INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Nov 2011 COP 17 COP 17 Durban Durban Gaëtan Siew UIA P President GLOBAL GLOBAL TRENDS TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander
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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Nov 2011 COP 17 Durban Gaëtan Siew UIA P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future,
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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Nov 2011
COP 17COP 17DurbanDurban
Gaëtan Siew UIA P President
GLOBALGLOBAL TRENDSTRENDS
“It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it”Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander
A World of Global ImbalancesContrasted TerritoriesRegionalisationPower and Complexity of NetworksNew PartnershipsGlobal Governance
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
A World of Contrasts
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Sao Paulo, Brazil
•North – Old and Fragile•South – Young and Poor•South 90% < 25 years old
The World•2007 : > 50% urban population•Monster or sustainable cities ?• + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050•500 000 slum dwellers /month•Heritage at risk
Sao Paulo, Brazil
An Urban World
Population m•Tokyo 35.2•Jakarta 22,0•Bombay 21,2•Delhi 21,0•Manila 20,8•New York 20,6•Sao Paulo 20,2•Seoul 19,9•Mexico 18,7•Shanghai 18.4•Cairo 17,3
GUP b €•Tokyo 1 191 •New York 1 133•Los Angeles 639•Paris 460•Chicago 460•Londres 452•Osaka-Kobe 341•Mexico 315•Philadelphia 312•Washington 299
CO2 Emissions tons/p•Qatar 48.3•Bahrein 27.0•Emirates 25.9•Koweit 25.7•Luxembourg 23.6
Climate refugeesBangladesh Abandoned city
Texas, USA
Global Trends
Technology: death of distance ?Technology: death of distance ?Health and PandemiasHealth and PandemiasIncreasing MobilityIncreasing MobilityEnvironment DeclineEnvironment DeclineIdentity v/s GlobalisatioIdentity v/s Globalisation
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Lessons ?
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Succ
ess
= H
appi
ness
Succ
ess
= H
appi
ness
New ModelNew Model•Old Model adjusting ?•End of Era ?•New model of opportunities ?