International Seminar on Approaches and Methodologies of Private Stock of Food Grain Topic: Estimation of Private Stock of Food Grain- Bangladesh Perspective (Part-I: Situation of Private Stock of Food Grain; Part-2: Survey on Private Stock of Food Grain -Considerable Issues) Bidhan Baral Joint Director, & Dipankar Roy, PhD Joint Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Statistics and Informatics Division Ministry of Planning
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International Seminar on Approaches and Methodologies of Private Stock of Food Grain
Topic: Estimation of Private Stock of Food Grain-Bangladesh Perspective
(Part-I: Situation of Private Stock of Food Grain;
Part-2: Survey on Private Stock of Food Grain
-Considerable Issues)
Bidhan Baral
Joint Director, &
Dipankar Roy, PhD
Joint Director
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
Statistics and Informatics Division
Ministry of Planning
Outline
PART-I: Situation of Private Stock of Food Grain1. Background2. Importance of Food Grain Stock Analysis3. Existing Data System, Limitations4. Annual Production Statistics (rice, wheat and maize)5. Import Scenario of rice and wheat6. Actors in Food Grain Supply Chain7. Pattern of Farm Households8. Stocking Pattern9. Supply and Retention Pattern10. Consumption Pattern of Cereals11. Marketable and Marketed Supply of rice, wheat and maize12. Recommendations
Background
• Bangladesh is self-reliant in producing rice• Both production and demand are high• The government needed to pay attention on
food management for long• The situation has been changed since 2010 and
onward for the persistent higher production offood
• Private stock assessment is necessary for efficientfood management specially export-importdecision making, maintaining buffer stock, and soon
Importance of Food Grain Stock Analysis
• The production of rice is high (34.7 million ton)• Population is more than160 million- high food
demand• Comprehensive data on marketable or marketed
surplus of food grain is needed (to facilitate food balance sheet and food policy and value addition)
• Production of wheat is limited- import dependent• Maize is used only for animal fodder• Ensure food security• Eradication of poverty (SDG Goal)
Existing Data System, Limitations
Existing Data System• Annual production data of BBS as main source• The per capital consumption data of BBS available• Data on retention of food grain collected by HIES, not published• Food Balance Sheet compiled by BBS, an useful source of various
information• The export-import data is of National Board of Revenue or
Bangladesh Bank• Time series data maintained by FPMU, MoFLimitations• No published data on supply-chain of food grain, • The food grain retention data of HIES lacks from receipts of food
grain and the carry-in stock other than production• No available data on food grain use/stock for trade or industry
Annual Production Statistics (rice, wheat and maize)
Food
Grain
Cultivated
Area
(Lac
Hectare)
Production
(Lac ton)
Rice 113.81
(gross)
347.10
Wheat 4.45 13.48
Maize 3.34 24.45
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Rice Wheat Maize
347.1
13.48 24.45
Production (Lac ton)
Production(Lac ton)
• Surplus rice production in the country• Minimum production of wheat• Increasing maize production with no contribution to cereal consumption
Import Scenario of rice and wheatSl Year Rice (Husked) Wheat