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International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E- diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic WEBINAR
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International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Dec 26, 2015

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Page 1: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

International Peace and Security

Vladimir RadunovićDirector, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy

DiploFoundation @vradunovic

20 March 2015

WEBINAR

Page 2: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Contents

Cyber-armament: weapons and militarisation

Cyber-conflicts: cyberwar - hype or reality?

Conflict prevention: CBMs and norms, cooperation, IHL

Diplomacy: ongoing fora, actors and challenges

Page 3: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Cyber-armament

Page 4: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Weapons and tools

Malware (viruses, trojans, worms)

Bot-nets (DDoS, spam, infection, frauds)

Social engineering (phishing, scams)

Software flaws Protocol flaws

Mind flaws

Page 5: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Asymmetry

Page 6: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Speed

Policies and Law

Technology and services

MalwareCyber-attackers

Provided by Ed Gelbstein

Page 7: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

CasesEstonia

Creeper Stuxnet „Aurora“

Sony-N.Korea

PRISM

Page 8: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Militarisation

Cyber as 5th battlefield domain:US: 4x Cyber-Command with PentagonUK: Cyber Defence Operations Group at the Ministry of DefenceRussia: FSB (Federal Security Service)China: Cyber-warfare unit within PLAIran: High council for cyber-space and cyber-defence commandNATO: CCDCoEEU: European Defence Agency (EDA) ...

Page 9: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Cyber-conflicts

Page 10: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Future in the past

Page 11: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Cyber-warfare v3.0

Page 12: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Cyber-war?

Page 13: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Conflict prevention

Page 14: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Negotiations

Legal frameworks and cooperation against cyber-crime Confidence building measures (CBM), cooperation on critical

infrastructure protection and response to cyber-incidents Defining cyber-conflicts and application of IHL to cyber-space Setting the norms of behavior in cyber-space Control of proliferation of cyber-weapons and dual-use

technologies Cyber-disarmament

Page 15: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

CBMs Share views on emerging threats views on emerging threats Discuss terminologyterminology Set up nationalnational legal and operational frameworks legal and operational frameworks Cooperate among national bodies among national bodies to share information on threats Consult to avoid misperceptionavoid misperception, tension and conflicts Cooperate to protectprotect critical infrastructurecritical infrastructure Share measures taken to protect open and secure Internetprotect open and secure Internet Encourage capacity buildingcapacity building

Strengthen multistakeholder approach multistakeholder approach and PPP Enhance capacities on regional and sub-regional capacities on regional and sub-regional levels ...

Page 16: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

IHL Challenges

Necessity: Defining armed attack and use of force in cyber-space? Response to cyber-attacks?

Distinction: Dual-use technology? Global (nus-)effects? Proportionality: Assessment of effects of cyber-attacks? Attribution: Proxies? Liability of intermediaries?

Page 17: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Diplomacy

Page 18: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

International initiatives

UN: Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) on “International norms pertaining to state use of ICT” (2011-)

OSCE: Confidence Building Measures re. risks from ICT (2013)

NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence (CCDCOE): “Tallin Manual” (2013)

OECD: Guidelines on Information Security

G8: Subgroup on High-Tech Crime on crime, terrorism and CIIP

ITU: Global Cybersecurity Agenda (2008)

WSIS, IGF, GCCS, ASEAN...

Bilateral agreements

Page 19: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Collective responsibility

Page 20: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Challenges

Page 21: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Challenges

Page 22: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Challenges

Provided by Ed Gelbstein

Page 23: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Chain effect

Page 24: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Human rights and cybersecurity

Page 25: International Peace and Security Vladimir Radunović Director, Cybersecurity and E-diplomacy DiploFoundation @vradunovic 20 March 2015 WEBINAR.

Questions

Thank you for your timewww.diplomacy.edu @igcbp @DiplomacyEdu @vradunovic