International student visa and enrolment trends for the MESDC

PARESH KEVAT

International student visa and enrolment trends for the MESDC

This is a presentation

Presented at the ICEF Australia New Zealand

Agent Workshop, Brisbane, 17 April 2013

In today’s session

� Global Student Mobility

� Student Visa & Enrolment trends

� Current Events & Challenges

� Going Forward

Global Tertiary Education

2000:

99.9 mill

2010:

177.7 mill

Global tertiary enrolments (by region)Global tertiary enrolments (by region)Global tertiary enrolments (by region)Global tertiary enrolments (by region)

This plot shows the number of students enrolled in tertiary education globally

between 1970 and 2010. The number of tertiary students grew from 99.9 million in

2000 to 177. 7 million students in 2010 (representing an average annual growth rate

on 5.9%).

Long term growth in the number of students enrolled outside their country of

citizenship

Global Student Mobility (Tertiary)

Global Student Mobility is the movement of students from a Global Student Mobility is the movement of students from a Global Student Mobility is the movement of students from a Global Student Mobility is the movement of students from a source country to another destination country for the source country to another destination country for the source country to another destination country for the source country to another destination country for the purposes of study .purposes of study .purposes of study .purposes of study .

2025

7.0 m2010

4.2 m

In 2010, approximately 4.2 million foreign students enrolled outside their

country of citizenship to study. By 2025 this number is estimated to

increase to 7 million.

Global Student Mobility

2010

4.2 m

Outbound Inbound

Top 3 share (2009) = 28.7% 5 MESDC share (2009) = 38.3%

These plots show the source and destination country volumes of foreign students

travelling for tertiary studies.

Source: OECD and UNESCO Institute for Statistics

Definitions

STUDENT VISASTUDENT VISASTUDENT VISASTUDENT VISA

Student visa, is a Student visa, is a Student visa, is a Student visa, is a special endorsementspecial endorsementspecial endorsementspecial endorsement, which allows its holder , which allows its holder , which allows its holder , which allows its holder to to to to

study at an institution study at an institution study at an institution study at an institution of higher learning in the of higher learning in the of higher learning in the of higher learning in the issuing country issuing country issuing country issuing country

ENROLMENTENROLMENTENROLMENTENROLMENT

The registrationregistrationregistrationregistration of a person with an education or training

provider for the purpose of undertaking a course purpose of undertaking a course purpose of undertaking a course purpose of undertaking a course or module.

COMMENCEMENTCOMMENCEMENTCOMMENCEMENTCOMMENCEMENT

A commencement is a new student enrolment new student enrolment new student enrolment new student enrolment in a particular

course at a particular institution.

Main English Speaking Destination Countries

United Kingdom

New Zealand

United States

Australia

Canada

MESDC - Domestic & Int’l tertiary enrolments

This chart shows the total number of domestic and

international students for each of the MESDC countries.

The number in the black circle is the proportion of

international students as a percentage of total students.

Source: Open Doors, HESA, UKCISA, CIC, AIE, Education NZ

MESDC – overall trends

Enrolments

Visa grants

Source: Open Doors, HESA, UKCISA, CIC, AIE, Education NZ

MESDC – visa grant trends (top 3)

Proportion of top three source countries: Source: US Department of Homeland Security, UKBA, DIAC, CIC, Immigration NZ

The top 3 source countries represented 52.1% of all student visa grants in the USA in 2012

MESDC - top 3 countries (HE enrolments*)

Source: Open Doors, HESA, UKCISA, CIC, AIE, Education NZ

The top 3 source countries represented 48.0% of all International HE student enrolments in the USA in 2012

Work & Post Study Work

Source: US Department of Homeland Security, UKBA, DIAC, CIC, NUFFIC Report

WORK DURING STUDY POST GRADUATION EMPLOYMENTUK Up to 20 hours a week during term-time & 40 hours a week

during holidays – but only for students at universities and

publicly funded further education colleges

Post-study work opportunities will be limited from April 2012.

Non-EU/EEA graduates from UK institutions will no longer be

allowed an automatic two-year job search period after

graduation, but they will need to find employment sponsorship

or a job offer with a minimum salary.

USA No. of hours varies depending on type of student visa. A J-1

student visa allows study-related work during term-time (needs

to be approved by HE) . An F-1 student visa allows students to

apply for a work visa to undertake employment related to the

student’s field of study for up to 20 hours a week, but to obtain

this work visa, students must have been enrolled in US higher

education for at least one year.

International students that graduated in the US can apply for a

temporary post-study work visa for up to three years. This

visa allows temporary work in selected occupations only,

including science, engineering and computer programming.

Australia Up to 40 hours a fortnight during term-time and holidays – no

separate work permit is required. Can work unlimited hours

during vacation.

Graduate Work Stream - 18 months

Post Study Work Visa:

Bachelor & Masters by coursework – 2 years

Masters by Research – 4 years

Doctorates graduates – 4 years

Canada Up to 20 hours a week of on-campus employment on a study

permit, or up to 20 hours a week of off-campus employment on

a separate work permit Up to 20 hours a week during term-

time and holidays – no separate work permit is required

International students can apply for a post-study work visa

only after having studied in Canada for at least eight months.

Post-study work opportunities are possible on a “skilled

graduate visa”, which allows graduates to live and work

Student Visa Policy Student Visa Policy Student Visa Policy Student Visa Policy –––– New ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandNew Zealand

Immigration

Policy

Changes

The NZ Government has introduced a raft of changes to student visa policy over the last two years as it aims to make NZ more competitive in the global student market.

Figure 6: Summary table of recent student visa policy changes

Source: Immigration NZ

NZ Trends

Source: Immigration NZ dataSource: Education NZ, Immigration NZ

Australia Australia Australia Australia ---- Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 –––– 20132013201320132008

25/04/2008 A streamlined process is introduced for people applying for student visas from India, Indonesia and Thailand.

25/04/2008 Overseas students granted automatic rights to work up to 20hrs/wk

25/04/2008 Students no longer require a visa label on their passports. Student visa fees decreased from $490 to $450.

17/12/2008 Students enrolled in courses not on Criticalshortages list will need to find a sponsor to be considered for permanent

residency

17/12/2008 International students have access to 485 visa which allows them to work for 18 months.

2009

24/03/2009 Raids on migration agents in Melbourne for providing fake documentation for PR applications

12/05/2009 Changes to Skilled migration program

12/05/2009 English language thresholds increased for GSM (effective 1 Jul 2009 onshore and 1 Jan 2010 Offshore)

12/05/2009 Job readiness test introduced from 1 Jan 2010

19/07/2009 Govt responds to violence against indian students - meet community leaders to ease safety concerns

19/07/2009 International Student Taskforce established to develop strategies for well-being of international students.

19/07/2009 Govt fast-tracks review of framework for ESOS Act

19/07/2009 Guide to Studying & Living in Australia updated

1/07/2009 Student visa fees increased from $450 to $540

23/07/2009 Minister of Education announces he will travel to India to assure Indian Australia is a safe country

20/08/2009 Govt announced increased number of applicant interviews and enhanced document checks for high risk applicants from

India, Nepal, Brazil, Zimbabwe and Mauritius.

9/11/2009 Closure of Providers - Govt announces exemption of $540 visa fee from 1 Jan 2010 for Intl students affected by closure of

education providers

9/11/2009 Evidence of funds for living costs increased from $12,000 to $18,000 effective 1 Jan 2010

Source: DIAC

Australia Australia Australia Australia ---- Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 –––– 20132013201320132010

9/11/2010 To date 150 agents have had their eVisa access suspended due to evidence of fraud or inactivity

8/02/2010 MODL list revoked and Skills Occupation List (SOL) list tightened only to occupations in high demand

9/02/2010 Govt announces students still able to apply for PR if their occupation is on the new SOL list. Students studying a course not

on SOL List have till end of 2012 to apply for the 485 visa (allows them to work for 18 months)

9/02/2010 Govt states Australia's migration program is not and should not be determined by the courses studied by international

students.

9/03/2010 Release of final report of Baird Review

27/03/2010 Assessment levels for postgraduate research (subclass 574) reducd to AL1 and AL2

1/03/2010 Decision makers given greater discretion to cancel a student visa

27/03/2010 Changes made to course packaging arrangements - now need to meet the highes assessment level of courses in the

package instead of principle course

7/05/2010 Govt temporarily suspends lodgement of three visa classes offshore General Skilled Migration

17/05/2010 New SOLS list released - focussed on targeting occupations that require a long lead time of formal educ and training

1/07/2010 Students now required to hold Overseas Student Healthcover for themselves and dependents

20/12/2010 Govt annouces a strategic review of the student visa program.

2011

1/01/2011 Students studying diploma/advanced diploma courses to be assessed under HE subclass 573

1/04/2011 Student visa assessment levels for 38 countries reduced.

1/05/2011 Govt announced alternative English Language tests acceptablefor student visa applications

22/09/2011 Govt accepts all recommendations of the Knight Review

5/11/2011 Stage one implementation of the Knight Review changes

5/11/2011 Introduction of Genuine Temporary Entrant requirements

5/11/2011 Introduction of Fraud Public Interest Criteria

5/11/2011 Reduction in financialrequirements for AL3 and AL4 student visas.

1/12/2011 The automatic conversion of Student Course Variations (SCVs) to Non-Compliance Notices (NCNs) ceased.

Source: DIAC

Australia Australia Australia Australia ---- Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 Student Visa Policy Changes 2008 –––– 2013201320132013

2012

1/01/2012 Discussion paper on Review od Student Visa Assessment level framework released.

1/03/2012 Stage 2 Implementation of Knight Review changes:

24/03/2012 Introduction of the Streamlined Visa Process

24/03/2012 Change in working conditions from 20 hrs/wk to 40hrs/fortnight

24/03/2012 Limit on number of hours Higher Degree by Research students removed

24/03/2012 Increase in English language study period from 40 to 50 weeks for Schools scetor

24/03/2012 Student Guardian visa holders able to do unlimited ELICOS on p/T basis

24/03/2012 Assessment levels for 29 countries reduced requiring lower evidentiary requirements for the grant of a student visa

1/04/2012 Chinese students no longer require a visa label on their passport

1/04/2012 removal of mandatory cancellation requirement for unsatisfactory attendance or unsatisfactory progress or working in

excess of the hours allowed

2013

23/03/2013 Changes to the Temporary Graduate Visa (subclass 485) and Introduction of Post Work Study Visa

Source: DIAC

Australia Australia Australia Australia ---- Student Visa Lodgements & Grants July 2007 to Dec 2012Student Visa Lodgements & Grants July 2007 to Dec 2012Student Visa Lodgements & Grants July 2007 to Dec 2012Student Visa Lodgements & Grants July 2007 to Dec 2012

need to

find

sponsor

Closures, funds

incr.

Cancel MODL

Post Study

Work Options

Access

to 485

visa

Australia’s

Reputation

Source: DIAC

Latest enrolment trends by sector - Australia

Enrolments numbers ytd Feb

2013, numbers are down

across all sectors and four of

the 5 top source countries

Source: DIISRTE

Source: DIISRTE

Forecast for 2013

Enrolments numbers up to Feb 2013 are similar to 2008

numbers. If this trend continues, enrolments for 2013 will be

somewhere between 530,000 and 550,000 for the year.

Source: AEI

Streamlined Visa process

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Commenced on 24 March 2012, the Department of Immigration and Citizenship

started to assess student visa applicants who lodge their applications with a

Confirmation of Enrolment (CoE) from a participating university in Australia at

Bachelor, Masters or Doctoral degree level as though they were a lower migration

risk (similar to the current Assessment Level 1), regardless of their country of origin.

RESPONSIBILITIES:

� 41 Universities & nominated business partners.

� University is responsible for the genuineness of the student.

� Universities can ask for financial details and funds to be submitted.

BENEFITS

� Visa applications will be processed quickly.

� Students will have reduced evidentiary requirements.

Source: DIAC

Getting prepared for SVP

Source: Statistics New ZealandRISK MANAGEMENT APPROACH TO EDUCATION

MANAGE YOUR:

� Process

� Systems

� Resources

Genuine Temporary Entrant GTE)

Post-study work visas

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Skilled Graduate

Temporary Visa

(subclass 485)

Post-Study

Work Visa

Graduate Work Stream

(subclass 485)

Effective 23 March

2013

Bachelor & Masters by coursework – 2 years

Masters by Research – 4 years

Doctorates graduates – 4 years

More Information

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Details of the SVP are available at:

www.immi.gov.au

Visa Assessment Levels:

www.immi.gov.au/students/student-visa-

assessment-levels.htm

Challenges

New developments in education

The ‘Technology Outlook for Australian Tertiary Education 2013-2018, report has recently identified 12 areas of technological development that will be important within the next five years for education in Australia.

The four technologies impacting in the near-term are:� MOOCS (Massive Open Online Courses)� Learning Analytics� Social learning, and� Mobile Media.

Link to report:www.nmc.org/pdf/2013-Technology-Outlook-for-Australia-Tertiary-Education.pdf

MOOCS – Massive Open Online Courses

Source: various: newspaper clips, webpages, blog

MOOCS developments in Australia

www.open2study.com

Arts & Humanities

Business

Finance

Health & Medicine

Management

Marketing & Advertising

Looking Ahead (What next?)

• Get prepared for the Streamlined Visa Process

• Learn about latest emerging developments and the latest technologies

• Source good quality data and use the appropriate tools for analysis and make evidence�based decisions

• Evaluate your business strategy and plan realistically

• Make use of your professional links and diversify (such as partner with local institutions overseas)

• Get actively involved in social media

Roundup

� Global Student Mobility

� Student Visa & Enrolment trends

� Current Events & Challenges

� New Initiatives

Contact details

This was a presentation

Paresh Kevat

@pareshkevat

[email protected]

http://au.linkedin.com/pub/paresh-kevat/0/a4b/53a ?

About th

e

PR

ES

EN

TE

RP

RE

SE

NT

ER

PR

ES

EN

TE

RP

RE

SE

NT

ER

Specialising in business intelligence, education and research in the international education sector, Paresh is the principal consultant at GOMDA Consulting. Prior to this, he worked as a Business Intelligence Analyst for a student recruitment company in Melbourne for three and a half years.

His key areas of expertise include business analytics; data management, forecasting, research and critical analysis of complex data sets, using data sourced from Australian and International sources for business reporting, strategic planning and evidence-based decision making.

Over the last four years, Paresh has prepared and conducted seminars and presented at majorinternational education conferences in Australia and New Zealand.

Prior to joining the education sector, Paresh has worked for over fourteen years in a variety of professional roles working with data analysis and management, in a range of companies in Australia and New Zealand.

He holds a Bachelor of Technology degree in Biotechnology & Bio-Process Engineering from Massey University and a Graduate Certificate in Business from Swinburne University.

For more information please visit:

http://www.gomdaconsulting.com

PARESH KEVAT

Principal Consultant

DISCLAIMER:

This document has been produced by GOMDA Consulting for the ICEF ANZA Workshop.

The information provided here is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we

endeavour to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it

will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination

of the particular situation.