $1,764.00

30

SHORT SCENARIO

Page 31: INTRODUCTION REVIEW PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION REBALANCING SHORT SCENARIO HOLDING PERIOD CONCLUSION Undergraduate SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund.

INTRODUCTION

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PERFORMANCE

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REBALANCING

SHORT SCENARIO

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CONCLUSION

Undergraduate

SIM Fund Student Investment Management Fund

Total Portfolio Returns

-2.00%

-1.00%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

Long/Short Active Portfolio + Passive Portfolio

Without Margin CallsWith Margin Calls

Ret

urn

Without Margin Calls With Margin CallsHPR: 2.74% 2.17%Daily RET: 0.03% 0.02%Daily SD: 0.30% 0.28%t-Statistic: 0.907 0.768

SHORT SCENARIO