By Conn M. Hallinan by Rashad Aliyev by Cpt. Kent Eiler by Richard Javad Heydarian Volume I Issue VI
Mar 22, 2016
By Conn M. Hallinan
by Rashad Aliyev
by Cpt. Kent Eiler
by Richard Javad Heydarian
Volume I Issue VI
Copyright 2012 by International Policy Digest
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GOP and Putin Find Common Ground: The Cold War by John K Yi 3
What Marwan Barghouti Really Means to Palestinians by Ramzy Baroud 4
Why Europe is �ot Yet ‘A Culture of Peace’ by Richard Falk 5
Hungary’s Sovereignty Struggle by Daniel Donovan 10
The Tailor of Chongquing?: A Political Thriller Fit for Hollywood by Tristan McInnis 1 3
The Promise of Colombia by Michael W Edghill 14
The Logic of Unintended Consequences: The 'Mess in Mali' by Ramzy Baroud 17
Risk with Great Reward in South America by William Eger 20
What’s Left? by Deepak Tripathi 21
Photo Citations 35
Immigration Anxiety and Ruminations on Thought Police by Gibson Bateman 23
Reinvention �onalignment by Dr. Sudhanshu Tripathi 24
China: The Frog and theScorpion
by Conn M Hallinan 8
Russia Unlikely to See ReformsPost-Medvedevby Rashad Aliyev 11
Lessons Hidden in Afghanistanby Cpt. Kent Eiler 15
Why Iran Will Compromise This Timeby Richard Javad Heydarian 18
Conference Report: 'Humanity and Humanitarianism in Crisis by Claire McCurdy 25
Peace Corps Diary: Part 10 by Richard Lyman 28
�uclear Weapons are �ot Instruments of Peace! by Richard Falk 29
Somali’s Compete for Foreign Domination by Mohamud Uluse 31
Drug Policy in the Western Hemisphere by Taylor Dibbert 32
Social Business and the Environment by Jahangir Alam Sarker 33
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
March 15th - 31 st
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Republican Presidential primary
front-runner Mitt Romney declared
Russia, “without question, [is] our
number one geopolitical foe”. This state-
ment accompanied a larger criticism
lobbied against President Obama and his
‘hot mic’ slip, last week, with Russian
President Dimitry Medvedev at the Seoul
Nuclear Summit.
During a press conference, Obama
was overheard asking Medvedev, the
soon-to-be Prime Minister, for more time
and space regarding the U.S. missile
defense system in Europe, stating that he
would “have more flexibility” after the
November elections.
The days that followed have been a
pile on by the Republican Party, who
have been long-time critics of the
President’s “Reset” diplomacy with
Russia. Many on the right have called the
incident in Seoul as further evidence of
the President’s weakness on security and
over willingness to compromise on U.S.
interests and her allies.
Furthermore, the ever-elongating Re-
publican primary dogfight has only made
Obama’s gaffe fodder for political
conservative punditry. And even after two
decades have passed since the fall of the
Soviet Union and the end of the Cold
War, rhetoric of Moscow as once again
an untrustworthy partner that should be
held at an arms length and with a wary
eye has resurfaced.
3
GOP and Putin Find Common Ground: The Cold WarBy John K. Yi
03 April 2012
of the “administration’s apparent willingness to make unilateral concessions to Russia that
undermine our missile defense capabilities”, and citing Iran, Syria, and �orth Korea as
examples ofMoscow’s “reckless ambitions.”
Even Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann, once presidential candidate and always a
reliable source of fringe right-wing opinions, called Russia a member of a “new axis of
evil” during an interview in November of last year.
And despite American public opinion, which says that a meager 2% consider Russia as
America’s top enemy (compared to 93% in 1983), the rally against a country that served as
the iconic American enemy for nearly half a century appears to be a popular strategy to woo
voters.
The Republicans are not alone during this year’s campaign season in reviving Cold War
fears. During Putin’s presidential campaign, the Kremlin and the candidate himself have
delivered a number of remarks laden with anti-American language, conjuring up caricature
portraits of the U.S. as an imperial and subversive force in world politics.
When Michael McFaul became the U.S. ambassador to Russia in January, the Kremlin
was quick to accuse the embassy and the Gosdep, the Russian word for the State
Department, as the deep-pocketed supporters of the mass protests in Moscow, whose
crowds numbered in the hundreds of thousands.
Furthermore, state-run television stations ran programs haranguing the ambassador as a
non-Russia specialist but instead a specialist on “promoting democracy,” or otherwise
known as Western interference in Russia’s domestic affairs.
After Secretary of State Hillary Clinton called the 201 1 December Duma elections
neither honest nor fair, Putin fought back telling his supporters at his campaign kick off
rally that she has “set the tone for some actors in our country and gave them a signal… they
heard the signal and with the support ofthe U.S. State Department began active work”.
And in January, in a speech to his supporters in the Siberian city of Tomsk, Putin
sharpened his tone saying that the United States wanted to control everything and that
“sometimes I get the impression the U.S. doesn’t need allies, it needs vassals.”
And so both sides are culpable when it comes to reviving Cold War fears in modern day
elections. Still, as biting, derisive, and unproductive as such language may be, perhaps it is
just a symptom of desperate campaigns. After all, the GOP’s sharp criticism of Obama and
Russia comes at a time when the party is still hobbling towards a nomination eight months
away from a general election. As for Putin, his anti-American campaign speeches were
Both sides are culpablewhen it comes to revivingColdWar fears in modern
day elections
Runner-up Republican Presidential
candidate Rick Santorum’s campaign also
jumped at the opportunity to jab at
Obama. On the campaign trail in
Wisconsin, the former Senator likened
any compromise with Russia over the
missile defense system as letting them
“have their run of the table because
America’s no longer in the business of
protecting ourselves and our allies”.
Republican house majority leader
Congressman John Boehner sent an open
letter to the President expressing concern
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
geared towards exciting his core supporters; meanwhile the largest
popular opposition movement since the 1990s was taking to the
streets of Moscow. The two had more in common than they
thought.
But like most elections, once the candidate becomes the
elected, the fiery speeches and promises during the campaign
season rarely translate into policy and instead move towards the
center. Russia’s recently increase in pressure on the Assad regime,
coercing it to accept former UN Secretary General Annan’s peace
plan, is a clear example of the Kremlin’s adoption of a more
moderate position after the election.
As for the GOP, the general election campaign has barely
started and there is still plenty of time for the right to take more
swings against President Obama’s “Reset” diplomacy and make
further allusions to the Cold War. What impact this will have in
the meantime for U.S.-Russia relations remains uncertain.
However, it may explain what the President meant in Seoul
when he asked Medvedev to hold off on pressure until after the
elections: campaigns are all just talk. ■
class that has ruled Palestinians for many years, and is now merely
managing and profiting from the occupation. “Stop marketing the
illusion that there is a possibility of ending the occupation and
achieving a state through negotiations after this vision has failed
miserably,” he said. “It is the Palestinian people’s right to oppose
the occupation in all means, and the resistance must be focused on
the 1967 territories”.
4
What Marwan Barghouti Really Means toPalestiniansBy Ramzy Baroud
04 April 2012
Last week, Marwan Barghouti, the prominent Palestinian
political prisoner and Fatah leader, called on Palestinians to launch
a “large-scale popular resistance” which would “serve the cause
ofour people.”
The message was widely disseminated as it coincided with
Land Day, an event that has unified Palestinians since March
1976. Its meaning has morphed through the years to represent the
collective grievances shared by most Palestinians, including
dispossession from their land as a result of Israeli occupation.
Barghouti is also a unifying figure among Palestinians. Even
at the height of the Hamas-Fatah clashes in 2007, he insisted on
unity and shunned factionalism. It is no secret that Barghouti is
still a very popular figure in Fatah, to the displeasure of various
Fatah leaders, not least Mahmoud Abbas, who heads both the
Palestinian Authority and Fatah..
Throughout its indirect prisoners exchange talks with Israel,
Hamas insisted on Barghouti’s release. Israel, which had officially
charged and imprisoned Barghouti in 2004 for five alleged counts
of murder – but more likely because of his leading role in the
Second Palestinian Intifada – insisted otherwise.
Israel held onto Barghouti largely because of his broad appeal
among Palestinians. In late 2009, he told Milan-based Corriere
Della Sera that “the main issue topping his agenda currently is
achieving unity between rival Palestinian factions”.
More, he claimed that following a unity deal he would be
ready to submit candidacy for Palestinian presidency. Barghouti,
is, of course, still in prison. Although a unity deal has been signed,
it is yet to be actualized.
Barghouti’s latest statement is clearly targeting the political
It’s not his political savvy that made himpopular among Palestinians, but the fact
that he stands as the antithesis oftraditionalFatah and PA leadership
Last December, Jospeh Dana wrote: “Barghouti is a figure of
towering reverence among Palestinians and even some Israelis,
regardless ofpolitical persuasion”.
However, he did not earn his legitimacy among Palestinians
through his prophetic political views or negotiation skills. In fact,
he was among the Fatah leaders who hopelessly, although
genuinely, pursued peace through the ‘peace process’ , which
proved costly, if not lethal, to the Palestinian national movement.
Dana wrote: “Barghouti’s pragmatic approach to peace during
the 1990s demonstrated his overarching desire to end Israeli
occupation at all costs”.
Although his latest message has articulated a conclusion that
became obvious to most Palestinians – for example, that “it must
be understood that there is no partner for peace in Israel when the
settlements have doubled” – Barghouti’s call delineates a level of
political maturity that is unlikely to go down well, whether in
Ramallah or Tel Aviv.
So it’s not his political savvy, per se, that made him popular
among Palestinians, but the fact that he stands as the antithesis of
traditional Fatah and PA leadership.
Starting his political career at the age of 15, before being
imprisoned and deported to Jordan in his early 20s, Barghouti was
viewed among Fatah youth – the Shabibah – as the desired new
face of the movement. When he realized that the ‘peace process’
was a sham, intended to win time for Israeli land confiscation and
settlements and reward a few accommodating Palestinians,
Barghouti broke away from the Fatah echelons. Predictably, it was
also then, in 2001 , that Israel tried to assassinate him.
Marwan Barghouti still has some support in Israel itself,
specifically among the politically sensible who understand that
April 1 st - 1 5th
Netanyahu’s right-wing government cannot reach a peaceful
resolution, and that the so-called two-state solution is all but dead.
In a Haaretz editorial entitled ‘Listen to Marwan Barghouti,’
the authors discussed how “back when he was a peace-loving,
popular leader who had not yet turned to violence, Barghouti
made the rounds of Israeli politicians, opinion-makers and the
central committees of the Zionist parties and urged them to reach
an agreement with the Palestinians”. The authors recommended
that ‘Jerusalem’ listen to Barghouti because he “is the most
authentic leader Fatah has produced and he can lead his people to
an agreement”.
In his article entitled ‘The New Mandela’ , Uri Avnery wrote
that Barghouti “is one of the very few personalities around whom
all Palestinians, Fatah as well as Hamas, can unite”. However, it
is essential that a conscious separation is made between how
Barghouti is interpreted by the Palestinians themselves and Israelis
(even those in the left). Among the latter, Barghouti is presented as
a figure who might have been involved in the “murderous terror”
of the second Intifada (Haaretz), and who can also “lead his
people to an agreement” – as if Palestinians are reckless
multitudes desperate for their own Mandela, who is capable,
through his natural leadership skills, of uniting them into signing
another document.
For years, but especially after the Oslo peace process,
successive Israeli governments and officials have insisted that
there was “no one to talk to on the Palestinian side.”
The tired assertion was meant to justify Israel’s uni-lateral
policies, including settlement construction.
However, Barghouti is a treasured leader in the eyes of many
Palestinians not because he is the man that Israel can talk to or
because of any stereotypical undertones of him being a ‘strong
man’ who can lead the unruly Arabs. Nor can his popularity be
attributed to his political savvy or the prominence of his family.
Throughout the years, hundreds of Palestinians have been
targeted in extrajudicial assassinations; hundreds were deported
and thousands continue to be imprisoned.
Marwan Barghouti is a representation of all of them and more, and
it iss because of this legacy that his message matters, and greatly
so.
In his latest message, Barghouti said that the Palestinian
Authority should immediately halt “all co-ordination with Israel –
economic and security – and work towards Palestinian
reconciliation,” rather than another peace agreement.
Most Palestinians already agree. ■
It is undoubtedly true that the greatest unacknowledgedachievement of the European Union (EU) is to establish ‘a culture
of peace’ within its regional enclosure, for the 68 years since 1944.
This has meant not only the absence ofwar in Europe, but also the
absence of ‘war talk,’ threats, crises, and sanctions – the single
important exception of the NATO War of 1999 that was part of the
fallout from the breakup of former Yugoslavia.
This was undertaken by the American-led alliance; both to
accomplish the de facto independence of Kosovo from Serbian
rule, to ensure the post-Cold War viability of NATO, to reinforce
the lesson of the GulfWar (1991 ) that the West could win wars at
low costs due to their military superiority, and to rescue Albanian
Kosovars from a possible humanitarian catastrophe at the hands of
their Serb oppressors.
The contrast with the first half of the 20th century is stark
when Europe seemed definitely the global cockpit of the war
system in the East-West struggle for global supremacy. Millions of
soldiers and civilians died in response to the two German attempts
by force of arms to gain a bigger role within this European core of
West-centric geopolitics. Germany challenged the established
order not only by recourse to massive aggressive wars in the form
of World War I and II, but also by establishing a diabolical
political infrastructure that gave rise, in the 1930s, to the violently
genocidal ideologies ofNazism and fascism.
Even during the Cold War decades, Europe was not really at
peace, but always at the edge of yet another devastating war. For
the four decades of the Cold War, there existed a constant threat of
a war fought with nuclear weapons; a conflict that could have
produced totally devastating warfare at any point resulting from
either provocative American-led deployments of nuclear weapons
or inflammatory Soviet interventions in Eastern Europe, or from
the periodically tense relations in the divided city of Berlin. Also,
to some extent the Soviet Union, with its totalitarian variant of
state socialism, was as much European as it was Asian, and, thus,
to a degree the Cold War was being fought within Europe,
although its violent dimensions were prudently limited to the
global periphery.
Despite the current plans to surround Russia with defensive
missile systems – supposedly to construct a shield to stop Iranian
5
Why Europe is Not Yet ‘A Culture of Peace’By Richard Falk
05 April 2012
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
missiles – there seems little threat of any war being fought within
European space, and even a diplomatic confrontation seems
improbable at this point. In many respects, the EU culture of
peace, although partial and precarious, has been transformative for
Europeans even if this most daring post-Westphalia experiment in
regional integration and sovereignty has been wrongly assessed;
almost exclusively from an economistic perspective, trade and
investment statistics measure the strength of the Euro and the rate
of economic growth.
The deep financial crises afflicting its Mediterranean members
captures the public’s imagination without any appreciation of this
European contribution to peaceful regional governance.
Many foreign policy experts tend to discount this claim of an
internally peaceful Europe. Firstly, because it had the benefit of an
external Soviet adversary that made a political consensus among
European elites appear to be a condition of physical and
ideological survival. Secondly, because it could count on the
American military presence, hegemonically instrumentalized via
NATO, to protect Europe and to soften the edges of any intra-
European disagreements. This latter role helps us understand the
deployment in Europe of American forces so long after the
fighting stopped, even if gradually reduced from troop levels of
over 300,000 to the present 50,000.
Even this smaller military presence is maintained at high cost to
the United States, but it is widely seen in Washington as both a
guarantor of peace in Europe, and as an expression of America’s
global engagement and permanent repudiation of its earlier
geopolitical stance toward Europe of what was called
‘ isolationism.’
Such a stance was never truly descriptive of American foreign
policy, which almost from its time of independence was
expansionist and disposed toward intervention in hemispheric
affairs.
While I would with some qualifications affirm the European
experience with regionalism as a step forward from the perspective
of global governance, there are some darker features of European
behavior that need to be taken into account. The colonial powers
did not give up their empires without a fight. While the EU was
emerging from the wreckage of World War II, European powers
fought some dirty wars in futile efforts to hold onto their overseas
empires in such countries as Malaya, Indonesia, Indochina, and
Algeria.
In a sense, the European culture of violence toward non-
Europeans was taken over by the United States in its almost
continuous engagement in counterinsurgency warfare against the
peoples and nations of the South; a mode of one-sided warfare that
reached its climax during the Cold War in Vietnam and has risen
to alarming levels of destructiveness in Afghanistan and Iraq.
There are also some broader matters of global policy involved.
After the end of the Cold War, Western security priorities shifted
from the defense of Europe against a Soviet threat to an ongoing
campaign led by the United States to control the geopolitics of
energy. This refocusing shifted the fulcrum of world conflict from
Europe to the Middle East; a process strongly reinforced by
Washington’s willingness to follow Israel’s lead on most matters
of regional security.
In such settings external to the territorial domain of the EU,
the approach adopted under American leadership has been
premised on discretionary recourse to violence under NATO
banners, as in Afghanistan and Libya, especially following the
American resecuritization of world politics along liberal
internationalist lines since the NATO War in Kosovo, and even
more so after the 9/1 1 attacks.
6
The doctrinal masks oflaw and a U�mandate obscure the realities ofaggressivewar making, but should not be allowed todeceive those genuinely dedicated to a
peaceful and just world
The recent buildup toward war against Iran, allegedly because
it is on the verge of acquiring nuclear weapons, is a further
demonstration of the contrast between the EU, as a European
regional arrangement based on the rejection of war as a foreign
policy option, and NATO, as a Western hierarchal alliance that
performs as a discretionary mechanism of military intervention in
the non-Western world, especially in the energy-rich countries of
the Muslim Middle East.
Iran is the poster child of such separation of Europe as a zone
of peace and the Islamic world as a zone of war. It is notable that
the threats to attack Iran in the coming months and the imposition
of four stages of crippling sanctions are premised on the
unacceptability of Iran’s nuclear program, which is allegedly
moving close to the threshold of nuclear weaponry. It could
certainly be doubted whether Iran was intent on acquiring nuclear
weapons, and thereby violating its pledge under the Nuclear
Nonproliferation Treaty, which would be grounds for recourse to
force.
If the issue were to be more reasonably contextualized it
would make us more aware of the relevance of Israel’s stealth
acquisition and development of nuclear weapons, accumulating an
arsenal estimated to exceed 300 warheads.
The exclusions of geopolitical discourse, facilitated by a
compliant media, allow Israel to lead the charge against Iran’s
supposed quest for nuclear weapons without even an
acknowledgement that in light of the overall realities the most
April 1 st - 1 5th
prudent and equitable approach would be for all states in the
region to unconditionally renounce their intention to acquire or
possess this infernal weaponry ofmass destruction.
But the situation is even more distressing than this shocking
embrace of double standards. The available evidence makes it
doubtful that Iran is even trying to become a nuclear weapons
state. This conclusion is supported by an apparent agreement of all
1 6 American intelligence agencies that share the view that a high
probability exists that Iran abandoned its nuclear weapons program
in 2003, and has not resumed it. This intelligence consensus
corresponds with the Iranian contention that it is not seeking to
acquire nuclear weapons.
The moves toward war against Iran have been amplified by
repeated threats of attack in violation of Article 2(4) of the UN
Charter, as well as by deliberately imposing punitive sanctions of
intensifying severity and by engaging in provocative destabilizing
intrusions on Iranian sovereignty taking the form of targeted
killings of nuclear scientists and the encouragement of anti-regime
violence.
Europe is a willing junior partner of the United States in this
post-colonial reassertion ofWestern interests in the oil-rich Middle
East, and thus complements its imperfect regional culture of peace
with a dangerous global culture ofwar and hegemony.
As might be expected, this kind of European role external to
Europe has sparked a variety of anti-European acts of violent
opposition. In turn, Europe has turned in an Islamophobic
direction, giving rise to anti-immigrant reactionary politics that are
mainly directed against Islamic minorities living within its midst,
to a reluctance to move down the road leading to Turkish
accession to EU membership, and to various restrictions of
religious freedom associated with the practice of religious Islamic
women such as wearing a headscarf or burka.
What is striking here is the dedication by the West to sustain
by relying on its military superiority the colonial hierarchy of
North/South relations in the post-colonial world order. The state
system has been universalized since 1945, but the countries of the
North, under American leadership, have continuously intervened
to promote Western interests at the cost ofmillions of lives, first as
an aspect of worldwide anti-Soviet and anti-Chinese geopolitics,
and more recently, to secure oil reserves and to counter Islamic
political moves to control national governance structures, as in
Afghanistan. The West no longer seeks to fly its flag over the
governmental buildings of non-Western countries, but is hungry as
ever for their resources, as well as to ensure receptivity to Western
foreign investment and trade interests.
Whether to slay the dragons of Communism or Islam, or to
satisfy the bloodthirsty appetites of liberal internationalists that
champion ‘humanitarian interventions,’ the dogs of war are still
howling in the West. The doctrinal masks of law and a UN
mandate obscure the realities of aggressive war making, but should
not be allowed to deceive those genuinely dedicated to a peaceful
and just world. For one thing, we should not be fooled by
belligerent governments relying on legitimizing imprimatur of the
Responsibility to Protect—R2P—norm, as in Libya or Syria, to
mount their military operations, while at the same time adhering to
a non-interventionary ethos when it comes to Gaza, Kashmir,
Chechnya, Kurdistan, Tibet).
Of course, consistency is not the whole story, but it does
penetrate the thick haze of geopolitical hypocrisy. More basic is
the renunciation of violent geopolitics and reliance for social and
political change on the dynamics of self-determination. Let us
appreciate that the biggest successes took place in the Arab Spring
where the uprisings were essentially non-violent and there was
minimal external interference, and the most dubious outcomes
have occurred where the anti-regime movement was violent and
received decisive military assistance from without.
Unfortunately, despite the complexities involved we cannot
count on the United Nations partly because the veto creates a
possibility to preclude appropriate responses (as in relation to
Israeli abuses of Palestinians) or its failure to be used due to
geopolitical pressures authorizes essentially unlawful warfare (as
in relation to the Libyan intervention where opponents abstained
rather than block military action). True, the UN can sometimes
withhold its certification for aggression, as it did in 2003 when it
rejected the American appeal for a mandate to invade and occupy
Iraq, but even then it stood aside when the aggression took place,
and even entered Iraq to take part in consolidating the outcome of
the unlawful attacks.
The UN can be useful in certain peacemaking and peace-
keeping settings, but when it comes to war prevention it has lost
credibility because it is tied too closely to the lingering dominance
ofWestern geopolitics.
These critical assessments highlight the need of persons
seeking peace and justice to work within and beyond the
established channels of institutional governance. And more
specifically, to take note of what Europe has achieved, and might
yet achieve, without overlooking past and present colonial and
colonialist wrongdoing. In this respect, we need both a UN that
becomes as detached as possible from its geopolitical minders and
a robust global Occupy Movement that works to provide the
peoples of the world with a democratic public order that protects
our lives and is respectful of nature’s limits. ■
7
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
China: The Frog and the ScorpionBy Conn M. Hallinan
05 April 2012
8
B ehind the political crisis that saw the recent fall of powerful
Communist Party leader Bo Xiali is an internal battle over how to
handle China’s slowing economy and growing income disparity,
while shifting from a cheap labor export driven model to one built
around internal consumption. Since China is the second largest
economy on the planet — and likely to become the first in the next
20 to 30 years — getting it wrong could have serious conse-
quences, from Beij ing to Brasilia, and from Washington to
Mumbai.
China’s current major economic challenges include a danger-
ous housing bubble, indebted local governments, and a widening
wealth gap; problems replicated in most of the major economies in
the world. Worldwide capitalism — despite China’s self-
description as “socialism with Chinese characteristics” — is in the
most severe crisis since the great crash of the 1930s.
The question is: can any country make a system with serious
built-in flaws function for all its people? While capitalism was the
first economic system to effectively harness the productive
capacity of humanity, it is also characterized by periodic crises,
vast inequities, and a self-destructive profit motive that lays waste
to everything from culture to the environment.
Can capitalism be made to work without smashing up the
landscape? China has already made enormous strides in using its
version of the system to lift hundreds of millions of people out of
poverty and create the most dynamic economy on the planet; no
small accomplishment in an enormous country with more than a
billion people. Over the past 30 years, China has gone from a poor,
largely rural nation to an economic juggernaut that has tripled
urban income and increased life expectancy by six years.
But trying to make a system like capitalism work for all is a
little like playing whack-a-mole.
For instance, China’s overbuilding has produced tens of
millions of empty apartments. “Ifwe blindly develop the housing
market [a] bubble will emerge in the sector. When it bursts more
than just the housing market will be affected, it will weigh on the
Chinese economy,” said China’s Premier, Wen Jiabao. And,
indeed, by controlling the banks — and thus credit and financing
— real estate prices have recently fallen in most mainland cities.
But since 1 3 percent of China’s Gross Domestic Product is
residential construction, a sharp drop in building will produce
unemployment at the very time that a new five-year plan (201 1 -
2015) projects down-shifting the economy from a 9 percent
growth rate to 7.5 percent.
What worries China’s leaders is that one of capitalism’s
engines of self-destruction — economic injustice and inequality —
is increasing. According to Li Shu, an economist at Beij ing
Normal University, from 1988 to 2007, the average income of the
top 12 percent went from 10 times the bottom 10 percent, to 23
April 1 st - 1 5th
times the bottom 10 percent. According to the Financial Times, it
is estimated that China’s richest 1 percent control 40 to 60 percent
of total household wealth.
Wealth disparity and economic injustice have fueled
“incidents,” ranging from industrial strikes to riots by farmers over
inadequate compensation for confiscated land. Endemic local
corruption feeds much of the anger.
The government is trying to address this issue by raising taxes
on the wealthy, lowering them on the poor, and including more
“poor” in a category that makes them eligible for subsidies. Wen
said last year that China aims to “basically eradicate poverty by
2020”. According to the United Nations, some 245 million
Chinese still live in extreme poverty.
be lost,” and that “such a historical tragedy as the Cultural
Revolution may happen again.”
Changing course in a country like China is akin to turning an
aircraft carrier: start a long time in advance and give yourself
plenty of sea room. If China is to shift its economy in the direction
of its potentially huge home market, it will have to improve the
lives of its citizens. Wages have gone up between 15 and 20
percent over the past two years and are scheduled to rise another
15 percent.
But social services will also have to be improved. Health
care, once free, has become a major burden for many Chinese, a
problem the government will have to address.
There are some in the Chinese government whose definition
of “reform” is ending government involvement in the economy
and shifting to a wide-open free market system. It is not clear that
the bulk of China’s people would support such a move. All they
have to do is look around them to the see the wreckage such an
economic model inflicts in other parts of the world.
Can capitalism work without all the collateral damage? Karl
Marx, the system’s great critic, thought it could not. Can China
figure out a way to overcome its system’s flaws, or is this the tale
of the frog and the scorpion?
The scorpion asked the frog to ferry it across a river, but the
frog feared the scorpion would sting him. The scorpion protested:
“If I sting you, than I die as well.” So the frog put the scorpion on
his back and began to swim. When he reached mid-stream, the
scorpion stung him. The dying frog asked “Why?” and the
scorpion replied, “Because it is my nature.”
Can China swim the scorpion across the river and avoid the
sting? Stay tuned. ■
9
Tiananmen has considerable relevance inthe current situation, since the main
demands ofthe demonstrators were notdemocracy but an end to corruption and
high food prices
Beij ing has also reined in the sale of land by local
municipalities. But since the major way that cities and provinces
generate money is through land sales, this has made it difficult for
local areas to pay off their debts, maintain their infrastructures, and
provide services.
Whack one mole, up pops another.
There is a growing willingness by the average Chinese citizen
to confront problems like pollution, corruption, and even nuclear
power. Part of the current debate in the Communist Party
leadership is over how to respond to such increased political
activity. Bo had a reputation as a “populist” and campaigned
against economic injustice and corruption. But he was also
opposed to revisiting the issue of Tiananmen Square, where, in
1989, the People’s Liberation Army fired on demonstrators.
Tiananmen has considerable relevance in the current situation,
since the main demands of the demonstrators were not democracy
but an end to corruption and high food prices. It is no accident that
when food prices began rising two years ago the government
moved to cut inflation from 6.5 percent to 3.2 percent this past
February.
While the government generally responds to demonstrations
with crackdowns the policy has somewhat moderated over the past
year. When farmers ran local leaders and Communist Party
officials out of the town ofWutan, the provincial government sent
in negotiators, not police. Anti-pollution protests forced authorities
to shut down several factories. At the same time, the government
has tightened its grip on the Internet, still arrests people at will,
and is not shy about resorting to force.
It is clear the possibility of major political upheaval worries
the current leadership and explains why Premier Wen recently
called up the furies of the past. The current economic growth is
“unbalanced and unsustainable” he said. “Without successful
political structural reform, it is impossible for us to fully institute
economic structural reform and the gain we made in this area may
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
When the Hungarian Communist
regime fell in 1989, the transition
occurred rather smoothly. The transition
to democracy had been encouraged by
political parties such as the Christian
Nationalist Party and the Hungarian
Democratic Forum.
Hungary did not witness the same
amount of violence that has followed
dramatic shifts in governance like in
Romania, at the time, or Iraq, in the early
part of the last decade, or in Libya, this
decade. A gradual transformation to full
democracy was planned and executed.
The main proponent supporting the
move to a social democracy was Viktor
Orbán. Orbán, then only 26, who
demanded that Soviet troops withdraw
and free and fair elections be held. Flash
forward to April 2010 when Orbán’s
conservative party, Fidesz, won a
supermajority, commandeering two-thirds
of the parliamentary seats, as well as
making Orbán Prime Minister.
Since that time the fears of a return to
an authoritarian rule have risen under the
watch ofOrbán’s government.
Recently, Orbán has led an effort to
change Hungary’s constitution and
institute curbs on free speech and the
media. There is also a lurking suspicion
among many that Orbán’s agenda
includes staying on as prime minister.
Hugo Chavez as the most authoritarian-styled elected leader in the 27-nation European
Union.”
“Most visible was his media law, which places all Hungarian broadcasters and
newspapers under the thumb of a watchdog panel ofFidesz supporters with the power to
police newspapers’ pages for ‘balance’ and fine them…That law led to furious
denunciations in the European Parliament last week, and worries that Hungary was
leading a Central European turn to authoritarianism.”
This has created a dispute with the European Union and the International Monetary
Fund, not to mention condemnation from the United States.
Orbán’s efforts to role back freedom of the press and free speech, as well as curtailing
civil liberties, has some wondering whether Hungary, under the stewardship of Viktor
Orbán, is becoming an authoritarian state along the lines of Russia under soon to be
president, Vladimir Putin, or Belarus under Alexander Lukashenko.
While objecting, the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the United
States must work on a unified solution that will not provoke Viktor Orbán’s government
into non-cooperation. The EU and others must walk a very fine line in order to avoid
forcing Orbán into a corner.
In early 201 1 , Orban, then acting president of the EU, defended Hungary’s media law.
The media law essentially placed broadcasters and print media under the supervision of an
oversight panel run by Fidesz supporters and will, if newspapers or media outlets are found
errant of the law, fine them accordingly and they could possibly find their licenses revoked.
“His (Orbán’s) parliament passed a set oflaws governing the media…A new, state-run
media council, composed entirely ofFidesz appointees, now has the right to impose fines of
up to $1 million for journalism it considers ‘unbalanced,” Anne Applebaum writes in the
Washington Post.
The media law was quickly followed by Orbán’s continued defiance of EU’s member-
ship laws, when he appointed a third-central bank vice-governor and allowed his Monetary
Council to set interest rates. The new law also states that the central bank can merge with
the state financial regulator and demote the central-bank governor at his discretion.
This amounts simply to the complete takeover of the state by the banking sector. On
top of all of this, adjustments were made in the judicial system that excludes checks and
balances on the system and a new-flat tax law also came into effect. All of these changes
created an atmosphere where all three branches and the banking sector are under the control
10
Hungary’s Sovereignty StruggleBy Daniel Donovan
06 April 2012
All ofthese changescreated an atmospherewhere all three branchesand the banking sector areunder the control ofoneparty and subsequently, oneman, Viktor Orbán
The Globe and Mail’s Doug Saunders
writes: “Across Europe, leaders have
been reacting with alarm to a man who
has used this huge surge of popularity to
impose an assertive, intensely
nationalistic style ofpolitics. It marks the
latest stage in his startling journey –
long-haired, anti-communist libertine in
the 1980s; democracy-movement hero in
1989; increasingly conservative leader in
the 1990s; and today, a figure likened to
Russia’s Vladimir Putin and Venezuela’s
April 1 st - 1 5th
of one party and subsequently, one man, Viktor Orbán.
When these regulations were enacted into law, the threat from
the European Commission and the IMF were clear: reform or lose
financial assistance.
Recently, Orbán, knowing that Hungary’s reeling economy
desperately needed further funding, told the European Commission
and IMF officials that he would discuss amending the laws in
order to remain in compliance with any EU regulations.
However, anywhere from 100,000 to 400,000 Fidesz
supporters took to the streets in protest of the European
Commission and IMF restrictions.
Due to Viktor Orbán’s popularity, the EU needs to be careful
in insisting that all of these laws be amended. Although, ultimately
the EU has significant powers, especially in the financial sector, it
would have a daunting, if not impossible task, of expelling
Hungary as a member state.
Moreover, this seems extremely unlikely due to the fragile
state of several Eurozone countries; namely, Greece, Portugal,
Italy and Spain; and EU minister’s desires to keep the fiscal union
intact.
Because of the newly ratified Lisbon Treaty, if the circum-
stance were to arise where Hungary claimed that the situation has
changed enough since they originally became a member, they
could technically withdraw. This scenario is unlikely. Therefore,
compromise will remain the most likely solution.
However, the EU needs to examine its authority in forcing a
massive overhaul of any new laws in Hungary. First, both Orbán
and his Fidesz party were elected in what was deemed free and fair
elections. Second, public support for Orbán’s government
becomes problematic when attempting to control a nation, which
legally, the European Commission only possesses partial
sovereignty over.
The public protests in Budapest prompts the question: are
these laws what the people want? If this is true, as it appears to be,
then minor changes and cautious negotiation must be utilized to
avoid ostracizing an entire nation, or worse, having them reject
compromise.
Considering the role of social media and mass protests that
have ruptured in several European states, European Union officials
are wary of forcing change on another European state.
The EU needs to consider its options before taking a hard
stance against Orbán’s government. Change and a return to a more
democratic ideological political system should be encouraged, but
not at the expense of the will of the people, the foundation on
which democracy is founded. ■
1 1
Russia Unlikely toSee Reforms
PostMedvedevBy Rashad Aliyev
09 April 2012
There is a Russian proverb – “Не пеняй на зеркало, коли
рожа крива” – which loosely translates as: “Don’t blame the
mirror for your ugly face”. Ironically, Russia’s ruling elite are not
blaming themselves for the shortcomings of the, so-called, Putin-
Medvedev tandem.
Two recent developments in particular have prompted this
dilemma within the elite class. First, in mid-March President
Medvedev’s Chief of Staff, Sergei Ivanov, voiced his mistrust in
various country rankings prepared by international organizations,
such as Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index
which placed Russia at 143rd – along with Belarus, Nigeria and
Azerbaijan – among 183 countries. He spoke of the need to create
Russia’s own corruption ranking.
Then came the Times Higher Education World Reputation
Rankings “Top 100 Universities by Reputation” for 2012, where
not a single Russian university made it to the top 100. Two days
after Mr. Ivanov’s statement, Russia’s Education Minister, Andrei
Fursenko, promptly announced, in response, that Russia will create
its own “international and universally recognized” university
reputation ranking system, which would rival the Times’ rankings.
Fursenko was in fact reiterating an almost forgotten statement
made by Vladimir Putin in February 201 1 regarding the “need to
be very cautious about standings, and work out a self-made
objective method ofevaluating the quality ofeducation.”
Authorities have made similar complaints in several resource-
rich former Soviet republics, namely Turkmenistan and
Azerbaijan.
On the democratization and human rights fronts, various
international organizations; such as Human Rights Watch,
Amnesty International and Freedom House; have, for years,
opined on the subject of systemic impediments to the development
of a well-functioning Russian society.
Nonetheless, it is not just the outside world that points out
these flaws. The wave of protests that followed the parliamentary
election last December is indicative of trouble for the Kremlin’s
rule, which can’t be ignored. In the realm of science and
education, Russian scientists at home and abroad have long
warned of systemic risks.
Therefore, it shouldn’t come as a surprise to authorities that
universities in Russia are lagging in world rankings, because the
academic community, which is supposed to educate future
generations, is fleeing Russia to countries that can offer a better
quality of life and better career opportunities.
In an interview with the New York Times, Times’ editor Phil
Baty attributed the poor performance of Russian universities to the
lack of investments, the low number of English-language
academic publications in Russia, compared to other countries, as
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
well as the country’s ‘brain-drain’ . The brain-drain phenomenon is
triggered by several factors. Scientists and researchers have a
tendency to leave their home country, mainly due to instability or
stagnation caused by political and socio-economic problems, and,
when they do leave, higher education and scientific research
suffers the biggest blow, as they are deprived of the best minds the
country has to offer.
1 2
This order has come at the cost oftransforming Russia into a society wherepolitical and economic competition andaccess to resources is restricted to membersofthe dominant coalition and their client
networks
Russia has experienced several waves of brain-drain with the
last one occurring in the early ‘90s when a massive wave of
scientists left Russia for the U.S., Israel, and Europe, primarily due
to political and economic instability in the aftermath of the Soviet
Union’s collapse. The roots of present day outflows seem to be
systemic despite Russia’s relatively good economy in addition to
oil revenues that have helped Russia cushion the shock of 2008
global economic crisis.
In the political arena, the Kremlin claims to have built a stable
political order. This order has come at the cost of transforming
Russia into a society where political and economic competition
and access to resources is restricted to members of the dominant
coalition and their client networks. It is precisely this manipulation
of the economic system by the political elites and the rent-seeking
schemes (graft) that have been skillfully put in place in all sectors,
including in education and research, which stifles all aspects of life
in Russia.
Similar trends are seen in other resource-rich countries of the
former USSR; such as Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan;
which have followed the Kremlin’s policies and suffered from
popular discontent with the existing political and economic
regimes, based on state-capitalism. The seeming political stability
in these countries is based on a system of patronage networks run
by various high-ranking government officials, which perpetuates
the corruption and bureaucratic red tape of the Soviet era in
virtually all areas – from healthcare and the issuance of building
permits to education institutions – making it extremely difficult to
become an honest public servant, run a legitimate business, or
even pursue a successful scientific career, without first joining the
ruling party, praising the “savior of the nation”, or exercising self-
censorship.
Those in the patronage networks carve out advantages for
themselves at the expense of the rest of society, science, and
education.
Talks are in the works by Russian authorities of pouring
billions into science and education in an effort to stem the brain
drain. One such effort was an ambitious science and technology
project in Skolkovo, dubbed Russia’s Silicon Valley, in order to
attract scientists at home and from abroad and possibly reverse the
brain-drain.
But in an embarrassing development, two notable Russian
physicists – Andre Geim and Konstantin Novoselov, who both live
and work in the U.K. and who won a Nobel Prize in late 2010 –
turned down an invitation by the head of the international
cooperation department of the Skolkovo Fund to join the project
and work in Skolkovo. Geim. They denounced the Skolkovo
project as “surrealism” stating: “You must have all gone mad over
there, ifyou think that for a sack ofgold you can invite anyone”.
April 1 st - 1 5th
Both physicists attributed their refusal to return to the
ingrained corruption and bureaucracy, as well as the lack of
resources that would pose a serious barrier to any successful
research work in Russia.
The spillover effects of the patronage system for an ordinary
non-sycophantic scientist are the lack of academic and research
independence, limited freedoms, limited career prospects, poor
education and health services for their children, as well as a low
overall quality of life.
In an opinion poll conducted by the Levada Center in 201 1 ,
these factors were cited among the main reasons why the young
and well-educated opt to leave Russia. The results of this survey
revealed that 22 percent of Russia’s adult population would prefer
to leave the country for good, a threefold increase from 2007; only
7 percent of the population wanted to leave despite the rise in
living standards during this period.
This, by far, was the largest increase in the number of
frustrated citizens in Russia since the fall of the Soviet Union,
when only 18 percent of the population said they wanted to leave
the country in 1991 . Similarly, over 50 percent of entrepreneurs
expressed their desire to leave Russia. But most importantly, those
considering this option are not the poor and uneducated. The
disgruntled citizens are the educated middle class, which includes
entrepreneurs and students.
Critics believe that real change in Russia and other resource-
rich states of the FSU can only occur if the ruling elites ease their
grip on the economy and open up political and economic space to
genuine competition, build and strengthen an independent
judiciary and other state institutions, while, at the same time,
combating corruption and bureaucracy.
Until then, when the authorities aren’t pleased with the way
they are seen from abroad or at home, they should take a long,
hard look in the mirror. ■
incident with the audience. It was a troubling case of a subordinate
to Bo Xilai trying to, we can only assume, gain asylum, or to
create a layer of security for himself or his family by passing on
information to a higher power being that of the Americans. The
Chinese may be careful to save face and thus the Americans now
hold some cards as to the real events going on within the Party.
While this has been deemed a treacherous activity by the Chinese
media it was actually a very clever attempt by Wang. It remains to
be seen if he will actually have a lesser fate, but what is clear is
that he obviously did this because he felt he had exhausted all
other channels available to him. And for unknown reasons, this
was the time when he felt that he could no longer continue on the
same path.
Most readers of the daily news in the United States, Europe
and elsewhere may have some understanding of the politics in
China and its one-party system, but the various depth and the
specific pathway to leadership is far more opaque and requires
more careful study. There are no real elections to be held or for
that matter any kind of open campaigning to be done that can
really be picked up on the western media. On the whole the Party
is portrayed as a monolithic entity that has deep control over most
facets in society.
1 3
The Tailor of…Chongqing?Chinese Political Thriller Fit for Hollywood
By Tristan McInnis
09 April 2012
The story of Wang Lijun’s supposed asylum request at the
American Embassy in Chongqing, the ousting of Bo Xilai in a
major denouncement by China’s Premier, the intrigue over the
mysterious circumstances of Bo family friend Neil Haywood’s
death and speedy cremation, the rumors of an attempted coup and
gunfire being heard in the Chinese capital Beij ing, it all sounds a
bit like a John le Carré spy thriller. We’ve got Chinese
Communists, American Consulates, a failed defection, a
questionable death, a leadership power struggle…it is the perfect
plot.
No wonder there has been such a media firestorm surrounding
the affair.
The Wang Lijun story while it was intriguing, as a potential
diplomatic catastrophe, really didn’t connect the severity of the
After Bo Xilai was dismissed from his post as head of
Chongqing we see even more clues emerge as to the nature of his
departure. Some have argued that it was his personal style of
politics that was the cause. If you read China’s premier, Wen
Jiabao’s statements carefully, you see that he was speaking out
against Bo for raising the rhetoric of the troubled past of the
Cultural Revolution that he considers a dark period. Others write
of this victory of Bo by Wen as a kind of payback for past deeds
during the Tiananmen days that saw Hu Yaobang’s faction facing
up against Bo Xilai’s father and other hard-line anti-reformers.
Neil Haywood’s death has shifted the attention of the western
media and is seen as a way of captivating audiences to the level of
intrigue that allows them to connect with power struggles in the
high-stakes game ofChinese politics.
There have been countless ruminations in both the Chinese
and foreign media from the fallout of Bo Xilai since he was ousted
on March 15 during the “two meetings” or “Lianghui”, the annual
session of the National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese
People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC).
Many hold that this was really about the differences in
leadership style between Bo, a Princeling touting the Chongqing
model and his own kind of fiery politics, not seen since the
Cultural Revolution era, and the more practical and pragmatic
leadership of figures such as Wen.
The dust has settled somewhat and it is still unclear what
With the rise ofthe new generation ofPrincelings, it seems the old rivalries andbitterness ofParty infighting have notdisappeared but are merely hiding behindChina’s new face ofglimmering officetowers and extravagant conferences
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
fate lies ahead for Bo Xilai and Wang Lijun. Whether the
corruption case will be lifted against Bo Xilai or for whatever
grounds they may have for his dismissal to justify to the public,
from whom his support in Chongqing is still quite strong.
It then must be said that politics in China is very much rooted
in history. With the rise of the new generation of Princelings, it
seems the old rivalries and bitterness of Party infighting have not
disappeared but are merely hiding behind China’s new face of
glimmering office towers and extravagant conferences. The old
face ofChina’s politics never really left.
The fight over what to do next with reform is taking hold
because there is a feeling of stagnation in the reform process. They
have yet to tackle rising income inequality, the high levels of
corruption, and environmental degradation that have been
associated with their steady climb in GDP growth.
China’s leadership transition will take place this October; with
the top job all but assured to Xi Jinping, but his plan for taking
China forward remains unclear. Social stability will remain his top
priority, how he will achieve this in the context of the reforms
remains to be seen.
For now though, the political thriller that has become the
Chongqing saga will continue to unfold as those who were most
connected to Bo will seek to save their own careers. ■
becoming the “largest economy in Latin America after Brazil and
Mexico” is spurred on by their estimates, which show that the
Colombian economy grew by 7.7 percent in the third quarter of
201 1 .
The economic forecast is equally encouraging with IMF
estimates that the Colombian economy will continue to grow by
4.5 percent between 2012 and 2015.
1 4
The Promise of ColombiaBy Michael W. Edghill
10 April 2012
While much of the globe has been mired in an economic
malaise, the simultaneous growth of Latin America has been well
chronicled. Most of the attention given to Latin America’s rise has
focused on Brazil, which recently surpassed Great Britain to
become the world’s sixth largest economy. The attention has been
justified given Brazil’s remarkable turnaround, its economic
growth, potential growth, and forthcoming global spotlight by way
of the 2014 World Cup and 2016 Summer Olympics. Overlooked
by many, when examining the opportunities for growth that exist
in Latin America, is the promise ofColombia.
In January, Colombia’s Minister of Trade, Industry, and
Tourism, Sergio Diaz Granados, said that his nation seeks to be the
third largest Latin American economy by 2015. The goal of
Colombia’s economic reforms regarding oiland gas “could be considered a model forenergy management in the region”
Reasons for this growth are numerous and at least partly due
to the fact that Colombia, like many of its Latin American
neighbors, was never as fully integrated into the global economy
before the worldwide recession. Some of the economic promise for
Colombia must be credited to the government’s aggressive work at
nurturing trade relationships regionally and internationally. The
previous government and the current Santos government have
overseen the renegotiation of trade agreements regionally,
including agreements with Venezuela, a neighbor with whom
Colombia has a relationship perpetually tumultuous yet potentially
beneficial.
More broad international trade agreements have been made
with eyes towards the Pacific and towards Europe. There is also
the recently agreed to Free Trade Agreement with the world’s
largest consumer, the United States.
The growing relationship with the United States is one that
has been slow to develop but goes well beyond mere free trade. In
a statement regarding the Free Trade Agreement, Chair of the
House Foreign Affairs Committee, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen said,
“Colombia has served as a strong ally in the region” to combat
drug trafficking.
Implemented in the 1990s, the Plan Colombia was a
significant achievement in proving how a sovereign Latin
American state could collaborate with the US to combat narcotics
cartels and improve their own internal security. The Plan
Colombia was not a ‘cure all’ as highlighted by a collaborative
201 1 report released by the Latin America Working Group, the
Washington Office on Latin America, and the Center for
International Policy.
While there has been great progress made since that time,
April 1 st - 1 5th
certain troubling elements of the program’s implementation,
combined with the fact that Colombia still produces more cocaine
can anywhere else in the world, must be addressed if Colombia is
to take the next step that it desires.
Another key component to Colombia’s growth is “Colombia’s
Energy Renaissance”, termed as such by a 2010 report by the
Americas Society/Council of the Americas.
In it, the report suggests that Colombia’s economic reforms
regarding oil and gas “could be considered a model for energy
management in the region.” This model of efficiency and
investment attraction stand in stark contrast to the decline in both
areas that has been witnessed in Venezuela’s PDVSA under the
influence of Hugo Chavez. Colombia’s energy sector saw oil
exports to the US increase by about 66 percent in 201 1 , placing
Colombia as the 7th largest oil supplier to the United States.
But the promise of being a great country involves more than
just improving security and growing the economy. The great
nations of the world assume leadership roles regionally.
Colombia’s President Juan Manuel Santos appears to be
embracing this role as his country tries to become a Latin
American leader. Recently it was Santos who, ahead of the
Summit of the Americas to be held in Cartagena, served as a
mediator between Cuba and the other attendees of the Summit.
While having never been included in any of the previous Summits,
Cuba’s allies in ALBA have threatened to boycott this Summit of
the Americas if Cuba is not in attendance. Santos personally flew
to Cuba to try and create an amicable resolution to this political
stalemate.
These are the actions of a leader who has great hope for the
future of Colombia. Long ago, Simon Bolivar proclaimed a vision,
albeit in a slightly different context, for a Gran Colombia.
Colombians themselves are starting to recognize the progress
made and potential that exists in their country. It is time that others
in the world begin to pay attention to the promise ofColombia. ■
Lessons Hidden in AfghanistanBy Cpt. Kent Eiler
10 April 2012
1 5
What should be striking about the reported news out of Afghanistan lately is the
extent to which the headlines have been about tragic, non-military events. Korans were
defaced and a U.S. service member is suspected ofmurdering seventeen Afghan civilians.
These acts have both had a profound, negative impact on U.S.-Afghan relations and, by
extension, have put our troops and our mission in Afghanistan in greater jeopardy.
But what is today’s mission? To what extent is there still a military mission in
Afghanistan? How do we distinguish a military mission from a political mission more than
ten years into the post-9/1 1 global world? As a service to our men and women who
volunteer to defend us we ought to answer these questions.
Militaries, throughout history and around the world, are designed to fight wars. That is
what they do. It is their design. A military such as ours, under civilian control, follows the
orders of its civilian leadership. It is appropriate to reexamine political and military
missions periodically, particularly as the
percentage of Americans who have
served in the military decreases, and
fewer citizens are familiar with our
military and its capabilities.
A “stronger” military is simply one
that wages war more effectively than its
weaker opponent. Wars entail military
engagements, military casualties, and the
capturing of territory. These are some of
the indicia of military objectives. What
should be striking about the tragic
headlines out ofAfghanistan lately is they
deal with none of those indices of
military objectives. News headlines out of
Afghanistan haven’t been about those
indices in years. The fact that the recent
headlines have been dominating the news
cycle is further evidence that the mission
in Afghanistan is no longer military in
nature but rather political.
The views expressed in this piece are solely those ofthe author in his personal capacity and do not reflect the
official policy or position ofany military service, the Department ofDefense, or the U.S. Government.
Discerning when a military mission
exists, as opposed to a political mission,
in the post-cold war era, is extremely
difficult but also extremely important. It
is complicated as war itself is motivated
by politics. Colin Powell has famously
said “War should be the politics of last
resort.” The fact that it is difficult today
to determine when a military mission
exists as opposed to a political one,
shouldn’t cause the U.S. to isolate when
instead we should act. What is required is
diligent, thoughtful analysis about the
resultant political mission when
considering embarkation on a military
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
one.
Time after time, history has shown that militaries have a
difficult, if not impossible time executing political missions. When
foreign militaries attempt to achieve a political mission they
necessarily transition from a force projecting military power into
an occupying force. We have to look no further than our own
history in the United States.
Reconstruction in the south following the Civil War
demonstrates the difficulty inherent when militaries take on a
political mission. Given both the broad, justified, public support
today for our men and women in the military and the can-do
attitude of those men and women as they approach their duties, it
can be tempting, even amongst senior military leaders, to assign
roles to our military outside its core competencies.
Militaries are exceptionally good both at destroying things
(people and places) and threatening to destroy things. In Bosnia,
the threat of annihilation kept local militias in check and stopped
the genocide there. Bosnia was and still is a place where there
exists a clear military objective – keep the peace by threatening to
destroy anyone who would disturb it. In Rwanda, the military
objective of keeping the peace was within the capability of the
U.S. military. President Clinton has said his failure to deploy
troops to stop the genocide there is without question his biggest
regret from his time as President. The list continues. In Libya last
year the United States completed its military mission.
Over the last decade, in both Afghanistan and in Iraq, we
have asked our military at times to do its best to backfill, i.e.
nation-build. In Iraq, some advocates of military intervention
suggested the U.S. could anticipate military success along the lines
of its policy successes in Germany and Japan following World
War II. In making such comparisons, either these advocates
cynically knew that significant, non-military assets would be
needed in the post-war environment and failed to appropriate the
resources as required or, as is more likely the case, they made the
mistake, as many often do, of failing to understand and distinguish
the military campaign ofWorld War II and the political campaign,
the Marshall Plan, which followed.
With the Marshall Plan, the U.S. spent what would be, in
today’s dollars, over 100 billion dollars in aid to Western Europe.
It was the brain-child of the State Department. The Marshall Plan
enabled Western European societies to rebuild. U.S. troops came
home. They didn’t manage Western Europe’s recovery nor were
they expected to. Only a small fraction of U.S. troops remained in
Europe after the war and assumed defensive postures for the
purposes of the Cold War. By stark contrast, today there are over
five times as many U.S. troops in Afghanistan as there were at the
height of military operations in 2001 . The U.S. achieved a huge
political victory with the Marshall Plan, vital to our country’s
interests at the time, when it provided the Europeans themselves
with the money and means to rebuild their society.
Notably, there haven’t been calls for a comparable plan in
Afghanistan for a number of reasons. The Marshall Plan, as big of
a political victory as it was, shouldn’t be confused with the
military victory that the Allies achieved during World War II.
Afghanistan poses a tremendous challenge today. After a decisive,
quick military victory in late 2001 , we have spent over the ten
years since trying to achieve a political victory as decisive in turn.
Over this last decade in Afghanistan our troops have sacrificed
tremendously and served as mentors, engineers, urban planners
and doctors to name but a few roles. Our troops have helped build
schools for young Afghan girls to allow them to get a formal
education for the first time. They have protected refugees.
Whether these changes are adopted by the Afghan people remain
to be seen and recent headlines cast doubt. For their part, our
troops have served proudly with great distinction because we
asked them to.
The selflessness with which they accept their missions and
their willingness to sacrifice, means we owe it to them to
determine, first, whether we are seeking a military or a political
victory and then to allocate the appropriate resources. By better
distinguishing when we are faced with a military mission, as
opposed to a political one, we will do a more effective job of
winning both. ■
16
History has shown we typically do ourselvesno favors when we try and have our military
backfill
There remains some debate as to whether the political mission
of the United States was furthered by its military campaign in
Libya. Syria poses another instance where the United States could
choose to engage in a military mission, its military being far
superior to that of Syria’s, but, to date, for a number of reasons,
has elected not to do so. As in Libya’s case, there exists a wide
range of opinions about whether the U.S. should engage militarily
in Syria.
Military objectives can be as simple as providing airlift
support. The U.S. Air Force is exceptionally good at providing
airlift support whether the cargo be tanks or, as at was in Berlin in
1948, or in Haiti after the earthquake disaster, pallets of food and
supplies. So what isn’t a military objective? Nation-building is one
example. Nation-building doesn’t require destroying things or
threatening to destroy things. Building schools, winning hearts and
minds, building trust in a society are all things that the United
States should support, but they aren’t things a military is trained to
do as its core competency.
The U.S. has executive agencies dedicated to these vital tasks
such as the State Department, the Millennium Challenge
Corporation, the United States Agency for International
Development, and the Peace Corps. These agencies receive a small
portion of the federal government’s budget compared to the
defense budget, but history has shown we typically do ourselves
no favors when we try and have our military backfill.
April 1 st - 1 5th
The Logic of UnintendedConsequencesThe ‘Mess in Mali’By Ramzy Baroud
11 April 2012
17
to the messy colonial legacy inherited from colonial powers, and Mali is no exception.
It is perhaps too early to talk about winners and losers in the Mali fiasco, which was
triggered on March 22 by a military coup led by army captain Amadou Sanogo. The coup
created political space for the Tuaregs’ National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad
(MNLA) to declare independence in the north, merely two weeks later.
The declaration was the culmination of quick military victories by MNLA and its
militant allies, which led to the capture of Gao and other major towns. These successive
developments further emboldened Islamic and other militant groups to seize cities across
the country and hold them hostage to their ideological and other agendas.
Ansar al-Din, for example, had reportedly worked in tandem with the MNLA, but
declared a war “against independence” and “for Islam” as soon as it secured its control
over Timbuktu. More groups and more arms are now pouring through the ever-porous
borders with Mauritania, Algeria and Niger.
Al-Tawhid wa al-Jihad, along with al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) are now
making their moves across Mali. New alliances are being formed and new emirates are
being declared, making Mali a potential stage for numerous permanent conflicts.
Speaking to the Guardian, former UN regional envoy Robert Fowler railed against
NATO: “Whatever the motivation ofthe principal �ATO belligerents [in ousting Gadaffi],
the law ofunintended consequences is exacting a heavy toll in Mali today and will continue
to do so throughout the Sahel as the vast store ofLibyan weapons spreads across this, one
ofthe most unstable regions ofthe world.”
Considering that the inevitability of post-Libya destabilisation was obvious to so many
from the start, why the insistence on referencing a “law of unintended consequences”?
Even “chaos” has its own logic. For several years, and especially since the
establishment of the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) in 2008, much
international meddling has taken place in various parts ofAfrica.
Writing in Foreign Policy magazine, Gregory Mann tried to undermine the fact that
Sanogo “had American military training, and briefly affected a US Marine Corps lapel
pin.” He said that these details “are surely less important than the stunning fact that a
decade of American investment in special forces training, co-operation between Sahalien
armies and the United States and counter-terrorism programmes ofall sorts run by both the
State Department and the Pentagon has, at best, failed to prevent a new disaster in the
desert and, at worst, sowed its seeds.”
The details are hardly “less important,” considering that Sanogo called for international
military intervention against the newly declared Tuareg republic, referencing Afghanistan
as a model.
True, regional African countries and international institutions have strongly objected to
both the military coup in the capital Bamako and the declaration of independence by the
The intentional misreading of UN
Security Council Resolution 1973
resulted in NATO’s predictably violent
Operation Odyssey in Libya last year.
Not only did the action cost many
thousands of lives and untold destruction,
it also paved the way for perpetual
conflict – not only in Libya but
throughout North Africa.
Mali was the first major victim of
NATO’s Libyan intervention. It is now a
staple in world news and headlines such
as “The mess in Mali” serve as a mere
reminder of a bigger “African mess.”
On March 17 of last year, Resolution
1973 resolved to establish a no-fly zone
over Libya. By March 19, NATO’s
bombers began scorching Libyan land,
supposedly to prevent a massacre of
civilians.
The next day, an ad-hoc high-level
African Union panel on Libya met in
Nouakchott, the capital of Mauritania,
and made one last desperate call to bring
NATO’s war to an immediate halt. It
stated: “Our desire is that Libya’s unity
and territorial integrity be respected as
well as the rejection of any kind of
foreign military intervention.”
It is difficult to believe thatdespite years ofUS-Frenchinvolvement in Mali and thesurrounding region, the
bedlam wasn’t predictable
The African Union (AU) is seldom
considered a viable political player by the
UN, NATO, or any interventionist
Western power, but AU members were
fully aware that NATO was unconcerned
with human rights or the well-being of
African nations. They also knew that
instability in one African country can lead
to major instabilities throughout the
region.
Various North African countries are
glued together by a delicate balance, due
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
Tuaregs in the north, but that may prove irrelevant after all.
The Azawad succession appears permanent and the US,
although it suspended part of the aid to Mali following the junta’s
takeover, has not severed all ties with Sanogo. After all, he too
claims to be fighting al-Qaida and its allies.
It is difficult to believe that despite years of US-French
involvement in Mali and the surrounding region, the bedlam
wasn’t predictable. The US position regarding the coup was
precarious.
“The Obama administration has not yet made a formal
decision as to whether a military coup has taken place in Mali,”
wrote John Glaster in AntiWar.com. According to US military
definitions, this is still a “mutiny, not a ‘coup’” and US army
personnel – referred to as “advisory troops” – were in fact
dispatched to Bamako after March 22, according to Africom
spokeswoman Nicole Dalrymple.
What is clear is that the “mess in Mali” might be an
opportunity for another intervention, which mainstream media
sources are already rationalising.
A Washington Post editorial on April 5 counselled: “NATO
partners should perceive a moral obligation, as well as a tangible
national security interest, in restoring Mali’s previous order. The
West should not allow its intervention in Libya to lead to the
destruction of democracy – and entrenchment of Islamic militants
– in a neighbouring state.”
Unintended consequences? Hardly. ■
18
greater nuclear transparency to more
stringent restrictions on its enrichment
activities – to reverse the economic siege
that is bringing the country close to the
edge? Is she going to use the talks as a
delaying tactic or will she finally strike a
mutually-acceptable deal with the West?
From the perspective of the Iranian
leadership, with sanctions beginning to
squeeze the Iranian economy – atop
intensifying threats of military invasion
and growing Western naval presence in
the Persian Gulf – the nuclear impasse is
worryingly morphing into a question of
regime survival.
Sure, the regime has significant
resources – both financial and military –
as its disposal to head-off growing
Why Iran WillCompromise This Time
By Richard Javad Heydarian
12 April 2012international isolation, and pursue its nuclear program, but growing external pressure can
affect the very foundation of Iran’s trillion-dollar industrializing economy. Moreover,
growing economic uncertainty – compounding decades-long structural economic challenges
– could also impact the country’s very social cohesion, amidst lingering discontent among
certain quarters of the population.
This is precisely why this time could be different, and there are no shortages of
diplomatic overtures on the part of Iran, signaling Tehran’s interest in resolving the crisis.
If there is one thing that is consistent with the Islamic Republic of Iran, it is her
undying instinct for self-preservation. Moreover, the Iranian regime is anything but
monolithic: even within the upper echelons of the politico-military leadership, pragmatic
forces have always sought to prevent any crisis or conflict, which would endanger the
country’s territorial integrity. After all, the 1979 Iranian Revolution was nationalistic: its
A s we inch closer to the crucial
nuclear talks between Iran and the world
powers, the so-called P5+1, the
primordial question is whether this time
will be different: Is Tehran willing to
make necessary compromises – from
April 1 st - 1 5th
founding principles emphasized Iran’s territorial integrity and
independence.
The Iranian regime is often characterized as a fundamentalist
revisionist power, whose legitimacy – and very identity – is
anchored on continued opposition to the West, especially Israel
and the U.S. Its rationality is often questioned on the grounds that
its core leadership is composed of messianic individuals, who
don’t conform to the logic of survival and self-preservation. Some
commentators – from American neo-conservatives to Israeli
politicians – go as far as saying that she is willing to pursue her
radical ideals – from the creation of a regional Islamic order to the
destruction of Israel – even if it means self-abnegation. After all,
she has purportedly endured three decades of sanctions and
international isolation to stay true to her political beliefs and
pursue her revolutionary principles. Following this line of
argumentation, if the regime secures her grip on a nuclear device,
or even a ‘break-out’ capacity, she will not hesitate to use it as
means to pursue radical ends.
By any measure, the Iranian regime is peculiar. On the issue
of foreign policy, the Islamic Constitution describes a state that is
bound by an internationalist-idealist Islamic doctrine. Contrary to
the universal trend, there is no mention of the concept of ‘national
interest’ – requiring a pragmatic and rational foreign policy –in the
constitution, but instead articles 1 1 , 1 52, and 154 describe a state
that should pursue a much more revolutionary objective: the unity
of the Islamic World (Umma) and the protection of the oppressed
(Mostaza’fin) against tyrants (Mostakberin). In this sense, the
Iranian constitution prescribes a foreign policy that is found on an
essentially internationalist Islamic charter.
and self-restraint.
Faced with the prospect of external invasion and territorial
defeat, the Iranian regime did not only agree to end the American
hostages crisis in 1982, but it also signed the UN Security Council
Resolution 598, which concluded the Iran-Iraq War.
All these transpired at the height of Iran’s revolutionary zeal.
After the war, under the leadership of the pragmatics, Iran
invested heavily in normalizing relations with Arab countries and
improving relations with Europe.
Later, during the reformist era in the early 2000s, Iran even agreed
to halt its nuclear enrichment in order to prevent a military
showdown with the Bush Administration. In all these cases, we
can see how in actuality the Iranian regime has prioritized regime
survival when faced with an existential dilemma.
This bipolar tendency is a reflection of the Iranian state’s
fundamentally dualistic character: simultaneously, both a
republican state (Jumhoori) bound by modern rationality and rule
of law and a theocracy governed by Islamic principles and clerical
supervision (Velayat-e-Faqih). The ebbs and flows of the Iranian
foreign policy have been determined by this eternal struggle
between the two pillars, Islamic and Republican, of the Iranian
nation-state.
Also, almost all periods of foreign policy crisis – from the
1980 Hostage Crisis to the 2006 and 2009 breakdown in nuclear
negotiations – were a product of constant jostling among
competing political factions. Today, Iran is firmly under the
control of traditional conservatives, under the auspices of the
Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. With the
regime internally consolidated, it is clear with whom the West
should deal.
Encouragingly, on three fronts Iran has indicated its
willingness to compromise: first, the Supreme Leader has agreed
to upcoming talks in Istanbul – followed by a second talk in
Baghdad – and has even welcomed President Obama’s reticence
about any military intervention; second, top government officials –
from the head of the Iranian nuclear agency to the foreign minister
– have indicated their willingness to consider more intensive
inspections and cap enrichment levels; and lastly, powerful
pragmatists, such as former President Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani,
have called for direct talks with America and greater diplomatic
flexibility to resolve the nuclear impasse.The fact that the West
has expressed its respect for Iran’s right to enrichment provides us
another reason for optimism.
The key to resolving the impasse is to assuage the Iranian
regime concerns with regime survival. Nevertheless, resolving the
Iranian nuclear crisis will ultimately necessitate sustained
diplomacy and an arduous series of top-level negotiations,
especially between Iran and the U.S. ■
19
Encouragingly, on three fronts Iran hasindicated its willingness to compromise
However, pessimists – who invest little faith in upcoming
negotiations – tend to overlook the other side of the coin: the
regime’s history clearly demonstrates how every period of
ideological excess was counter-balanced by a succeeding period of
moderation, reform, and realism. Why? Precisely because – even
under the Islamic Republic – the instinct for self-preservation and
the concept of expediency (Maslaha) has always trumped the
sustenance of any kind of policy, which endangered the regime’s
survival and the country’s territorial integrity. Currently, the
nuclear issue is increasingly proving to threaten the regime’s
survival.
Time and again, the Islamic Republic has shown its ability to
follow a pragmatic logic, actually placing national security over
revolutionary objectives. On the one hand, intent on preserving
cordial relationship with China, Russia, and Syria, Iran adopted a
low-key position on the 1982 Syrian Islamic uprising, Muslim
repression in Western China, and Chechen Islamic Separatist
Movements and Serb-led reprisals against Muslim Bosnians in the
1990s. On the other hand, Iran was not only neutral in the 1991
and 2003 Gulf Wars against Iraq, but it also supported U.S.-led
attacks against the Taliban regime in 2001 .
Iran has also shown considerable ability for strategic learning
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
For hundreds of years, South America has provided much of
the world with essential natural resources. The global nature of the
world economy, coupled with the development of South American
countries and turbulence in the Middle East presents South
America as an alternative to dependency on oil from far flung,
sometimes adversarial areas of the world.
The contemporary governments of most of South America
have made it clear that they are open for business. This does not
diminish some of the risks involved with the region, but the area is
full of economic possibilities that would be mutually beneficial to
the countries of the continent and their trading partners.
A cursory glance at the balance sheets of the larger South
American economies leaves even the novice economist in awe.
While many western countries deal with record trade deficits, the
countries of South America enjoy trade surpluses. Peru, Colombia,
Chile and Argentina all experienced GDP growth over 5% in
201 1 .
of private capital and credit.
Second, the goods that the countries export are largely
irreplaceable. Venezuela, Peru and Colombia sell oil. Peru sells
gold. Chile sells copper, essential in manufacturing electrical wire,
consumer electronics, computers and small appliances.
Argentina deals in grain and beef, essential food
commodities. Again, most of this is purchased by the United
States, China and other larger democracies.
This has maneuvered South America into prominence
internationally. Think of expanded oil exploration on and around
the South American continent. This oil and subsequent reserves
could prove to be an alternative to the oil in the Middle East and
provide income for South American countries to expand their
economies.
20
Risk with Great Reward in South AmericaBy William Eger
12 April 2012
GDP Growth
This is reflected in their national debts. The national debt of
the United States and much of Europe continues to climb.
Meanwhile, most of the South American countries enjoy surpluses
or minor shortfalls requiring credit. The strength of South
American economies is not only in the amount of trade but in what
they trade and with whom.
Budget Surplus
The internal strength of their economies is buttressed by two
fundamental facts: who their primary trading partners are and the
commodities they trade.
First, South America’s best customers for their exports are the
United States and China, two larger countries with an abundance
Balance of Trade
There are some concerns that come with investing and
expanding trade in South America. The continent is home to one
of the most outspoken American critics, Hugo Chavez, who seeks
to expand his own brand of socialism and anti-Western
philosophy. Chavez has gone so far as to align himself with Iran.
The other countries are still recovering from the decades of
internal violence and centuries of western colonialism. Two
countries, Colombia and Peru, continue combating organized
threats to their governments. FARC, though somewhat blunted,
remains a constant, yet reduced threat in Colombia.
The smaller FARC forces have spilled over into the border
areas of Peru. Peru, itself, continues its operations and programs
against the Shining Path.
Ironically, the Shining Path almost once defeated has re-
grouped and reorganized around the aforementioned narcotics
April 1 st - 1 5th
trafficking, which is prevalent in many South American countries.
The governments of South America continue to make progress in
stabilizing their own domestic securities.
The modern scourge of the continent is illegal drug production
and trade. This presents the largest destabilizing factor on the
continent. Colombia, the world’s largest producer of cocoa leaves,
supplies cocaine to most international drug markets and also
supplies the world with ample amounts of heroin. Most of the
money from this trade is laundered or invested in Colombia. Peru
is the second largest cocoa leaf producer behind Colombia. Brazil
is the world’s second largest consumer of cocaine.
The public suicide of 77-year-old pharmacist Demitris
Christoulas a short distance from the parliament building in
Athens and the outpouring of grief and anger reveal the trauma
and desperation in Greek society in the midst of an economic
crisis. In a handwritten note before he shot himself in the head,
Christoulas complained that the government had made it
impossible for him to survive on the pension he had paid into for
35 years. The note on his body said, “I find no other solution than
a dignified end before I start searching through the trash for
food.”
To get a rescue package for its economy and to keep its place
in the euro zone, the Greek government has slashed wages and
retirement pensions by as much as 25 percent. With the
unemployment rate exceeding 20 percent, Greece faces a national
ordeal. Last year, the government admitted that suicides had risen
by 40 percent over the previous two years.
A day before Christoulas ended his life, an Italian woman of
78 in Sicily had jumped from the balcony of her third-floor
apartment. Her monthly pension had been cut from 800 to 600
euros and she could take no more. Her son said, “The government
is making us all poor, apart from the wealthy, who they don’t
touch, in contrast with us workers and small businessmen who are
struggling with heavy debts.”
A week before, a businessman tried to commit suicide by
setting himself alight outside a tax office. He had lost his appeal
against a claim of unpaid tax. And a 27-year-oldconstruction
worker ofMoroccan descent set himself on fire because he had not
been paid wages for four months.
Thus an alarming trend, first seen among India’s debt-ridden
farmers in the 1990s, has spread to the European Union, where
citizens have begun to end their lives because of crushing poverty
and utter hopelessness. There is a feeling that rich will become
richer at the expense of poor, that governments will either side
with the wealthy, or be impotent in the face of powerful
institutions determined to force economic reengineering on nations
that will bring the greatest pain to the greatest number of people.
The age-old social contract between the state and its citizens is
in an unprecedented crisis. Philosopher Jean Jacques Rousseau
implied in his eighteenth-century work A Discourse On Inequality
that natural inequality, meaning disparity between human strength
and weakness, is established by nature. But moral inequality is
based on a kind of convention that is established, or at least
authorized, by the consent ofmen.
Today, the system of privileges, which some enjoy to the
prejudice of others, is fighting for legitimacy. Those who are
privileged are “more rich, more honored, more powerful and in a
position to extract obedience.”
Human evolution has been an epic struggle against moral
inequality, which inevitably leads to accumulation of wealth and
21
Most countries deal with the crimes associated with illegal
drug trafficking: money laundering, weapons trafficking and the
subsequent violence.
Removing the narcotics trade from the political and economic
systems of these countries is an imperative. The true salvation for
this group of emerging countries lies within themselves. As their
domestic economies develop, the governments will have to make
strategic and serious investments into areas outside of urban
centers.
This will enhance their economies further, spread opportunities
to the poorer areas and provide a replacement for the income
wrought from the illicit narcotics trade.
Even partially levitating the income disparity in these countries
will carry great dividends down the road. As trading partners, it is
important that western countries realize that these countries will
not accept a version of colonialism cloaked by the name 21 st
century globalism. (This would only reinforce the anti-western
platitudes by Chavez in Venezuela.)
What is needed is true and fair capitalist investment in the
region. These countries do not need sporadic handouts of aid from
the west. They need long term development. ■
What’s Left?By Deepak Tripathi
15 April 2012
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
power and abuse of both. That monumental struggle is at a crucial
juncture. On one end are forces of unrestrained capitalism that
have been in the ascendancy since the collapse of communism. On
the other, expressions of mass opposition in the form of the Arab
awakening and the occupy movements in the American and
European continents.
People’s movements are usurped by the very forces they were
supposed to fight. The prospect looks more bleak and bloody. To
pessimists, the contest between the corporate interests,
international institutions and ruling elites on one hand and the
citizens on the other is increasingly one-sided.
The feeling of disenfranchisement has spread to the north.
Modern capitalism has created conditions not unlike those found
under communism, which allowed party bosses and bureaucrats to
control the population. Democratic centralism, sanctified by Lenin
as “freedom for discussion, unity of action” at the Tenth Party
Congress in 1933 may look obsolete a quarter century after Soviet
communism collapsed. But corporate businesses and international
financial institutions, working in harmony with politicians and
other members of the ruling elites using state instruments, have
gained unprecedented control over vast numbers of citizens today.
The pyramid of power is intact. Social democrats once
provided an alternative with a conscience to the extreme rightwing
monetarism. But they have all but surrendered to the neo-capitalist
theory based only on growth and the idea that the one and only
social responsibility of business is to make profit. Political labels
of Left and Right have become meaningless. And autocratic
instincts of capitalism of today mirror those of communism of the
days gone by. ■
22
April 1 st - 1 5th
I have always loved
international travel, but I have
always hated the “immigration”
process, except for the part where
I get my passport stamped. I
realize what I have just written is
not entirely rational since it’s hard
to have foreign travel without
“immigration,” but people are not
always rational.
Even when doing nothing
wrong, a profound sense of
anxiety and apprehension washes
over me as I hand my passport to
an immigration official. After all,
that person is the only thing
standing between me and a
foreign country—where I can be
exposed to new thoughts,
not asked to show proof of either when I arrived in Colombo.
It was late when I arrived. The man checking my passport looked more exhausted that I
did; he scanned it, although I don’t even think he looked at my picture.
I do not view overstaying my visa as a viable option; the government has been cracking
down on those people recently.
I also read a very Orwellian story in the Daily Mirror in January, where the government
announced that “the Immigration and Emigration Department (IED) will set up a special
unit to monitor the activities ofsome tourists to Sri Lanka.”
Yikes!
Now, the ETA has definitely streamlined the immigration process and, in doing so,
made it easier for the CID and other State authorities to monitor people. State authorities
already know my phone number and address. Furthermore, I’ve been in and out of
Colombo for a while now. This makes me wonder how extensive this new monitoring unit
that the government recently set up is.
Really, I just wonder exactly how many people are being watched and how heavy the
monitoring is. If it were only people engaged in serious criminal activity, like the two
Ukrainians who were recently caught in Negombo, then there’s no problem. Massive credit
card fraud is a major issue.
It seems like the NGOs and other members of civil society would be more closely
watched given what has just transpired in Geneva. Although, that might not be true; the
people I’m talking about might have already been closely observed even before the vote at
the Human Rights Council.
I suppose a part of me would prefer total chaos at the IED. That might mean I have to
wait in line a bit longer at the airport, but that would make me feel much more anonymous.
As I leave the airport, I turn on my nearly obsolete cell phone to contact the person who is
picking me up. I brace myself for the heat that invariably greets me as I step outside. As
usual, I need to be careful ofwhat I say. Not so much for my sake, but for the sake others.
I always try to stay apprised of the latest developments when I am away, which can be
difficult. That being said, it was not difficult this time. News about Sri Lanka has been
popping up all over the place.
I should look on the bright side. At least nobody here has to deal with psychological
surveillance; that sounds quite invasive.
No, there are not yet any Thought Police in Sri Lanka. I don’t think there are anyway; it
seems like I would have read about that. ■
This article first appeared in Groundviews.
23
Immigration Anxietyand Ruminations on
Thought PoliceBy Gibson Bateman
03 April 2012
practices, mores, traditions and more.
Immigration officials stand between me
and learning, humility or adventure,
matters I do not take lightly.
This is why I was especially nervous
about applying for a tourist visa using Sri
Lanka’s Electronic Travel Authorization
(ETA) system. While not hugely
important, I have said and done things
that certain State officials in Sri Lanka
might not appreciate. The last thing I
want is anyone with a computer taking a
close look at my background. I
understand that I am an insignificant
person. Nonetheless, I would still prefer
that that not happen. So, instead of
getting a visa on arrival, I did apply in
advance and my application was
approved within hours. What a relief!
There would be no need for Valium when
deplaning.
Just in case, I decided to print out
information regarding my checking
account; so that, if necessary, I could
prove that I had enough money to
purchase copious amounts of rice, curry
and arrack for at least the next month. In
addition, I even printed out a return plane
ticket. None of that mattered since I was
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
There is a fresh discussion in India about the concept of
nonalignment from a few notable scholars who have recently
produced “Nonalignment 2.0: A Foreign and Strategic Policy for
India in the Twenty First Century”.
The document presents a new perspective on today’s global
dynamics characterized by multi-polarity, as opposed to bi-polarity
which emerged immediately after the Second World War with the
United States occupying one sphere and the Soviet empire
occupying the other.
“Nonalignment 2.0” also outlines a comprehensive overview
of the prevailing and future challenges and opportunities for India
which must be included in the on-going debate over India’s
foreign policy.
The doctrine of nonalignment and the Non-Aligned Movement
(NAM) have been declared irrelevant due to a decades long effort
by the United States and its many Secretaries of State; like John
Foster Dulles, Henry Kissinger and Condeleeza Rice; and also
because of economic and security imperatives and constraints on
the poor and developing countries of Asia, Africa and Latin
America, commonly known as the Third World. Yet, the NAM
still survives and will continue to do so.
In the field of international relations, powerful nations have
occasionally violated the basic principles of international social
behaviour in order to protect their own national interests, however
selfish or narrow they might have been.
Two World Wars and revolutions or internecine struggles are
the dark facts of world history. At the end of the Second World
War, in 1945, there emerged a new doctrine of international
behaviour, propagated by Jawaharlal Nehru, Josip Broz Tito,
Gamal Abdel Nasser and Sukarno which came to be known as
Non-Aligned Movement (NAM).
The post-9/1 1 world has altered the international system.
Radical Islam is the new enemy of the West with Samuel
Huntington’s book “The Clash of Civilizations” finding renewed
resonance in popular discourse. It has further accentuated certain
features of US foreign policy already in evidence for the past two
decades and has also given rise to new and disturbing military
doctrines that pose a grave threat to global peace and security,
particularly to the Third World.
In this scenario, the U.S. has emerged as the dominant
economic and military power.
The United States has been the dominant player in most of the
post-Cold War instruments of global order, like the Bretton Woods
institutions, the World Trade Organization, and the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Its veto power on the United
Nations Security Council enables the U.S. to pursue its unilateral
diplomacy, including declarations of war, when necessary, as in
case of the second Iraq War, or collectively with the other G-8
countries, as in Afghanistan or the first Iraq war.
The United States certainly remains the global system’s
dominant military and economic power. But it is the seductive
charms of this lifestyle as the global role model that has catapulted
the U.S. to the status of global hegemonic power, distinguishing it
from other G-8 countries.
This has inflicted a deadly blow on the countervailing power of
various regional arrangements. Indeed, the underlying thrust of the
United State’s grand strategy set in motion in the early years of the
first Clinton administration has been to prevent the emergence of
global rivals, which still holds today and is, in fact, a skilful
extension of the continuing imperialistic, interventionist, and
hegemonistic policies in place since the end of the Second World
War. As a consequence, the losers are the least developed or
developing countries.
The developing world has not welcomed the post-Cold War
environment with open arms due to structural inequalities. During
the Cold War period, most states, particularly the non-aligned
ones, managed to diversify their dependence on the U.S. and the
Soviets by establishing regional power blocs. But these were
eliminated by the United States and others, paving the way for
political instability, class struggle, social revivalism and economic
deprivation.
Against this backdrop, reinventing the concept of the non-
alignment is worth pursuing not only for sake of the Third World,
but also for the peace and security of the entire world.
Identified with universal moral values, this doctrine can only
determine the natural course of public policy formulations within
states and can also properly regulate the course of inter-state
relations, thereby ensuring good governance within and among
nations.
It can further rediscover its identity in the present phase of
globalization as the conscience of the system in the sense that the
NAM, in its heyday, boldly and honestly represented the wishes
and aspirations of the disadvantaged sections of the world
community and characterised the largest global movement of
humanity, by former Indian Prime Minister, Jawaharlal Nehru. ■
24
Reinventing Nonalignment: India’s ForeignPolicy
By Dr. Sudhanshu Tripathi
06 April 2012
April 1 st - 1 5th
After many months of following and writing about the triple
disasters in Fukushima, Japan – the earthquake, the tsunami, and
the meltdown of the nuclear power plants – I was pleased to
discover a conference that seemed as though it might touch on
precisely these issues. I signed up to attend the annual meeting
held in Tokyo, in Mid-March, of the Asia Association for Global
Studies (AAGS), a forum for international educators focusing on
global events across many disciplines.
The theme for the annual conference was “Humanity and
Humanitarianism in Crisis”.
Hosted by International Christian University in Tokyo, Japan,
between March 17 and 18, 2012, the conference setting was very
comfortable, even opulent – International Christian University, a
huge university campus on the outskirts of Tokyo, replete with
topiary gardens and what will soon, with a little rain, be a plush
carpet of moss, felt like a 1970‘s American island in a Japanese
sea. And it was about as far away from the disasters we were
recounting, as it could be.
Some of us conference presenters even attempted to take a
side trip up north to Fukushima, to better understand the scenario
we had been writing about, only to be kindly but firmly told to
observe the exclusion zone around Ground Zero. And that if we
were so foolhardy as to try the trip, we would need special papers
and steel toed boots to enter the zone.
Our safety could not be guaranteed and we gave up.
The conference presentations were interesting, thoughtful,
often inspired, some genuinely moving. My goal here is to portray
a very brief sampling (five papers out of 40) of the talks. All
conference papers are posted on the AAGS website and many will
later be published as conference proceedings.
Speakers
Keynote Speaker Charles McJilton
Charles McJilton, the CEO and founder of Second Harvest
Japan (2HJ), originally came to Japan in 1984 with the US military
and returned in 1991 to conduct research at Sophia University.
During this time he lived in San’ya, a low-income area of Tokyo
that is home to many day-laborers. Determined to understand the
difficulties faced by the homeless, he lived with them in a
cardboard house along the Sumida River from January 1997 to
April 1 998.
McJilton’s comments: “I was a professional by day. As long as
I wore my tie and my suit, and smelled clean from the shower,
nobody would know or think to inquire where or how I lived. In
fact, nobody at work knew I lived in a cardboard box with a group
ofday laborers. The subject just didn’t come up.”
“The men I knew had great dignity and many were very
knowledgeable. One guy—well anything you wanted to know
about haiku, he could tell you. They did not behave or act like they
were down and out…And from those who supposedly have
In addition to working for Second Harvest, Mr. McJilton
teaches NGO management at Sophia University.
McJilton’s sympathetic keynote speech was about being down
and out in one of the world’s cities, which unobtrusively flaunts
great wealth, Tokyo. He was living with those who exist at the
bottom of the ladder, whose very existence is denied by their more
well-heeled neighbors, battered not by occasional catastrophes but
by a perpetual economic crisis, and will never be the recipients of
governmental largesse.
McJilton devised a pragmatic solution of gathering and
providing to those who were hungry, “unneeded” food aid.
His speech, which set the tone for the conference- concern for
those in distress, was very much to the point.
Iskra Gencheva-Mikami
Iskra Gencheva-Mikami (Lakeland College, Japan),
“Humanitas: Human Response to Natural Disasters from Antiquity
until Nowadays.”
“This presentation will focus on the impact ofnatural disasters
on individuals and communities from ancient times until
nowadays. … By exploring the role played by people in disastrous
situations, it will analyze how they have been affected and how
they have resisted the traumatic experience according to their
human nature.”
This was one of the most beautiful and evocative presentations
during the conference, as it used fragments from the letters of
Pliny the Younger and images of illuminated Pompeiian wall
friezes and calcified bodies lying just as they were when engulfed
25
Conference Report: “Humanity andHumanitarianism in Crisis”
By Claire McCurdy
07 April 2012
nothing; they freely shared their food, resources, and time with
me.”
In 2000, McJilton became co-chair of a coalition working
together to share food resources for their own programs. Two
years later, he incorporated Second Harvest Japan, the first food
bank in Japan. 2HJ collects food that would otherwise go to waste
and distributes it to people in need.
“I existed between two worlds: theirs [the homeless men on the
Sumida-gawa] and corporate Japan. I have to be honest in saying
that I feel more comfortable with these men. They have taught me
much about the value ofhuman relations and what it means to be
human in the face of an inhuman situation. My one desire is for
other people to come to know and understand them as I have: my
brothers struggling simply to live in the face ofadversity.”
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
by volcanic ash, to evoke what was called in Latin lacrimae rerum
– there are tears for certain things.
Evocative in their own way, as were the bodies hanging from
the trees in Fukushima.
We have read so many stories of disaster encounters that this
account should have a very familiar ring to it, describing a
combination of the earthquake and the tsunami and just as she
pointed out, resisting the traumatic experience —yet it was written
not on March 1 1 , 201 1 , but in August 79 AD.
“Mount Vesuvius exploded in August 79 A.D…A “firestorm”
of poisonous vapors and molten debris suffocated the inhabitants
of the neighboring Roman resort cities of Pompeii, Herculaneum
and Stabiae. The cities remained buried for almost 1700 years
until excavation began in 1748.
“But their story… is available to us through the voice ofPliny
the Younger, whose letters to his friend Tacitus were discovered in
the 16th century. They describe his experience during the
eruption…
“Ashes were already falling… I looked round: a dense black
cloud was coming up behind us, spreading over the earth like a
flood…’We had scarcely sat down to rest when darkness fell, not
the dark ofa moonless or cloudy night, but as ifthe lamp had been
put out in a closed room.
“You could hear the shrieks ofwomen, the wailing of infants,
and the shouting ofmen; some were calling their parents, others
their children or their wives, trying to recognize them by their
voices. People bewailed their own fate or that of their relatives,
and there were some who prayed for death in their terror ofdying.
Many besought the aid of the gods, but still more imagined there
were no gods left, and that the universe was plunged into eternal
darkness for evermore.”
“…A gleam oflight returned, but we took this to be a warning
of the approaching flames rather than daylight. However, the
flames remained some distance off; then darkness came on once
more and ashes began to fall again, this time in heavy showers.
We rose from time to time and shook them off, otherwise we should
have been buried and crushed beneath their weight. I could boast
that not a groan or cry of fear escaped me in these perils, but I
admit that I derived some poor consolation in my mortal lot from
the beliefthat the whole world was dying with me and I with it. ”
Another story of volcanic eruption, tsunami, attempts to deal
with the crisis while respecting the autonomy of the indigenous
people, some 2000 years later.
Annisa Srikandini
Annisa Srikandini (Gadjah Mada University, Indonesia),
“Humanitarianism and Disaster Governance in Indonesia: Merapi
Eruption.”
Annisa Srikandini argues that although NGOs and donor
governments carry out humanitarian actions in the aftermath of
disaster they may also unwittingly reinforce root causes and
conditions. She argues for the concept of disaster governance,
preserving the resilience of affected people in the face of disaster.
Accounts of the eruption and tsunami bear a strong resem-
blance to those in Japan.
And the roles assumed by USAID and NGOs appear on the
face of it to follow recommendations – to fund and assist people
affected by the disaster so that they may resume their normal lives.
And then to withdraw.
On October 25, 2010 a 7.7-magnitude earthquake off the coast
of West Sumatra triggered a tsunami that destroyed villages and
displaced thousands of people in the Mentawai Islands A day later,
the Mount Merapi volcano in Central Java erupted, killing more
than 32 people, and displacing more than 40,000 people from their
homes. USAID, Red Cross and NGO staff worked with local
officials to provide coordinated assistance. Eruptions continued
into the spring of 201 1 .
The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID)
provided D$2 million in humanitarian assistance, working closely
with the Indonesian Government, the National Agency for Disaster
Management (BNPB), and local NGOs to deliver the assistance.
The funds were to be used for the immediate purchase,
distribution and replenishment of relief items. The assistance also
was intended to be used to help displaced persons return to their
homes and resume their normal livelihoods, respecting the
resilience of the indigenous people. Impeccable intentions.
And yet two years later, there are angry accounts in the press
by student activists and the Indonesian government about what is
termed the inappropriate actions of foreign NGOs, especially
Greenpeace. They have argued that the aid of foreign NGOs
should be rejected as the NGOs have repeatedly attempted to
undermine Indonesian sovereignty and discredit Indonesia in the
press. “Legal observers from the University of Indonesia (UI),
Darmono Budi, emphasized that foreign GOs definitely give
priority to foreign interests, not Indonesia. The Indonesian
government should firmly crack down on foreign GOs that
adversely affect Indonesia, he said.”
By contrast, press coverage over the Japanese people’s anger
and fear over the handling of the Fukushima disasters tend to be
more focused against the government’s failure to act and over
TEPCO’s evasive actions. It would be interesting to see a similar
commentary on the actions of the Indonesian government.
Michelle Hui Shan Ho
Michelle Hui Shan Ho (University of Tokyo, Japan),
“Radioactive Beef Scare and Alarmed Housewives; Narrativizing
Panic in Wide-Show Crisis News.”
Michelle Hui Shan Ho: has vividly documented the Japanese
people’s anger and fears over fallout from the disasters, especially
nuclear fallout. She has focused on public perception of the
possible radiation poisoning of foodstuffs and on those it most
affects– Japanese housewives.
“Seen in the context of Japanese infotainment television
programs, which focus largely on consumer issues, health and
lifestyle, this paper will examine representations of the recent
‘beefscare’ in July as a case study.”
Although this TV show was aired in July 201 1 , housewives
are still fearful of any foodstuffs especially beef, that emanate
26
April 1 st - 1 5th
from Fukushima. In Tokyo, March 2012, I visited shopping
centers to see if the speaker’s comments on gender and “the fear
narrative” still hold true. And they appear to do so.
The placards next to pieces of beef, with lengthy inscriptions
on where the beef came from, (in this case, Australia), and how it
had been raised and treated, tended not to reassure the shopper but
heighten her anxiety. It certainly heightened mine.
Given that local Fukushima politicians have been attempting
to get Fukushima people to eat Fukushima produce that has
already been condemned for sale, as a patriotic duty, I can well
imagine this “beef scare” would have been good TV theatre and
that it would have underscored the public’s sense of what our
presenter called “a community at risk.”
Of course, it’s not just the beef that has people worried- it’s
the environment as a whole. And as you get farther north in Japan,
you will observe people carrying Geiger counters everywhere- to
school, to work, to the grocery store—to find out how many clicks
will register at a given point. If the reading is too high, the kids
will be told they cannot go outside to play.
The last paper was another study in beautiful images and
subtlety of the change in Asian people’s attitudes- here, towards
old people. It did not focus on images of disaster or post disaster
but upon a shift in mindset- in its own way, as sad and ominous as
its earlier competitors.
Katharine Young
Katharine Young (McGill University, Canada), “From Respect
for Old Age to Celebration of youth in East Asian Art: Mirror of
Humanity and Humanitarianism in Crisis?”
“This paper analyzes how images ofold age in women, in East
Asian art, show a transition from traditional respect and support
for old age to modern celebration of youth. Is this an aspect of
globalization?”
Old people in Asia, particularly women, Young argues, are
being displaced and shoved to the margins and this has
implications for many public policy issues.
Young’s presentation, which included many obscure, muted
and generally sympathetic even reverent traditional Asian images
ofwomen in old age, made the point with restraint and clarity.
The early images (in some cases, exceedingly early) were
juxtaposed with current, vibrant powerful pictures, primarily
Chinese, of triumphant young women dressed in brilliant colors
flexing their muscles as they operated massive machinery or hoed
the ground.
It appeared that the images of triumphant young women
indicated that their supremacy was here to stay whereas the
sympathetic images of older women are fading into obscurity.
If one examines these traditional Asian images in light of
Japan as an aging society, where a significant percentage of the
population is over 65, and further as an aging society badly
battered by the recent events in Fukushima—a society where older
people are no longer revered purely because of their age, it is hard
to see this trend being reversed. And the prospects for their care by
the government appear dim.
This very beautiful presentation was one that lasted in
memory for a long time.
Conclusion
McJilton’s commentary on living with the down-and-outs in
perpetual economic crisis in one of the wealthiest cities in the
world was very effective. We were invited to exercise compassion
and understanding. It was especially useful since the conference
was so remote from the disastrous events which it was
documenting.
The conference was indeed cross-disciplinary and sometimes
a little awkward; at other times, as with the accounts of
earthquakes across the centuries, comparisons brought forth
interesting insights. Gencheva-Mikami’s presentation of the
eruptions ofMt. Vesuvius and the devastation wrought on Pompeii
and Herculaneum, recounted by Pliny the Younger, were offset by
Srikandini’s account of the post tsunami and volcanic eruptions in
Indonesia. And her remarks about foreign NGOs prompted
thoughts of Japan, on the part of the government and TEPCO-
although in Japan’s case the effect was the opposite- evasion,
obscurity and withdrawal rather than intrusion.
The account of the “beef scare” by Michelle Hui Shan Ho
was especially effective since it brought forth the core fears of the
Japanese people—that their food, their bodies, their lives have
been contaminated by radiation and that the government is
refusing to tell them what is going on. The thought of women
afraid to buy beef for fear it will poison their husbands and
children is a genuinely saddening, whether their fears are accurate
or not. The image of the Geiger counters being bought and used
daily all over Japan to measure and somehow keep radiation at
bay, is downright dreadful.
Katharine Young’s lament for the disappearance in Asia of
Confucian reverence for older people, as it appeared in muted
slides of elderly women… was juxtaposed with slides of modern
young women, triumphant, colorful, arrogant, and the wave of the
future. This was not a “disaster” paper or a “crisis paper” —it was
a portrayal of the vanishing of a centuries-old way of life, revering
the aged in Japan.
What can we conclude? Japan is not the only Asian country in
distress but it has suffered the most; it may be in Japan that
solutions may be found to the crises outlined above, and those
solutions may be able to be applied to other countries similarly
distraught. It is to be hoped that foreign NGOs will respect Japan’s
resilience; this has been a powerful bone of contention relating to
issues of mental health. One also hopes that the beef scare will
prove to be upsetting enough to reveal information on the true
state of radiation in Japan. And finally, one hopes that there is
some way to bring Confucian values back into play, so that the
former reverence for the dignity of old age may return also. ■
27
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
As I write this I am listening to a 16 minute “bootleg tape”,
now a CD, of the concert Martin Benjamin and I performed on
March 9, 1 962 (49 years ago) in a talla bet (beer house) in the
arada (market) of Gondar, Ethiopia. Marty was the lead on the
guitar and I just did my best to follow along. I doubt either of us
would be described today as a couple of aging rockers. The flavor
of the concert was Kingston Trio, aka “Gondar Duo”.
At the time talla was made by women and sold in their houses.
Walking around the market I would observe the green gesho
leaves drying on mats in front of the talla bets. The mats were also
covered with a mixture of wheat and barley which was wetted and
was allowed to sprout. The pounded gesho leaves and
wheat/barley were then placed in large (5 gallon) clay jars filled
with water where the mixture was allowed to ferment. The
resulting beer had a taste somewhat like the smell of silage.
However, having grown-up on a farm I was familiar with the
smell and enjoyed the beer. We generally felt secure drinking what
had been either boiled or fermented.
The talla bets were very popular with our students. I suspect
that the drinking of talla was an important source of calories and
vitamins in their diets. In my article Peace Corps Diary: Ethiopia
1962-1964 Part 2 in which I describe our trip to visit Lalibela I
printed census data for Lalibela in which of 900 females living in
Lalibela at that time, 298 were employed as talla bet operators.
Selling beer was one of the few occupations available for women.
Women from small farming settlements who had divorced their
husbands moved to a larger market town where they could open a
talla bet and offer beer and at times other services to male
customers.
We were infrequent visitors to the Gondar talla bets. Word was
passed to us from Ato Yoseph, the Provincial head of Education,
that as teachers we had a status to maintain and thus should only
drink scotch in the uptown National Bar which was located near
the Piazza. Rarely did we go to the National Bar and when we did
we only had a small glass of Mellotti Cognac. We enjoyed the
Cinema Bar, a cavernous Italian relic, where we could enjoy little
dishes of Italian ice cream.
On three occasions I describe in my diary visits to talla bets.
“John Stockton and I visited another talla bet in the market.
The woman who operates it must be in her 60’s. Everyone sat on
grass mats placed on the four inch high dirt platform which circles
the room. The old woman had lived in Asmara which she greatly
admires. The only English words she knows are ‘hello’ and
‘sleep’. In the center of the rectangular room was the common
charcoal stove made out ofa kerosene tin. On it a pot ofwat was
cooking. ext to the fire was the woman’s cat. She related that
Ethiopian cats don’t eat rats so at night she wraps tightly in her
blanket to keep the rats away. In a corner ofthe room sat a young
Ethiopian farmer and his two sons who sat very straight and
stared with wide eyes. It would be a great picture to sketch as the
room was lit by two tiny homemade kerosene lamps which outlined
the old woman and her dignified brother who must have been at
least as old as she.”
After another visit I wrote:
“Saturday night we went to three talla bets in the market. In
the first we were entertained with dancing to the beat of a dish
pan. In the second a mysenko (stringed instrument played with a
bow) was being played. In the final bet a Besse & Co. employee
bought talla for us. During that visit a student whispered in my ear
that the scruffy man leaving the talla bet was a member of the
secret police. After he left he was replaced by a young policeman
who sat and listed to what was being said.”
March 9, 1 963 was the night of our big concert. Marty and I
walked to one of the talla bets with an entourage of students
including Worku. The students had scouted out the place to be
certain that our music would not be viewed as intrusive. The ritual
of a talla bet was the same wherever we went. The beer was ladled
out of large earthen jars into battered metal tea kettles. For 25
cents (10 cents US) we each bought a large metal tea kettle. Before
setting the tea kettle on the dirt floor in front of us the server
poured a small amount of the talla from the kettle into her hand.
She then tasted the beer to prove it was not poisoned.
The server then poured some into our “birillis”. Birillis were
round glass drinking vessels with narrow necks. The birilli was the
worst possible glass vessel in terms of cleaning, however, for talla
its shape was perfect. After filling our birilli from the tea kettle it
was placed on the floor in front of us for a few minutes. During
that time the straw and chaff from the talla would rise to the top of
the narrow neck. Then in a ritualized manner we picked-up our
birillis and with a flick of the wrist the chaff and debris would fly
onto the floor. Objects that were brought to Ethiopia after the war
were often given descriptive names or names that reflected their
manufacturer.
For example our students called an ink pen a “scripto”, blue
denim pants were “wranglers”, and a vehicle or even a sewing
machine was a “mechina”. The birilli I assume was named for the
Italian skittles/bowling pin which duplicates its shape.
Marty brought his guitar with him to Ethiopia. The wooden walls
of our house were thin so often as I was grading papers or reading
I would hear him playing and singing his favorite old Weavers’
song “Two Brothers”.
28
Peace Corps DiaryEthiopia 19621964 Part 10
By Richard Lyman
09 April 2012
April 1 st - 1 5th
To record our concert I brought my small Phillips reel to reel
recorder in a TWA flight bag which I discretely set to one side in
the talla bet. The only light in the room came from a small locally
made kerosene lamp. A tinsmith in Gondar had cut out the sides
forming a two inch high container out of which protruded a
burning wick. It created a smoky “coffee house” ambiance.
Marty led the way as we worked our way through his
repertoire of folk songs interspersed with talk from the audience
and several impromptu Ethiopian songs.
Several years ago when Marty mentioned that he was teaching
his grandson to play the guitar I sent him a copy of the concert on
a CD. Marty had forgotten all about it. ■
public perception that wars and warfare are growing more
indiscriminate and brutal in recent years, while the most reliable
evidence points in the opposite direction.
Goldstein is convincing in correcting such common mistakes
about political violence and war in the contemporary world, but
less so when it comes to the frame and framing of this picture that
is conveyed by his title ‘winning the war on war’ and the
arguments to this effect that is the centerpiece of his book, and
accounts for the interest that it is arousing. For one thing the
quantitative measures relied upon do not come to terms with the
heightened qualitative risks of catastrophic warfare or the
continued willingness of leading societies to anchor their security
on credible threats to annihilate tens of millions of innocent
persons, which if taking the form of a moderate scale nuclear
exchange (less than 1% of the world’s stockpile of weapons) is
likely to cause, according to reliable scientific analysis, what has
been called ‘a nuclear famine’ resulting in a sharp drop in
agricultural output that could last as long as ten years and could be
brought about by the release of dense clouds of smoke blocking
incoming sunlight.
Also on the panel were such influential international relations
scholars as John Mearsheimer who shared with me the view that
the evidence in Goldstein’s book did not establish that, as
Mearsheimer put it, ‘war had been burned out of the system,’ or
that even such a trend meaningfully could be inferred from recent
experience.
Mearsheimer widely known for his powerful realist critique of
the Israeli Lobby (in collaboration with Stephen Walt) did make
the important point that the United States suffers from ‘an
addiction to war.’ Mearsheimer did not seem responsive to my
insistence on the panel that part of this American addiction to war
arose from the role being played by entrenched domestic
militarism a byproduct of the permanent war economy that
disposed policy makers and politicians in Washington to treat most
security issues as worthy of resolution only by considering the
options offered by thinking within a militarist box of violence and
sanctions, a viewpoint utterly resistant to learning from past
militarist failures (as in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, and now Iran).
In my view the war addiction is real, but can only be treated
significantly if understood to be a consequence of this blinkering
of policy choice by a militarized bureaucracy in the nation’s
29
Nuclear Weapons are not Instruments ofPeace!
By Richard Falk
10 April 2012
A few days ago I was a participant in a well-attended
academic panel on ‘ the decline of violence and warfare’ at the
International Studies Association’s Annual Meeting held this year
in San Diego, California. The two-part panel featured appraisal of
the common argument of two prominent recent publications:
Steven Pinker’s best-selling, The Better Angels ofour ature: Why
Violence has Declined and Joshua Goldstein’s well-researched,
informative, and provocative, Winning the War on War: The
Decline ofArmed Conflict Worldwide.
Both books are disposed to rely upon quantitative data to back
up their optimistic assessments of international and domestic
political behavior, which if persuasive, offer humanity important
reasons to be hopeful about the future.
Much of their argument depends on an acceptance of their
interpretation of battlefield deaths worldwide, which according to
their assessments have declined dramatically in recent decades.
But do battlefield deaths tell the whole story, or even the real
story, about the role and dangers of political violence and war in
our collective lives?
My role was to be a member of the Goldstein half of the panel.
Although I had never previously met Joshua Goldstein I was
familiar with his work and reputation as a well regarded scholar in
the field of international relations. To offer my response in the few
minutes available to me I relied on a metaphor that drew a
distinction between a ‘picture’ and its ‘frame.’ I found the picture
of war and warfare presented by Goldstein as both persuasive and
illuminating, conveying in authoritative detail information about
the good work being doing by UN peacekeeping forces in a variety
of conflict settings around the world, as well as a careful crediting
of peace movements with a variety of contributions to conflict
resolution and war avoidance.
Perhaps, the most enduringly valuable part of the book is its
critical debunking of prevalent myths about the supposedly rising
proportion of civilian casualties in recent wars and inflated reports
of casualties and sexual violence in the Congo Wars of 1998-2003.
These distortions, corrected by Goldstein, have led to a false
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
capital that is daily reinforced by a compliant media and a
misguided hard power realist worldview sustained by high paid
private sector lobbyists and the lure of corporate profits, and
continuously rationalized by well funded subsidized think tanks
such as The Hoover Institution, The Heritage Foundation, and The
American Enterprise Institute.
Dwight Eisenhower in his presidential farewell speech
famously drew attention to the problem that has grown far worse
through the years when he warned the country about ‘ the military-
industrial complex’ back in 1961 .
What to me was most shocking about the panel was not its
overstated claims that political violence was declining and war on
the brink of disappearing, but the unqualified endorsement of
nuclear weapons as deserving credit for keeping the peace during
Cold War and beyond. Nuclear weapons were portrayed as if
generally positive contributors to establishing a peaceful and just
world, provided only that they do not fall into unwanted hands
(which means ‘adversaries of the West,’ or more colorfully
phrased by George W. Bush as ‘ the axis of evil’ ) as a result of
proliferation. In this sense, although not made explicit in the
conversation, Obama’s vision of a world without nuclear weapons
set forth at Prague on April 5, 2009 seems irresponsible from the
perspective of achieving a less war-prone world. I had been
previously aware of Mearsheimer’s support for this position in his
hyper-realist account of how World War III was avoided in the
period between 1945-1989, but I was not prepared for Goldstein
and the well regarded peace researcher, Andrew Mack, blandly to
endorse such a conclusion without taking note of the drawbacks of
such ‘a nuclear peace.’ Goldstein in his book writes that
“[n]uclear deterrence may in fact help to explain why World War
III did not occur during the Cold War—certainly an important
accomplishment.”
Goldstein does insist that this role of nuclear weapons has
problematic aspects associated with some risk of unintended or
accidental use and cannot by itself explain other dimensions of the
decline of political violence, which rests on a broader set of
developments that are usefully depicted elsewhere in the book.
These qualifications are welcome but do not offset a seeming
willingness to agree that nuclear weapons seemed partly
responsible for the avoidance of World War III or the liberal
internationalist view, perhaps most fully articulated by Joseph
Nye, that an arms control approach is a sufficient indication that
the threat posed by the possession and deployment of nuclear
weaponry is being responsibly addressed.
Steven Pinker in his book takes a more nuanced position on
nuclear weapons, arguing that if it were indeed correct to credit
nuclear weapons with the avoidance ofWorld War III, there would
be grounds for serious concern. He correctly asserts that such a
structure of peace would be “a fool’s paradise, because an
accident, a miscommunication, or an air force general obsessed
with precious bodily fluids could set off an apocalypse.” Pinker
goes on to conclude that “[t]hankfully, a closer look suggests that
the threat ofnuclear annihilation deserves little credit for the Long
Peace.”
Instead, Pinker persuasively emphasizes the degree to which
World War III was discouraged by memories of the devastation
experienced in World War II combined with the realization that
advances in conventional weaponry would make a major war
among leading states far more deadly than any past war even if no
nuclear weapons were used. Pinker also believes that a ‘nuclear
taboo’ developed after World War II to inhibit recourse to nuclear
weapons in all but the most extreme situations, and that this is the
primary explanation of why the weapons were not used in a
variety of combat settings during the 67 years that have passed
since a single atomic bomb was dropped on Nagasaki. But Pinker
does not raise deeply disturbing questions about the continued
possession and threat to use such weaponry that is retained by a
few of the world’s states. Or if the taboo was so strong, why this
weaponry remains on hair trigger alert more than 20 years after the
collapse of the Berlin Wall, and why on several occasions a threat
to use nuclear weapons was used to discourage an adversary from
taking certain actions.
And it the taboo was so valued, why did the United States fight
so hard, it turns out unsuccessfully, to avoid having the
International Court of Justice pronounce on the legality of nuclear
weapons?
And why has the United States, along with some of the other
nuclear weapons states, refused to declare ‘a no first use policy.’
The taboo exists, to be sure, but it is conditional and has been
contested in times of international crisis, and its strength rests on
the costs associated with any further use of nuclear weapons,
including creating a precedent that might work against future
interests.
Most surprising than these comments on how the presence of
nuclear weapons dissuaded the United States and the Soviet Union
from going to war, was the failure of my co-panelists to surround
their endorsement of the war-avoiding presence of nuclear
weapons with moral and prudential qualifiers. At minimum, they
might have acknowledged the costs and risks of tying strategic
peace so closely to threatened mass devastation and civilizational,
and perhaps species, catastrophe, a realization given sardonic
recognition in the Cold War by the widely used acronym MAD
(mutually assured destruction). The questions put by the audience
also avoided this zone of acute moral and prudential insensitivity,
revealing the limits of rational intelligence in addressing this most
formidable challenge if social and political construction of a
humane world order was recognized as a shared goal of decent
people. It is unimaginable to reach any plateau of global justice
without acting with resolve to rid the world of nuclear weaponry;
the geopolitical ploy of shifting attention from disarmament to
proliferation does not address the moral depravity of relying on
genocidal capabilities and threats to uphold vital strategic interests
of a West-centric world (Chinese nuclear weapons, and even those
few possessed by North Korea, although dangerous and morally
objectionable, at least seem acquired solely for defensive and
deterrent purposes).
30
April 1 st - 1 5th
I doubt very much that such a discussion of the decline ofwar
and political violence could take place anywhere in the world other
than North America, and possibly Western Europe and Japan. Of
course, this does not by itself invalidate its central message, but it
does raise questions about what is included and what is excluded
in an Americans only debate (Mack is an Australian). Aside from
the U.S. being addicted to war I heard no references in the course
of the panel and discussion to the new hierarchies in the world
being resurrected by indirect forms of violence and intervention
after the collapse of colonialism, or of structural violence that
shortens life by poverty, disease, and human insecurity. I cannot
help but wonder whether some subtle corruption has seeped into
the academy over the years, especially at elite universities whose
faculty received invitations to work as prestigious consultants by
the Washington security establishment, or in extreme cases, were
hosts to lucrative arrangements that included giving weapons labs
a university home and many faculty members a salary surge.
Princeton, where I taught for 40 years, was in many respects
during the Cold War an academic extension of the military-
industrial complex, with humanists advising the CIA, a dean
recruiting on behalf of the CIA, a branch of the Institute for
Defense Analysis on campus doing secret contract work on
counterinsurgency warfare, and a variety of activities grouped
under the anodyne heading of ‘security studies’ being sponsored
by outside financing. Perhaps, such connections did not spillover
into the classroom or induce self-censorship in writing and
lecturing, but this is difficult to assess.
The significance of this professional discussion of nuclear
weaponry in 2012, that is, long after the militarized atmosphere of
the Cold War period has happily passed from the scene, can be
summarized: To witness otherwise perceptive and morally
motivated scholars succumbing to the demons of nuclearism is a
bad omen; for me this nuclearist complacency is an unmistakable
sign of cultural decadence that can only bring on disaster for the
society, the species, and the world at some indeterminate future
point. We cannot count on our geopolitical luck lasting forever!
And we Americans, cannot possibly retain the dubious
advantages of targeting the entire world with these weapons of
mass destruction without experiencing the effects of a profound
spiritual decline, which throughout human history, has always
been the prelude to political decline, if not collapse. ■
The 23 March 2012 death of Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed –
former president of the Transitional Federal Government of
Somalia (TFG) – sparked an intense debate about his political
legacy.
President Yusuf left an indelible mark on the history of
Somalia. Some present him as a national hero and honest broker;
others see him as a dictator, a corrupt politician, and a tribalist.
These diametrically opposing views were the result of President
Yusuf seeking military support from Ethiopia to establish his rule
in south central Somalia. As a result, Ethiopia dominated the
internal and external affairs of Somalia.
In a 201 1 interview with Voice of America, Abdullahi Yusuf
Ahmed stated he regretted requesting military support from
Ethiopia. He unambiguously said that he decided to resign from
the presidency of the TFG because he did not want to be a stooge
ofEthiopia.
President Abdulahi Yusuf articulated his views of Ethiopia
before his death, when he wrote: “I never forgot an Ethiopian
adage Mengistu Haile Mariam [the former dictator of Ethiopia]
told me in our first encounter after he accepted the establishment
ofSSDF base in Ethiopia. The adage says, Don’t catch a leopard
by the tail, but if you do, don’t let it go because it will attack you
and eat you…The thrust ofthe adage indicate that in Mengistu and
Meles Zenawi periods the leopard (Ethiopia) will not stop in
eating anyone who let it go but it (Ethiopia) will violently attack
anyone or any state which resists the fulfillment of the Ethiopian
interests”.
“I retired from the Somali politics but two major issues that
need urgent actions are still outstanding. The First one is the
Ethiopian’s concern [obstruction] about the Somali unity and the
revival ofeffective State ofSomalia. The second issue is the tragic
domestic situation of Somalia without hopeful solution in the
horizon”.
However, with his public regret, the allegiance to and the
public defense of Ethiopia by Somali politicians and intellectuals
did not die. Loyalty to Ethiopia became a publicly-claimed quality
for gaining political power in Somalia.
“Dine with a stranger, but save your love for your family.”
– Ethiopian Proverb
At the beginning of this year, President Yusuf’s memoir was
released. Written in Somali with the title “Halgan and
Hagardaamo” – translating to “Struggle and Conspiracy” –
President Yusuf chronicles the supporters and saboteurs of the
major events in his long political struggle. The former president
argues, among other things, that Mr. Ali A. Jangeli, the former
foreign minister ofTFG, is one of the principal saboteurs.
I was a surprised to read Mr. Jangeli’s eulogy about the
former president, “President Abdullahi Yusuf: Warrior
Statesman”, published on various Somali websites, like Hiiraan
31
Somali’s Compete for Foreign DominationBy Mohamud Uluso
12 April 2012
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
Online.
It seems plausible that the main thrust ofMr. Jangeli’s eulogy
was to portray President Yusuf as the leader of a group who
decided years ago to bring Somalia under the subjugation of
Ethiopia. The second probable explanation could be an effort for
personal political rehabilitation after August 2012. Apart from my
inferences, Mr. Jangeli stated:
“Abdillahi was a true patriot who loved his country and had
the intelligence and the courage to manage any strategic
relationship for the benefit of his country. Take the example of
Ethiopia and other neighbors in the region. He knew that
Somalia’s path to peace and stability is interlinked in a profound
manner to that ofthe Horn region. "
"Having realized that it was in the strategic long-term interest
of Somalia to have a mutually beneficial relationship with the
States neighboring Somalia, he managed it in manner worthy ofa
proud Somali patriot. Those ofus who had the distinct privilege of
witnessing it firsthand could attest to that. Abdillahi also deeply
believed that the Horn region is so inter-dependent that it could
only realize its true potential if there is a paradigm shift in its
people’s thinking and approach. To the skeptics that is far offand
futile but to those of us who share Abdillahi’s vision of stable,
peaceful and prosperous Horn region believe it is a cause worth
fighting for”.
Ethiopia’s Regional Strategy
In a discussion about President Yusuf’s life and political
legacy moderated by Voice of America, Mr. Mohamed Abshir
Walde asserted that the Somali Salvation Democratic Front
(SSDF) was established in Ethiopia, in 1978, before the rebel
movement. Led by a group of intellectuals, Ethiopian leaders were
assured that SSDF’s vision and political agenda was to tilt
Somalia’s policy towards Ethiopia.
Some Somalia political and intellectual leaders still subscribe
to that pledge of allegiance towards Ethiopia. Last month,
President Sheikh Sharif travelled to Addis Ababa where he
discussed Ethiopian policy towards the regions of Hiiraan, Bay,
Bakol, Gedo and Galgudud; all currently under the control of
Ethiopian forces.
For its part, Ethiopia publicized its security and foreign policy
strategy towards Somalia.
First, Ethiopia’s strategy assumes that Somalia will remain
stateless in the short- and medium-term and proceed through a
long process of transformation before peace and stability take
place. Ethiopia takes a long-term view of Somalia’s recovery.
Second, it makes clear that Somalia will not have
relations with countries deemed to be anti-Ethiopian, and, third,
claims that the ‘greater Somalia’ ideology has been discredited.
Lastly, this strategy asserts that Somalia has no relevance to
the development and security ofEthiopia.
Indeed, Ethiopia decided to dam two rivers, the Shabelle and
the Jubba, so that less water will be made available to Somalia.
Taking into account President Yusuf’s counsel and Ethiopia’s
foreign policy strategy: why do some Somalian intellectuals and
political leaders believe that Ethiopia is critical to Somalia’s
revival? Another Ethiopian adage says, “the eye of the leopard is
on the goat, and the eye of the goat is on the leaf.”
There is no question that Somalia and Ethiopia are linked on
several levels, but they are two distinct nations with different
political and cultural systems. Somalia is a nation with its own
strategic interests, and it needs to develop its own policies without
interference from Ethiopia’s leadership or the international
community.
Efforts should be made to avoid the tragedy of 1884 when
Somali tribes competed for foreign domination of Somalia.
Beneath apparent security improvements, real progress in Somalia
will depend on the Somali people’s common determination and
not on external forces and strategies. ■
32
Drug Policy in the Western HemisphereBy Taylor Dibbert
14 April 2012
I recently read an interesting and smart piece on one of
Foreign Policy’s blogs which charted some notable policy shifts
among current Latin American heads of state as it relates to drugs.
It is true that, more than two years ago, the former leaders of
Brazil, Colombia and Mexico all (rightly) claimed that the “war on
drugs” had been unsuccessful. It is also true that the current
presidents of Argentina, Colombia, Mexico and Guatemala
(among others) have also called for a rethink on the current
prohibition regime.
In addition, Adam Siegel, of Eurasia Group, rightly points out
that leaders like Guatemala’s Ottó Pérez are not deriding current
drug policies because they are champions of individual liberty.
Rather, Pérez and company want to suffocate the cartels and
staunch the violence that continues plague the region, especially
Central America.
President Barack Obama has been encouraged to offer up
some “policy alternatives” at the Summit of the Americas in
Cartagena, Colombia. However, merely offering alternatives does
not measure sincerity or political will.
Yes, criticism of US drug policy will rise in the coming years.
On the other hand, the idea that a sitting US President would be
deeply moved by a few Central American nations or even Mexico
April 1 st - 1 5th
when it comes to this issue, is hard to believe.
Besides, one hugely important actor still has not been
accounted for: the American public. The most effectual pressure
that Obama (or any future US president) would feel when it comes
to reexamining drug policy will be domestic.
If it were left up to individual states, there is reason to think
that more liberal states like California could legalize (or at least
decriminalize) marijuana within the next decade. One survey last
year noted that the majority of US citizens supported the
legalization of marijuana, but the legalization of any other drug is
minimal.
According to one poll, ten percent ofAmerican citizens support
the legalization of ecstasy and even fewer support the legalization
of cocaine. The legalization of cocaine would have a major impact
on drug gangs’ revenues, but that is not happening any time soon.
So where does that leave us?
According to a recent report by the US Congressional Research
Service, “95 percent of all cocaine entering the United States flows
through Mexico and its waters, with 60 percent of that cocaine
having first transited through Central America.”
If one Central American nation, like Guatemala, legalized
drugs, others may follow, as it could be in their best interest to do
so if they want to curb violence. However, those countries would
have to weigh that decision against the costs of upsetting
Washington. Besides, Mexico, with a population of over 1 10
million and sharing a 900-plus mile border with the US, would still
need to go along. And, even if Mexico were to legalize drugs, the
problem of curbing US supply (and changing US policy) still
would not have been addressed.
True, the war on drugs has failed miserably; this is a complex,
demand-driven problem. That means that thinking inside the US
and, to a lesser extent, Europe is paramount.
President Obama is eloquent, articulate and cerebral. Yet, with
few exceptions, he has been a timid leader. Were he to be
reelected, he probably will not spearhead bold drug policy reform.
Nevertheless, America’s political leaders need to educate the
American public and raise awareness so that people fully
understand the costs of the current prohibition regime.
Disappointingly, if Obama were to push for meaningful drug
policy reform now, something officials in the White House have
already dismissed, he would undoubtedly alienate moderate voters.
That needs to change.
With healthcare, Obama saw how dangerous it is to swiftly pass
a major piece of legislation without broader support from the
American public. He will not make the same mistake twice.
Like his predecessor, Obama has largely ignored Latin
America. If he wins a second term, he will have an opportunity to
remedy that. It may make more sense to focus on other regional
issues like immigration or trade, although strident calls for US
drug policy reform will continue.
Finally, Latin Americans are speaking out about misguided drug
policies, but it is not clear how many people north of the border
are listening. ■
33
Social Business and the EnvironmentBy Jahangir Alam Sarker
15 April 2012
Our environment is in serious crisis. As sea levels continue
to rise due to global warming, Bangladesh faces an existential
threat.
Social business must be implemented along with existing
initiatives that are in place to save the environment. In doing so,
not only will we be able to save our environment, we will be able
to enrich it. But we must act now. We must act to create a livable,
survivable, and safe environment. And we know we are already
armed with a powerful weapon to combat the crisis – social
business.
Nobel Laureate Dr. Yunus continues to stress the potential of
social business as a means to eliminate many of the social ills we
face today. He also knows that the younger generation has the
talent, capabilities, and technologies to effectively change the
world. “We must use young people to harness the power of social
business,” Dr. Yunus has said previously.
To provide clean water, Bangladesh has undertaken the
world’s first social business initiatives. A new partnership called
Grameen-Veolia Water Ltd was created in 2008 to provide clean
water to the poorest in Bangladesh. Grameen-Veolia Water Ltd
further partnered with Grameen Healthcare Services and Violia
Water AMI Ltd to distribute purified water to people in
Bangladesh by 2012.
The elimination of forests, global warming, loss of animal
lives, and carbon pollution continue to threaten our existence.
Bangladesh must undertake social business initiatives
throughout the country. Poor people by far are the most vulnerable
victims of environmental pollution. To save them, businesses must
come forward and adopt social business. They have the financial
resources to successfully undertake social business initiatives. Big
businesses can produce the basic necessities of life in a cost
effective way and continue to make profits. Big businesses can
enter the social business arena easily but smaller businesses may
not the have necessary economy of scale. Large companies in
Bangladesh should be targeted to adopt social business initiatives
and the environment must be one of them.
International Policy Digest Volume I Issue VI
Social business benefits society as a whole. Helping
communities survive and be sustainable is the primary focus of
social business.
Dr. Yunus has previously stated that young graduates first look for
jobs after graduation. “This must change,” according to Dr. Yunus.
He stresses that the ultimate goal of Bangladesh’s educational
system should be to benefit Bangladesh as a whole. “We must
provide social business opportunities for the college graduates,”
Dr. Yunus has stated.
One of Grameen’s initiatives, Grameen Shakti, has undertaken
providing solar energy in villages throughout Bangladesh. To date,
Grameen Shakti has provided solar panels to 70,000 households.
Initiatives like this will create an ecological balance.
Other social business projects like Grameen Bank Biogas is
providing portable low-cost and low-maintenance cooking stoves
to the poorest people in Bangladesh.
Technologies in natural science have improved dramatically.
These advancements have enabled us to predict weather
patterns, which saves lives during hurricanes, massive storms, and
other natural disasters. In today’s globally connected world,
disasters in one country may affect many others. Therefore, we
must proactively undertake initiatives to preserve our environment.
Social business is a new idea but its potential has already
reached beyond the borders of many countries in the world, as it
continues to enrich our lives. ■
April 1 st - 1 5th
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March 15th - 31 st
42
Cover – China Economy/Currrency - MSNBC
Page 3 - President Barack Obama talks with President Dmitry Medvedev of the Russian Federation during their bilateral meeting at the Millennium Seoul Hilton
in Seoul, Republic ofKorea, March 26, 2012. Official White House Photo by Pete Souza
Page 4 - Israeli soldiers just inside Area C on the outskirts of Jerusalem. Image in the background is ofMarwan Barghouti, a Fatah leader in jail for multiple
murder counts. Source: Begemot/Flickr
Page 6 - European flags in front of the Berlaymont building, headquarter of the European Commission, Brussels, Belgium. Photo by TPCOM
Page 8 - Vice President Joe Biden meets with Premier Wen Jiabao at the Purple Light Pavillion in Beij ing, China, August 19, 201 1 . Official White House Photo
by David Lienemann
Page 10 - Prime Minister Viktor Orbán during a debate on the political situation in Hungary in the European Parliament. Photo by Pietro Naj-Oleari
Page 12 - Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin. Source: Presidential Press and Information Office
Page 14 - Bo Xilai, the former party chief ofChongqing.
Page 14 - President Obama greets Costa Rican President Oscar Arias during the opening reception at the Summit of the Americas in Port of Spain, Trinidad on
April 1 7, 2009. Official White House Photo by Pete Souza
Page 15 - U.S. soldier on the Afghan-Pakistan border. Official DoD photo
Page 17 - Part of an agreement to restore constitutional order, Mali’s ousted president, Amadou Toumani Touré, resigned from office. Source: kk+/Flickr
Page 18 - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad at the United Nations. Source: United Nations
Page 20 - All figures in this piece were courtesy of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, The World Factbook.
Page 21 - Riocinha Favela in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Photo by David Berkowitz
Page 22 - Protesters clash with riot police during a demonstration in Athens, Greece. Photo by PIAZZA del POPOLO/Flickr
Page 23 - Immigration Anxiety and Ruminations on Thought Police. Photo courtesy ofGroundviews
Page 24 - President John F. Kennedy and India's Prime Minister Nehru during Mr. Nehru's third visit to the United States in 1961 : U.S. Embassy New Delhi
Page 25 - Victims at Pompeii
Page 28 - Pounding Dried Gesho Leaves by Richard Lyman
Page 29 - President Barack Obama talks with Crown Prince ofAbu Dhabi Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed Al Nahyan, during a Nuclear Security Summit working
dinner at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center in Washington, D.C., April 1 2, 2010. Official White House Photo by Pete Souza
Page 32 - A woman holds a Somali flag at the Mogadishu International Airport, where a ceremony took place to receive the casket of former President of
Somalia, Abdullahi YusufAhmed. Photo by Stuart Price
Page 33 - President Barack Obama speaks with Prime Minister Stephen Harper (right) ofCanada and President Felipe Calderon (left) ofMexico at a joint press
conference in the Rose Garden of the White House on April 2, 2012 in Washington, DC. Photo by Ariel Gutiérrez
Page 34 - Muhammad Yunus, Managing Director, Grameen Bank, Bangladesh speaks to students during the Young Global Leaders session at the Swiss alpine
school during the Annual Meeting 2010 of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, January 29, 2010. Photo by Andy Mettler